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Resolving Mixtures of Soot Characterized by SP-AMS Spectra Using a Latent Dirichlet Allocation Model

Soot produced by detonation or combustion events exhibits different chemical properties depending on the fuel, device construction, and environmental conditions in which the event occurs. These properties can be useful for defining relevant signatures for probabilistically identifying the different types of events that occurred, based on the soot that is produced from these events. However, it is rare to observe samples of soot from a detonation or combustion that are not contaminated by outside particles. In this paper, we present a method for resolving mixtures of soot to determine the contributions of sources that may be present in samples of recovered soot. We use Latent Dirichlet Allocation to describe the generative process for a sample of recovered soot, and use Variational Bayesian Inference to learn about the parameters associated with the generative model. We demonstrate the utility of this method by considering real samples of mixtures of soot under various frameworks to show that the model is able to identify the different components present in a sample of soot as well as their mixing proportions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Radioisotope dating of nuclear materials using cryogenic decay energy spectrometry

Cryogenic decay energy spectrometry provides high energy resolution and enables absolute decay counting, offering an alternative measurement technique for radiochronometry. A cryogenic decay energy spectrometry experiment was conducted using a magnetic microcalorimeter to determine the age of a plutonium sample. The energy resolution was measured at 0.05% from 5 to 6 MeV. The time since sample purification was determined using the measured concentration ratio of the 241 Am/ 241 Pu radiochronometer. Sample age estimates based on 241 Pu alpha-decay and beta-decay counts, along with 241 Am decay counts, align with the expected sample age within expanded uncertainty (k = 2), supporting the accuracy of cryogenic decay energy spectrometry as a radiochronometric method.

and nuclear chemistry

Angular Correlations of Gamma Rays from Fission Product Solution

Fission products from photon-induced fission are routinely used at Idaho National Laboratory as part of nuclear forensics activities. Typically, the focus is on fission products with relatively large fission yields (Ba-140, Mo-99, etc.). The nuclear data associated with the well-known isotopes have small uncertainties, and many have well-known angular correlations between emitted gamma-rays, if applicable. However, for isotopes with smaller fission yields or less intense gamma-ray emission intensities, the nuclear decay schemes and gamma-ray emission intensities may be less well-known. The Germanium Rotational Measurements for Angular Correlation (GeRMAC) system was designed to use two high-purity germanium (HPGe) detectors in a coincidence counting set-up but allows one of the HPGe detectors to rotate at a constant distance from a radioactive source, changing the relative angle between the two HPGe detectors. Angular correlations can then be determined from the relative photopeak areas between two gamma-rays emitted as part of the same nuclear decay. By recording the HPGe spectra in list mode, the angular correlations of gamma-rays emitted from complex sources, consisting of multiple isotopes, can be measured simultaneously and the individual isotope emissions can be isolated. Using the GeRMAC system, a multi-isotope fission product source, produced with photon-induced fission of U-238, was measured using a single rotational arc (180 degrees) to obtain the angular correlation between gamma-rays emitted by the large number of fission products contained in the solution with an angular accuracy of 1 degree. In particular, La-140 (38 gamma rays) and Nd-147 (26 gamma rays) are of interest to the nuclear forensics community.

