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At least 55 records · Page 3

Integration of Condition-Based, Diagnostic, Prognostic, And Anomaly Detection Data into Reliability Models to Support a Predictive Maintenance Context

Reliability data employed in plant reliability models are an approximated integral representation of the past industrywide operational experience, and they neglect the present asset health status (available, for example, from online monitoring data and diagnostic assessments) and forecasted health projection (when available from prognostic models). Ideally, in a predictive maintenance context, system reliability models should support decision making by propagating actual health information from the asset to the system level in order to provide a quantitative snapshot of system health and identify the most critical assets. Asset health should be informed solely by that specific asset’s current and historical performance data and should not be an approximated integral representation of the past industrywide operational experience (as currently performed by system reliability models through Bayesian updating processes). This paper proposes a reliability modeling approach that relies on asset diagnostic and prognostic assessments, along with monitoring data to measure asset health. We show how state-of-the art condition-based, diagnostic, prognostic, and anomaly detection models can be linked to system reliability models not in probability terms, but in terms of margin where margin is defined as the “distance” between the present status and an undesired event (e.g., failure or unacceptable performance). Then, we show how the propagation of margin data from the asset to the system level is performed through classical reliability models such as fault trees or reliability block diagrams. The described method is in fact able to propagate heterogenous health data from the asset to the system level in order to analytically assess system health.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Smart sensor for online situational awareness in power grids

Waveforms in power grids typically reveal a certain pattern with specific features and peculiarities driven by the system operating conditions, internal and external uncertainties, etc. This prompts an observation of different types of waveforms at the measurement points (substations). An innovative next-generation smart sensor technology includes a measurement unit embedded with sophisticated analytics for power grid online surveillance and situational awareness. The smart sensor brings additional levels of smartness into the existing phasor measurement units (PMUs) and intelligent electronic devices (IEDs). It unlocks the full potential of advanced signal processing and machine learning for online power grid monitoring in a distributed paradigm. Within the smart sensor are several interconnected units for signal acquisition, feature extraction, machine learning-based event detection, and a suite of multiple measurement algorithms where the best-fit algorithm is selected in real-time based on the detected operating condition. Embedding such analytics within the sensors and closer to where the data is generated, the distributed intelligence mechanism mitigates the potential risks to communication failures and latencies, as well as malicious cyber threats, which would otherwise compromise the trustworthiness of the end-use applications in distant control centers. The smart sensor achieves a promising classification accuracy on multiple classes of prevailing conditions in the power grid and accordingly improves the measurement quality across the power grid.

Dehghanian, Payman↗

Online Monitoring System for Concrete Structures Affected by Alkali-Silica Reaction

This report presents a comprehensive study of developing ultrasonic wave and acoustic emission (AE) techniques for long-term monitoring of alkali-silica reaction (ASR) development in concrete. Small, medium, and full-scale concrete specimens were cast, conditioned, and monitored for various periods, from at least one year to 2.4 years. The reactive concrete specimens contain coarse or fine reactive aggregates to study the effects of different types of reactive aggregates. Confinements were also designed to simulate the 2-dimensional confinement effects of reinforcement in the shield building of nuclear power plants. The concrete specimens were stored in a environmental chamber with high humidity and high temperature to accelerate the ASR development. The ultrasonic monitoring data shows high sensitivity to ASR development and could detect cracking initiation well before visible surface cracks occurred. However, the linear ultrasonic analysis based on wave velocity is strongly affected by temperature variation. Therefore, a nonlinear ultrasonic method was proposed to measure thermally induced nonlinear acoustic responses of concrete (thermal modulation of ultrasonic wave). The measured nonlinear acoustic parameter shows a high correlation with ASR expansion across specimens with different reactive aggregates and confinement conditions. The same conclusion was obtained from nonlinear resonance tests on small concrete prisms. Compared to the linear acoustic methods, the nonlinear tests show high sensitivities to ASR damage from internal microcracking initiation at the early stage to visible cracks at the late stage of ASR. The attributes of the thermal modulation of nonlinear ultrasonic method include high sensitivity, immunity to temperature effects, and strong correlation with ASR expansion, which demonstrate great potentials of the nonlinear ultrasonic method for diagnosis of ASR damage and prediction of concrete deterioration process. Acoustic emission is a passive sensing technique for damage assessment, and access to only one surface is needed even for thick and heavily reinforced elements such as the walls utilized for nuclear shield building. Additionally, relatively few sensors are required to monitor the progression of the damage process. Results indicate that the AE data can be related to the damage rating index, which is a petrography-based means of assessing damage due to ASR in reinforced concrete. Furthermore, AE is capable of detecting ASR damage long before surface cracking is visually noticeable. Boundary conditions play in important role in the progression of ASR damage and differences in boundary conditions are reflected in the AE data. Entropy based data assessment methods provide a means to assess the damage state, and convolutional neural network based data assessment provided a means to assess the damage state in real-time. Results indicate that artificial neural network models may be used as a means to predict volumetric expansion based on AE data.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Efficient Region of Attraction Characterization for Control and Stabilization of Load Tap Changer Dynamics

