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At least 55 records · Page 3

Interplanetary Meteoroid Model Update

The effects of the sporadic meteroid environment on interplanetary spacecraft have an inportant impact on mission design. This paper describes a reformulation of the Divine interplanetary meteroid model, called METEM, that is capable of estimating many of those effects.

interplanetary meteors meteroid model↗

Enhancing Air Quality Forecasts with AP4 Model Updates

This poster was presented at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2024 Fall Conference. The poster describes the latest developments through collaboration with Carnegie Mellon University on point-source emissions impact modeling using the latest high-resolution reduced-form air pollution model, AP4.

Nguyen, Thuy [Carnegie Mellon University (CMU)]↗

SALT2 versus SALT3: updated model surfaces and their impacts on type Ia supernova cosmology

ABSTRACT For the past decade, SALT2 has been the most common model used to fit Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) light curves for dark energy analyses. Recently, the SALT3 model was released, which upgraded a number of model features but has not yet been used for measurements of dark energy. Here, we evaluate the impact of switching from SALT2 to SALT3 for a SN cosmology analysis. We train SALT2 and SALT3 on an identical training sample of 1083 well-calibrated Type Ia supernovae, ensuring that any differences found come from the underlying model framework. We publicly release the results of this training (the SALT ‘surfaces’). We then run a cosmology analysis on the public Dark Energy Survey 3-Yr Supernova data sample (DES-SN3YR), and on realistic simulations of those data. We provide the first estimate of the SN + CMB systematic uncertainty arising from the choice of SALT model framework (i.e. SALT2 versus SALT3), Δw = + 0.001 ± 0.005 – a negligible effect at the current level of dark energy analyses. We also find that the updated surfaces are less sensitive to photometric calibration uncertainties than previous SALT2 surfaces, with the average spectral energy density dispersion reduced by a factor of two over optical wavelengths. This offers an opportunity to reduce the contribution of calibration errors to SN cosmology uncertainty budgets.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A Computational Approach for Model Update of an LS-DYNA Energy Absorbing Cell

NASA and its contractors are working on structural concepts for absorbing impact energy of aerospace vehicles. Recently, concepts in the form of multi-cell honeycomb-like structures designed to crush under load have been investigated for both space and aeronautics applications. Efforts to understand these concepts are progressing from tests of individual cells to tests of systems with hundreds of cells. Because of fabrication irregularities, geometry irregularities, and material properties uncertainties, the problem of reconciling analytical models, in particular LS-DYNA models, with experimental data is a challenge. A first look at the correlation results between single cell load/deflection data with LS-DYNA predictions showed problems which prompted additional work in this area. This paper describes a computational approach that uses analysis of variance, deterministic sampling techniques, response surface modeling, and genetic optimization to reconcile test with analysis results. Analysis of variance provides a screening technique for selection of critical parameters used when reconciling test with analysis. In this study, complete ignorance of the parameter distribution is assumed and, therefore, the value of any parameter within the range that is computed using the optimization procedure is considered to be equally likely. Mean values from tests are matched against LS-DYNA solutions by minimizing the square error using a genetic optimization. The paper presents the computational methodology along with results obtained using this approach.

Horta, Lucas G.↗

User’s Manual for Seal_Flux: A Seal Barrier Reduced-Order Model (Update)

This report provides a brief description on the use of the Seal_Flux computer program developed as part of the effort to quantify the risk of geologic storage of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) under the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP). The Seal_Flux code simulates the flow of CO 2 through a low permeability rock horizon or seal formation overlying the storage reservoir into which CO 2 is injected. A two-phase, relative permeability approach with Darcy’s law is used for one-dimensional (1D) flow computations of CO 2 through the horizon in the vertical direction. The code also allows the simulation of time-dependent processes that can influence such flow. However, as part of its design, Seal_Flux is what can be termed a “reduced-order model” (ROM) and is not intended as a full-functioning flow code. The theory and simulation in the code is streamlined and directed towards the implementation of Monte Carlo risk analyses of CO 2 transport or as termed in this context as “leakage.” While presented in this report as a stand-alone tool, the Seal_Flux code is intended to function in the future as one of several models as part of an integrated, systems-level model of CO 2 storage performance. Finally, the code is written in Python 3.10 to provide an open framework for further development by others and to assist in linking the code with other modules in an integrated assessment model.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Updated Model of Radar Backscatter for Rough Lunar Craters

We reexamined our radar scattering model for young, rough craters [1] based on unpublished data from the 1980's [2]. Our model for scattering from the lunar surface is a mixing model consisting of varying amounts of diffuse and specular components as shown in Figure 1. The specular component, which consists of only opposite-sense circular (OC) echoes, results from the mirror-like surface and sub-surface layers that are smooth to a tenth of a radar wavelength for large (>10 wavelengths) areas oriented perpendicular to the radar's line-ofsight. The diffuse component, which has both OC and same sense (SC) circular echoes, is associated with either surface roughness (wavelength-sized rocks) or ice, and is assumed to be uniformly bright, with backscatter being proportional to the cosine of the incidence angle. Only diffuse scattering contributes to the SC echoes.

Moon↗

An Updated Model for the Effect of Atmospheric Absorption on Sounding Rockets

A very high-resolution R > 20,000 Far Ultraviolet full-disk, solar spectrograph will be launched in the Spring of 2023. This paper describes the in-flight wavelength calibration techniques and the fortuitous retrieval of Earth’s thermospheric information during the flight. Building and calibration of the Full-sun Ultraviolet Rocket Spectrograph (FURST) is currently underway. The purpose of this instrument is to obtain the highest resolution and most complete Far Ultra-Violet (FUV) spectra of the full disk Sun. This so-called "Sun-as-a-star" spectra will allow direct comparisons between our Sun and other stars measured by the Hubble Space Telescope(HST) and the upcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). The Solar Physics groups at NASA Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) and Montana State University (MSU) have been developing the tools and procedures necessary to achieve the high spectral resolution goal. These include, among other things, improved tracking of error propagation, in-situ monitoring of the camera gain with a radioactive Fe-55 source, and the development of a simulated spectral calibration map under a noisy diagnostic-lamp signal. This mapping introduces a clocked CCD in order to obtain sub-pixel spectral resolution and overcome the Nyquist limit by about a factor of 2. Aside from the main purpose of FURST, we have been investigating the effect of absorption in the upper atmosphere at sounding-rocket altitudes (about 100-300 km). We present here an improved model of the optical depth caused by the thermospheric Oxygen cross-section and H and O self-absorption. This data-based model uses concentric spherical shells to account for the curvature of the Earth’s atmosphere and refraction. Using these calculations, we present the anticipated effect on the signal received by FURST, how that signal changes over the course of the flight-path These absorption peaks would provide wavelength fiducials at line-center that might add to in-flight calibration of the instrument. Many studies have found ways to correct for these so-called "Telluric" lines. However, it may be that these lines can in fact be a useful tool to further improve our calibration, rather than simply a nuisance to be corrected for! Finally, we discuss the inversion problem: how we could take actual flight data and back-out the atmospheric data (such as density and temperature) from any such sounding rocket flight that shows evidence of atmospheric absorption.

Nicolas Donders↗