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At least 55 records · Page 3

Red Light-Powered Nanowire Photochemical Diodes for Unassisted Hydrogen Evolution and Glycerol Valorization

Artificial photosynthesis via unassisted photochemical diodes is a promising approach for generating solar fuels. However, photoelectrochemical systems often degrade under solar diurnal cycling, and reliance on solar insolation exacerbates land use. Narrow-band LED illumination offers continuous and constant operation, enabling the vertical integration of stable photochemical diodes. In this study, 740 nm red light was investigated as the illumination source for silicon-based photochemical diodes integrating the hydrogen evolution reaction with the glycerol oxidation reaction (GOR), where replacing the oxygen evolution reaction with GOR increases attainable bias-free photocurrents. Increasing photovoltages, saturation current densities, and power conversion efficiencies were observed with increasing incident red light intensity. Under a red light intensity of 60 mW cm –2 , these systems are stable above 7.5 mA cm –2 for 6 days with periodic electrolyte refreshing. In conclusion, these results offer a promising prospect for red light-powered photochemical diodes that integrate other significant reduction reactions, such as CO 2 reduction.

Alcohols↗

Formation and interior evolution of Mars

The formation and earliest evolution of Mars involved core formation followed by magma ocean solidification and primordial crust formation. Here, in this study, we review the formation and early interior evolution of Mars as understood through meteorite studies. Martian meteorites exhibit ages that span the entire history of the Solar System, but most derive from compositionally distinct sources that formed early in the history of Mars. Geochemical and isotopic studies of Martian meteorites have provided critical information on Mars’ building blocks, bulk composition, and its differentiation into a core, mantle and crust. Radiogenic isotope systems provide vital insights into the petrogenesis of Martian meteorite source regions and into the nature and timescales of primordial differentiation on Mars. Application of short-lived isotope chronometers to Martian meteorites indicates that the Martian core formed early within <10 million years (Ma), while magma ocean differentiation and crust formation occurred soon thereafter, within the first tens of Ma of Solar System history. Bulk silicate Mars is variably depleted in moderately volatile elements relative to chondrites, but to a lesser extent than the Earth. The nature and evolution of more volatile elements and volatile species on Mars (e.g., H 2 O, C, S, halogens) remains an active area of investigation, but overall suggest that Mars is more enriched in volatile elements than the Moon but less than the Earth. While geochemical exploration of Mars coupled with new discoveries of Martian meteorites has provided a wealth of information, the compositional and lithologic diversity on Mars significantly exceeds that seen in the suites of Martian meteorites currently studied. This implies that our current perspective on the planet's evolution is very likely biased, highlighting the need for future sample return missions to Mars.

Kruijer, Thomas S.↗

Birth of a Be star: an APOGEE search for Be stars forming through binary mass transfer

ABSTRACT Motivated by recent suggestions that many Be stars form through binary mass transfer, we searched the APOGEE survey for Be stars with bloated, stripped companions. From a well-defined parent sample of 297 Be stars, we identified one mass-transfer binary, HD 15124. The object consists of a main-sequence Be star ($M_{\rm Be}=5.3\pm 0.6\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$) with a low-mass ($M_{\rm donor}=0.92\pm 0.22\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$), subgiant companion on a 5.47-d orbit. The emission lines originate in an accretion disc caused by ongoing mass transfer, not from a decretion disc as in classical Be stars. Both stars have surface abundances bearing imprint of CNO processing in the donor’s core: the surface helium fraction is YHe ≈ 0.6, and the nitrogen-to-carbon ratio is 1000 times the solar value. The system’s properties are well-matched by binary evolution models in which mass transfer begins while a $3-5\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$ donor leaves the main sequence, with the originally less massive component becoming the Be star. These models predict that the system will soon become a detached Be + stripped star binary like HR 6819 and LB-1, with the stripped donor eventually contracting to become a core helium-burning sdO/B star. Discovery of one object in this short-lived (∼1 Myr) evolutionary phase implies the existence of many more that have already passed through it and are now Be + sdO/B binaries. We infer that $(10-60)\, {{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ of Be stars have stripped companions, most of which are $\sim 100\, \times$ fainter than the Be stars in the optical. Together with the dearth of main-sequence companions to Be stars and recent discovery of numerous Be + sdO/B binaries in the UV, our results imply that binarity plays an important role in the formation of Be stars.

