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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

(U) Differences in the Use of Isotopic $χ$ Vectors Demonstrated with an Analytic k ∞ Problem (And Verification of SENSMG and MCNP6’s KSEN)

Comparisons of responses and first-order sensitivities of responses to the neutron fission spectrum ( χ ) have been done using different transport methods. Kodeli and Slavič compared sensitivities from Monte Carlo, deterministic, and method of characteristics of k eff in the SNEAK-7 benchmark, and the agreement was reasonable. Yamamoto compared deterministic and Monte Carlo sensitivities of k - and α -eigenvalues to the fission χ , but only for material (i.e. single-isotope) values of the fission χ . Haeck et al. compared Monte Carlo and deterministic sensitivities of k eff to the fission χ of individual isotopes for several benchmarks, and the agreement was excellent (except, strangely, for U-236). Kiedrowski and Brown compared Monte Carlo and analytic sensitivities of k ∞ to the fission χ in analytic problems, but only for material values of the fission χ .

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Deterministic-Monte Carlo Hybrid Methods for Eigenvalue Sensitivity Coefficient Calculations [Slides]

Hybrid method was developed based on a need to generate accurate sensitivities for specified systems with CLUTCH. This new method provides improved sensitivities with HMF-028-001, specifically with 238 U in the large reflector region. With the importance of each voxel predetermined with the adjoint flux, the hybrid method is able to generate more accurate sensitivities. More testing is needed for other types of systems and materials (i.e., thermal and intermediate energy ranges and different moderators and reflectors). Initial results are very promising and continual development of the new hybrid method is currently in progress.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Accelerated Deterministic Phonon Transport With Consistent Material Temperature and Intensities

Abstract We present a method for deterministically solving the frequency and temperature dependent phonon radiative transport (PRT) equation in the single-mode relaxation time (SMRT) approximation in the self-adjoint angular flux (SAAF) form. To handle the nonlinear coupling between the phonon intensities and the material temperature, we apply a linearization approach that is similar to one in thermal radiative transport. This procedure leads to the PRT equation with pseudo-scattering. The method presented includes acceleration of both the inner pseudo-scattering source iterations and outer temperature iteration with a gray diffusion synthetic acceleration (DSA) and Anderson acceleration, respectively. We use the finite-element method to discretize the PRT equation in space and the method of discrete ordinates (SN) for angular discretization. The proposed method is verified by a gray method of manufactured solutions problem and demonstrated on a problem using temperature and direction dependent multigroup data from lithium aluminate (LiAlO2). The iterative performance of the acceleration method in each test is then compared to the unaccelerated method.

Engineering↗

Tracking the topology of neural manifolds across populations

Neural manifolds summarize the intrinsic structure of the information encoded by a population of neurons. Advances in experimental techniques have made simultaneous recordings from multiple brain regions increasingly commonplace, raising the possibility of studying how these manifolds relate across populations. However, when the manifolds are nonlinear and possibly code for multiple unknown variables, it is challenging to extract robust and falsifiable information about their relationships. We introduce a framework, called the method of analogous cycles, for matching topological features of neural manifolds using only observed dissimilarity matrices within and between neural populations. We demonstrate via analysis of simulations and in vivo experimental data that this method can be used to correctly identify multiple shared circular coordinate systems across both stimuli and inferred neural manifolds. Conversely, the method rejects matching features that are not intrinsic to one of the systems. Further, as this method is deterministic and does not rely on dimensionality reduction or optimization methods, it is amenable to direct mathematical investigation and interpretation in terms of the underlying neural activity. We thus propose the method of analogous cycles as a suitable foundation for a theory of cross-population analysis via neural manifolds.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Uncertainty quantification in machine learning for engineering design and health prognostics: A tutorial

On top of machine learning (ML) models, uncertainty quantification (UQ) functions as an essential layer of safety assurance that could lead to more principled decision making by enabling sound risk assessment and management. The safety and reliability improvement of ML models empowered by UQ has the potential to significantly facilitate the broad adoption of ML solutions in high-stakes decision settings, such as healthcare, manufacturing, and aviation, to name a few. In this tutorial, we aim to provide a holistic lens on emerging UQ methods for ML models with a particular focus on neural networks and the applications of these UQ methods in tackling engineering design as well as prognostics and health management problems. Towards this goal, we start with a comprehensive classification of uncertainty types, sources, and causes pertaining to UQ of ML models. Next, we provide a tutorial-style description of several state-of-the-art UQ methods: Gaussian process regression, Bayesian neural network, neural network ensemble, and deterministic UQ methods focusing on spectral-normalized neural Gaussian process. Established upon the mathematical formulations, we subsequently examine the soundness of these UQ methods quantitatively and qualitatively (by a toy regression example) to examine their strengths and shortcomings from different dimensions. Then, we review quantitative metrics commonly used to assess the quality of predictive uncertainty in classification and regression problems. Afterward, we discuss the increasingly important role of UQ of ML models in solving challenging problems in engineering design and health prognostics. In conclusion, two case studies with source codes available on GitHub are used to demonstrate these UQ methods and compare their performance in the life prediction of lithium-ion batteries at the early stage (case study 1) and the remaining useful life prediction of turbofan engines (case study 2).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Neutronics Calculation Advances at Los Alamos: Manhattan Project to Monte Carlo

