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At least 55 records · Page 3

Cation Migration in Physically Paired 2D and 3D Lead Halide Perovskite Films

2D/3D interfaces provide long-term stability for the operation of metal halide perovskite solar cells. However, the cation migration under heat and light can disturb the interface and create a graded cation interface. This study has now probed the cation migration by physically pairing X 2 PbI 4 (X = butylammonium BA, oleylammonium OA, or phenethylammonium PEA) 2D film and (CH 3 NH 3 , MA)PbI 3 3D film at different temperatures and recording changes in the absorption and emission spectra. The migration of the methyl ammonium cation toward the 2D film slowly transforms the n = 1 layered phase into n = 2 and 3 layered phases. The 3D film, on the other hand, exhibits relatively small changes, as the inclusion of spacer cation has little effect on its phase. The apparent activation energy determined from the temperature-dependent cation migration kinetics (E a = 29– 50 kJ mol –1 ) indicates alkyl ammonium cations such as butyl ammonium migrate more readily into the 3D layer than aromatic cations such as PEA. As a result, the ease of migration of spacer cations between physically paired films suggests that the varied composition at the interface should be considered while evaluating the effectiveness of the 2D/3D design strategy for improving the performance of perovskite solar cells.

2D/3D perovskite↗

Mapping the pathways of photo-induced ion migration in organic-inorganic hybrid halide perovskites

Abstract Organic-inorganic hybrid perovskites exhibiting exceptional photovoltaic and optoelectronic properties are of fundamental and practical interest, owing to their tunability and low manufacturing cost. For practical applications, however, challenges such as material instability and the photocurrent hysteresis occurring in perovskite solar cells under light exposure need to be understood and addressed. While extensive investigations have suggested that ion migration is a plausible origin of these detrimental effects, detailed understanding of the ion migration pathways remains elusive. Here, we report the characterization of photo-induced ion migration in perovskites using in situ laser illumination inside a scanning electron microscope, coupled with secondary electron imaging, energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy and cathodoluminescence with varying primary electron energies. Using methylammonium lead iodide and formamidinium lead iodide as model systems, we observed photo-induced long-range migration of halide ions over hundreds of micrometers and elucidated the transport pathways of various ions both near the surface and inside the bulk of the samples, including a surprising finding of the vertical migration of lead ions. Our study provides insights into ion migration processes in perovskites that can aid perovskite material design and processing in future applications.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The use of nocturnal flights for barrier crossing in a diurnally migrating songbird

The migration patterns of land birds can generally be divided into those species that migrate principally during the day and those that migrate during the night. Some species may show individual plasticity in the use of day or night flight, particularly when crossing large, open-water or desert barriers. However, individual plasticity in circadian patterns of migratory flights in diurnally migrating songbirds has never been investigated. We used high precision GPS tracking of a diurnal, migratory swallow, the purple martin (Progne subis), to determine whether individuals were flexible in their spring migration strategies to include some night flight, particularly at barrier crossing. Most (91%) of individuals made large (sometimes > 1000 km), open-water crossings of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico that included the use of night flight. 32% of all water crossings were initiated at night, demonstrating that night flight is not only used to complete large crossings but may confer other advantages for diurnal birds. Birds were not more likely to initiate crossings with supportive winds, however crossings were more likely when they reduced travel distances. Our results are consistent with diurnal birds using night flight to help achieve time- and energy-savings through ‘short cuts’ at barrier crossings, at times and locations when foraging opportunities are not available. Overall, our results demonstrate the use of nocturnal flight and a high degree of individual plasticity in migration strategies on a circadian scale in a species generally considered to be a diurnal migrant. Nocturnal flights at barrier crossing may provide time and energy savings where foraging opportunities are low in an otherwise diurnal strategy. Future research should target how diel foraging and refueling strategies support nocturnal flights and barrier crossing in this and other diurnal species.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Advancing spatiotemporal forecasts of CO 2 plume migration using deep learning networks with transfer learning and interpretation analysis

