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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

The Importance of Being Adaptable: An Exploration of the Power and Limitations of Domain Adaptation for Simulation-Based Inference with Galaxy Clusters

The application of deep machine learning methods in astronomy has exploded in the last decade, with new models showing remarkably improved performance on benchmark tasks. Not nearly enough attention is given to understanding the models' robustness, especially when the test data are systematically different from the training data, or "out of domain." Domain shift poses a significant challenge for simulation-based inference, where models are trained on simulated data but applied to real observational data. In this paper, we explore domain shift and test domain adaptation methods for a specific scientific case: simulation-based inference for estimating galaxy cluster masses from X-ray profiles. We build datasets to mimic simulation-based inference: a training set from the Magneticum simulation, a scatter-augmented training set to capture uncertainties in scaling relations, and a test set derived from the IllustrisTNG simulation. We demonstrate that the Test Set is out of domain in subtle ways that would be difficult to detect without careful analysis. We apply three deep learning methods: a standard neural network (NN), a neural network trained on the scatter-augmented input catalogs, and a Deep Reconstruction-Regression Network (DRRN), a semi-supervised deep model engineered to address domain shift. Although the NN improves results by 17% in the Training Data, it performs 40% worse on the out-of-domain Test Set. Surprisingly, the Scatter-Augmented Neural Network (SANN) performs similarly. While the DRRN is successful in mapping the training and Test Data onto the same latent space, it consistently underperforms compared to a straightforward Yx scaling relation. These results serve as a warning that simulation-based inference must be handled with extreme care, as subtle differences between training simulations and observational data can lead to unforeseen biases creeping into the results.

Ntampaka, Michelle [Baltimore, Space Telescope Sci↗
DOE OSTI2026

Effect of NO on DME-Methanol HCCI Combustion Using a Reduced Chemical Kinetics Mechanism

Methanol is an attractive fuel for the maritime sector due to its wide availability. Its direct use as a fuel, however, is accompanied by challenges such as high latent heat of vaporization and low cetane number. A potential solution to overcome the ignition properties of methanol could be through on-board generation of dimethyl ether (DME) via catalytic dehydration of methanol. The resulting mixture from dehydration can be mixed in with the intake air to generate a homogenous charge compression ignition (HCCI) preburn for subsequent direct injection (DI) mixing controlled compression ignition (MCCI) of neat methanol. Within that context, complementary experimental work found that the influence of combustion residuals on the heat release rate (HRR) was significant, specifically for residual NO. This finding motivated the present computational and kinetic evaluation of the effects of NO on the low (LTHR) and high (HTHR) temperature heat release rates. The strong influence of small quantities of NO on the combustion process of a DME/methanol/H2O mixture (low catalyst or reactor efficiency) necessitated a kinetics-based investigation into this phenomenon. A mechanism sourced from the existing literature with NO had 172 species and 1375 reactions, making it computationally expensive for use. Hence, a mechanism reduction effort was implemented, and a rate constant (k) tuning effort based on sensitivity analysis was needed to validate experimental results using a zero-dimensional engine model in Cantera. The reduced mechanism was able to successfully capture the negligible influence of NO addition on DME HCCI combustion, whereas an advancement in LTHR and HTHR for a DME/methanol/H2O mixture was kinetically confirmed. Reaction pathway analysis showed that addition of NO chemically counteracted the OH sink created by alcohols like methanol, increasing the effectiveness of DME ignition.

Tyrewala, Daanish [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000208599324)↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Model Based Approach to Extract Health Information from Textual Data

