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Generalized representative structures for atomistic systems

A new method is presented to generate atomic structures that reproduce the essential characteristics of arbitrary material systems, phases, or ensembles. Previous methods allow one to reproduce the essential characteristics (e.g. the chemical disorder) of a large random alloy within a small crystal structure. The ability to generate small representations of random alloys, along with the restriction to crystal systems, results from using the fixed-lattice cluster correlations to describe structural characteristics. A more general description of the structural characteristics of atomic systems is obtained using complete sets of atomic environment descriptors. These are used within for generating representative atomic structures without restriction to fixed lattices. A general data-driven approach is provided here utilizing the atomic cluster expansion (ACE) basis. The N-body ACE descriptors are a complete set of atomic environment descriptors that span both chemical and spatial degrees of freedom and are used within for describing atomic structures. The generalized representative structure (GRS) method presented within generates small atomic structures that reproduce ACE descriptor distributions corresponding to arbitrary structural and chemical complexity. It is shown that systematically improvable representations of crystalline systems on fixed parent lattices, amorphous materials, liquids, and ensembles of atomic structures may be produced efficiently through optimization algorithms. With the GRS method, we highlight reduced representations of atomistic machine-learning training datasets that contain similar amounts of information and small 40–72 atom representations of liquid phases. The ability to use GRS methodology as a driver for informed novel structure generation is also demonstrated. The advantages over other data-driven methods and state-of-the-art methods restricted to high-symmetry systems are highlighted.

atomic cluster expansion↗

Many-body expansion based machine learning models for octahedral transition metal complexes

Abstract Graph-based machine learning (ML) models for material properties show great potential to accelerate virtual high-throughput screening of large chemical spaces. However, in their simplest forms, graph-based models do not include any 3D information and are unable to distinguish stereoisomers such as those arising from different orderings of ligands around a metal center in coordination complexes. In this work we present a modification to revised autocorrelation descriptors, a molecular graph featurization method, for predicting spin state dependent properties of octahedral transition metal complexes (TMCs). Inspired by analytical semi-empirical models for TMCs, the new modeling strategy is based on the many-body expansion (MBE) and allows one to tune the captured stereoisomer information by changing the truncation order of the MBE. We present the necessary modifications to include this approach in two commonly used ML methods, kernel ridge regression and feed-forward neural networks. On a test set composed of all possible isomers of binary TMCs, the best MBE models achieve mean absolute errors (MAEs) of 2.75 kcal mol −1 on spin-splitting energies and 0.26 eV on frontier orbital energy gaps, a 30%–40% reduction in error compared to models based on our previous approach. We also observe improved generalization to previously unseen ligands where the best-performing models exhibit MAEs of 4.00 kcal mol −1 (i.e. a 0.73 kcal mol −1 reduction) on the spin-splitting energies and 0.53 eV (i.e. a 0.10 eV reduction) on the frontier orbital energy gaps. Because the new approach incorporates insights from electronic structure theory, such as ligand additivity relationships, these models exhibit systematic generalization from homoleptic to heteroleptic complexes, allowing for efficient screening of TMC search spaces.

