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At least 55 records · Page 3

Modeling of Electric Water Heaters for Demand Response: A Baseline PDE Model

Demand response (DR)control can effectively relieve balancing and frequency regulation burdens on conventional generators, facilitate integrating more renewable energy, and reduce generation and transmission investments needed to meet peak demands. Electric water heaters (EWHs) have a great potential in implementing DR control strategies because: (a) the EWH power consumption has a high correlation with daily load patterns; (b) they constitute a significant percentage of domestic electrical load; (c) the heating element is a resistor, without reactive power consumption; and (d) they can be used as energy storage devices when needed. Accurately modeling the dynamic behavior of EWHs is essential for designing DR controls. Various water heater models, simplified to different extents, were published in the literature; however, few of them were validated against field measurements, which may result in inaccuracy when implementing DR controls. In this paper, a partial differential equation physics-based model, developed to capture detailed temperature profiles at different tank locations, is validated against field test data for more than 10 days. The developed model shows very good performance in capturing water thermal dynamics for benchmark testing purposes

Balancing service, demand response, electric water↗

EMIS Agent Simulation Model (Electricity Markets Investment Suite) [SWR-19-56]

The Electricity Markets Investment Suite Agent-based Simulation (EMIS-AS) model is an agent-based model developed at NREL for simulating annual investment and retirement decisions of heterogeneous investors in the electricity sector. EMIS-AS is designed to capture the evolution of the electricity generation portfolio resulting from the interactions of heterogeneous investors under different policy and market designs. EMIS-AS not only allows end-users to customize market products and rules, but also to capture investors' heterogeneous financing parameters, technology preferences, beliefs about the future (forecasts), ability to update those forecasts, and risk preferences under uncertainty.

Anwar, Mahammad Bashar↗

Evaluating Production Implications of Pressure Maintenance in Unconventional Oil and Gas Wells using a Machine Learning Modeling Approach: Case Study in the Permian Basin

This study implements the proprietary machine learning-based model (model) developed under the 2022 study titled “Evaluating the Impact of Proprietary Oil & Gas Data on Machine Learning Model Performance Using a Quasi-Experimental Analytical Approach” for forecasting unconventional oil and gas production using well data from the Permian Basin. The model, developed using an exclusive dataset that includes time series production data from an operator in the Permian Basin, is designed to jointly predict daily oil, gas, and water production for horizontal wells as a function of bottomhole pressure drawdown, spatial placement across the study domain, and well-completion attributes. In this study, the model was explicitly applied to explore its utility to evaluate the impact of varying drawdown strategies on the production forecast of a well in the Permian Basin dataset. Managing pressure drawdown has been identified as a way to improve estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) from unconventional shale wells due to the stress-dependent nature of fractures in shale reservoirs. Research has shown that applying a lower pressure drawdown helps to maintain the reservoir conductivity, resulting in higher productivity over the life of a well. Historic bottomhole pressure data from the well over time was used as a benchmark from which to set more and less aggressive pressure decline rates as bounding modeling cases. All pressure decline rates/strategies were forecasted over 5 years, and the model was used to generate oil, water, and gas prediction over the same timeframe. This report presents the results from the production forecast and discusses potential operational and economic implications, with contrasting perspectives between well productivity and profitability given typical oil and gas economics and the volatility in the oil and gas market.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Gamma-Ray Pulsar Studies With GLAST

Some pulsars have their maximum observable energy output in the gamma-ray band, offering the possibility of using these high-energy photons as probes of the particle acceleration and interaction processes in pulsar magnetospheres. After an extended hiatus between satellite missions, the recently-launched AGILE mission and the upcoming Gamma-ray Large Area Space Telescope (GLAST) Large Area Telescope (LAT) will allow gamma-ray tests of the theoretical models developed based on past discoveries. With its greatly improved sensitivity, better angular resolution, and larger energy reach than older instruments, GLAST LAT should detect dozens to hundreds of new gamma-ray pulsars and measure luminosities, light curves, and phase-resolved spectra with unprecedented resolution. It will also have the potential to find radio-quiet pulsars like Geminga, using blind search techniques. Cooperation with radio and X-ray pulsar astronomers is an important aspect of the LAT team's planning for pulsar studies.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Development of a Chemistry-Based Isotherm Model and Techno-Economic Optimization of a Moving Bed Process for CO2 Capture Using a Functionalized Metal-Organic Framework

