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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

CO Dissociation on model Co/SiO 2 catalysts – effect of adsorbed hydrogen

Here we found experimental evidence that shows the effect that adsorbed hydrogen can have on CO dissociation. For cobalt nanoparticles supported on SiO 2 , adsorbed hydrogen enhances CO dissociation. In contrast, adsorbed hydrogen inhibits CO dissociation on a cobalt film supported on SiO 2 . Considering the nature of cobalt deposited by physical vapor deposition, these results can be explained by a preference for CO dissociation to follow the hydrogen-assisted dissociation mechanism on FCC cobalt and step-edges, while the direct dissociation mechanism is preferred on HCP cobalt. These results are in agreement with previous theoretical results.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Universal Polarization Transformations: Spatial Programming of Polarization Scattering Matrices Using a Deep Learning‐Designed Diffractive Polarization Transformer

Abstract Controlled synthesis of optical fields having nonuniform polarization distributions presents a challenging task. Here, a universal polarization transformer is demonstrated that can synthesize a large set of arbitrarily‐selected, complex‐valued polarization scattering matrices between the polarization states at different positions within its input and output field‐of‐views (FOVs). This framework comprises 2D arrays of linear polarizers positioned between isotropic diffractive layers, each containing tens of thousands of diffractive features with optimizable transmission coefficients. After its deep learning‐based training, this diffractive polarization transformer can successfully implement N i N o = 10 000 different spatially‐encoded polarization scattering matrices with negligible error, where N i and N o represent the number of pixels in the input and output FOVs, respectively. This universal polarization transformation framework is experimentally validated in the terahertz spectrum by fabricating wire‐grid polarizers and integrating them with 3D‐printed diffractive layers to form a physical polarization transformer. Through this set‐up, an all‐optical polarization permutation operation of spatially‐varying polarization fields is demonstrated, and distinct spatially‐encoded polarization scattering matrices are simultaneously implemented between the input and output FOVs of a compact diffractive processor. This framework opens up new avenues for developing novel devices for universal polarization control and may find applications in, e.g., remote sensing, medical imaging, security, material inspection, and machine vision.

Optical neural networks↗
DOE OSTI2020

Atomically Precise Membranes for the Separation of Gases

Industrial separations require enormous amounts of energy, accounting for approximately half the industrial energy use and 10–15% of the total energy consumption. Distillation alone accounts for about half the energy demand for industrial separations. If these processes could be replaced by an energy-efficient membrane separation process, this energy demand could be reduced by 90%. However, although some membrane processes have made inroads into thermal distillation, for membrane-based separations to replace the distillation process to a far more significant and practical level, new membranes with higher robustness, selectivity, and flux still need be developed. In this membrane development program, we leveraged Temple University’s prior work in spiroligomers to develop robust membrane structures. These structures can be formed into atomically precise pores by controlling the chemical synthesis and the oligomer building blocks to first build precisely controlled macrocycles and then subsequently crosslinking these macrocycles to produce a membrane. Furthermore, through the highly controllable chemistry of our molecular building blocks, not only can we integrate pores with highly controllable and reproducible size and morphology, but we can also target internal functionalization. By using a range of scalable membrane synthesis approaches, combined with control of each and every pores internal chemistry and molecular conformation we can achieve membrane structures that can display the ultimate in high selectivity and permeance. The Mainstream-Temple University membranes can be designed to achieve ultra-selective separations based on the key factors of molecular size, shape, and functionality. In our approach to fabricate scalable atomically precise membranes, we used our molecular Lego nanostructures. We demonstrated an approach to create atomically precise pores within the membrane with pores that are the dimensions of the molecule we are trying to separate. Moreover, in addition to controlling the morphology of the membrane structure by controlling the size of every pore, we can also decorate every pore with precisely targeted and placed functional groups. These accurately placed functional groups can provide selective binding to molecules and provide enhanced selectivity via a facilitated transport mechanism. In Phase II, the Mainstream-Temple University team demonstrated the scalable synthesis of oligomers and the ability to control the pore internal and external functionality, or chemistry, to allow the fabrication of a thin-film membrane. The initial steps of the spiroligomer synthesis to produce the two key bis-amino enantiomer building blocks were scaled from the gram scale to the kilogram scale, obtaining 25 kg of the materials by transferring the procedure to a toll manufacturer. Finally, we successfully optimized the fabrication of these macrocycles into robust membranes. We successfully transitioned from a laboratory based, hard-to-scale Langmuir trough synthesis to a highly scalable, roll-to-roll applicable, interfacial polymerization process. During this Phase II program, we established a platform of atomically precise membranes where our highly controllable, atomically precise macrocycles served as a scaffold with precisely and uniformly controlled pores. Furthermore, this layer can be tailored to accommodate a diverse range of functional groups, which both further controlled the pore size to enhance the sieving effect as well as imparting precisely controlled targeted selectivity through biomimetic molecular interactions. In this Phase II, we established and scaled up a platform approach to both tune the pore size and chemistry as well as scale it to produce membranes that can be applied to a wide range of industries. In future development, the project team expects to scale up both the macrocycle building block production and interfacial polymerization process to produce the atomically precise membrane with targeted pore sizes and pore chemistries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fuel Salt Synthesis for the Molten Chloride Reactor Experiment: Scale-up, Operations, and Production Update

