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The Importance of Modeling Carbon Dioxide Transportation and Geologic Storage in Energy System Planning Tools

Energy system planning tools suggest that the cost and feasibility of climate-stabilizing energy transitions are sensitive to the cost of CO 2 capture and storage processes (CCS), but the representation of CO 2 transportation and geologic storage in these tools is often simple or non-existent. We develop the capability of producing dynamic-reservoir-simulation-based geologic CO 2 storage supply curves with the Sequestration of CO 2 Tool (SCO 2 T) and use it with the ReEDS electric sector planning model to investigate the effects of CO 2 transportation and geologic storage representation on energy system planning tool results. We use a locational case study of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) region. Our results suggest that the cost of geologic CO 2 storage may be as low as $3/tCO 2 and that site-level assumptions may affect this cost by several dollars per tonne. At the grid level, the cost of geologic CO 2 storage has generally smaller effects compared to other assumptions (e.g., natural gas price), but small variations in this cost can change results (e.g., capacity deployment decisions) when policy renders CCS marginally competitive. The cost of CO 2 transportation generally affects the location of geologic CO 2 storage investment more than the quantity of CO 2 captured or the location of electricity generation investment. We conclude with a few recommendations for future energy system researchers when modeling CCS. For example, assuming a cost for geologic CO 2 storage (e.g., $5/tCO 2 ) may be less consequential compared to assuming free storage by excluding it from the model.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Mitchell FEED Study Summary Report (Unlimited Rights Version) (Rev. D)

Heidelberg Materials (HM), Sargent & Lundy (S&L), and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) completed a Front End Engineering Design (FEED) study for deployment of an amine-based CO 2 capture system at the Mitchell Cement Plant in Indiana. The project includes compression of captured CO 2 to a supercritical state for geological sequestration. The flue gases from 7,000 mtpd clinker plant combined with auxiliary boiler flue gases into the capture system. Auxiliary boiler supplies steam for solvent regeneration. The study developed an AACE Class 3 capital cost estimate (+30%/-20%) at approximately 30% design completion to evaluate the technical and economic feasibility of capturing up to 2 million tonnes of CO 2 per year.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Nationwide cost and capacity estimates for sedimentary basin geothermal power and implications for geologic CO 2 storage

Sedimentary basins are naturally porous and permeable subsurface formations that underlie approximately half of the United States. In addition to being targets for geologic CO 2 storage, these resources could supply geothermal power: sedimentary basin geothermal heat can be extracted with water or CO 2 and used to generate electricity. The geothermal power potential of these basins and the accompanying implication for geologic CO 2 storage are, however, understudied. Here, we use the Sequestration of CO 2 Tool (SCO2T PRO ) and the generalizable GEOthermal techno-economic simulator (genGEO) to address this gap by a) estimating the cost and capacity of sedimentary basin geothermal power plants across the United States and b) comparing those results to nationwide CO 2 sequestration cost and storage potential estimates. We find that across the United States, using CO 2 as a geothermal heat extraction fluid reduces the cost of sedimentary basin power compared to using water, and some of the lowest cost capacity occurs in locations not typically considered for their geothermal resources (e.g., Louisiana, South Dakota). Additionally, using CO 2 effectively doubles the sedimentary basin geothermal resource base, equating to hundreds of gigawatts of new capacity, by enabling electricity generation in geologies that are otherwise (with water) too impermeable, too thin, too cold, or not deep enough. We find there is competition for the best sedimentary basin resources between water- and CO 2 -based power, but no overlap between the lowest-cost resources for CO 2 storage and CO 2 -based power. In this way, our results suggest that deploying CO 2 -based power may increase the cost of water based systems (by using the best resources) and the cost of CO 2 storage (by storing CO 2 in locations that otherwise may not be targeted). As such, our findings demonstrate that determining the best role for sedimentary basins within the energy transition may require balancing tradeoffs between competing priorities.

