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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

DEEPEN 3D PFA Index Models for Exploration Datasets at Newberry Volcano

DEEPEN stands for DE-risking Exploration of geothermal Plays in magmatic ENvironments. As part of the development of the DEEPEN 3D play fairway analysis (PFA) methodology for magmatic plays (conventional hydrothermal, superhot EGS, and supercritical), index models needed to be developed to map values in geoscientific exploration datasets to favorability index values. This GDR submission includes those index models. Index models were created by binning values in exploration datasets into chunks based on their favorability, and then applying a number between 0 and 5 to each chunk, where 0 represents very unfavorable data values and 5 represents very favorable data values. To account for differences in how exploration methods are used to detect each play component, separate index models are produced for each exploration method for each component of each play type. Index models were created using histograms of the distributions of each exploration dataset in combination with literature and input from experts about what combinations of geophysical, geological, and geochemical signatures are considered favorable at Newberry. This is in attempt to create similar sized bins based on the current understanding of how different anomalies map to favorable areas for the different types of geothermal plays (i.e., conventional hydrothermal, superhot EGS, and supercritical). For example, an area of partial melt would likely appear as an area of low density, high conductivity, low vp, and high vp/vs. This means that these target anomalies would be given high (4 or 5) index values for the purpose of imaging the heat source. To account for differences in how exploration methods are used to detect each play component, separate index models are produced for each exploration method for each component of each play type. Index models were produced for the following datasets: - Geologic model - Alteration model - vp/vs - vp - vs - Temperature model - Seismicity (density*magnitude) - Density - Resistivity - Fault distance - Earthquake cutoff depth model

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

When less is more: How increasing the complexity of machine learning strategies for geothermal energy assessments may not lead toward better estimates

Previous moderate- and high-temperature geothermal resource assessments of the western United States utilized data-driven methods and expert decisions to estimate resource favorability. Although expert decisions can add confidence to the modeling process by ensuring reasonable models are employed, expert decisions also introduce human and, thereby, model bias. This bias can present a source of error that reduces the predictive performance of the models and confidence in the resulting resource estimates. Our study aims to develop robust data-driven methods with the goals of reducing bias and improving predictive ability. We present and compare nine favorability maps for geothermal resources in the western United States using data from the U.S. Geological Survey's 2008 geothermal resource assessment. Two favorability maps are created using the expert decision-dependent methods from the 2008 assessment (i.e., weight-of-evidence and logistic regression). With the same data, we then create six different favorability maps using logistic regression (without underlying expert decisions), XGBoost, and support-vector machines paired with two training strategies. The training strategies are customized to address the inherent challenges of applying machine learning to the geothermal training data, which have no negative examples and severe class imbalance. We also create another favorability map using an artificial neural network. We demonstrate that modern machine learning approaches can improve upon systems built with expert decisions. We also find that XGBoost, a non-linear algorithm, produces greater agreement with the 2008 results than linear logistic regression without expert decisions, because the expert decisions in the 2008 assessment rendered the otherwise linear approaches non-linear despite the fact that the 2008 assessment used only linear methods. The F1 scores for all approaches appear low (F1 score < 0.10), do not improve with increasing model complexity, and, therefore, indicate the fundamental limitations of the input features (i.e., training data). Until improved feature data are incorporated into the assessment process, simple non-linear algorithms (e.g., XGBoost) perform equally well or better than more complex methods (e.g., artificial neural networks) and remain easier to interpret.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Geothermal Play-Fairway Analysis of Washington State Prospects: Final Report