Amine-appended metal-organic frameworks of the class Mg2(dobpdc) are promising candidates for efficient carbon capture in part due to their step-shaped CO2 adsorption behavior. However, the existing isotherm models are lacking as they are unable to capture the complicated chemisorption mechanisms which are still not well known for these materials. Here, a chemistry-based isotherm model is developed and fit to experimental CO2 adsorption data for dmpn-Mg2(dobpdc). Reactions for a cooperative adsorption mechanism are proposed, and the reaction pathway is optimally selected. The chemistry-based model shows an improvement in prediction by a factor of 6 when compared to a recent isotherm model in literature. A plant-wide model is developed for a moving bed based adsorber/desorber and techno-economic optimization is performed. For likely values of price and lifespan, the moving bed process gives a significant improvement in economics when compared to a fixed bed contactor process and a traditional MEA capture system.

carbon capture↗

Pyomo.GDP: an ecosystem for logic based modeling and optimization development

We present three core principles for engineering-oriented integrated modeling and optimization tool sets—intuitive modeling contexts, systematic computer-aided reformulations, and flexible solution strategies—and describe how new developments in Pyomo.GDP for Generalized Disjunctive Programming (GDP) advance this vision. We describe a new logical expression system implementation for Pyomo.GDP allowing for a more intuitive description of logical propositions. The logical expression system supports automated reformulation of these logical constraints to linear constraints. We also describe two new logic-based global optimization solver implementations built on Pyomo.GDP that exploit logical structure to avoid “zero-flow” numerical difficulties that arise in nonlinear network design problems when nodes or streams disappear. These new solvers also demonstrate the capability to link to external libraries for expanded functionality within an integrated implementation. We present these new solvers in the context of a flexible array of solution paths available to GDP models. Finally, we present results on a new library of GDP models demonstrating the value of multiple solution approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Analytical heat transfer model for laterally perforated-finned heat sinks

An analytical model is proposed to predict the average Nusselt numbers of laterally perforated-finned heat sinks (LA-PFHSs) with high aspect ratios in forced convection laminar flows. The model is developed based on the experimental data acquired from testing air-cooled heat sinks including square cross-sectional perforations distributed equidistantly along the length of the fins. The experiments were conducted using three different perforation sizes and five different porosities at each perforation size. The accuracy of the experiments was validated by comparing the experimental pressure drops and heat transfer coefficients of the heat sink without perforation with those obtained from the widely accepted correlations in the literature. Here the developed model in this study predicts the Nusselt number as a function of Reynolds number, Prandtl number, fin and perforation geometrical parameters, porosity, and the distances between perforations. The model showed excellent predictions for the Nusselt numbers of all LA-PFHSs tested in this study to be within ±12% of the experimental data and a mean absolute error of 4.90%. This study is the first attempt in the literature to develop an analytical model based on experimental data for investigating heat transfer in LA-PFHSs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Development of a model based assessment process for qualification of embedded digital devices in NPP applications: research approach and current status - 263

