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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2017

A Fuzzy Logic Approach for Separation Assurance and Collision Avoidance for Unmanned Aerial Systems

In the coming years, operations in low altitude airspace will vastly increase as the capabilities and applications of small Unmanned Aerial Systems (sUAS) continue to multiply. Therefore, solutions to managing sUAS in highly congested airspace must be explored. In this study, a Fuzzy Logic based approach was used to help mitigate the risk of collisions between aircraft using separation assurance and collision avoidance techniques. The system was evaluated for its effectiveness to mitigate the risk of mid-air collisions between aircraft. This system utilizes only current state information and can resolve potential conflicts without knowledge of intruder intent. The avoidance logic was verified using formal methods and shown to select the correct action in all instances. Additionally, the Fuzzy Logic Controllers were shown to always turn the vehicles in the correct direction. Numerical testing demonstrated that the avoidance system was able to prevent a mid-air collision between two sUAS in all tested cases. Simulations were also performed in a three-dimensional environment with a heterogenous fleet of sUAS performing a variety of realistic missions. Simulations showed that the system was 99.98 effective at preventing mid-air collisions when separation assurance was disabled (unmitigated case) and 100 effective when enabled (mitigated case).

Verification & Validation of a Fuzzy Logic Control↗
NASA NTRS1992

Model-driven mapping onto distributed memory parallel computers

The author addresses the problem of exploiting the parallelism available in a program to efficiently employ the resources of the target machine in the context of building a mapping compiler for a distributed memory parallel machine. He demonstrates the effectiveness of using execution models to select the best mapping technique from among those available for a given program segment on a particular machine. Through analysis of the execution models for several mapping techniques for one class of programs on a linear processor array, it is shown that selecting the best technique for a particular program instance can make a significant difference in performance. On the other hand, the results of benchmarks from a mapping compiler for the Warp systolic array machine show that the execution models considered are accurate enough to select the best mapping technique for a given program.

Sussman, Alan↗
DOE OSTI2023

Theoretical assessments of Pd–PdO phase transformation and its impacts on H 2 O 2 synthesis and decomposition pathways

The direct synthesis of H 2 O 2 from O 2 and H 2 provides a green pathway to produce H 2 O 2 , a popular industrial oxidant. Here, in this study, we theoretically investigate the effects of Pd oxidation states, coordination environments, and particle sizes on primary H 2 O 2 selectivities, assessed by calculating the ratio of rate constants for the formation of H 2 O 2 (via OOH* reduction; k O–H ) and the decomposition of OOH* (via O–O cleavage; k O–O ). For Pd metals, the k O–H /k O–O ratio decreased from 10 -4 for Pd(111) to 10 -10 for the Pd 13 cluster at 300 K, indicating poorer H 2 O 2 selectivity as Pd particle size decreases and low primary selectivities for H 2 O 2 overall. As the oxygen chemical potential increases and metals form surface and bulk oxides, the perturbation of Pd–Pd ensemble sites by lattice O atoms results in selectivities that become dramatically higher than unity. For instance, at 300 K, the k O–H /k O–O ratio increases significantly from 10 -4 to 10 9 to 10 16 as Pd(111) oxidizes to Pd 5 O 4 /Pd(111) and to PdO(100), respectively. In contrast, such selectivity enhancements are not observed for surface and bulk oxides that persistently contain rows of more metallic, undercoordinated Pd–Pd ensemble sites, such as PdO(101)/Pd(100) and PdO(101). These Pd–Pd ensembles are also absent when smaller Pd nanoparticles fully oxidize, indicating that smaller PdO clusters can be more selective for H 2 O 2 synthesis. These trends for primary H 2 O 2 selectivities were found to inversely correlate with trends for H 2 O 2 decomposition rates via O–O bond cleavage, demonstrating that catalysts with high primary H 2 O 2 selectivity can also hinder H 2 O 2 decomposition. Ab initio thermodynamic calculations are used to estimate the thermodynamically favored phase among Pd, PdO/Pd and PdO in O 2 , H 2 O 2 /H 2 O, and O 2 /H 2 environments. These results are combined to show that smaller Pd nanoparticles are more prone to be oxidized at lower oxygen chemical potentials, upon which they become more selective than larger Pd particles for H 2 O 2 synthesis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2018

A case study evaluating the portability of an executable computable phenotype algorithm across multiple institutions and electronic health record environments

