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At least 55 records · Page 3

KAZRARSCL-c0-Cloud Boundaries subset

The KAZR-ARSCL VAP provides cloud boundaries and best-estimate time-height fields of radar moments. The VAP merges corrected, but uncalibrated, KAZR moments from all active radar modes with cloud base and cloud mask observations from the micropulse lidar (MPL), cloud base from the ceilometer, as well information from soundings, rain gauge, and microwave radiometer instruments to produce two data streams, one with best-estimate cloud base and cloud layer boundaries, and another which also includes best-estimate time-height fields of radar moments. This DOI is for the data stream that contain cloud layer boundaries only. Please note that the reflectivity used in this level c0 product is uncalibrated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Bayesian Cloud Property Retrievals from ARM Active and Passive Measurements

The optimum use of the continuous measurements of thermodynamics, radiation, aerosols, clouds and precipitation from the DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program is key to achieve the DOE Atmospheric System Research (ASR)’s objectives. One of the key mission requirements is to retrieve cloud and precipitation properties, as well as vertical motion parameters, along the vertical cross- section defined by the profiling active sensors. Such retrievals are challenging to perform continuously in the entire spectrum of cloud and precipitation conditions due to the large natural microphysical and dynamical variability, the often-limited information content in the measurements, and the lack of proper characterization of measurement quality and uncertainty. Today, the acquisition of new remote and in-situ sensors by the ARM program creates opportunities to address the microphysical retrieval problem by exploiting new, more robust retrieval techniques and integrating various scattered advancements in both sensor techniques and retrieval algorithms. During this project, we constructed a robust Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) cloud property retrieval algorithm that includes a state of the art radar forward model. Our MCMC-based retrieval produces both the best estimate of height-resolved cloud and precipitation properties in the radar profile, as well as an estimate of the in-cloud vertical motion and turbulence. In addition, the MCMC algorithm automatically produces robust and flexible estimates of retrieval uncertainty. We tested the algorithm on several synthetic cloud profiles obtained from large eddy simulation (LES) models with bin-resolved microphysics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Estimating and Evaluating Roughness Length and Displacement Height in Heterogeneous Urban Environments

The roughness length (z 0 ) and displacement height (z d ) are essential surface-layer parameters in numerical models (e.g., weather, climate, wall-modeled LES, etc.). This work evaluates the consistency of z 0 and z d estimates from morphometric and anemometric methods using data from two eddy-covariance flux towers (AmeriFlux US-INg and US-INc) in Indianapolis, IN. Results show inconsistencies in estimated z 0 and z d values depending on the chosen method. The two evaluated anemometric methods estimate non-physical values of z d when compared to roughness elements surrounding both towers. Additionally, predictions of mean wind speed using surface-layer similarity theory with morphometric estimates exhibit a bias during near-neutral and stable conditions relative to observations. The overestimation of mean wind speed by surface layer similarity theory is consistent with previous observational and modeling studies in urban areas, suggesting that the application of similarity theories to urban environments may have limitations. Differentiation of vegetation from built structures appears to impact morphometric z 0 and z d estimates, particularly where vegetation is abundant; however, it has little impact on correcting biases in the similarity theory. Specifically, we find that existing similarity theories using morphometric estimates underestimate integral velocity and length scales, and the degree of underestimation depends on the stability conditions. Accounting for the degree of anisotropy in surface-layer turbulence helps reduce the biases between similarity theories and observations during unstable conditions, but not in near-neutral cases. Future work is needed to identify the cause of such biases for near-neutral conditions.

