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Development of the TREAT M2 experiment as a transient benchmark

A transient benchmark based on the Transient Reactor Test Facility (TREAT) M2 Calibration experiment (M2-CAL) is under development. TREAT, at Idaho National Laboratory, is a graphite moderated air-cooled research reactor which has been used extensively for fuel material testing under extreme and accident conditions. Accurate benchmark models are a beneficial component in the operations, experimental planning, and development of TREAT. In this work, we present a transient benchmark model for the M2-CAL experiment core loading. The benchmark model incorporates the coupling between the Monte Carlo Code SERPENT and the computational fluid dynamics code OpenFOAM to capture the temperature feedback mechanism. The M2-CAL transient 2580 was simulated in this work. A pre-transient analysis was performed to determine the optimum core composition and conditions before the beginning of the transient. The analysis was validated against historic TREAT kinetic measurements and the worth of the transient rod T-2. The axial power distribution in the flux wire for the M2-CAL experiment was determined and contrasted with the experiment. The model was then used to simulate the M2-CAL transient 2580 experiment based on the reported pre-transient and transient conditions. Several transient observables were calculated and compared to the experiment. The model shows good agreement with the experimental power traces, period, and average increase of power at the power ramp (time > 7.8 s). Inverse point kinetics analysis was performed during the period of the power ramp for the model and the experiment based on that, the temperature feedback component was isolated and contrasted with the experimental feedback. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

The Caltech-NRAO Stripe 82 Survey (CNSS) Paper. I. The Pilot Radio Transient Survey in 50 Deg.(exp. 2)

We have commenced a multiyear program, the Caltech-NRAO Stripe 82 Survey (CNSS), to search for radio transients with the Jansky VLA in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Stripe 82 region. The CNSS will deliver five epochs over the entire approx. 270 deg.(exp. 2) of Stripe 82, an eventual deep combined map with an rms noise of approx. 40 proper motion epoch y and catalogs at a frequency of 3 GHz, and having a spatial resolution of 3 inches. This first paper presents the results from an initial pilot survey of a 50 deg.(exp. 2) region of Stripe 82, involving four epochs spanning logarithmic timescales between 1 week and 1.5 yr, with the combined map having a median rms noise of 35 proper motion epoch y. This pilot survey enabled the development of the hardware and software for rapid data processing, as well as transient detection and follow-up, necessary for the full 270 deg.(exp. 2) survey. Data editing, calibration, imaging, source extraction, cataloging, and transient identification were completed in a semi-automated fashion within 6 hr of completion of each epoch of observations, using dedicated computational hardware at the NRAO in Socorro and custom-developed data reduction and transient detection pipelines. Classification of variable and transient sources relied heavily on the wealth of multiwavelength legacy survey data in the Stripe 82 region, supplemented by repeated mapping of the region by the Palomar Transient Factory. A total of 3.9(+0.5%/-0.9%) of the few thousand detected point sources werefound to vary by greater than 30%, consistent with similar studies at 1.4 and 5 GHz. Multiwavelength photometric data and light curves suggest that the variability is mostly due to shock-induced flaring in the jets of active galactic nuclei (AGNs). Although this was only a pilot survey, we detected two bona fide transients, associated with an RS CVn binary and a dKe star. Comparison with existing legacy survey data (FIRST, VLA-Stripe 82) revealed additional highly variable and transient sources on timescales between 5 and 20 yr, largely associated with renewed AGN activity. The rates of such AGNs possibly imply episodes of enhanced accretion and jet activity occurring once every approx. 40,000 yr in these galaxies. We compile the revised radio transient rates and make recommendations for future transient surveys and joint radio-optical experiments.