Abstract Electronic health record (EHR) algorithms for defining patient cohorts are commonly shared as free-text descriptions that require human intervention both to interpret and implement. We developed the Phenotype Execution and Modeling Architecture (PhEMA, http://projectphema.org) to author and execute standardized computable phenotype algorithms. With PhEMA, we converted an algorithm for benign prostatic hyperplasia, developed for the electronic Medical Records and Genomics network (eMERGE), into a standards-based computable format. Eight sites (7 within eMERGE) received the computable algorithm, and 6 successfully executed it against local data warehouses and/or i2b2 instances. Blinded random chart review of cases selected by the computable algorithm shows PPV ≥90%, and 3 out of 5 sites had >90% overlap of selected cases when comparing the computable algorithm to their original eMERGE implementation. This case study demonstrates potential use of PhEMA computable representations to automate phenotyping across different EHR systems, but also highlights some ongoing challenges.

Pacheco, Jennifer A.↗
DOE OSTI2022

OSCA1 is an osmotic specific sensor: a method to distinguish Ca 2+ -mediated osmotic and ionic perception

Genetic mutants defective in stimulus-induced Ca 2+ increases have been gradually isolated, allowing the identification of cell-surface sensors/receptors, such as the osmosensor OSCA1. However, determining the Ca 2+ -signaling specificity to various stimuli in these mutants remains a challenge. For instance, less is known about the exact selectivity between osmotic and ionic stresses in the osca1 mutant. Here, we have developed a method to distinguish the osmotic and ionic effects by analyzing Ca 2+ increases, and demonstrated that osca1 is impaired primarily in Ca 2+ increases induced by the osmotic but not ionic stress. We recorded Ca 2+ increases induced by sorbitol (osmotic effect, OE) and NaCl/CaCl 2 (OE + ionic effect, IE) in Arabidopsis wild-type and osca1 seedlings. Here we assumed the NaCl/CaCl 2 total effect (TE) = OE + IE, then developed procedures for Ca 2+ imaging, image analysis and mathematic fitting/modeling, and found osca1 defects mainly in OE. The osmotic specificity of osca1 suggests that osmotic and ionic perceptions are independent. The precise estimation of these two stress effects is applicable not only to new Ca 2+ -signaling mutants with distinct stimulus specificity but also the complex Ca 2+ signaling crosstalk among multiple concurrent stresses that occur naturally, and will enable us to specifically fine tune multiple signal pathways to improve crop yields.

Arabidopsis↗
DOE OSTI2024

ninterp: N-dimensional interpolation Rust crate [SWR-25-25]

The ninterp crate provides multivariate interpolation over a regular, sorted, nonrepeating grid of any dimensionality. A variety of interpolation strategies are implemented, however more are likely to be added. Extrapolation beyond the range of the supplied coordinates is supported for 1-D linear interpolators, using the slope of the nearby points. There are hard-coded interpolators for lower dimensionalities (up to N = 3) for better runtime performance. All interpolation is handled through instances of the Interpolator enum, with the selected tuple variant containing relevant data. Interpolation is executed by calling Interpolator::interpolate.

Carow, Kyle↗
NASA NTRS1962

LUBRICATING PROPERTIES OF CERAMIC-BONDED CALCIUM FLUORIDE COATINGS ON NICKEL-BASE ALLOYS FROM 75 DEG TO 1900 DEG F

The endurance life and the friction coefficient of ceramic-bonded calcium fluoride (CaF2) coatings on nickel-base alloys were determined at temperatures from 75° to 1900° F. The specimen configuration consisted of a hemispherical rider (3/16-in. rad.) sliding against the flat surface of a rotating disk. Increasing the ambient temperature (up to 1500° F) or the sliding velocity generally reduced the friction coefficient and improved coating life. Base-metal selection was critical above 1500° F. For instance, cast Inconel sliding against coated Inconel X was lubricated effectively to 1500° F, but at 1600° F severe blistering of the coatings occurred. However, good lubrication and adherence were obtained for René 41 sliding against coated René 41 at temperatures up to 1900° F; no blisters developed, coating wear life was fairly good, and the rider wear rate was significantly lower than for the unlubricated metals . Friction coefficients were 0.12 at 1500° F, 0.15 at 1700° F, and 0.17 at 1800° and 1900° F. Because of its ready availability, Inconel X appears to be the preferred substrate alloy for applications in which the temperature does not exceed 1500° F. René 41 would have to be used in applications involving higher temperatures. Improved coating life was derived by either preoxidizing the substrate metals prior to the coating application or by applying a very thin (<0.0002 in.) burnished and sintered overlay to the surface of the coating. Preoxidation did not affect the friction coefficient. The overlay generally resulted i n a higher friction coefficient than that obtained without the overlay. The combination of both modifications resulted in longer coating life and in friction coefficients intermediate between those obtained with either modification alone.