Over the previous 5 years, Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has been working with Southern Co. and TerraPower on the Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP) funded Molten Chloride Reactor Experiment (MCRE) project. As part of this effort, INL has developed a fuel synthesis process to produce the NaCl-UCl3 fuel salt that MCRE will need for operation. Dr. Phillips will present on process development and scale-up testing and results, as well as provide an update on the current status of fuel production for MCRE. To date, the fuel synthesis process has been demonstrated at full scale using depleted uranium, and the equipment necessary for production of the fuel for MCRE has been installed in the Fuel Manufacturing Facility (FMF) at the INL’s Materials and Fuels Complex (MFC). The NaCl-UCl3 produced to-date has been shown to be of 99.99% purity or greater, and be within tolerance for all relevant parameters. Overall process efficiency in terms of uranium utilization has been demonstrated to be above 90%. The synthesis operation has also been shortened to allow for completion of the reaction within a single 10 hour working shift. Consequently, the process developed is expected to be capable of meeting all project objectives for efficiency, purity, scale, and scheduling. Production of NaCl-UCl3 fuel salt for MCRE is projected to begin during the Summer of 2025.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Programmed cell death regulator BAP2 is required for IRE1-mediated unfolded protein response in Arabidopsis

Environmental and physiological situations can challenge the balance between protein synthesis and folding capacity of the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) and cause ER stress, a potentially lethal condition. The unfolded protein response (UPR) restores ER homeostasis or actuates programmed cell death (PCD) when ER stress is unresolved. The cell fate determination mechanisms of the UPR are not well understood, especially in plants. Here, we integrate genetics and ER stress profiling with natural variation and quantitative trait locus analysis of 350 natural accessions of the model species Arabidopsis thaliana . Our analyses implicate a single nucleotide polymorphism to the loss of function of the general PCD regulator BON-ASSOCIATED PROTEIN2 (BAP2) in UPR outcomes. We establish that ER stress-induced BAP2 expression is antagonistically regulated by the UPR master regulator, inositol-requiring enzyme 1 (IRE1), and that BAP2 controls adaptive UPR amplitude in ER stress and ignites pro-death mechanisms in conditions of UPR insufficiency.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development of Metal Boride/Carbide Precursors for MOCVD Applications (Office of Naval Research Research Performance Progress Report)

Annual Report for Office of Naval Research (ONR) program office. Highlights the synthetic and corresponding computational efforts surrounding the synthesis and processing of chemical precursors and their subsequent processing for formation of metal carbide products. Focus of this annual report is largely directed toward the computational effort as that manuscript is being finalized for submission.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Synthesis and Single Crystals of Refractory Oxides of Lanthanides and Thorium

