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At least 55 records · Page 3

ZND Verification Tests for Reactive Burn Models in FLAG

The ZND theory, named after Zeldovich, von Neumann, and Doering, provides a simple model for one-dimensional ideal steady-state detonation. It assumes that the detonation wave front starts with a shock that is a discontinuous jump and is followed by a finite-length reaction zone. Reactive burn (also called reactive flow) models are based on ZND theory, as they model the shock initiation and detonation process with a finite reaction rate. The ZND wave propagation test is essentially the only available test case where an analytic solution exists for verification of reactive burn models in numerical codes. However, there are extensions and variants of the ZND test that have been devised for verification of multidimensional flows. The objective of this work is to provide verification of the reactive burn models currently implemented in the Lagrangian hydrocode FLAG and investigate the influence of mesh resolution, artificial viscosity models, and the Arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) Euler relaxer on the simulation results. The burn models of interest are the Wescott-Stewart-Davis (WSD) model, the Scaled Uniform Reactive Flow (SURF) model (specifically with the SURFplus model extension), and the Arrhenius shock temperature state dependent WSD (AWSD) model. Previously, Ralph Menikoff has used ZND tests for verification of the SURF and SURFplus models in the Eulerian hydrocode xRAGE. The ZND tests here are somewhat different than the approach by Menikoff. In particular, we use a piston-driven ZND detonation wave (via a prescribed constant velocity boundary condition) in a Lagrangian framework whereas Menikoff had a ZND wave followed by a invariant rarefaction wave. The xRAGE simulations were carried out on uniform grids and adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) grids. Although AMR was recently implemented in FLAG and now fully functional for 2D simulations, it will not be evaluated with ZND tests at this time. Some work has been done previously for validating the reactive burn models in FLAG. For example, the validation studies of SURF with shock-to-detonation (SDT) tests, cylinder tests, and gap-stick tests. Further validation of the AWSD, WSD, and SURF models is described in for SDT, multi-shock, cylinder, and corner-turning tests. Recently, a large parameter study with approximately twenty SDT tests was performed to validate the AWSD, WSD, SURF, and SURFplus models while also investigating mesh resolution and artificial viscosity settings. To the best of our knowledge, the current work represents the first documented verification of these burn models in FLAG. The reader should note that many of the tables and figures in this report use units of cm/g/µs, which are the default units for FLAG. However, some lengths and velocities are expressed in µm and mm/µs, respectively, which are typical units for detonation analyses.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Demonstrating the Need for Adaptive Droop Control for Grid-Forming Inverters in Islanded and Grid-Connected Modes

This paper demonstrates the need of adaptive droop of grid-forming (GFM) inverters operating in different operation modes (grid-connected and islanded). A pure hardware microgrid comprising multiple grid-forming (GFM) inverters from different vendors, multiple grid-following inverters, and a diesel generator is used for the demonstration. The key findings are summarized as follows: Tighter droop slope should be used in the islanded mode, and looser droop slope should be used in the grid-connected mode to ensure stability. It is important to have adaptive droop control in GFM inverters to ensure stable and reliable microgrid operation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Multilevel Monte Carlo methods for the Grad-Shafranov free boundary problem

The equilibrium configuration of a plasma in an axially symmetric reactor is described mathematically by a free boundary problem associated with the celebrated Grad-Shafranov equation. The presence of uncertainty in the model parameters introduces the need to quantify the variability in the predictions. This is often done by computing a large number of model solutions on a computational grid for an ensemble of parameter values and then obtaining estimates for the statistical properties of solutions. In this study, we explore the savings that can be obtained using multilevel Monte Carlo methods, which reduce costs by performing the bulk of the computations on a sequence of spatial grids that are coarser than the one that would typically be used for a simple Monte Carlo simulation. We examine this approach using both a set of uniformly refined grids and a set of adaptively refined grids guided by a discrete error estimator. Numerical experiments show that multilevel methods dramatically reduce the cost of simulation, with cost reductions typically on the order of 60 or more and possibly as large as 200. Furthermore, adaptive griding results in more accurate computation of geometric quantities such as x-points associated with the model.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Adaptive Neurocontrol for Grid-Following Inverters

The new generation of power systems involve a large number of autonomous operating units with the flow of data being restricted by privacy concerns or infrastructure hurdles. The systems are also time-varying so the control should adjust in a timely manner to avoid failures that usually have very negative economical implications. Adaptive neurocontrol which takes elements from adaptive control (great for time-varying problems) and model identification (could be in the form of neural network) by using local available data is a compelling tool. In this work, we summarize analytical results for adaptive neurocontrol, followed with numerical verification of how the method could work for future grids.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Power Grid Reliability Estimation via Adaptive Importance Sampling