Nickel alloy↗
NASA NTRS1962

Lubricating Properties of Ceramic-Bonded Calcium Fluoride Coatings on Nickel-Base Alloys from 75 to 1900 deg F

The endurance life and the friction coefficient of ceramic-bonded calcium fluoride (CaF2) coatings on nickel-base alloys were determined at temperatures from 75 F to 1900 F. The specimen configuration consisted of a hemispherical rider (3/16-in. rad.) sliding against the flat surface of a rotating disk. Increasing the ambient temperature (up to 1500 F) or the sliding velocity generally reduced the friction coefficient and improved coating life. Base-metal selection was critical above 1500 F. For instance, cast Inconel sliding against coated Inconel X was lubricated effectively to 1500 F, but at 1600 F severe blistering of the coatings occurred. However, good lubrication and adherence were obtained for Rene 41 sliding against coated Rene 41 at temperatures up to 1900 F; no blisters developed, coating wear life was fairly good, and the rider wear rate was significantly lower than for the unlubricated metals. Friction coefficients were 0.12 at 1500 F, 0.15 at 1700 F, and 0.17 at 1800 F and 1900 F. Because of its ready availability, Inconel X appears to be the preferred substrate alloy for applications in which the temperature does not exceed 1500 F. Rene 41 would have to be used in applications involving higher temperatures. Improved coating life was derived by either preoxidizing the substrate metals prior to the coating application or by applying a very thin (less than 0.0002 in.) burnished and sintered overlay to the surface of the coating. Preoxidation did not affect the friction coefficient. The overlay generally resulted in a higher friction coefficient than that obtained without the overlay. The combination of both modifications resulted in longer coating life and in friction coefficients intermediate between those obtained with either modification alone.

Sliney, Harold E.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Execution models for mapping programs onto distributed memory parallel computers

The problem of exploiting the parallelism available in a program to efficiently employ the resources of the target machine is addressed. The problem is discussed in the context of building a mapping compiler for a distributed memory parallel machine. The paper describes using execution models to drive the process of mapping a program in the most efficient way onto a particular machine. Through analysis of the execution models for several mapping techniques for one class of programs, we show that the selection of the best technique for a particular program instance can make a significant difference in performance. On the other hand, the results of benchmarks from an implementation of a mapping compiler show that our execution models are accurate enough to select the best mapping technique for a given program.

Sussman, Alan↗
NASA NTRS1994

The Algorithm Selection Problem

Work on NP-hard problems has shown that many instances of these theoretically computationally difficult problems are quite easy. The field has also shown that choosing the right algorithm for the problem can have a profound effect on the time needed to find a solution. However, to date there has been little work showing how to select the right algorithm for solving any particular problem. The paper refers to this as the algorithm selection problem. It describes some of the aspects that make this problem difficult, as well as proposes a technique for addressing it.

Minton, Steve↗
DOE OSTI2022

The mechanism for acetate formation in electrochemical CO (2) reduction on Cu: selectivity with potential, pH, and nanostructuring

Nanostructured Cu catalysts have increased the selectivities and geometric activities for high value C–C coupled (C 2 ) products (ethylene, ethanol, and acetate) in the electrochemical CO (2) reduction reaction (CO (2) RR). The selectivity among the high-value C 2 products is also altered, where for instance the yield of acetate increases with alkalinity and is dependent on the catalyst morphology. The reaction mechanisms behind the selectivity towards acetate vs. other C 2 products remain controversial. In this work, we elucidate the reaction mechanism for acetate formation by using ab initio simulations, a coupled kinetic-transport model, and loading dependent experiments. We find that trends in acetate selectivity can be rationalized from variations in electrolyte pH and the local mass transport properties of the catalyst and not from changes in Cu's intrinsic activity. The selectivity mechanism originates from the transport of ketene, a stable (closed shell) intermediate, away from the catalyst surface into solution where it reacts to form acetate. While this type of mechanism has not yet been discussed in the CO (2) RR, variants of it may explain similar selectivity fluctuations observed for other stable intermediates like CO and acetaldehyde. Our proposed mechanism suggests that acetate selectivity increases with increasing pH, decreasing catalyst roughness and significantly varies with the applied potential.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
NASA NTRS1990