galaxies: active – radio continuum: galaxies –↗

Transient Optimization of a Gas Turbine Engine

Gas turbine engines are the primary power plants for modern commercial aircraft. Transients prompted by significant changes in thrust or power demand are common and unavoidable. Extreme transient scenarios such as those associated with a go-around during a landing attempt are possible and must be accounted for in the design of the engine and its controller. Engine transients tend to cause a reduction in compressor operability margin, which must be addressed by the engine control system and accounted for in the engine design to prevent events such as compressor stall/surge and combustor blow out. Transient operability concerns typically lead to compromises in the engine design that sacrifice efficiency and/or limit responsiveness. Transient operability is typically managed by logic that limits the fuel flow command. If this logic is not optimized, then the potential for valuable performance could be lost. This study presents a strategy for optimizing the transient limit logic and proposes a strategy for updating the control logic over the lifespan of the engine. The results demonstrate significant improvements in transient operability. For example, of the results at sea level static conditions demonstrated a 31% reduction in the usage of the high pressure compressor operability stack during a snap acceleration transient. Furthermore, a reinforcement learning algorithm is demonstrated to modify the transient logic as the engine degrades to minimize response time while respecting a prescribed compressor operability margin limit. A simple demonstration of the reinforcement learning algorithm resulted in a thrust response time reduction of ~11.8%.

transient↗

Transient Optimization of a Gas Turbine Engine

Gas turbine engines are the primary power plants for modern commercial aircraft. Transients prompted by significant changes in thrust or power demand are common and unavoidable. Extreme transient scenarios such as those associated with a go-around during a landing attempt are possible and must be accounted for in the design of the engine and its controller. Engine transients tend to cause a reduction in compressor operability margin, which must be addressed by the engine control system and accounted for in the engine design to prevent events such as compressor stall/surge and combustor blow out. Transient operability concerns typically lead to compromises in the engine design that sacrifice efficiency and/or limit responsiveness. Transient operability is typically managed by logic that limits the fuel flow command. If this logic is not optimized, then the potential for valuable performance could be lost. This study presents a strategy for optimizing the transient limit logic and proposes a strategy for updating the control logic over the lifespan of the engine. The results demonstrate significant improvements in transient operability. For example, of the results at sea level static conditions demonstrated a 31% reduction in the usage of the high pressure compressor operability stack during a snap acceleration transient. Furthermore, a reinforcement learning algorithm is demonstrated to modify the transient logic as the engine degrades to minimize response time while respecting a prescribed compressor operability margin limit. A simple demonstration of the reinforcement learning algorithm resulted in a thrust response time reduction of ~11.8%.

transient↗

Transient Optimization of a Gas Turbine Engine

Gas turbine engines are the primary power plants for modern commercial aircraft. Transients prompted by significant changes in thrust or power demand are common and unavoidable. Extreme transient scenarios such as those associated with a go-around during a landing attempt are possible and must be accounted for in the design of the engine and its controller. Engine transients tend to cause a reduction in compressor operability margin, which must be addressed by the engine control system and accounted for in the engine design to prevent events such as compressor stall/surge and combustor blow out. Transient operability concerns typically lead to compromises in the engine design that sacrifice efficiency and/or limit responsiveness. Transient operability is typically managed by logic that limits the fuel flow command. If this logic is not optimized, then the potential for valuable performance could be lost. This study presents a strategy for optimizing the transient limit logic and proposes a strategy for updating the control logic over the lifespan of the engine. The results demonstrate significant improvements in transient operability. For example, of the results at sea level static conditions demonstrated a 31% reduction in the usage of the high pressure compressor operability stack during a snap acceleration transient. Furthermore, a reinforcement learning algorithm is demonstrated to modify the transient logic as the engine degrades to minimize response time while respecting a prescribed compressor operability margin limit. A simple demonstration of the reinforcement learning algorithm resulted in a thrust response time reduction of ~11.8%.

transient↗

Resident and transient coyotes exhibit differential patterns of movement behavior across heterogeneous landscapes in the southeastern United States