Meyer, Ralf (ORCID:0000000322360261)↗

Learning curves for drug response prediction in cancer cell lines

Motivated by the size and availability of cell line drug sensitivity data, researchers have been developing machine learning (ML) models for predicting drug response to advance cancer treatment. As drug sensitivity studies continue generating drug response data, a common question is whether the generalization performance of existing prediction models can be further improved with more training data. We utilize empirical learning curves for evaluating and comparing the data scaling properties of two neural networks (NNs) and two gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) models trained on four cell line drug screening datasets. The learning curves are accurately fitted to a power law model, providing a framework for assessing the data scaling behavior of these models. The curves demonstrate that no single model dominates in terms of prediction performance across all datasets and training sizes, thus suggesting that the actual shape of these curves depends on the unique pair of an ML model and a dataset. The multi-input NN (mNN), in which gene expressions of cancer cells and molecular drug descriptors are input into separate subnetworks, outperforms a single-input NN (sNN), where the cell and drug features are concatenated for the input layer. In contrast, a GBDT with hyperparameter tuning exhibits superior performance as compared with both NNs at the lower range of training set sizes for two of the tested datasets, whereas the mNN consistently performs better at the higher range of training sizes. Moreover, the trajectory of the curves suggests that increasing the sample size is expected to further improve prediction scores of both NNs. These observations demonstrate the benefit of using learning curves to evaluate prediction models, providing a broader perspective on the overall data scaling characteristics. A fitted power law learning curve provides a forward-looking metric for analyzing prediction performance and can serve as a co-design tool to guide experimental biologists and computational scientists in the design of future experiments in prospective research studies.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Machine learning models for rat multigeneration reproductive toxicity prediction

Reproductive toxicity is one of the prominent endpoints in the risk assessment of environmental and industrial chemicals. Due to the complexity of the reproductive system, traditional reproductive toxicity testing in animals, especially guideline multigeneration reproductive toxicity studies, take a long time and are expensive. Therefore, machine learning, as a promising alternative approach, should be considered when evaluating the reproductive toxicity of chemicals. We curated rat multigeneration reproductive toxicity testing data of 275 chemicals from ToxRefDB (Toxicity Reference Database) and developed predictive models using seven machine learning algorithms (decision tree, decision forest, random forest, k-nearest neighbors, support vector machine, linear discriminant analysis, and logistic regression). A consensus model was built based on the seven individual models. An external validation set was curated from the COSMOS database and the literature. The performances of individual and consensus models were evaluated using 500 iterations of 5-fold cross-validations and the external validation data set. The balanced accuracy of the models ranged from 58% to 65% in the 5-fold cross-validations and 45%–61% in the external validations. Prediction confidence analysis was conducted to provide additional information for more appropriate applications of the developed models. The impact of our findings is in increasing confidence in machine learning models. We demonstrate the importance of using consensus models for harnessing the benefits of multiple machine learning models (i.e., using redundant systems to check validity of outcomes). While we continue to build upon the models to better characterize weak toxicants, there is current utility in saving resources by being able to screen out strong reproductive toxicants before investing in vivo testing. The modeling approach (machine learning models) is offered for assessing the rat multigeneration reproductive toxicity of chemicals. Our results suggest that machine learning may be a promising alternative approach to evaluate the potential reproductive toxicity of chemicals.

consensus model↗

Importance of Engineered and Learned Molecular Representations in Predicting Organic Reactivity, Selectivity, and Chemical Properties

Machine-readable chemical structure representations are foundational in all attempts to harness machine learning for the prediction of reactivities, selectivities, and chemical properties directly from molecular structure. The featurization of discrete chemical structures into a continuous vector space is a critical phase undertaken before model selection, and the development of new ways to quantitatively encode molecules is an active area of research. Here, we highlight the application and suitability of different representations, from expert-guided “engineered” descriptors to automatically “learned” features, in different prediction tasks relevant to organic and organometallic chemistry, where differing amounts of training data are available. These tasks include statistical models of stereo- and enantioselectivity, thermochemistry, and kinetics developed using experimental and quantum chemical data. The use of expert-guided molecular descriptors provides an opportunity to incorporate chemical knowledge, domain expertise, and physical constraints into statistical modeling. In applications to stereoselective organic and organometallic catalysis, where data sets may be relatively small and 3D-geometries and conformations play an important role, mechanistically informed features can be used successfully to obtain predictive statistical models that are also chemically interpretable. We provide an overview of several recent applications of this approach to obtain quantitative models for reactivity and selectivity, where topological descriptors, quantum mechanical calculations of electronic and steric properties, along with conformational ensembles, all feature as essential ingredients of the molecular representations used. Alternatively, more flexible, general-purpose molecular representations such as attributed molecular graphs can be used with machine learning approaches to learn the complex relationship between a structure and prediction target. This approach has the potential to out-perform more traditional representation methods such as “hand-crafted” molecular descriptors, particularly as data set sizes grow. One area where this is particularly relevant is in the use of large sets of quantum mechanical data to train quantitative structure–property relationships. A general approach toward curating useful data sets and training highly accurate graph neural network models is discussed in the context of organic bond dissociation enthalpies, where this strategy outperforms regression using precomputed descriptors. Finally, we describe how graph neural network predictions can be incorporated into mechanistically informed statistical models of chemical reactivity and selectivity. Once trained, this approach avoids the expensive computational overhead associated with quantum mechanical calculations, while maintaining chemical interpretability. We illustrate examples for which fast predictions of bond dissociation enthalpy and of the identities of radicals formed through cleavage of a molecule’s weakest bond are used in simple physical models of site-selectivity and reactivity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

