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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Critical Infrastructure Classification via CNN-based Modeling and Image Analysis

With recent advances in the fields of satellite imagery and machine learning we now have the ability to develop explainable deep learning models that enhance critical infrastructure analysis. Funded through Idaho National Laboratory’s (INL) Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) office we are in the process of developing a deep learning model capable of identifying critical infrastructure facilities and embedded features within those facilities. Utilizing current limit of practice techniques in the machine learning areas of explainability and transfer learning our model, once complete, will have the capacity to be used on multiple different imagery data sets and produce results that not only classify critical infrastructure facilities, but also explain why a critical infrastructure facility was classified as a certain type of facility. These advancements eliminate the ‘black box’ approach deep learning models have had in the past, where a user will have to trust the conclusion of a model without understanding what reasoning when into the model’s classification process. They also expand a model’s usefulness, traditionally a deep learning model will have to use the same data set it was originally trained on. Given the long training times of deep learning models this is impractical in a number of scenarios. By utilizing transfer learning advancements, we are eliminating the need to train our model on the same data set it is then run on to classify critical infrastructure facilities. We are also enabling the analysis and classification of data sets that are potentially too small to be divided into a training and testing data set. Once completed this model can provide a foundation to enhanced critical infrastructure analysis, dependency analysis, and potential disaster relief efforts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine Learning and IAST-Aided High-Throughput Screening of Cationic and Silica Zeolites for Alkane Capture, Storage, and Separations

We present an approach for quantitatively predicting the temperature-dependent single-component adsorption behavior of linear alkanes in silica and Na-exchanged cationic zeolites using machine learning (ML) models trained from extensive molecular simulations based on force fields with coupled cluster accuracy. A high-performing classification model was developed to distinguish between instances with negligible and non-negligible adsorption. Subsequently, two ML models were trained to predict the single-component adsorption loading and the heat of adsorption at any pressure at 300 K for any zeolite topology and silicon-to-aluminum ratio. The ML models were trained on International Zeolite Association (IZA) zeolites, and their transferability to hypothetical zeolites was successfully validated. We then expand the power of these predictions to adsorbed mixtures at arbitrary temperatures by integrating them with the Clausius–Clapeyron equation and ideal adsorbed solution theory (IAST). This approach was validated and then applied to a temperature swing adsorption separation process to demonstrate its practical utility. We demonstrate how predictions from this ML-enabled approach can allow the selection of high-performing materials that are then validated using detailed molecular simulations based on quantitatively accurate force fields.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Photovoltaic System Health-State Architecture for Data-Driven Failure Detection

The timely detection of photovoltaic (PV) system failures is important for maintaining optimal performance and lifetime reliability. A main challenge remains the lack of a unified health-state architecture for the uninterrupted monitoring and predictive performance of PV systems. To this end, existing failure detection models are strongly dependent on the availability and quality of site-specific historic data. The scope of this work is to address these fundamental challenges by presenting a health-state architecture for advanced PV system monitoring. The proposed architecture comprises of a machine learning model for PV performance modeling and accurate failure diagnosis. The predictive model is optimally trained on low amounts of on-site data using minimal features and coupled to functional routines for data quality verification, whereas the classifier is trained under an enhanced supervised learning regime. The results demonstrated high accuracies for the implemented predictive model, exhibiting normalized root mean square errors lower than 3.40% even when trained with low data shares. The classification results provided evidence that fault conditions can be detected with a sensitivity of 83.91% for synthetic power-loss events (power reduction of 5%) and of 97.99% for field-emulated failures in the test-bench PV system. Finally, this work provides insights on how to construct an accurate PV system with predictive and classification models for the timely detection of faults and uninterrupted monitoring of PV systems, regardless of historic data availability and quality. Such guidelines and insights on the development of accurate health-state architectures for PV plants can have positive implications in operation and maintenance and monitoring strategies, thus improving the system’s performance.

photovoltaics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Predicting Drug Effects from High-dimensional Asymmetric Drug Data Sets using Graph Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Analysis of Multi-target Drug Effect Prediction