46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN

Tabletop soft x-ray absorption spectroscopy for molecular fingerprinting

For applications related to nuclear security, safeguards, and nonproliferation, it is often critical to know the molecular compositions of lanthanide- and actinide-containing samples. Spectroscopy is a widely used tool that looks at the interaction between light and matter: Different species absorb or emit light at unique wavelengths which act as signatures. However, there is a limited number of tools that can achieve high-sensitivity, accurate measurements of lanthanide and actinide molecular compositions. Candidate methods include mass spectrometry, which usually destroys at least part of the sample and requires complicated stoichiometry to guess the original sample’s molecular compositions; optical spectroscopies, which have great atomic but limited molecular sensitivities or other drawbacks which make sensing molecules difficult like limited light sources or strong absorption in the atmosphere; and nuclear spectroscopies (gamma, neutron) which also have limited sources and long (>minute) collection times. As such, the purpose of our research is to develop a new tool to better distinguish between subtle differences in molecules containing lanthanides and actinides. Soft x-ray spectroscopy is sensitive to molecular form and is minimally intrusive/nondestructive to the sample. However, soft x-ray light with sufficient brightness for spectroscopy is typically limited to user-facilities like synchrotrons or free electron lasers, where beamtimes are competitive, and work with radiological materials may be difficult or entirely prohibited. To overcome this issue, our Team has developed a custom tabletop laser-driven, soft x-ray light source which employs high harmonic generation (HHG). Soft x-ray spectroscopy can distinguish between subtly different molecules, in the spectral range which we need to study these heavy elements. A tabletop system provides an effective and affordable tool to find both the elemental and chemical specificity of lanthanide and samples. Creating a light source in the soft x-ray spectrum is difficult because these wavelengths in the range 5-20 nm (20-350 eV photon energies) only penetrate several 100s of nm in most solid materials and only reflect well in shallow, grazing incident angles. The results are applicable to nuclear forensics, because molecular fingerprinting of lanthanide and actinide samples can be used to back out the origin and processing method of nuclear materials (Skrodzki, et al.).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Weather radar utility in hazard detection and response

Publicly accessible weather radar data have significant capabilities for meteorological measurements and predictions and, further, have the potential to measure nonmeteorological events that include smoke, ash, and debris plumes as well as explosions. The ability to identify and track nonmeteorological events can be of assistance in emergency response, hazard mitigation, and related activities in locations where radar coverage both exists and is recorded and accessible to the user. Here, in this study, events from multiple locations in the United States that are reported in news outlets are assessed using a manual inspection process of Level 2 weather radar data to identify anthropogenic and nonbiological returns. Explosive events are also identified, and a large high-altitude debris cloud from the intentional destruction of the SpaceX Starship is tracked across a wide area. Finally, future efforts using a machine learning model are discussed as a means of automating the process and potentially enabling near-real-time nonmeteorological event identification in the same areas where the data are accessible. Using weather radar data can be a valuable new tool for Department of Defense systems to aid in military awareness, and for interagency emergency response and forensic mission experts to consider national weather service data in their mission profiles. Radar data can be effective in detecting several common types of emergencies and inform and aid response personnel.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Tandem pyrolysis evolved gas–gas chromatography–mass spectrometry

Analysis of byproducts from thermal degradation of polymer materials provides a wealth of information about a materials’ composition, thermal stability, degradation mechanisms, and kinetics. However, regardless of the instrumentation used, only limited information is obtainable from a single experiment. Microfurnace technology, when interfaced to a gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS), can be used to obtain both thermal and chemical information via evolved gas analysis-MS (EGA-MS) and GC-MS analysis modes. While both EGA-MS and Py-GC-MS are valuable when characterizing polymer materials, at least two experiments on distinct samples are required, which can be a liability for clear interpretation of results from inhomogeneous samples. Here, we seek to overcome this limitation by combining EGA-MS and Py-GC-MS modes in a single experimental setup. Further, this was done by developing new gas line modifications to allow for tandem Pyrolysis Evolved Gas-Gas Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry (Py/EG-GC-MS) analysis. Verification of Py/EG-GC-MS analysis was performed using a polystyrene standard. Results demonstrate successful Py/EG-GC-MS analysis for the first-time showing the potential of these modifications for application in areas where sample is limited or direct correlation of products to the thermal profile is desirable such as in forensics or product-specific kinetics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Advances in geophysical forensic event monitoring

Forensic analysis of man-made, non-nuclear events (such as industrial accidents, explosion experiments and mine collapses) has become more frequent and detailed owing to advancements in geophysical monitoring. Here, in this Technical Review, we demonstrate how geophysical forensic monitoring using seismic, infrasound and hydroacoustic recordings provides insights on events in the solid earth, atmosphere and underwater. Advanced techniques, including machine-learning-based models, have been developed to detect, identify and investigate these events, providing information on location, subevents, sources and explosive yield. The increase in data availability, application of advanced methods and computation and the growth of multitechnology approaches have increased the accuracy of forensic event analysis and enabled more realistic characterization of uncertainties. For example, the 2020 Beirut explosion in Lebanon demonstrated that various seismic, acoustic and other methods could be used to estimate explosive yield (and yield uncertainties) of about 1 ktonne, providing confidence in the application of these methods to smaller events where data are available. However, forensic investigations remain largely limited to known events with identified sources. Increased access to data, sophisticated analysis methods and high-resolution earth models will improve forensic event analysis further, enabling civil and scientific applications, such as localization in the search for the lost ARA San Juan submarine.

