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At least 55 records · Page 3

Performance Modeling of Tandem Photovoltaics: A Yearlong Outdoor Degradation Analysis of a Ga⁢As//Si Minimodule

We present a performance modeling and degradation analysis framework for tandem photovoltaic modules, building upon established procedures for crystalline silicon devices and adapting them to account for the spectral sensitivity of multijunction technologies. The methodology employs filter criteria to select outdoor measurements close to standard test conditions (STC) under stable spectral and ambient conditions, followed by normalization of power production data with corrections for temperature, irradiance, and precipitable water vapor. We demonstrate this framework using a mechanically stacked four-terminal gallium arsenide (Ga⁢As) // silicon (Si) tandem solar minimodule deployed outdoors from October 2019 to January 2021 in Golden, Colorado, USA. We determined degradation rates of −4.1 ±0.2%/year for the Ga⁢As subcell and −2.5 ±0.9%/year for the Si subcell, with analysis of individual performance metrics indicating that packaging degradation, particularly delamination, was the dominant failure mode. Simulations using PVcircuit, an open-source equivalent-circuit solver, confirmed these findings. The presented methodology provides a reproducible foundation for performance modeling and degradation analysis of emerging tandem technologies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

An Extratropical Pathway for the Madden–Julian Oscillation’s Influence on North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

Abstract This study investigates the combined impacts of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and extratropical anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking (AWB) on subseasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity and their physical connections. Our results show that during MJO phases 2–3 (enhanced Indian Ocean convection) and 6–7 (enhanced tropical Pacific convection), there are significant changes in basinwide TC activity. The MJO and AWB collaborate to suppress basinwide TC activity during phases 6–7 but not during phases 2–3. During phases 6–7, when AWB occurs, various TC metrics including hurricanes, accumulated cyclone energy, and rapid intensification probability decrease by ∼50%–80%. Simultaneously, large-scale environmental variables, like vertical wind shear, precipitable water, and sea surface temperatures become extremely unfavorable for TC formation and intensification, compared to periods characterized by suppressed AWB activity during the same MJO phases. Further investigation reveals that AWB events during phases 6–7 occur in concert with the development of a stronger anticyclone in the lower troposphere, which transports more dry, stable extratropical air equatorward, and drives enhanced tropical SST cooling. As a result, individual AWB events in phases 6–7 can disturb the development of surrounding TCs to a greater extent than their phases 2–3 counterparts. The influence of the MJO on AWB over the western subtropical Atlantic can be attributed to the modulation of the convectively forced Rossby wave source over the tropical eastern Pacific. A significant number of Rossby waves initiating from this region during phases 5–6 propagate into the subtropical North Atlantic, preceding the occurrence of AWB events in phases 6–7.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Analysis of Integrated Vapor Transport Biases

Abstract High-fidelity analyses and forecasts of integrated vapor transport (VT) are central to the study of Earth’s hydrological cycle as well as high-impact phenomena such as monsoons and atmospheric rivers. The impact of the in-line analysis correction-based additive inflation (ACAI) on IVT biases and forecast errors is examined within the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability (Navy ESPC) global coupled system. The ACAI technique uses atmospheric analysis corrections from the data assimilation system to approximate model bias and as a representation of stochastic model error to simultaneously reduce systematic and random errors and improve ensemble performance. ACAI reduces the global average magnitude of the 7- and 14-day IVT bias by 16%–17% during Northern Hemisphere summer, reaching 70% reductions in some tropical regions. The global average IVT bias reduction is similar to the bias reduction for low-level wind speed bias and considerably smaller than the bias reduction in total precipitable water. The localized regions where ACAI increases IVT bias occur where the control IVT biases change sign and structure with increasing forecast lead time, such as the South Asian monsoon region. Substituting analyzed wind or moisture fields for the forecast fields when calculating the forecast IVT confirms that, on average, wind errors dominate the IVT error calculation in the tropics, although wind and moisture error contributions are comparable in the extratropics. The existence of regions where using either analyzed winds or analyzed moisture increases IVT bias or mean absolute error reveals areas with compensating errors.

