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At least 55 records · Page 3

Completion Effects on Diagnosing Multistage Facture Treatments with Distributed Temperature Sensing

Summary Distributed temperature sensing (DTS) is a valuable tool to diagnose multistage hydraulic fracture treatments. When a stage interval is shut in, the clusters that take more fluid during pumping warm up more slowly. Therefore, the fluid volume injected into each cluster can be quantitatively interpreted by numerical inversion of the warm-back temperature behavior. This general concept assumes that the different warm-back behavior is controlled by only the injected fluid volume; however, recent observations of DTS data indicate that completion configurations significantly influence the warm-back behavior. This paper investigates the completion effects on the DTS interpretation. In ideal conditions, when a stage is fractured, the upstream stage intervals should show an almost uniform temperature that is close to the injected fluid temperature. This is due to the high fluid velocity of injected fluid in the wellbore, and the upstream intervals have not been perforated (noncommunicating intervals), so the only heat transfer is heat conduction between the wellbore fluid and the surrounding reservoir. But the field DTS data show considerably irregular variations in temperature along the upstream stage intervals. These variations are caused by the completion effects. The nonuniform temperature profile is caused by different heat transfer behavior induced by completion hardware along the production casing string, such as joints, clamps, and blast protectors, and by the sensing cable location in the cement, as well as the cement quality. Because the varying heat transfer behavior impacts the warm-back behavior as well as the temperature profile, the completion effects need to be considered in DTS interpretation. A method of DTS interpretation considering the completion effects to diagnose multistage fracture treatments was developed. Because the heat transfer between a wellbore and a reservoir depends on the overall heat transfer coefficient describing heat conduction through the completion in a forward model, this parameter needs to be tuned all along the wellbore. To calibrate the completion effect, the temperature inversion is conducted using the temperature measured at a stage interval that is upstream of a stage interval currently being treated. Because the interpreted stage interval is not perforated at that time, the thermal behavior at the noncommunicating interval is governed by only the heat conduction through the completion environment. Once the effective values of the overall heat transfer coefficient are estimated along the interpreted stage interval, they can be assumed to be constant physical parameters. Then, the fluid volume distribution is interpreted by using the effective overall heat transfer coefficient profile along each interval. This study provides a field application of the developed interpretation method. The new interpretation method provides more accurate diagnosis of fracture treatments by DTS interpretation.

Engineering↗

Machine learning based approach to predict ductile damage model parameters for polycrystalline metals

Damage models for ductile materials typically need to be parameterized, often with the appropriate parameters changing for a given material depending on the loading conditions. This can make parameterizing these models computationally expensive, since an inverse problem must be solved for each loading condition. Using standard inverse modeling techniques typically requires hundreds or thousands of high-fidelity computer simulations to estimate the optimal parameters. Additionally, the time of a human expert is required to set up the inverse model. Machine learning has recently emerged as an alternative approach to inverse modeling in these settings, where the machine learning model is trained in an offline manner and new parameters can be quickly generated on the fly, after training is complete. Here, this work utilizes such a workflow to enable the rapid parameterization of a ductile damage model called TEPLA with a machine learning inverse model. The machine learning model can efficiently estimate the model parameters much faster, as compared to previously employed methods, such as Bayesian calibration. The results demonstrate good accuracy on a synthetic test dataset and is validated against experimental data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Black carbon aerosol number and mass concentration measurements by picosecond short-range elastic backscatter lidar

Abstract Black carbon aerosol emissions are recognized as contributors to global warming and air pollution. There remains, however, a lack of techniques to remotely measure black carbon aerosol particles with high range and time resolution. This article presents a direct and contact-free remote technique to estimate the black carbon aerosol number and mass concentration at a few meters from the emission source. This is done using the Colibri instrument based on a novel technique, referred to here as Picosecond Short-Range Elastic Backscatter Lidar (PSR-EBL). To address the complexity of retrieving lidar products at short measurement ranges, we apply a forward inversion method featuring radiometric lidar calibration. Our method is based on an extension of a well-established light-scattering model, the Rayleigh–Debye–Gans for Fractal-Aggregates (RDG-FA) theory, which computes an analytical expression of lidar parameters. These parameters are the backscattering cross-sections and the lidar ratio for black carbon fractal aggregates. Using a small-scale Jet A-1 kerosene pool fire, we demonstrate the ability of the technique to quantify the aerosol number and mass concentration with centimetre range-resolution and millisecond time-resolution.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Calculation of Critical Heat Flux Using an Inverse Heat Transfer Method to Support TREAT Experiment Analysis