The instrumentation and control (I and C) equipment used in currently operating U.S. nuclear power plants (NPPs) is primarily based on mature analog technologies that are progressing towards obsolescence. The continued reliance on this legacy analog technology, which is also being propagated into new NPP designs, imposes performance penalties and maintenance burdens in comparison with modern digital I and C instrumentation. In many instances, currently available I and C equipment contain embedded digital devices (EDDs) such as microprocessors and programmable logic devices. Experience in other industries, such as avionics, has shown that digital I and C equipment containing EDDs can provide significant benefits over analog-based equipment in terms of performance, reliability, and maintainability. In recent years, due to the high demand for digital technologies in the industrial I and C marketplace, it is becoming increasingly difficult for NPPs to acquire instrumentation that is not equipped with an EDD. However, the nuclear power industry has been slow to adopt digital technology, especially in safety-related systems, in large part as a result of regulatory concerns about common-cause failure (CCF) vulnerabilities of equipment with EDDs. Consequently, there is a clear need to develop cost effective qualification methods to contribute to the assessment of CCF vulnerability posed by EDDs in modern instrumentation that could be used in NPPs. This paper describes the research regarding qualification methods for equipment with EDDs that is sponsored by the Nuclear Energy Enabling Technologies (NEET) Advanced Sensors and Instrumentation (ASI) program of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The purpose of the current research is to develop an effective approach employing science-based methods to resolve concerns about CCF vulnerability that serve to inhibit deployment of advanced instrumentation (e.g., sensors, actuators, microcontrollers) with EDDs in nuclear power applications. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Structure of chalcogen overlayers on Au(111): Density functional theory and lattice-gas modeling

Ordering of different chalcogens, S, Se, and Te, on Au(111) exhibit broad similarities but also some distinct features, which must reflect subtle differences in relative values of the long-range pair and many-body lateral interactions between adatoms. We develop lattice-gas (LG) models within a cluster expansion framework, which includes about 50 interaction parameters. These LG models are developed based on density functional theory (DFT) analysis of the energetics of key adlayer configurations in combination with the Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of the LG models to identify statistically relevant adlayer motifs, i.e., model development is based entirely on theoretical considerations. The MC simulation guides additional DFT analysis and iterative model refinement. Given their complexity, development of optimal models is also aided by strategies from supervised machine learning. The model for S successfully captures ordering motifs over a broader range of coverage than achieved by previous models, and models for Se and Te capture the features of ordering, which are distinct from those for S. More specifically, the modeling for all three chalcogens successfully explains the linear adatom rows (also subtle differences between them) observed at low coverages of ~0.1 monolayer. The model for S also leads to a new possible explanation for the experimentally observed phase with a (5 × 5)-type low energy electron diffraction (LEED) pattern at 0.28 ML and to predictions for LEED patterns that would be observed with Se and Te at this coverage.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Use of an Alternative Conceptual Model of Vadose Zone Heterogeneity to Evaluate Past Tank Leaks and Other Unplanned Releases within a Tank Farm at the Hanford Site - 20061

Washington State Department of Ecology (Ecology) requested that U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)-Office of River Protection (ORP) consider an evaluation of effects of fine-grained thin sediment layers on transport with a separate alternative conceptual model in its evaluation of the potential impact of tank leaks and other unplanned releases within the tank farm at the Hanford Site. For this alternative model, Ecology recommended that the model be developed based on the general framework of fine-grained units identified by a stakeholder group in their interpretations of variability in moisture content data collected in the vicinity of Waste Management Area (WMA) C. In discussions with DOE-ORP, Ecology acknowledged that the underlying data and interpretations of the occurrence and lateral continuity of the fine-grained thin layers identified by a stakeholder group are uncertain. However, DOE-ORP agreed to Ecology's recommendation and has provided support for the requested evaluation that involved development of an alternative model based on the general framework of the unpublished report by the stakeholder. DOE-ORP considered this evaluation to be a hypothetical evaluation of vadose zone heterogeneities at WMA C. General observations from the range of simulation cases examined in the evaluation of the effects of hypothetical vadose zone heterogeneities at WMA C are as follows. - The movement of the center of mass of the simulated plumes was generally vertically downward below the source for all simulations, including those that incorporated the hypothetical fine-grained units. - All simulations that incorporated hypothetical heterogeneity produced additional plume spreading over what was produced in simulations using Equivalent Homogeneous Media (EHM) model(s)a. The spreading resulted in a broadening of the fringes of the plume, resulting in a wider region of low concentration, but lower peak concentrations associated with the center of mass of the plume. - Simulations that used the silty-sand hydraulic properties, suggested by Ecology for the hypothetical fine-grained units, generally produced similar spreading and slightly lower peak mass flux at the water table when compared to the EHM modeling results. a The EHM-based models used at WMA C do not explicitly include small-scale fine-grained heterogeneities used in the model advocated by Ecology. - Simulations that used the silty-sand hydraulic properties, suggested by Ecology for the hypothetical fine-grained units, generally produced less spreading and an earlier arrival of mass flux at the water table when compared to the use of another set of hydraulic properties from a silty-sand sample collected at a nearby disposal facility. - The EHM representation of the vadose zone generally produced higher peak mass flux and an earlier occurrence of peak fluxes at the water table compared to all analyses incorporating additional hypothetical heterogeneity. Results of this alternative model evaluation of past leaks provided some insight into the transport effects of vadose zone heterogeneities at WMA C that helped resolve Ecology's comments and issues related to the effects of vadose zone heterogeneities on past leaks and losses from the WMA C tank farms area. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Development of Numerical Model of Metal Foam with PCM for the Estimation of Effective Thermal Conductivity