SOMAS: a platform for data-driven material discovery in redox flow battery development

Abstract Aqueous organic redox flow batteries offer an environmentally benign, tunable, and safe route to large-scale energy storage. The energy density is one of the key performance parameters of organic redox flow batteries, which critically depends on the solubility of the redox-active molecule in water. Prediction of aqueous solubility remains a challenge in chemistry. Recently, machine learning models have been developed for molecular properties prediction in chemistry and material science. The fidelity of a machine learning model critically depends on the diversity, accuracy, and abundancy of the training datasets. We build a comprehensive open access organic molecular database “Solubility of Organic Molecules in Aqueous Solution” (SOMAS) containing about 12,000 molecules that covers wider chemical and solubility regimes suitable for aqueous organic redox flow battery development efforts. In addition to experimental solubility, we also provide eight distinctive quantum descriptors including optimized geometry derived from high-throughput density functional theory calculations along with six molecular descriptors for each molecule. SOMAS builds a critical foundation for future efforts in artificial intelligence-based solubility prediction models.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Genarris 2.0: A Random Structure Generator for Molecular Crystals

Genarris is an open source Python package for generating random molecular crystal structures with physical constraints for seeding crystal structure prediction algorithms and training machine learning models. Here we present a new version of the code, containing several major improvements. A MPI-based parallelization scheme has been implemented, which facilitates the seamless sequential execution of user-defined workflows. A new method for estimating the unit cell volume based on the single molecule structure has been developed using a machine-learned model trained on experimental structures. A new algorithm has been implemented for generating crystal structures with molecules occupying special Wyckoff positions. A new hierarchical structure check procedure has been developed to detect unphysical close contacts efficiently and accurately. New intermolecular distance settings have been implemented for strong hydrogen bonds. To demonstrate these new features, we study two specific cases: benzene and glycine. Genarris finds the experimental structures of the two polymorphs of benzene and the three polymorphs of glycine. Program summary Program Title: Genarris 2.0 Program Files doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.17632/grx6mz4pjn.1 Licensing provisions: BSD-3 Clause Programming language: Python, C External routines/libraries: Spglib, ASE, pymatgen, SciPy, mpi4py, scikit-learn, PyTorch, FHI-aims. Nature of problem: Molecular crystal structure prediction. Solution method: Genarris 2.0 generates molecular crystal structures over the 230 space groups, on general and special Wyckoff positions, using physical constraints. Down-sampling of the generated structures may be performed subsequently, based on molecular crystal packing descriptors and an unsupervised machine learning algorithm. Lastly, ab initio structure relaxation may be performed for the final pool. Depending on the user-defined workflow implemented, Genarris may be used to generate diverse molecular crystal datasets to seed evolutionary algorithms or to train machine learning algorithms or as a standalone crystal structure prediction method. Restrictions: For crystal structure generation, the molecule of interest must be semi-rigid with no bond rotational degrees of freedom. Unusual features: Genarris 2.0 is a highly distributed program, making use of MPI for Python parallelization. The user has the ability to design and implement workflows by executing a user-defined list of procedures. Genarris 2.0 offers new features including a machine learning model for estimating the molecular volume in the solid state from the single molecule structure, structure generation in special Wyckoff positions of space groups, hierarchical structure checks including rigorous treatment of non-orthogonal structures, and clustering and down-selection workflows combining first principles simulations with machine learning. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Crystal structure prediction↗