The Washington State Geothermal Play-Fairway Analysis overcomes the exploration challenges posed by dense vegetation, glacial deposits, and extreme precipitation. The geothermal play-fairways we target are locations where heat, permeability, and saturated porosity are present in sufficient volume to provide adequate heat exchange at depths accessible by modern drilling technology. The three study areas lie along the Cascade Range magmatic arc and are near Mount Baker, Mount St. Helens, and the Wind River Valley. The seven-year project is divided into three phases. In Phase 1 we build on a previous statewide assessment of geothermal resources and develop an initial modeling approach. The results are a series of favorability, uncertainty, and risk maps for three targeted study areas. Based on these initial results, we collect new geologic and geophysical data to further refine our modeling and reduce exploration uncertainty in Phase 2. We improve the modeling method to handle the new data and update the favorability, uncertainty, and risk maps. We also update the conceptual geothermal resource models. In Phase 3 we validate our modeling approach by drilling two temperature-gradient holes and collecting and analyzing core, image logs, and new geochemistry. Our modeling approach improves on an earlier statewide method through a more-rigorous and detailed assessment of heat and permeability. Permeability potential is assessed through geomechanical modeling of the deformation that can generate and maintain reservoir porosity and permeability. Metrics to inform heat potential include temperature-gradient wells, which are sparse in Washington; proximity of Quaternary volcanic vents and young intrusive rock; spring temperature; and reservoir temperature inferred from geothermometry. We weight the individual components using an expert-guided approach known as the Analytical Hierarchy Process. During Phase 2 we also develop a fluid-filled fracture model, and an infrastructure model that helps to delineate areas which are more favorable for geothermal development based on proximity to transmission lines, elevation, land ownership and use restrictions, and availability of process water. New geologic and geophysical data is collected during Phase 2 in each of our three main study areas. At Mount Baker and north of Mount St. Helens we conduct 1:24,000-scale geologic mapping and lidar analysis to better constrain the location and character of surface faults; detailed mapping in the Wind River Valley was completed just prior to the start of this project. Ages of intrusive rocks are determined with 40 Ar/ 39 Ar geochronology, though all of our samples are Miocene or older. We collect ground based gravity observations (a total of 1,580 new stations) in all of our study areas and ground-based magnetic lines (a total of 93 km) at Mount Baker. These data are combined with existing gravity and aeromagnetic data and used to constrain fault locations and geometry. Two to three cross sections are constructed at each study area using the mapped surface geology and forward-modeling of the gravity and magnetic data; these cross sections form the basis for our updated conceptual models. We collect magnetotelluric surveys at Mount Baker and Mount St. Helens and these data are inverted to form a resistivity model from the surface to about 10 km depth; each model shows conductive zones that can be interpreted as upwelling geothermal fluids. At Mount St. Helens we deploy a passive seismic array and use the newly detected events to refine the location of the Saint Helens seismic zone. We also employ ambient-noise tomography to develop a detailed seismic-velocity model for the study area and use this model to help constrain our cross sections and conceptual model. Based on the new data collected during Phase 2—and our updated models—we develop a campaign of temperature-gradient holes and core analysis to validate our modeling in Phase 3. Drill hole MB76-31 is located near Little Park Creek, 11 km west-southwest of the summit of Mount Baker, and is 1,471 ft deep. About 410 ft of core from the lower portion of the hole—and image logs from ~175 ft below ground surface to the bottom—are collected and analyzed. Water samples are collected and processed for geothermometry. Drill hole MSH17-24 is located along upper Schultz Creek, 16 km north-northeast of Mount St. Helens and has core from 470 ft to the bottom at 1,053 ft. We did not collect image logs due to borehole stability concerns, but water samples are collected and analyzed for geothermometry. Repeat temperature-gradient measurements are made at both sites and thermal conductivity is measured from core samples. At MB76-31, the equilibrated temperature gradient of 64°C/km and calculated heat flow of 141–159 mW/m 2 is more than twice the regional average. Detailed mapping and analysis of the core, coupled with correlation to the image logs, indicates a history of permeability generation consistent with our predictions of high permeability. Because the site has high favorability in the Phase 2 model, we consider the results a positive validation of the modeling. At site MSH17-24, the equilibrated temperature gradient of ~15°C/km and calculated heat flow of 41–43 mW/m 2 are similar to regional. Geochemical analysis of the water samples indicates a meteoric source without any geothermal component. Detailed outcrop-based mapping of fault exposures near the drill site and analysis of image logs from nearby boreholes indicates a history of permeability generation consistent with our predictions. Because the site has low favorability in the Phase 2 model, we consider the results a positive validation of the modeling. Together, the two sites provide a reasonably positive validation of the Phase 2 modeling and should encourage future use of this modeling approach.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Thermodynamics of Tritium Trapping by Point Defects in Intermetallic Al 12 (TM) 2.35 Aluminide Coating Phase

