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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Derivation of Integrated Load Distributions from Resampled Computational Data

Principal component analysis (PCA) has been the center of many surrogate models used to characterize fluid flows in recent years. However, little work has been done to character- ize the uncertainty in the PCA transform itself and its effect on derived surrogate models. To explore the uncertainty, a typical interpolated surrogate model is constructed for a represen- tative aerodynamic body from computational data. The computational data is then resampled to explore the robustness of the PCA transformation. The variations of the model predictions during this resampling are analyzed to get a measure of confidence in the PCA transformation, which is then applied to the interpolated surrogate model to get uncertainty on integrated force predictions. An initial test case has been explored with promising results.

Principal Component Analysis↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Derivation of Integrated Load Distributions from Resampled Computational Data

Computational Fluid Dynamics↗

NASA NTRS2021

Constraints on Cosmic Strings Using Data from the Third Advanced LIGO-Virgo Observing Run

We search for gravitational-wave signals produced by cosmic strings in the Advanced LIGO and Virgo full O3 dataset. Search results are presented for gravitational waves produced by cosmic string loop features such as cusps, kinks, and, for the first time, kink-kink collisions. A template-based search for short-duration transient signals does not yield a detection. We also use the stochastic gravitational-wave background energy density upper limits derived from the O3 data to constrain the cosmic string tension Gμ as a function of the number of kinks, or the number of cusps, for two cosmic string loop distribution models. Additionally, we develop and test a third model that interpolates between these two models. Our results improve upon the previous LIGO–Virgo constraints on Gμ by 1 to 2 orders of magnitude depending on the model that is tested. In particular, for the one-loop distribution model, we set the most competitive constraints to date: Gμ ≲ 4×10−15. In the case of cosmic strings formed at the end of inflation in the context of grand unified theories, these results challenge simple inflationary models.

J B Camp↗

DOE OSTI2023

Computational budget optimization for Bayesian parameter estimation in heavy-ion collisions

Abstract Bayesian parameter estimation provides a systematic approach to compare heavy-ion collision models with measurements, leading to constraints on the properties of nuclear matter with proper accounting of experimental and theoretical uncertainties. Aside from statistical and systematic model uncertainties, interpolation uncertainties can also play a role in Bayesian inference, if the model’s predictions can only be calculated at a limited set of model parameters. This uncertainty originates from using an emulator to interpolate the model’s prediction across a continuous space of parameters. In this work, we study the trade-offs between the emulator (interpolation) and statistical uncertainties. We perform the analysis using spatial eccentricities from the T R ENTo model of initial conditions for nuclear collisions. Given a fixed computational budget, we study the optimal compromise between the number of parameter samples and the number of collisions simulated per parameter sample. For the observables and parameters used in the present study, we find that the best constraints are achieved when the number of parameter samples is slightly smaller than the number of collisions simulated per parameter sample.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Results and lessons learned from accelerating radio frequency modeling using machine learning [slides]

The “advanced tokamak” reactor concept is a leading candidate for a steady state fusion pilot plant. An advanced tokamak (AT) sustains a majority of the required plasma current with effects resulting from maintenance of the peaked pressure at the device center. This current is augmented by auxiliary current drive sources. These auxiliary actuators may consist of neutral particle beams and/or radio frequency (RF) systems such as lower hybrid current drive (LHCD) and high harmonic fast wave (HHFW) current drive using radio and microwaves from antennas. The primary focus of this work is to develop models of RF current profile control suitable for use in integrated modeling frameworks and for real-time control in experiments. Direct physics models of RF current drive can be computationally intensive. In order to achieve predictive times appropriate for the thousands of calls needed in real-time control of experiments and for use in integrated models, we will apply modern machine learning (ML) techniques to accelerate these models and interpolate their results. To generate the fast and accurate models for use in control level algorithms and integrated modeling we need to replace present models with high dimensional interpolation of their results. We will perform additional simulations across a broader parameter range for EAST and other tokamaks in different physics regimes (Alcator C-Mod, DIII-D, WEST, CFETR, ARC, ITER) and combine them into a larger database for training and testing of the ML models. Further testing of the control level models with experimental current profile data from EAST and C-Mod tokamaks will provide additional confirmation of the control level model before integration in a tokamak control system or integrated modeling suite. ML will be used to optimize the selection of training data consisting of RF current driven at different values of density profile, temperature profile, plasma current, and wavenumber. ML will also be used to facilitate classification of current drive from these input data. The output of this effort will be a validated classifier capable of determining the current drive profiles for HHFW CD and LHCD on a mille-second timescale. This will provide a breakthrough capability enabling real-time control of RF driven current profiles in experiments including ITER ICRF and use integrated modeling frameworks requiring thousands of current profile calculations in discharge simulations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Active learning using hybrid surrogate tool life modeling for machining process optimization