El-Badry, Kareem (ORCID:0000000268711752)↗

A magma ocean origin to divergent redox evolutions of rocky planetary bodies and early atmospheres

Magma oceans were once ubiquitous in the early solar system, setting up the initial conditions for different evolutionary paths of planetary bodies. In particular, the redox conditions of magma oceans may have profound influence on the redox state of subsequently formed mantles and the overlying atmospheres. The relevant redox buffering reactions, however, remain poorly constrained. Using first-principles simulations combined with thermodynamic modeling, we show that magma oceans of Earth, Mars, and the Moon are likely characterized with a vertical gradient in oxygen fugacity with deeper magma oceans invoking more oxidizing surface conditions. This redox zonation may be the major cause for the Earth’s upper mantle being more oxidized than Mars’ and the Moon’s. These contrasting redox profiles also suggest that Earth’s early atmosphere was dominated by CO 2 and H 2 O, in contrast to those enriched in H 2 O and H 2 for Mars, and H 2 and CO for the Moon.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Ir–Ru Particles Enable Low-Loading Acidic Oxygen Evolution for Integrated Solar Devices

Integrated photoelectrochemical (PEC) devices for water splitting represent a compelling pathway for sustainable hydrogen production, directly converting solar energy into chemical fuels. While alkaline systems have achieved state-of-the-art solar-to-hydrogen (STH) efficiencies above 20% using earth-abundant catalysts, acidic PEC architectures provide unique advantages for compact device integration, fast proton transport, and stable operation under highly dynamic solar conditions. Proton-exchange membrane (PEM)-based configurations enable high current densities, low gas crossover, and rapid ionic response, making them especially well-suited for intermittent, bias-free PEC operation, despite alkaline electrolysis being more technologically mature. A critical limitation of acidic PEC systems remains, the oxygen evolution reaction (OER), which currently relies on scarce and costly iridium catalysts, restricting scalability. Here, in this study, we report a series of low-iridium mixed-metal oxide catalysts synthesized via a surfactant-assisted borohydride reduction method. An optimized Ir 0.5 Ru 0.5 O x catalyst exhibits exceptional intrinsic activity (>400 A g –1 Ir at 1.55 V vs RHE) in 0.1 M HClO 4 and maintains stable operation for over 10 days in an integrated PEC flow-cell. Sustained hydrogen production is achieved at 1.65 V with a total iridium loading of only 0.1 mg cm –2 , substantially below commercial PEM benchmarks. These results demonstrate a viable pathway toward scalable, high-performance acidic PEC hydrogen technologies.

Acidic electrolysis↗

Levelized cost and carbon intensity of solar hydrogen production via water splitting using a scalable and intrinsically safe photocatalytic Z-scheme raceway system

Generating hydrogen from local energy resources such as solar or wind would unlock a low-carbon energy carrier that could be used to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in sectors such as industry and transportation. Yet, the allocation of new or existing power generation solely to hydrogen production remains contentious due to disputes regarding emissions accounting. Photocatalytic (PC) hydrogen production technologies offer a unique solution, as hydrogen is produced directly from solar energy and water, without the need for electricity generation. However, cost projections for all photocatalytic designs to date have suggested that they are not cost competitive compared to conventional electrolysis systems manufactured at scale. Herein, we offer the first illustrative benchmark of cost and carbon intensity of hydrogen produced in a type 2 “Z-scheme” photocatalytic reactor design, which employs suspended semiconducting nanoconductor particles organized into two stacked volumes in a raceway design. The “Z-scheme” system utilizes two separate photoabsorber particles, tuned to drive either the hydrogen evolution reaction or the oxygen evolution reaction individually, connected via a reversible, charge transfer redox couple in solution. Furthermore, the results suggest a highly competitive and scalable technology, that justifies further experimental validation and prototyping in the field.