At the completion of this program, we can report that we developed a considerable degree of technical improvements in our ability to perform hydrothermal reactions at high temperatures and pressures. We can now routinely perform reactions at 700-750°C and 200 MPa. Currently we are in the process of exploiting this new technology synthesizing a range of exotic new materials investigating relatively poorly understood materials. Our initial efforts focused on the chemistry of rare earth oxides with tetravalent and pentavalent oxides. We recently published a study of the lanthanides with Nb 5+ and Ta 5+ ions, where we grew oxides such as RENdO 4 and RETaO 4 as high quality single crystals. These compounds were targeted as potential hosts for luminescent and scintillation materials, particularly given that they are among the densest oxide hosts and hence have good potential as absorbers for high energy radiation like X-rays and gamma rays. We also isolated a range of unusual new rare earth tantalates with very complex structures. indicating that the chemistry is very sensitive to conditions. We performed some fairly comprehensive examinations of the solid-state chemistry of rare earth ions with various tetravalent metal ions especially Si 4+ , Ge 4+ , Sn 4+ and Ti 4+ . Given the potential role of rare earth silicates in immobilizing radioactive waste elements in long-term storage, and the similarity of our hydrothermal fluids with known geological conditions, this chemistry continues to be relevant. We prepared an extensive series of new lanthanide germanates (e.g. RE 13 Ge 6 O 31 (OH), BaRE 10 (GeO 4 ) 4 O 8 ). and found that there is there is almost no overlap between the chemistry of the rare earth silicates. Stannic oxide (SnO 2 ) is much more refractory and requires higher temperatures and of mineralizer concentrations. One significant result is the growth of RE 2 Sn 2 O 7 pyrochlore single crystals. These are of interest because the rare earth stannate pyrochlores are known to display a wide range of magnetic frustration such as spin ice behavior. We grew high quality single crystals of rare earth germanate and stannate pyrochlores and this led to a collaboration with Professor Kate Ross at Colorado State. Preliminary measurements, indicate that the crystals contain no detectable defects or site disorder. Initial neutron diffraction on single crystals was performed at Oak Ridge, and more detailed experiments involving the Ross group are underway at both NIST and ORNL. This particular chemistry has turned out to be the most potentially significant work on this project and the collaborative effort with Prof. Ross is the topic of a DoE renewal project on quantum materials. Our initial foray into the hydrothermal chemistry of rare earth titanates has also been very promising and a range of cubic and polar ferroic phases of the light rare earths RE 2 Ti 2 O 7 (RE = La - Pr) in the P2 1 phase. We also discovered an interesting new phase Ce 2 Ti 4 O 11 that can have implications in heavy metal immobilization and storage. along with a series of new rare earth titanates (La 5 Ti 4 O 15 (OH) Sm 3 TiO 5 (OH) 3 and Lu 5 Ti 2 O 11 (OH) with exceptionally complex structures. One interesting sidelight has been high temperature hydrothermal chemistry terbium, including the growth of large crystals of TbO(OH). This is not a new compound but it is the first time it has been grown as large single crystals. The Tb atom density is almost as high as that in Tb 2 O 3 and has a very high Verdet constant (ca. 70), making it a very attractive candidate as a Faraday rotator. Unfortunately it is not in a cubic structure but he material is hard, stable, pure and inexpensive, so should still be an attractive Faraday oscillator. We recently received a patent on this material. We also synthesized K 2 Tb(Ge 2 O 7 ) containing stable octahedral Tb 4+ ions, which appears to be the first example of a well-characterized Tb 4+ complex. Given that Tb 4+ has been proposed as a benign surrogate for more treacherous tetravalent ions such as Cf 4+ and Bk 4+ , we think that Tb 4+ silicates can be a particularly useful study for actinide immobilization and related work. We also began reaction studies with rare earths and both ReO 2 and RuO 2 . These resulted in large single crystals of species like RE 5 Ru 2 O 12 , RE 4 Re 2 O 11 , REReO 4 and RE 2 ReO 5 . Several of these samples have already been sent to ORNL for magnetic and neutron diffraction studies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Growth Optimization and Device Integration of Narrow‐Bandgap Graphene Nanoribbons