In current nuclear power plants (NPPs) a large amount of condition-based data is being generated and stored to assess and monitor component health and performance. The format of this data can be either numeric (e.g., pump vibration data) or textual (e.g., condition report which assess component health). While assessing component health from numeric data can be performed with a large variety of methods, the extraction of information from textual data still remains a challenge. Natural language processing (NLP) methods are starting to be deployed in current NPPs mainly to filter out incident reports (IRs) that are not safety related by employing supervised machine learning methods. However, these methods do not really provide the quantitative information that might be contained in IRs. This paper presents an approach to extract information from textual data (e.g., from IRs, maintenance reports) that is based on NLP data analytics methods coupled with model-based system engineer (MBSE) models. NLP methods are employed to perform syntactic and semantic analyses. Syntactic analysis analyzes the grammatical structure of a sentence; such analysis includes: part of speech (POS) tagging (i.e., identification of grammatic elements of each string - e.g., nouns, verbs), named entity recognition (i.e., identification of text entities - e.g., names, dates, events), and relation extraction (e.g., coreference resolution). On the other hand, semantic analysis is designed to analyze the logic structure of a sentence. Through a specific set of rules, our methods can identify whether a sentence contains health information of a component (e.g., degraded performance, anomaly behavior) or the causal relationship between two events (i.e., a cause-effect pair). An innovative element of our approach is that semantic analysis relies on MBSE models to identify links between textual elements. MBSE are diagrams designed to represent system and component dependencies (from both a form and functional point of view). In our approach, MBSE models emulate system engineer knowledge about component/system architecture. This paper presents in detail how the integration of NLP methods and MBSE models is performed. Few analysis examples focusing on centrifugal pumps are presented.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

From Machine Learning to Machine Reasoning: A Model-based Approach to Analyze Equipment Reliability Data

In current nuclear power plants (NPPs) a large amount of condition-based data which can be used to assess and monitor component health and performance. Assessing component health from such data can be performed with a large variety of methods. While the analysis of numeric data can be performed with several methods, the extraction of information from textual data remains a challenge. Currently employed natural language processing (NLP) methods do not really provide quantitative information that might be contained in IRs. In addition, the integration of numeric and textual data to identify possible causal relationships between data elements is still an unresolved challenge. This paper presents an approach to extract information from textual (e.g., incident or maintenance reports) and numeric data that relies on model based system engineer (MBSE) models. MBSE are diagrams designed to represent system and component dependencies (from both a form and functional point of view). In our approach, MBSE models emulate system engineer knowledge about component/system architecture. NLP methods are employed to perform syntactic and semantic analyses. Syntactic analysis analyzes the grammatical structure of a sentence while semantic analysis is designed to analyze the logic structure of a sentence. An innovative element of our approach is that semantic analysis uses MBSE models to identify links between textual elements. Similarly, numeric data is directly linked to elements of the MBSE models in order to map which functions are being monitored.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

NEML2: A High Performance Library for Constitutive Modeling

NEML2, the New Engineering Material model Library, version 2, is an offshoot of NEML, an earlier material modeling code developed at Argonne National Laboratory. NEML2 extends the key philosophy of its predecessor, i.e., material models are flexible, modular, and can be built from smaller blocks. It also provides modern features that do not exist in the framework of its predecessor such as material model vectorization, automatic differentiation, device-portable just-in-time compilation, operator fusion, lazy tensor evaluation, etc. Moreover, NEML2 can seamlessly integrate with the popular machine learning package PyTorch to take advantage of modern and fast-growing machine learning techniques. In this fiscal year, the development of core library features and capabilities are complete. The purpose of this report is not to serve as a verbatim copy of the software API reference (which is available online at https://reverendbedford.github.io/neml2/). Instead, this report documents the motivation, implementation, design choices, and usage of each core capability as well as their applications in solving practical engineering problems. This report is compiled based on the NEML2 major release 2.0.0.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty Quantification for Data-Driven Machine Learning Models in Nuclear Engineering Applications: Where We Are and What Do We Need?

Machine learning (ML) has been leveraged to tackle a diverse range of tasks in almost all branches of nuclear engineering. Many of the successes in ML applications can be attributed to the recent performance breakthroughs in deep learning, the growing availability of computational power, data, and easy-to-use ML libraries. However, these empirical successes have often outpaced our formal understanding of the ML algorithms. An important but under-rated area is uncertainty quantification (UQ) of ML. ML-based models are subject to approximation uncertainty when they are used to make predictions, due to sources including but not limited to, data noise, data coverage, extrapolation, imperfect model architecture and the stochastic training process. The goal of this paper is to clearly explain and illustrate the importance of UQ of ML. We will elucidate the differences in the basic concepts of UQ of physics-based models and data-driven ML models. Various sources of uncertainties in physical modeling and data-driven modeling will be discussed, demonstrated, and compared. We will also present and demonstrate a few techniques to quantify the ML prediction uncertainties, including Monte Carlo dropout, deep ensemble, Bayesian neural networks, Gaussian Processes and conformal prediction. Lastly, we will discuss the need for building a verification, validation and UQ framework to establish ML credibility.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Architecture-Aware Models of AI Engines for High-Performance Matrix Matrix Multiplication

The AI Engine (AIE) architecture, available in systems from mobile SoCs to server-class FPGAs, aims to efficiently execute AI/ML tasks through a two-dimensional array of compute tiles. Previous work on AIEs has explored different approaches to mapping computation across spatial arrays, but the compute kernel running on each tile has not been the focus. Additionally, the AIE-ML architecture introduces memory tiles and omits programmable logic, requiring new approaches to staging and moving data throughout the array. In this work we update analytical models developed for CPUs to produce the design of high performance kernels while introducing new model considerations such as memory structure, throughput, and latency as required by the AIE hardware. We evaluate our models by developing AIE-ML kernels for matrix multiplication in low-precision data types showing performance up to 95% of compute peak for the kernel when data resides in local memory and above 90% of compute peak when data resides in main memory.

Binder, Elliott D. [Carnegie Mellon University, Pi↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermo-hydraulic steam pipe models for district heating simulations: Simplifications to balance accuracy and simulation speed

Steam piping networks are essential for optimizing performance in industrial processes and district heating systems. However, dynamic models that balance thermo-hydraulic accuracy with computational efficiency remain limited. In response, this paper presents a new discretized steam pipe model based on the plug flow approach, capturing key thermo-hydraulic behaviors while simplifying steam phase change processes. Implemented in Modelica, the model accurately calculates temperature and pressure distributions along steam pipelines. To improve computational efficiency for district-scale simulations, five model simplifications are introduced: lumped thermo-hydraulic functions, empirical correlations, fluid state approximations, steady-state dynamics and inclusion of flow derivatives. These simplified models achieve 85%-98% accuracy in predicting pressure drop and condensation losses, including dynamic condensate behavior during pipe warm-up—a factor often overlooked in existing models. The models support diverse network configurations, scaling effectively to systems with multiple distribution pipes and connected building loads. Discrete models provide detailed insights but exhibit a cubic increase in simulation time as the network scales by N connected building O(N 2.42 ). In contrast, lumped models simulate 10–28 times faster than discrete, offering quadratic scaling of simulation time O(N 1.73 ). However, they still require 6 times more computation time than a lossless network, highlighting the inherent computational challenges of modeling compressible fluid flow. In conclusion, the steady-state lumped variant, with its near-linear scalability in computational time O(N 1.01 ), emerges as an efficient solution for preliminary design evaluations and extensive parametric studies.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Genome-scale Design and Engineering of Non-model Yeast Organisms for Production of Biofuels and Bioproducts

The overall goal of this project was to develop genome-scale design and engineering tools for two non-model yeast organisms including Rhodotorula toruloides and Issatchenkia orientalis to produce high-levels of fatty acids-derived products and organic acids, respectively. The project was performed between 9/15/2017 and 9/14/2024 (the last two-years were no-cost extensions). The team consisted of Huimin Zhao (Lead PI) and Christopher Rao (Co-PI) from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (UIUC), Costas Maranas (Co-PI) from the Pennsylvania State University, Joshua Rabinowitz (Co-PI) and Martin Wuhr (Co-PI) from Princeton University, and Yasuo Yoshikuni (Co-PI) from the DOE Joint Genome Institute. The team has made great progress in both tool development and fundamental understanding of these two non-model yeasts. In total, there were 40 research publications (one of them is still under review) and one patent application as well as numerous oral presentations.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development of a two-zone zero-dimensional mixing model for actively fueled prechamber engines