Carbon↗

Excited Carrier Dynamics in a Dye-Sensitized Niobate Nanosheet Photocatalyst for Visible-Light Hydrogen Evolution

Dye-sensitized photocatalysts that consist of a light-absorbing dye and a wide gap oxide semiconductor have been studied extensively as components of solar energy conversion systems. Although surface modification by a metal and/or metal oxide has a significant impact on the photocatalytic efficiency, the mechanism by which these modifications increase the activity has not been fully understood. Here a dye-sensitized H 2 evolution system was constructed by using Pt-intercalated HCa 2 Nb 3 O 10 nanosheets, Ru(II) complex photosensitizers ([Ru(4,4’-(CH 3 ) 2- bpy) 2 (4,4’-(PO 3 H 2 ) 2- bpy)] 2+ and [Ru(4,4’-(CH 3 ) 2- bpy) 2 (4,4’-(CH 2 PO 3 H 2 ) 2- bpy)] 2+ , abbreviated as RuP 2+ and RuCP 2+ ; bpy = 2,2'-bipyridine), and amorphous Al 2 O 3 as building blocks. In the presence of iodide as the electron donor, the H 2 evolution rate from Pt/HCa 2 Nb 3 O 10 nanosheets sensitized by RuP 2+ was increased by modification of the nanosheets with Al 2 O 3 . On the other hand, Al 2 O 3 had a negative impact on the H 2 evolution rate when RuCP 2+ was employed. These hybrid materials were studied by transient diffuse reflectance spectroscopy and steady-state emission spectroscopy. A detailed analysis of the transient absorption profiles of the adsorbed Ru(II) complexes revealed that there are at least three states of the complexes on the nanosheet surface. The transient bleaching of the ground state absorbance had different lifetime components ranging from a few μs to several hundred μs, which mainly reflect back electron transfer rates from HCa 2 Nb 3 O 10 to the oxidized Ru(II) complexes. Here, the Al 2 O 3 modifier could inhibit not only the back electron transfer events but also electron injection from the excited state photosensitizer. Interestingly, the negative effect of Al 2 O 3 on the electron injection rate was negligible in the case of RuP 2+ , which also had a higher H 2 evolution rate. This work highlights that suppressing fast back electron transfer from Pt/HCa 2 Nb 3 O 10 to the oxidized Ru(II) complex, which occurs on a time scale of a few μs, and maximizing the electron injection efficiency are both necessary for improving dye-sensitized H 2 evolution.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Spatiotemporal evolution of melt ponds on Arctic sea ice

Melt ponds on sea ice play an important role in the Arctic climate system. Their presence alters the partitioning of solar radiation: decreasing reflection, increasing absorption and transmission to the ice and ocean, and enhancing melt. The spatiotemporal properties of melt ponds thus modify ice albedo feedbacks and the mass balance of Arctic sea ice. The Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition presented a valuable opportunity to investigate the seasonal evolution of melt ponds through a rich array of atmosphere-ice-ocean measurements across spatial and temporal scales. In this study, we characterize the seasonal behavior and variability in the snow, surface scattering layer, and melt ponds from spring melt to autumn freeze-up using in situ surveys and auxiliary observations. We compare the results to satellite retrievals and output from two models: the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) and the Marginal Ice Zone Modeling and Assimilation System (MIZMAS). During the melt season, the maximum pond coverage and depth were 21% and 22 ± 13 cm, respectively, with distribution and depth corresponding to surface roughness and ice thickness. Compared to observations, both models overestimate melt pond coverage in summer, with maximum values of approximately 41% (MIZMAS) and 51% (CESM2). This overestimation has important implications for accurately simulating albedo feedbacks. During the observed freeze-up, weather events, including rain on snow, caused high-frequency variability in snow depth, while pond coverage and depth remained relatively constant until continuous freezing ensued. Both models accurately simulate the abrupt cessation of melt ponds during freeze-up, but the dates of freeze-up differ. MIZMAS accurately simulates the observed date of freeze-up, while CESM2 simulates freeze-up one-to-two weeks earlier. This work demonstrates areas that warrant future observation-model synthesis for improving the representation of sea-ice processes and properties, which can aid accurate simulations of albedo feedbacks in a warming climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dynamic Evolution of Mass and Physical Properties of Atmospheric Organic Aerosol under Solar Irradiance