Heat transfer between cladding and coolant during transient scenarios remains a critical area of uncertainty in understanding nuclear reactor safety. To advance the understanding of transient and accident scenarios involving critical heat flux (CHF), an in-pile experiment for the Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) facility at Idaho National Laboratory was developed. The experiment named CHF-Static Environment Rodlet Transient Test Apparatus (CHF-SERTTA), consists of a hollow borated stainless steel heater rod submerged in a static water pool which is heated via the (n, a) reaction in boron-10. This paper presents a novel inverse heat transfer method to determine CHF by using the optimization and uncertainty software DAKOTA to calibrate a RELAP5-3D model of CHF-SERTTA to temperature measurements obtained from a thermocouple welded to the surface of the rod.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Multichannel deconvolution of vibrational signals: A state-space inverse filtering approach

Deconvolution of noisy measurements, especially when they are multichannel, has always been a challenging problem. The processing techniques developed range from simple Fourier methods to more sophisticated model-based parametric methodologies based on the underlying acoustics of the problem at hand. Methods relying on multichannel mean-squared error processors (Wiener filters) have evolved over long periods from the seminal efforts in seismic processing. However, when more is known about the acoustics, then model-based state-space techniques incorporating the underlying process physics can improve the processing significantly. The problems of interest are the vibrational response of tightly coupled acoustic test objects excited by an out-of-the-ordinary transient, potentially impairing their operational performance. Further, employing a multiple input/multiple output structural model of the test objects under investigation enables the development of an inverse filter by applying subspace identification techniques during initial calibration measurements. Feasibility applications based on a mass transport experiment and test object calibration test demonstrate the ability of the processor to extract the excitations successfully.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Goal-oriented a-posteriori estimation of model error as an aid to parameter estimation

In this work, a Bayesian model calibration framework is presented that utilizes goal-oriented a-posterior error estimates in quantities of interest (QoIs) for classes of high-fidelity models characterized by PDEs. It is shown that for a large class of computational models, it is possible to develop a computationally inexpensive procedure for calibrating parameters of high-fidelity models of physical events when the parameters of low-fidelity (surrogate) models are known with acceptable accuracy. The main ingredients in the proposed model calibration scheme are goal-oriented a-posteriori estimates of error in QoIs computed using a so-called lower fidelity model compared to those of an uncalibrated higher fidelity model. The estimates of error in QoIs are used to define likelihood functions in Bayesian inversion analysis. A standard Bayesian approach is employed to compute the posterior distribution of model parameters of high-fidelity models. As applications, parameters in a quasi-linear second-order elliptic boundary-value problem (BVP) are calibrated using a second-order linear elliptic BVP. In a second application, parameters of a tumor growth model involving nonlinear time-dependent PDEs are calibrated using a lower fidelity linear tumor growth model with known parameter values.

A-posterior estimates↗

Invertible neural networks for E3SM land model calibration and simulation

We apply an invertible neural network (INN) for E3SM land model calibration and simulation with eight parameters at the Missouri Ozark AmeriFlux forest site. INN provides bijective (two-way) mappings between inputs and outputs, thus it can solve probabilistic inverse problems and forward approximations simultaneously. We demonstrate INN's inverse and forward capability in both synthetic and real-data applications. Results indicate that INN produces accurate parameter posterior distributions similar to Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling and it generates model outputs close to the forward model simulations. Additionally, both the inverse and forward evaluations in INN are computationally efficient which allows for rapid integration of observations for parameter estimation and fast model predictions.