Accurate and timely forecasts of CO 2 plume distribution throughout the injection and post-injection phases are crucial for detecting plume migration, assessing leakage risks, and supporting operational decisions in geologic carbon storage (GCS). Current convolutional neural network-based approaches primarily focus on spatial information and overlook temporal dependencies in plume distributions, thus limiting their ability to capture dynamic movement effects and provide accurate predictions of plume migration. In this work, we propose two deep learning models, Auto-Encoder (AE)-LSTM and Encoder-Decoder (ED)-ConvLSTM, each uniquely designed to capture both spatial and temporal features. We apply the proposed methods to forecast the dynamic distribution of CO 2 plumes based on 108 reservoir simulations over a 30-year injection and a 30-year post-injection period. The results indicate that the ED-ConvLSTM model outperforms the AE-LSTM model in accurately predicting the spatiotemporal dynamics of CO 2 plume migration, achieving R 2 values above 0.99. To provide a deeper understanding of these model predictions, we employ a gradient-based explanation method on the trained models. This approach provides insights into the influence of input variables on plume migration forecasts and uncovers the underlying prediction mechanisms of the proposed models. Furthermore, we introduce a transfer learning technique, enabling fast and accurate plume migration forecasting in the post-injection phase by leveraging the trained model during the injection phase. This reduces the necessity for extensive data collection or re-training. In conclusion, the methods proposed in our work enhances the performance and interpretability of CO 2 plume migration forecasts, thereby facilitating informed decision-making throughout the entire lifecycle of GCS applications.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

An experimental study on gas-liquid phase fluid migration in hydrate-bearing sediments during hydrate dissociation

Natural gas hydrate production tests face problems such as severe sand blockage, poor gas-liquid phase separation, and significant land subsidence. This is because of the insufficient understanding of the complex phase transition and gas-liquid multi-phase fluid migration during hydrate dissociation. In hydrate-bearing sediment systems, hydrate phase transition couples with gas-liquid fluid migration. The phase transition causes changes in pore structure, which in turn modifies porous infiltration parameters and fluid flow capacity. Meanwhile, alterations in phase interfaces affect key parameters like surface tension and wettability. Gas-liquid fluid migration influences heat and mass transfer, thus affecting phase equilibrium and dissociation rates. To bridge the gap in describing gas-liquid fluid migration during hydrate dissociation in experiments, this research innovatively integrated an unsteady-state gas displacement by water and a quantitative hydrate dissociation process, independently developed a multi-phase seepage experimental system suitable for hydrate dissociation and determined the relationship between seepage parameters and hydrate saturation under different porosity. The results are as follows: a) Core samples with higher initial porosity show a greater recovery rate of fluid flow capacity. b) The retarding effect of multi-phase fluid has a more significant impact on the migration of the wetting phase fluid (water) than that of the non-wetting phase fluid (methane). c) During hydrate dissociation, the evolution of absolute permeability shows an “S-shaped” pattern, and the evolution of relative permeability shows a “wiring-harness” pattern. In conclusion, the findings can provide a theoretical basis for preventing geological disasters and for geotechnical engineering design during hydrate production.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Assessing Impacts on Pressure Stabilization and Leasing Acreage for CO 2 Storage Utilizing Oil Migration Concepts

Favorable geological storage for CO 2 has long been pictured as large anticlines with thick sandstones, similar to oil reservoirs in the petroleum system. Unlike oil, however, stored CO 2 does not need to be recoverable, which raises the possibility of using dissolution and residual trapping to augment the capacity of buoyant traps and tap more of the bulk rock volume. The work presented builds on that idea, asking the following question: If we inject CO 2 down to a syncline – analogous to the carrier bed in the petroleum system – how would this injection mechanism impact storage capacity and plume shape, migration, and stabilization? To address this question, we built a reservoir model, based on seismic interpretation of Middle Miocene strata, offshore Galveston, Texas. 3-D seismic and well logs were used to characterize key intervals. Reservoirs chosen for modeling are progradational-aggradational sands with mud intercalation. They have a higher degree of heterogeneity than the more conventional reservoirs commonly targeted for CO 2 storage. Modeling investigated how far the CO 2 plume would migrate under two scenarios: (1) injecting CO 2 at the base of the salt withdrawal basin (syncline scenario) and (2) injecting CO 2 at the base of the structural closure, similar to a common injection well location for EOR purposes (base scenario). For each scenario, we separately simulated injection of 30 MT of CO 2 and 60 MT of CO 2 continuously for 30 years and observe the plume and pressure evolution for 100 years after the injection stops. The simulation shows that injecting the CO 2 into a syncline limits the vertical migration of CO 2 , thus making synclinal injection more secure. In the syncline scenario, the geological layer around the injection point is more heterogeneous than the layer in the base scenario; thus, the CO 2 tends to migrate laterally. Additionally, in the syncline scenario, the plume does not even reach the upper part of the anticline, allowing us to safely store an additional amount of CO 2 into the reservoir. Furthermore, the simulation also shows that in the syncline scenario, the times needed for the reservoir to reach its stabilized pressure after the end of injections are faster. To summarize, CO 2 injection at the base of a syncline could provide additional storage, increase the safety of the project from the limited vertical plume migration, and expedite plume stabilization, which could result in the decrease of monitoring frequency as the project runs, thus lowering the operating cost of the project in the long run.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Mitigating ion migration in perovskite solar cells