Here, this paper describes an active learning approach for part-to-part iterative machining process optimization using a hybrid surrogate tool life model. A probabilistic interpolating tool life model is developed by combining the empirical Taylor-type tool life equation and the model fit error. The probabilistic tool life model is then used to calculate the machining cost per part distribution. The optimal machining parameters are selected using an expected improvement in machining cost per part criterion. The method is validated numerically using experimental results; the results show a median convergence error of 2.2% after three tests over 400 simulations. The method is validated experimentally on two industrial applications for Ti-6Al-4V roughing resulting in a cost per part reduction greater than 23% after two tests. The described method is a robust solution for rapid convergence to optimal machining parameters in an industrial production environment.

Active learning↗

DOE OSTI2022

Some exactly solvable and tunable frustrated spin models

In this report we discuss three exactly solvable spin models of geometric frustration. First, we discuss a 1-parameter subfamily of the 16 vertex model, which can be mapped to a planar Ising model and solved via Fisher-Dubedát decorations. We then consider a 1-parameter family generalization of the Villain’s fully frustrated model, which interpolates between Onsager’s 2D Ising model and the Villain one. We then discuss spin ice models on a tree, which can be solved exactly using recursions a lá Bethe.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Advances in Kriging-Based Autonomous X-Ray Scattering Experiments

Autonomous experimentation is an emerging paradigm for scientific discovery, wherein measurement instruments are augmented with decision-making algorithms, allowing them to autonomously explore parameter spaces of interest. We have recently demonstrated a generalized approach to autonomous experimental control, based on generating a surrogate model to interpolate experimental data, and a corresponding uncertainty model, which are computed using a Gaussian process regression known as ordinary Kriging (OK). We demonstrated the successful application of this method to exploring materials science problems using x-ray scattering measurements at a synchrotron beamline. Here, we report several improvements to this methodology that overcome limitations of traditional Kriging methods. The variogram underlying OK is global and thus insensitive to local data variation. We augment the Kriging variance with model-based measures, for instance providing local sensitivity by including the gradient of the surrogate model. As with most statistical regression methods, OK minimizes the number of measurements required to achieve a particular model quality. However, in practice this may not be the most stringent experimental constraint; e.g. the goal may instead be to minimize experiment duration or material usage. We define an adaptive cost function, allowing the autonomous method to balance information gain against measured experimental cost. We provide synthetic and experimental demonstrations, validating that this improved algorithm yields more efficient autonomous data collection.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS1984

Use of shape-preserving interpolation methods in surface modeling

In many large-scale scientific computations, it is necessary to use surface models based on information provided at only a finite number of points (rather than determined everywhere via an analytic formula). As an example, an equation of state (EOS) table may provide values of pressure as a function of temperature and density for a particular material. These values, while known quite accurately, are typically known only on a rectangular (but generally quite nonuniform) mesh in (T,d)-space. Thus interpolation methods are necessary to completely determine the EOS surface. The most primitive EOS interpolation scheme is bilinear interpolation. This has the advantages of depending only on local information, so that changes in data remote from a mesh element have no effect on the surface over the element, and of preserving shape information, such as monotonicity. Most scientific calculations, however, require greater smoothness. Standard higher-order interpolation schemes, such as Coons patches or bicubic splines, while providing the requisite smoothness, tend to produce surfaces that are not physically reasonable. This means that the interpolant may have bumps or wiggles that are not supported by the data. The mathematical quantification of ideas such as physically reasonable and visually pleasing is examined.