In this article, we study the monitoring and control of long-term voltage stability considering load tap changer (LTC) dynamics. We show that under generic conditions, the LTC dynamics admit a unique stable equilibrium. For the stable equilibrium, we characterize an explicit inner approximation of its largest region of attraction (ROA). Compared to existing results, the computational complexity of the ROA characterization is drastically reduced. We propose a quadratically constrained linear program formulation for the ROA characterization problem. In addition, we formulate a second-order cone program for online voltage stability monitoring and control exploiting the proposed ROA characterization. Finally, we demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed formulations on the ROA characterization and stability monitoring and control using a standard IEEE test system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Welding of Haynes 282 to Steels to Enable Modular Rotors for Advanced Ultra Super-Critical Steam Turbines

Steam turbines for an Advanced Ultra Super Critical (AUSC) fossil fired power plant will operate at temperatures well above those of current commercial steam cycles with inlet temperatures more than 760 C , which is beyond the capabilities of alloy steels presently used for steam turbine applications and requires advanced materials. Large components such as steam turbine rotors may be made of nickel based super alloys such as Haynes 282 (H282). However, monolithic forgings of superalloys in the sizes required for large steam turbines rotors can be prohibitively expensive besides many technical challenges. To minimize cost and alleviate the related technical challenges, superalloy use needs to be limited to locations on the steam turbine rotor where strength and temperature requirements cannot be met by conventional steels. This is possible if nickel-based superalloys can be successfully welded to steels and the related technical challenges - machining parts made of dissimilar welded materials, non-destructive examination of such welds for flaw detection; and, material properties of such hybrid components – are sufficiently addressed. In this technology development project, we successfully welded H282 to plates up to ~ 75 mm (~ 3 inches) to a 3.5NiCrMoV steel of similar thickness. Advanced ultrasonic inspection technique called Phased Array Ultrasonic Testing (PAUT) was employed to examine the dissimilar H282-Steel welds, into which flat bottomed side drilled holes (SDH) of various diameters were introduced, to determine the minimum detectable feature sizes; it was shown that with PAUT SDH of dia. down to 0.5 mm could be detected in the base alloys and SDH with dia. down to 2.4 mm could be detected in the weld metal under multiple orientations successfully. An autonomous machining process monitoring system was developed and demonstrated whereby the forces acting on the cutting tool could be actively monitored as the cutting tool transitioned from H282 to Steel across the weld using which the machining parameters can be potentially altered without interruption to extend tool life. This project successfully achieved its objectives of - i. Developing a welding methodology and viable welding geometries, to successfully join H282 to steel 3.5CrMoNiV steel to enable manufacture of modular steam turbine rotors for AUSC applications (conditions of at least 760 °Celsius and 3,100 psia (pounds per square inch absolute pressure) and evaluate the material properties of the welded specimen. ii. Employ the advanced ultrasonic inspection technique to the dissimilar weld metal joint and determine the minimum detectable feature sizes. iii. Develop effective machining techniques to machine such hybrid structures with online tool force monitoring and effect machine state metrics for optimal results.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Development of Real-Time System Identification to Detect Abnormal Operations in a Gas Turbine Cycle