The history and advances of neutronics calculations at Los Alamos during the Manhattan Project through the present are reviewed. Substantial improvements to neutron diffusion methods and the invention of both the Monte Carlo neutron transport methods in 1947 and deterministic discrete ordinates Sn in 1953 were all made at Los Alamos just after the Manhattan Project. We briefly summarize early simpler and more approximate neutronics methods and then describe the need to better predict neutronics behavior through consideration of theoretical equations, models and algorithms, experimental measurements, and available computing capabilities and their limitations. This paper briefly covers key advances in deterministic methods during the Manhattan Project. These capabilities, coupled with increasing postwar defense needs and the invention of electronic computing with the Electronic Numeric Integrator and Computer, known as ENIAC, and the Mathematical Analyzer Numerical Integrator and Automatic Computer Model, known as MANIAC, led to the creation of Monte Carlo and deterministic discrete ordinates neutronics transport methods. We note the important role that the scientific comradery between the Los Alamos scientists played in the process. This paper briefly covers the early methods, algorithms, computers, and electronic and women pioneers that enabled Monte Carlo to spread to all areas of science. We focus heavily on these early developments and the subsequent creation of the MCNP® code, advances in its associated nuclear data, and its applications to problems of national defense at Los Alamos.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

PAGANI: a parallel adaptive GPU algorithm for numerical integration

We present a new adaptive parallel algorithm for the challenging problem of multi-dimensional numerical integration on massively parallel architectures. Adaptive algorithms have demonstrated the best performance, but efficient many-core utilization is difficult to achieve because the adaptive work-load can vary greatly across the integration space and is impossible to predict a priori. Existing parallel algorithms utilize sequential computations on independent processors, which results in bottlenecks due to the need for data redistribution and processor synchronization. Our algorithm employs a high-throughput approach in which all existing sub-regions are processed and sub-divided in parallel. Repeated sub-region classification and filtering improves upon a brute-force approach and allows the algorithm to make efficient use of computation and memory resources. A CUDA implementation shows orders of magnitude speedup over the fastest open-source CPU method and extends the achievable accuracy for difficult integrands. Our algorithm typically outperforms other existing deterministic parallel methods.

Sakiotis, Ioannis↗

Generation of Multigroup Multiband Nuclear Data

Historically, deterministic pre-processing methods have been used for generating multigroup (MG) and multigroup multiband (MGMB) cross sections. These deterministic methods require an assumption of the shape for the scalar ux. There has been increasing interest in utilizing Monte Carlo transport as a method to generate these cross sections since the energy self-shielding and resonance overlap are fully accounted for. The purpose of this project is to implement and test the capability of generating these cross sections in Mercury.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

State Preparation of Antisymmetrized Geminal Power on a Quantum Computer without Number Projection

The antisymmetrized geminal power (AGP) is equivalent to the number projected Bardeen–Cooper–Schrieffer (PBCS) wave function. It is also an elementary symmetric polynomial (ESP) state. We generalize previous research on deterministically implementing the Dicke state to a state preparation algorithm for an ESP state, or equivalently AGP, on a quantum computer. Our method is deterministic and has polynomial cost, and it does not rely on number symmetry breaking and restoration. We also show that our circuit is equivalent to a disentangled unitary paired coupled cluster operator and a layer of unitary Jastrow operator acting on a single Slater determinant. Here, the method presented herein highlights the ability of disentangled unitary coupled cluster to capture nontrivial entanglement properties that are hardly accessible with traditional Hartree–Fock based electronic structure methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Particle Method for the Multispecies Landau Equation