Organic aerosol (OA) particles constitute a substantial fraction of sub-micron particulate mass in the atmosphere and play a critical role in climate system. OA undergoes dynamic aging processes in the atmosphere, with photolytic aging induced by ultraviolet solar irradiance being an important yet poorly characterized mechanism. Knowledge gaps persist regarding the role of volatility transformations during photolytic aging on the OA mass decay kinetics and the evolution of climate-relevant properties, such as hygroscopicity, hindering the model evaluation of OA spatiotemporal distributions and atmospheric budgets. In this study, we conduct isothermal photolytic aging experiments on both laboratory-generated secondary organic aerosols and ambient-collected particles from urban Atlanta, utilizing a high-sensitivity Quartz Crystal Microbalance. Our results reveal that photolytic aging reduces 40–66% of the low-volatility OA mass with lifetimes ranging from 8 to 200 hours under solar irradiance, and 44–92% of the photolytic mass loss is through slow evaporation of semi- or intermediate-volatile products, kinetically limited by their volatility. We observe up to ±50% changes in OA hygroscopicity with the transformation of fresh OA to photo-recalcitrant low-volatility products, associated with changes in oxygen-to-carbon ratio and molecular weight. A kinetic model incorporating photolytic volatility transformation provides a cohesive explanation for the observed photolysis-induced changes in mass, volatility, and hygroscopicity. Our results can help constrain model representation of the dynamic evolutions of mass and climate-relevant properties during photolytic aging processes of the ambient OA, improving our understanding of OA atmospheric behavior and climate impact.

Bai, Bin↗

Shewanella oneidensis MR-1 respires CdSe quantum dots for photocatalytic hydrogen evolution

Living bio-nano systems for artificial photosynthesis are of growing interest. Typically, these systems use photoinduced charge transfer to provide electrons for microbial metabolic processes, yielding a biosynthetic solar fuel. Here, we demonstrate an entirely different approach to constructing a living bio-nano system, in which electrogenic bacteria respire semiconductor nanoparticles to support nanoparticle photocatalysis. Semiconductor nanocrystals are highly active and robust photocatalysts for hydrogen (H 2 ) evolution, but their use is hindered by the oxidative side of the reaction. In this system, Shewanella oneidensis MR-1 provides electrons to a CdSe nanocrystalline photocatalyst, enabling visible light-driven H 2 production. Unlike microbial electrolysis cells, this system requires no external potential. Illuminating this system at 530 nm yields continuous H 2 generation for 168 h, which can be lengthened further by replenishing bacterial nutrients.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Origin of Plutonium-244 in the Early Solar System