Lu, Dan↗

Efficient kinetic thermal inverse modeling for organic material decomposition

The prevalent use of organic materials in manufacturing is a fire safety concern, and motivates the need for predictive thermal decomposition models. A critical component of predictive modeling is numerical inference of kinetic parameters from bench scale data. Currently, an active area of computational pyrolysis research focuses on identifying efficient, robust methods for optimization. This paper demonstrates that kinetic parameter calibration problems can successfully be solved using classical gradient-based optimization. We explore calibration examples that exhibit characteristics of concern: high nonlinearity, high dimensionality, complicated schemes, overlapping reactions, noisy data, and poor initial guesses. The examples demonstrate that a simple, non-invasive change to the problem formulation can simultaneously avoid local minima, avoid computation of derivative matrices, achieve a computational efficiency speedup of 10x, and make optimization robust to perturbations of parameter components. Techniques from the mathematical optimization and inverse problem communities are employed. By re-examining gradient-based algorithms, we highlight opportunities to develop kinetic parameter calibration methods that should outperform current methods.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Inverse Methods - Users Manual 5.6

The inverse methods team provides a set of tools for solving inverse problems in structural dynamics and thermal physics, and also sensor placement optimization via Optimal Experimental Design (OED). These methods are used for designing experiments, model calibration, and verfication/validation analysis of weapons systems. This document provides a user's guide to the input for the three apps that are supported for these methods. Details of input specifications, output options, and optimization parameters are included.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Inverse Methods - Users Manual 5.8

The inverse methods team provides a set of tools for solving inverse problems in structural dynamics and thermal physics, and also sensor placement optimization via Optimal Experimental Design (OED). These methods are used for designing experiments, model calibration, and verification/validation analysis of weapons systems. This document provides a user’s guide to the input for the three apps that are supported for these methods. Details of input specifications, output options, and optimization parameters are included.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

FuSED Users Manual, 5.24

The Fusion of Simulation, Experiment, and Data (FuSED) team provides a set of tools for solving inverse problems in structural dynamics and thermal physics, and also sensor placement optimization via Optimal Experimental Design (OED). These methods are used for designing experiments, model calibration, and verification/validation analysis of systems. This document provides a user’s guide to the input for the three apps that are supported for these methods. Details of input specifications, output options, and optimization parameters are included.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Learning viscoelasticity models from indirect data using deep neural networks

In this study, we propose a novel approach to model viscoelasticity materials, where rate-dependent and non-linear constitutive relationships are approximated with deep neural networks. We assume that inputs and outputs of the neural networks are not directly observable, and therefore common training techniques with input–output pairs for the neural networks are inapplicable. To that end, we develop a novel computational approach to both calibrate parametric and learn neural-network-based constitutive relations of viscoelasticity materials from indirect displacement data in the context of multiple-physics systems. We show that limited displacement data holds sufficient information to quantify the viscoelasticity behavior. We formulate the inverse computation – modeling viscoelasticity properties from observed displacement data – as a PDE-constrained optimization problem and minimize the error functional using a gradient-based optimization method. The gradients are computed by a combination of automatic differentiation and implicit function differentiation rules. The effectiveness of our method is demonstrated through numerous benchmark problems in geomechanics and porous media transport.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Risk Ratio and Risk Difference Estimation in Case-cohort Studies