CPG↗

De-risking fault leakage risk and containment integrity for subsurface storage applications

The subsurface is pivotal in the energy transition, for the sequestration of CO 2 and energy storage. It is crucial to understand to what extent geological faults may form leakage pathways that threaten the containment integrity of these projects. Fault flow behavior has been studied in the context of hydrocarbon development, supported by observations from wells drilled through faults, but such observations are rare in geoenergy projects. Focusing on mechanical behavior as early indicator of potential leakage risks, a probabilistic Coulomb Failure Stress workflow is developed and demonstrated using data from the Decatur CO 2 sequestration project to rank faults based on their containment risk. The analysis emphasizes the importance of fault throw relative to reservoir thickness and pore pressure change in assessing reactivation risks. Integrating this mechanical assessment with geological and dynamic fault analyses contributes to derisking fault containment for geoenergy applications, providing valuable insights for the successful development of subsurface storage projects.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Assessing reservoir performance for geologic carbon sequestration in offshore saline reservoirs

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a technological strategy to reduce CO 2 emissions from hydrocarbon-based energy production and non-energy industrial emitters, like fertilizer and cement production. To expand the geographic opportunities for CCS, offshore geologic settings are increasingly considered for saline CO 2 storage, particularly where legacy oil and gas infrastructure may be repurposed for CO 2 transport and injection. In this context, the Gulf of Mexico (GoM), United States (U.S.), may offer tremendous opportunity for CCS because the surrounding states are among the largest CO 2 producers in the U.S. and there has been extensive oil and gas development over the last half century. Nevertheless, there remains significant uncertainty in how GoM reservoir/seal systems will respond to industrial-scale CO 2 injections, particularly in the context of meso-scale (1–10s of meters) permeability variations that are difficult to identify prior to injection. Such permeability variations can have significant impacts on CO 2 migration and fluid pressure propagation, both of which govern the overall effectiveness of the CCS project. This research uses ensemble simulation methods to quantify the influence of spatially variable and a priori unknown permeability fields on CO 2 plume development and fluid pressure propagation when CO 2 is injected at 1 MMt per year for ten years. Results show a number of characteristic patterns that reveal the substantial influence of both near- and far-field permeability on reservoir performance. By focusing on basin characteristics that are common among offshore basins worldwide, results from this study suggest that offshore CCS may be a feasible carbon management strategy in regions where offshore basins are proximal to industrial CO 2 sources.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Nanoconfinement matters in humidified CO 2 interaction with metal silicates

With enigmatic observations of enhanced reactivity of wet CO 2 -rich fluids with metal silicates, the mechanistic understanding of molecular processes governing carbonation proves critical in designing secure geological carbon sequestration and economical carbonated concrete technologies. Here, we use the first principle and classical molecular simulations to probe the impact of nanoconfinement on physicochemical processes at the rock–water–CO 2 interface. We choose nanoporous calcium–silicate–hydrate (C–S–H) and forsterite (Mg 2 SiO 4 ) as model metal silicate surfaces that are of significance in cement chemistry and geochemistry communities, respectively. We show that while a nanometer-thick interfacial water film persists at unsaturated conditions consistent with in situ infrared spectroscopy, the phase behavior of the water–CO 2 mixture changes from its bulk counterpart depending on the surface chemistry and nanoconfinement. We also observe enhanced solubility at the interface of water and CO 2 phases, which could amplify the CO 2 speciation rate. Additionally, through free energy calculations, we show that CO 2 could be found in a metastable state near the C–S–H surface, which can potentially react with surface water and hydroxyl groups to form carbonic acid and bicarbonate. These findings support the explicit consideration of nanoconfinement effects in reactive and non-reactive pore-scale processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Exotic Carbonate Mineralization Recovered from a Deep Basalt Carbon Storage Demonstration

Mitigating climate change require transformational advances for carbon dioxide removal, including geologic carbon sequestration in reactive subsurface environments. The Wallula Basalt Carbon Storage Pilot Project demonstrated that CO 2 injected into >800 m deep Columbia River Basalt Group flow top reservoirs mineralizes on month-year timescales. Herein, we present new optical petrography, micro-computed X-ray tomography, and electron microscopy results sidewall cores collected two years after CO 2 injection. As no other anthropogenic carbonates from geologic carbon storage field studies have been recovered, this world-unique sample suite provides unparalleled insight for subsurface carbon mineralization products and paragenesis. Chemically-zoned nodules with Ca/Mn-rich cores and Fe-dominant outer rims are prominent examples of the neoformed carbonate assemblages with ankerite-siderite compositions and exotic divalent cation correlations. Further, paragenetic insights for the timing of aragonite, silica, and fibrous zeolites are clarified based on mineral texture and spatial relationships, along with time-resolved downhole fluid sampling. Collectively, these results clarify the mineralogy, chemistry, and paragenesis of carbon mineralization, providing insight into the ultimate fate and transport of CO 2 in reactive mafic-ultramafic reservoirs