Aerodynamic roughness length↗

Thermodynamics-guided machine learning model for predicting convective boundary layer height and its multi-site applicability

Accurate estimation of convective boundary layer height (CBLH) is vital for weather, climate, and air quality modeling. Machine learning (ML) shows promise in CBLH prediction, but input parameter selection often lacks physical grounding, limiting generalizability. This study introduces a novel ML framework for CBLH prediction, integrating thermodynamic constraints and the diurnal CBLH cycle as an implicit physical guide. Boundary layer growth is modeled as driven by surface heat fluxes and atmospheric heat absorption represented with the low tropospheric stability, using the diurnal cycle as input and output. TPOT and AutoKeras are employed to select optimal models, validated against Doppler lidar-derived CBLH data, achieving an R 2 of 0.84 across untrained years. Comparisons of eddy covariance (ECOR) and energy balance Bowen ratio (EBBR) flux measurements show the same prediction capability. Models trained on the ARM SGP C1 site with ECOR data and tested at E37 and E39 yield R 2 values of 0.79 and 0.81, respectively, demonstrating their adaptability. The ML model trained with all sites' data slightly enhances the performance compared with ML models trained over single-site data. The interquartile range for predicted CBLH is consistently narrower than that for DL-derived CBLH, reflecting lower variability in predicted CBLH compared to DL-derived CBLH, which is influenced by additional factors, which are not well represented with the model inputs. The model's generalizability across multiple sites at the ARM SGP site demonstrates its potential for transfer to greater distances, offering a scalable approach for enhancing boundary layer parameterization in atmospheric models.

Chu, Yufei [Stony Brook Univ., NY (United States)]↗

Joint Bayesian Inference for Near-Surface Explosion Yield and Height-of-Burst

Forensic capabilities to understand chemical and nuclear explosions are greatly aided by an accurate estimate of explosive yield with uncertainty. The relationship between explosive size and geophysical observations of seismic, acoustic, and optical waves can be exploited to provide an estimate of yield. Any near-surface yield estimate is complicated by the surface interaction, so an estimate for the explosion height-of-burst is necessarily included in the relationship. Additionally, the relationship dictates a trade-off between estimates of yield and height-of-burst. Fortunately, the surface interaction for each type of observation is different, which breaks the trade-off, and the inclusion of height-of-burst with multiple data types improves yield estimation. We define simple parametric forward models to relate seismoäcoustoöptic observations from a data set of known explosive yields and height-of-bursts. The parameters of the models and a prediction for the yield and height-of-burst of a new event can then be estimated given new observations via Bayesian inference. We report posterior distribution estimates of the parametric models using a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling technique. These models are then used to predict the yield and height-of-burst of SUGAR, a historical near-surface nuclear explosion, using its reported historical observations. The reported yield of 1.2 ktonne Trinitrotoluene (TNT)-equivalent (Department of Energy, 2015) is within the estimated posterior. Yield uncertainty can be estimated from the spread of the posterior, which is between 0.9 and 2.1 ktonne TNT-equivalent. The posterior for height-of-burst has a wider range between 10 m below and 8 m above ground that includes the true height-of-burst of 1 m.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

HIPED: Machine learning framework for spherical tokamak pedestal prediction and optimization

We introduce a Machine Learning framework, HIPED (HeIght and width Predictor for Edge Dynamics), for predicting and optimizing pedestal and core performance in spherical tokamak plasmas. Trained on pedestal and core datasets from the third MAST-U campaign, HIPED provides accurate estimates of pedestal height and width. The results reveal notable differences compared with conventional aspect-ratio studies; for instance, a simple power-law relation between pedestal width and height has very low accuracy. Instead, additional parameters such as normalized plasma pressure, elongation, and Greenwald fraction significantly improve accuracy. HIPED can also be trained only on `control room parameters' to inform experimentalists of which controllable parameters to adjust for improving core-integrated performance. The framework further includes a multi-objective optimization scheme that helps guide experimental planning and optimization. We find Pareto-optimal discharges with respect to various features, including distance from edge-localized modes and normalized plasma pressure, track their parameter trajectories over time, and identify the control room parameters required for these Pareto-optimal discharges. This provides a framework for systematically optimizing core and edge performance according to different experimental priorities.

