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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

STOCHASTIC OPTIMAL POWER FLOW FOR REAL-TIME MANAGEMENT OF DISTRIBUTED RENEWABLE GENERATION AND DEMAND RESPONSE (Final Report)

To meet the grand challenge of a sustainable energy future, there has been a surge of interest in renewable energy. Today, the uncertainty associated with renewable resources is handled by using operating reserves. The high penetration of renewable resources, however, introduces difficult-to-control dynamics and challenges for power system operation. Decision support tools are necessary at the bulk system operational level to recognize and efficiently utilize renewable resources and distributed demand response products in concert with traditional grid resources. It is envisaged that responsive load can potentially have very significant cost advantages over either spinning or non-spinning ramping reserve. Critical decisions are made during hour(s)-ahead and real-time power system operation regarding the commitment and dispatch of generators to ensure power delivery is both reliable and economic. These decisions are typically made by a security constrained optimal flow, which determines future generator commitments, dispatches, and ensures adequate reserves are available in the event of a contingency (unexpected outage) or if future system conditions deviate from forecasts. However, security has been always based on a pre-specified subset of contingency constraints whose enforcement does not guarantee security under all possible future possibilities while also giving little or no weight to the likelihood of each contingent event or the severity of its consequences. Existing tools, which are based exclusively on deterministic optimization models, do not yield optimal operational decisions to address these new challenges, in terms of both reliability and cost-effectiveness. This project has focused on developing a stochastic optimal power flow (SOPF) framework, which integrates renewable resource uncertainty, load uncertainty, distributed storage (DS), demand response (DR) products, in a holistic manner to address the uncertainty associated with ever-increasing renewable resources, along with the inclusion of distributed demand response products in future power systems. A proof-of-concept problem was created using the Pennsylvania-Jersey-Maryland (PJM) power system network. Synthetic wind generation was added to the system to simulate 50% wind penetration. A 1-hour test of SOPF operation indicated more than 6% operational cost savings. The project continued by adding the Midwestern Independent System Operator (MISO) as a partner, with focus shifting from SOPF to Stochastic Look-Ahead Unit Commitment (SLAC). Unlike PJM, MISO is faced with significant renewable energy resources within its footprint and is challenged with substantial uncertainty in its operations. The SLAC distinguishes itself from existing tools that operators use. At best, today’s tools solve two to three cases independently, where one or two system parameters, such as forecasted load level (e.g., a low, base, and high forecast), are varied and the resulting scenarios are analyzed independently. The stochastic-based optimization of SLAC leverages statistical information from an ensemble of potential operational scenarios and their respective likelihood. The SLAC output can be translated into valuable information to the operator such as suggested commitments, optimal scheduling and dispatch of resources, reserve requirements at both locational and zonal resolutions, ramping availability and requirements, availability of demand response including operational guidance concerning the near-term and real-time coordination between distributed energy resources, and utilization of distributed storage resources. The developed SOPF/SLAC tool, a stand-alone tool compatible with existing EMSs, will provide system operators with unprecedented visibility, flexibility and predictability to these resources and operational guidance concerning the real-time coordination between DERs and DR/DS products. The game changing and practical impact of this disruptive technology will be dramatic and will usher in a new era in the electric power industry, wherein green energy concepts are fully embraced, and electric power costs are lowered throughout the nation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Polarized Resonant X-ray Scattering to Measure Molecular Orientation and Conformation in Organic Nanostructures

The ordering of organic (carbon-based) molecules into nanostructures drives useful materials properties for applications such as organic light emitting diodes, flexible batteries, and polymer nanocarriers. However, there is a current lack of techniques to measure this ordering. X-ray scattering techniques involving molecular resonances have shown promise in identifying molecular types, locations, and orientation. However, resonant soft X-ray scattering (RSoXS) techniques have not been developed even lacking basic optical models. The objectives achieved by this research were the development of methods, models, and analysis techniques that harness these resonant phenomena in X-ray scattering measurements to quantitatively probe ordering of organic molecules within devices and nanostructures. This award resulted in 11 peer reviewed publications with two others soon to be submitted. New physical models for X-ray scattering that accurately describe these complex molecular resonances enable measurements of how molecules assemble, orient and conform at the nanometer scale. These new techniques were applied to both organic electronic devices and aqueous nanoparticles being developed for hydrocarbon sequestration. This new measurement capability will enable characterization of structure-property relationships that lead to disruptive technologies of printable, stretchable, and biocompatible devices based on organic materials.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Spark-Assisted HCCI Residential CHP