Abstract The electronic, optical, and magnetic properties of graphene nanoribbons (GNRs) can be engineered by controlling their edge structure and width with atomic precision through bottom‐up fabrication based on molecular precursors. This approach offers a unique platform for all‐carbon electronic devices but requires careful optimization of the growth conditions to match structural requirements for successful device integration, with GNR length being the most critical parameter. In this work, the growth, characterization, and device integration of 5‐atom wide armchair GNRs (5‐AGNRs) are studied, which are expected to have an optimal bandgap as active material in switching devices. 5‐AGNRs are obtained via on‐surface synthesis under ultrahigh vacuum conditions from Br‐ and I‐substituted precursors. It is shown that the use of I‐substituted precursors and the optimization of the initial precursor coverage quintupled the average 5‐AGNR length. This significant length increase allowed the integration of 5‐AGNRs into devices and the realization of the first field‐effect transistor based on narrow bandgap AGNRs that shows switching behavior at room temperature. The study highlights that the optimized growth protocols can successfully bridge between the sub‐nanometer scale, where atomic precision is needed to control the electronic properties, and the scale of tens of nanometers relevant for successful device integration of GNRs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

FEW questions, many answers: using machine learning to assess how students connect food–energy–water (FEW) concepts

There is growing support and interest in postsecondary interdisciplinary environmental education which integrate concepts and disciplines in addition to providing varied perspectives. There is a need to assess student learning in these programs as well as rigorous evaluation of educational practices, especially of complex synthesis concepts. This work tests a text classification machine learning model as a tool to assess student systems thinking capabilities using two questions anchored by the Food-Energy-Water (FEW) Nexus phenomena by answering two questions (1) Can machine learning models be used to identify instructor-determined important concepts in student responses? (2) What do college students know about the interconnections between food, energy and water, and how have students assimilated systems thinking into their constructed responses about FEW? Reported here are a broad range of model performances across 26 text classification models associated with two different assessment items, with model accuracy ranging from 0.755 to 0.992. Expert-like responses were infrequent in our dataset compared to responses providing simpler, incomplete explanations of the systems presented in the question. For those students moving from describing individual effects to multiple effects, their reasoning about the mechanism behind the system indicates advanced systems thinking ability. Specifically, students exhibit higher expertise for explaining changing water usage than discussing tradeoffs for such changing usage. This research represents one of the first attempts to assess the links between foundational, discipline-specific concepts and systems thinking ability. These text classification approaches to scoring student FEW Nexus Constructed Responses (CR) indicate how these approaches can be used, in addition to several future research priorities for interdisciplinary, practice-based education research. Development of further complex question items using machine learning would allow evaluation of the relationship between foundational concept understanding and integration of those concepts as well as more nuanced understanding of student comprehension of complex interdisciplinary concepts.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Accelerated Charged Particle Tracking with Graph Neural Networks on FPGAs

We develop and study FPGA implementations of algorithms for charged particle tracking based on graph neural networks. The two complementary FPGA designs are based on OpenCL, a framework for writing programs that execute across heterogeneous platforms, and hls4ml, a high-level-synthesis-based compiler for neural network to firmware conversion. We evaluate and compare the resource usage, latency, and tracking performance of our implementations based on a benchmark dataset. We find a considerable speedup over CPU-based execution is possible, potentially enabling such algorithms to be used effectively in future computing workflows and the FPGA-based Level-1 trigger at the CERN Large Hadron Collider.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

Applying cumulative effects to strategically advance large-scale ecosystem restoration

Programs restoring large terrestrial-aquatic ecosystems are expected to increase in area and number over the next decade. Factors ensuring long-term effectiveness at the program scale differ from those at the individual restoration project scale, necessitating a new synthesis. Here we contextualize hydrological, geomorphological, and biological effects of large-scale ecosystem restoration activities within a cumulative-effects paradigm. Evidence of eight modes of cumulative effects benefiting species and ecosystems was elucidated by reviewing restoration efforts in the greater Florida Everglades, Gulf Coast, lower Columbia River and estuary, Puget Sound estuary, Missouri River, northeastern coastal states, San Francisco Bay and Sacramento Delta. Additive and nonlinear cumulative effects of interacting restoration projects propagated across landscape and regional geographic scales, and throughout trophic levels, affecting population structures. Applying a cumulative-effects paradigm to planning, implementing, and evaluating large-scale restoration will avoid countervailing effects and capitalize on positive feedback, advancing evidence-based programs to recover priority species and ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Symmetry-Breaking Dendrimer Synthons in Colloidal Crystal Engineering with DNA

