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NASA NTRS1992

Short- and intermediate-period oxygen-rich Miras

Available IR photometry and the period-IR luminosity relationship are used to analyze a nearly complete sample of oxygen-rich Miras at Galactic latitudes with /b/ greater than 30 deg. In agreement with previous kinematic studies, a marked difference is found in the spatial distributions between the stars with periods less than and those with periods greater than 300 d. For stars with periods in the range 300-400 d, the exponential scale height from the Galactic plane is close to 240 pc, the projected surface density is about 100/sq kpc, and the local space density is about 210/cu kpc. The progenitors of the Miras with periods greater than 300 d appear to be disk dwarfs with typical main-sequence masses of between 1.0 and 1.2 solar masses. The masses of the main-sequence progenitors of the short-period Miras are 1.1 solar masses or less. The duration of the Mira phase for the intermediate-period stars is estimated to be about 20,000 yr, somewhat longer than other recent estimates. Both short- and intermediate-period oxygen-rich Miras characteristically lose mass at about 10 exp -7 solar mass/yr.

Jura, M.↗
NASA NTRS1992

'Intermittent' solar periodicities

The signal from a stable periodicity can seem to be intermittent when it is partially masked by an unmodelled window function or when the data set is too short to resolve closely spaced periodicities. By taking this into account, short-lived periodicities in solar data can be reinterpreted as evidence for continuously periodic behavior. The periodic sources are located in the solar interior and caused by global oscillation modes. The convective envelope acts as the window for these sources. Recent reports of seven periodicities from 100 to 1000 days are compared with this model. Precise long-term values for the periodicities are predicted and they agree closely with observations. Some elements are suggested that might explain the well-documented 155-day periodicity. Conventional filtering methods to suppress effects of the 11-year cycle are criticized as inadequate.

Wolff, Charles L.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Periodic intensity variations in sulfur emissions from the Io plasma torus

In November and December 1988, we acquired 157 spectra of (S II) lambda 6731 emissions from the Io plasma torus with a Fabry-Perot interferometer at the McMath-Pierce Solar Telescope facility on Kitt Peak. A major goal of this experiment was to extend our earlier studies of intensity variations in the plasma torus. Our earlier analysis (F. L. Roesler, F. Scherb, and R. J. Oliversen, 1984, of (S III) lambda 9531 emission spectra acquired in April 1982 had shown that the intensity of torus emissions varied periodically with a period of 10.20 +/- 0.06 hr (1-sigma uncertainty level), slightly longer than Jupiter's System 3 rotational period of 9.925 hr. We present here an reanalysis of our 1982 data revealing, in addition to the 10.20-hr period, a clear secondary periodicity at 9.95 +/- 0.906 hr. By constrast, we show that our new (S II) lambda 6731 data have a single period of 10.14 +/- 0.03 hr. which is neither the System 3 period nor the proposed 'System 4' period of 10.224 hr.

Woodward, R. Carey, Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Revised predictions of long-period ocean tidal effects on Earth's rotation rate

The rotational response of Earth to long-period tidal forces, embodied in a 'zonal response function,' can be expected to vary with frequency because of variable contributions by the oceans, mantle, and core. The zonal response function has been estimated from 9 years of International Radio Interferometric Surveying (IRIS) universal time (UT1) data and compared with theoretical predictions, using a spherical harmonic tide model to compute the oceans' dynamic response, at semiannual, monthly, fortnightly, and 9-day lunisolar tidal frequencies. Different amounts of mantle anelasticity have been considered for both the oceanic and soild earth responses; predictions have been made assuming axial core-mantle coupling which is either complete or absent. Additionally, an extensive recalibration of the ocean model's frictional parameters was performed using constraints derived in part from Space92 polar motion data; zonal response function predictions have also been made employing this recalibrated ocean tide model. Our results indicate that any amount of core coupling can be ruled out at a fortnightly period and probably at a 9-day period, but not at a monthly period. Our results also suggest that the mantle responds purely elastically at a 9-day period but may behave increasingly anelastically at longer periods. A simple dispersive rule is postulated for periods ranging up to the 14-month Chandler wobble period.

Dickman, S. R.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Periodicities of solar flare and its relations

Daily flare index during period between March 1975 and May 1978, were studied by using power spectral analysis method. There are periodicities between 4.5 days to 21.7 days. Our results confirm the periodicity around 12.5 days found by several authors. This periodicity was attributed to the rotation of solar core. Long term periodicities were given where 88 and 320 days periodicities were confirmed. The relation between these periodicities and other solar activities periodicity were given.

Hady, Ahmed A.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Solar wind plasma periodicities observed at 1 AU by IMP 8

The IMP 8 spacecraft has been in Earth orbit since 1973, gathering plasma data over one complete 22-year solar cycle. These data are being examined to look for periodicities at time scales ranging from several hours to the entire span of the data set. A 1.3-year periodicity in the radial speed observed by IMP 8 and Voyager 2 has already been reported for the years from 1987 to 1993. The periodogram method, useful for unevenly sampled data such as the IMP 8 plasma data, has been used to search for other periods. It is interesting to note that the 13-year period is not present in the out-of-the-ecliptic component of the velocity (Vz), although a 1-year period is very obvious both visually and on the periodogram. Both components show a very strong peak associated with the 11-year solar cycle variation. This work will be extended to the thermal speed (a measure of the wind's temperature) and density, although the frequent correlations between these parameters and the velocity are expected to cause similar results. Additionally, the fine resolution data will be examined for shorter time periods than are visible using the hourly average data which are appropriate for longer periods. A comparison with periods observed at other spacecraft may also be made.

Paularena, K. I.↗
NASA NTRS1998

Studies of Long Period Variability in Neutron Star HMXB Systems

The purpose of this effort was to investigate the long term, quasi-periodic variability of the X-ray emission from the accreting X-ray pulsars LMC X-4 and SMC X-1. These high mass X-ray binary (HMXB) sources are known to vary in a nearly periodic fashion with cycle lengths of about 30 and 60 days respectively. The prevailing model for such behavior is that it is due to the precession of a tilted accretion disk around the neutron star which is the source of the X-ray emission. As the disk precesses, it periodically obscures the emitting region, resulting in reduced flux as observed at the Earth. The obscuration is not strictly periodic, as the disk precession period changes as the total mass and size of the disk change through variable accretion processes. This model is well established for the long-period variability in the X-ray pulsar Her X-1. With this work, my collaborators and I sought to test whether this model works for LMC X-4 and SMC X-1. Observations with the pointed instruments on the Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer (RXTE) were carried out in order to observe changes in the X-ray spectrum and total flux which were correlated with the long period cycles in these objects. One of the main predictions of the precessing disk model is that the periods of low emission are caused not by changes in the central source, but by increased absorption of that flux as seen at the Earth. Such behavior would be observed in the X-ray spectrum as a relative lack of low energy X-rays (which are more easily absorbed) as compared to high energy X-rays. This is what was observed for SMC X-1, landing strong support to the precessing disk model for this system. For LMC X-1, however, the absorption was consistent with zero at the time of minimum flux. The entire spectrum appeared to be equally reduced. This is not supporting evidence for the model. However, it also does not rule out a precessing disk. If at the time of minimum flux, the intervening disk is so thick that no flux, even high energy X-rays, can penetrate, and if there is material above the disk which can scatter X-rays, then a small scattered spectrum will be seen which is indistinguishable from the unobscured source flux. This is quite possibly the case in LMC X-1.

Heindl, William A.↗
NASA NTRS2010

Examining Periodic Solar-Wind Density Structures Observed in the SECCHI Heliospheric Imagers

We present an analysis of small-scale, periodic, solar-wind density enhancements (length scales as small as approximately equals 1000 Mm) observed in images from the Heliospheric Imager (HI) aboard STEREO-A. We discuss their possible relationship to periodic fluctuations of the proton density that have been identified at 1 AU using in-situ plasma measurements. Specifically, Viall, Kepko, and Spence examined 11 years of in-situ solar-wind density measurements at 1 AU and demonstrated that not only turbulent structures, but also nonturbulent, periodic density structures exist in the solar wind with scale sizes of hundreds to one thousand Mm. In a subsequent paper, Viall, Spence, and Kasper analyzed the alpha-to-proton solar-wind abundance ratio measured during one such event of periodic density structures, demonstrating that the plasma behavior was highly suggestive that either temporally or spatially varying coronal source plasma created those density structures. Large periodic density structures observed at 1 AU, which were generated in the corona, can be observable in coronal and heliospheric white-light images if they possess sufficiently high density contrast. Indeed, we identify such periodic density structures as they enter the HI field of view and follow them as they advect with the solar wind through the images. The smaller, periodic density structures that we identify in the images are comparable in size to the larger structures analyzed in-situ at 1 AU, yielding further evidence that periodic density enhancements are a consequence of coronal activity as the solar wind is formed.

Viall, Nicholeen M.↗
NASA NTRS2013

Can the 62 Day X-ray Period of ULX M82 X-1 Be Due to a Precessing Accretion Disk?