Abstract The multispecies Landau collision operator describes the two-particle, small scattering angle or grazing collisions in a plasma made up of different species of particles such as electrons and ions. Recently, a structure preserving deterministic particle method (Carrillo et al. in J. Comput. Phys. 7:100066, 2020) has been developed for the single species spatially homogeneous Landau equation. This method relies on a regularization of the Landau collision operator so that an approximate solution, which is a linear combination of Dirac delta distributions, is well-defined. Based on a weak form of the regularized Landau equation, the time dependent locations of the Dirac delta functions satisfy a system of ordinary differential equations. In this work, we extend this particle method to the multispecies case, and examine its conservation of mass, momentum, and energy, and decay of entropy properties. We show that the equilibrium distribution of the regularized multispecies Landau equation is a Maxwellian distribution, and state a critical condition on the regularization parameters that guarantees a species independent equilibrium temperature. A convergence study comparing an exact multispecies Bobylev-Krook-Wu (BKW) solution to the particle solution shows approximately 2nd order accuracy. Important physical properties such as conservation, decay of entropy, and equilibrium distribution of the particle method are demonstrated with several numerical examples.

Mathematics↗

A Hybrid Method for Tensor Decompositions that Leverages Stochastic and Deterministic Optimization

In this paper, we propose a hybrid method that uses stochastic and deterministic search to compute the maximum likelihood estimator of a low-rank count tensor with Poisson loss via state-of-theart local methods. Our approach is inspired by Simulated Annealing for global optimization and allows for fine-grain parameter tuning as well as adaptive updates to algorithm parameters. We present numerical results that indicate our hybrid approach can compute better approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator with less computation than the state-of-the-art methods by themselves.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Effect of Nucleation Heterogeneity on Mineral Precipitation in Confined Environments

Abstract The formation of new mineral phases in confined environments, especially in porous media, is crucial for various geological processes like mineralization and diagenesis. The nucleation and precipitation of minerals are initiated at the microscale through fluid‐rock interaction, where dissolution of primary phases leads to supersaturated conditions and nucleation and growth of secondary ones. Previous research has focused primarily on either precipitation or nucleation, without fully exploring their combined impact. Our study introduces a computational framework that integrates classical nucleation theory with the micro‐continuum method. We validated our model by comparing with experiments, and discovered that different surface nucleation rate changes the mode of precipitation from a preferential to uniform precipitate textures. Furthermore, our study uncovered that the conventional deterministic precipitation method tends to underestimate the permeability of the porous matrix. In contrast, the new framework significantly improves model accuracy by incorporating preferential precipitation and heterogeneous nucleation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Evaluating importance maps for TRIPOLI-4{sup R} using deterministic or on-line methods - 25446

Variance reduction is a key ingredient for solving radiation-protection problems with Monte-Carlo particle-transport codes. Many variance-reduction methods require the definition of an importance map and exhibit optimal performance if the importance map is given by the adjoint flux, the solution of the adjoint Boltzmann equation. This paper presents the implementation of the Consistent Adjoint-Driven Importance Sampling (CADIS) methodology via a coupling between the TRIPOLI-4 R Monte-Carlo particle-transport code and the IDT deterministic solver, Additionally, we describe the implementation of a new TRIPOLI-4 R score that makes it possible to estimate the adjoint flux during a direct Monte-Carlo calculation. These new features are expected to simplify the solution of difficult shielding problems. (authors)

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Optimal Electrification Using Renewable Energies: Microgrid Installation Model with Combined Mixture k-Means Clustering Algorithm, Mixed Integer Linear Programming, and Onsset Method

Optimal planning and design of microgrids are priorities in the electrification of off-grid areas. Indeed, in one of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG 7), the UN recommends universal access to electricity for all at the lowest cost. Several optimization methods with different strategies have been proposed in the literature as ways to achieve this goal. This paper proposes a microgrid installation and planning model based on a combination of several techniques. The programming language Python 3.10 was used in conjunction with machine learning techniques such as unsupervised learning based on K-means clustering and deterministic optimization methods based on mixed linear programming. These methods were complemented by the open-source spatial method for optimal electrification planning: onsset. Four levels of study were carried out. The first level consisted of simulating the model obtained with a cluster, which is considered based on the elbow and k-means clustering method as a case study. The second level involved sizing the microgrid with a capacity of 40 kW and optimizing all the resources available on site. The example of the different resources in the Togo case was considered. At the third level, the work consisted of proposing an optimal connection model for the microgrid based on voltage stability constraints and considering, above all, the capacity limit of the source substation. Finally, the fourth level involved a planning study of electrification strategies based mainly on microgrids according to the study scenario. The results of the first level of study enabled us to obtain an optimal location for the centroid of the cluster under consideration, according to the different load positions of this cluster. Then, the results of the second level of study were used to highlight the optimal resources obtained and proposed by the optimization model formulated based on the various technology costs, such as investment, maintenance, and operating costs, which were based on the technical limits of the various technologies. In these results, solar systems account for 80% of the maximum load considered, compared to 7.5% for wind systems and 12.5% for battery systems. Next, an optimal microgrid connection model was proposed based on the constraints of a voltage stability limit estimated to be 10% of the maximum voltage drop. The results obtained for the third level of study enabled us to present selective results for load nodes in relation to the source station node. Finally, the last results made it possible to plan electrification using different network technologies and systems in the short and long term. The case study of Togo was taken into account. The various results obtained from the different techniques provide the necessary leads for a feasibility study for optimal electrification of off-grid areas using microgrid systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