geophysics

Klaus Mayer's Legacy and Leadership of Nuclear Forensics and the International Technical Working Group

The Nuclear Forensics International Technical Working Group (ITWG), in an evidentiary sense, has Dr. Klaus Mayer’s fingerprints all over it. His contributions to the working group and the broader international nuclear forensics community have been profound. As Klaus retires from the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre in Karlsruhe, Germany (JRC-Karlsruhe), it is only fitting to reflect on his dedication and lasting impact on nuclear forensics—guiding its evolution from its early days to its establishment as a vital tool for competent authorities in preventing and responding to the serious threat of nuclear and other radioactive materials out of regulatory control.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P

Single-particle chemical analysis reveals organic-rich detonation soot products

The detonation of high explosives produces a wide variety of particulate matter (PM) with distinct properties, not all of which are traditionally studied for chemical composition, formation processes, and forensic applications. We report particle-resolved measurements of Composition B detonation soot using soot particle aerosol mass spectrometry (SP-AMS), identifying carbonaceous species and metals not previously characterized on a single-particle basis. Results are combined with scanning electron microscopy with energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (SEM-EDS) to enhance source-dependent signatures. Black carbon, including graphitic carbon and detonation nanodiamonds, contributed 50.5-71.4% of PM 2.5 mass, while 22.5-43.4% was non-refractory organic carbon, a previously overlooked component that exhibited a complex and varying composition. Detonations were performed with and without PMMA confinement and under steady and overdriven conditions. Distinct particles enriched with polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) were observed in experiments utilizing confinement, with quantities dependent on manufacturing method. SEM-EDS validated SP-AMS findings of metals internally mixed with carbonaceous species and extended the particle size range to 100 µm. This work makes detecting non-refractory organics using single-particle techniques more feasible for detonation forensics and understanding high-energy soot formation. While this analysis uses offline sample collection, SP-AMS could be deployed for in-situ measurements of detonation PM 2.5 transported in the atmosphere.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Scenario Storyline Discovery for Planning in Multi‐Actor Human‐Natural Systems Confronting Change

Scenarios have emerged as valuable tools in managing complex human-natural systems, but the traditional approach of limiting focus on a small number of predetermined scenarios can inadvertently miss consequential dynamics, extremes, and diverse stakeholder impacts. Exploratory modeling approaches have been developed to address these issues by exploring a wide range of possible futures and identifying those that yield consequential vulnerabilities. However, vulnerabilities are typically identified based on aggregate robustness measures that do not take full advantage of the richness of the underlying dynamics in the large ensembles of model simulations and can make it hard to identify key dynamics and/or storylines that can guide planning or further analyses. This study introduces the FRamework for Narrative Storylines and Impact Classification (FRNSIC; pronounced “forensic”): a scenario discovery framework that addresses these challenges by organizing and investigating consequential scenarios using hierarchical classification of diverse outcomes across actors, sectors, and scales, while also aiding in the selection of scenario storylines, based on system dynamics that drive consequential outcomes. We present an application of this framework to the Upper Colorado River Basin, focusing on decadal droughts and their water scarcity implications for the basin's diverse users and its obligations to downstream states through Lake Powell. We show how FRNSIC can explore alternative sets of impact metrics and drought dynamics and use them to identify drought scenario storylines, that can be used to inform future adaptation planning.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Scanning transmission x-ray microscopy (STXM) of plutonium oxide

Scanning transmission x-ray microscopy was used to examine plutonium oxide particles formed by the corrosion of δ-phase plutonium alloy under high-humidity conditions. O K-edge spectra collected from eight distinct particles displayed significant spectral differences, revealing heterogeneity in oxidation states within a single sample batch. Here, this variation suggests complex chemical environments and formation histories, which are important considerations for nuclear forensic investigations. These findings highlight both the potential of synchrotron-based x-ray microscopy for nondestructive, high-resolution analysis of nuclear materials and the need for expanded reference datasets to improve the interpretation and forensic utility of such measurements.