Density functional theory simulations have been carried out to investigate the potential for tritium trapping by metal vacancies in intermetallic Al 12 (TM) 2.35 phase (TM = Fe, Cr, and Ni) as function of temperature and tritium partial pressure. It was found that tritium could be favorably trapped by Fe and Ni vacancies and not favorably trapped by Al and Cr vacancies. However, due to the presence of partially occupied Al sites in bulk Al 12 (TM) 2.35 , leading to the approximate number of ~255 Al atoms in the unit cell, 86 sites were found energetically favorable to the creation of an Al vacancy. While adding a tritium atom in an Al vacancy is not energetically favorable, the tritiated defect still has a negative Gibbs free energy because the energy gain for creating an Al vacancy overcome the energy cost of adding the tritium species. Based on the calculated Gibbs free energy, the first tritiation of a metal vacancy, at conditions relevant to in-reactor operations, should be more favorable for Al, followed Fe, Ni, and Cr vacancies. By comparing the behavior of tritium in Al 12 (TM) 2.35 with previously studied Fe-Al coating phases (i.e., FeNiAl 5 , Fe 4 Al 13 , and Fe 2 Al 5.6 ), we found that there is a correlation between interstitial tritium solubility and the potential for vacancy trapping. The current trend suggests that if the insertion of an interstitial tritium cost more than 0.3 eV, then trapping by metal vacancies should be preferred. By combining the simulations results obtained to date, we noticed different trapping mechanisms of tritium in the Al coating. Tritium is mostly trapped by Fe and Ni vacancies in the outer Fe-Al coating phase Al 12 (TM) 2.35 while tritium should be preferentially trapped by Al and Fe vacancies for the inner Fe-Al coating phases (FeNiAl 5 , Fe 4 Al 13 , Fe 2 Al 5.6 ). Altogether, these studies show that tritium interacts differently with the various Fe-Al aluminide phases, they also suggest that tritium trapping and retention could be more efficient if metal defects are present and if the solubility of interstitial tritium in the different phases is low.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Geothermal Play Fairway Analysis, Part 2: GIS methodology

Play Fairway Analysis (PFA) in geothermal exploration originates from a systematic methodology developed within the petroleum industry and is based on a geologic, geophysical, and hydrologic framework of identified geothermal systems. We tailored this methodology to study the geothermal resource potential of the Snake River Plain and surrounding region, but it can be adapted to other geothermal resource settings. We adapted the PFA approach to geothermal resource exploration by cataloging the critical elements controlling exploitable hydrothermal systems, establishing risk matrices that evaluate these elements in terms of both probability of success and level of knowledge, and building a code-based ‘processing model’ to process results. A geographic information system was used to compile a range of different data types, which we refer to as elements (e.g., faults, vents, heat flow, etc.), with distinct characteristics and measures of confidence. Discontinuous discrete data (points, lines, or polygons) for each element were transformed into continuous interpretive 2D grid surfaces called evidence layers. Because different data types have varying uncertainties, most evidence layers have an accompanying confidence layer which reflects spatial variations in these uncertainties. Risk layers, as defined here, are the product of evidence and confidence layers, and are the building blocks used to construct Common Risk Segment (CRS) maps for heat, permeability, and seal, using a weighted sum for permeability and heat, but a different approach with seal. CRS maps quantify the variable risk associated with each of these critical components. In a final step, the three CRS maps were combined into a Composite Common Risk Segment (CCRS) map, using a modified weighted sum, for results that reveal favorable areas for geothermal exploration. Additional maps are also presented that do not mix contributions from evidence and confidence (to allow an isolated view of evidence and confidence), as well as maps that calculate favorability using the product of components instead of a weighted sum (to highlight where all components are present). Our approach helped to identify areas of high geothermal favorability in the western and central Snake River Plain during the first phase of study and helped identify more precise local drilling targets during the second phase of work. By identifying favorable areas, this methodology can help to reduce uncertainty in geothermal energy exploration and development.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Resilience of terrestrial and aquatic fauna to historical and future wildfire regimes in western North America

Wildfires in many western North American forests are becoming more frequent, larger, and severe, with changed seasonal patterns. In response, coniferous forest ecosystems will transition toward dominance by fire-adapted hardwoods, shrubs, meadows, and grasslands, which may benefit some faunal communities, but not others. We describe factors that limit and promote faunal resilience to shifting wildfire regimes for terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. We highlight the potential value of interspersed nonforest patches to terrestrial wildlife. Similarly, we review watershed thresholds and factors that control the resilience of aquatic ecosystems to wildfire, mediated by thermal changes and chemical, debris, and sediment loadings. We present a 2-dimensional life history framework to describe temporal and spatial life history traits that species use to resist wildfire effects or to recover after wildfire disturbance at a metapopulation scale. The role of fire refuge is explored for metapopulations of species. In aquatic systems, recovery of assemblages postfire may be faster for smaller fires where unburned tributary basins or instream structures provide refuge from debris and sediment flows. We envision that more-frequent, lower-severity fires will favor opportunistic species and that less-frequent high-severity fires will favor better competitors. Along the spatial dimension, we hypothesize that fire regimes that are predictable and generate burned patches in close proximity to refuge will favor species that move to refuges and later recolonize, whereas fire regimes that tend to generate less-severely burned patches may favor species that shelter in place. Looking beyond the trees to forest fauna, we consider mitigation options to enhance resilience and buy time for species facing a no-analog future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Hydrogen Localization and Cluster Formation in α-Zr from First-Principles Investigations

We report alpha-zirconium (α-Zr) is a hydrogen atom host material used in nuclear energy and semiconducting applications due to Zr's excellent properties such as corrosion resistance, low thermal neutrons cross-section, and thermodynamically favorable interstitial sequestering of H atoms. Herein we use density functional theory simulations to systematically analyze the initial stages of H insertion in the Zr matrix, and determine optimal hydrogen localization, distribution, and clustering tendencies from a thermodynamics and kinetics perspective. Our results suggest that H occupation of tetrahedral sites is strongly favored, consistent with previous experimental and theoretical studies. Further, a cooperative effect in H localization is shown where H atoms favor clustering. The H pair is found to be the most stable by occupying tetrahedral sites with pairs at second nearest-neighbor positions (TTn2). Among the four H atom clusters, the most favorable configuration has two TTn2 pairs forming "box " or "zig-zag" shaped-cluster with the pairs separated by 3.03 or 3.25 Å, respectively. Nudged elastic band simulations suggest that the formation of TTn2 is facile and is limited by the small diffusion barrier of the monomer of less than 0.1 eV. Further, the formation routes for the 4H atom clusters are also presented. The current study can serve as a foundation to systematically model H atom clustering in metals and alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

An expert-driven literature review of “negative” chemicals for developmental neurotoxicity (DNT) in vitro assay evaluation

To date, approximately 200 chemicals have been tested in US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) or Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) developmental neurotoxicity (DNT) guideline studies, leaving thousands of chemicals without traditional animal information on DNT hazard potential. To address this data gap, a battery of in vitro DNT new approach methodologies (NAMs) has been proposed. Evaluation of the performance of this battery will increase the confidence in its use to determine DNT chemical hazards. One approach to evaluate DNT NAM performance is to use a set of chemicals to evaluate sensitivity and specificity. Since a list of chemicals with potential evidence of in vivo DNT has been established, this study aims to develop a curated list of “negative” chemicals for inclusion in a “DNT NAM evaluation set”. A workflow, including a literature search followed by an expert-driven literature review, was used to systematically screen 39 chemicals for lack of DNT effect. Expert panel members evaluated the scientific robustness of relevant studies to inform chemical categorizations. Following review, the panel discussed each chemical and made categorical determinations of “Favorable”, “Not Favorable”, or “Indeterminate” reflecting acceptance, lack of suitability, or uncertainty given specific limitations and considerations, respectively. Further, the panel determined that 10, 22, and 7 chemicals met the criteria for “Favorable”, “Not Favorable”, and “Indeterminate”, for use as negatives in a DNT NAM evaluation set. Ultimately, this approach not only supports DNT NAM performance evaluation but also highlights challenges in identifying large numbers of negative DNT chemicals.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Finding middle ground: Flow regimes designed for salmon and energy value

In regulated rivers, shaping seasonal flows to recover species at risk depends on understanding when to expect conflicts with competing water users and when their interests are aligned. Multi-objective optimization can be used to reveal such conflicts and commonalities. When species are involved, multi-objective optimization is challenged by the need to simulate complex species responses to flow regimes. Previously, we addressed that challenge by developing a simplified salmon model (Quantus) that defines cohorts of salmon by the river section and time in which they were spawned. Salmon in these space-time cohorts are tracked from the time redds (nests) are constructed until the cohort exits the tributary en route to the ocean. In this study, we modeled seasonal patterns in energy value and developed a Pareto-optimal frontier of seasonal flow patterns to maximize in-river salmon survival and hydropower value. Candidate flow regimes were characterized by two pulse flows varying in magnitude, timing, and duration and constrained by a total annual flow near the historical median. Our analysis revealed times when economic and salmon objectives were aligned and times when they differed. Pulse flows that favored higher energy value were timed to meet demand during extreme temperatures. Both salmon and hydropower objectives produced optimal flow regimes with pulse flows in early summer, but only solutions favoring hydropower value included high flows in mid-winter. Solutions favoring higher age-0 salmon survival provided an extended pulse flow in late winter/early spring, which suggests that access to productive floodplain habitat allowed faster growth and earlier out-migration and reduced the need for higher temperature-moderating flows later in spring. Minimum flows were also higher among solutions favoring salmon over energy. The tools used to produce these results can help to design simplified seasonal flow regimes by revealing compromise solutions that satisfy both fish and energy producers and highlighting when potential conflicts are likely.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Permittivity Threshold and Thermodynamics of Integer Charge-Transfer Complexation for an Organic Donor–Acceptor Pair

Molecular or chemical-based charge doping provides a means to change the properties (e.g. conductivity) of a material through a complete or partial transfer of charge between its constituents. Understanding how local material environment impacts this process is thus important for controlling the properties of organic materials. This paper presents spectroscopic investigations of molecular charge transfer interactions between a pair of common charge-doping and -transporting materials (2,3,5,6-tetrafluoro-7,7,8,8-tetracyanoquinodimethane, F4TCNQ, and N,N’-Diphenyl-N-N’-di-p-tolylbenzene-1,4-diamine, MPDA). Equilibrium constants associated with charge transfer were determined for donor-acceptor pairs dissolved in a series of solvents covering a range of values of permittivity. A threshold for highly favorable charge separation was observed to occur at a permittivity of ~8-9, with more and less favorable charge separation observed in solvents of higher and lower permittivity, respectively, but with chloroform (permittivity=4.81) exhibiting an anomalously favorable charge separation. Temperature-dependent studies were undertaken to assess the thermodynamics of charge separation. In 1,2- dichloroethane (permittivity=10.36) and chlorobenzene (permittivity=5.62), charge transfer was observed to be both enthalpically and entropically favorable. Charge separation in chloroform is exothermic and entropically disfavored, indicating that specific, inner-shell solvent-solute interactions stabilize the charge-separated complex and result in a net increase in local solution structure. Furthermore, our results provide insight on how modification to the chemical environment may be utilized to support stable charge transfer for molecular doping applications and requiring only modest changes in local permittivity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Drivers of Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis: African Easterly Waves and the Environment

Abstract Tropical cyclone (TC) genesis requires favorable environmental conditions and an initial disturbance, which, in the North Atlantic, is often an African easterly wave (AEW). Although studies have examined how AEWs and the environment affect TC genesis, their relative importance is less understood. Here, we examine whether AEW strength or sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are the primary drivers of TC genesis. Regional model simulations were performed to address how increased AEW strength and SSTs affect the frequency of AEWs that develop into TCs in a year with below‐average TCs with AEW origins and SSTs. We found that environmental favorability plays a larger role than AEW strength in driving the frequency of TCs with AEW origins. Strengthening the AEWs did not affect the frequency of AEWs that develop into TCs due to low environmental favorability. Warmer SSTs led to increased environmental favorability and a statistically significant increase in TCs with AEW origins.

Bercos‐Hickey, Emily [Climate and Ecosystem Scienc↗
DOE OSTI2021

Forming mechanism of equilibrium and non-equilibrium metallurgical phases in dissimilar aluminum/steel (Al–Fe) joints

Abstract Forming metallurgical phases has a critical impact on the performance of dissimilar materials joints. Here, we shed light on the forming mechanism of equilibrium and non-equilibrium intermetallic compounds (IMCs) in dissimilar aluminum/steel joints with respect to processing history (e.g., the pressure and temperature profiles) and chemical composition, where the knowledge of free energy and atomic diffusion in the Al–Fe system was taken from first-principles phonon calculations and data available in the literature. We found that the metastable and ductile (judged by the presently predicted elastic constants) Al 6 Fe is a pressure ( P ) favored IMC observed in processes involving high pressures. The MoSi 2 -type Al 2 Fe is brittle and a strong P -favored IMC observed at high pressures. The stable, brittle η-Al 5 Fe 2 is the most observed IMC (followed by θ-Al 13 Fe 4 ) in almost all processes, such as fusion/solid-state welding and additive manufacturing (AM), since η-Al 5 Fe 2 is temperature-favored, possessing high thermodynamic driving force of formation and the fastest atomic diffusivity among all Al–Fe IMCs. Notably, the ductile AlFe 3 , the less ductile AlFe, and most of the other IMCs can be formed during AM, making AM a superior process to achieve desired IMCs in dissimilar materials. In addition, the unknown configurations of Al 2 Fe and Al 5 Fe 2 were also examined by machine learning based datamining together with first-principles verifications and structure predictions. All the IMCs that are not P- favored can be identified using the conventional equilibrium phase diagram and the Scheil-Gulliver non-equilibrium simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

The controlling role of atmosphere in dawsonite versus gibbsite precipitation from tetrahedral aluminate species

In highly alkaline solution, aluminum speciates as the tetrahedrally coordinated aluminate monomer, Al(OH)4- and/or dimer Al2O(OH)62-, yet precipitates as octahedrally coordinated gibbsite (Al(OH)3). This tetrahedral to octahedral transformation governs Al precipitation, which is crucial to worldwide Al production, and to the processing of caustic high-level radioactive wastes. Despite its significance, the transformation pathway remains unknown. Here we explore the roles of atmospheric water and carbon dioxide in mediating the transformation of the tetrahedrally coordinated potassium aluminate dimer salt (K2Al2O(OH)6) to gibbsite versus potassium dawsonite (KAl(CO3)(OH)2). A combination of in-situ attenuated total reflection infrared spectroscopy, ex-situ micro X-ray diffraction, and multivariate curve resolution-alternating least squares chemometrics analysis reveals that humidity plays a key role in the transformation by limiting the amount of alkalinity neutralization by dissolved CO2. Lower humidity favors higher alkalinity and incorporation of carbonate species in the final Al product to form KAl(CO3)(OH)2. Higher humidity enables more acid generation that destabilizes dawsonite and favors gibbsite as the solubility limiting phase. Because the transformation was restricted to occur in thin water films, the results suggest that transition from tetra- to octahedrally coordinated Al does not have to occur in bulk solution, as has often been hypothesized, but may instead appear on the source mineral surface.

Dembowski, Mateusz↗
DOE OSTI2023

Effect of overlapping laser beams and density scale length in laser-plasma instability experiments on OMEGA EP

Experiments have been conducted on the OMEGA EP laser facility to study the effect of density scale length and overlapping beam geometry on laser-plasma instabilities near and below the quarter-critical density. Experiments were conducted in both planar geometry (density scale length L n ~ 190 to 300 μm) and spherical geometry (L n ~ 150 μm) with up to four overlapping beams and were designed to have overlapped intensities and density scale lengths comparable to OMEGA spherical experiments, but with many fewer beams. In comparison with previous experiments on OMEGA and National Ignition Facility, it is confirmed that shorter density scale lengths favor the two-plasmon decay (TPD) instability, while longer density scale lengths favor stimulated Raman scattering (SRS). In addition, for experiments at the same scale length and overlapped laser intensity, higher single-beam intensities favor SRS, while a larger number of overlapping beams favor TPD.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermodynamics shapes the in vivo enzyme burden of glycolytic pathways

Thermodynamically constrained reactions and pathways are hypothesized to impose greater protein demands on cells, requiring higher enzyme amounts to sustain a given flux compared to those with stronger thermodynamics. To test this, we quantified the absolute concentrations of glycolytic enzymes in three bacterial species— Zymomonas mobilis, Escherichia coli , and Clostridium thermocellum —which employ distinct glycolytic pathways with varying thermodynamic driving forces. By integrating enzyme concentration data with corresponding in vivo metabolic fluxes and ΔG measurements, we found that the highly favorable Entner-Doudoroff pathway in Z. mobilis requires only one-fourth the amount of enzymatic protein to sustain the same flux as the thermodynamically constrained pyrophosphate-dependent glycolytic pathway in C. thermocellum , with the Embden-Meyerhof-Parnas pathway in E. coli exhibiting intermediate thermodynamic favorability and enzyme demand. Across all three pathways, early reactions with stronger thermodynamic driving forces generally required lower enzyme investment than later, less favorable steps. Additionally, reflecting differences in glycolytic strategies, the highly reversible ethanol fermentation pathway in C. thermocellum requires 10-fold more protein to maintain the same flux as the irreversible, forward-driven ethanol fermentation pathway in Z. mobilis . Thus, protein investment across glycolytic pathways reflects differences in their thermodynamic favorability.

Clostridium thermocellum↗
DOE OSTI2021

Discovering Blind Geothermal Systems in the Great Basin Region: An Integrated Geologic and Geophysical Approach for Establishing Geothermal Play Fairways: All Phases

Most geothermal resources in the Great Basin region of the western USA are blind, and thus the discovery of new commercial-grade systems requires synthesis of favorable characteristics for geothermal activity. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity to identify promising areas for new development. This project integrated multiple datasets to apply the play fairway concept and assess geothermal potential in a large region of the Great Basin in Nevada. It is therefore referred to as the Nevada play fairway project. This project was a strong collaborative effort between several organizations, led by the Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology at the University of Nevada, Reno, but with key support from the U.S. Geological Survey, ATLAS Geosciences, Inc,, Hi-Q Geophysical, Inc., Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Utah Geological Survey, and Innovative Geothermal Ltd. In Budget Period 1 of this project, available data for nine geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new detailed geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2 from west-central to eastern Nevada. These parameters were grouped into subsets and individually weighted to delineate rankings for local permeability, intermediate permeability, regional permeability, and thermal potential, which collectively defined geothermal play fairways (i.e., most likely locations for significant geothermal fluid flow). This initial work was aimed at reducing the risks in regional exploration and therefore facilitating discovery of new commercial-grade systems in blind settings, as well as in areas with surface expressions of geothermal activity. Budget Period 2 of the project involved detailed analysis of some of the most promising areas identified in Phase 1. Twenty-four highly prospective areas, including both known undeveloped systems and previously undiscovered potential blind systems, were identified for further analysis. After reconnaissance of these areas, five of the most promising sites were selected for detailed studies. Multiple techniques were employed in the detailed studies, including geologic mapping, shallow temperature surveys, gravity surveys, Lidar, geochemical studies, seismic reflection analysis, and 3D modeling. The goal of the detailed studies was to identify specific areas with the highest likelihood for high permeability and thermal fluids, such that drill sites could be targeted. Three main sets of predictive maps were generated for each detailed study area: 1) play fairway maps, 2) play fairway error maps, and 3) direct evidence maps. Local- and intermediate-scale permeability models were revised to reflect results of the detailed geologic, geophysical, and geochemical analyses. Budget Period 3 of the project involved more detailed geophysical analyses and temperature-gradient (TG) drilling in southeastern Gabbs Valley and northern Granite Springs Valley, deemed the two most promising sites, with the goal of providing preliminary validation of the play fairway methodology. In southeastern Gabbs Valley, the collocation of a favorable structural setting (displacement transfer zone and fault intersections), Quaternary faults, intersecting and terminating gravity gradients, magnetic low, shallow (2 m) temperature anomaly, low resistivity anomaly, and promising geothermometry from nearby water wells provided evidence for a blind system. Drilling of six TG holes defines an apparent geothermal system at this locality with temperatures as high as 124°C at 152 m. This system is blind, with no surface hot springs, fumaroles, or paleo-geothermal deposits. For northern Granite Springs Valley, a favorable structural setting (termination of a major Quaternary normal fault), terminating gravity gradient, magnetic gradient, newly discovered sinter deposits, nearby warm water wells, previously drilled TG holes in the vicinity, and promising geothermometry suggest a hidden system. Drilling of six new TG holes yields temperatures of ~96°C at ~250 m, suggesting the presence of a geothermal system. Major lessons learned in the course of this project include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable structural settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be recognized without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis should be refined as the exploration program vectors into the most promising sites and finer-scale data are acquired. In addition to producing copious amounts of data, this project resulted in 16 published papers, 10 abstracts, more than 40 presentations across the U.S. and abroad (including several keynote addresses), 2 Masters theses, and 7 media reports.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