An adaptive sampling augmented Lagrangian method for stochastic optimization with deterministic constraints

The primary goal of this paper is to provide an efficient solution algorithm based on the augmented Lagrangian framework for optimization problems with a stochastic objective function and deterministic constraints. Our main contribution is combining the augmented Lagrangian framework with adaptive sampling, resulting in an efficient optimization methodology validated with practical examples. To achieve the presented efficiency, here we consider inexact solutions for the augmented Lagrangian subproblems, and through an adaptive sampling mechanism, we control the variance in the gradient estimates. Furthermore, we analyze the theoretical performance of the proposed scheme by showing equivalence to a gradient descent algorithm on a Moreau envelope function, and we prove sublinear convergence for convex objectives and linear convergence for strongly convex objectives with affine equality constraints. The worst-case sample complexity of the resulting algorithm, for an arbitrary choice of penalty parameter in the augmented Lagrangian function, is $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -3-δ ) , where ϵ > 0 is the expected error of the solution and δ > 0 is a user-defined parameter. If the penalty parameter is chosen to be $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -1 ), we demonstrate that the result can be improved to $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -2 ) , which is competitive with the other methods employed in the literature. Moreover, if the objective function is strongly convex with affine equality constraints, we obtain $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -1 log(1/ϵ)) complexity. Finally, we empirically verify the performance of our adaptive sampling augmented Lagrangian framework in machine learning optimization and engineering design problems, including topology optimization of a heat sink with environmental uncertainty.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Parallel multiple-chain DRAM MCMC for large-scale geosteering inversion and uncertainty quantification

Geosteering is the proactive control of a wellbore placement based on the downhole measurements, aiming at maximizing economic production from the well. We report the recent development of azimuthal resistivity logging-whiledrilling (LWD) tools have a much larger depth of detection, thus sets higher demands for geosteering inversion as more unknown parameters need to be taken into account in the earth model to be inverted. For complicated nonlinear problems, traditional deterministic inversion methods are more likely to be trapped near local optima. In general, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inversion methods are more capable of finding the global optimal solution and providing additional uncertainty analyses by sampling from the target distribution. However, MCMC methods usually have the problem of slow convergence. Even though optimization methods like delayed rejection (DR) and adaptive Metropolis (AM) were proposed to speed up the convergence, using MCMC methods to solve geosteering inversion problems may still incur unacceptable time cost. To reduce the sampling cost of MCMC methods, we use parallel multiple-chain DRAM MCMC methods to solve geosteering inverse problems and estimate the corresponding uncertainty. A clustering method, density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN), is applied to select the best solution among many results. Lastly, the simulation results show that running many relatively short MCMC chains for one problem can obtain a similar result as running a long single chain. Besides, avoiding communications between multiple Markov chains during the sampling process yields almost linear scalability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Probabilistic machine learning for battery health diagnostics and prognostics—review and perspectives

Abstract Diagnosing lithium-ion battery health and predicting future degradation is essential for driving design improvements in the laboratory and ensuring safe and reliable operation over a product’s expected lifetime. However, accurate battery health diagnostics and prognostics is challenging due to the unavoidable influence of cell-to-cell manufacturing variability and time-varying operating circumstances experienced in the field. Machine learning approaches informed by simulation, experiment, and field data show enormous promise to predict the evolution of battery health with use; however, until recently, the research community has focused on deterministic modeling methods, largely ignoring the cell-to-cell performance and aging variability inherent to all batteries. To truly make informed decisions regarding battery design in the lab or control strategies for the field, it is critical to characterize the uncertainty in a model’s predictions. After providing an overview of lithium-ion battery degradation, this paper reviews the current state-of-the-art probabilistic machine learning models for health diagnostics and prognostics. Details of the various methods, their advantages, and limitations are discussed in detail with a primary focus on probabilistic machine learning and uncertainty quantification. Last, future trends and opportunities for research and development are discussed.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