organic

Addressing the dynamic nature of reference data: a new nucleotide database for robust metagenomic classification

Accurate metagenomic classification relies on comprehensive, up-to-date, and validated reference databases. While the NCBI BLAST Nucleotide (nt) database, encompassing a vast collection of sequences from all domains of life, represents an invaluable resource, its massive size—currently exceeding 10 12 nucleotides—and exponential growth pose significant challenges for researchers seeking to maintain current nt-based indices for metagenomic classification. Recognizing that no current nt-based indices exist for the widely used Centrifuge classifier, and the last public version currently available was released in 2018, we addressed this critical gap by leveraging advanced high-performance computing resources. We present new Centrifuge-compatible nt databases, meticulously constructed using a novel pipeline incorporating different quality control measures, including reference decontamination and filtering. These measures demonstrably reduce spurious classifications, as shown through our reanalysis of published metagenomic data where Plasmodium annotations were dramatically reduced using our decontaminated database, highlighting how database quality can significantly impact research conclusions. Through temporal comparisons, we also reveal how our approach minimizes inconsistencies in taxonomic assignments stemming from asynchronous updates between public sequence and taxonomy databases. These discrepancies are particularly evident in taxa such as Listeria monocytogenes and Naegleria fowleri, where classification accuracy varied significantly across database versions. These new databases, made available as pre-built Centrifuge indexes, respond to the need for an open, robust, nt-based pipeline for taxonomic classification in metagenomics. Applications such as environmental metagenomics, forensics, and clinical metagenomics, which require comprehensive taxonomic coverage, will benefit from this resource. Our work highlights the importance of treating reference databases as dynamic entities, subject to ongoing quality control and validation akin to software development best practices. This approach is crucial for ensuring accuracy and reliability of metagenomic analysis, especially as databases continue to expand in size and complexity.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Samoa Updater: An Application of the Levenberg-Marquardt Method to Update DELFIC Predictions Using Field Measurements

The US Department of Energy (DOE) Forensics Operations (DFO) is a member of the Ground Collections Task Force (GCTF), which is responsible for sample collection of radiological debris for attribution should a nuclear detonation ever occur in the United States. The DFO runs the Defense Land Fallout Interpretive Code (DELFIC) Fallout Planning Tool to predict the deposition of fallout from a nuclear detonation. This prediction is refined using the DELFIC Updater tool, which takes ground measurements and adjusts DELFIC inputs to minimize the difference between prediction and observation, yielding improved predictions of fallout in locations both measured and not yet measured. Samoa, a framework for uncertainty analysis and optimization, is used to improve DELFIC predictive fallout modeling. This new capability using Samoa, dubbed “Samoa Updater,” is compared with the current DELFIC Updater, a brute-force sampling approach. Samoa Updater uses the Levenberg– Marquardt (LM) method, a gradient-based nonlinear least squares approach that uses the functional shape of the input space to increase optimization speed. In simulated test cases Samoa Updater yields faster and more accurate solutions than the current Updater.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF

Metal alloy microparticle tagging of UO 2 fuel pellets for nuclear forensics

A tagging strategy for UO 2 fuel pellets will be discussed which involves the creation of alloyed metal microparticles that can be tuned to create a unique identification (“barcode”) indicating provenance of the pellets. These specialized markers would contain high temperature resistant materials, such as Ti, Mo, and Cr, in small quantities such that they do not interfere with the performance of the pellets but are recoverable by standard analytical techniques. The Amazemet rePowder ultrasonic atomization system was used to manufacture the microparticles, and sample pellets were fabricated and sintered containing these dopants. Various techniques, such as Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM) and Electron Probe Microanalysis (EPMA), were used to evaluate these sample pellets to determine if particles (and their alloy compositions) were recoverable. Details on how the particles were manufactured and characterized will be detailed, as well as results from their incorporation into test pellets. Next steps will involve the scale of this technique using more conventional mass production methods, as well as the implementation of other alloys.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS

Diagnosis of PV Cell Antireflective Coating Degradation Resulting from Hot-Humid, High Voltage Potential Aging

Corrosion of the antireflective coating on a photovoltaic cell ("ARc corrosion") has previously been observed in studies using hot-humid test conditions with external high-voltage (HV) bias. This study primarily focuses on known vulnerable, legacy aluminum back surface field (Al-BSF) cells in mini-modules (MiMos) put through comparative stepped stress tests. Each cell type had MiMos at +1500 V, -1500 V, or unbiased ("Voc") potential, which were sequentially subjected to test conditions of 60deg C/60% relative humidity (RH) for 96 h, as in International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) Technical Specification 62804-1; 70 deg C/70% RH for 200 h; and 85 deg C/85% RH for 200 h. Characterizations at each step included visual camera and electroluminescence (EL) imaging, colorimetry, and current-voltage (I-V) curve tracing. Final characterizations included: Suns-Voc; spatial mapping of external quantum efficiency (EQE); high-resolution photoluminescence (PL), EL, and dark lock-in thermography (DLIT) imaging. Forensics were performed on extracted cores, including scanning electron microscopy (SEM) with energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), and scanning Auger microscopy (SAM). Forensics were also conducted on MiMos from previous studies that underwent stepped HV aging and separate outdoor aged full-sized modules. ARc corrosion was specifically seen for the glass/encapsulant/cell side of the +1500V (HV+) stressed MiMos and modules. Appearance, color, and reflectance were the most distinguishing characteristics relative to glass corrosion, gridline-corrosion and -delamination as well as other concurrent degradation modes. SEM/EDS and SAM identified conversion of silicon nitride to hydrated silica, hydrous silica, or hydrated amorphous silica, which preferentially occurred at the edges and tips of the pyramidal textured cell surface.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Strontium isoscape of sub-Saharan Africa allows tracing origins of victims of the transatlantic slave trade

Abstract Strontium isotope ( 87 Sr/ 86 Sr) analysis with reference to strontium isotope landscapes (Sr isoscapes) allows reconstructing mobility and migration in archaeology, ecology, and forensics. However, despite the vast potential of research involving 87 Sr/ 86 Sr analysis particularly in Africa, Sr isoscapes remain unavailable for the largest parts of the continent. Here, we measure the 87 Sr/ 86 Sr ratios in 778 environmental samples from 24 African countries and combine this data with published data to model a bioavailable Sr isoscape for sub-Saharan Africa using random forest regression. We demonstrate the efficacy of this Sr isoscape, in combination with other lines of evidence, to trace the African roots of individuals from historic slavery contexts, particularly those with highly radiogenic 87 Sr/ 86 Sr ratios uncommon in the African Diaspora. Our study provides an extensive African 87 Sr/ 86 Sr dataset which includes scientifically marginalized regions of Africa, with significant implications for the archaeology of the transatlantic slave trade, wildlife ecology, conservation, and forensics.

Science & Technology - Other Topics

Hyperspectral x-ray imaging mapping capabilities for nuclear forensics

Nuclear forensics relies on the integration of complementary signatures to constrain the origins and history of materials. Outcomes benefit from the timeliness and precision of the disparate methods that form typical analysis chains. Sample forms are often either minute in quantity or contain signatures like morphology or composition heterogeneity encoded on a microscale, so many analysis techniques focus on resolving signatures on ever-smaller length scales. The new hyperspectral x-ray imaging (HXI) instrument developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory seeks to improve the information available from scanning electron microscopy (SEM) x-ray spectrum analysis through superior spectral energy resolution vs. typical energy dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) systems in common use in nuclear forensics and other microanalysis fields. Based on arrays of transition-edge sensor (TES) microcalorimeter detectors, this instrument achieves a typical energy resolution of 7 eV full-width at half-maximum (FWHM) at 2 keV, opening new possibilities in trace element detection/analysis and chemical state determination through spectral shape shifts. We present here some of the first applications of the HXI instrument to actinide samples and discuss potential maturation of this nascent technology for future analysis pipelines.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS