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Simulation of a Representative Future Trajectory-Based Operations Environment

Trajectory-Based Operations in the National Airspace System is a key aspect of advanced air traffic management research. Trajectory-Based Operations focuses on modernizing the current operating paradigm to increase efficiency, predictability, resilience, and flexibility while migrating toward greater operational autonomy across the airspace. Research conducted at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration supports the transition from current airspace operations to Trajectory-Based Operations targeting a 2035-2045 implementation timeframe. Simulation scenarios that demonstrate a representative Trajectory-Based Operations environment in that timeframe, and enable the evaluation of advanced airborne tools such as strategic airborne trajectory management services, are necessary to support this research effort. This report describes characteristics and assumptions made about the future operating environment that were applied to a scenario development methodology to study a representative 2040 Trajectory-Based Operations environment in a simulation use case. This report also includes descriptions of the study design and analysis approach, discussion of the simulation results, and application of these scenarios to future research activities.

Trajectory Based Operations

Geometric Requirements for Modeling Polycrystalline Representative Volume Elements Using the Generalized Method of Cells

To accurately predict the mechanical response of advanced metallic parts, the grain structure of the metal must be considered and coupled to the macroscale in a multiscale model. The size of the microscale representative volume element must be sufficiently large, and the grid used to discretize the microscale must be adequately refined, in order to ensure an accurate and converged solution. The generalized method of cells is used to predict the mechanical properties of polycrystalline representative volume elements of copper containing randomly oriented grains with the properties of a single face-centered-cubic crystal. Moreover, the results of a parametric study are used to conclude the geometric requirements for an objective microscale model, with respect to the elastic stiffness.

Multiscale Modeling

Building Sustainable Capacity within Under-Represented Communities Through A Deep Partnership Model

Despite varied programmatic inducements and the documented benefits of Diversity Equity & Inclusion (DE&I), participation rates of underrepresented communities within NASA’s planetary sciences activities have remained low and nearly unchanged over the last decade. The lack of success of various efforts may be attributable to factors identified in social science research. First, the proportionality of under-represented groups has been shown to be critical to achieving the positive impacts of DE&I. When under-represented groups make up less than ~30%, group dynamics such as assimilation or tokenism routinely appear, with destructive and counter-productive results. Additionally, if participation only occurs within limited segments of an organization, benefits may be limited. Proportionality must extend across all levels or layers of the organization for the benefits of DE&I to accrue. Second, the inclusion of “Third Spaces” in the planning and support of DE&I efforts is critical to the long-term success or “stickiness” of DE&I activities. Third Spaces are those beyond home (First Space) and work (Second Space) where informal, community-building activities occur. Examples include conferences, after-work activities, and weekend social engagements. Without explicitly acknowledging and including “Third Space” interactions, DE&I efforts can fall short of their long-term goals. In 2014, the Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics (LASP) at the University of Colorado Boulder began a partnership with the United Arab Emirates to develop and fly a space mission to Mars. The scientific mission had an explicit goal of training scientists and engineers, and creating a sustainable ecosystem that would spark and accelerate the UAE’s space economy. To accomplish this, LASP and the UAE set up a program that matched scientists and engineers in one-on-one mentorship relationships, at all levels of the organization. Over the course of the roughly 4-year project, those partnering relationships fostered not only strong professional relationships and knowledge transfer, but also personal friendships that extended into “Third Spaces.” The UAE/LASP partnership now continues through the co-development of an asteroid mission currently in definition phase. In collaboration with NASA Ames Research Center, LASP is developing the conceptual frame work to extend this deep partnership model to domestic opportunities. By implementing a planetary science mission that employs an analogous one-on-one partnership model across all elements of the organization, this project will demonstrate how proportionality and Third Space relationships can enable the development of localized, sustainable communities that are explicitly and deeply engaged with the NASA ecosystem.

Capacity Building

The Hazard Components of Representative Key Risks. The Physical Climate Perspective

The framework of Representative Key Risks (RKRs) has been adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Working Group II (WGII) to categorize, assess and communicate a wide range of regional and sectoral key risks from climate change. These are risks expected to become severe due to the potentially detrimental convergence of changing climate conditions with the exposure and vulnerability of human and natural systems. Other papers in this special issue treat each of eight RKRs holistically by assessing their current status and future evolution as a result of this convergence. However, in these papers, such assessment cannot always be organized according to a systematic gradation of climatic changes. Often the big-picture evolution of risk has to be extrapolated from either qualitative effects of “low”, “medium” and “high” warming, or limited/focused analysis of the consequences of particular mitigation choices (e.g., benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 or 2C), together with consideration of the socio-economic context and possible adaptation choices. In this study we offer a representation – as systematic as possible given current literature and assessments – of the future evolution of the hazard components of RKRs. We identify the relevant hazards for each RKR, based upon the WGII authors’ assessment, and we report on their current state and expected future changes in magnitude, intensity and/or frequency, linking these changes to Global Warming Levels (GWLs) to the extent possible. We draw on the assessment of changes in climatic impact-drivers relevant to RKRs described in the 6th Assessment Report by Working Group I supplemented when needed by more recent literature. For some of these quantities - like regional trends in oceanic and atmospheric temperature and precipitation, some heat and precipitation extremes, permafrost thaw and Northern Hemisphere snow cover - a strong and quantitative relationship with increasing GWLs has been identified. For others - like frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones and extra-tropical storms, and fire weather - that link can only be described qualitatively. For some processes - like the behavior of ice sheets, or changes in circulation dynamics - large uncertainties about the effects of different GWLs remain, and for a few others - like ocean pH and air pollution - the composition of the scenario of anthropogenic emissions is most relevant, rather than the warming reached. In almost all cases, however, the basic message remains that every small increment in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere and associated warming will bring changes in climate phenomena that will contribute to increasing risk of impacts on human and natural systems, in the absence of compensating changes in these systems’ exposure and vulnerability, and in the absence of effective adaptation. Our picture of the evolution of RKR-relevant climatic impact-drivers complements and enriches the treatment of RKRs in the other papers in at least two ways: by filling in their often only cursory or limited representation of the physical climate aspects driving impacts, and by providing a fuller representation of their future potential evolution, an important component – if never the only one – of the future evolution of risk severity.