We investigate the origin in the early Solar System of the short-lived radionuclide 244 Pu (with a half life of 80 Myr) produced by the rapid (r) neutron-capture process. We consider two large sets of r-process nucleosynthesis models and analyse if the origin of 244 Pu in the ESS is consistent with that of the other r and slow (s) neutron-capture process radioactive nuclei. Uncertainties on the r-process models come from both the nuclear physics input and the astrophysical site. The former strongly affects the ratios of isotopes of close mass ( 129 I/ 127 I, 244 Pu/ 238 U, and 247 Pu/ 235 U). The 129 I/ 247 Cm ratio, instead, which involves isotopes of a very different mass, is much more variable than those listed above and is more affected by the physics of the astrophysical site. We consider possible scenarios for the evolution of the abundances of these radioactive nuclei in the galactic interstellar medium and verify under which scenarios and conditions solutions can be found for the origin of 244 Pu that are consistent with the origin of the other isotopes. Solutions are generally found for all the possible different regimes controlled by the interval (δ) between additions from the source to the parcel of interstellar medium gas that ended up in the Solar System, relative to decay timescales. If r-process ejecta in interstellar medium are mixed within a relatively small area (leading to a long δ), we derive that the last event that explains the 129 I and 247 Cm abundances in the early Solar System can also account for the abundance of 244 Pu. Due to its longer half life, however, 244 Pu may have originated from a few events instead of one only. If r-process ejecta in interstellar medium are mixed within a relatively large area (leading to a short δ), we derive that the time elapsed from the formation of the molecular cloud to the formation of the Sun was 9-16 Myr.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Managing Solar Photovoltaic Integration in the Western United States: Power System Flexibility Requirements and Supply

As penetrations of variable renewable energy generation technologies such as wind and solar photovoltaics (PV) continue to increase across the United States, greater uncertainty and variability in the net load often lead to a concern about how power systems may adapt. Managing the system net load (i.e., load minus contribution from variable generation technologies) may become more challenging with increasing variable generation, as the magnitude and frequency of net ramps increase. However, there is inherent flexibility in power systems through the conventional generator fleet (under least-cost unit commitment and economic dispatch), less-conventional generation sources (e.g., storage, demand response, concentrating solar power with thermal energy storage), and imports and exports with neighbors. In this analysis, we create an open-source tool to analyze the flexibility of the results of a specific commercial unit commitment and economic dispatch tool (PLEXOS), but the code can be applied generically as well. The tool assesses the flexibility requirements (or demand) of a system through a net load analysis. The constraints and limitations of each generator are then considered to determine the availability (or supply) of flexibility. Then, the supply and demand of flexibility are compared to gain a more complete picture of potential flexibility concerns. We apply this open-source tool to high-penetration PV scenarios constructed for three focus regions in the western United States defined using the Resource Planning Model (RPM) capacity expansion modeling tool: RPM-OR, RPM-CO, and RPM-AZ. Generally, we find few flexibility concerns, as the western United States represents a large and interconnected power system with significant inherent flexibility. In addition, the PV scenarios we analyzed are overbuilt on capacity, leaving plenty of ramping ability on the system. We do find that for each focus region, the impact of imports on meeting ramping needs is essential. This means the PV integration in each focus region impacts the entire rest of the system. Each system has different dominant sources of flexibility. The conventional generator fleet (especially coal and gas combined-cycle technologies) as well as less-conventional sources such as storage are all shown to be important sources of flexibility. The scenarios evaluated here were designed to study the planning and operations impact of high solar penetration in each of three focus regions. However, none of the three focus regions likely will deploy PV in isolation, meaning the ability of imports and exports to provide flexibility may be considerably different in scenarios with strong PV deployment in every region. Overall, we intend that the framework we present here will be useful in future analysis of other system evolutions to identify whether and how flexibility may constrain the successful deployment of variable generation technologies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Galactic Chemical Evolution of Short-lived Radioactive Isotopes Produced by Explosive Nucleosynthesis: 60 Fe and 53 Mn