Generalizable, fast, and accurate DeepQSPR with fastprop

Abstract Quantitative Structure–Property Relationship studies (QSPR), often referred to interchangeably as QSAR, seek to establish a mapping between molecular structure and an arbitrary target property. Historically this was done on a target-by-target basis with new descriptors being devised to specifically map to a given target. Today software packages exist that calculate thousands of these descriptors, enabling general modeling typically with classical and machine learning methods. Also present today are learned representation methods in which deep learning models generate a target-specific representation during training. The former requires less training data and offers improved speed and interpretability while the latter offers excellent generality, while the intersection of the two remains under-explored. This paper introduces , a software package and general Deep-QSPR framework that combines a cogent set of molecular descriptors with deep learning to achieve state-of-the-art performance on datasets ranging from tens to tens of thousands of molecules. provides both a user-friendly Command Line Interface and highly interoperable set of Python modules for the training and deployment of feedforward neural networks for property prediction. This approach yields improvements in speed and interpretability over existing methods while statistically equaling or exceeding their performance across most of the tested benchmarks. is designed with Research Software Engineering best practices and is free and open source, hosted at github.com/jacksonburns/fastprop.

Burns, Jackson W. (ORCID:0000000206579426)↗

Prediction of impact sensitivity, heat of formation and heat of explosion using atomic connectivity

In these proceedings we revisit a large collection of explosives and explosive descriptors with the goal of predicting impact sensitivity using only local atomic environments that can be deciphered from molecular SMILES strings as descriptors without utilizing empirically measured values or computationally expensive electronic structure calculations. From the original database of nearly 500 descriptors, removing empirically measured and electronic structure values decreased the number of descriptors to 135, which we reduced to 18 the most important descriptors using Random Forests. The condensed model predicted impact sensitivity with essentially the same accuracy as the existing, more complex model (R 2 = 0.788 and RSME = 0.312), while remaining applicable to all types of explosives (Peroxides, azides, C-Nitros, Nitroamines, Nitrate Esters, etc.). In addition to impact sensitivity, we proposed similar models to accurately predict values heat of formation (ΔH f ) and heat of explosion (Q), with R 2 = 0.966 and 0.916, respectively. In conclusion, the work in these proceedings allows for prediction of explosive performance and sensitivity with only chemical structure information and an estimate of density.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Chespa: Streamlining Expansive Chemical Space Evaluation of Molecular Sets

Thousands of chemical properties can be calculated for small molecules, which can be used to place the molecules within the context of a broader “chemical space.” These definitions vary based on compounds of interest and the goals for the given chemical space definition. Here, we introduce a customizable (i.e., modular) Python module, chespa, built to easily assess different chemical space definitions through cluster-ing of compounds in these spaces and visualize trends of these clusters. To demonstrate this, chespa currently streamlines prediction of vari-ous molecule descriptors (predicted chemical properties, molecular substructures, AI-based chemical space, and chemical class ontology) in order to test 6 different chemical space definitions. Furthermore, we investigated how these varying definitions trend with mass spectrometry (MS)-based observability, i.e., the ability of a molecule to be observed with MS (e.g., as a function of the molecule ionizability), using an example data set from the U.S. EPA's Non-Targeted Analysis Collaborative Trial (ENTACT), where blinded samples had been analyzed previously, providing 1,398 data points. Improved understanding of observability would offer many advantages in small molecule identifica-tion, such as (i) a priori selection of experimental conditions based on suspected sample composition, (ii) the ability to reduce the number of candidate structures during compound identification by removing those less likely to ionize, and, in turn, (iii) a reduced false discovery rate and increased confidence in identifications. Factors controlling observability are not fully understood, making prediction of this property non-trivial and a prime candidate for chemical space analysis. Chespa is available at github.com/pnnl/chespa.