Reynolds, Carolyn A.↗

Estimating Surface Solar Irradiance Using Meteosat-8 Satellite for India and Surrounding Regions (2017-2019)

Using the Physical Solar Model, Version 3 (PSM V3), the National Renewable Energy Laboratory—in collaboration with the University of Wisconsin, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and Solar Consulting Services—produced modeled surface solar irradiance based on Meteosat-8 satellite cloud information. PSM V3 implements a physics-based radiative transfer approach to model surface solar irradiance using cloud properties processed from raw satellite data and ancillary data such as aerosol optical depth and precipitable water vapor from the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2). Further, the modeled surface solar irradiance was validated using 10 high-quality ground measurement data from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network. The modeled data showed good correlation with the ground measurement, and the overall uncertainty is less than 35% for all validation locations. Because of the satellite viewing geometry, the Indian and European locations demonstrated higher uncertainties than the African locations, where the Meteosat-8 satellite has a more nadir viewing geometry. Further, instruction on how to access the data is provided.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Puerto Rico Historical Climate Analysis: A closer look at complex tropical terrain

Small tropical islands like Puerto Rico are especially vulnerable to climate change impacts, yet are often underrepresented in most datasets because the spatial resolution is too coarse to sufficiently cover their complex terrain. This study was done to better understand how the climate has changed in the various regions of Puerto Rico, which will support a transition to renewable energy and aid in projecting future climate impacts on the residents and land they live on. This study used multiple datasets including Daymet, a daily surface weather and climatological summary; European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis version 5 (ERA5); and station observations. The climate variables examined here include minimum and maximum near-surface air temperature, daily precipitation, incident shortwave radiation, and large-scale upper atmosphere conditions. The time periods cover the years 1950–2019. Results in both Daymet and station observations show long-term warming trends throughout every season. In particular, the minimum winter temperatures increased the most compared with maximum and mean air temperature. Northeast Puerto Rico, where the majority of the island’s population is located, experienced the largest warming. Summertime precipitation has decreased over time, and spring and fall precipitation has increased. The largest increase in fall is because there has been more available precipitable water, lower sea-level pressure, and favorable cyclonic circulations from the trade winds over the past seven decades. Overall, wet days are getting wetter, while dry days are getting drier. While there are good solar energy potential, we see a long-term decreasing trend in shortwave radiation over time in all seasons across entire island, possibly due to the increase of cloud cover.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Atmospheric Modeling and Denoising for Millimeter-Wave Line Intensity Mapping

Line-intensity mapping (LIM) offers a promising approach to mapping large-scale cosmic structure, and the greatest obstacle for ground-based observations at millimeter wavelengths is foreground contamination from atmospheric emission. In this work, we present a simulation and denoising framework designed to isolate and subtract atmospheric fluctuations from LIM data, modeled after the instrument parameters of the South Pole Telescope Summertime Line Intensity Mapper (SPT-SLIM). We generate mock observations spanning 125-175 GHz containing cosmic signals, precipitable water vapor screens, ice crystal fluctuations, and photon noise. We then implement a spatial-spectral atmospheric removal pipeline combining per-pixel linear template regression with a two-dimensional Fourier-domain filter. The framework is evaluated under simulated conditions in the South Pole and the Atacama Desert across three key metrics: cosmic signal preservation, foreground subtraction efficiency, and instrument noise injection. Our pipeline achieves atmospheric suppression at large spatial scales, and these results establish a physically grounded foundation for atmosphere removal in ground-based LIM data collection.

