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NASA NTRS1994

Long-range consequences of interplanetary collisions

As Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 races toward its mid-July collision with the planet Jupiter, considerable public attention is focused on catastrophic impacts with the Earth -- in the past and in the future. In recent years calls have been made to develop technologies that could deflect any asteroid or comet on a collision course. Careful consideration must be given to the nature and time scale of the risk and to the cost-effectiveness and possible problems in the suggested solutions. Risk assessment, threat removal, and resources misuse are examined. The greatest concern is to have a poorly informed public -- exerting pressure for means to mitigate even non-existent threats. The only foreseeable solution is a combination of accurate orbit estimation, realistic threat assessment, and effective public education.

Sagan, Carl↗
NASA NTRS1994

Possible radio wave precursors associated with the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9/Jupiter impacts

We suggest that prior to its impact with Jupiter, comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 will behave as an electrical generator in the Jovian magnetosphere, converting planetary rotational energy to electrical energy via a dust/plasma interaction. This electrical energy will then be deposited in the dayside auroral region where it may drive various auroral phenomena including cyclotron radio emission. Such emission could be detected by spacecraft like Ulysses and Galileo many hours prior to the actual comet impact with the upper atmosphere. We apply the theory originally developed to explain the spokes in Saturn's rings. This theory allows us to quantify the driving potential associated with the comet and, consequently, to determine the radio power created in the auroral region. We conclude that if enough fine dust is present in the cometary system, comet-induced auroral radio emissions will reach detectable levels. This emission should be observable in the dayside hemisphere about 12-24 hours prior to each fragment impact.

Farrell, W. M.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact 1994 Animation Reel

This video contains computer generated simulations of the impact of comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 with Jupiter that will take place in July 1994. The simulations display the event from a number of vantage points including earth view, views from orbit, and views from the surface of Jupiter's moons.

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NASA NTRS1994

Aeronautics and Space Reports Number 267: Comet Impacts Jupiter

This video contains three different segments of computer generated simulations of the impact of comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 with Jupiter that will take place in July 1994. It includes interviews with Shoemaker and Levy, discussing pictures taken at Palomar Observatory, the comet's approach to Jupiter, fragment size, and the affects of the comet's impact on Jupiter and its atmosphere. The impact will be viewed by the Galileo spacecraft.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact Tape 1

Continued press coverage of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 impact on the surface of Jupiter is presented. This tape covers 16 Jul. 1994.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact Tape 2

Continued press coverage of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 impact on the surface of Jupiter is presented. This tape covers 16 Jul. 1994.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact Tape 4

Continued press coverage of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 impact on the surface of Jupiter is presented. This tape covers 18 Jul. 1994.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact Tape 5

Continued press coverage of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 impact on the surface of Jupiter is presented. This tape covers 19 Jul. 1994.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact Tape 6

Continued press coverage of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 impact on the surface of Jupiter is presented. This tape covers 20 Jul. 1994.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact Tape 7

Continued press coverage of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 impact on the surface of Jupiter is presented. This tape covers 21 Jul. 1994.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact Tape 8

Continued press coverage of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 impact on the surface of Jupiter is presented. This tape covers 22 Jul. 1994.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Impact Tape 3

Continued press coverage of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 impact on the surface of Jupiter is presented. This tape covers 17 Jul. 1994.

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NASA NTRS1994

Global oscillation amplitudes excited by the Jupiter-comet collision

The energy released during the collision of fragments of comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 with Jupiter in 1994 July may excite a spectrum of global oscillation modes. We estimate the maximum amplitudes to which the p-modes, discontinuity modes, inertial modes, and r-modes can be excited by assuming that the full kinetic energy of the fragment, which we take to be 10(exp 30) ergs, is converted into the energy of each individual mode. We have used two realistics Jovian models as the basis for our estimates: one with and one without the predicted 'plasma phase transition' (PPT) of hydrogen. A density discontinuity in the planet's hydrogen-helium envelope is associated with the PPT. We find that high-frequency p-modes, with periods approximately less than 15 minutes, may be excited to sufficiently large amplitudes to be observable as Doppler shifts (velocity amplitudes approximately greater than serveral m/s) or temperature variations (delta(T) approximately greater than 0.01 K) at the planetary surface. Inertial modes may also be observable. If the PPT exists in Jupiter, inertial modes with periods approximately 8 hr or approximately 2.2 days trapped in the surface region of the planet, above the PPT, may be detectable as temperature fluctuations of order delta(T) approximately 0.01 K. Inertial modes with periods of order 8-8.5 hr appear to be particularly strongly excited if the PPT exists. If the PPT does not exist in Jupiter, intertial modes with periods approximately 8-8.5 hr have much lower amplitudes. In this case, inertial modes with periods longer than approximately 18 hr may produce temperature fluctuations of order delta(T) approximately 0.01 K. Discontinuity modes associated with the PPT and r-modes unfortunately may not reach observable amplitudes.