Breaking symmetry in colloidal crystals is challenging due to the inherent chemical and structural isotropy of many nanoscale building blocks. If a non-particle component could be used to anisotropically encode such building blocks with orthogonal recognition properties, one could expand the scope of structural and compositional possibilities of colloidal crystals beyond what is thus far possible with purely particle-based systems. In this work, we report the synthesis and characterization of novel DNA dendrimers that function as symmetry-breaking synthons, capable of programming anisotropic and orthogonal interactions within colloidal crystals. When the DNA dendrimers have identical sticky ends, they hybridize with DNA-functionalized nanoparticles to yield three distinct colloidal crystals, dictated by dendrimer size, including a structure not previously reported in the field of colloidal crystal engineering, Si 2 Sr. When used as symmetry-breaking synthons (when the sticky ends deliberately consist of orthogonal sequences), the synthesis of binary and ternary colloidal alloys with structures that can only be realized through directional interactions is possible. Furthermore, by modulating the extent of shape anisotropy within the DNA dendrimers, the local distribution of the nanoparticles within the crystals can be directed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

ARCS: Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Code Synthesis with Iterative Refinement

Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Code Synthesis with Iterative RefinementIn supercomputing, efficient and optimized code generation is essential to leverage high-performance systems effectively. We have developed Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Code Synthesis (ARCS), an advanced framework for accurate, robust, and efficient code generation, completion, and translation. ARCS integrates Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) with Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning to systematically break down and iteratively refine complex programming tasks. An agent-based RAG mechanism retrieves relevant code snippets, while real-time execution feedback drives the synthesis of candidate solutions. This process is formalized as a state-action search tree optimization, balancing code correctness with editing efficiency. Evaluations on the Geeks4Geeks and HumanEval benchmarks demonstrate that ARCS significantly outperforms traditional prompting methods in translation and generation quality. By enabling scalable and precise code synthesis, ARCS offers transformative potential for automating and optimizing code development in supercomputing applications, enhancing computational resource utilization

Bhattarai, Manish [Los Alamos National Labs]↗
DOE OSTI2021

Composable Programming of Hybrid Workflows for Quantum Simulation

We present a composable design scheme for the development of hybrid quantum/classical algorithms and workflows for applications of quantum simulation. Our object-oriented approach is based on constructing an expressive set of common data structures and methods that enable programming of a broad variety of complex hybrid quantum simulation applications. The abstract core of our scheme is distilled from the analysis of the current quantum simulation algorithms. Subsequently, it allows a synthesis of new hybrid algorithms and workflows via the extension, specialization, and dynamic customization of the abstract core classes defined by our design. We implement our design scheme using the hardware-agnostic programming language QCOR into the QuaSiMo library. To validate our implementation, we test and show its utility on commercial quantum processors from IBM, running some prototypical quantum simulations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Solar Photovoltaic Module Recycling: A Survey of U.S. Policies and Initiatives

Industry stakeholders, regulators, and policymakers in the United States are starting to develop policies for PV module recycling. Well-designed policies could reduce negative environmental impacts and resource constraints while opening new market and employment opportunities. This paper summarizes drivers, barriers, and enablers related to PV module recycling, which might be addressed via policy. It then analyzes existing and proposed U.S. policies that may affect PV module recycling. Among the global and national voluntary industry stewardship standards related to EoL PV management, this paper discusses a Solar Energy Industries Association program encouraging PV recycling among its U.S. membership. The paper concludes with a synthesis of policy-related factors that may encourage effective EoL PV module management.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Quantum logic gate synthesis as a Markov decision process

Reinforcement learning has witnessed recent applications to a variety of tasks in quantum programming. The underlying assumption is that those tasks could be modeled as Markov decision processes (MDPs). Here, we investigate the feasibility of this assumption by exploring its consequences for single-qubit quantum state preparation and gate compilation. By forming discrete MDPs, we solve for the optimal policy exactly through policy iteration. We find optimal paths that correspond to the shortest possible sequence of gates to prepare a state or compile a gate, up to some target accuracy. Our method works in both the absence and presence of noise and compares favorably to other quantum compilation methods, such as the Ross–Selinger algorithm. This work provides theoretical insight into why reinforcement learning may be successfully used to find optimally short gate sequences in quantum programming.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterization of MC&A for the Molten Salt Fuel Cycle