Coyotes (Canis latrans) are a highly adaptable canid species whose behavioral plasticity has allowed them to persist in a wide array of habitats throughout North America. As generalists, coyotes can alter movement patterns and change territorial strategies between residency (high site fidelity) and transiency (low site fidelity) to maximize fitness. Uncertainty remains about resident and transient coyote movement patterns and habitat use because research has reached conflicting conclusions regarding patterns of habitat use by both groups. We quantified effects of habitat on resident and transient coyote movement behavior using first passage time (FPT) analysis, which assesses recursive movement along an individual's movement path to delineate where they exhibit area-restricted search (ARS) behaviors relative to habitat attributes. We quantified monthly movement rates for 171 coyotes (76 residents and 53 transients) and then used estimated FPT values in generalized linear mixed models to quantify monthly habitat use for resident and transient coyotes. Transients had greater movement rates than residents across all months except January. Resident FPT values were positively correlated with agricultural land cover during fall and winter, but negatively correlated with agriculture during spring. Resident FPT values were also negatively correlated with developed habitats during May–August, deciduous land cover during June–August, and wetlands during September–January except November. FPT values of transient coyotes were positively correlated with developed areas throughout much of the year and near wetlands during July–September. Transient FPT values were negatively correlated with agriculture during all months except June and July. High FPT values (ARS behavior) of residents and transients were generally correlated with greater densities of edge habitat. Although we observed high individual variation in space use, our study found substantive differences in habitat use between residents and transients, providing further evidence that complexity and plasticity of coyote habitat use is influenced by territorial strategy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Anomaly Detection and Approximate Similarity Searches of Transients in Real-time Data Streams

Abstract We present Lightcurve Anomaly Identification and Similarity Search ( LAISS ), an automated pipeline to detect anomalous astrophysical transients in real-time data streams. We deploy our anomaly detection model on the nightly Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) Alert Stream via the ANTARES broker, identifying a manageable ∼1–5 candidates per night for expert vetting and coordinating follow-up observations. Our method leverages statistical light-curve and contextual host galaxy features within a random forest classifier, tagging transients of rare classes ( spectroscopic anomalies), of uncommon host galaxy environments ( contextual anomalies), and of peculiar or interaction-powered phenomena ( behavioral anomalies). Moreover, we demonstrate the power of a low-latency (∼ms) approximate similarity search method to find transient analogs with similar light-curve evolution and host galaxy environments. We use analogs for data-driven discovery, characterization, (re)classification, and imputation in retrospective and real-time searches. To date, we have identified ∼50 previously known and previously missed rare transients from real-time and retrospective searches, including but not limited to superluminous supernovae (SLSNe), tidal disruption events, SNe IIn, SNe IIb, SNe I-CSM, SNe Ia-91bg-like, SNe Ib, SNe Ic, SNe Ic-BL, and M31 novae. Lastly, we report the discovery of 325 total transients, all observed between 2018 and 2021 and absent from public catalogs (∼1% of all ZTF Astronomical Transient reports to the Transient Name Server through 2021). These methods enable a systematic approach to finding the “needle in the haystack” in large-volume data streams. Because of its integration with the ANTARES broker, LAISS is built to detect exciting transients in Rubin data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Enabling Early Transient Discovery in LSST via Difference Imaging with DECam

We present SLIDE, a pipeline that enables transient discovery in data from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), using archival images from the Dark Energy Camera as templates for difference imaging. We apply this pipeline to the recently released Data Preview 1 (DP1; the first public release of Rubin commissioning data) and search for transients in the resulting difference images. The image subtraction, photometry extraction, and transient detection are all performed on the Rubin Science Platform. We demonstrate that SLIDE effectively extracts clean photometry by circumventing poor or missing LSST templates. We identified 29 previously unreported transients, 12 of which would not have been detected based on the DP1 DiaObject catalog. SLIDE will be especially useful for transient analysis in the early years of LSST, when template coverage will be largely incomplete or when templates may be contaminated by transients present at the time of acquisition. We present multiband light curves for a sample of known transients, along with new transient candidates identified through our search. Finally, we discuss the prospects of applying this pipeline during the main LSST survey. Our pipeline is broadly applicable and will support studies of all transients with slowly evolving phases.

Dong, Yize 一泽董 [Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Ast↗

Transients in Pacific/North American Plate Boundary Deformation: Synthesis and Modeling of GPS and Borehole Strain Observations