Parisi, Jason F. [Princeton Plasma Physics Laborat↗

arsclwacr1kolliasshp.c0

arsclwacr1kolliasshp provides cloud boundaries and best-estimate time-height fields of uncalibreated radar moments on a ship. The uncalibreated WACR measurements are combined with observations from the micropulse lidar, ceilometer. The asiarsclwacrbnd1kolliasM1.c0 datastream contains cloud base and cloud layer boundaries.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Fine-scale vegetation composition and structure shape spatiotemporal variation in surface albedo across a low Arctic tundra landscape

The unprecedented rate of warming in the Arctic is driving changes in the structure and composition of tundra vegetation. Increases in deciduous tall shrub cover, height, and density are of particular concern, as these changes alter local surface albedo in ways that could amplify effects on the regional surface energy budget (SEB). Despite this importance, significant uncertainties remain in understanding the interplay between fine-scale vegetation patterns and emergent albedo dynamics across space and time. Here, we address these uncertainties by (1) quantifying spatiotemporal variation in surface shortwave albedo and (2) determining the relative influence of fine-scale vegetation composition, structure, and environmental conditions on albedo across a representative low-Arctic tundra landscape on Alaska’s Seward Peninsula. To do this, we synthesized multi-scale, multi-platform remote sensing observations, including a novel Landsat-derived albedo time series, a fine-scale map of Arctic plant functional type (PFT) fractional cover, and airborne LiDAR estimates of canopy height and topography. We show that there are substantial reductions in winter albedo for pixels dominated by tall, woody PFTs (28.13%) relative to pixels dominated by non-woody vegetation, but almost no change in summer albedo (3% increase). Further, we identified a unimodal trend in the relationship between canopy height and the timing of the springtime transition from high (snowy) to low (leafy) albedo (peak at 5.5 m), possibly because of competing ‘snow-fence’ and ‘protrusion’ snow-shrub interactions. To explore the primary drivers of albedo, we constructed a random forest model and found that canopy height and the fractional cover of woody PFTs were as- or more important predictors of winter albedo than topographic features. These findings provide strong evidence for the impacts of local vegetation characteristics on regional surface albedo, highlighting the need for better quantification of snow-shrub interactions to accurately predict the Arctic’s SEB under future environmental change.

Arctic↗

Deep-learning-based canopy height model generation from sub-meter resolution panchromatic satellite imagery

Canopy height models (CHMs) with sufficient resolution to distinguish individual trees are useful for a variety of applications. However, standard techniques to acquire such data, such as airborne lidar surveying, are often prohibitively expensive. Deep learning techniques for generating CHMs from high-resolution imagery are an attractive option to reduce costs. To date, success with these methods has been demonstrated using multichannel aerial photography and specialized satellite data products derived from multiple sensors, neither of which is commonly available at temporal resolutions finer than one year. Here we demonstrate a method to generate sub-meter resolution CHMs in three forests in California using a more abundant data source: sub-meter resolution, panchromatic satellite imagery from a single sensor. We show that phenology and species composition play important roles in model transferability; when trained using imagery from a single conifer forest in autumn, the model performs well on autumn imagery from a second conifer forest several hundred kilometers distant with no re-training. With modest additions to the training dataset, the same model generates minimally biased estimates of canopy height in both conifer and deciduous forests during multiple seasons. Because the model operates on satellite data with global coverage and a relatively short return interval, we propose its suitability to extrapolate tree-level canopy height data to remote regions and conduct high-temporal resolution monitoring of forest structure. We furthermore demonstrate the workflow’s applicability to fire modeling by conducting simulations in forests populated by trees measured using both this approach and airborne lidar surveying. We find minimal differences in fire behavior relative to a baseline case in which only statistical distributions of tree height and crown area are known. This result underscores the value of forest structural information derived from our workflow for improving the fidelity of wildland fire simulations, among other ecological applications.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Enhanced Boundary Layer Height Detection Using Ceilometer, Surface Meteorology, and Radiation Products With a Random Forest Ensemble Method

