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At least 55 records · Page 3

Evaluation of Leak Detection Technologies for Low Global Warming Potential (GWP), Flammable Refrigerants

Current commercial refrigeration systems use refrigerants with global warming potential (GWP) values ranging from 1250 to 4000. The emergence of low GWP alternatives (GWP <150) is expected to significantly reduce direct emissions in this sector, playing a crucial role in the ongoing electrification and decarbonization initiatives. However, many of these low GWP alternatives pose a flammability risk, necessitating robust sensing solutions to ensure the reliable and safe operation of the equipment. This paper examines various sensing mechanisms suitable for potential applications in systems that employ flammable refrigerants, specifically those designated as A2L class. It provides a summary of A2L refrigerants and their properties, followed by a comprehensive review of sensor classes, covering their working principles, features, advantages, and limitations. Additionally, the article delves into key performance characteristics such as accuracy, selectivity, sensitivity, dynamic characteristics, and durability, among other properties. The article discusses areas for improvement and suggests corresponding approaches for potential sensors in facilitating the successful adoption of flammable refrigerants. Finally, this paper presents the latest findings from experimental evaluation of 5 different sensing principles in detecting the composition variation as a result of various operational conditions. Reliability and sensitivity of the sensor in responding to shifts in true composition and the resultant LFL value is also discussed.

Reshniak, Viktor↗

Role of non-CO 2 greenhouse gas emissions in limiting global warming

Unfortunately, current climate pledges are insufficient to achieve the aspirational goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C. Here, we discuss the critical role that non-CO 2 greenhouse gas emissions might play in global climate change stabilization and challenges and opportunities to pivot research and policy focus toward accelerated reductions of non-CO 2 gases.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Global warming potential estimates of mass timber constructions beyond the first life: A dynamic radiative forcing modeling approach

In the face of a warming planet, steps must be taken to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) associated with our building industry, which is a significant contributor to global emissions. Large, prefabricated wood elements such as mass timber panels (MTP) have great potential to achieve these reductions as they help displace high-embodied‑carbon materials like concrete and steel. Furthermore, storing the wood's biogenic carbon in buildings benefits the climate because it delays the eventual release of the carbon into the atmosphere. While these climate impacts have been assessed for the construction phase of mass timber buildings, relatively few life cycle assessment (LCA) studies have evaluated the climate impacts for the buildings' end-of-life (EOL) phase. This research estimates the climate impacts of four EOL scenarios for MTP: reusing as MTP, recycling into particleboard, incinerating, and landfilling. Using dynamic radiative forcing modeling and factoring in temporal GHG emissions and biogenic carbon storage, the global warming potential impacts are calculated for construction, deconstruction, and EOL processing of hybrid mass timber buildings in the U.S. Pacific Northwest for 160 years (GWP 160 ). The 160-year temporal scale used in this paper is an arbitrary scale, with the first 80 years being the assumed life of the building, followed by a series of reuse, recycle, or disposal scenarios over the second 80 years of that temporal scale. Of the four EOL scenarios considered in this paper, the ‘reuse’ scenario has the lowest net GWP 160 impact (calculated by summing the GWP 160 and carbon storage benefits, i.e., GWP$^{bioCS}_{160}$ ), emerging as a climate-preferred scenario, followed by ‘landfill’, ‘incinerate’, and ‘recycle’ scenarios. The lower net GWP 160 impact associated with the reuse scenario is due to the low fossil carbon emissions during EOL processing, as well as the biogenic carbon storage benefits. The results of this study also highlight the importance of efficient reuse and recycling strategies for wood in MTP.

42 ENGINEERING↗

On the oceanic origin for the enhanced seasonal cycle of SST in the midlatitudes under global warming

Climate models project an enhancement in SST seasonal cycle over the midlatitude oceans under global warming. However, the maintaining mechanism for this enhancement is still under debate. This study investigates the SST seasonal cycle enhancement under quadrupling CO2 using a set of partially coupled experiments, in which the contribution from direct CO2 forcing (without the effect of wind changes) and wind effects can be isolated. Results indicate that both the direct CO2 and total wind effects contribute to the enhancement in the SST seasonal cycle, with the former (latter) effect being more important in the Northern Hemisphere (Southern Hemisphere). Further decomposition of the wind effect into the wind stress feedback and wind-evaporation-SST (WES) feedback through the change of wind speed reveals the importance of the wind stress-driven ocean response in the change of SST seasonal cycle, a result in contrast to a previous study that ascribed the midlatitude SST seasonal cycle change to the thermodynamic WES feedback. The direct CO2 effect regulates SST seasonal cycle mainly through the mediating effects of the ocean mixed layer depth (MLD): i) the CO2 induced warming leads to MLD shoaling, thus reducing its effective heat capacity; ii) the climatological MLD is greater in winter than summer, given the same amount of energy flux from the surface, SST warming in winter should be smaller. Notably, the surface wind seasonal cycle change due solely to the direct CO2 effect is found to bear a great resemblance to the full wind response, implicating that the direct CO2 effect is the root source for the enhancement of the midlatitude SST seasonal cycle. This is further supported by an ocean-alone experiment that replicates the SST seasonal cycle enhancement under a spatially and temporally homogeneous surface thermal forcing into the ocean.