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Non-Invasive Approach for Elucidating the Spatial Distribution of In-Situ Stress in Deep Subsurface Geologic Formations Considered for CO 2 Storage (Final Report)

The primary objectives of this project were to: develop a new, non-invasive method to define the orientation and magnitude of in-situ stresses in deep geologic formations (depths that exceed 1500 meters) considered for carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) sequestration; to demonstrate the method at a real field site; and, to extend current technical capabilities and reduce costs of acquiring information about deep-stress fields. This investigation was segmented into five tasks, including Project Management (Task 1) and four technical tasks (Tasks 2 through 5). The results of the technical tasks are described in this document.

02 PETROLEUM↗

A Review of Coupled Geochemical–Geomechanical Impacts in Subsurface CO 2 , H 2 , and Air Storage Systems

Increased demand for decarbonization and renewable energy has led to increasing interest in engineered subsurface storage systems for large-scale carbon reduction and energy storage. In these applications, a working fluid (CO 2 , H 2 , air, etc.) is injected into a deep formation for permanent sequestration or seasonal energy storage. The heterogeneous nature of the porous formation and the fluid–rock interactions introduce complexity and uncertainty in the fate of the injected component and host formations in these applications. Interactions between the working gas, native brine, and formation mineralogy must be adequately assessed to evaluate the efficiency, risk, and viability of a particular storage site and operational regime. This study reviews the current state of knowledge about coupled geochemical–geomechanical impacts in geologic carbon sequestration (GCS), underground hydrogen storage (UHS), and compressed air energy storage (CAES) systems involving the injection of CO 2 , H 2 , and air. Specific review topics include (1) existing injection induced geochemical reactions in these systems; (2) the impact of these reactions on the porosity and permeability of host formation; (3) the impact of these reactions on the mechanical properties of host formation; and (4) the investigation of geochemical-geomechanical process in pilot scale GCS. This study helps to facilitate an understanding of the potential geochemical–geomechanical risks involved in different subsurface energy storage systems and highlights future research needs.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Nanoscale Mg-Depleted Layers Slow Carbonation of Forsterite (Mg 2 SiO 4 ) When Water Is Limited

Passivation of silicate surfaces by accumulated reaction products is an obstacle to efficient CO 2 mineralization. In this study, we investigate a unique passivation effect during the carbonation of the basalt mineral forsterite (Mg 2 SiO 4 ) in humid supercritical CO 2 (50 °C, 90 bar). Using in situ high-pressure infrared spectroscopy, we demonstrate that dissolution of forsterite into a thin water film slows significantly after reaction for ˜24 h, even under far-from-equilibrium conditions. Further, 29 Si magic angle spinning nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy detects a highly polymerized amorphous silica at this stage. On the basis of transmission electron microscopy and energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, we show that the silica is present as a Mg-depleted layer that is just 2–3 nm thick on the reacted forsterite particles. The decrease in the level of forsterite dissolution in the presence of an extraordinarily thin Mg-depleted layer can be strongly linked to properties of the thin fluid film at the surface, highlighting the importance of water during mineral carbonation. This study furthers our understanding of silicate mineral carbonation under select low-water, humidified fluid conditions relevant to basaltic geologic reservoirs, recovery of critical elements by carbonation of mafic ores, and sequestration of atmospheric CO 2 by enhanced rock weathering.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

GCS site selection in saline Miocene formations in South Louisiana

One of the key requirements of a commercial scale geologic carbon sequestration (GCS) site selection process is identifying injection sites to safely inject and retain injected CO 2 over extended time scales. This requires thorough evaluation of site-specific surface and subsurface features. A site screening and selection framework was developed and used to identify potential sites in South Louisiana, incorporating surface data including site proximity to large CO 2 stationary sources, vicinity of large population centres and state lands, land usage, legacy oil and gas wells, and local/regional geologic trends. Regionally the Miocene sediments thicken and dip towards the south, reflecting a prograding deltaic environment during the Miocene which resulted in the deposition of thick packages of fine-grained sandstones suitable for CO 2 storage. The results of three example selected sites that are spatially separated with varying subsurface and surface features are presented in this study. The multiple stacked sand zones at these sites provide ample amount of pore volume for CO 2 storage with varying degree of stratigraphic/structural traps for long terms storage containment. Here, the screening framework presented in this study and the detailed evaluation of three specific sites in South Louisiana provides a process to screen and characterize sites for GCS projects and the suitability of these Miocene sediments for commercial scale CO 2 storage projects. It is envisioned that the analysis described in this paper will be beneficial for a large number of audiences involved in GCS work and aid in the site selection process.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Facile Metal Release from Pore-Lining Phases Enables Unique Carbonate Zonation in a Basalt Carbon Mineralization Demonstration