Nunez, Jamie↗

A Comprehensive Machine Learning Model for Metal–Ligand Binding Prediction: Applications in Chemistry and Biology

A machine-learning (ML) model that predicts metal–ligand binding constants was developed using the open-source Chemprop software. The model was trained on over 30,000 experimental log K 1 values, which include both protonation and metal–ligand stability constants, comprising over 3500 ligands and 10 2 metal ions from 73 total elements, thus generalizing beyond existing limited approaches, which focus only on specific metals or ligand families. The best-performing model included a combination of SMILES-based molecular representations along with descriptors for the metal ion and experimental conditions. It had an external test R 2 value of 0.942, and MAE value of 0.834. A “SMILES-only” simpler version also produced accurate predictions and preserved the binding trends, serving as a quick and easily accessible alternative for users without computational expertise. The SMILES-only model performed comparably to density functional theory (DFT) calculations but utilized a fraction of the computational resources. The model was successfully applied across diverse domains, including bioinorganic chemistry, heavy metal remediation, and sensor development and demonstrated its effectiveness as a rapid and reliable screening tool for both academic and industrial uses.

Ligands↗

Bias free multiobjective active learning for materials design and discovery

The design rules for materials are clear for applications with a single objective. For most applications, however, there are often multiple, sometimes competing objectives where there is no single best material and the design rules change to finding the set of Pareto optimal materials. In this work, we leverage an active learning algorithm that directly uses the Pareto dominance relation to compute the set of Pareto optimal materials with desirable accuracy. We apply our algorithm to de novo polymer design with a prohibitively large search space. Using molecular simulations, we compute key descriptors for dispersant applications and drastically reduce the number of materials that need to be evaluated to reconstruct the Pareto front with a desired confidence. This work showcases how simulation and machine learning techniques can be coupled to discover materials within a design space that would be intractable using conventional screening approaches.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Automated AI-driven Molecular Design for Therapeutic Discovery

In recent years, artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) approaches have revolutionized the process of designing new therapeutics, enabling scientists to rapidly respond to emerging threats from various pathogens. A prime example is the SARS-CoV-2 main protease, a key target for the development of antiviral inhibitors. In this study, we employed a novel, integrated approach that combines AI-driven iterative design of inhibitor candidates, screening based on physio-chemical properties and toxicity, physics-based computational modeling of protein-inhibitor interactions, and AI-assisted analysis of Native MS biophysical assay and characterization of designed candidates. Our deep learning 3D-scaffold model, which uses an input scaffold as a starting point, generated tens of thousands of compounds while preserving the key scaffold. To optimize these candidates, we calculated a comprehensive set of 136 descriptors, including both 2D and 3D molecular features, for compounds targeting the SARS-CoV-2 Main protease (Mpro) and a neurodegenerative disease-associated protein, cyclophilin (Cyp). The generated compounds were initially filtered based on their properties and then ranked according to their predicted binding affinity using our automated modeling and ML methods. Experimental validation of the Mpro candidates showing inhibitory activity demonstrates that our workflow can expedite the therapeutic discovery.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Screening and Discovery of Metal Compound Active Sites for Strong and Selective Adsorption of N 2 in Air