This is the Final Technical Report on research conducted between 1 June 1997 and 14 September 2001 entitled "Transients in Pacific/North American plate boundary deformation: Synthesis and modeling of GPS and borehole strain observations." As the project title implies, our effort involved a geodetic study of strain transients, i.e., temporal variations in deformation rates, that occur within plate boundary zones and their relationship to earthquakes and plate motions. Important transients occur during and following large earthquakes, and there are also strain transients not apparently associated with earthquakes. A particularly intriguing class of transients, for which there is a modest but growing list of examples, are preseismic anomalies. Such earthquake precursors, if further documented and understood, would have obvious importance for earthquake hazard mitigation. Because the timescales for these diverse transients range over at least 6 orders of magnitude (minutes to years), no single geodetic technique is optimum. We therefore undertook a systematic synthesis of Global Positioning Satellite (GPS) and borehole strainmeter data in three areas in California where there are adequate numbers of both types of instruments (or their equivalent): the San Francisco Bay region (within the Bay Area Regional Deformation network), southern California (within the Southern California Integrated GPS Network), and Parkfield (where a two-color laser system provides a proxy for continuous GPS measurements). An integral component of our study was the elucidation of the physical mechanisms by which such transients occur and propagate. We therefore initiated the development of multiple forward models, using two independent approaches. In the first, we explored the response to specified earthquake slip in viscoelastic models that incorporated failure criteria and the geometry of major faults in California. In the second approach, we examined the dynamical response of a complex rheological medium to the application of a far-field stress imposed by plate motions. The forward models were used both to gain insight into the range of strain transients to be expected under different assumed mechanical conditions and to develop representations for strain fields that allow GPS, borehole, and other strain data to be combined in a self-consistent, yet well-determined, manner. The models also provided a basis for hypothesis testing, by which data from a strain transient well characterized by GPS and borehole observations were utilized to distinguish among competing candidates for the causative physical mechanism and the governing physical characteristics. During the three years of this project, continued to a fourth year through a no-cost extension of the grant, we published 14 papers and presented or co-authored 37 papers at national scientific meetings.

Solomon, Sean C.↗

Experimental investigation of power transient flow boiling

To advance the mechanistic understanding of power transients in flow boiling, experimental investigations are performed to capture the thermal response of four different kinds of cladding materials, including FeCrAls, to Fuchs reactivity initiated accident transients and linear ramp power transients. The transition boiling regime is phenomenologically reflected in power-transient flow boiling, which is different from steady-state boiling. In light of this, the critical heat flux that is usually featured with temperature overshooting does not indicate thermal safety margin of cladding materials as conservatively as the maximum heat flux, which is greater than critical heat flux in the power transient boiling curve. This is physically attributed to the thermal energy deposition on the cladding wall. In addition, the thermal energy released from the cladding wall results in different boiling heat transfer coefficient for the decreasing and increasing power stages respectively during the Fuchs power transient. The maximum heat flux difference gap, which appears due to changes in cladding materials and transient time scales, is appreciable under an intermediate heat convection regime. However, this difference gap is gradually weakened by the progressive increasing of mass flux and/or inlet subcooling due to the enhanced dominance of heat convection over heat conduction. Finally, the small difference gap of maximum heat flux is found to be insignificant under the weak heat convection because of power transient induced annular flow instability.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Anomalous Transients in Chip Polymer Tantalum Capacitors

Contrary to MnO2 tantalum capacitors, transient processes in polymer tantalum capacitors after voltage application might result in anomalously high, ampere-level currents when a capacitor might appear as a short circuit for a time that is much greater than a transient time in MnO2 capacitors. In this work, conditions that cause anomalous transients in different types of polymer tantalum capacitors have been analyzed. Related phenomena that included increasing of capacitance and dissipation factors with voltage, parametric surge current test failures without damage to capacitors, and increasing leakage currents at low temperatures are described. It has been shown that anomalous transients increased substantially with applied voltage and with reduction of moisture content in capacitors caused by storage or operation at high temperatures and/or in vacuum. Different types of capacitors exhibited different level of transients and modification of conductive polymers or process of their application might decrease transient leakage currents substantially. For space applications, the risk of failures related to anomalous transients can be mitigated by special testing procedures to select parts with an acceptable level of transients and by voltage derating.