Dumb-bell galaxies in southern clusters: Catalog and preliminary statistical results

The dominant galaxy of a rich cluster is often an object whose formation and evolution is closely connected to the dynamics of the cluster itself. Hoessel (1980) and Schneider et al. (1983) estimate that 50 percent of the dominant galaxies are either of the dumb-bell type or have companions at projected distances less than 20 kpc, which is far in excess of the number expected from chance projection (see also Rood and Leir 1979). Presently there is no complete sample of these objects, with the exception of the listing of dumb-bell galaxies in BM type I and I-II clusters in the Abell statistical sample of Rood and Leir (1979). Recent dynamical studies of dumb-bell galaxies in clusters (Valentijn and Casertano, 1988) still suffer from inhomogeneity of the sample. The fact that it is a mixture of optically and radio selected objects may have introduced an unknown biases, for instance if the probability of radio emission is enhanced by the presence of close companions (Stocke, 1978, Heckman et al. 1985, Vettolani and Gregorini 1988) a bias could be present in their velocity distribution. However, this situation is bound to improve: a new sample of Abell clusters in the Southern Hemisphere has been constructed (Abell et al., 1988 hereafter ACO), which has several advantages over the original northern catalog. The plate material (IIIaJ plates) is of better quality and reaches fainter magnitudes. This makes it possible to classify the cluster types with a higher degree of accuracy, as well as to fainter magnitudes. The authors therefore decided to reconsider the whole problem constructing a new sample of dumb-bell galaxies homogeneously selected from the ACO survey. Details of the classification criteria are given.

Vettolani, G.↗
DOE OSTI2018

Enhancement of the Extraction of Uranium from Seawater

Due to the limited uranium resources available for recovery through mining and ore processing and to the environmental problems associated with these operations, the future of nuclear power depends, to a large extent, on the feasibility of recovery of uranium from the ocean. While the amounts of uranium in the ocean are sufficient to fulfill the nuclear industry for many thousands of years, recovery of uranium from the ocean is hampered by its low concentration (3.3 parts per billion) and the presence of many other solutes in seawater at comparable or much higher concentrations. Thus, the only hope for economically viable recovery of uranium from the ocean lies in the development of adsorbents with high capacity and high selectivity for uranium as present in the seawater environment (pH 8.1, U(VI) oxidation state, anionic carbonate complexes). Moreover, it is quite unlikely that economically viable recovery of uranium could be achieved if the adsorbent could be used only once. Thus it is essential to develop adsorbents that can be used through multiple cycles of uranium adsorption followed by elution of the uranium to regenerate the adsorbent without significant degradation of their capacity and selectivity for uranium. Adsorbents used in the large majority of studies aimed at recovery of uranium from seawater are based on the use of radiation grafting to produce polymeric supports, in particular polyethylene, with attached amidoxime groups. This configuration has been concluded to offer the best candidate for use in recovery based on studies which were performed in the early 1980’s. Substantial progress has been made in improving the amidoxime-based adsorbents. The basic approach undertaken by the authors of the proposal, on the other hand, has been to test ligands which have not been included in the scoping studies of the 1980’s or have been developed since then. So far, 18 such ligands have been tested, of which three, including B2MP (an organic phosphate), DAOx (an organic oxalate), and Br-PADAP (an azo compound) have been selected for further investigation. In addition, Winged Nylon 6 has been identified as a promising polymeric support in view of its large surface area and high chemical stability. Furthermore, improved grafting techniques intended to achieve high grafting density under “green chemistry” conditions, i.e., in aqueous media, have been developed. These techniques include the use of surfactants to enhance the solubility of ligands in water and the use of a homopolymerization inhibitor to promote grafting rather than homopolymerization. Furthermore, unlike amidoxime-based adsorbents, which require a chemical treatment step following the radiation grafting to convert a nitrile group to amidoxime, the adsorbents developed by the authors do not require an additional step after grafting. Highly effective regeneration has been demonstrated for the phosphate-grafted polymeric adsorbent over at least 21 adsorption/elution cycles without significant loss of capacity. The currently proposed study is intended to build upon the progress made so far in developing alternative systems for removal of uranium from seawater. It will focus on the following objectives: Continued searches will be conducted for high-capacity, high-selectivity ligands based on systematic characterization of structural features favorable to uranium adsorption. (For instance, phosphates have been found to be much more effective than the corresponding phosphonates). At the same time, development and testing of the three ligands selected so far will continue, focusing on issues such as high grafting densities and effective regeneration. Testing will be conducted in non-spiked sweater (3.3 µg/L U) and lightly spiked seawater (up to 10 µg/L U). The authors have recently been able to refurbish an ICP-MS spectrometer for this purpose. Improved grafting techniques will be developed and refined for specific ligands. These techniques will include the use of surfactants to allow grafting of ligands with low solubility in water, the use of homopolymerization inhibitors, modifying the chemical structure of ligands to introduce C=C bonds, investigating possible modification of the surface of the polymeric support, and mechanistic analysis of the effects of grafting conditions, in particular accumulated dose and dose rate. Improvements in the characterization of adsorbents before and after contact with seawater will be implemented using techniques such as XPS, SEM-EDS, and zeta potential measurements to investigate the mechanism of uranium adsorption. Effective techniques of multi-cycle regeneration of promising adsorbents without degradation of their performance will be developed and refined through testing of mild, preferably near-neutral eluant solutions. The kinetics of adsorption and desorption of uranium will be investigated. This study is of great operational value and it will also greatly contribute to improved understanding of adsorption/desorption mechanism on promising adsorbents.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Observing the three-dimensional dynamics of supported metal complexes