Photocatalytic nitrogen fixation has the potential to provide a greener route for producing nitrogen-based fertilizers under ambient conditions. Computational screening is a promising route to discover new materials for the nitrogen fixation process, but requires identifying “descriptors” that can be efficiently computed. In this work, we argue that selectivity toward the adsorption of molecular nitrogen and oxygen can act as a key descriptor. A catalyst that can selectively adsorb nitrogen and resist poisoning of oxygen and other molecules present in air has the potential to facilitate the nitrogen fixation process under ambient conditions. Here we provide a framework for active site screening based on multifidelity density functional theory (DFT) calculations for a range of metal oxides, oxyborides, and oxyphosphides. The screening methodology consists of initial low-fidelity fixed geometry calculations and a second screening in which more expensive geometry optimizations were performed. The approach identifies promising active sites on several TiO 2 polymorph surfaces and a VBO 4 surface, and the full nitrogen reduction pathway is studied with the BEEF-vdW and HSE06 functionals on two active sites. The findings suggest that metastable TiO 2 polymorphs may play a role in photocatalytic nitrogen fixation, and that VBO 4 may be an interesting material for further studies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

w19_OMEC Scientific Highlight [Slides]

Scientific Achievement: Revealed the effect of graphite substrate on H binding / hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) activity of organic molecular electrocatalysts (OMECs); and demonstrated the effect of molecular modification on calculated HER activity descriptor. Significance and Impact: Understanding of HER processes is important for discovering low-cost OMECs for hydrogen production and energy application; design of OMEC structures remains challenging due to the unexplored redox properties of organic molecules; and density functional theory (DFT) has been proposed to provide needed insights into HER activity for improved materials design. Research Details: DFT calculations on the binding energy of HER intermediates are used for predicting reduction potentials and and calculated H adsorption energy as activity descriptor; and LANL Institutional Computing (IC) resources are essential for successful project execution given the size of structures involved in modeling molecule-support interaction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Thermodynamic and Kinetic Activity Descriptors for the Catalytic Hydrogenation of Ketones

Activity descriptors are a powerful tool for the design of catalysts than can efficiently utilize H 2 with minimal energy losses. In this study, we develop the use of hydricity and H - self-exchange rates as thermodynamic and kinetic descriptors for the hydrogenation of ketones by molecular catalysts. Two complexes with known hydricity, HRh(dmpe) 2 and HCo(dmpe) 2 , were investigated for the catalytic hydrogenation of ketones under mild conditions (1.5 atm, 25 °C). The rhodium catalyst proved to be an efficient catalyst for a wide range of ketones, whereas the cobalt catalyst could only hydrogenate electron-deficient ketones. Using a combination of experiment and electronic structure theory, thermodynamic hydricity values were established for 46 alkoxide/ketone pairs in both MeCN and THF solvent. Through comparison of the hydricities of the catalysts and substrates, it was determined that catalysis was only observed for catalyst/ketone pairs with an exergonic H - transfer step. Mechanistic studies revealed that H - transfer was rate-limiting step for catalysis, allowing for the experimental and computation construction of linear free-energy relationships (LFERs) for H - transfer. Further analysis revealed the LFERs could be reproduced using Marcus theory, in which the H - self-exchange rates for the HRh/Rh + and ketone/alkoxide pairs were used to predict the experimentally measured catalytic barriers within 2 kcal mol -1 . Finally, these studies significantly expand the scope of catalytic reactions that can be analyzed with a thermodynamic hydricity descriptor and firmly establish Marcus theory as a valid approach to develop kinetic descriptors for designing catalysts for H - transfer reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Reactivity descriptors in acid catalysis: acid strength, proton affinity and host–guest interactions