Carbon-negative strategies such as geologic carbon sequestration in continental flood basalts offers a promising route to the removal of greenhouse gases, such as CO 2 , via safe and permanent storage as stable carbonates. This potential has been successfully demonstrated at a field scale at the Wallula Basalt Carbon Storage Pilot Project where supercritical CO 2 was injected into the Columbia River Basalt Group (CRBG). Here, we analyze recovered post-injection sidewall core cross-sections containing carbonate nodules using μ-XRF chemical mapping techniques that revealed compositional zonation within the nodules. The unique nature of the subsurface anthropogenic carbonates is highlighted by the near absence of Mg in an ankerite-like composition. Furthermore, a comparison between pre- and post-injection sidewall cores along with an in-depth chemical mapping of basalt pore lining cements provides a better understanding into the source and fate of critical cationic species involved in the precipitation of carbon mineralization products. Collectively, these results provide crucial insights into carbonate growth mechanisms under a time-dependent pore fluid composition. Finally, as such, these findings will enable parameterization of predictive models for future CO 2 sequestration efforts in reactive reservoirs around the world.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Geospatial Cost Comparison of CO2 Plume Geothermal (CPG) Power and Geologic CO2 Storage

CO 2 Plume Geothermal (CPG) power plants can use gigatonne-levels of CO 2 sequestration to generate electricity, but it is unknown if the resources that support low-cost CPG power align with the resources that support low-cost CO 2 sequestration. Here, we estimate and compare the geospatially-distributed cost of CPG and CO 2 storage across a portion of North America. We find that the locations with lowest-cost CO 2 storage are different than the locations with lowest-cost CPG. There are also locations with low-cost CO 2 storage (<$5/tCO 2 ) that do not support CPG power generation due to insufficient reservoir transmissivity or temperature. Thus, CPG development may require electricity prices that are greater than the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) to offset the increased cost of sequestration. We introduce the “Additional Cost of Electricity (ACOE)” metric to account for this cost and add it to the LCOE to calculate breakeven electricity prices that are required for CPG development. We find that breakeven prices are lower when new CO 2 injection wells are drilled specifically for CPG (i.e., “greenfield” CPG development) compared to if only existing CO 2 sequestration injection wells are used (i.e., “brownfield” CPG development). This is because comparatively few wells are needed for sequestration-only, and the increased power capacity from having more CPG wells outweighs the increased costs from more drilling. We also find that sequestered CO 2 could be used to approximately triple the United States geothermal electricity power capacity via a single CPG “sweet spot” in South Dakota, but that breakeven electricity price for this development is on the order of $200/MW e h.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Self-Sealing Mafic Sills for Carbon and Hydrogen Storage

Tabular igneous intrusions (sills) are common features in sedimentary basins and have the potential to be useful seals for fluids (e.g., CO 2 or H 2 ) in geological storage scenarios, and may be important as the need for geologic carbon sequestration and alternative fuel storage increases. This is advantageous in regions without ready access to large-volume reservoirs in depleted hydrocarbon plays and saline aquifers, like the northeastern United States. Moreover, geological H 2 storage requires more demanding conditions than typically associated with oil and gas. An enhanced seal will have the properties of a traditional seal - competent, low permeability, and laterally extensive - with the addition of being able to self-seal pre-existing and induced fractures. Self-sealing will occur along fluid pathways like fractures where CO 2 , water, and minerals like plagioclase, olivine, and pyroxene react together. Dolerite sills from the Gettysburg Basin, Pennsylvania, have remarkably low permeability and homogeneous compositions that include minerals that will readily react with CO 2 dissolved in water. Here, we characterize the physical properties and chemical gradients within several mafic sills cored in five boreholes. In addition, preliminary CO 2 -reaction experiments on dolerite samples demonstrated rapid carbonate mineralization.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Multiscale Dynamics of Reactive Fronts in the Subsurface