The intrinsic ion migration in the metal halide perovskite absorber layer and its interfaces seriously limits the device stability of perovskite solar cells (PSCs). Despite considerable efforts to mitigate the ion migration issue, it remains a formidable challenge in the commercialization of PSCs. In this paper, we provide a short review of the device failure mechanisms induced by intrinsic ion migration and discuss the detrimental effects of ion migration on different component layers of PSCs. We outline the corresponding strategies to mitigate ion migration in PSCs and provide an insight on materials engineering to attain long-term stabilized perovskite photovoltaics.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Genetic monitoring of steelhead in the Klickitat River to estimate productivity, straying, and migration timing

Abstract Objective Salmonids with a complex life history variation present challenges for conservation management, but genetic approaches alongside fisheries monitoring can address questions regarding the viability of the natural populations. Methods We genotyped adult (n = 3108) and juvenile (n = 2624) samples of steelhead Oncorhynchus mykiss that were collected in the Klickitat River, Washington, USA at traps in the lower drainage to examine tributary level productivity, straying from outside sources, and variation in adult migration timing. Result Genetic assignment of steelhead from this system indicated that the majority were produced within or near tributaries of the middle Klickitat River (juvenile mean = 72.8%; adult mean = 87.3%). Analyses with parentage-based tagging identified that most hatchery-origin adults were assigned to the Skamania Hatchery (80.8%), as expected, since this has been the release stock for decades within the Klickitat River drainage. Hatchery-origin adults were also identified from programs operating outside the Klickitat River, which were primarily strays from Snake River hatcheries. Most natural-origin steelhead were assigned to the Klickitat River, but there were also natural-origin fish identified as strays from other regions of the Columbia River (22.3% of natural returns). We also examined genes known to be associated with migration timing in adult steelhead observed at the trap and observed a strong relationship between migration date and alleles for early and late migration, but individual outliers were detected across seasons. Conclusion Our results indicate that genetic variation of steelhead in the Klickitat River has been influenced by hatchery programs as well as natural-origin straying from other subbasins, but genetic diversity remains high throughout the subbasin, and both early and late migration alleles are maintained. The genetic diversity present in Klickitat River steelhead may enable this Endangered Species Act listed (threatened) species to better adapt to stochastic environmental conditions compared to less diverse populations.

Collins, Erin E. (ORCID:0000000260978479)↗

The effect of stress on the migration of He gas bubbles under a thermal gradient in Fe by phase-field modeling

Here a phase-field model is parameterized to study the effect of elastic stresses on the migration of He gas bubbles in Fe under a temperature gradient. Stresses caused by the gas bubble pressure and residual stress in the Fe matrix are considered. The dependence of He bubble migration velocity on the magnitude of the residual stress, average temperature, temperature gradient, and bubble size is measured. In agreement with a theoretical model based on surface diffusion, simulation results demonstrate that He bubbles move towards the high temperature region with velocities in Fe that are orders of magnitude faster than previously reported in UO 2 . It is found that local stresses in the matrix caused by the He bubble have negligible effect on the bubble migration process; however, residual stresses in the Fe matrix, potentially caused by processing or irradiation, can modestly modify bubble kinetics through pressure dependence of the He diffusion coefficients. Compressive residual stress decreases diffusion coefficients for bulk and surface diffusion mechanisms, thus reducing the migration velocity of the gas bubble. In contrast, tensile residual stress increases the diffusion coefficients, resulting in an increase in the gas bubble migration velocity. This pressure dependence is also consistent with a theoretical model. This phase field model lays the foundation for analysis of bubble coalescence-induced fracture in He bubble-containing steels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ad-apoptin inhibits glycolysis, migration and invasion in lung cancer cells targeting AMPK/mTOR signaling pathway