Ftitsch, F. N.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Comparison of excess free energy at an interface according to the applied interpolation scheme for elasticity: A phase-field method

Phase-field modeling is an effective simulation technique for modeling microstructure evolution of elastically anisotropic systems. To introduce the elastic energy contribution in a phase field model, an interpolation scheme is used to define the mechanical properties within the phases and across the continuous interface. Several existing interpolation schemes introduce a potential excess elastic energy at the interface, which undesirable effect on microstructure evolution needs to be evaluated. In this study, we focused on three interpolation schemes including Khachaturyan’ scheme (KHS), Voigt–Taylor’s scheme (VTS), and Steinbach–Apel’s scheme (SAS). Comparisons of these schemes’ performances were performed in three configuration types using the MOOSE (Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment) framework: bi-crystal, isotropic particle-matrix and anisotropic particle-matrix. The contribution of excess elastic energy on the interface energy as a function of interface width and the computational time to steady-state were evaluated in these three configurations. SAS introduces the lowest excess elastic energy contribution and the VTS has the biggest contribution amongst the considered schemes. Moreover, when modeling precipitation in an anisotropic elastic material, the SAS approach seems to predict more physical convex shapes during growth, making it preferable to KHS and VTS. Finally, as currently implemented, SAS requires the largest computational time and KHS requires the smallest time to reach steady-state amongst the considered schemes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS1988

Multigrid for structures analysis

In structural dynamics the equations are usually expressed as finite elements. Neighbor elements need not be connected. The process of condensing a fine model into a coarse model and interpolating the low-frequency solution to the fine model is studied.

Kascak, Albert F.↗

DOE OSTI2020

Thermodynamics of monoclinic and tetragonal hafnium dioxide (HfO 2 ) at ambient pressure

Accurate and precise thermodynamic models of oxide compounds and their phases are important for calculating the phase stability of oxide materials. We develop and use a coupled quantum mechanical and molecular dynamics approach to create thermodynamic models of hafnia (HfO2) polymorphs from 0 K to 3000 K at ambient pressure. The approach is based on the quasi-harmonic approximation below the Debye temperature and on ab-initio molecular dynamics calculations above the Debye temperature to predict constant pressure heat capacities (C-p). A Bayesian model provides interpolated values between these regimes. As a case study, we develop thermodynamic models of monoclinic and tetragonal HfO2 polymorphs. The predicted heat capacities are in excellent agreement with experiment, and the predicted temperature of the monoclinic to tetragonal phase transition (2173 K) is in good agreement with the experimental value (2078K). These results provide a comprehensive and accurate thermodynamic model of the monoclinic and tetragonal phases of hafnia on a broad range of temperatures and can serve as input to CALPHAD assessment of multi-component hafnia-based phase diagrams.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Sensitivity analysis of homogenized cross section in AP1000 lattices

The two-step method for light water reactor simulation consists of performing lattice-level calculations to determine homogenized properties of the lattice for a variety of configurations and burnups then performing a core-level calculation which relies on those pre-calculated lattice properties. Calculating the homogenized lattice properties for the specific conditions needed in the core-level calculation relies on interpolating from the pre-calculated lattice properties. Although many studies have explored different models that can be used for this interpolation, there is a need to explore how to appropriately parameterize the lattice for those interpolation models. The present study uses linear sensitivity methods to determine the sensitivity of homogenized cross sections to both instantaneous and historical values of state variables. The results from this study can be used to inform parameterizations which more appropriately capture history effects in homogenized cross section interpolation. Two different lattices are used for this analysis from the AP1000 reactor, one includes burnable absorbers. It was found that early in the cycle, the historical values of state variables have little effect on the instantaneous value of the homogenized cross sections explored here - especially in the case of the lattice containing burnable absorbers. However, it was found that later in the cycle, the thermal fission homogenized cross section was sensitive to the historic states of the lattice. In fact, using the average of a state variable as a predictor for interpolation models may be insufficient for capturing historic effects due to more recent states having larger sensitivity measures than less recent states. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

NASA NTRS1990

Nonlinear feedback control for high alpha flight

Analytical aerodynamic models are derived from a high alpha 6 DOF wind tunnel model. One detail model requires some interpolation between nonlinear functions of alpha. One analytical model requires no interpolation and as such is a completely continuous model. Flight path optimization is conducted on the basic maneuvers: half-loop, 90 degree pitch-up, and level turn. The optimal control analysis uses the derived analytical model in the equations of motion and is based on both moment and force equations. The maximum principle solution for the half-loop is poststall trajectory performing the half-loop in 13.6 seconds. The agility induced by thrust vectoring capability provided a minimum effect on reducing the maneuver time. By means of thrust vectoring control the 90 degrees pitch-up maneuver can be executed in a small place over a short time interval. The agility capability of thrust vectoring is quite beneficial for pitch-up maneuvers. The level turn results are based currently on only outer layer solutions of singular perturbation. Poststall solutions provide high turn rates but generate higher losses of energy than that of classical sustained solutions.

Stalford, Harold↗

NASA NTRS2008

An Integrated Approach to Damage Accommodation in Flight Control

In this paper we present an integrated approach to in-flight damage accommodation in flight control. The approach is based on Multiple Models, Switching and Tuning (MMST), and consists of three steps: In the first step the main objective is to acquire a realistic aircraft damage model. Modeling of in-flight damage is a highly complex problem since there is a large number of issues that need to be addressed. One of the most important one is that there is strong coupling between structural dynamics, aerodynamics, and flight control. These effects cannot be studied separately due to this coupling. Once a realistic damage model is available, in the second step a large number of models corresponding to different damage cases are generated. One possibility is to generate many linear models and interpolate between them to cover a large portion of the flight envelope. Once these models have been generated, we will implement a recently developed-Model Set Reduction (MSR) technique. The technique is based on parameterizing damage in terms of uncertain parameters, and uses concepts from robust control theory to arrive at a small number of "centered" models such that the controllers corresponding to these models assure desired stability and robustness properties over a subset in the parametric space. By devising a suitable model placement strategy, the entire parametric set is covered with a relatively small number of models and controllers. The third step consists of designing a Multiple Models, Switching and Tuning (MMST) strategy for estimating the current operating regime (damage case) of the aircraft, and switching to the corresponding controller to achieve effective damage accommodation and the desired performance. In the paper present a comprehensive approach to damage accommodation using Model Set Design,MMST, and Variable Structure compensation for coupling nonlinearities. The approach was evaluated on a model of F/A-18 aircraft dynamics under control effector damage, augmented by nonlinear cross-coupling terms and a structural dynamics model. The proposed approach achieved excellent performance under severe damage effects.

Boskovic, Jovan D.↗

NASA NTRS1981

The relative contributions of increased resolution in the data assimilation and in the forecast model to satellite data impact

Assimilation cycles were carried out with two versions of the GLAS second order GCM: a coarse version with 4 deg latitude by 5 deg longitude resolution, called the C model, and a fine version with 2.5 deg latitude by 3 deg longitude resolution called the F model. For the two DST-6 cases where the combined influence of satellite data and model resolution are at a maximum at sea level, the relative contributions of increased resolution in the data assimilation and in the forecast models were evaluated. F model forecasts were generated from the C model SAT assimilation interpolated by the F grid, and C model forecasts were generated from the F model SAT assimilation interpolated to the C grid. These forecasts were then compared with the corresponding forecasts which had utilized the same grid resolution in the data assimilation and forecast models, CS and FS.

Atlas, R.↗

NASA NTRS2019

MRAC with Time-Varying Reference Model from Convex Combination

An extension of model reference adaptive control is presented that accommodates use of a time-varying reference model. Specifically, the reference model is taken to be a time-varying convex combination of two linear, time-invariant models. The design is intended to act as a way to smoothly transition between two different reference models without resorting to a scheduled switch. It also provides the ability to use an interpolated reference model when the plant is operating between design points. The time variation of the combination must satisfy some requirements to ensure stability but is otherwise user choice. Subject to these requirements, bounded tracking error behavior is demonstrated via Lyapunov stability analysis for the single-input, single-output, output feedback case. Tracking error convergence is asymptotic when time variation ceases. The proposed design is demonstrated in simulation of a numerical model.

Hashemi, Kelley E.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Quantifying Emergent Fluid Dynamics Using Reynolds-Interpolated Fluid Reduced-order Models

Fluid reduced-order models (ROMs) which capture the flow physics within the problem's physical domain are usually constrained in accuracy to only the parameter points, e.g. Reynolds and Mach numbers, at which reference data was provided. Interpolation-focused quantity-of-interest ROMs are often structured differently and fail to provide flow volume data with the same quality - if at all. In this paper, techniques which reside at the intersection of these two ROM schools - flow physics ROMs which can be interpolated within a parameter space of interest - are explored. Using a combination of existing and novel techniques, emergent physics are identified using a fluid ROM at parameter points which are not provided in the ROM's training data.

uncertainty quantification↗