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Natural Language Processing to Inform Agent-Based Modeling: With Application to Modeling Adoption of Medium-Duty Electric Vehicles

Agent-based socio-technical modeling of medium- and heavy-duty (MDHD) electric vehicle (EV) adoption has the potential to provide analysis, prediction, and gui. This paper describes new applications of text analysis developed through machine learning (ML) to build and understand relevant topics and their saliency in the published discourse on adoption of MDHD EVs. This work contributes to the state of the art in topic mining models by defining a new metric of topic ranking (START) that quantifies the importance of predefined topics within the corpus using weighted results for predefined topics from two topic modeling approaches: Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) and BERTopic. The START metric is then demonstrated in practice to model how academia and industry view the EV adoption process based on the respective texts published by these groups. Results show that academic literature places more emphasis on categories of interests such as norms/attitudes and adopter knowledge, while trade journals tend to emphasize long-term cost more than academia. The two bodies of literature agree on the importance of policy and incentives in MDHD EV adoption. Together these results illustrate the potential to use ML-based text analysis to populate the characteristics of agent-based socio-technical models.

Electric vehicle adoption, fleet electrification, ↗

Application of a convolutional neural network in permeability prediction: A case study in the Jacksonburg-Stringtown oil field, West Virginia, USA

Permeability is a critical parameter for understanding subsurface fluid flow behavior, managing reservoirs, enhancing hydrocarbon recovery, and sequestering carbon dioxide. In general, permeability is measured in the laboratory based on subsurface core samples, calculated from well logs or estimated from well tests. However, laboratory measurements and well tests are expensive, time-consuming, and usually limited to a few core samples or wells in a hydrocarbon field or carbon storage site. Machine-learning techniques are good options for generating a rapid, robust, and cost-effective permeability prediction model because of their strengths to recognize the potential interrelationships between input and output variables. Convolutional neural networks (CNN), as a good pattern recognition algorithm, are widely used in image processing, natural language processing, and speech recognition, but are rarely used with regression problems and even less often in reservoir characterization. We have developed a CNN regression model to estimate the permeability in the Jacksonburg-Stringtown oil field, West Virginia, which is a potential carbon storage site and enhanced oil recovery operations field. We also evaluate the concept of the geologic feature image, which is converted from geophysical well logs. Five variables, including two commonly available conventional well logs (the gamma rays [GRs] and bulk density) and three well-log-derived variables (the slopes of the GR and bulk density curves, and shale content), are used to generate a geologic feature image. The CNN treats the geologic feature image as the input and the permeability as the desired output. In addition, the permeability predicted using traditional backpropagation artificial neural networks, which are optimized by genetic algorithms and particle swarm optimization, is compared with the permeability estimated using our CNN. Our results indicate that the CNN regression model provides more accurate permeability predictions than the traditional neural network.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Natural Language Processing-Enhanced Nuclear Industry Operating Experience Data Analysis: Aggregation and Interpretation of Multi-Report Analysis Results

Industry-wide operating experience is a critical source of raw data for reliability and risk model parameter estimations for nuclear power plants. A large portion of operating experience data are failure events stored as reports that contain unstructured data, such as narratives. In current practice, a failure report is usually reviewed and manually coded by analysts. The coding is based on extracting several event characteristics such as system name, component type, sub-part type, failure mode, and failure cause. Event narratives are mostly used to help understand events and extract their characteristics. In this line of research, we aim to maximize the usage of event narratives by leveraging natural language processing (NLP) methods to automatically convert an event narrative to a causal graph. This research has promise to improve physical understanding of failure initiation and propagation and to facilitate use of non-failure data (e.g., near-misses and degradations) to complement the limited data pool of failures. In our previous work, we developed an NLP tool and applied it to analyze a number of licensee event reports submitted by U.S. nuclear power plants to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. In this paper, we will report our recent research progress in aggregating the results of multiple reports, developing network model(s), and drawing statistical insights.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Towards a robust out-of-the-box neural network model for genomic data

The accurate prediction of biological features from genomic data is paramount for precision medicine and sustainable agriculture. For decades, neural network models have been widely popular in fields like computer vision, astrophysics and targeted marketing given their prediction accuracy and their robust performance under big data settings. Yet neural network models have not made a successful transition into the medical and biological world due to the ubiquitous characteristics of biological data such as modest sample sizes, sparsity, and extreme heterogeneity. Here, we investigate the robustness, generalization potential and prediction accuracy of widely used convolutional neural network and natural language processing models with a variety of heterogeneous genomic datasets. Mainly, recurrent neural network models outperform convolutional neural network models in terms of prediction accuracy, overfitting and transferability across the datasets under study. While the perspective of a robust out-of-the-box neural network model is out of reach, we identify certain model characteristics that translate well across datasets and could serve as a baseline model for translational researchers.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