Ad-apoptin is a recombinant oncolytic adenovirus constructed by our laboratory that can express apoptin. It can selectively kill tumor cells without damaging normal cells. This study investigated the effects of Ad-apoptin on glycolysis, migration and invasion of non-small cell lung cancer. Cell viability and apoptosis were detected by CCK-8 and flow cytometry, respectively. Glycolysis was investigated by glucose consumption, lactic acid production and glycolytic key enzyme protein levels. Migration and invasion were evaluated via wound healing, transwell assays and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) protein levels. The interaction between apoptin and AMPK was detected by Co-IP. A nude mice tumor model was established to investigate the anti-cancer role of Ad-apoptin in vivo. The results showed that Ad-apoptin inhibits cell viability and induces apoptosis of A549 and NCI–H23 cells. Ad-apoptin can reduce the glucose uptake and lactic production in lung cancer cells, and reduce the expression of related glycolysis-limiting enzymes. At the same time, Ad-apoptin inhibited the migration and invasion of lung cancer. Immunoprecipitation showed that apoptin and AMPK could interact directly. Moreover, knockdown of AMPK significantly attenuated the inhibitory effect of Ad-apoptin on glycolysis, migration and invasion of A549 and NCI–H23 cells. Ad-apoptin can inhibit the growth of tumors in nude mice. Compared with the control group, Ad-apoptin had a significant inhibitory effect on AMPK knockdown tumors. The immunohistochemical results of tumor tissues were consistent with those in vitro. Collectively, Ad-apoptin targets AMPK and inhibits glycolysis, migration and invasion of lung cancer cells through the AMPK/mTOR signaling pathway. This suggests that Ad-apoptin may have therapeutic potential for lung cancer by targeting AMPK activation.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Iron( IV ) alkyl complexes: electronic structure contributions to Fe–C bond homolysis and migration reactions that form N–C bonds from N 2

High-valent iron alkyl complexes are rare, as they are prone to Fe–C bond homolysis. Here, we describe an unusual way to access formally iron(IV) alkyl complexes through double silylation of iron(I) alkyl dinitrogen complexes to form an NNSi 2 group. Spectroscopically validated computations show that the disilylehydrazido(2−) ligand stabilizes the formal iron(IV) oxidation state through a strongly covalent Fe–N π-interaction, in which one π-bond fits an “inverted field” description. This means that the two bonding electrons are localized more on the metal than the ligand, and thus an iron(II) resonance structure is a significant contributor, similar to the previously-reported phenyl analogue. However, in contrast to the phenyl complex which has an S = 1 ground state, the ground state of the alkyl complex is S = 2, which places one electron in the π* orbital, leading to longer and weaker Fe–N bonds. The reactivity of these hydrazido(2−) complexes is dependent on the steric and electronic properties of the specific alkyl group. When the alkyl group is the bulky trimethylsilylmethyl, the formally iron(IV) species is stable at room temperature and no migration of the alkyl ligand is observed. However, the analogous complex with the smaller methyl ligand does indeed undergo migration of the carbon-based ligand to the NNSi 2 group to form a new N–C bond. This migration is followed by isomerization of the hydrazido ligand, and the product exists as two isomers that have distinct η 1 and η 2 binding of the hydrazido group. Lastly, when the alkyl group is benzyl, the Fe–C bond homolyzes to give a three-coordinate hydrazido(2−) complex which is likely due to the greater stability of a benzyl radical compared to that for methyl or trimethylsilylmethyl. These studies demonstrate the availability of a hydrocarbyl migration pathway at formally iron(IV) centers to form new N–C bonds directly to N 2 , though product selectivity is highly dependent on the identity of the migrating group.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Genetic variation associated with adult migration timing in lineages of Steelhead and Chinook Salmon in the Columbia River