A 100+ RON Gasoline Blendstock for High Efficiency, Low Emission Vehicles Engines - CRADA 493 (Final Report)

This study aimed at demonstrating production of a 100+RON gasoline fraction from a linear olefins feedstock to help improve further the viability and flexibility of the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory/ LanzaTech alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) patented process that converts ethanol from LanzaTech’s syngas fermentation process to low aromatic jet-range iso-paraffins. To achieve a high RON gasoline and ultimately a 100+RON, the technical approach consisted of converting the linear olefins into an iso-olefins rich mixture and then oligomerizing the iso-olefins rich mixture into high RON compounds in a single bed loaded with an acid catalyst that allows conversion at low reaction temperature. Three families of acid catalysts labeled as type A, B and C were investigated for the single-bed conversion of linear olefins into high RON gasoline range compounds. The effects of the nature of the catalyst, acid sites concentration and operating conditions were investigated. Fuel properties measurements and engine testing were conducted for the most promising catalyst. For type A catalysts, we demonstrated that the conversion increases with the increase of the Brönsted acid site concentration and that lower reaction temperature favors the formation of desired highly branched compounds. The highest dRON obtained with type A catalyst was equal to 94 (from NMR and IQT). Type B catalysts appear very effective for producing dimethyl-olefins compounds when operating at low reaction temperature (i.e., < 100°C). The highest dRON obtained with type B catalyst was equal to 92. The results suggest that type B catalysts are less favorable to internal conversion of linear olefins into iso-olefins compared to type A catalysts which leads to the formation of a gasoline blendstock with a lower dRON. A Type C catalyst that is less commonly used for production of gasoline range compounds from linear olefins was investigated due to its ability to favor conversion of linear olefins into iso-olefins. Compared to type A and type B catalyst, type C favors the formation of highly branched compounds (i.e., with 3+ methyl groups) in the gasoline range. Indeed, a gasoline blendstock containing about 33 wt.% of highly branched compounds was produced with type C catalyst while maintaining a high linear olefins conversion (i.e., 70%). A large quantity of this gasoline blendstock was produced and fuel properties measurements including engine testing for Research Octane Number (RON), Motor Octane Number (MON) and octane sensitivity (S) were conducted. A high RON = 97, MON = 82.7, S =14.3, AKI = 90 and HoV = 334.1kJ/kg were measured. While a RON of 100 was not achieved, the fuel properties of the gasoline blendstock are very acceptable as compared to current premium gasoline. Overall, these results highlight the potential for producing a high RON/ premium gasoline blendstock starting from a linear olefins feedstock.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2021

Benchmarking of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Models in Grizzly

In 2020, as part of contract/task order 31310019N0006/31310020F0060, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission tasked Idaho National Laboratory (INL) with benchmarking the MOOSE/GRIZZLY code against the NRC’s Fracture Analysis of Vessels - Oak Ridge (FAVOR), version 16.1 code. Both codes can predict large light-water reactor vessel integrity deterministically and probabilistically. In fact, such predictions are the primary purpose of the FAVOR code, and are a main focus of the GRIZZLY code, although GRIZZLY is capable of modeling a wider range of geometries and problems. The vessel integrity modeling capabilities of the GRIZZLY code are still under development and being gradually expanded, and the capability to model vessel fracture by crack growth has not yet been integrated into GRIZZLY (although it does exist in pre-release versions). Thus, the present benchmark study focused on comparing predictions for the conditional probability of crack growth initiation (CPI) between GRIZZLY and FAVOR v16.1. The present benchmarking study expands on a previous study completed in 2020, which focused on single plate regions, various flaw types, and full vessel studies. The previous study was limited in scope and revealed some relatively large discrepancies, particularly in the case of weld regions. In the present study, detailed investigations into the sources of discrepancies between GRIZZLY and FAVOR were performed, with a focus on weld regions.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