A transformative small spark ignition (SI) internal combustion (IC) engine fueled with natural gas was developed for combined heat and power (CHP) applications using a combination of cycle simulations, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling, and engine experiments. The resulting 1 kW CHP engine was demonstrated to achieve 36.1% brake thermal efficiency (BTE) while meeting aggressive exhaust emissions targets using a low-cost three-way catalyst. Starting from a “clean-sheet” design, modeling tools were used to select the optimal engine parameters and operating characteristics. The disruptive technologies developed for the CHP system have a target lifetime of at least 10 years. The engine cost at volume of 10,000 units was estimated to be $\$$1,050. A combination of experimental and simulation results were used to identify a path to the program target of 38.6% BTE. Base engine design parameters (i.e., displacement, speed, bore, stroke, valve timings, and compression ratio) were optimized to reduce friction, heat transfer, and exhaust losses. The base clean sheet prototype engine achieved 32% BTE. Optimization of the lube oil and coolant temperatures added 1.8% BTE. The addition of exhaust gas recirculation added 1.1% BTE. Novel thermal barrier coatings (TBCs) developed over the course of the project added 1.2% BTE. Further improvements in engine friction reduction (1.3% BTE) and improved combustion (1.2% BTE) are estimated to meet the program target 38.6% BTE, while also meeting the stringent criteria pollutant emissions targets.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multifunctional Nanofiber Reinforcement for Improved Thermomechanical and Chemical Stability of Perovskite Solar Cells

This project focused on the development of metal halide perovskite-polymeric nanofiber nanocomposites for robust and efficient solar cells. Metal halide perovskite solar cells are a potentially disruptive technology with high efficiencies and low-cost solution processability amenable with roll-to-roll fabrication of flexible devices. However, perovskites exhibit extreme brittleness, high internal film stresses, and chemical instabilities that significantly limit service lifetimes under normal operating conditions. To date, most work addressing these shortcomings has been focused on encapsulating devices between thick layers of rigid materials such as glass, which increases the total weight and cost of devices. Furthermore, these rigid and heavy encapsulants do not translate well to emerging solar markets vital for national security, including integrated mobile power, emergency deployments for disaster relief and military engagement, and lightweight power for space. It is therefore critical to improve the thermomechanical and chemical stability of perovskite devices in a way that is compatible with flexible and lightweight substrates. In this project, we integrated nylon-6,6 nanofibers into MAPbI3 to mechanically reinforce the perovskite, demonstrating films that exhibited fracture energies 5-fold greater than pristine MAPbI3 while also maintaining similar power conversion efficiencies due to beneficial light scattering effects from the polymeric nanofibers. These results required successful development of approaches to control the deposition thickness of nanofiber mats down to 100s of nanometers, and to ensure the polymer nanofibers did not inhibit charge transport to the at the perovskite-transport layer interface.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Prioritizing Off-Gas Metrics: A Guide for Comparable Off-Gas Capture Testing

The Material Recovery and Waste Form Development (MRWFD) off-gas team had a workshop, hosted by Idaho National Laboratory (INL), to align goals and expectations for off-gas research. The workshop included team members from four national laboratories. The workshop focused on defining distinct R&D phases with specific metrics, outlining standard test and measurement protocols for Iodine and Krypton/Xenon sorbents, brainstorming approaches to future disruptive technologies, and recognizing parameters with more inherent risk, requiring more rigorous evaluation. This report will serve as a guide for future off-gas work. Its purpose is to foster efficient collaboration across diverse research facilities and invite direct comparison of materials and results.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Exploring Multilayer Network Models to Build a Scientific Basis for Integrated Deterrence: Final Report

The emerging multipolar international security environment represents a fundamental restructuring of global nuclear balance of power to include two nuclear peer competitors, growing non-peer nuclear threats, and concerns of nuclear latency from both allies and adversaries. Conflicts in the grey zone, cyber operations, mis- and disinformation campaigns, and emerging disruptive technologies like drones, and hypersonic missiles are becoming more prevalent. These present a risk of cross-domain and multi-domain conflicts that may not follow known escalatory patterns. In order to prepare for the new deterrence environment, it is critical to have quantitative and qualitative understandings of these cross-domain conflicts, their potential for escalation, and which systems they may impact. To that end, our team created a Multi-Layer Network (MLN) model of ‘integrated deterrence’ where instruments of national power are modeled as individual network graph layers that include efforts from all domains. We then evaluate the potential for escalation against escalation scenarios. Analysis of the escalation scenarios is then used to identify insights of potential risk and escalation within integrated deterrence.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Woody Plant Transformation: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Perspectives

Woody plants, comprising forest and fruit tree species, provide essential ecological and economic benefits to society. Their genetic improvement is challenging due to long generation intervals and high heterozygosity. Genetic transformation, which combines targeted DNA delivery with plant regeneration from transformed cells, offers a powerful alternative to accelerating their domestication and improvement. Agrobacterium tumefaciens, Rhizobium rhizogenes, and particle bombardment have been widely used for DNA delivery into a wide variety of explants, including leaves, stems, hypocotyls, roots, and embryos, with regeneration occurring via direct organogenesis, callus-mediated organogenesis, somatic embryogenesis, or hairy root formation. Despite successes, conventional approaches are hampered by low efficiency, genotype dependency, and a reliance on challenging tissue culture. This review provides a critical analysis of the current landscape in woody plant transformation, moving beyond a simple summary of techniques to evaluate the co-evolution of established platforms with disruptive technologies. Key advances among these include the use of developmental regulators to engineer regeneration, the rise in in planta systems to bypass tissue culture, and the imperative for DNA-free genome editing to meet regulatory and public expectations. By examining species-specific breakthroughs in key genera, including Populus, Malus, Citrus, and Pinus, this review highlights a paradigm shift from empirical optimization towards rational, predictable engineering of woody plants for a sustainable future.

Agrobacterium tumefaciens↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogeneities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogenities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

ICME and In-Situ Process Monitoring for Rapid Qualification of Components Made by Laser-based Powder Bed Additive Manufacturing Processes for Nuclear Structural Applications

Additive manufacturing (AM) through selective powder bed melting of successive layers is being considered as disruptive technology for rapid production of low-cost nuclear reactor internal components with complex geometries. However, there is a potential for non-uniform distribution of physical features, such as porosity or microstructural differences, due to variations of temperature across a component build. These heterogenities make the deployment of traditional material qualification and non-destructive evaluation of AM components difficult. This research project explored the feasibility of using in-situ process monitoring methods and integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) principles as an alternate qualification methodology and approach. This project included six individual tasks: (i) design of artifacts relevant to the nuclear power industry, (ii) evaluation of laser processing and in-situ measurements, (iii) computational modeling, (iv) ex-situ microstructural characterization, (v) evaluation of scaling the methodology for large-scale structures, and (vi) development of a data package to codes and standards organizations. As a part of this research, laser powder bed fusion of metals (316L, Alloy 718, and Ti6Al4V) was explored. This document provides an overview of the research performed over three years and serves as the final U.S. Department of Energy report for this project. In the third year, the project focused on the following activities: (a) in-situ infrared and optical imaging of each layer during processing of representative stainless steel geometries; (b) development of methodologies to analyze the data; and (c) application of ICME methodologies and other experiments to estimate the relevance of defects and microstructure to tensile properties.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Clean Energy Transition for Transportation Systems: Modeling Implications

Transportation is currently the least-diversified energy demand sector, with over 90% of energy use coming from petroleum. As a result, transportation recently became the largest source of GHG emissions in the U.S. and mobility needs for passenger and freight are growing rapidly. However, after over a century of petroleum dominance, new disruptive technologies and business models offer a pathway to decarbonize the sector. Transportation is at a turning point. On the horizon lies a future where affordable and abundant renewable electricity can be used to power cost-competitive battery electric vehicles (EVs) and produce energy-dense low-carbon fuels enabling to fully decarbonize transportation systems across all modes. Exploring the clean energy transition for the multitude of different transportation systems requires new analytical modeling and approaches. This talk reviewed current work at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to develop and use innovative tools and analytics approaches to inform the transformation to a sustainable mobility future and the integration of transportation systems with the broader energy sector.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Disruptive Silicon Anode Technology for Next-Generation Lithium-Ion Batteries