Several short-lived radionuclides (SLRs) are know to have existed in the early solar system (ESS). These species, which typically decay with half-lives of the order of a few million years, can be used to probe the timescales of events preceding the birth of the Sun. We investigate the ESS origin of 53 Mn, produced by core-collapse supernovae (CCSNe) and Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), and 60 Fe, produced exclusively by CCSNe. We model the evolution of the radioactive-to-stable abundance ratios of these SLRs with a Galactic chemical evolution (GCE) framework accounting for different SN yields, SN Ia delay times, and other Galactic features (K). A further set of models is calculated assuming that SNe Ia did not contribute any 53 Mn to the ESS. The predicted ratios are compared to meteoritic ratios to derive a distribution of solar isolation times that includes uncertainties due to stochastic chemical enrichment and measurements of the ESS values. The isolation times are then compared to those of 107 Pd and 182 Hf calculated in previous work. A self-consistent solution can be found within the current uncertainties, especially when using the GCE setups with K = 1.6 and 2.3, although the maximum likelihood for the 60 Fe distribution is typically ∼4–5 Myr shorter than for 53 Mn. The predicted 60 Fe/ 53 Mn ratio, instead, is completely inconsistent with the ESS value; this could be resolved using a larger fraction of faint CCSNe than usually considered in GCE models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Extremely Metal-poor Galaxies in DESI DR1: Connections to Galaxies in the Early Universe

Extremely metal-poor galaxies (XMPGs), defined as having metallicities below 10% of the solar value, are considered possible local analogs to primordial systems and offer a unique window into early galaxy evolution. This study presents a large-scale search for XMPGs using data from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument Data Release 1, systematically evaluating their resemblance to high-redshift galaxies. From a parent sample of more than 14 million galaxies, we identify 662 (556 new) confirmed XMPGs and 763 (666 new) high-quality candidates via the direct T$_{e}$ method. Our results reveal that XMPGs follow a distinct star-forming main sequence (SFMS) that is elevated and shallower than that of the comparing star-forming galaxies. Notably, at higher stellar masses (M$_{⋆}$ > 10$^{7.5}$M$_{⊙}$), the XMPG SFMS converges with the sequence observed in high-redshift galaxies by the James Webb Space Telescope, indicating that mature XMPGs sustain star formation rates comparable to their primordial counterparts. Furthermore, XMPGs consistently deviate below the local fundamental metallicity relation, mirroring high-redshift galaxy behavior. These findings demonstrate that XMPGs not only exhibit low metallicities but also preserve scaling relations characteristic of the early Universe, confirming their potential value as local laboratories for studying early galaxy formation processes.

Sui, Jipeng [Beijing Observ.; Beijing, GUCAS] (ORC↗

Ferroelectric Polarization in BaTiO 3 Nanocrystals Controls Photoelectrochemical Water Oxidation and Photocatalytic Hydrogen Evolution

Ferroelectric (FE) semiconductors such as BaTiO 3 support a remnant polarization after the application of an electric field that can promote the separation of photogenerated charge carriers. Here, we demonstrate FE-enhanced photocatalytic hydrogen evolution and photoelectrochemical water oxidation with barium titanate nanocrystals for the first time. Nanocrystals of the ferroelectric tetragonal structure type were obtained by a hydrothermal synthesis from TiO 2 and barium hydroxide in 63% yield. BaTiO 3 nanocrystal films on tantalum substrates exhibit water oxidation photocurrents of 0.141 mA cm –2 at 1.23 V RHE under UV light (60 mW cm –2 ) illumination. Electric polarization at 52.8 kV cm –1 normal to the film plane increases the photocurrent by a factor of 2 or decreases it by a factor of 3.5, depending on the field polarity. It also shifts the onset potential by –0.15 or +0.09 V and it modifies the surface photovoltage signal. Lastly, exposure to an electric field increases the H 2 evolution rate of Pt/BaTiO 3 by a factor of ~1.5, and it raises the selectivity of photodeposition of silver onto the (001) facets of the nanocrystal. All FE enhancements can be removed by heating samples above the Curie temperature of BaTiO 3 . Furthermore, these findings can be explained by FE dipole-induced changes to the potential drop across the space charge layer of the material. The ability to use the ferroelectric effect to enhance hydrogen evolution and water oxidation is of potential interest for the development of improved solar energy for fuel conversion systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Power now, pay later: the evolution of U.S. residential solar financing