Tantalum Capacitors↗

Dayside Transient Phenomena and Their Impact on the Magnetosphere and Ionosphere

Dayside transients, such as hot flow anomalies, foreshock bubbles, magnetosheath jets, flux transfer events, and surface waves, are frequently observed upstream from the bow shock, in the magnetosheath, and at the magnetopause. They play a significant role in the solar wind-magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling. Foreshock transient phenomena, associated with variations in the solar wind dynamic pressure, deform the magnetopause, and in turn generates field-aligned currents (FACs) connected to the auroral ionosphere. Solar wind dynamic pressure variations and transient phenomena at the dayside magnetopause drive magnetospheric ultra low frequency (ULF) waves, which can play an important role in the dynamics of Earth’s radiation belts. These transient phenomena and their geoeffects have been investigated using coordinated in-situ spacecraft observations, spacecraft-borne imagers, ground-based observations, and numerical simulations. Cluster, THEMIS, Geotail, and MMS multi-mission observations allow us to track the motion and time evolution of transient phenomena at different spatial and temporal scales in detail, whereas ground-based experiments can observe the ionospheric projections of transient magnetopause phenomena such as waves on the magnetopause driven by hot flow anomalies or flux transfer events produced by bursty reconnection across their full longitudinal and latitudinal extent. Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD), hybrid, and particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations are powerful tools to simulate the dayside transient phenomena. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the present understanding of dayside transient phenomena at Earth and other planets, their geoeffects, and outstanding questions.

Bow shock↗

High-fidelity multiphysics load following and accidental transient modeling of microreactors using NEAMS tools: Application of NEAMS codes to perform multiphysics modeling analyses of micro-reactor concepts

The feasibility of modeling microreactors using high-fidelity models with the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) tools is investigated in this report. Three overarching questions guided this research: can NEAMS tools readily be applied for high-fidelity multiphysics modeling of different types of transients in microreactor designs; how accurate are the results obtained; and are improvements needed in accuracy or user experience of NEAMS tools, especially considering newly developed capabilities? This work builds upon FY-2022 work, and two microreactor concepts considering heat pipe (HP-MR) and gas-cooled (GC-MR) technologies were further analyzed using high-fidelity multiphysics simulations. The NEAMS tools considered and coupled within the MultiApp environment are Griffin for neutronics, BISON for thermo-mechanics, Sockeye for heat pipe modeling (in HP-MR), SAM for 1D Fluid – 3D solid modeling of coolant channels and system modeling of balance of plant components (in GC-MR), and the SWIFT code for hydrogen redistribution in hydride moderator. The Heat Pipe MicroReactor (HP-MR) concept was further analyzed in FY-2023 to demonstrate the stochastic TRISO failure modeling capability in BISON to check operational limits of the TRISO fuel. A new full-core Gas-Cooled MicroReactor (GC-MR) model was developed based on the initial assembly-model used in Y-2022 and used for steady-state and accidental depressurization transient simulations. Accuracy of the simulations performed was assessed through 1) verification analyses completed on the different physics with code-to-code comparison, and 2) validation of the multiphysics simulations based on modeling of the Kilopower Reactor Using Stirling Technology (KRUSTY) experiment. In FY-2023, the mesh and model of KRUSTY was updated to closely match publicly available data, and the neutronic model was verified and validated against experimental control rod worth measurements. The multiphysics model of KRUSTY was developed and used for steady-state analysis and for modeling reactivity insertion transient. The calculated power increase and stabilization agrees well with experimental data following adjustment in fuel thermal expansion coefficient. As an important component of this project, the ANL team gathered experience with a wide range of NEAMS tools: the MOOSE Mesh System, Griffin, BISON, SWIFT, Sockeye, SAM, Workbench, and the MOOSE MultiApp System, and provided assessment of new capabilities. Noteworthy are the user assessment of the “vapor-only” flow model in Sockeye and development of a multiphysics startup transient in HP-MR unit cell for use as tutorial in Sockeye. The full-core GC-MR model was used for assessment of SAM for balance of plant modeling and for demonstrating the SWIFT code capability for hydrogen redistribution modeling in multiphysics transient analyses. In this process, several bugs/issues were identified and reported to developers. Finally, the assembly GC-MR model developed in FY-2022 coupling Griffin, BISON and SAM through flow blockage and rod ejection transients was published to the National Reactor Innovation Center (NRIC) Virtual Test Bed (VTB). The Heat Pipe MicroReactor (HP-MR) concept high-fidelity multiphysics coupling of Griffin/BISON/Sockeye in load-following and heat pipe failure transients was also published on the VTB. Those submissions are enabling thorough review of these models as well as wide distribution to industry, regulator, and university users. In this analysis, several new research questions were uncovered, and follow-up analyses are recommended to further improve some models, consider additional transients, and continue development of VTB models.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Accelerating transients with NekRS: GPU overlapping domain implementation and multi-rate timestepping