Here, we present a novel online system identification methodology for monitoring the performance of power systems. This methodology was demonstrated in a gas turbine recuperated power plant designed for a hybrid configuration. A 120-kW Garrett microturbine modified to test dynamic control strategies for hybrid power systems designed at the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) was used to implement and validate this online system identification methodology. The main component of this methodology consists of an empirical transfer function model implemented in parallel to the turbine speed operation and the fuel control valve, which can monitor the process response of the gas turbine system while it is operating. During fully closed-loop operations or automated control, the output of the controller, fuel valve position, and the turbine speed measurements were fed for a given period of time to a recursive algorithm that determined the transfer function parameters during the nominal condition. After the new parameters were calculated, they were fed into the transfer function model for online prediction. The turbine speed measurement was compared against the transfer function prediction, and a control logic was implemented to capture when the system operated at nominal or abnormal conditions. To validate the ability to detect abnormal conditions during dynamic operations, drifting in the performance of the gas turbine system was evaluated. A leak in the turbomachinery working fluid was emulated by bleeding 10% of the airflow from the compressor discharge to the atmosphere, and electrical load steps were performed before and after the leak. This tool could detect the leak 7 s after it had occurred, which accounted for a fuel flow increase of approximately 15.8% to maintain the same load and constant turbine speed operations.

algorithms↗

RCT Continuing Training (Q3, 2021) [Slides]

Radiological Control Technicians (RCTs) serve an important part in the mission of Los Alamos National Laboratory by monitoring the diverse radiological conditions at the Lab. The role of RCTs is critical in maintaining personnel safety from radiological hazards and in keeping occupational radiation exposure As low As Reasonably Achievable (ALARA). This training content consists of two parts: viewing an online lecture and completing the associated exercise guide. The online lecture, presented here, will review performing job coverage and all of the necessary steps associated with it.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Wireless Sensor Modalities at a Nuclear Plant Site to Collect Vibration Data

One of the major contributors to the total operating costs of domestic nuclear fleet of reactors today is the operation and maintenance (O&M) costs. These include labor-intense preventive maintenance programs involving manually-performed inspection, calibration, testing, and maintenance of plant assets at periodic frequency and time-based replacement of assets at periodic frequency, irrespective of their conditions. This has resulted in a labor-centric business model to achieve high capacity factors. To build an optimal maintenance program, it’s time to transition from this labor-centric business model to a technology-centric business model. Fortunately, there are technologies (advanced sensor, data analytics, and risk assessment methodologies) that will support this transition. The technology-centric business model will result in significant plant life extension and reduction of time-based maintenance activities. This will drive down O&M costs as labor is a rising cost and technology is a declining cost. This approach will lay the foundation for real-time condition assessment of plant assets, allowing condition-based maintenance to enhance plant safety, reliability, and economics of operation. The goal of this project is to address challenges in the area of digital monitoring, i.e., the application of advanced sensor technologies (particularly wireless sensor technologies) and science-based data analytic capabilities to advance online monitoring and predictive maintenance in nuclear plants to improve plant performance (efficiency gain and economic competitiveness). To achieve the project goal, in partnership with Exelon Generating Company (Exelon), researchers from Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) are performing research and development (R&D) to demonstrate application of wireless sensors using the distributed antenna system and advanced data analytics to achieve predictive maintenance. In the report, wireless vibration sensors, vibration data and its indicator are described. The wireless vibration sensors presented in this report support three types of wireless communication, namely, Wi-Fi, cellular, and 900 MHz. These wireless vibration sensors are considered by partner plant site for installation on plant asset to enable online vibration monitoring to replace periodic measurements. These vibration data along with other plant process data will be utilized to develop diagnostic and prognostic models.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Machine-learning-based, online estimation of ceramic’s microstructure upon the laser spot brightness during laser sintering

The ceramic microstructure strongly influences its properties. During manufacturing, the online monitoring of microstructure is critical to ensure the desired material properties. So far, the microstructure on the relevant scale is usually characterized offline using scanning electron microscopy (SEM), which is time and cost-consuming. In this work, we demonstrate a cost-effective, machine learning (ML)-based approach to simulate the SEM micrographs in real-time from the laser spot brightness. We experimentally observed a strong correlation between the laser spot brightness and the corresponding microstructure at the exact locations. The brightness values obtained from thermal emission images and the corresponding SEM micrographs were used in the training datasets. The ML algorithm was a style-based conditional generative adversarial network (CGAN). After training, the ML model could generate high-fidelity microstructure images within 0.1 seconds based on in-situ captured brightness at the laser sintering spot. We used the average grain sizes as the metric to evaluate the accuracy of the ML-predicted micrographs. Here, the ML-predicted microstructures were in good agreement, with less than 5% in difference from the real SEM images. In conclusion, we demonstrate the cost-effective, online microstructure estimation during laser sintering with a simple setup (a camera, a regular computer, and the ML model).