Liu, Fukai↗

Global warming intensity of biofuel derived from switchgrass grown on marginal land in Michigan

Energy crops for biofuel production, especially switchgrass (Panicum virgatum), are of interest from a climate change perspective. Here, we use outputs from a crop growth model and life cycle assessment (LCA) to examine the global warming intensity (GWI; g CO 2 MJ –1 ) and greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potential (Mg CO 2 year –1 ) of biofuel systems based on a spatially explicit analysis of switchgrass grown on marginal land (abandoned former cropland) in Michigan, USA. We find that marginal lands in Michigan can annually produce over 0.57 hm 3 of liquid biofuel derived from nitrogen-fertilized switchgrass, mitigating 1.2–1.5 Tg of CO 2 year –1 . About 96% of these biofuels can meet the Renewable Fuel Standard (60% reduction in lifecycle GHG emissions compared with conventional gasoline; GWI ≤37.2 g CO 2 MJ –1 ). Furthermore, 73%–75% of these biofuels are carbon-negative (GWI less than zero) due to enhanced soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration. However, simulations indicate that SOC levels would fail to increase and even decrease on the 11% of lands where SOC stocks >>200 Mg C ha –1 , leading to carbon intensities greater than gasoline. Results highlight the strong climate mitigation potential of switchgrass grown on marginal lands as well as the needs to avoid carbon rich soils such as histosols and wetlands and to ensure that productivity will be sufficient to provide net mitigation.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Albedo-Induced Global Warming Impact at Multiple Temporal Scales within an Upper Midwest USA Watershed

Land surface albedo is a significant regulator of climate. Changes in land use worldwide have greatly reshaped landscapes in the recent decades. Deforestation, agricultural development, and urban expansion alter land surface albedo, each with unique influences on shortwave radiative forcing and global warming impact (GWI). Here, we characterize the changes in landscape albedo-induced GWI (GWI Δα ) at multiple temporal scales, with a special focus on the seasonal and monthly GWI Δα over a 19-year period for different land cover types in five ecoregions within a watershed in the upper Midwest USA. The results show that land cover changes from the original forest exhibited a net cooling effect, with contributions of annual GWI Δα varying by cover type and ecoregion. Seasonal and monthly variations of the GWI Δα showed unique trends over the 19-year period and contributed differently to the total GWI Δα . Cropland contributed most to cooling the local climate, with seasonal and monthly offsets of 18% and 83%, respectively, of the annual greenhouse gas emissions of maize fields in the same area. Urban areas exhibited both cooling and warming effects. Cropland and urban areas showed significantly different seasonal GWI Δα at some ecoregions. The landscape composition of the five ecoregions could cause different net landscape GWI Δα .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Comparative Life Cycle Evaluation of the Global Warming Potential (GWP) Impacts of Renewable Natural Gas Production Pathways

Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) sources are being considered in future energy strategy discussions as potential replacements for fossil natural gas (FNG). While today’s supply of RNG resources is insufficient to meet U.S. demands, there is significant interest in its viability to supplement and decarbonize the natural gas supply. However, the resources that compare the life cycle global warming potential (GWP) of various RNG production pathways are lacking and focus mostly on a singular pathway. This effort is an attempt to close this gap and provide a comparison between the life cycle GWP of three major RNG pathways and the FNG pathway. The three RNG pathways evaluated are Anaerobic Digestion (AD), Thermal Gasification (TG), and Power-to-Gas (P2G) using various feedstocks. The functional unit is 1MJ of compressed RNG ready for injection into the natural gas transmission network. The results show that RNG production is not always carbon neutral or negative. Depending on the pathway the GWP impact of RNG production can range from -229 to 27 g CO 2 e/MJ compressed RNG, with AD of animal manure and AD of municipal solid waste being the least and the most impactful pathways, respectively, compared to the 10.1 g CO 2 e/MJ impact for compressed FNG.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Building Technologies Office 03.02.02.38 Milestone Report—Compressor Technology Development for Refrigerants with <150 Global Warming Potential