Global warming due to climate change is a threat to humankind. Nuclear energy is one of the promising solutions to reduce fossil fuel usage. Nuclear energy can handle the base load, compensating for the volatility of renewable energy. If nuclear energy could achieve load following capability, the combination with renewable energy would be more suitable. Thermal energy storage (TES) is one of the options for enabling load following of nuclear reactors. The TES makes it possible to store surplus nuclear thermal energy and release it later as needed. In Idaho National Laboratory (INL), a new concept of latent heat TES integrated with high-temperature heat pipe has been proposed and is under development, which is called Heat pipe-Integrated Thermal Battery (HITB). HITB exchanges thermal energy between the reactor system and TES via heat pipe. The heat transferred to TES medium, made of phase change material (PCM), stores energy as sensible heat and/or latent heat. As PCM typically has poor thermal conductivity, however, various heat transfer enhancement techniques are required to achieve a rapid charging cycle. There are many techniques to enhance the heat transfer ability of TES medium such as disk, fin, and metal foam. Among them, metal foam is an appropriate option to enhance the heat transfer because it maximizes the heat transfer area through metal wicks. Metal foam is a lightweight metal structure that has a high porosity of over 0.9. The typical materials for metal foam are Aluminum, Copper, Nickel, and Silicon Carbide (SiC). Metal foam not only enhances heat transfer via conduction but also increases contact surface area. In the HITB design , the metal foam is being considered as one of the options to enhance the heat transfer of TES medium (PCM) [1]. To predict the enhanced thermal performance of TES, one should properly estimate the effective thermal conductivity of metal foam combined with PCM material or calculate heat transfer in distributed model. There are many experimental works that provides effective thermal conductivity of metal foam with various PCM [2,3]. Also, many theoretical models were developed based on the unit cell model of metal foam [4,5]. With a distributed model, on the other hand, detail heat transfer characteristics between metal foam and PCM material can be analyzed considering the geometry or buoyancy effect. However, due to the complex geometry of metal foam pores, the computational cost for three-dimensional modeling highly increases. Therefore, if metal foam structure can be modeled in simple and repetitive design, the computational cost would decrease Among the various metal foam models [2], lattice model is one of the simple and extendable design. The porosity and pores per inch (PPI) can be characterized by the size and spatial distance of lattice structure. If the three-dimensional metal foam model consists of lattice structure could properly estimate the heat transfer, which is characterized by effective thermal conductivity, it would be a good option to assess the thermal performance of metal foam with PCM. In this study, a three-dimensional numerical model was developed to simulate conductive heat transfer between metal foam and PCM. The three-dimensional lattice structure of square pillars was selected as a basic structure of the metal foam. The calculation result was characterized by the effective thermal conductivity of the whole domain. A sensitivity study was conducted for mesh size, domain size, and PPI to check whether the calculation result gives a converged result or not. Lastly, the effective thermal conductivity from the lattice model was compared with existing experimental data to validate the model result