This study develops and evaluates a Random Forest (RF) model for estimating planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) using 9 years of data from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains (ARM SGP) user facility, with potential application in the NOAA Surface Radiation (SURFRAD) Network. The model integrates ceilometer, surface meteorology, and radiation measurements, and is trained using thermodynamic PBLH estimates derived from radiosondes. This approach aims to bridge gaps between aerosol-based and thermodynamic-based PBLH estimates. The RF model outperformed traditional methods during daytime and better captured transition periods, demonstrating improved accuracy and robustness. At ARM SGP, it showed a substantial reduction in both bias and RMSE, with a bias near zero (−4.9 m) compared with traditional Haar Wavelet (HW) (70.9 m) and Vaisala BL-View software (124.1 m), and an RMSE of 303.2 m, lower than both BL-View (566.9 m) and HW (404.6 m). During daytime hours, RF consistently outperformed both alternatives, maintaining lower bias and RMSE across all periods. At a second evaluation site, RF achieved the lowest overall RMSE (323.7 m), similar to HW (326.4 m) and significantly better than BL-View (738.3 m). However, all models showed reduced accuracy under stable nighttime conditions, limiting the reliability of PBLH estimates. Key predictors for the model included the lifting condensation level height (LCLH), aerosol gradients, and month for seasonal variability. The study underscores the potential of integrating machine learning with multiple data sets such as surface energy and thermodynamic data to advance PBLH estimation.

boundary layer height↗

A machine learning method of modern urban building energy modeling: A case study of Chicago

Urban-scale building energy modeling is vital for urban planning. However, it can be challenging to assimilate reliable non-geometry building data for urban-scale modeling without extensive investment. Here, this study introduces a novel approach to developing modern urban-scale building energy stock data using geographic information systems and machine learning algorithms without necessarily requiring pre-supplied non-geometric metadata. The proposed framework integrates building footprint and height data to estimate gross floor areas, and matches each building to a pool of candidate records from ComStock or ResStock—filtered to the same county and ranked by geometric similarity—demonstrate a proof-of-concept case study in Chicago for predicting energy use intensity (EUI) using scalable datasets. The model achieved a mean bias error (MBE) of 0.08 kWh/m² and root mean square error (RMSE) of 14.84 kWh/m² under full metadata input for EUI prediction. With only location inputs, the model captured 69.2 % of EUI within predicted ranges. These results demonstrate the model’s potential to support early-stage urban planning, identify candidates for energy-efficient retrofits. By removing the dependency on detailed pre-surveys or extensive building metadata, the approach overcomes a key barrier in traditional urban-scale building energy modeling, illustrating a pathway toward broader and more cost-effective application, though further multi-city validation and improved treatment of pre-1925 buildings are needed.

Energy Use Intensity↗

Canopy tree mortality and crown exposure data from the Amacayacu Forest Dynamics Plot, Northwestern Amazon

Data on the mortality of 984 canopy trees, their crown exposure to light (relative to total crown area), growth deviations (relative to conspecifics), tree size, and species’ wood density collected between 2013 and 2019 in 18 ha of the Amacayacu Forest Dynamics Plot, Northwestern Amazon. This dataset contains a single CSV data file. Variable definitions: 1. Species: [character] species identification 2. Family: [character] family of the species 3. tag: [character] unique consecutive for the tree 4. status: [character] status of the tree in the third census (ALIVE or DEAD) 5. wsg: [numeric]: species’ wood density (g cm-3) 6. growth_r1: [numeric]: annual growth rate of the tree between the first and second census (cm y-1) 7. growth_r2: [numeric]: annual growth rate of the tree between the second and third census (cm y-1) 8. gt1: [numeric] modulus transformed growth rate with a lambda of 0.4 for the annual growth rate of the tree between the first and second census (cm y-1) 9. gt2: [numeric]: modulus transformed growth rate with a lambda of 0.4 for the annual growth rate of the tree between the second and third census (cm y-1) 10. rgr1: [numeric] relative growth rate between the first and second census (cm y-1) 11. rgr2: [numeric] relative growth rate between the second and third census (cm y-1) 12. sa_gt: [numeric] species-adjusted modulus transformed growth rate 13. sa_rgr: [numeric] species-adjusted relative growth rate 14. gr_n: [numeric] number of individuals of the species used to calculate the mean and species modulus transformed growth rate 15. dbh_flight: [numeric] diameter at breast height (1.3 m) estimated at the time of the drone flight (cm) 16. eca: [numeric] exposed crown area calculated as the area of the crown polygon delineated in the orthomosaic (m2) 17. total_ca: [numeric] total crown area estimated from a crown area model (m2) 18. rcel: [numeric] relative crown exposure to light (m2) 19. time_flight_census3: [numeric] time in years from the drone flight date to the third census for that tree (yr)