The simulation of nuclear transients using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) presents significant computational challenges due to the inherent complexity and the wide separation in temporal scales between various flow physical phenomena. These disparities lead to high computational costs, often making the simulation of transients impractical without advanced techniques. Consequently, multiple research initiatives are being pursued by the NEAMS thermal-hydraulic area, some driven by academic institutions and some by national laboratories. Overall, they are exploring novel methods to make transient simulations more feasible and efficient. This report delves into recent advancements within the CFD code NekRS, specifically those achieved in Fiscal Year 2024 under the CONNECT effort, aimed at improving the performance and feasibility of transient simulations. The first major advancement involves the porting of NekRS to Aurora, one of the Department of Energy’s (DOE) most powerful supercomputers. Additionally, the report discusses the implementation of an overlapping domain capability within NekRS. This novel GPU-accelerated capability allows different spatial regions of the domain to be solved independently, enhancing the code’s efficiency, particularly when running large-scale simulations in complex domains. The scalability of this approach is demonstrated, highlighting its potential to transform how transients are approached in CFD simulations. Lastly, the report focuses on how this overlapping domain capability specifically accelerates transient simulations through multi-rate timestepping. By decoupling different regions and facilitating faster computations, this method offers a promising pathway to making nuclear transient simulations more computationally feasible, addressing one of the critical bottlenecks in the field. Together, these advancements represent a significant leap forward in transient simulation technology, bringing closer the possibility of handling highly complex nuclear scenarios with greater efficiency and accuracy.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Solar cycle variation of interplanetary disturbances observed as Doppler scintillation transients

Interplanetary disturbances characterized by plasma that is more turbulence and/or moves faster than the background solar wind are readily defected as transients in Doppler scintillation measurements of the near-Sun solar wind. Systematic analysis of over 23,000 hours of Pioneer Venus Orbiter Doppler measurements obtained inside 0.5 AU during 1979-1987 have made it possible for the first time to investigate the frequency of occurrence of Doppler scintillation transients under solar minimum conditions and to determine its dependence on solar cycle. On the basis of a total of 142 transients, Doppler scintillation transient rates vary from a high of 0.22 in 1979 (one every 4.6 days) to a low of 0.077 transients/d in 1986 (one every 13 days), a decrease by almost a factor of 3 from solar maximum to solar minimum. This solar cycle variation, the strongest yet of any solar wind Doppler scintillation property, is highly correlated with both solar activity characterized by sunspot number and the coronal mass ejection rates deduced from Solswind and Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) coronagraph observations. These results indicate that coronal mass ejections and Doppler scintillation transients are closely related not just during solar maximum, as occasional individual comparisons have shown in the past, but throughout the entire solar cycle, and strengthen the notation that the Doppler scintillation and optical transients are different manifestations of the same physical phenomenon. The magnitudes of the transients, as described by the ratio of peak to pretransient scintillation levels (EF for enhancement factor), and their distribution iwth heliocentric distance also vary with solar cycle. While EF tends to diminish with increasing heliocentric distance during high solar activity, it is more evenly distributed during low solar activity. EF is also lower during solar minimum, as 13% of the transients during solar maximum have values exceeding 23, the highest EF observed during solar minimum. These results are consistent with the fact that occasional major fast-moving interplanetary shocks that are observed during solar maximum are very rate during solar minimum.

Woo, Richard↗

Lifetime Reliability Prediction of Ceramic Structures Under Transient Thermomechanical Loads