Saye, Laney [UC, Berkeley (main)] (ORCID:000900078↗

Two Year Cosmology Large Angular Scale Surveyor (CLASS) Observations: Long Timescale Stability Achieved with a Front-end Variable-delay Polarization Modulator at 40 GHz

The Cosmology Large Angular Scale Surveyor (CLASS) is a four-telescope array observing the largest angular scales (2≲ ℓ ≲ 200) of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) polarization. These scales encode information about reionization and inflation during the early universe. The instrument stability necessary to observe these angular scales from the ground is achieved through the use of a variable-delay polarization modulator as the first optical element in each of the CLASS telescopes. Here, we develop a demodulation scheme used to extract the polarization timestreams from the CLASS data and apply this method to selected data from the first 2 yr of observations by the 40 GHz CLASS telescope. These timestreams are used to measure the 1/f noise and temperature-to-polarization (T → P) leakage present in the CLASS data. We find a median knee frequency for the pair-differenced demodulated linear polarization of 15.12 mHz and a T → P leakage of <3.8 × 10 -4 (95% confidence) across the focal plane. We examine the sources of 1/f noise present in the data and find the component of 1/f due to atmospheric precipitable water vapor (PWV) has an amplitude of 203 ± 12 µK RJ $\sqrt{{s}}$ for 1 mm of PWV when evaluated at 10 mHz; accounting for ~17% of the 1/f noise in the central pixels of the focal plane. In conclusion, the low levels of T → P leakage and 1/f noise achieved through the use of a front-end polarization modulator are requirements for observing of the largest angular scales of the CMB polarization by the CLASS telescopes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NWB Sensors Infrared Cloud Imager Data Products from SGP

NWB Sensors is a company which has developed a commercially available Infrared Cloud Imager (ICI). For more information, consult the company's webpage, https://www.nwbsensors.com/infrared-cloud-imager. To validate the radiometric accuracy of the ICI, NWB Sensors deployed it to the ARM SGP User Facility in 2023. The primary motivation of this deployment was to perform an intercomparison between the ICI and the Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI). The AERI spectral radiance data product can be integrated across the response function of the ICI and directly compared to the zenith radiance observed by the ICI. In addition, the ICI uses proprietary models of the downwelling clear-sky radiance in its cloud processing algorithms. They are based on surface meteorology and precipitable water vapor (PWV). These models were validated by comparing their predicted radiances to those derived from radiative transfer models of the ARM radiosondes. Finally, PWV observations derived from the ICI's onboard GNSS-based PWV retrieval system were compared against those from the microwave radiometer. This dataset contains the ICI radiance and cloud data products.

Atmosphere↗

Outdoor Deployment Data for a Four-Terminal GaAs//Si Tandem Solar Mini-Module

This dataset contains the complete outdoor measurement and analysis data for a mechanically stacked, four-terminal (4T) gallium arsenide (GaAs)//silicon (Si) tandem solar mini-module deployed from October 2019 to January 2021 at the Solar Radiation Research Laboratory (SRRL) in Golden, Colorado, USA. The data support a performance modeling and degradation analysis framework for tandem photovoltaic devices, as described in the accompanying publication. The dataset includes: (1) current–voltage (J–V) characteristics of each sub-cell measured approximately every five minutes, with extracted performance parameters; (2) spectral irradiance from an EKO MS-710 WISER spectroradiometer, along with derived spectral mismatch ratios (SMR) and average photon energy (APE); (3) one-minute resolution meteorological data from the co-located SRRL weather station and GPS-derived precipitable water vapor (PWV); (4) pre-deployment laboratory characterization (external quantum efficiency, J–V curves, standard test conditions parameters); (5) outdoor-extracted temperature and PWV correction coefficients; and (6) PVcircuit equivalent-circuit simulation outputs used for model validation. Degradation rates of −4.1 ± 0.2 %/year (GaAs) and −2.5 ± 0.9 %/year (Si) were determined using a filtering and normalization methodology adapted for fixed-tilt tandem modules. All data are provided in open, portable formats (Apache Parquet, CSV, JSON) to enable full reproducibility of the published analysis.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Atmospheric Modeling and Denoising for Millimeter-Wave Line Intensity Mapping

Line-intensity mapping (LIM) offers a promising approach to mapping large-scale cosmic structure, and the greatest obstacle for ground-based observations at millimeter wavelengths is foreground contamination from atmospheric emission. In this work, we present a simulation and denoising framework designed to isolate and subtract atmospheric fluctuations from LIM data, modeled after the instrument parameters of the South Pole Telescope Summertime Line Intensity Mapper (SPT-SLIM). We generate mock observations spanning 125-175 GHz containing cosmic signals, precipitable water vapor screens, ice crystal fluctuations, and photon noise. We then implement a spatial-spectral atmospheric removal pipeline combining per-pixel linear template regression with a two-dimensional Fourier-domain filter. The framework is evaluated under simulated conditions in the South Pole and the Atacama Desert across three key metrics: cosmic signal preservation, foreground subtraction efficiency, and instrument noise injection. Our pipeline achieves atmospheric suppression at large spatial scales, and these results establish a physically grounded foundation for atmosphere removal in ground-based LIM data collection.

Saye, L. K. [UC, Berkeley (main)] (ORCID:000900078↗

Implications of Changes in Water Stress and Precipitation Extremes for Cocoa Production in Côte D'ivoire and Ghana

ABSTRACT Climate change induces high variability in drought patterns and extreme precipitation indices in rainfed cocoa farming, impacting cocoa production. This study evaluated water stress, meteorological and agricultural drought conditions, and critical extreme precipitation indices in the world's two largest cocoa‐producing nations from 1981 to 2022. The results revealed a significant reduction in total annual precipitation (PRCPTOT), in the last three decades, with the greatest decline in the 1991–2000 and 2011–2022 periods. Ghana experienced the most significant reduction up to 15% (200 mm/year) in the last decade, attributed to a substantial decrease in wet days number (RR1) up to 25 days per year, a reduction in maximum consecutive wet days (CWD) up to 6 days per year, and an increase in maximum consecutive dry days (CDD) up to 15 days per year. Moreover, there was a notable decline in the Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII), with reductions of up to 4 mm/day in certain areas, contributing to increased drought frequency, severity, and duration. In the most recent decade (2011–2022), particularly during the extremely dry years of 2013 and 2015, cocoa‐growing regions in Ghana (GHA) and eastern Côte d'Ivoire (CIV) experienced prolonged agricultural drought expressed by soil moisture deficit, typically extending from May to September. Additionally, large portions of central and eastern Ghana, as well as northeastern Côte d'Ivoire experienced sustained water stress, with over three consecutive months of total monthly precipitation falling below 100 mm, negatively impacting cocoa productivity. The decrease in the yield in the range of 2.5% to 37% was noted in the dry years and the following years, varying according to the country depending on the severity of the drought. Sensitivity analysis highlights cocoa yield's responsiveness to drought and water stress, particularly in specific years when water stress occurred, such as 1984,1985, 1989, 1995, 1999, 2000, and 2008. Considering the observed trends in precipitation patterns and their impact on cocoa production, it is crucial to acknowledge the inherent uncertainty of future precipitation patterns due to climate change. To address this challenge effectively, our study underscores the importance of identifying and closely monitoring regions currently facing water stress, as determined by precipitation and drought indicators. Over the analysed period (1981–2022), we have noted shifts in the distribution of water‐stressed areas, highlighting the dynamic nature of this issue. Consequently, we advocate for a targeted approach to implement cocoa supplementary irrigation in consistently water‐stressed regions.

Obahoundje, Salomon [International Water Managemen↗

Geochemical and microbial characteristics of seepage water and mineral precipitates in a radwaste disposal facility impacted by seawater intrusion and high alkalinity