Electricity production currently generates approximately 25% of greenhouse gas emissions in the USA. Thus, increasing the amount of renewable energy is a key step to carbon neutrality. However, integrating a large amount of fluctuating renewable generation is a significant challenge for power grid operating and planning. Grid reliability, i.e., an ability to meet operational constraints under power fluctuations, is probably the most important of them. In this letter, we propose computationally efficient and accurate methods to estimate the probability of line overflow, i.e., reliability constraints violation, under a known distribution of renewable energy generation. To this end, we investigate an importance sampling approach, a flexible extension of Monte-Carlo methods, which adaptively changes the sampling distribution to generate more samples near the reliability boundary. The approach allows to estimate overload probability in real-time based only on a few dozens of random samples, compared to thousands required by the plain Monte-Carlo. Our study focuses on high voltage direct current power transmission grids with linear reliability constraints on power injections and line currents. Herein, we propose a novel theoretically justified physics-informed adaptive importance sampling algorithm and compare its performance to state-of-the-art methods on multiple IEEE power grid test cases.

power system faults↗

Dynamic Adaptive Relaying for Distribution Grids with High Inverter-Based Generation

The penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution systems is rapidly increasing. This can lead to large variations in the operating load and the fault current seen by a relay, which can impact the reliability of overcurrent protection. Adaptive overcurrent relaying (AOCR) can address this concern by enabling the relay to adjust its pickup settings based on the system operating conditions. This paper presents a novel dynamic AOCR approach that allows the relays to locally estimate the pickup settings and dynamically modify them. The approach is based on a two-stage estimation algorithm that uses local measurements and system information to estimate the worst-case fault current and the relay pickup settings. The relay pickup settings are then dynamically modified based on the estimated fault current. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated on multiple configurations of the EPRI J1 feeder and the IEEE 13-bus system. The results show that the proposed approach can effectively improve the reliability of overcurrent protection in distribution systems with DERs.

adaptive overcurrent protection↗

Adaptive Load Shedding for Grid Emergency Control via Deep Reinforcement Learning

Emergency control, typically such as under-voltage load shedding (UVLS), is broadly used to grapple with low voltage and voltage instability issues in real-world power systems under contingencies. However, existing emergency control schemes are rule-based and cannot be adaptively applied to uncertain and floating operating conditions. Here, we propose an adaptive UVLS algorithm for emergency control via deep reinforcement learning (DRL) and expert systems. We first construct dynamic components for picturing the power system operation as the environment. The transient voltage recovery criteria, which poses time-varying requirements to UVLS, is integrated into the states and reward function to advise the learning of deep neural networks. The proposed method has no tuning issue of coefficients in reward functions, and this issue was regarded as a deficiency in the existing DRL-based algorithms. Case studies illustrate that the proposed method outperforms the traditional UVLS relay in both the timeliness and efficacy for emergency control.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Sparse-Grid Probabilistic Scheme for Approximation of the Runaway Probability of Electrons in Fusion Tokamak Simulation

Runaway electrons (RE) generated during magnetic disruptions present a major threat to the safe operation of plasma nuclear fusion reactors. A critical aspect of understanding RE dynamics is to calculate the runaway probability, i.e., the probability that an electron in the phase space will runaway on, or before, a prescribed time. Such probability can be obtained by solving the adjoint equation of the underlying Fokker-Planck equation that controls the electron dynamics. In this effort, we present a sparse-grid probabilistic scheme for computing the runaway probability. The key ingredient of our approach is to represent the solution of the adjoint equation as a conditional expectation, such that discretizing the differential operator reduces to the approximation of a set of integrals. Adaptive sparse grid interpolation is utilized to approximate the map from the phase space to the runaway probability. The main novelties of this effort are the integration of the sparse-grid method into the probabilistic numerical scheme for computing escape probability, and the application of the proposed method in computing RE probabilities. Two numerical examples are given to illustrate that the proposed method can achieve O(Δt) convergence, and that the local anisotropic adaptive refinement strategy (M. Stoyanov, Adaptive sparse grid construction in a context of local anisotropy and multiple hierarchical parents. In: Sparse Grids and Applications-Miami 2016, Springer, Berlin, 2018, pp. 175–199) can effectively handle the sharp transition layer between the runaway and non-runaway regions.