The major purpose of this project is to enable the development of compressors specifically designed for compatibility with low–global warming potential (GWP) refrigerants (with GWP values below 150). These compressors are intended for applications in residential and light commercial air-conditioning and heat pump systems. This report contains an exhaustive review of the existing literature with the intention of discerning the most efficacious methodologies currently in use for compressor modeling. This fundamental stage was designed to foster a comprehensive understanding of the intricate dynamics and mechanics of compressors. As a result, a model (PDSim) was selected to simulate scroll, rotary and linear compressor technologies.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Ratcheting of climate pledges needed to limit peak global warming

We report the new and updated emission reduction pledges submitted by countries ahead of the Twenty-Sixth Conference of Parties represent a meaningful strengthening of global ambition compared to the 2015 Paris pledges. Yet, limiting global warming below 1.5 °C this century will require countries to ratchet ambition for 2030 and beyond. Here, we explore a suite of emissions pathways to show that ratcheting near-term ambition through 2030 will be crucial to limiting peak temperature changes. Delaying ratcheting ambition to beyond 2030 could still deliver end-of-century temperature change of less than 1.5 °C but would result in higher temperature overshoot over many decades with the potential for adverse consequences. Ratcheting near-term ambition would also deliver benefits from enhanced non-CO2 mitigation and facilitate faster transitions to net-zero emissions systems in major economies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of Urban Heat Island and Global Warming Countermeasures on Heat Release and Carbon Dioxide Emissions from a Detached House

Urban air temperature rises induced by the urban heat island (UHIE) effect or by global warming (GW) can be beneficial in winter but detrimental in summer. The SCIENCE-Outdoor model was used to simulate changes to sensible heat release and CO 2 emissions from buildings yielded by four UHIE countermeasures and five GW countermeasures. This model can evaluate the thermal condition of building envelope surfaces, both inside and outside. The results showed that water-consuming UHIE countermeasures such as evaporative space cooling and roof water showering provided positive effects (decreasing sensible heat release and CO 2 emissions related to space conditioning) in summer. Additionally, they had no negative (unwanted cooling) effects in winter since they can be turned off in the heating season. Roof greening can provide the greatest space- conditioning CO 2 emissions reductions among four UHIE countermeasures, and it reduces the amount of heat release slightly in the heating season. Since the effect on reducing carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions by UHIE countermeasures is not very significant, it is desirable to introduce GW countermeasures in order to reduce CO 2 emissions. The significance of this study is that it constructed the new simulation model SCIENCE-Outdoor and applied it to show the influence of countermeasures upon both heat release and CO 2 emissions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Performance Assessment of High-Efficiency Refrigerated Display Cases With Low Global Warming Potential Refrigerants

As California policy makers enforce new regulations such as SB 1383 to achieve state greenhouse gas reduction goals, it will be critical to understand the energy efficiency implications of low global warming potential (GWP) refrigerants in commercial refrigeration applications. The goal of this research project, funded by Commonwealth Edison, was to assess the energy performance of two high-efficiency medium-temperature, self-contained, reach-in display cases that utilized natural refrigerant propane (R-290, GWP = 3), and hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) drop-in hydrofluoroolefin R-513A (GWP = 573). Performance of these display cases was compared to a baseline fixture using HFC (R-134A, GWP = 1301) under equal conditions in a controlled environment chamber. These display cases were selected due to their widespread use in convenience stores and small supermarkets. The high-efficiency cases were equipped with energy-efficient lighting, improved panel insulation, high-efficiency evaporator and condenser fan motors, and high-effectiveness heat exchangers. The test method used in this project was foundationally inspired by the ANSI/ASHRAE 72-2018 standard method to evaluate each case under equivalent conditions (ASHRAE 2018). However, minor modifications to this methodology were implemented to better represent more realistic operation of the units. While maintaining equivalent target product temperature, the energy-efficient fixtures A (containing R-290, improved insulation, heat exchangers with a higher overall heat transfer coefficient (higher UA), and more efficient lighting and fan motors) and B (containing R-513A, improved fans, and higher UA-heat exchangers, and more efficient lighting and fan motors) consumed 61.8% to 32.6% less energy, respectively, than a baseline case using R-134A refrigerant. The daily energy consumption of the R-290, R-513A, and baseline display cases at the upper limit of environmental conditions was 4.30, 7.59, and 11.26 kWh/day, respectively.

alternative refrigerants↗

Contrasting phase changes of precipitation annual cycle between land and ocean under global warming

The annual cycle of precipitation is a fundamental aspect of the water cycle with global ramification. Climate warming induces a robust phase delay1-5 in zonal mean tropical precipitation concomitant with an amplitude enhancement6-8. Here, we find a large land ocean contrast in the phase response of precipitation annual cycle, with a phase delay over land and a phase advance over ocean as climate warms. The phase delay over land is mainly attributed to the increase in the effective heat capacity of the atmosphere, while the phase advance over ocean is associated with a precipitation shift from land to ocean during the peak rainy season. Through the energetic constraint, this precipitation shift is closely related to the opposite changes in the amplitude of surface temperature annual cycle between land and ocean, both as consequences of basic climate feedback processes under global warming: weakening of the summer trade wind over the tropical ocean increases the surface temperature seasonal amplitude through evaporation, while an increase of the atmospheric effective heat capacity and surface cooling feedback induces opposite temperature amplitude changes over the tropical land. The opposite precipitation phase changes between land and ocean will have myriad implications for terrestrial/marine ecosystems and human activities.

Song, Fengfei↗

Condensation heat transfer and pressure drop of low-global warming potential refrigerants in smooth aluminum tubes

In this work we report condensation heat transfer coefficient and pressure drop data for R-454B, R-32, and R-454C. These refrigerants are low Global Warming Potential (GWP) replacements for R-410A. We obtained these data in a smooth 7.2 mm outer diameter (5.94 mm inner diameter) aluminum tube. In these experiments, the key variables were condensation temperature (35 °C ≤ T cond ≤ 50 °C) and refrigerant mass flux (151.1 ≤ G ≤ 347.3 kg m –2 s –1 ). In general, for similar nominal operating conditions, we measured the highest heat transfer coefficients for R-32 and the lowest for R-454C. Among the correlations we used to predict the heat transfer data for all three refrigerants, the one developed by Thome et al. (2003) predicted the data with the greatest accuracy. Deviations between experimental data and predictions of this correlation were 21.7% for R-454B (with SBG correction), 22.0% for R-32, and 18.8% for R-454C (with SBG correction). Experimental pressure gradient data were predicted by the Friedel correlation Friedel (1979) with deviations of 13.8% for R-454B, 9.8% for R-32, and 10.2% for R-454C. In this work, we also compare the predictions of the Cavallini et al. correlation Cavallini et al. (2006) for R-454B and R-32 in smooth copper versus smooth aluminum tubes. To improve this correlation’s predictive capability for aluminum tubes, we have proposed some modifications. After incorporating these modifications, the deviations between the correlation’s predictions and our data were 10% for R-454B (with SBG correction), 8.1% for R-32, and 5.2% for R-454C (with SBG correction). Furthermore, these data and findings will assist the HVAC and refrigeration industry to implement low-GWP refrigerants in condensers using smooth aluminum tubes.

Aluminum tube↗

Amplified Mesoscale and Submesoscale Variability and Increased Concentration of Precipitation under Global Warming over Western North America

Abstract Cold-season precipitation statistics in simulations from the storm-resolving WRF Model at 6-km and 1-h resolution over western North America are analyzed. Pseudo–global warming future simulations for the 2041–80 period, constrained by GCMs under the RCP8.5 scenario, are compared to the 1981–2020 historical simulation. The analysis focuses on the dynamical properties of precipitation time series at subdaily scales and on the morphology of storms. The statistical distribution of precipitation intensities in each pixel of the simulation domain is characterized through nonparametric statistical indicators: frequency of wet hours, mean wet-hour precipitation intensity, and Gini coefficient as a measure of the temporal concentration of the precipitation volume. Additionally, the temporal and spatial Fourier power spectra of precipitation time series and precipitation fields are analyzed. The half-power period (HPP) and half-power wavelength (HPW) are defined as spectral measures of the characteristic scales of precipitation’s temporal and spatial patterns. The results show statistically significant increases in the mean wet-hour precipitation intensity and in the Gini coefficient in 99% of the pixels, indicating that the seasonal precipitation volume becomes more concentrated within a smaller number of hours with higher precipitation intensity. The statistics of change in the frequency of wet hours are more contrasted across the simulation domain. The changes are also reflected in the power spectra, which show the spatial and temporal variability increasing proportionally more with finer spatial and temporal scales and the HPW and HPP decreasing. These projected changes are expected to have consequences, not only in terms of hydrologic impacts but also in terms of the predictability of precipitation patterns. Significance Statement The precipitation characteristics of winter storms over the western United States and southwestern Canada are analyzed in future climate simulations for the 2041–80 period. As compared to present-day climate, the most intense parts of the storms are projected to produce a higher rainfall volume, with increased concentration over smaller areas and shorter time intervals. The propensity of rainfall intensity to vary rapidly over time will be enhanced in the future according to the simulations. These model predictions imply an increased risk of rapid flooding in small basins. They also suggest that predicting several hours ahead the time and location at which a storm will produce maximum rainfall may become more challenging in the future.