SMART-COM – Scalable Multi-Agent Adaptive Resolution Tools for Collaborative Outage Management

The purpose of this grant was to conduct scientific research and prototype applications to support NPP outage staff in their adaptive decision-making in efficient scheduling and resource allocation while preventing violation of safety technical specifications. The project contributed to scientific knowledge and engineering methods in (1) user interface design, (2) scheduling optimization and risk estimation, and (2) natural language processing that would benefit the nuclear power plants in minimizing schedule overruns and even unexpected shutdowns. The research team conducted site visits at a test reactor facility and an operating nuclear power plant to gather necessary information and inputs for research and development of a software application to support NPP staff in executing their outages. The final software application consisted of three modules. First, the natural language processing module supports interactive processing of technical documentation to build a database for outage staff to query non-permissible actions on system components. This module can alleviate outage staff from reviewing extensive documentation and minimize violation of technical specifications, especially in time-sensitive situations. Second, the schedule optimization module schedules outage activities and compute risk indices that outperform existing software and current practice. This module can reduce completion time of an outage that typically have too many activities for human to optimize based on current practice that does not apply the latest operations research. Finally, the visualization module presents progress and risk information of the overall outage and individual activities, as well as enabling access to the natural language processing and schedule optimization modules. This module can provide outage staff with situation awareness that are necessary to make risk-informed decisions in response to unexpected events during the execution of an outage.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Natural Language Processing-Enhanced Nuclear Industry Operating Experience Data Analysis to Support Risk Model Parameter Estimations

This set of slides has been prepared for a talk at the INL AI/ML Symposium held on September 8, 2022. Presentation outline: Background - Nuclear power plant operating experience data sources • Research focus and motivation - Analyzing free-text operating experience data: present and future • Research method - Input - Methodological steps - Output • Conclusions and next steps

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Con Connections: Detecting Fraud from Abstracts using Topological Data Analysis

In this paper we present a novel approach for identifying fraudulent papers from their titles and abstracts. The premise of the approach is that there are holes in the presentation of the approach and findings of fraudulent research papers. As an abstract is intended to highlight key features of the approach as well as important conclusions the authors seek to determine if the assumed existence of holes can be identified from analysis of abstracts alone. The data set considered is derived from papers sharing a single author with labels determined based on a formal linguistic analysis of the complete documents. To detect these logical and literary holes we utilize techniques from topological data analysis which summarizes data based on the presence of multi-dimensional, topological holes. We find that, in fact, topological features derived through a combination of techniques in natural language processing and time-series analysis allow for superior detection of the fraudulent papers than the natural language processing tools alone. Thus we conclude that the connections and holes present in the abstracts of research cons contributes to an ability to infer the scientific validity of the corresponding work.

Tymochko, Sarah J.↗

GeoAI: spatially explicit artificial intelligence techniques for geographic knowledge discovery and beyond

Recent progress in Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques, the large-scale availability of high-quality data, as well as advances in both hardware and software to efficiently process these data, are transforming a range of fields from computer vision and natural language processing to autonomous driving and healthcare. For example, the availability of high-resolution geographic data and high-performance computing techniques together with deep learning fuel progress in fast and accurate object detection. Recent examples of GeoAI work include the detections of terrain features and densely-distributed building footprints, information extraction from scanned historical maps, semantic classification (e.g. LiDAR point clouds), novel methods for spatial interpolation, and advances in traffic forecasting. Similarly, machine learning and natural language processing are facilitating the extraction of geographic information from unstructured (textual) data, such as news articles and Wikipedia as well as the matching of natural features in multiple gazetteers.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Hypercane

Automatically summarizing a collection of documents requires analyzing their features using various operations. Hypercane is a framework for building algorithms for sampling files from a collection. Sampling is a vital part of automatic summarization. Hypercane ties together many existing third-party libraries. These libraries include those for processing web resources, natural language processing for analyzing text and filtering documents, and machine learning for clustering summarization candidates. A user can run up to more than 70 operations on a corpus in the order of their choosing. Through these operations, they can create custom automatic summarization algorithms to help them process the corpus of their choice. Details of the algorithms possible with Hypercane are available in Jones 2021. Details of running Hypercane are available in Jones et al.; 2021.

Jones, Shawn↗