An analytical methodology is developed to predict the probability of survival (reliability) of ceramic components subjected to harsh thermomechanical loads that can vary with time (transient reliability analysis). This capability enables more accurate prediction of ceramic component integrity against fracture in situations such as turbine startup and shutdown, operational vibrations, atmospheric reentry, or other rapid heating or cooling situations (thermal shock). The transient reliability analysis methodology developed herein incorporates the following features: fast-fracture transient analysis (reliability analysis without slow crack growth, SCG); transient analysis with SCG (reliability analysis with time-dependent damage due to SCG); a computationally efficient algorithm to compute the reliability for components subjected to repeated transient loading (block loading); cyclic fatigue modeling using a combined SCG and Walker fatigue law; proof testing for transient loads; and Weibull and fatigue parameters that are allowed to vary with temperature or time. Component-to-component variation in strength (stochastic strength response) is accounted for with the Weibull distribution, and either the principle of independent action or the Batdorf theory is used to predict the effect of multiaxial stresses on reliability. The reliability analysis can be performed either as a function of the component surface (for surface-distributed flaws) or component volume (for volume-distributed flaws). The transient reliability analysis capability has been added to the NASA CARES/ Life (Ceramic Analysis and Reliability Evaluation of Structures/Life) code. CARES/Life was also updated to interface with commercially available finite element analysis software, such as ANSYS, when used to model the effects of transient load histories. Examples are provided to demonstrate the features of the methodology as implemented in the CARES/Life program.

Nemeth, Noel N.↗

Network Connectivity for Permanent, Transient, Independent, and Correlated Faults

This paper develops a method for the quantitative analysis of network connectivity in the presence of both permanent and transient faults. Even though transient noise is considered a common occurrence in networks, a survey of the literature reveals an emphasis on permanent faults. Transient faults introduce a time element into the analysis of network reliability. With permanent faults it is sufficient to consider the faults that have accumulated by the end of the operating period. With transient faults the arrival and recovery time must be included. The number and location of faults in the system is a dynamic variable. Transient faults also introduce system recovery into the analysis. The goal is the quantitative assessment of network connectivity in the presence of both permanent and transient faults. The approach is to construct a global model that includes all classes of faults: permanent, transient, independent, and correlated. A theorem is derived about this model that give distributions for (1) the number of fault occurrences, (2) the type of fault occurrence, (3) the time of the fault occurrences, and (4) the location of the fault occurrence. These results are applied to compare and contrast the connectivity of different network architectures in the presence of permanent, transient, independent, and correlated faults. The examples below use a Monte Carlo simulation, but the theorem mentioned above could be used to guide fault-injections in a laboratory.

White, Allan L.↗

Nuclear fuels for transient test reactors

Transient test reactors with the ability to test fissile specimens under extreme conditions have been crucial tools in the development of nuclear technologies. Less than 10 unique facility designs have ever been constructed, most of which remain operational today and still use the original nuclear fuel constructed for them more than 40 years ago. Historic fuel systems for transient test reactors vary in significant ways which have marked influences on reactor capabilities. Eventually, new fuel will be needed to support the longevity of transient test reactor missions. This paper reviews precedent transient reactor fuel systems in the context of their unique requirements. A few key conclusions are illustrated by comparing and contrasting these transient test reactors. Fuel composites which are mostly graphite can enable transient reactors with very high neutron fluence capability (>2E16 n/cm 2 ) and are amenable to longer “shaped” transients but cannot achieve pulses <10 ms in duration. Reducing the graphite-to-uranium ratio can yield a very narrow pulse capability but delivers less fluence and requires cores with considerably more fissile material. Designs based on uranium dioxide (UO 2 ) make use of readily available materials to create compact cores with narrow pulse width capabilities but with moderate neutron fluence capabilities (~2E15 n/cm 2 ). Uranium zirconium hydride (U-ZrHx) is a well-established fuel system for pulsing reactors which has been intermittently manufactured throughout the decades. U-ZrHx offers similar capabilities to UO 2 designs in terms of nuclear kinetics, but with about half the fluence capability (~1E15 n/cm 2 ). An evolution of the UO 2 system, termed “ternary ceramic” fuel, shows that dispersing UO 2 in zirconium oxide and calcium oxide can increase fluence capability greatly (~7E15 n/cm 2 ), but is not presently a commonly available fuel form. A unique composite of UO 2 and beryllium oxide (UO 2 -BeO) can be used to create a core with similar kinetics and compact core geometry as U-ZrHx designs, but with significantly higher fluence capability (~6E15 n/cm 2 ). Like ternary ceramic fuel, newly fabricated UO 2 -BeO would require reestablishing its historic manufacturing process which would be further complicated by the health hazards associated with beryllium. In conclusion, like most engineering problems, there is no perfect solution, but this paper outlines the advantages and disadvantages of candidate fuel options to help guide detailed evaluations.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