Abstract With the discovery of a major effect region (GREB1L, ROCK1) for adult migration timing in genomes of both Chinook Salmon and Steelhead, several subsequent studies have investigated the effect size and distribution of early and late migration alleles among populations in the Columbia River. Here, we synthesize the results of these studies for the major lineages of Chinook Salmon and Steelhead that include highly distinct groups in the interior Columbia River that exhibit atypical life histories from most coastal lineage populations of these two species. Whole‐genome studies with high marker density have provided extensive insight into SNPs most associated with adult migration timing, and suites of markers for each species have been genotyped in large numbers of individuals to further validate phenotypic effects. For Steelhead, the largest phenotypic effect sizes have been observed in the coastal lineage (36% of variation for passage timing at Bonneville Dam; 43% of variation for tributary arrival timing) compared to the inland lineage (7.5% of variation for passage timing at Bonneville Dam; 8.4% of variation for tributary arrival timing) that overwinter in freshwater prior to spawning. For Chinook Salmon, large effect sizes have been observed in all three lineages for multiple adult migration phenotypes (Coastal lineage: percentage of variation of 27.9% for passage timing at Bonneville Dam, 28.7% for arrival timing for spawning; Interior ocean type: percentage of variation of 47.6% for passage timing at Bonneville Dam, 39.6% for tributary arrival timing, 77.9% for arrival timing for spawning; Interior stream type: percentage of variation of 35.3% for passage at Bonneville Dam, 9.8% for tributary arrival timing, 4.7% for arrival timing for spawning). Together, these results have extended our understanding of genetic variation associated with life history diversity in distinct populations of the Columbia River, however, much research remains necessary to determine the causal mechanism for this major effect region on migration timing in these species.

Narum, Shawn R.↗

Impact of river channel lateral migration on microbial communities across a discontinuous permafrost floodplain

Permafrost soils store approximately twice the amount of carbon currently present in Earth’s atmosphere and are acutely impacted by climate change due to the polar amplification of increasing global temperature. Many organic-rich permafrost sediments are located on large river floodplains, where river channel migration periodically erodes and re-deposits the upper tens of meters of sediment. Channel migration exerts a first-order control on the geographic distribution of permafrost and floodplain stratigraphy and thus may affect microbial habitats. Here, to examine how river channel migration in discontinuous permafrost environments affects microbial community composition, we used amplicon sequencing of the 16S rRNA gene on sediment samples from floodplain cores and exposed riverbanks along the Koyukuk River, a large tributary of the Yukon River in west-central Alaska. Microbial communities are sensitive to permafrost thaw: communities found in deep samples thawed by the river closely resembled near-surface active layer communities in non-metric multidimensional scaling analyses but did not resemble floodplain permafrost communities at the same depth. Microbial communities also displayed lower diversity and evenness in permafrost than in both the active layer and permafrost-free point bars recently deposited by river channel migration. Taxonomic assignments based on 16S and quantitative PCR for the methyl-coenzyme M reductase functional gene demonstrated that methanogens and methanotrophs are abundant in older permafrost-bearing deposits, but not in younger, non-permafrost point bar deposits. The results suggested that river migration, which regulates the distribution of permafrost, also modulates the distribution of microbes potentially capable of producing and consuming methane on the Koyukuk River floodplain.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A deep learning-based direct forecasting of CO 2 plume migration

Accurate and timely forecasts of CO 2 plume evolution in geological reservoirs are crucial for CO 2 migration detection, leakage risk assessment, and operation decision support. Conventional forecasting usually adopts a two-step strategy, first calibrating reservoir model parameters against observations using iterative inverse modeling (or history matching) and then applying the calibrated model for predictions. This method impedes real-time forecasts due to the heavy computational demand in inverse modeling and may suffer from poor prediction accuracy because of the limited observation data. In this work, we propose a deep learning-based latent space mapping framework to forecast CO 2 plume migration directly by avoiding the inverse modeling. We first use the convolutional autoencoder to map the high-dimensional complex plume extents onto low-dimensional latent space. Next, we use neural networks to learn the relationship between the observation variables and the prediction latent variables. And then for given observation data, we infer the prediction values directly. This one-step direct forecasting is computationally efficient which requires a few number of parallelizable reservoir simulations and it can provide accurate predictions with limited observations by learning the observation-prediction relationship in the reduced dimension. Therefore, our proposed method enables an in-time forecast of dynamic CO 2 plume distributions. In this work, we demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of our method in predicting the CO 2 plume migration using four metrics such as plume area, centroid movement distance, and plume spreading in the primary and secondary directions. And the spatio-temporal evolution patterns of plume migration under diverse geological complexities are also accurately quantified.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Environmental impact of solution pH on the formation and migration of iron colloids in deep subsurface energy systems