We have analyzed all the archival RXTE/PCA monitoring observations of the ultraluminous X-ray source (ULX) M82 X-1 in order to study the properties of its previously discovered 62 day X-ray period (Kaaret & Feng 2007). Based on the high coherence of the modulation it has been argued that the observed period is the orbital period of the binary. Utilizing a much longer data set than in previous studies we find: (1) The phase-resolved X-ray (3-15 keV) energy spectra - modeled with a thermal accretion disk and a power-law corona - suggest that the accretion disk's contribution to the total flux is responsible for the overall periodic modulation while the power-law flux remains approximately constant with phase. (2) Suggestive evidence for a sudden phase shift-of approximately 0.3 in phase (20 days)-between the first and the second halves of the light curve separated by roughly 1000 days. If confirmed, the implied timescale to change the period is approx. = 10 yrs, which is exceptionally fast for an orbital phenomenon. These independent pieces of evidence are consistent with the 62 day period being due to a precessing accretion disk, similar to the so-called super-orbital periods observed in systems like Her X-1, LMC X-4, and SS433. However, the timing evidence for a change in the period needs to be confirmed with additional observations. This should be possible with further monitoring of M82 with instruments such as the X-ray telescope (XRT) on board Swift.

ULX M82↗
NASA NTRS2013

Periodic Bursts of Jovian Non-Io Decametric Radio Emission

During the years 2000-2011 the radio instruments onboard Cassini, Wind and STEREO spacecraft have Recorded a large amount of the Jovian decametric radio emission (DAM). In this paper we report on the analysis of the new type of Jovian periodic radio bursts recently revealed in the decametric frequency range. These bursts, which are non-Io component of DAM, are characterized by a strong periodic reoccurrence over several Jovian days with a period approx. = 1:5% longer than the rotation rate of the planet's magnetosphere (System III). The bursts are typically observed between 4 and 12 MHz and their occurrence probability has been found to be significantly higher in the sector of Jovian Central Meridian Longitude between 300 deg. and 60 deg. (via 360 deg.). The stereoscopic multispacecraft observations have shown that the radio sources of the periodic bursts radiate in a non-axisymmetric hollow cone-like pattern and sub-corotate with Jupiter remaining active during several planet's rotations. The occurrence of the periodic non-Io DAM bursts is strongly correlated with pulses of the solar wind ram pressure at Jupiter. Moreover the periodic bursts exhibit a tendency to occur in groups every approx. 25 days. The polarization measurements have shown that the periodic bursts are right hand polarized radio emission associated with the Northern magnetic hemisphere of Jupiter. We suggest that periodic non-Io DAM bursts may be connected with the interchange instability in Io plasma torus triggered by the solar wind.

Jovian↗
NASA NTRS1973

The effect of multiple encounters on short-period comet orbits.

The observed orbital elements of short-period comets are found to be consistent with the hypothesis of derivation from long-period comets as long as two assumptions are made. First, the distribution of short-period comets has been randomized by multiple encounters with Jupiter and second, the short-period comets have low velocities of encounter with Jupiter. Some 16% of the observed short-period comets have lower encounter velocities than is allowed mathematically using Laplace's method. This may be due to double-encounter processes with Jupiter and Saturn. The distribution of unobservable short-period comets can be inferred in part from the observed comets. It is shown that there may be many short-period comets having orbits between Jupiter and Saturn with somewhat higher inclinations than those with perihelia near the earth.

Lowrey, B. E.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Periodic orbits of the elliptic restricted problem for the Sun-Jupiter-Saturn system

A systematic approach to generate periodic orbits in the elliptic restricted problem of three bodies is introduced. The approach is based on (numerical) continuation from periodic orbits of the first and second kind in the circular restricted problem to periodic orbits in the elliptic restricted problem. Two families of periodic orbits of the elliptic restricted problem are found by this approach. The mass ratio of the primaries of these orbits is equal to that of the Sun-Jupiter system. The sidereal mean motions between the infinitesimal body and the smaller primary are in a 2:5 resonance, so as to approximate the Sun-Jupiter-Saturn system. The lineaar stabilities of these periodic orbits are studied as functions of the eccentricities of the primaries and of the infinitesimal body. The results show that both stable and unstable periodic orbits exist in the elliptic restricted problem that are close to the actual Sun-Jupiter-Saturn system. However, the periodic orbit closest to the actual Sun-Jupiter-Saturn system is (linearly) stable.

Kwok, J. H.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Long Periodic Terms in the Solar System

The long period variations of the first eight planets in the solar system are studied. First, the Lagrangian solution is calculated and then the long period terms with fourth order eccentricities and inclinations are introduced into the perturbation function. A second approximation was made taking into account the short period terms' contribution, namely the perturbations of first order with respect to the masses. Special attention was paid to the determination of the integration constants. The relative importance of the different contributions is shown. It is useless, for example, to introduce the long period terms of fifth order if no account has been taken of the short period terms. Meanwhile, the terms that have been neglected would not introduce large changes in the integration constants. Even so, the calculation should be repeated with higher order short period terms and fifth order long periods.