Advanced reactor developers are exploring diverse reactor designs, including molten salt reactors (MSRs). These advanced reactors are considered for wider applications and a range of deployment locations, including supporting the integration of renewable energy sources in the grid. There are three main types of MSRs: (1) reactors in which the fuel salt freely circulates within the core; (2) reactors with the fuel salt contained within vented fuel tubes; and (3) reactors that use molten salt solely as a coolant, with the fuel in a separate, solid form. In this document, the term MSR refers specifically to the first two types, which use fuel salt—special nuclear material (enriched uranium, plutonium, and 233 U) in chloride or fluoride form mixed with chloride- or fluoride-based carrier salt in a peritectic mixture—as the primary medium for fission. The composition of fuel salt, both at startup and for makeup or refueling, varies depending on the MSR design and the chosen fuel cycle approach, which can be either once-through or closed. For MSRs, a variety of fuel cycle approaches (e.g., U, U–Pu, U–Pu–TRU, U–Th, U–Pu–Th) are being considered. Fuel in MSRs is much different than traditional solid fuel, including its preparation. The uniqueness warrants investigation into characterizing fuel preparation processes, known as fuel salt synthesis . This effort characterized major fuel preparation and synthesis processes, identifying temperature, equipment, and environmental requirements for uranium-, plutonium-, and thorium-based fuel preparation and synthesis. Because MSR fuel salt synthesis facilities handle special nuclear material in loose, bulk form, a material control and accounting plan will be required for licensing from the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission or under the US Department of Energy authorization. This effort serves as a foundation to investigate material control and accounting approaches for synthesis facilities, including determining measurement points and techniques. Because several MSR developers are planning demonstration facilities in the coming years, this effort will support stakeholders with preparing or reviewing material control and accounting plans for providing assurance that all special nuclear material is accounted for at fuel salt synthesis facilities. This report was produced for Materials Protection, Accounting, and Control Technologies (MPACT) program under the US Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Nuclear Energy, Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Supply Chain.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Assessing the cumulative effects of nearshore habitat restoration actions for multiple populations of juvenile salmon in Whidbey Basin, Washington: foundation and approach for synthesis and evaluation

Ecosystem restoration is a common tool for re-establishing ecosystem processes, structures, and functions to improve biodiversity and services in coastal and estuarine ecosystems. In the Salish Sea, salmon habitats have been fragmented, reduced in size, and diminished in quality, and the ecosystem processes that form and sustain these habitats have been degraded and disrupted as well. This loss is especially prevalent in estuaries, where up to 90% of former salmon habitat has been lost or compromised. Salmon species are integral to the identities and cultures of people in the Pacific Northwest, yet salmon abundances remain at historic lows, especially in urbanized areas. Recent investments in restoration are creating rearing habitat and repairing lost ecosystem function. However, restoration efforts in this region have largely proceeded at the site scale, with less attention to big-picture thinking regarding how restoration will effectively recover degraded or lost habitats for target species. As a result, no landscape-scale evaluation program exists, and the cumulative benefits of multiple interventions are unknown. We describe innovative methods for science synthesis related to the evaluation of cumulative effects of ecosystem restoration for Pacific salmon, using years of existing, but disparate data. Building from previous work on cumulative effects evaluation and incorporating a hierarchy of hypotheses approach, we propose using causal inference across numerous hypotheses in a framework to assess the cumulative benefits to Pacific salmon from multiple estuarine restoration projects. We present the framework as a method that can be used to address many complex questions and provide examples from the Salish Sea where the approach is being implemented. The framework draws on science synthesis from numerous fields and uses a hierarchy of hypotheses, causal analysis at multiple scales, and a new hierarchy of synthesis for assessing multiple lines of evidence documenting restoration effects on Pacific salmon. We propose causal inference to synthesize dissimilar data streams, in our case, to identify various manifestations of cumulative effects of restoration and benefits to salmon, and to further inform restoration and recovery planning. A unifying framework would allow for the detection of thresholds at which restoration provides measurable improvement and would greatly advance understanding of the effects of restoration on ecosystems.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