Dynamics are intricately linked with activity and selectivity when it comes to catalysis, as noted for instance in the enzymatic principles of induced fit and allostery, and yet the range of motions heterogeneous catalytic sites are able to undergo is poorly understood. Solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy is perhaps the only tool capable of probing the rapid conformational dynamics found in heterogeneous catalysts but has historically been restricted by its low sensitivity, limiting the detail with which structures can be resolved. In this work, we apply solid-state NMR and dynamic nuclear polarization, in combination with density functional theory modeling, to reveal the high-resolution structure and motional freedom of a scandium supported complex in three dimensions. The results are contrasted with the study of the analogous homoleptic complex in the crystalline state, highlighting the impacts that surface structure may have on the dynamics of supported complexes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2018

daft [SWR-17-53]

Daft is a Haskell library that implements the key constructs of relational algebra via static structural typing. Its DataCube typeclass supports selection, projection, aggregation, disaggregation, natural joins, semijoins, and antijoins. Instances of DataCube include both map- and function-based representations. An additional abstract data type provides Vinyl-style, keyed relational tables for which an embedded domain-specific language compactly represents relational operations. Utility types and functions support serialization to tab-separated-value data files, JSON arrays, MongoDB documents, and PostgreSQL tables, including automatic detection and verification of the schema for the input data.

Bush, BrianW.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Using expert systems to implement a semantic data model of a large mass storage system

The successful development of large volume data storage systems will depend not only on the ability of the designers to store data, but on the ability to manage such data once it is in the system. The hypothesis is that mass storage data management can only be implemented successfully based on highly intelligent meta data management services. There now exists a proposed mass store system standard proposed by the IEEE that addresses many of the issues related to the storage of large volumes of data, however, the model does not consider a major technical issue, namely the high level management of stored data. However, if the model were expanded to include the semantics and pragmatics of the data domain using a Semantic Data Model (SDM) concept, the result would be data that is expressive of the Intelligent Information Fusion (IIF) concept and also organized and classified in context to its use and purpose. The results are presented of a demonstration prototype SDM implemented using the expert system development tool NEXPERT OBJECT. In the prototype, a simple instance of a SDM was created to support a hypothetical application for the Earth Observing System, Data Information System (EOSDIS). The massive amounts of data that EOSDIS will manage requires the definition and design of a powerful information management system in order to support even the most basic needs of the project. The application domain is characterized by a semantic like network that represents the data content and the relationships between the data based on user views and the more generalized domain architectural view of the information world. The data in the domain are represented by objects that define classes, types and instances of the data. In addition, data properties are selectively inherited between parent and daughter relationships in the domain. Based on the SDM a simple information system design is developed from the low level data storage media, through record management and meta data management to the user interface.