08 HYDROGEN↗

Development and Validation of a Process Model and Open-Source Process Simulator for Microalgae-Based Tertiary Phosphorus Recovery

Microalgae-based tertiary wastewater treatment has the potential to meet stringent effluent phosphorus limits, with the added benefit of producing a marketable feedstock. However, the lack of validated mechanistic models and their implementation in process simulators have limited the adoption of this technology. In this study, an updated lumped pathway metabolic model (Phototrophic-Mixotrophic Process Model, PM 2 ), including both photoautotrophic and heterotrophic metabolisms of microalgae, was developed to predict effluent phosphorus concentration and biomass yield in response to dynamic influent and varying environmental conditions. The model was implemented in QSDsan – an open-source, Python-based design and simulation platform – for robust simulation under uncertainty. A global sensitivity analysis was performed to prioritize model parameters for calibration. The model was then calibrated and validated using batch experimental data and 45 days of continuous online monitoring data from a full-scale (568 m 3 ·d -1 ) microalgae-based tertiary wastewater treatment plant (EcoRecover process). In particular, along with dynamic influent composition, temperature and light intensity data with diel variation were provided as model inputs to reflect the microalgal behavior under day-night cycling. Overall, the QSDsan-based microalgae process simulator was able to predict effluent phosphorus within 0.02–0.04 mg-P·L -1 , while also capturing the general trends of state variables according to nutrient availability.

Lumped pathway metabolic model↗

Applying Particle Swarm Optimization and Extended Kalman Filtering to Model Kaplan Generation Dynamics for Hydropower Systems

Variable renewable generation is increasing the need for hydropower plants to provide fast and flexible grid support, which places new demands on plant-level dynamic models used for monitoring, control, and operational decision-making. This need is especially important for hydroelectric systems, where turbine and generator dynamics are strongly coupled, nonlinear, and time-varying, making accurate real-time representation difficult. To address this problem, this paper develops a digital twin (DT) framework for a synchronous generator–Kaplan turbine system using an explicit separation of slow turbine dynamics and fast generator dynamics. The turbine subsystem is represented by a six-coefficient model, whose parameters are identified offline using particle swarm optimization, while the generator subsystem is updated online through an extended Kalman filter for real-time state and parameter estimation. These models are integrated within a closed-loop simulation that includes a proportional–integral–derivative–double-derivative governor and excitation system, allowing the DT to track plant behavior under realistic operating conditions. Unlike prior studies that treat turbine and generator modeling separately or rely mainly on simulated inputs, the proposed framework is validated using real operational data from a hydropower plant. Results show that the DT reproduces terminal voltage, active power, and reactive power with a normalized root mean square error of approximately 5%. This hybrid offline–online formulation constitutes the main contribution of the work, providing an adaptive and practically deployable DT for hydropower systems with direct relevance to control improvement, performance monitoring, and grid-support applications under high renewable penetration.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Machine-Learning Enabled Evaluation of Probability of Piping Degradation In Secondary Systems of Nuclear Power Plants

The transition to condition-based, risk-informed automated maintenance will contribute to a significant reduction of operations and maintenance costs that account for the majority of nuclear power generation costs. Furthermore, of the operations and maintenance costs in U.S. plants, approximately 80% are labor costs. To address the issue of rising operating costs and economic viability, technologies used to perform online monitoring of piping and other secondary system structural components in commercial nuclear power plants (NPPs) are under evaluation. These online monitoring systems have the potential to identify when a more detailed inspection is needed using real time measurements, rather than at a pre-determined inspection interval thus reducing the maintenance cost. This paper describes distributed high-temperature stable fiber sensors fabricated in optical fibers through a roll-to-roll laser direct writing process using femtosecond lasers. Using phase-sensitive optical time domain reflectometry, distributed acoustic and vibration sensors can be developed and deployed to critical components and systems in NPPs to perform active measurements with spatial resolution down to 0.5-meter throughout the piping systems. Complex acoustic and vibration signatures harnessed by distributed sensors are registered and analyzed by artificial intelligence algorithms for degradation detection and flaw identification. Piping elbows with machined-in flaws were instrumented with fiber sensors. High-spatial-resolution data were used to develop and validate machine learning algorithms, including both linear and nonlinear regression, and classification. Additionally, classification and sensor analysis were also performed for data analysis. The paper concludes with recommendations and future work on applications of machine learning enabled high-resolution fiber sensors for piping degradation monitoring in current or future NPPs.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Online Tracking of Two Dominant Inter-Area Modes of Oscillation in the Eastern Interconnection