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Development and Calibration of an Online Energy Model for AHU Fan

The model development is necessary for the study of the energy consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems. To predict the HVAC energy consumption accurately, one needs to model the individual HVAC components either from the measured data or based on the knowledge of the underlying physical phenomenon. Online model characterization is critical for improving the performance of real-time model-based fault detection and diagnosis (FDD) strategies. For HVAC control, models can be used to optimize the supervisory and local feedback control strategies to improve the energy consumption efficiency, or for providing ancillary services to the grid. It has been reported that, fans in HVAC systems of commercial buildings alone can provide substantial frequency regulation service, with little change in the indoor environment. In this paper, a real-time data-driven Air Handling Unit (AHU) fan model was developed based on recursive multi regression model. A generic nonlinear polynomial model has been studied to cover scenarios with different combinations of measurement variables, variable orders as well as different training and prediction horizons. Typical measurements including static pressure, mass flow rate, and damper positions are utilized as inputs to model the power consumption of the fan. The developed models have been validated both with simulation data from EnergyPlus-Dymola co-simulation model and with field measurement data for small to medium commercial buildings. The validation results show that the online model proposed can provide an effective prediction of the AHU fan power consumption.

Dong, Jin↗

Constitutive Modeling of High Temperature Uniaxial Creep-Fatigue and Creep-Ratcheting Responses of Alloy 617

Inconel Alloy 617 is a high temperature creep and corrosion resistant alloy and is a leading candidate for use in Intermediate Heat Exchangers (IHX) of the Next Generation Nuclear Plants (NGNP). The IHX of the NGNP is expected to experience operating temperatures in the range of 800 degrees - 950 degrees C, which is in the creep regime of Alloy 617. A broad set of uniaxial, low-cycle fatigue, fatigue-creep, ratcheting, and ratcheting-creep experiments are conducted in order to study the fatigue and ratcheting responses, and their interactions with the creep response at high temperatures. A unified constitutive model developed at North Carolina State University is used to simulate these experimental responses. The model is developed based on the Chaboche viscoplastic model framework. It includes cyclic hardening/softening, strain rate dependence, strain range dependence, static and dynamic recovery modeling features. For simulation of the alloy 617 responses, new techniques of model parameter determination are developed for optimized simulations. This paper compares the experimental responses and model simulations for demonstrating the strengths and shortcomings of the model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development of a functional thyroid model based on an organoid culture system

Highlights: • We developed a culture system for murine thyroid organoids. • TSH stimulated thyroid organoid formation and growth. • TSH-responsive thyroid organoids formed functional thyroid-like tissue in vivo. • NRAS{sup Q61R}-positive, p53{sup −/−} organoids gave rise to thyroid cancer. The low turnover rate of thyroid follicular cells and the lack of a long-term thyroid cell culture system have hampered studies of thyroid carcinogenesis. We have now established a thyroid organoid culture system that supports thyroid cell proliferation in vitro. The established mouse thyroid organoids performed thyroid functions including thyroglobulin synthesis, iodide uptake, and the production and release of thyroid hormone. Furthermore, transplantation of the organoids into recipient mice resulted in the formation of normal thyroid–like tissue capable of iodide uptake and thyroglobulin production in vivo. Finally, forced expression of oncogenic NRAS (NRAS{sup Q61R}) in thyroid organoids established from p53 knockout mice and transplantation of the manipulated organoids into mouse recipients generated a model of poorly differentiated thyroid cancer. Our findings suggest that this newly developed thyroid organoid culture system is a potential research tool for the study of thyroid physiology and pathology including thyroid cancer.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