Bretagnon, P.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Very slow classical Cepheids - Theoretical models with periods longer than 50 days

Systematics of the light curves of classical Cepheids with the longest known periods have been investigated with the help of full-amplitude models of pulsating stellar envelopes. For periods exceeding about 60 days, flat-topped light curves of the S Vul type are found to replace the smooth, asymmetric light curves characteristic of the slightly faster Cepheids. Predicted light and velocity amplitudes (although not the predicted radius amplitudes) agree well with observations. Variables with fluctuating light minima are observed to lie well off the mean period-luminosity relation, as are a few other (more stable?) variables with similarly long periods. The explanation for the long periods is probably low effective temperature rather than a low stellar mass. Because of the abnormal slowness of the classical Cepheids with periods longer than about 100 days, it is recommended that these variables not be used to calibrate the mean period-luminosity relation. Analogies between the slow classical Cepheids and the slow Population II Cepheids are drawn.

Carson, T. R.↗
NASA NTRS1987

On the interpretation of the Sandage period-shift effect among globular-cluster RR Lyrae variables

A new grid of canonical zero-age horizontal branch (ZAHB) models is constructed to study the Sandage period-shift effect, and a number of possible explanations for the discrepancy between the observed and predicted period shifts are explored. Various factors which determine the period shift in ZAHB models are discussed in detail, showing that possible uncertainties in the input physics used for computing the preceding red-giant evolution are unlikely to resolve the discrepancy. Some test calculations for the ZAHB phase are presented which suggest than an increase in the metal opacity at temperatures around a million K might substantially increase the predicted period shift. It is found that a nonsolar CNO to Fe ratio is not a plausible explanation of the period-shift discrepancy, and the effects of evolution off the ZAHB in the period-effective temperature diagram are discussed. It is shown that evolution can increase the predicted period shift but not to the extent required by the Sandage effect. The possibility that rotation might explain the discrepancy is considered and rejected.

Sweigart, Allen V.↗
NASA NTRS1987

The 152-day periodicity of the solar flare occurrence rate

The occurrence rate of solar flares exhibits a periodicity of about 152 days. The cause of the 152-day periodicity still remains a mystery. But answers to the following questions will enhance understanding of it. (1) Is the periodicity a local or a global phenomenon? (2) Is the periodicity due to the interaction of 'hotspots' rotating at different rates such that they align with one another once every 152-day period? (3) Is the periodicity due to the interaction of rotating features originating from g-mode oscillations? Here the authors report an analysis of 'major flares' observed with the Hard X-ray Burst Spectrometer (HXRBS) aboard SMM and conclude that the 152-day periodicity is a global phenomenon, and that the answers to questions (2) and (3) are negative.

Bai, Taeil↗
NASA NTRS1988

Periodicities in gamma-ray burst light curves

Only one case is known where a gamma-ray burst (GRB) light curve indisputably exhibits a periodic behavior. However, a number of GRB light curves have claims for periodicity of varying degrees of plausibility. A vital part of each claim is some mathematical calculation of the significance of the period when compared to some appropriate hypothesis where no modulation is present. For the period search techniques of Fourier transforms, periodograms, and model fitting, well known statistical procedures allow the significance to be evaluated. However, a fourth period search technique, so called 'pattern recognition', does not have any published means of estimating confidence levels. Here, a series of Monte Carlo calculations is presented which will allow evaluation of a period's significance. These results are then applied to periods proposed for 16 bursts.

Schaefer, B. E.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Periodicity of extinction: A 1988 update

The hypothesis that events of mass extinction recur periodically at approximately 26 my intervals is an empirical claim based on analysis of data from the fossil record. The hypothesis has become closely linked with catastrophism because several events in the periodic series are associated with evidence of extraterrestrial impacts, and terrestrial forcing mechanisms with long, periodic recurrences are not easily conceived. Astronomical mechanisms that have been hypothesized include undetected solar companions and solar oscillation about the galactic plane, which induce comet showers and result in impacts on Earth at regular intervals. Because these mechanisms are speculative, they have been the subject of considerable controversy, as has the hypothesis of periodicity of extinction. In response to criticisms and uncertainties, a data base was developed on times of extinction of marine animal genera. A time series is given and analyzed with 49 sample points for the per-genus extinction rate from the Late Permian to the Recent. An unexpected pattern in the data is the uniformity of magnitude of many of the periodic extinction events. Observations suggest that the sequence of extinction events might be the result of two sets of mechanisms: a periodic forcing that normally induces only moderate amounts of extinction, and independent incidents or catastrophes that, when coincident with the periodic forcing, amplify its signal and produce major-mass extinctions.

Sepkowski, J. John, Jr.↗