The construction of an underground facility can dramatically change the quality, flow direction, and level of groundwater. It may also impact subsurface microbial composition and activity. Groundwater quality was monitored over eight years in two observational wells near an underground disposal facility on the east coast of South Korea. The results showed dramatic increases in dissolved ions such as O 2 , Na, Ca, Mg, and SO 4 during facility construction. Seepage water samples downgradient from the silos and tunnels, and precipitates deposited along the seepage water flow path were collected to determine the impact inside the disposal facility. X-ray analysis (powder X-ray diffraction (pXRD) and X-ray absorption fine structure (XAFS)) were used to characterize the mineral precipitates. Microbial community composition was determined by 16S rRNA gene sequencing. The seepage water composition was of two types: Ca-Cl and Ca-Na-HCO 3 . The ratio of Cl and δ 18 O showed that the Ca-Cl type seepage water was influenced by groundwater mixed with seawater ranging from 2.7% to 15.1%. Various sulfate-reducing bacteria were identified in the Ca-Cl type seepage water, exhibiting relatively high sulfate content from seawater intrusion. Samples from the Ca-Na-HCO 3 type seepage water had an extremely high pH (>10) and abundance of Hydrogenophaga. The precipitates observed along the flow path of the seepage water included calcite, ferrihydrite, green rust, and siderite, depending on seepage water chemistry and microbial activity. This study suggests that the construction of underground structures creates distinct, localized geochemical conditions (e.g., high alkalinity, high salinity, and oxic conditions), which may impact microbial communities. These biogeochemical changes may have undesirable large-scale impacts such as water pump clogging. Overall, an understanding of the process and long-term monitoring are essential to assess the safety of underground facilities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

COMBLE-ISLAS water isotopes in precipitation (COMBLEISLASISO)

During the measurement period, precipitation was sampled on daily to sub-daily basis with a sampling kit consiting of a clear plastic box (60x40x40 cm) mounted to a ground structure. Daily sampling lasted from 22 Feb to 24 Mar 2020. At a fixed time of day (10 UTC), samples were collected and the sampling box cleaned for the next sample. Additionally, during intense observations periods (IOPs) announced by ISLAS, ARMS scientists increased sampling frequency to sub-daily sampling. During the campaign period, 2 IOPs were conducted, with in total 12 samples taken. IOP1 lasted from 27 Feb 10 to 02 Mar 2020, and IOP2 lasted from 12 Mar to 14 Mar 2020. Solid precipitation in the box was then melted, transferred to an 8 ml glass vial, sealed and shipped to FARLAB (University of Bergen, Norway) for stable water isotope analysis. Measured stable isotope composition of precipitation samples will be related to conditions at other sampling locations, and at the evaporation site to inform about conservation of water isotope quantities. In the period from 22 Feb to 24 Mar, 23 daily samples were collected at 10 UTC for stable water isotope analysis. During the entire sampling period, a high variability of precipitation phase was encountered. Most samples were recovered in the form of graupel/snow (12 samples), as rain (7 samples), and the remaining samples fell as graupel, snow, rain or frozen rain. Precipitation amounts varied between <1 mm (26 Feb) and 140 mm (25 Feb) within the sampling box. Furthermore, higher-resolution sampling was conducted during 2 intense observation periods (IOPs). During IOP1, lasting from 27 Feb 10 UTC to 02 Mar 10 UTC, 7 samples were collected, all of them as solid phase precipitation. IOP2 lasted from 12 Mar 10 UTC to 14 Mar 09 UTC, and 5 samples (all as graupel/snow) were collected. Samples were processed according to FARLAB standard measurement procedures. In short, samples were transferred to 1.5 ml glass vials with rubber/PTFE septa (part #548-0907, VWR, USA). An autosampler (A0325, Picarro Inc) transferred ca. 2&micro;l per injection into a high-precision vapourizer (A0211, Picarro Inc, USA) heated to 110&deg;C. After blending with dry N2 (< 5 ppm H2O) the gas mixture was directed into the measurement cavity of a Cavity-Ring Down Spectrometer (L2140-i, Picarro Inc) for about 7 min with a typical water concentration of 20 000 ppm. Memory effects were reduced by two times measuring a vapour mixture at a mixing ratio of 50 000 ppm, obtained from 2 injections of 2 &micro;l for 5 min at the beginning of each new sample vial. Thereafter, another 6 injections of 2 &micro;l per sample were measured individually as described above, and averages of the last 5 injections were used for further processing. Three standards were measured at the beginning and end of each batch, including a drift standard DI2 (&delta;D: -50.72&plusmn;0.73 permil, &delta;18O: -7.63&plusmn;0.10 permil), and for calibration the laboratory standards GLW (&delta;D: -307.79&plusmn;0.75 permil, &delta;18O: -40.02&plusmn;0.07 permil) and EVAP2 (&delta;D: 9.52&plusmn;0.65 permil, &delta;18O: 1.81&plusmn;0.13 permil). A detailed calibration report is included with the final uploaded data set.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Hydrologic applicability of satellite-based precipitation estimates for irrigation water management in the data-scarce region