Yang, Minglei↗

A general framework for quantifying uncertainty at scale

Abstract In many fields of science, comprehensive and realistic computational models are available nowadays. Often, the respective numerical calculations call for the use of powerful supercomputers, and therefore only a limited number of cases can be investigated explicitly. This prevents straightforward approaches to important tasks like uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. This challenge can be overcome via our recently developed sensitivity-driven dimension-adaptive sparse grid interpolation strategy. The method exploits, via adaptivity, the structure of the underlying model (such as lower intrinsic dimensionality and anisotropic coupling of the uncertain inputs) to enable efficient and accurate uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis at scale. Here, we demonstrate the efficiency of this adaptive approach in the context of fusion research, in a realistic, computationally expensive scenario of turbulent transport in a magnetic confinement tokamak device with eight uncertain parameters, reducing the effort by at least two orders of magnitude. In addition, we show that this refinement method intrinsically provides an accurate surrogate model that is nine orders of magnitude cheaper than the high-fidelity model.

Farcaş, Ionuţ-Gabriel (ORCID:0000000238841580)↗

A Model-Reference Adaptive Direct-Power Control Scheme for Grid-Interactive Inverters

This paper develops an adaptive direct power control scheme for grid-interactive inverters while the control parameters are adaptively adjusted as the grid and filter parameters vary under different conditions. To demonstrate the efficacy and robustness of the adaptive operation, the performance of the adaptive controller is compared with a typical direct power controller by estimating the filter and grid impedances using a model reference parameter estimation technique with small signal injection. The simulation results verify that the developed methodology can track the reference power setpoints under output circuit parameter uncertainties while the typical design leads to instability. To improve the performance of the adaptive technique and eliminate the need for filter parameter estimation, a Lyapunov stability criterion-based model-reference adaptive direct power controller is designed to track the filter impedance. The developed method was tested using MATLAB/Simulink software to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results verify that adaptively tuning the control parameter can still maintain stable operation if the control gains are poorly selected while applying the classical method leads to abnormal operation or instability.

Gursoy, Mehmetcan↗

Myriad World Baseline: Global Geodemographic Estimates

The LandScan Myriad World Baseline (MWB) method produces global, residential (nighttime/home-location) gridded geodemographic estimates based on 5-year age/gender cohorts—at 30-arcsecond (≈1 km) resolution. MWB is designed to fill gaps where detailed, georeferenced survey data (e.g., Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS)) are missing or outdated, and to provide a baseline that can support human security analysis, including consequence assessment, “patterns of life” modeling, and scenario-based population futures. MWB’s workflow spatializes household-level age/gender characteristics from the GLOPOP-S dataset by conflating household and gridded expected relative wealth adapted from Global Gridded Relative Deprivation Index (GRDI), then adjusts them to a target year of interest. Age/gender estimates are then applied to harmonize lowest-administrative-level statistics with LandScan residential counts, yielding final geodemographic estimates. Two validation case studies are presented: Ghana (2021) and Tokyo/Kanagawa, Japan (2020), illustrating spatial variability in demographic cohorts and comparing MWB outputs to official gridded statistics. Results show close overall alignment relative to validation criteria including population pyramids and age-dependency ratios.

Tuccillo, Joe [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000259300943)↗

Foundations of Off-Grid Solar in Haiti: 11. Climate Adaptation and Resilience

This training lends insight into key information and concepts for off-grid solar in Haiti, building foundational knowledge and an ability to catalyze interest in off-grid solar for rural electrification in Haiti. This self-paced course is offered in both English and French and covers a variety of topics related to energy access in Haiti including off-grid solar products, market potential in Haiti, supply and demand side considerations, system design, installation and maintenance, off-grid solar business models, financial modeling, gender and energy access, productive use of energy, and climate adaptation. The training is intended for university students, government partners, NGOs, funders, development partners, professionals, and more. No prior knowledge of off-grid solar or Haiti is required to benefit from this training. See NREL/PR-7A40-89265 for the French translation of this document.

adaptation↗

A Framework for Identifying Building Energy Models of Localized Utility Service Areas Using Smart Meter Data