Brønsted acids mediate chemical transformations via proton transfer to bound species and interactions between the conjugate anion and bound cationic intermediates and transition states that are also stabilized by van der Waals forces within voids of molecular dimensions in inorganic hosts. This Feature Article describes the relevant descriptors of reactivity in terms of the properties of acids and molecules that determine their ability to donate and accept protons and to reorganize their respective charges to optimize their interactions at bound states. The deprotonation energy (DPE) of the acids and the protonation energy (Eprot) of the gaseous analogs of bound intermediates and transition states reflect their respective properties as species present at non-interacting distances. These properties accurately describe the reactivity of acids of a given type, such as polyoxometalates (POM) with a given type of addenda atom but different central atoms and heterosilicates, for different families of reactions. They do not fully capture, however, differences among acid types (e.g., Mo and W POM, heterosilicates, mineral acids) for diverse types of chemical transformations (e.g., elimination, isomerization, dimerization, condensation). The incompleteness of such descriptors reflects their inability to describe how protonated molecular species and conjugate anions restructure their respective charges when present as a binding pair at interacting distances. Such interaction energies represent electrostatic forces that depend on charge distributions in the cations and anions and the ability to reorganize the distributions to maximize the interactions. In the case of deprotonation, the electrostatic and charge reorganization components of DPE for various acids solely reflect the ability of the conjugate anion to accept and distribute the negative charge, a characteristic unique of each type of solid acid and specifically of the composition of its extended conjugate anion framework. The energy required to accept and rearrange the positive charge in bound intermediates and transition states reflects, in turn, their respective ability to recover the ionic and covalent components of DPE, the energy required to detach proton from conjugate anions. The DPE components and the recovery fractions together lead to a modified DPE, which captures only the part of DPE that remains unrecovered by the ion-pair interactions at bound intermediates and transition states, as the unifying descriptor for broad families of acids and reactions. The electrostatic and charge reorganization energies involved in these general descriptors are placed in historical context by assessing their connections to the heuristics of hard–soft acid–base displacements. Further development of these concepts requires benchmarking and extension of electrostatic and reorganization components of energies for a more diverse set of reaction types and acid families and advancement of methods for more efficient calculations of electrostatic interactions. Reactivity descriptors must also account for dispersive interactions between host cavities and guest molecules, requiring a framework analogous to the one described here for ion-pair interactions; these dispersive interactions depend on the fit between their shapes and sizes as well as their ‘‘structural stiffness’’ that determines the ability to modify the shapes of molecules and voids to minimize free energy. Entropy considerations and estimates of their dependence on properties of catalysts and molecules are also required for accurately determining Gibbs free energies that ultimately determine reaction rates.

Deshlahra, Prashant↗

Dimensionally reduced machine learning model for predicting single component octanol–water partition coefficients

Abstract MF-LOGP, a new method for determining a single component octanol–water partition coefficients ( $$LogP$$ LogP ) is presented which uses molecular formula as the only input. Octanol–water partition coefficients are useful in many applications, ranging from environmental fate and drug delivery. Currently, partition coefficients are either experimentally measured or predicted as a function of structural fragments, topological descriptors, or thermodynamic properties known or calculated from precise molecular structures. The MF-LOGP method presented here differs from classical methods as it does not require any structural information and uses molecular formula as the sole model input. MF-LOGP is therefore useful for situations in which the structure is unknown or where the use of a low dimensional, easily automatable, and computationally inexpensive calculations is required. MF-LOGP is a random forest algorithm that is trained and tested on 15,377 data points, using 10 features derived from the molecular formula to make $$LogP$$ LogP predictions. Using an independent validation set of 2713 data points, MF-LOGP was found to have an average $$RMSE$$ RMSE = 0.77 ± 0.007, $$MAE$$ MAE = 0.52 ± 0.003, and $${R}^{2}$$ R 2 = 0.83 ± 0.003. This performance fell within the spectrum of performances reported in the published literature for conventional higher dimensional models ( $$RMSE$$ RMSE = 0.42–1.54, $$MAE$$ MAE = 0.09–1.07, and $${R}^{2}$$ R 2 = 0.32–0.95). Compared with existing models, MF-LOGP requires a maximum of ten features and no structural information, thereby providing a practical and yet predictive tool. The development of MF-LOGP provides the groundwork for development of more physical prediction models leveraging big data analytical methods or complex multicomponent mixtures. Graphical Abstract

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