Most U.S. residential rooftop solar customers finance their solar purchases through loans or by buying power from third-party owned systems. Prior research demonstrates how third-party ownership (TPO) models such as leases emerged in the early 2010s and accelerated solar adoption by low- and moderate-income households while driving market concentration in the installation industry. Since 2015, loans have emerged as a prevalent financing alternative, but the potential effects of loans on the customer base and industry remain understudied. Here, we fill that research gap by developing a methodology to identify loan-financed and third-party owned systems in a household-level solar adopter data set. The data suggest that loans accounted for increasing solar market shares from 2017 until reaching as high as 70% in 2022, but that the market has since shifted back to TPO. The data show that TPO adopters in our sample earned about 16%–18% less and loan recipients earned 3%–7% less, at the median, than customers who self-financed systems. These results reaffirm prior research showing that TPO has accelerated low- and moderate-income adoption and that loans have likewise expanded the customer base to a lesser extent. The results suggest that loan-financed systems entail around a 16%–26% price premium that is only partly explained by loan fees. Finally, the data suggest that the emergence of loans has likely reduced market concentration in the rooftop solar industry.

financing↗

Impact of system parameters and geospatial variables on the reliability of residential systems with PV and energy storage

A reliable power supply is the foundation of modern society, enabling technologies used to function within a society. Residential systems are places where the end users directly consume power, enabling technologies to sustain life. With the emergence of behind-the-meter resources, the end-users have some control over power supply reliability. The intermittency and variability of these resources impact residential system reliability. In this work, we study the reliability performance of a grid-supplemented residential system with behind-the-meter Distributed Energy Resources(DER) subject to various system parameters and geospatial variables. We propose a multistate reliability model for the behind-the-meter microinverter-based Photo Voltaic (PV) system and integrated inverter-based energy storage (ES) system. A sequential Monte Carlo method is then presented to evaluate the reliability indices for the residential system with behind-the-meter DERs as the main supply and the grid as the backup. The sequential Monte Carlo method is used to analyze the reliability performance of the residential model at the top 100 populous counties of the United States, where actual load and solar irradiance data at the counties is used. In the analysis, the sensitivity of indices to system parameters such as DER size and the sensitivity of the indices to climate zone and gross horizontal irradiation (GHI), which affects the load conditions and the PV output of the residential system, is performed. The analysis results show that the system parameters and the geospatial variables significantly impact the residential system’s reliability. The insights from this analysis will be of immense value to the distribution system planners to provide zone-specific guidelines for DER system sizing and toward the evolution of utility business models. Finally, the methodology developed can be used to extend the analysis to other locations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Potential Themis-family Asteroid Contribution to the Jupiter-family Comet Population

Recent dynamical analyses suggest that some Jupiter family comets (JFCs) may originate in the main asteroid belt instead of the outer solar system. This possibility is particularly interesting given evidence that icy main-belt objects are known to be present in the Themis asteroid family. We report results from dynamical analyses specifically investigating the possibility that icy Themis family members could contribute to the observed population of JFCs. Numerical integrations show that such dynamical evolution is indeed possible via a combination of eccentricity excitation apparently driven by the nearby 2:1 mean-motion resonance with Jupiter, gravitational interactions with planets other than Jupiter, and the Yarkovsky effect. We estimate that, at any given time, there may be tens of objects from the Themis family on JFC-like orbits with the potential to mimic active JFCs from the outer solar system, although not all, or even any, may necessarily be observably active. We find that dynamically evolved Themis family objects on JFC-like orbits have semimajor axes between 3.15 and 3.40 au for the vast majority of their time on such orbits, consistent with the strong role that the 2:1 mean-motion resonance with Jupiter likely plays in their dynamical evolution. We conclude that a contribution from the Themis family to the active JFC population is plausible, although further work is needed to better characterize this contribution.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