Understanding and predicting flow and reactive transport in rocks (i.e. geologic porous media) is critical to many technologies at the heart of the energy transition, including CO 2 sequestration and H2 storage. However, accurate modeling and prediction of these systems is very complex because physico-chemical processes that occur at very small spatial scales, i.e. in the pores of the rocks, can dramatically control the system performance at the field scale (km). For example, precipitation reactions at the pore-scale can lead to large permeability changes at the field scale and dramatically alter the migration of stored gases. Properly accounting for multi-scale coupling effects is critical to achieve predictivity and confidence in model outputs, which then can guide design and optimization at the system-scale. This can be achieved through the development of rigorous mathematical models that can appropriately account for fine-scale effects at the large scale. The final report of the Early Career award DE-SC0019075 “Multiscale dynamics of reactive fronts in the subsurface” summarizes the mathematical, numerical and experimental advancements to study and predict reactive transport in geologic porous media across scales.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

On Caprock Seal Integrity of Tuscaloosa Mudstone at Cranfield, MS (USA), CO 2 Injection Site

Saline formations deep underground are among the most promising targets for large-scale geologic carbon storage. The caprock seal integrity evaluation is an important component of commercial-scale CO 2 sequestration projects. Measurements of the porosity and permeability of mudstone samples from the NETL-supported Cranfield Project were performed using a helium porosimeter and a core flow apparatus, before and after exposure in a CO 2 -saturated brine environment. The permeability of the core samples rapidly decreased with the increase in confining pressure and did not fully recover after decompression. On the other hand, exposure to CO 2 led to an increase in the permeability by at least an order of magnitude. The porosity changes after the exposure were not substantial. The post-exposure increase in permeability was subsequently offset by its rapid decrease during the higher-pressure confinement. Extrapolation of the observed permeability trends to in situ reservoir conditions suggests that Tuscaloosa mudstone can effectively serve as a natural seal.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Enabling site-specific well leakage risk estimation during geologic carbon sequestration using a modular deep-learning-based wellbore leakage model

Geologic carbon sequestration (GCS) is a promising technology for mitigating net carbon emissions and growing climate concern by storing CO 2 in reservoirs. Oil and gas brownfields are an attractive option for CO 2 storage, but these sites have many historical wellbores from petroleum production and can be a potential leakage pathway for CO 2 or formation brine. Therefore, risk management of GCS operations requires an assessment of potential well leakage. Due to the high uncertainty of the system, stochastic approaches are ideal for quantifying the range of risk behaviors, but they must be computationally efficient in the face of complex physics. Here, we develop a new physics-centric deep learning wellbore model to predict the leakage of CO 2 and brine through leaky wellbores. Multi-physics numerical simulations were used to generate data sets, and physics-informed features were introduced. Neural networks were optimized with an automated searching algorithm. Feature analysis quantifies the impact of each feature on model prediction and confirms the role of physics-inspired parameters. The model shows high predictive performance across a wide range of geologic and injection conditions and well attributes. In conclusion, a case study illustrates how the model is applied to assess well leakage in GCS operations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Pore-scale simulation of multiphase flow and reactive transport processes involved in geologic carbon sequestration

Multiphase flow and reactive transport are two essential physicochemical processes that govern the effectiveness of geological carbon sequestration (GCS). The interaction and feedback among different phases and components during intricate physicochemical processes hold great significance in understanding CO 2 sequestration. Pore-scale simulations can account for multiphase flow and reactive transport processes in porous media and obtain spatial distributions of parameters (density, velocity, concentration, etc.) in the pore space as well as their temporal evolutions. This proves especially valuable considering that experiments can be hindered by constraints in spatial and temporal resolution. The comprehensive insights garnered from pore-scale research can be leveraged for continuum modeling using the representative elementary volume (REV) concept. In this contribution, four sequential mechanisms of CO 2 -brine-rock interaction in three zones delineated by CO 2 saturation are elaborated to elucidate complicated physicochemical processes involved in GCS, which are followed by general descriptions of mathematical equations and pore-scale numerical methods. In addition, as interested and commonly encountered processes, leakage risks during GCS and CO 2 -enhanced oil recovery (CO 2 -EOR) processes are presented. The existing challenges and future directions are discussed for both the performance of the pore-scale models and the current gaps in the field of GCS. Importantly, we expect that this review will prove beneficial for researchers interested in pore-scale simulations, GCS, and related disciplines.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