Representative Key Risks

Comparison of the radiation flux profiles and spectral detail from three detailed nongray radiation models at conditions representative of hypervelocity earth entry

The radiation models were compared on the basis of the approaches used for the transport calculations and absorption coefficients and of results obtained for the radiation flux profiles and spectral distributions. The calculated results were for shock layer conditions representative of manned earth reentry from an interplanetary mission. The three models are RATRAP, RADICAL, and MDAC. The results show that significant differences exist in the radiation flux computed by the three models. The RADICAL model was found to depend on fewer approximations, to include more detail, and to require less computer time than the other models.

Suttles, J. T.

Representative Space Shuttle missions and their impact on shuttle design.

Four representative Space Shuttle missions for the 1980's are described: mission 1, a third stage deployment and retrieval mission; mission 2, a combination orbiting element revisit and sortie mission; mission 3, a rapid payload retrieval and return mission; and mission 4, a 30-day earth observation sortie mission. The first three missions are proposed baseline reference missions, and, as such, their mission requirements must be met by the baseline shuttle configuration developed by NASA contractors. Typically, these missions impact the design in terms of such basics as shuttle launch payload capability, payload bay size, performance of the orbital maneuvering system (OMS) and the reaction control system (RCS), the basic 7-day orbital system lifetime, and the thermal protection system for high cross-range entry. To illustrate that vehicle design may be subject to requirements from other mission types as well, mission 4 is included. Each description stresses mission requirements having unique impact on vehicle design.

Young, K. A.

Simulator study of minimum acceptable level of longitudinal stability for a representative STOL configuration during landing approach

A fixed-base simulator study was conducted to determine the minimum acceptable level of longitudinal stability for a representative turbofan STOL (short take-off and landing) transport airplane during the landing approach. Real-time digital simulation techniques were used. The computer was programed with equations of motion for six degrees of freedom, and the aerodynamic inputs were based on measured wind-tunnel data. The primary piloting task was an instrument approach to a breakout at a 60-m (200-ft) ceiling.

Grantham, W. D.

High shear stress behavior of some representative lubricants

Shear stress independent behavior observed for representative, synthetic, nonblended lubricants is found to be of the same magnitude as the shear stress in sliding elastohydrodynamic contacts. It is shown that dissipation heating is the only mechanism of importance in the generation of deviations from constant viscosity as measured with capillary tube viscometric methods. Newtonian end corrections for capillary tubes are found to be constant for nonblended liquid lubricants.

Jakobsen, J.

Analysis of flight equipment purchasing practices of representative air carriers

The process through which representative air carriers decide whether or not to purchase flight equipment was investigated as well as their practices and policies in retiring surplus aircraft. An analysis of the flight equipment investment decision process in ten airlines shows that for the airline industry as a whole, the flight equipment investment decision is in a state of transition from a wholly informal process in earliest years to a much more organized and structured process in the future. Individual air carriers are in different stages with respect to the formality and sophistication associated with the flight equipment investment decision.

Source record

A Representative Shuttle Environmental Control System

The Representative Shuttle Environmental Control System (RSECS) provides a ground test bed to be used in the early accumulation of component and system operating data, the evaluation of potential system improvements, and possibly the analysis of Shuttle Orbiter test and flight anomalies. Selected components are being subjected to long term tests to determine endurance and corrosion resistance capability prior to Orbiter vehicle experience. Component and system level tests in several cases are being used to support flight certification of Orbiter hardware. These activities are conducted as a development program to allow for timeliness, flexibility, and cost effectiveness not possible in a program burdened by flight documentation and monitoring constraints.

Brose, H. F.

Representative shuttle evaporative heat sink

The design, fabrication, and testing of a representative shuttle evaporative heat sink (RSEHS) system which vaporizes an expendable fluid to provide cooling for the shuttle heat transport fluid loop is reported. The optimized RSEHS minimum weight design meets or exceeds the shuttle flash evaporator system requirements. A cold trap which cryo-pumps flash evaporator exhaust water from the CSD vacuum chamber test facility to prevent water contamination of the chamber pumping equipment is also described.

Hixon, C. W.