Background: In case-cohort studies with binary outcomes, ordinary logistic regression analyses have been widely used because of their computational simplicity. However, the resultant odds ratio estimates cannot be interpreted as relative risk measures unless the event rate is low. The risk ratio and risk difference are more favorable outcome measures that are directly interpreted as effect measures without the rare disease assumption. Methods: We provide pseudo-Poisson and pseudo-normal linear regression methods for estimating risk ratios and risk differences in analyses of case-cohort studies. These multivariate regression models are fitted by weighting the inverses of sampling probabilities. Also, the precisions of the risk ratio and risk difference estimators can be improved using auxiliary variable information, specifically by adapting the calibrated or estimated weights, which are readily measured on all samples from the whole cohort. Finally, we provide computational code in R (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) that can easily perform these methods. Results: Through numerical analyses of artificially simulated data and the National Wilms Tumor Study data, accurate risk ratio and risk difference estimates were obtained using the pseudo-Poisson and pseudo-normal linear regression methods. Also, using the auxiliary variable information from the whole cohort, precisions of these estimators were markedly improved. Conclusion: The ordinary logistic regression analyses may provide uninterpretable effect measure estimates, and the risk ratio and risk difference estimation methods are effective alternative approaches for case-cohort studies. These methods are especially recommended under situations in which the event rate is not low.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Calibration and Localization of Optically Pumped Magnetometers Using Electromagnetic Coils

In this paper, we propose a method to estimate the position, orientation, and gain of a magnetic field sensor using a set of (large) electromagnetic coils. We apply the method for calibrating an array of optically pumped magnetometers (OPMs) for magnetoencephalography (MEG). We first measure the magnetic fields of the coils at multiple known positions using a well-calibrated triaxial magnetometer, and model these discreetly sampled fields using vector spherical harmonics (VSH) functions. We then localize and calibrate an OPM by minimizing the sum of squared errors between the model signals and the OPM responses to the coil fields. We show that by using homogeneous and first-order gradient fields, the OPM sensor parameters (gain, position, and orientation) can be obtained from a set of linear equations with pseudo-inverses of two matrices. The currents that should be applied to the coils for approximating these low-order field components can be determined based on the VSH models. Computationally simple initial estimates of the OPM sensor parameters follow. As a first test of the method, we placed a fluxgate magnetometer at multiple positions and estimated the RMS position, orientation, and gain errors of the method to be 1.0 mm, 0.2°, and 0.8%, respectively. Lastly, we calibrated a 48-channel OPM array. The accuracy of the OPM calibration was tested by using the OPM array to localize magnetic dipoles in a phantom, which resulted in an average dipole position error of 3.3 mm. The results demonstrate the feasibility of using electromagnetic coils to calibrate and localize OPMs for MEG.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A DECADE of dwarfs: first detection of weak lensing around spectroscopically confirmed low-mass galaxies

We present the first detection of weak gravitational lensing around spectroscopically confirmed dwarf galaxies, using the large overlap between DESI DR1 spectroscopic data and DECADE/DES weak lensing catalogs. A clean dwarf galaxy sample with well-defined redshift and stellar mass cuts enables excess surface mass density measurements in two stellar mass bins ($\log \rm{M}_*=[8.2, 9.2]~M_\odot$ and $\log \rm{M}_*=[9.2, 10.2]~M_\odot$), with signal-to-noise ratios of $5.6$ and $12.4$ respectively. This signal-to-noise drops to $4.5$ and $9.2$ respectively for measurements without applying individual inverse probability (IIP) weights, which mitigates fiber incompleteness from DESI's targeting. The measurements are robust against variations in stellar mass estimates, photometric shredding, and lensing calibration systematics. Using a simulation-based modeling framework with stellar mass function priors, we constrain the stellar mass-halo mass relation and find a satellite fraction of $\simeq 0.3$, which is higher than previous photometric studies but $1.5σ$ lower than $Λ$CDM predictions. We find that IIP weights have a significant impact on lensing measurements and can change the inferred $f_{\rm{sat}}$ by a factor of two, highlighting the need for accurate fiber incompleteness corrections for dwarf galaxy samples. Our results open a new observational window into the galaxy-halo connection at low masses, showing that future massively multiplexed spectroscopic observations and weak lensing data will enable stringent tests of galaxy formation models and $Λ$CDM predictions.