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has pioneered novel processing technology for silicon nanoparticles (Si NPs) synthesized from plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD) that will disrupt current lithium-ion battery technology. This revolutionary Si NP-based anode leverages a molecular coating applied to PECVD Si NPs that transforms them into homogeneous colloids suitable for conventional slurry formulation and electrode deposition resulting in delivered capacities of >2000 mAh/g (total electrode mass) at >90 wt% Si content anodes.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Data for Creating Yellow Seed Camelina sativa with Enhanced Oil Accumulation by CRISPR-Mediated Disruption of Transparent Testa 8

Camelina ( Camelina sativa L.), a hexaploid member of the Brassicaceae family, is an emerging oilseed crop being developed to meet the increasing demand for plant oils as biofuel feedstocks. In other Brassicas, high oil content can be associated with a yellow seed phenotype, which is unknown for camelina. We sought to create yellow seed camelina using CRISPR/Cas9 technology to disrupt its Transparent Testa 8 (TT8) transcription factor genes and to evaluate the resulting seed phenotype. We identified three TT8 genes, one in each of the three camelina subgenomes, and obtained independent CsTT8 lines containing frameshift edits. Disruption of TT8 caused seed coat colour to change from brown to yellow reflecting their reduced flavonoid accumulation of up to 44%, and the loss of a well-organized seed coat mucilage layer. Transcriptomic analysis of CsTT8-edited seeds revealed significantly increased expression of the lipid-related transcription factors LEC1, LEC2, FUS3, and WRI1 and their downstream fatty acid synthesis-related targets. These changes caused metabolic remodelling with increased fatty acid synthesis rates and corresponding increases in total fatty acid (TFA) accumulation from 32.4% to as high as 38.0% of seed weight, and TAG yield by more than 21% without significant changes in starch or protein levels compared to parental line. These data highlight the effectiveness of CRISPR in creating novel enhanced-oil germplasm in camelina. The resulting lines may directly contribute to future net-zero carbon energy production or be combined with other traits to produce desired lipid-derived bioproducts at high yields.

Biofuels↗

Recent progress in shattered pellet injection technology in support of the ITER disruption mitigation system*

Shattered pellet injection (SPI) has been selected as the baseline technology for the disruption mitigation (DM) system for ITER. Typical SPI utilizes cryogenic cooling to desublimate low pressure (<100 mbar) gases onto a cold zone within a pipe gun barrel, forming a cylindrical pellet. Pellets are dislodged from the barrel and accelerated using either a gas driven mechanical punch or high-pressure light-gas delivered by a fast-opening valve. SPI technology developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is currently deployed and operational on DIII-D, JET, and KSTAR. These SPI systems are used in experiments for physics scaling to ITER thermal mitigation and runaway electron dissipation/avoidance. The pellet sizes used for these machines are in the range of 4 to 12.5 mm in diameter with length to diameter ratios (L/D) of ~1.5. The current plan for ITER SPI is to utilize pellets that are 28.5 mm in diameter with an L/D of ~2. Furthermore, the large pellet sizes, high steady-state magnetic fields, and limitations of operating in a radiation environment render much of the current technology unusable. In addition to technology improvements, a deeper understanding of pellet material properties, formation, and release is being developed for implementation in future SPI designs, specifically ITER.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Evaluate the System-Level Impact of Connected and Automated Vehicles Coupled with Shared Mobility: An Agent-based Simulation Approach

