Subsurface Characterization using Bayesian Deep Generative Prior-based Inverse Modeling for Utah FORGE Enhanced Geothermal System
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The Bradys EGS project focused on utilizing EGS technology to improve permeability in an existing non-productive well (15-12 ST1, located on BLM land) at Ormat’s Bradys geothermal facility in Churchill County, Nevada. The Bradys geothermal field is located within the Hot Springs Mountains, approximately 50 miles northeast of Reno, NV, along the western boundary of a very large intermontane basin known as the Carson Sink. It is one of several producing geothermal areas in the region; the Desert Peak, Stillwater, Soda Lake, and Salt Wells geothermal projects also lie within the Carson Sink, which is a region of high heat flow characterized by prominent NNE-striking faults that have formed in response to regional extension within the Basin and Range geologic province.
Our group has recently developed StimuFrac, a non-toxic stimuli-responsive fracturing fluid consisting of a CO 2 -reactive polymer which has shown at the lab-scale to consistently fracture rock cores at significantly lower net pressures in a range of representative geothermal pressure/temperature conditions. However, until now the mechanism/s responsible for more effective fracturing, of critical importance to optimize fracturing performance as well as strategize injection methodologies for field deployment, was not understood. In this document, we report (1) on the two main mechanisms responsible for fracturing rock at lower net pressures with StimuFrac; (2) the phase behavior of StimuFrac/CO 2 under geothermal wellbore conditions; and (3) based on high-temperature true triaxial stimulations, detailed evidence that StimuFrac/CO 2 is the best performing stimulation fluid under EGS T/P conditions as compared to water, waterless CO 2 , and CO 2 /water fracturing fluids. This is because i) it requires significantly lower volumes of CO 2 due to its reduced leak off into the formation by the crosslinked polymer solution; ii) large fractures can be generated reproducibly at both low and high CO 2 injection flow rates, and iii) the reversible (previously reported) viscosity increase of StimuFrac could be beneficial to transport proppants when they become available for EGS. These results were particularly evident for hot nearly dry rock as well as partially and nearly fully water-saturated granitic rock. GTO requires StimuFrac to be evaluated in fully water-saturated rock to determine whether the above-described performance applies under these conditions. Since (1) GTO considers there is no enough evidence for Sa different StimuFrac formulation to work below 90C (where full water-saturation in an open system is possible) and (2) no polyaxial loading frame larger than a few centimeters that can do hydraulic fracturing tests while maintaining the rock sample fully saturated with water at 200 C exists; PNNL concludes that the only way to determine if StimuFrac represents an advanced fracturing fluid alternative for EGS, is to perform a stimulation in an actual EGS reservoir.
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