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have emerged as one of the most effective Machine learning (ML) techniques for drug effect prediction from drug molecular graphs. Despite having immense potential, GNN models lack performance when using data sets that contain high dimensional asymmetrically co-occurrent drug effects as targets with complex correlations between them. Training individual learning models for each drug effect and incorporating every prediction result for a wide spectrum of drug effects is beyond practicality. Such an implication provides a testbed to address this challenge as multi-target prediction problems, aiming to predict all drug effects at a time. We develop standard and hybrid graph neural networks (GNNs)to perform two separate tasks that are multi-regression for continuous values and multi-label classification for categorical values contained in our data sets. Since this step makes the target data even more sparse and introduces asymmetric label co-occurrence, the learning of multi-label classification models becomes difficult and heavily impacts the GNN's performance. To address these challenges, we propose a new data oversampling technique to improve multi-label classification performances on all the given imbalanced molecular graph data sets. Using the technique, we improve the data imbalance ratio of the drug effects better than before while protecting the data set's integrity. Finally, we evaluate multi-label classification performance using the best-performant hybrid GNN model on all the oversampled data sets obtained from the proposed oversampling technique. These results outperform those of other ML models including GNN models when they are trained on the original data sets or oversampled data sets using MLSMOTE (a well-known oversampling technique) in all evaluation metrics precision, recall, and F1 score by a significant margin.

Bose, Avishek [ORNL]↗
DOE OSTI2021

Improving Convection Trigger Functions in Deep Convective Parameterization Schemes Using Machine Learning

Abstract Deficiencies in convection trigger functions, used in deep convection parameterizations in General Circulation Models (GCMs), have critical impacts on climate simulations. A novel convection trigger function is developed using the machine learning (ML) classification model XGBoost. The large‐scale environmental information associated with convective events is obtained from the long‐term constrained variational analysis forcing data from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program at its Southern Great Plains (SGP) and Manaus (MAO) sites representing, respectively, continental mid‐latitude and tropical convection. The ML trigger is separately trained and evaluated per site, and jointly trained and evaluated at both sites as a unified trigger. The performance of the ML trigger is compared with four convective trigger functions commonly used in GCMs: dilute convective available potential energy (CAPE), undilute CAPE, dilute dynamic CAPE (dCAPE), and undilute dCAPE. The ML trigger substantially outperforms the four CAPE‐based triggers in terms of the F 1 score metric, widely used to estimate the performance of ML methods. The site‐specific ML trigger functions can achieve, respectively, 91% and 93% F 1 scores at SGP and MAO. The unified trigger also has a 91% F 1 score, with virtually no degradation from the site‐specific training, suggesting the potential of a global ML trigger function. The ML trigger alleviates a GCM deficiency regarding the overprediction of convection occurrence, offering a promising improvement to the simulation of the diurnal cycle of precipitation. Furthermore, to overcome the black box issue of the ML methods, insights derived from the ML model are discussed, which may be leveraged to improve traditional CAPE‐based triggers.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Understanding and Explicitly Measuring Linguistic and Stylistic Properties of Deception via Generation and Translation

Massive digital disinformation is one of the main risks of modern society. Hundreds of models and linguistic analyses have been done to compare and contrast misleading and credible content online. However, most models do not remove the confounding factor of a topic or narrative when training, so the resulting models learn a clear topical separation for misleading versus credible content. We study the feasibility of using two strategies to disentangle the topic bias from the models to understand and explicitly measure linguistic and stylistic properties of content from misleading versus credible content. First, we develop conditional generative models to create news content that is characteristic of different credibility levels. We perform multi-dimensional evaluation of model performance on mimicking both the style and linguistic differences that distinguish news of different credibility using machine translation metrics and classification models. We show that even though generative models are able to imitate both the style and language of the original content, additional conditioning on both the news category and the topic leads to reduced performance. In a second approach, we perform deception style ``transfer" by translating deceptive content into the style of credible content and vice versa. Extending earlier studies, we demonstrate that, when conditioned on a topic, deceptive content is shorter, less readable, more biased, and more subjective than credible content, and transferring the style from deceptive to credible content is more challenging than the opposite direction.