Reliable precipitation estimates are crucial for planning and managing water resources, monitoring hydrologic extremes, and fulfilling irrigation water requirements. Accurate precipitation estimates are particularly challenging in complex mountain terrains, where monitoring gauges are often sparsely distributed due to their remote locations, and high installation and long-term operation costs. Recent advances in satellite-based precipitation estimates offer promising opportunities to improve our understanding of hydrologic processes and their applications for irrigation water management. Several datasets are available varying considerably in terms of their data sources, quality control methods, estimation procedure, and spatiotemporal resolutions. Choosing the most suitable dataset for a particular application is a complex task. In this study, we (1) evaluate the performance of six satellite-based precipitation estimates (SPEs): i) CHIRPS v2.0, ii) CMORPH v1.0, iii) ERA5, iv) IMERG v6, v) MSWEP v2.8, and vi) PERSIANN-CDR against the gauge precipitation using continuous statistical and categorical indices, (2) integrate SPEs with a calibrated semi-distributed hydrologic model to predict streamflow, and (3) demonstrate practical implications of improved streamflow prediction for irrigation water management in the central Himalayan region, Nepal. Our results illustrate that satellite-based precipitation estimates have competitive performance in capturing a wide range of rainfall characteristics, with demonstrated variability across river basins and time scales. Further, there are no significant discrepancies observed in satellite-based precipitation estimates for estimating irrigation water requirements for the three major crops (maize, wheat, and paddy) during the cropping period across the selected river basins, showing a greater promise for irrigation water management planning and decision making.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Water Stable Isotopes in Precipitation, Rivers, and Groundwater Across an Elevation Gradient in the Sierra Nevada Mountains (USA) Reflect Source Elevation

Understanding watershed processes is critical to predict the impacts of climate change and forest management on water resources. However, collecting hydrological data in mountainous terrain is challenging. Precipitation, river water, and groundwater H and O stable isotope data can provide insights into processes occurring at the mountain range scale. Water δ 2 H and δ 18 O values in precipitation vary with terrain elevation; thus, the resulting isotopic lapse rates of precipitation, groundwater, and river water have the potential to elucidate watershed processes and source elevations of major rivers. We analysed H and O stable isotope data of precipitation, groundwater, and river water over the course of one Water Year (Oct 2016—Oct 2017) in the Sierra Nevada mountains of California, USA. We calculated elevation-dependent isotopic lapse rates of these waters to estimate the source elevation of major rivers draining the west flank of the Sierra Nevada mountains. We also investigated the Cosumnes River's watershed in more detail to determine how river flow may be more fully partitioned. Here, we found that H and O stable isotopes in precipitation are temporally variable, but isotopic lapse rates are generally consistent with prior studies. However, groundwater samples across an elevation gradient provide a more consistent and accessible isotopic lapse rate to predict river water source elevations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

East River Watershed Stable Water Isotope Data in Precipitation, Snowpack and Snowmelt 2016-2020

Stable water isotopes (d18O, d2H and d-excess) are important tracers in hydrologic research to understand water partitioning between vegetation, groundwater, and runoff but are rarely applied to large watersheds with persistent snowpack and complex topopgraphy. Data were collected for the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Watershed Function Science Focus Area supported by the U.S Department of Energy in the East River, CO Hydrologic Unit Code (140200010) with limited data also collected in adjacent watersheds Ohio Creek and Taylor River. Data are provided in csv and includes isotopic information for precipitation (years 2014-2016), snowmelt (years 2016-2017) and snowpits (years 2016-2020). Snowpit data contain depth resolved information at 10 cm intervals for density, snow water equivalent (SWE) and stable water isotopes. Bulk isotopic data for 86 snowpits contain depth, SWE, density and SWE-weighted isotope values. Sampling locations and elevations are provided within the data files, while kmz files are provided to view sampling locations using Google Earth software.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