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Study on Modeled Wind Speed Errors Using the U.S. Department of Energy Buoys

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) operates two AXYS WindSentinel lidar buoys for the U.S. Department of Energy’s Wind Energy Technologies Office. The purpose of these buoys is to collect hub-height winds and supporting meteorological and oceanographic information to facilitate the development of wind energy in the U.S. waters. The first deployment for one buoy was off the coast of Virginia from December 2014 to May 2016, and the first deployment for the other buoy was off the coast of New Jersey from November 2015 until February 2017. This report describes recent analysis of data collected during these first two deployments. Specifically, we compare hub-height wind speed estimates using Monin-Obukhov Similarity Theory (MOST) to the lidar measurements, and examine how those errors are affected by wind direction, atmospheric stability, wind-wave direction differences, and various measures of the wave-state. The comparisons are done using standard similarity functions based on MOST; including the Businger - Dyer, the Beljaars & Holtslag and the Vickers & Mahrt similarity functions. All models produce large errors over the range of atmospheric stabilities that were observed, with the largest errors occurring for stable flows. The Vickers & Mahrt function resulted in the largest overall bias and standard deviation, while Beljaars & Holtslag function gave the smallest bias and standard deviation due to its better performance under stable conditions. The models perform best under unstable conditions, but even in this regime there is a consistent overestimation of the wind speed of between roughly 0 to 1 ms -1 compared to the lidar measurements. We identify specific metocean conditions (i.e. stability and wind and wave directions) at each of the deployment locations that lead to large errors in MOST predictions. Finally, a coupled ocean-atmosphere model framework was investigated to simulate large errors in weather research forecasting (WRF).

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Temperature profiling at the American WAKE ExperimeNt (AWAKEN): methodology and uncertainty quantification

We quantify the accuracy of the temperature profiling from ground-based spectral infrared radiance observations at the American WAKE ExperimeNt (AWAKEN). Results from pre-campaign tests and comparisons with in-situ ground-based and airborne sensors at AWAKEN indicate that temperature profiles agree satisfactorily with traditional instruments for wind energy applications. The bias is within a fraction of a degree and appears to be related to atmospheric stability. Root-mean-square differences from the reference instruments are always smaller than a degree and are often well described by the online uncertainty estimation product. Height-to-height and site-to-site temperature differences are in excellent agreement with in-situ observations, which justifies the use of temperature profilers to characterize static stability and spatial gradients of temperature.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

KAZRARSCL-CLOUDSAT Value Added Product Data Stream

The KAZRARSCL-CLOUDSAT Value-Added Product (VAP) is based on the KAZR-ARSCL VAP, which provides cloud boundaries and best-estimate time-height fields of radar moments. The KAZRARSCL-CLOUDSAT VAP applies a statistically-derived calibration offset to reflectivity fields in order to align them with observations from the spaceborne CloudSat Cloud Profiling Radar. For details on the offset values applied, please refer to "Kollias, P., Puigdomènech Treserras, B., and Protat, A.: Calibration of the 2007–2017 record of ARM Cloud Radar Observations using CloudSat, Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2019-34, 2019."

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Radar and lidar based cloud type product at the ARM ENA observatory

Following methods outlined in Remillard et al. (2012), we classify seven cloud types using radar reflectivity, best-estimated cloud base, and cloud-layer product from the Active Remotely Sensed Cloud Locations (ARSCL) product (Kollias et al. 2007). A cloud mask is created based on the detectable radar reflectivity (>-40 dBZ) combined with the best-estimated cloud base height. Each cloud object is analyzed individually as contiguous cloudy pixels, and its type is determined based on the cloud’s boundaries and duration. Focusing on marine boundary-layer clouds, low clouds are further classified into four types: shallow cumulus, broken stratocumulus (Sc) or cumulus clouds, single-layer Sc, and multi-layer Sc or Sc coupled with cumulus. The remaining three categories are middle clouds, high clouds, and deep convective clouds. For detailed definition of each cloud type, please refer to Zheng et al. (2024).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