Saldanha, Emily G.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Deep Generative Modeling of Periodic Variable Stars Using Physical Parameters

The ability to generate physically plausible ensembles of variable sources is critical to the optimization of time domain survey cadences and the training of classification models on data sets with few to no labels. Traditional data augmentation techniques expand training sets by reenvisioning observed exemplars, seeking to simulate observations of specific training sources under different (exogenous) conditions. Unlike fully theory-driven models, these approaches do not typically allow principled interpolation nor extrapolation. Moreover, the principal drawback of theory-driven models lies in the prohibitive computational cost of simulating source observables from ab initio parameters. In this work, we propose a computationally tractable machine learning approach to generate realistic light curves of periodic variables capable of integrating physical parameters and variability classes as inputs. Our deep generative model, inspired by the transparent latent space generative adversarial networks, uses a variational autoencoder (VAE) architecture with temporal convolutional network layers, trained using the OGLE-III optical light curves and physical characteristics (e.g., effective temperature and absolute magnitude) from Gaia DR2. A test using the temperature–shape relationship of RR Lyrae demonstrates the efficacy of our generative “physics-enhanced latent space VAE” (PELS-VAE) model. Such deep generative models, serving as nonlinear nonparametric emulators, present a novel tool for astronomers to create synthetic time series over arbitrary cadences.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Data Driven Fault Detection of Premixer Centerbody Degradation in a Swirl Combustor

This paper introduces a data-driven framework for combustor-focused, performance-based condition monitoring of gas turbines. Commercial condition monitoring systems typically generate huge amounts of data that make efficient onboard monitoring challenging. This paper focuses on quantifying combustor component degradation, using premixer centerbody degradation in a swirl stabilized combustor as a case study. The input for these analyses is acoustic pressure measurements acquired at various locations on the combustor. The diagnosis methodology is based on a classification framework and consists of 3 steps: 1) Data curation, 2) Feature Engineering, and 3) Diagnosis. Data curation ensures good quality of the data that is passed through the algorithm. Feature engineering deals with the extraction of the most informative features, from the most informative sensors, that can accurately capture the introduced fault. To perform diagnosis, the classification model is trained using experimentally acquired data and is then tested on a separate data set. The framework was able to achieve high classification accuracy (>99%) for training size as low as 30% of the total recorded observations. The low number of features required to achieve this accuracy suggests high potential for integration into existing onboard condition monitoring systems.

data driven methods, fault detection, swirl flames↗
DOE OSTI2024

Topological Interpretability for Deep Learning

With the growing adoption of AI-based systems across everyday life, the need to understand their decision-making mechanisms is correspondingly increasing. The level at which we can trust the statistical inferences made from AI-based decision systems is an increasing concern, especially in high-risk systems such as criminal justice or medical diagnosis, where incorrect inferences may have tragic consequences. Despite their successes in providing solutions to problems involving real-world data, deep learning (DL) models cannot quantify the certainty of their predictions. These models are frequently quite confident, even when their solutions are incorrect. This work presents a method to infer prominent features in two DL classification models trained on clinical and non-clinical text by employing techniques from topological and geometric data analysis. We create a graph of a model's feature space and cluster the inputs into the graph's vertices by the similarity of features and prediction statistics. We then extract subgraphs demonstrating high-predictive accuracy for a given label. These subgraphs contain a wealth of information about features that the DL model has recognized as relevant to its decisions. We infer these features for a given label using a distance metric between probability measures, and demonstrate the stability of our method compared to the LIME and SHAP interpretability methods. This work establishes that we may gain insights into the decision mechanism of a DL model. This method allows us to ascertain if the model is making its decisions based on information germane to the problem or identifies extraneous patterns within the data.

Spannaus, Adam↗
DOE OSTI2025

Demystifying the Resilience of Large Language Models: An End-to-End Perspective

Deep neural networks are known to be resilient to random bit-wise faults in their parameters. However, this resilience has primarily been established through evaluations of classification models. The extent to which this claim holds for large-language models remains underexplored. In this work, we conduct an extensive measurement study on the impact of random bitwise faults in commercial-scale language models. We perform an in-depth analysis of the resulting generation outputs. We first expose that these language models are not truly resilient to random bit-flips. While aggregate metrics such as accuracy may suggest resilience, an in-depth inspection of the generated outputs shows significant degradation in text quality. Our analysis also shows that tasks requiring more complex reasoning suffer more from performance and quality degradation. Moreover, we extend our analysis to models with augmented reasoning capabilities, such as Chain-of-Thought or Mixture of Experts architectures, and characterize their failure scenarios under random bit-flips.