Deep subsurface stimulation processes often promote fluid-rock interactions that can lead to the formation of small colloidal particles that are suspected to migrate through the rock matrix, partially or fully clog pores and microfractures, and promote the mobilization of contaminants. Thus, the goal of this work is to understand the geochemical changes of the host rock in response to reservoir stimulation that promote the formation and migration of colloids. Two different carbonate-rich shales were exposed to different solution pHs (pH = 2 and 7). In this study, iron and other mineral transformations at the shale-fluid interface were first characterized by synchrotron-based XRF mapping. Then, colloids that were able to migrate from the shale into the bulk fluid were characterized by synchrotron-based extended X-ray absorption structure (EXAFS), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and single-particle inductively coupled plasma time-of-flight mass spectrometry (sp-icpTOF-MS). When exposed to the pH = 2 solution, extensive mineral dissolution and secondary precipitation was observed; iron-(oxyhydr)oxide colloids colocated with silicates were observed by SEM at the fluid-shale interfaces, and the mobilization of chromium and nickel with these iron colloids into the bulk fluid was detected by sp-icpTOF-MS. Iron EXAFS spectra of the solution at the shale-fluid interface suggests the rapid (within minutes) formation of ferrihydrite-like nanoparticles. Thus, we demonstrate that the pH neutralization promotes the mobilization of existing silicate minerals and the rapid formation of new iron colloids. These Fe colloids have the potential to migrate through the shale matrix and mobilize other heavy metals (such as Cr and Ni, in this study) and impacting groundwater quality, as well produced waters from these hydraulic fracturing operations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Migration of inclusions in a matrix due to a spatially varying interface energy

An interfacial energy can be a function of a bulk field such as temperature or electric field. Here we find that in a system with a gradient in temperature or electric potential, the resulting variation in interfacial energy can induce a particle to migrate by either surface or bulk diffusion. For a circular particle under a constant unidirectional gradient in the bulk field, the field dependence of the interfacial energy induces a circular particle to move as a circle at a constant velocity along the direction from higher to lower interfacial energy. A linear stability analysis of this steady state migration suggests that perturbations will damp out as time evolves, and thus under these conditions a migrating circular particle is morphologically stable. Other spatial distributions of interface energy can lead to the distortion of an initially circular shaped particle during migration. A phase field model is developed that captures these distortions and verifies the theoretical results mentioned above.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Irradiation-induced grain boundary migration in an ion irradiated Fe-Ni-Cr-Mn alloy

Irradiation-induced grain boundary migration (RIGM) has previously been observed in different metallic systems. However, the mechanisms and dependence on irradiation conditions remained unclear. Here, we report on radiation-induced GB migration (RIGM) in a coarse-grain Fe-Ni-Cr-Mn austenitic alloy irradiated with Fe ions at 400 °C to 15, 35, and 70 dpa. Grain boundary migration is only observed in the irradiated regions and exhibits a linear dependence on the locally delivered dose, as estimated from SRIM calculations. Notably, the same linear dependence is noted across the nominal doses. Furthermore, the evidence points to grain boundary migration being mediated by the flux of point defects to grain boundaries and motivates additional systematic studies of RIGM in these systems.

Grain boundary↗

The Impact of Inherited Morphology on Sandbar Migration During Mild Wave Seasons

Sandbars are ubiquitous morphologic features found in the nearshore environment throughout the world, yet predictive capabilities of their evolution remain limited. In order to provide new insights on the relevant processes controlling sandbar morphodynamics, this study uses a 41-year record of 637 monthly cross-shore profiles from Duck, North Carolina, USA, to derive complex empirical orthogonal functions representative of the two dominant modes of sandbar migrations: offshore and onshore propagation. Interference of these two modes produces commonly observed sandbar states. While mild wave energies are traditionally assumed to drive onshore sandbar migration, the offshore mode is repeatedly seen to dominate sandbar migration in mild wave seasons following anomalously high late-winter wave energy and when the inherited morphology is composed of a single bar or terrace, as opposed to a more common two-bar state. A data-derived conceptual model is presented synthesizing the effect of antecedent morphology and wave climate chronology on interannual trends in net offshore sandbar migration.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