In this numerical work, a zero-dimensional, two-zone mixing model was developed and validated to capture the mixture preparation process of an actively fueled prechamber engine. The model was developed for ethanol-gasoline fuel blends but is applicable to various fuels of interest relevant to prechamber applications. The model was exercised to demonstrate the effects of boundary conditions, fuel composition, and residual content on the mixture stoichiometry predictions. The 0D model showed reasonable agreement in prechamber equivalence ratio predictions with higher fidelity computational fluid dynamics modeling, but the accuracy of model was constrained to the governing assumptions of the injection process. The modeling assumptions surrounding the non-dimensional injection of mass into the prechamber were scrutinized to identify key areas of model improvement. The results indicate heat transfer effects play a crucial role in the evaporation of the fuel within the confined auxiliary chamber, especially when considering fuels with high latent heat of vaporization. Additionally, the presence of fuel films that collect on the prechamber surfaces complicated the modeled evaporative cooling loses as the modeling suggests the films evaporate primarily by means of conduction from the boundary. Furthermore, the developed model serves as a simplified framework to generate calibration maps of prechamber fueling or run real time as an open loop control strategy such that desired prechamber mixture proportions are effectively targeted.

Zero-dimensional↗
DOE OSTI2025

LAROMance Grade 91 Model Integration in NEML2

New reactor designs are targeting higher operating temperatures for increased thermal efficiency when compared to the current fleet of light water reactors. Designing structural components for these high temperature environments with reliable long-term operations requires material models that can accurately capture the deformation mechanisms active in these environments. The LAROMance surrogate material models are based on a database of mechanistic crystal plasticity simulations for high-temperature conditions. Inputs to the LAROMance models reflect the microstructural pedigree of the material, like dislocation densities and precipitate contents. Based on the evolution of these microstructural features, the LAROMance model provides the engineering scale constitutive model response. The LAROMance model was recently parameterized for Grade 91, a high temperature alloy. In the present work, the Grade 91 LAROMance model is implemented in the New Material Model Library, version 2 (NEML2). NEML2 provides a modular way to build material models from smaller blocks and was developed to vectorize the material update to efficiently run on modern computational architectures with graphics processing unit accelerators. NEML2 constitutive models can be used in simulations based on the multiphysics object-oriented simulation environment (MOOSE). This report provides details on the implementation of the Grade 91 LAROMance model in NEML2 and its verification of engineering scale finite element simulations in MOOSE.

42 - ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

A systematic decision-making methodology to formalize the selection of degree of realism in screening analysis of probabilistic risk assessment

In the nuclear power domain, Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) is used to inform decision-making for Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs). Recently, there has been an increase in the utilization of modeling and simulation (M&S) to support the estimation of PRA inputs. Risk analysts should carefully select the PRA items that require M&S and their degree of realism (DoR) with consideration of the required resources. To support this selection, this article formulates a systematic decision-making approach for the DoR selection. The DoR selection is made based on two predictive decision-making attributes: the predicted differences in safety risk estimate (ΔSaRi) and the cost of analysis (ΔCAN). This research also develops and quantifies causal models to estimate ΔSaRi and ΔCAN. The causal model-based prediction of ΔSaRi and ΔCAN helps reduce the trial-and-error nature of the DoR selection in the PRA screening analysis and provides insights for DoR selection and the gradual refinements of PRA realism. This approach is demonstrated for a case study on fire PRA of NPPs, where an adequate DoR is selected from two fire models: an engineering correlation and a zone model.

Alkhatib, Sari [Department of Nuclear, Plasma, and↗
DOE OSTI2026

AWSD Reactive Burn Model for the HMX‐Based High Explosive LX‐04

An Arrhenius–Wescott–Stewart–Davis (AWSD) reactive burn model is applied to describe shock initiation and detonation properties of the HMX-based high explosive LX-04. The parameters in the model are calibrated to data from multiple sources. The thermodynamic equations of state used in the model are calibrated to a combination of thermochemical calculations for HMX and LX-04 as well as experimentally-measured cylinder expansion results for LX-04. The kinetic parameters are calibrated to velocity data from gas gun experiments performed using EDC-32—a high explosive with the same chemical composition as LX-04 but different structural properties, and scaled rate stick data for PBX 9012. The AWSD model is shown to accurately describe the shock initiation and propagation of LX-04. Very good agreement is observed between the available experimental data and the AWSD model output. The presented results constitute an accurate LX-04 reactive burn model for use in engineering-scale models and simulations.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2024