Reliable power system operation requires that small-signal stability be maintained at all times. Mode meters are measurement-based tools that provide operators with situational awareness of the system's stability margin. They operate by continually tracking the inter-area modes of oscillation that govern small-signal stability. This paper reports on the deployment of mode meters for online monitoring of two dominant modes of oscillation in the United States' Eastern Interconnection (EI). The use of measurements from system operators across the interconnection to provide continuous tracking is novel in the EI. Results from over four months of analysis reveal diurnal patterns in the modes and demonstrate that they can be tracked through a variety of system conditions. The results from this study continue to build an understanding of the EI's modes that will inform future modeling and monitoring efforts.

Follum, James D.↗

The ARENA Test Bed – A Versatile Resource for I&C Development and Validation

The Accelerated and Real-time Experimental Nodal Assessment (ARENA) Test Bed at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) is a versatile resource for development and validation of instrumentation and control (I&C) technologies. This capability was created to facilitate in-situ testing of nuclear electrical cables in various simulated operational environments. Using cable trays, a control box, and selected test components, low voltage cables can be staged to experience local adverse environments such as elevated temperature and water immersion. Cable condition can be continuously monitored over time to track the effect of local stresses using nondestructive assessment tools. A heads-up display (ARENA TV) plots key data in real-time for users. The ARENA Test Bed has recently been used to evaluate the potential for spread spectrum time domain reflectometry (SSTDR) to monitor thermal aging of a portion of live cable powering a three-phase motor. The arrangement provided the opportunity to directly compare the performance of the novel online SSTDR method with offline results from the more standard frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) method. The ability of SSTDR and FDR to identify the presence of water in immersed shielded and unshielded cables and to detect ground faults was also assessed. A digital twin is being developed to track and predict FDR signals from a thermally aging conceptual cable region to compare with measured signals from the ARENA physical counterpart. The test bed concept addresses an important need in nuclear I&C monitoring tool development. New tools and techniques can be developed in the test bed and validated versus known methods and physical measurements. Digital twins and machine learning engines can be populated with measured data in a controlled environment that would not be readily available in the actual nuclear power plant. Proposed monitoring strategies can be confirmed for effectiveness through objective evaluation. It is anticipated that the PNNL ARENA Test Bed will be a valuable resource in advancing nuclear plant instrumentation.

nuclear electrical cables, ARENA Test Bed, conditi↗

Online and Offline Data Quality Monitoring for the Mu2e Calorimeter

This thesis presents the design, implementation, and validation of a calorimeter Data Quality Monitoring (DQM) toolchain for the Mu2e experiment at Fermilab. Mu2e searches for charged lepton flavor violation via coherent muon-to-electron conversion in the field of an aluminum nucleus, $\mu^- Al \rightarrow e^-Al$, a process whose observation would constitute clear evidence of physics beyond the Standard Model. Achieving target sensitivity requires stringent control of detector performance and data integrity during acquisition, as subtle issues in readout configuration, data formatting, or electronics behavior can compromise reconstruction and bias downstream analyzes. To address these challenges, this work develops a multi-layer DQM approach spanning both raw data validation and reconstructed digi-level diagnostics. At the low level, a fragment analysis component performs word- and bit-field decoding of calorimeter readout blocks, enabling sanity checks of the expected structure and producing detailed error and integrity statistics useful for commissioning and troubleshooting. At the digi level, the CaloDigiDQM analyzer is implemented within the art framework and transforms each CaloDigiCollection into a structured hierarchy of ROOT histograms designed for fast drill-down diagnostics. The module generates coherent monitoring views at global, disk, board, and channel granularity, including occupancy, waveform-derived features (baseline, RMS, peak amplitude and position), and left-right sensor consistency metrics. Detector-aware channel-to-electronics mapping is performed through the conditions system (CaloDAQMap), ensuring that diagnostics remain aligned with hardware identifiers used in operations. For end-to-end testing without reliance on live DAQ data, a synthetic CaloDigi producer is developed to generate realistic waveforms with controlled noise and pulse shapes. The resulting system supports both offline ROOT-file production and online operation, including optional histogram streaming through otsdaq via ots::HistoSender. This toolchain provides a practical and scalable foundation for calorimeter commissioning and stable data collection, enabling early detection of anomalies and reducing operational risk for Mu2e.