With the rapid growth of information and communication technologies, Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) are deemed to be disruptive with the potential to significantly improve overall transportation system efficiency, however, may bring Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) increase or other issues. Further, shared mobility systems are another disruptive force that is reshaping our travel patterns. To quantify the combined impact of CAV and shared mobility on travel behavior, traffic performance and energy efficiency, we develop a mesoscopic simulation-based framework for mobility and energy efficiency evaluation considering the disruptive transportation technologies. Under this framework, we develop novel models for energy intensity and modal activity, and evaluated a variety of energy scenarios for different combinations of CAV applications, various levels of automation, roadway characteristics, and traffic conditions, while also varying different vehicle types and fuel/powertrain technologies. Based applying this modeling suite to a calibrated BEAM simulation network in Riverside California, it was found that cooperative automated driving in general will improve mobility, but automated vehicles, even when deployed in a shared autonomous fleet, will likely bring an increase of VMT (up to 36%) due to mode shifts and deadheading. Ride-hailing vehicles typically have better energy efficiency and a higher share of electric vehicles, which helps offset the negative impact from VMT increases when estimating the system-level energy consumption. In general, simulation results show a 6% increase in energy consumption for the scenarios with an increasing shift to ride-hailing modes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Evaluating Energy Efficiency Opportunities from Connected and Automated Vehicle Deployments Coupled with Shared Mobility in California

Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) can be considered to be a disruptive transportation technology, with the potential to significantly improve overall transportation system efficiency; however, CAVs may increase induce vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and bring on greater energy consumption. Further, shared mobility is another disruptive transportation event that is reshaping our travel patterns. The primary goal of this project was to extensively collect data from vehicles and associated infrastructure equipped with CAV technologies from both real-world experiments and simulation studies mainly deployed in California, and develop a comprehensive framework for evaluating energy efficiency opportunities from large-scale (e.g., statewide) introduction of CAVs and a wide deployment of shared mobility systems in a variety of scenarios. To quantify the combined impact of CAV and shared mobility on travel behavior, traffic performance, and energy efficiency, a unique mesoscopic simulation-based model was developed for mobility and energy efficiency evaluation considering these disruptive transportation technologies. As a complement to existing studies on nationwide evaluation of CAVs’ energy impacts, this project was focused on data collection efforts and CAV applications under congested traffic environments that are frequently experienced on a massive scale across the major metropolitan areas in California. Extensive real-world data collection supplemented with simulation studies were conducted to cover a variety of CAV and shared mobility scenarios, particularly on scenarios less-explored in the existing research. Another key component of this project was to consider the interaction between different CAV technologies and shared mobility models, and the compound effect on energy efficiency. A comprehensive modeling suite was developed to quantify the impact of new mobility technologies on travel behavior and traffic performance. The developed modeling framework includes an energy intensity module, mode choice module and activity generation module that are integrated into an agent-based BEAM simulation platform to perform impact analysis based on a variety of scenarios. In addition, the RouteE model has been upgraded to incorporate the impact of CAVs on traffic flow, VMT and energy intensity, using micro-simulation data collected from both freeways and urban arterials. A novel fundamental influencing factor (FIF) mode choice model was developed to link CAV and shared mobility components with travel behaviors, and adapted into the BEAM-centered model framework. A statewide energy inventory was constructed under various CAV technology deployment scenarios by incorporating datasets and models for predicting vehicle market share and vehicle usage, which are tightly associated with the penetration of shared mobility systems. Based applying this modeling suite to a calibrated network in Riverside California, it was found that cooperative automated driving in general will improve mobility, but automated vehicles, even when deployed in a shared autonomous fleet, will likely bring an increase of VMT (up to 36%) due to mode shifts and deadheading. Ride-hailing vehicles typically have better energy efficiency and a higher share of electric vehicles, which helps offset the negative impact from VMT increases when estimating the system-level energy consumption. In general, simulation results show a 6% increase in energy consumption for the scenarios with an increasing shift to ride-hailing modes. The statewide analysis based on the National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) sample data is consistent with the findings from the Riverside network and validate the developed clustering-prediction modeling methodology. The outcomes from this project will help close the knowledge gap on recognizing the potential performance and energy impacts of a broad deployment of CAV and shared mobility technologies across a wide range of roadway infrastructure with varying levels of congestion. Results from this project: 1) will support policymakers in steering CAV development and deployment towards an energy favorable direction; 2) reduce uncertainties in estimating energy saving opportunities from new mobility technologies and services; 3) increase the confidence of CAV technology investors both on the infrastructure side (i.e., transportation agencies) and on the vehicle side (i.e., OEMs); and 4) expedite the deployment of energy-efficient CAV and shared mobility applications.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