To, Chun-Hao [Chicago U., Astron. Astrophys. Ctr.;↗

Input-response space-filling designs

Traditional space-filling designs are a convenient way to explore throughout an input space of flexible dimension and have design points close to any region where future predictions might be of interest. In some applications, there may be a model connecting the input factors to the response(s), which provides an opportunity to consider the spacing not only in the input space but also in the response space. In this paper, we present an approach for leveraging current understanding of the relationship between inputs and responses to generate designs that allow the experimenter to flexibly balance the spacing in these two regions to find an appropriate design for the experimental goals. Applications where good spacing of the observed response values include calibration problems where the goal is to demonstrate the adequacy of the model across the range of the responses, sensitivity studies where the outputs from a submodel may be used as inputs for subsequent models, and inverse problems where the outputs of a process will be used in the inverse prediction for the unknown inputs. Here, we use the multi-objective optimization method of Pareto fronts to generate multiple non-dominated designs with different emphases on the input and response space-filling criteria from which the experimenter can choose. The methods are illustrated through several examples and a chemical engineering case study.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Soil Water Potentials (1990-2018) from a calibrated ELM-FATES, and rooting depth analyses scripts, PA-BCI, Panama

This dataset has ELM-FATES simulation outputs and scripts that accompany and reproduce the manuscript, Chitra-Tarak et al. (2021) Hydraulically-vulnerable trees survive on deep-water access during droughts in a tropical forest. New Phytologist. https: //doi.org/10.1111/nph.17464”. This dataset is organized into four parts: (1) source code for the model, Energy Exascale Earth System Land Model-Functionally Assembled Advanced Terrestrial simulator (ELM-FATES) (2) R scripts associated with ELM-FATES simulations: to prepare files for parameter ensemble simulation runs, calibrate the model with observed hydrological fluxes observed at BCI, re-run the model with tuned parameters and obtain long-term soil matric potentials by depth (3) ELM-FATES hydrological simulation outputs at PA-BCI, Panama (1990-2018, daily), and (4) R scripts for inverse rooting depth modeling and post-processing: prepare datasets and inversely model tree rooting depths at BCI, test hypotheses about the relationship of rooting depths with plant hydraulic traits and drought-induced mortality, and reproduce the manuscript itself. n.b. 1. Data needed to run R scripts in (2) and (4) and thus to reproduce the manuscript are sourced from various public datasets. Refer to the data availability section of the accompanying manuscript. 2. This dataset version (prepared on May 12, 2021) matches the revised and published version of the accompanying manuscript (published May 16, 2021) replacing a previous version. In the publication, this dataset is cited as follows: Chitra-Tarak R, Xu C, Aguilar S, Anderson-Teixeira K, Chambers J, Detto M, Faybishenko B, Fisher R, Knox R, Koven C et al. 2020. Soil water potentials (1990–2018) from a calibrated ELM-FATES, and rooting depth analyses scripts, PA-BCI, Panama. 2.0. NGEE Tropics Data Collection. doi: 10.15486/ngt/1696806

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Rapid Inverse Parameter Inference Using Physics-Informed Neural Network

As Li-ion batteries become more essential in today's economy, tools need to be developed to accurately and rapidly diagnose a battery's internal state-of-health. Using a Li-ion battery's (high-rate) voltage response, it is proposed to determine a battery's internal state through Bayesian calibration. However, Bayesian calibration is notoriously slow and requires thousands of model runs. To accelerate parameter inference using Bayesian calibration, a surrogate model is developed to replace the underlying physics-based Li-ion model. Developing a surrogate model for rapid Bayesian calibration analysis is discussed for both the single particle model (SPM) and the pseudo two-dimensional (P2D) model. Surrogate models are constructed using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) that encode the influence of internal properties on observed voltage responses. In practice, a neural network can be trained by: 1) using simulation results of the physics-based model (i.e., a data-loss approach); 2) using the residuals of the governing equations themselves (i.e., a physics-loss approach); or 3) using a combination of simulation results and governing equation residuals. In the present work, PINNs are developed using a variety of training losses and neural network architectures. In this analysis, it is shown that a PINN surrogate model can be reliably trained with only physics-informed loss. However, using a coupled data-informed and physics-loss approach produced the most accurate PINNs.

Bayesian calibration↗