Vakulenko, Mark [Drew U.] (ORCID:0009000276197818)↗

Enabling the Next Generation of Smart Sensors in Coal Fired Power Plants using Cellular 5G Technology

An important need for coal fired power plants is the ability to monitor multiple systems with ease and accuracy. Common implementations of these monitoring systems come with drawbacks due to the nature of coal fired power plants. Harsh environments, High Temperatures, and lots of RF (Radio Frequency) noise can create issues for accurately recording and transmitting data across wireless signals. In addition, as renewable energy sources come online, existing fossil fueled plants will need to operate more flexibly with their maintenance schedules outside of standard conditions. Therefore, additional sensing and control mechanisms need placed in existing plants to provide operators with more information such that maintenance decisions can be made well in advance of failures. A solution to this problem is the Next Generation of Smart Sensors, which leverages the power of 5G cellular signals and machine learning to overcome the myriad of problems with current implementations

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

In-situ Photophysical Monitors and Corrective Algorithms for Photovoltaic Film Deposition and Rapid Thermal Processing in Scalable Roll-to-Roll Manufacturing

This project evaluated three photophysics-based approaches for in situ process monitoring of the scalable deposition of perovskite photovoltaic films. Based on stakeholder input and the results of laboratory trials and literature analysis, two techniques, angle resolved elastic light scattering (ARLS) and time-resolved photoluminescence (TRPL) were prototyped and demonstrated with a mixture of simulation, offline and online tests. Also, a hybrid gas flow and humidity control enclosure was constructed and demonstrated to stabilize the ambient conditions around the slot die deposition process and were demonstrated to meet the target humidity control in situ. Due in part to a delayed start and COVID-related lab restrictions and personnel changes, some of the milestones were not met. In spite of these challenges, however, both techniques were prototyped through several iterations and demonstrated significant promise for rapid in line perovskite characterization within the targeted characterization time windows and these techniques are under further development for use in DE-FOA000235:2357-1586. The TRPL system was fully mounted and demonstrated on the scaled slot die roll to roll and sheet coating systems at the Washington Clean Energy Testbeds (WCET). Motivated by significant internal and stakeholder interest, the successful prototyping achieved here, the ongoing need for in-situ characterization for the scale-up of perovskite manufacturing, and the benefits of in situ photophysical characterization for future funded process development research, we are continuing with the principle aims of the project to develop effect in situ photophysical probes for fast analysis of the optoelectronic and structural quality of sheet based and roll to roll process perovskites. TRPLS and ARLS probes proposed in the project are to be completed with external support from the Washington Research Foundation at the WCET. We are currently actively engaged in the acquisition of components and plan to complete and test the probes within three months. It is our intention that these probes will then be used in ongoing perovskite development with our research and commercialization partners including First Solar and other member of the US MAP consortium in future funded development work.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Hybrid data-driven and model-informed online tool wear detection in milling machines

Precision machining tool wear is responsible for low product throughput and quality. Monitoring the tool wear online is vital to prevent degradation in machining quality. However, direct real-time tool wear measurement is not practical. This paper presents residual-based anomaly detection models, combining a hybrid model comprised of a physics-based model and a data-driven model (a decision tree or a neural network) to predict signals of interest (e.g., power or forces) under nominal conditions, followed by Page’s cumulative sum test for detecting tool wear on-line using the computer numerical control machine measurements. The most informative features are ranked using dynamic programming and its approximation variants from real-time measurements and machine settings, such as the width of cut, depth of cut, feed rate and spindle speed, that serve as inputs to the predictive models. The baseline nominal model is incrementally updated with experimental data via a gradient boosted adaptation model to generate the residuals that account for discrepancies between the actual machine data under normal conditions and the baseline nominal model predictions. The hybrid model is validated against 20 Mazak milling machine experimental tests and one Haas run-to-failure experiment. The proposed anomaly detector is applied to synthetic data from simulations of the physics-based model at different operating conditions, measurement noise levels, and tool wear levels, and the methods were able to achieve an overall 92% accuracy in data with 1% noise. The anomaly detection methods based on hybrid model reduced the false alarms of either the data-driven or physical-based models alone, and are found to be capable of good online detection of tool wear.

42 ENGINEERING↗