Sun, Yu↗
DOE OSTI2022

Deep Learning-Assisted Real-Time Forward Modeling of Electromagnetic Logging in Complex Formations

Higher dimensional (i.e., 2-D and 3-D) modeling is indispensable to correctly evaluate the responses of electromagnetic logging tools in complex formation environments. However, limited by the high computational cost of rigorous modeling such as finite difference method and the finite element method, the real-time applications in the well logging industry primarily rely on the 1-D forward solver, which would result in erroneous formation evaluation for complex scenarios. As a result, aiming at realizing fast modeling for electromagnetic logging tools in complex formations, this paper proposes a general framework assisted by deep neural networks (DNNs). The framework consists of three modules: earth model classification, parameter extraction, and surrogate construction. Separate DNNs are trained and tested for different modules. The accuracy and efficiency of the DNN assisted fast modeling are validated by several experiments. Here, this study finds that the fast modeling assisted by DNNs is able to calculate the tool responses and reconstruct the subsurface formations in real-time.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the transferability of residence time distributions in two 10-km long river sections with similar hydromorphic units

Quantifying hydrologic exchange fluxes (HEFs) at the stream-groundwater interface and their residence time distributions (RTDs) in the subsurface are important for managing the water quality and ecosystem health in dynamic river corridors. However, direct simulating high-spatial resolution HEFs and RTDs can be time-consuming, especially for watershed-scale modeling. Efficient surrogate models linking RTDs to hydromorphic units (HUs) can be alternatives for simulating RTDs in large-scale models. A common concern of these surrogate models, though, is the transferability of the relationship between the RTDs and HUs from one river corridor to another. To address this issue, this work evaluates the HEFs and resulting RTD-HU relationships for two 10-km long river corridors along the Columbia River leveraging a one-way coupled three-dimensional transient surface-subsurface water transport modeling framework we previously developed. Applying such a framework at the two river corridors with similar HUs allows for quantitative comparisons of HEFs and RTDs using both statistical tests and machine learning classification models. Finally, our comparison shows that the similarity and transferability of the RTD-HU relationship is very low for the two investigated river sections, which suggests that devising a general algorithm to estimate RTDs based solely on surface water hydrodynamics and short-distance river channel topography data, as well as HU classification, might be nearly impossible.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

BFSVBF (BatFinder Smart Video BioFilter) [SWR-22-87] and Multi-class BatFinder Smart Video BioFilter Keras

Bats are notoriously difficult to study, therefore, identifying specific behavioral trends and the precise environmental conditions at the time of collision requires a monitoring solution that can reliably collect relevant data. To date, thermal infrared video surveillance has been extensively applied to study bats and has proven to be a powerful yet cumbersome tool. Current analytical approaches are time consuming because data processing data has not been fully automated. In the past, steps have been taken to record avian and bat activity in conjunction with complicated image processing techniques that separate species from other moving objects within the field of view (i.e. clouds and portions of the wind turbine). Once the videos are collected, the post-processing does not allow real time monitoring and identification, leading to a delay in both studying the behavior of these species and determining the effectiveness of any impact reduction strategy being studied. Moreover, object identification capability is lacking, thus limiting the usefulness of video data. To resolve these issues, we are using open source computer vision and machine learning techniques allowing for automatic detection of objects in real-time with the ability to correlate these objects with environmental variables and recording the flight paths of each object. The code has gone through five rounds of development with images used to train the models. This advancement allows for automated real-time data collection, identification, and tracking, thereby eliminating the need for long and tedious post-analysis processing of the videos. We will discuss the two open source and publicly available machine learning models developed within this scope of this work: 1) a binary model with a 97.5% accuracy in identifying the difference between an object and an empty scene, including wind turbine and clouds; and 2) a multiple classification model with the capability of identifying the type of object detected: bats (90% accuracy), birds (83% accuracy), insects (69% accuracy) and non-biological (99% accuracy).

Yarbrough, John↗
DOE OSTI2021

Fault Detection Utilizing Convolution Neural Network on Timeseries Synchrophasor Data From Phasor Measurement Units

An end-to-end supervised learning method is proposed for fault detection in the electric grid using Big Data from multiple Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs). The approach consists of preprocessing steps aimed at reducing data noise and dimensionality, followed by utilization of six classification models considered for detecting faults. Three of the models were variants of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architectures that consider a single type of measurement (voltage, current or frequency) at all PMUs or all types together also at all PMUs. CNN based models were compared to traditional methods of Logistic Regression (LR), Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Evaluation was conducted on two-year data measured by PMUs at 37 locations in a large electric grid. Here, the response variable for classification were extracted from the grid-wide outage event log. Experiments show that CNN-based models outperformed traditional methods on one year out-of-sample outage detection over the entire grid.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Federated Machine Learning-Based Anomaly Detection System for Synchrophasor Network Using Heterogeneous Data Sets: Preprint