FLOWERS AEP: An Analytical Model for Wind Farm Layout Optimization

Annual energy production (AEP) is commonly used in objective functions for wind farm layout optimization. AEP is proportional to wind farm power production integrated over an annual distribution of free-stream wind conditions. Physics-based estimates of wind farm power production typically rely on low-fidelity engineering wake models that approximate the steady-state wind farm flow field. AEP estimates are then obtained by performing independent simulations for discrete wind conditions and using rectangular quadrature to account for each condition's expected frequency of occurrence. Depending on the number of simulated discrete wind conditions, this numerical integral could be hampered by poor accuracy or high computational costs. The FLOWERS AEP model instead poses an analytical integral of the engineering wake model over the variable wind conditions, yielding a closed-form, analytical function for wind farm AEP. This paper derives the analytical functions for FLOWERS AEP and its derivatives with respect to turbine position, which are useful for gradient-based wind farm layout optimization, in nondimensional form. We then analyze the benefits of the FLOWERS AEP model over conventional reference models, focusing on its low cost, adequate wake loss predictions, and smooth design space. Although the FLOWERS approach is found to predict the exact value of AEP with some error relative to the reference model (within 14% on average), it dramatically reduces computation time by an order of magnitude, produces a qualitatively similar design space at relatively low resolution, and yields comparable optimal layouts. This significant speed improvement is critical in layout optimization applications, where determining an optimal layout in an efficient manner is more important than precise AEP prediction.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

The AWAKEN wind farm benchmark, Part 2: Modeling results

Accurately modeling wind farm performance in complex atmospheric flows remains a challenge. This paper presents the modeling results of the American WAKE experimeNt (AWAKEN) wind farm benchmark, a collaborative effort involving 16 research groups from academia and industry within the International Energy Agency Wind Technology Collaboration Programme Task 57. The study evaluates a diverse suite of simulation tools, ranging from fast-running engineering wake models to high-fidelity large-eddy simulations, against a diurnal case study observed during the AWAKEN campaign. The benchmark utilized a three-phase structure to progressively assess model performance as observational data availability increased. Initial blind predictions showed that higher-fidelity models did not uniformly outperform simpler simulation tools. A distinct spatial bias was observed where models struggled to resolve the interplay between a low-level jet, wakes, and terrain-induced flow acceleration. In subsequent phases, leveraging additional measurements for model improvement led to a reduction in mean absolute error across the model ensemble; however, this effect was most pronounced in engineering wake models, where targeted calibration reduced error by up to 40~\%. Overall, the study demonstrates that inflow characterization remains a primary prerequisite for accuracy, particularly for models relying on coarse forcing datasets. While the limited ability to resolve local terrain-flow interactions under single-day conditions represent a recognized constraint, the overall findings on wake modeling and real-world validation still provide valuable guidance for model application and for mitigating this limitation.

Bodini, Nicola↗
DOE OSTI2025

Understanding Model Inadequacy in TRISO Nuclear Fuel Fission Products Release Models: Empirical and Mechanistic Approaches

The increasing use of tristructural isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel in both advanced and existing reactors necessitates a thorough evaluation of uncertainties and shortcomings in TRISO fission product release models. These inadequacies arise from the simplifications made in computational models compared to experimental data. Utilizing the BISON fuel performance code and experimental data from the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) program provides a unique chance to rigorously assess these inadequacies within a Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework. This study contrasts the standard Bayesian framework with the Kennedy-O'Hagan (KOH) framework, which explicitly accounts for modeling inadequacies, in the context of UQ for TRISO silver release models. It examines both the traditional Arrhenius equation and a more advanced lower-length-scale (LLS)-informed model that incorporates microstructure information. The inverse UQ process applied to AGR-2 and AGR-3/4 datasets identified modeling inadequacy as the primary source of uncertainty, with experimental noise also being significant, while model parameter uncertainty was minimal. Both the Arrhenius and LLS-informed models showed similar levels of modeling inadequacy. For forward predictive UQ using the AGR-1 dataset, the KOH framework enhanced the accuracy and quality of quantified uncertainties by approximately 30% and 40%, respectively, compared to the standard Bayesian framework. This improvement was observed for both the Arrhenius and LLS-informed models. At the engineering scale, both models performed similarly, but the LLS-informed model outperformed the Arrhenius equation at the mesoscale. These findings underscore the importance of explicitly considering modeling inadequacy in the UQ process and highlight the need for ongoing refinement of physics-based models to address these shortcomings.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