Roelofs, Larry H.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Controlling Heterogeneous Catalysis with Organic Monolayers on Metal Oxides

A key theme of heterogeneous catalysis research is achieving control of the environment surrounding the active site to precisely steer the reactivity toward desired reaction products. One method toward this goal has been the use of organic ligands or self-assembled monolayers (SAMs) on metal nanoparticles. Metal-bound SAMs are typically employed to improve catalyst selectivity but often decrease the reaction rate as a result of site blocking from the ligands. Recently, the use of metal oxide-bound organic modifiers such as organophosphonic acid (PA) SAMs has shown promise as an additional method for tuning reactions on metal oxide surfaces as well as modifying oxide-supported metal catalysts. In this Account, we summarize recent approaches to enhance catalyst performance with oxide-bound monolayers. These approaches include (1) modification of metal oxide catalysts to tune surface reactions, (2) formation of SAMs on the oxide component of supported metal catalysts to modify sites at the metal–support interface, and (3) enhancement of catalyst performance (e.g., stability) through modification of sites remote from the active sites. Further, both the headgroups and organic tail groups of PA SAMs or other ligands can influence reactions on metal oxide surfaces. Binding of the headgroup can selectively poison certain active sites, altering the selectivity in a manner analogous to metal-bound ligands (at the expense of active site quantity). Moreover, tail groups can be functionalized to interact favorably with reactants and intermediates, for instance through dipole–dipole interactions. On supported metal catalysts like Pt/Al 2 O 3 , PA SAMs can selectively form on the oxide support. This selective deposition allows for modification of the metal–support interface with minimal blockage of metal sites. PA headgroups were shown to provide tunable acid sites at the interface, dramatically improving hydrodeoxygenation rates of various alcohols. Additionally, organic tail functionality was used to activate or stabilize specific reactants at the interface, such as with the use of amine-functionalized PAs to stabilize chemisorption of CO 2 during the reverse water gas shift reaction. PAs have also been found to affect the electronic properties of bulk metal sites through long-range electron withdrawal via the oxide, providing an additional avenue to tune catalytic behavior. Finally, organic modifiers were shown to enhance catalytic performance without directly modifying the active site. For instance, in biphasic liquid environments the modification of catalyst particles with hydrophobic or hydrophilic SAMs shifts the selectivity of multipath reactions on the basis of the hydrophobicities of different intermediates and products. As another “long-range” effect, the deposition of ligands on oxide supports improved catalyst stability through both improved resistance to sintering and suppression of active site poisoning. The recent contributions discussed in this Account demonstrate the versatility and significant potential for the approach of modifying catalysts with oxide-bound organic monolayers.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2017

Error modeling for surrogates of dynamical systems using machine learning: Machine-learning-based error model for surrogates of dynamical systems

A machine learning–based framework for modeling the error introduced by surrogate models of parameterized dynamical systems is proposed. The framework entails the use of high-dimensional regression techniques (eg, random forests, and LASSO) to map a large set of inexpensively computed “error indicators” (ie, features) produced by the surrogate model at a given time instance to a prediction of the surrogate-model error in a quantity of interest (QoI). This eliminates the need for the user to hand-select a small number of informative features. The methodology requires a training set of parameter instances at which the time-dependent surrogate-model error is computed by simulating both the high-fidelity and surrogate models. Using these training data, the method first determines regression-model locality (via classification or clustering) and subsequently constructs a “local” regression model to predict the time-instantaneous error within each identified region of feature space. We consider 2 uses for the resulting error model: (1) as a correction to the surrogate-model QoI prediction at each time instance and (2) as a way to statistically model arbitrary functions of the time-dependent surrogate-model error (eg, time-integrated errors). We then apply the proposed framework to model errors in reduced-order models of nonlinear oil-water subsurface flow simulations, with time-varying well-control (bottom-hole pressure) parameters. The reduced-order models used in this work entail application of trajectory piecewise linearization in conjunction with proper orthogonal decomposition. Moreover, when the first use of the method is considered, numerical experiments demonstrate consistent improvement in accuracy in the time-instantaneous QoI prediction relative to the original surrogate model, across a large number of test cases. When the second use is considered, results show that the proposed method provides accurate statistical predictions of the time- and well-averaged errors.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