Synchrophasor technology is widely deployed in the energy management system to monitor the grid health at micro level and perform necessary corrective actions in real time; however, integrated phasor devices and data aggregators are exposed to several cybersecurity threats. This paper proposes a federated ML(FML)-based ADS to detect several data integrity attacks in the synchrophasor network. The proposed approach integrates the horizontal FML technique and consists of substation-based local models and a control center-based global model. The proposed methodology includes training local models using heterogeneous data sets that include network and grid information and updating the global model through multiple iterations by sharing model gradients. Finally, the trained global model is applied to identify cyberattacks, normal operation, and physical events. To validate the proof of concept, we used synthetic data sets generated by Mississippi State University and Oak Ridge National Laboratory for training and testing the classification models using the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's high performance computing resources. Our experimental results, computed through several performance measures, reveal that the proposed approach shows consistent performance during the binary, three-class, and multiclass classifications while ensuring privacy of synchrophasor data.

anomaly detection system↗
DOE OSTI2022

Predicting Search Task Difficulty through a Discrete‐Time Action Log Representation on Spectrum Kernel

ABSTRACT Predicting perceived difficulty on a web search task is an open problem in the interactive information retrieval field. A common approach to tackle it, is through features obtained from full search sessions, which are then used to train classification models. In this poster we attempt to predict perceived task difficulty at different stages of the search process. To do so, we use the spectrum kernel for support vector machine (SVM) classification. Our preliminary results suggest that by using behavioral data from the first query segment, it is possible to provide timely classifications of whether a search task is perceived as hard or easy.

Gacitúa, Daniel↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data and scripts associated with a manuscript on residence time distribution simulation in two 10-kilometer long river sections

This data package is associated with the publication “On the Transferability of Residence Time Distributions in Two 10-km Long River Sections with Similar Hydromorphic Units” submitted to the Journal of Hydrology (Bao et al. 2024).Quantifying hydrologic exchange fluxes (HEFs) at the stream-groundwater interface, along with their residence time distributions (RTDs) in the subsurface, is crucial for managing water quality and ecosystem health in dynamic river corridors. However, directly simulating high-spatial resolution HEFs and RTDs can be a time-consuming process, particularly for watershed-scale modeling. Efficient surrogate models that link RTDs to hydromorphic units (HUs) may serve as alternatives for simulating RTDs in large-scale models. One common concern with these surrogate models, however, is the transferability of the relationship between the RTDs and HUs from one river corridor to another. To address this, we evaluated the HEFs and the resulting RTD-HU relationships for two 10-kilometer-long river corridors along the Columbia River, using a one-way coupled three-dimensional transient surface-subsurface water transport modeling framework that we previously developed. Applying this framework to the two river corridors with similar HUs allows for quantitative comparisons of HEFs and RTDs using both statistical tests and machine learning classification models. This data package includes the model inputs files and the simulation results data. This data package contains 10 folders. The modeling simulation results data are in the folders 100H_pt_data and 300area_pt_data, for the study domain Hanford 100H and 300 area respectively. The remaining eight folders contain the scripts and data to generate the manuscript figures. The file-level metadata file (Bao_2024_Residence_Time_Distribution _flmd.csv) includes a list of all files contained in this data package and descriptions for each. The data dictionary file (Bao_2024_Residence_Time_Distribution _dd.csv) includes column header definitions and units of all tabular files.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Semi-supervised Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for the Qualification of Resistance Spot Welds

• Industries requiring high structural integrity, including automotive, aerospace, and construction, place considerable significance on weld quality classification. • The inspection normally involves human expertise through predefined quality metrics that are subjective, error-prone, and time-intensive • The challenge to classification model development is the scarcity of labeled data and imbalanced distributions in the data that are labeled. • This work develops a new hybrid methodology that achieves clustering using KMeans++ together with supervised classification to overcome these challenges. • The ensemble-based classifiers were identified as optimal, with accuracy enhancements of up to 8% using the pseudo-labeled dataset. • The work provides practical insight into feature engineering and machine learning integration in industrial quality assurance applications.

Rogers, Jeremy K. [Savannah River National Laborat↗