Bottom-up load modeling of buildings offers a versatile approach to simulating baseline demand and scenarios of future technology evolution and adoption at the individual building level. This capability is essential to understanding how future load shapes may change with the adoption of electric equipment and vehicles, particularly as it relates to grid planning and infrastructure investments. Traditionally, grid planning techniques have used historical load data to predict future load and infrastructure needs. However, with the anticipated rise in adoption of electrification technologies such as heat pumps and electric vehicles, historical data become less reliable predictors of the future. By employing ResStock, a high-fidelity building stock modeling tool, we can fine-tune electrification scenarios and aggregate models to represent varying geographic resolutions of the grid system, while considering the underlying features of homes. This may enable a more accurate and responsive approach to anticipate and plan for the evolving landscape of energy demands. We present a new framework that leverages building stock energy modeling to identify building models that align with the load shapes and housing attributes of buildings with AMI data. This approach applies two model layers: (1) a classification step that identifies the presence of air conditioning, electric heating, and electric water heating, and (2) an optimization routine that identifies building energy models aligning with load profile data from advanced metering infrastructure meters. This report demonstrates one approach to deploying this framework, and presents results for three test cases that use both modeled and AMI data to assess performance. For a test case using AMI data in Fort Collins, Colorado, we observed a median monthly electricity load CV-RMSE of 16.6%, and a top ten daily heating and cooling median absolute percent error of 7.7% and 8.3%, respectively. For each AMI meter, we identify a set of potential energy models so that downstream use-cases can account for uncertainty driven by variability of baseline technologies and occupant behavior, which impact the response to electrification and energy efficiency scenarios. Our results indicate that ResStock has potential as a scalable solution for modeling residential energy demand at local grid resolutions. Its performance depends on location-specific factors, underlying building characteristics, and the level of aggregation, offering a path towards more precise and adaptive distribution grid planning for the evolving energy landscape.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

PruningAMR

PruningAMR is an algorithm that reads in data stored as a neural network and outputs an adaptive mesh with values of the neural network stored at its vertices. Examples of input data include implicit neural representations (INRs) and physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). The output mesh is a grid-based adaptive mesh with larger elements for regions in which the neural network has coarse-scale variation and smaller elements for regions with fine scale variation. The goal of the software is to discretize the neural network to a mesh that faithfully captures the details encoded in the data without resorting a fine scale mesh.

Zvonek, JenniferE [Lawrence Livermore National Lab↗

Reimagining Energy Efficiency Resource Standards

Energy Efficiency Resource Standards (EERS) are a long-standing policy used to advance state goals and priorities, such as reliability, affordability and decarbonization. They ensure cost-effective energy efficiency is used to lower energy consumption, reduce peak demand, and enable grid flexibility. Adapting EERS through strategic design, and integrating EERS into broader energy plans and policies, can help states optimize their approach to meet modern and evolving power system needs and achieve sustainable energy outcomes. This report examines how states consider energy efficiency in the context of four policy priorities: providing grid benefits, addressing load growth, reducing emissions, and promoting affordability. It provides examples of states that are pursuing these priorities, reviews the role of energy efficiency in them and identifies opportunities to further promote energy efficiency alongside the priorities. Decisionmakers and stakeholders can draw directly from these examples and findings to design an EERS that maximizes co-benefits, captures synergies, and promotes consideration of the all the possible solutions to advance their goals.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Interconnection of Distributed Energy Resources in the Indian Context: IEEE 1547-2018 Adaptation for Locally-Appropriate Grid Code Development

The rapid growth of distributed energy resources (DERs) in India and ambitious renewable energy goals set forth by the Indian government have created the need for appropriate distribution interconnection standards to ensure continued system stability, reliability, and resilience. Existing DER interconnection codes in India, at the time of publishing this report, lack many of the critical grid support functionalities for DERs which may protect bulk system stability, such as event ride-through provisions, frequency droop control, or appropriate trip thresholds given the increasing importance of distributed generation. The formal adoption of IEEE 1547-2018 by the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) marks a significant step towards achieving appropriate interconnection of DERs, though the implementation of such a standard must be accompanied with careful consideration of the current codes, regulations, and operation of the Indian power system. Studies on the performance of the functionalities within 1547-2018, which properly incorporate local operating conditions, can inform decisions related to the adoption and adaptation of the clauses present in the standard. This report outlines several of these key considerations for stakeholders and provides analyses illustrating the performance of grid support functionalities on typical Indian distribution feeders.

1547↗

Adaptive Control of Distributed Energy Resources for Distribution Grid Voltage Stability

Volt-VAR and Volt-Watt functionality in photovoltaic (PV) smart inverters provide mechanisms to ensure system voltage magnitudes and power factors remain within acceptable limits. However, these control functions can become unstable, introducing oscillations in system voltages when not appropriately configured or maliciously altered during a cyberattack. In the event that Volt-VAR and Volt-Watt control functions in a portion of PV smart inverters in a distribution grid are unstable, the proposed adaptation scheme utilizes the remaining and stably-behaving PV smart inverters and other Distributed Energy Resources to mitigate the effect of the instability. The adaptation mechanism is entirely decentralized, model-free, communication-free, and requires virtually no external configuration. Here we provide a derivation of the adaptive control approach and validate the algorithm in experiments on the IEEE 37 and 8500 node test feeders.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