Lee, U.↗
NASA NTRS1994

New jovian ring?

We follow the orbital evolution of small dust particles generated from the break up of comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 (SL9). In addition to the usual perturbations, we also consider electrostatic charging and the consequent magnetospheric effects. We show, that in about ten years following the break up, a small fraction of the dust will settle into orbits well inside the magnetosphere. The forming ring will be comprised of dust particles with radii in the range of 1.5 less than alpha less than 2.5 micrometers that follow retrograde orbits in the radial range of 4.5 less than r less than 6 R(sub J). We estimate the peak optical depth of this new ring in the range of 10(exp -8) less than tau(sub max) less than 2 x 10(exp -6).

Horanyi, Mihaly↗
NASA NTRS1994

Impacts with the Earth and Jupiter

The Earth has been subject to impacts from comets and asteroids since its formation, and such impacts have played an important role in the evolution of life on our planet. We now recognize not only the historical role of impacts, but the contemporary hazard posed by such events. In the absence of a complete census of potentially threatening Earth-crossing asteroids or comets (called collectively Near Earth Objects, or NEOs), or even of a comprehensive current search program to identify NEOs, we can consider the hazard only from a probabilistic perspective. In general, the larger the object the greater the hazard, even when allowance is made for the infrequency of large impacts. Most of the danger to human life is associated with impacts by objects roughly 2 km or larger (energy greater than 1 million megatons), which can inject sufficient submicrometer dust into the atmosphere to produce a severe short-term global cooling with subsequent loss of crops, leading to starvation. Hazard estimates suggest that the chance of such an event occurring during a human lifetime is about 1:5000, and the global probability of death from such impacts is of the order of 1:20000, values that can be compared with risks associated with other natural hazards such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, and severe storms. The widely-observed impact of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 with Jupiter in July 1994 provides a graphic example of such an interplanetary collision and is stimulating worldwide interest in protecting our planet against cosmic impact catastrophes.

Morrison, David↗
NASA NTRS1994

Comet Shoemaker-Levy Impact: Briefing

A panel discussion held on May 18, 1994, about the impact of the P/Shoemaker-Levy 9 (SL9) comet with Jupiter and its observable effects on Jupiter's atmosphere, rings, satellites, and magnetosphere, is presented. Before the panel discussion animations show the first nuclei impact, collision with Jupiter's night side (5 of the 22 known fragments of P/Shoemaker-Levy 9; N, P2, P1, Q2, and Q1), and simulated views of the Shoemaker-Levy 9 comet impact with Jupiter (from Earth and Galileo spacecraft) were presented. The panelists are: Dr. Eugene Shoemaker (from Lowell Observatory and US Geological Survey), the moderator and Shoemaker-Levy co-discoverer; Dr. Hal Weaver (from Space Telescope Science Institute); Dr. Lucy McFadden (from University of California-San Diego and the University of Maryland); Dr Melissa McGrath (from Space Telescope Science Institute); and Dr. Heidi Hammel (from Massachusetts Institute of Technology). Topics discussed include: interactions of cometary material with Jupiter's atmosphere, dynamical parameters of Jupiter's troposphere and stratosphere, and Hubble Space Telescope (HST) Observations of the SL9 Impacts on Jupiter's Atmosphere.The panel answered some of the audience's questions at the end of the discussion. This video, Part 2 (of 2), is a continuation of Part 1. It presents the second part of the question and answer session and a replay of the animations.

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NASA NTRS1994

Comet Shoemaker-Levy Impact: Briefing

A panel discussion held on May 18, 1994, about the impact of the P/Shoemaker-Levy 9 (SL9) comet with Jupiter and its observable effects on Jupiter's atmosphere, rings, satellites, and magnetosphere, is presented. Before the panel discussion animations show the first nuclei impact, collision with Jupiter's night side (5 of the 22 known fragments of P/Shoemaker-Levy 9; N, P2, P1, Q2, and Q1), and simulated views of the Shoemaker-Levy 9 comet impact with Jupiter (from Earth and Galileo spacecraft) were presented. The panelists are: Dr. Eugene Shoemaker (from Lowell Observatory and US Geological Survey), the moderator and Shoemaker-Levy co-discoverer; Dr. Hal Weaver (from Space Telescope Science Institute); Dr. Lucy McFadden (from University of California-San Diego and the University of Maryland); Dr Melissa McGrath (from Space Telescope Science Institute); and Dr. Heidi Hammel (from Massachusetts Institute of Technology). Topics discussed include: interactions of cometary material with Jupiter's atmosphere, dynamical parameters of Jupiter's troposphere and stratosphere, and Hubble Space Telescope (HST) Observations of the SL9 Impacts on Jupiter's Atmosphere.The panel answered some of the audience's questions at the end of the discussion. This video, Part 1 (of 2), presents the panel discussion and part of the question and answer session.

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