Climate change↗

Regime shifts of the wet and dry seasons in the tropics under global warming

The main seasonal characteristics in the tropics include both spatial patterns and temporal parameters of onset, cessation, duration, and the number of wet and dry seasons. Previous studies showed that wet seasons shortened and dry seasons extended with global warming, but the changes in spatial distribution and the number of wet and dry seasons are still unclear. Here, we analyze the climatic characteristics of once wet and dry season a year (annual regime) and twice wet and dry seasons a year (biannual regime), and find that regimes of wet and dry seasons have changed from 1935 to 2014. Across the equator and the Tropic of Cancer and Capricorn, some regions where there used to be an annual regime have become a biannual regime; instead, other regions have shifted from a biannual regime into an annual regime. With seasonal regimes shifting, areas of the biannual regime have expanded at a rate of 31 000 km 2 /decade. Meanwhile, in annual regime regions, wet seasons have been shortened in 60.3% of regions, with an average of 7 d; the onset dates of wet seasons have been delayed in 64.8%, with an average of 6 d. Besides, wet seasons have become wetter in 51.1% of regions, and dry seasons have become drier in 59.9%. In biannual regime regions, the shortened wet seasons have occurred in 83.7% of regions, with an average shortening of 8 d, and precipitation has decreased in both wet and dry seasons. Moreover, the shorter wet seasons will amplify further by the end of the 21st century. The continuous seasonal changes will threaten agricultural, ecological security, and even human well-being.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Energy and Exergy Analysis of Low-Global Warming Potential Refrigerants as Replacement for R410A in Two-Speed Heat Pumps for Cold Climates

Heat pumps (HPs) are being developed with a new emphasis on cold climates. To lower the environmental impact of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, alternate low global warming potential (GWP) refrigerants must also replace the exclusive use of the refrigerant R410A, preferably without re-engineering the mechanical hardware. In this paper, we analyze the performance of four low-GWP alternative refrigerants (R32, R452B, R454B, and R466A) relative to the conventional R410A and draw conclusions on the relative performances for providing heating in cold climates based on the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI) 210/240 standard for two-speed heat pumps. The simulations are carried using the Department of Energy, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (DOE/ORNL) Heat Pump Design Model (HPDM), a well-known heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) modeling and design tool in the public domain and the HVAC research and development community. The results of the simulation are further scrutinized using exergy analysis to identify sources of systemic inefficiency, the root cause of lost work. This rigorous approach provides an exhaustive analysis of alternate low-GWP refrigerants to replace R410A using available compressors and system components, without compromising performance.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming

Carbon cycle feedbacks represent large uncertainties in climate change projections, and the response of soil carbon to climate change contributes the greatest uncertainty to this. Future changes in soil carbon depend on changes in litter and root inputs from plants and especially on reductions in the turnover time of soil carbon (τ s ) with warming. An approximation to the latter term for the top one metre of soil (ΔC s,τ ) can be diagnosed from projections made with the CMIP6 and CMIP5 Earth System Models (ESMs), and is found to span a large range even at 2 °C of global warming (-196 ± 117 PgC). Here, we present a constraint on ΔC s,τ , which makes use of current heterotrophic respiration and the spatial variability of τs inferred from observations. This spatial emergent constraint allows us to halve the uncertainty in ΔC s,τ at 2 °C to -232 ± 52 PgC.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Deadly Heat Stress to Become Commonplace Across South Asia Already at 1.5°C of Global Warming

South Asia (SA) is one of those hotspots where earliest exposure to deadly wet-bulb temperatures (Tw >35°C) is projected in warmer future climates. Here we find that even today parts of SA experience the upper limits of labor productivity (Tw >32°C) or human survivability (Tw >35°C), indicating that previous estimates for future exposure to Tw-based extremes may be conservative. Our results show that at 2°C global warming above pre-industrial levels, the per person exposure approximately increases by 2.2 (2.7) folds for unsafe labor (lethal) threshold compared to the 2006–2015 reference period. Limiting warming to 1.5°C would avoid about half that impact. The population growth under the middle-of-the-road socioeconomic pathway could further increase these exposures by a factor of ~2 by the mid-century. These results indicate an imminent need for adaptation measures, while highlighting the importance of stringent Paris-compatible mitigation actions for limiting future emergence of such conditions in SA.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