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NASA NTRS1978

Circadian rhythm dissociation in an environment with conflicting temporal information

The relative contributions of light-dark (LD) cycles and eating-fasting (EF) cycles in providing temporal information to the circadian time-keeping system were examined in chair-acclimatized squirrel monkeys (Saimiri sciureus). The circadian rhythms of drinking, colonic temperature, urine volume, and urinary potassium excretion were measured with the LD and EF cycles providing either conflicting phases or periods. In conflicting phase experiments, animals were exposed to 24-hr LD cycles consisting of 12 hr of 600 lx followed by 12 hr of less than 1 lx and concurrent 24-hr EF cycles in which the animals ate for 3 hr and then fasted for 21 hr. One group had food available at the beginning and a second group at the end of the light period. In conflicting period experiments, monkeys were exposed to 23-hr LD cycles and 24-hr EF cycles. Analysis of the rhythms showed that both phase and period information were conveyed to the drinking and urinary rhythms by the EF cycle, and to the temperature rhythm by the LD cycle.

Sulzman, F. M.↗

NASA NTRS2017

Airborne Measurements of Western U.S. Wildfire Emissions: Comparison with Prescribed Burning and Air Quality Implications

Wildfires emit significant amounts of pollutants that degrade air quality. Plumes from three wildfires in the western U.S. were measured from aircraft during the Studies of Emissions and Atmospheric Composition, Clouds and Climate Coupling by Regional Surveys (SEAC4RS) and the Biomass Burning Observation Project (BBOP), both in summer 2013. This study reports an extensive set of emission factors (EFs) for over 80 gases and 5 components of submicron particulate matter (PM1) from these temperate wildfires. These include rarely, or never before, measured oxygenated volatile organic compounds and multifunctional organic nitrates. The observed EFs are compared with previous measurements of temperate wildfires, boreal forest fires, and temperate prescribed fires. The wildfires emitted high amounts of PM1 (with organic aerosol (OA) dominating the mass) with an average EF that is more than 2 times the EFs for prescribed fires. The measured EFs were used to estimate the annual wildfire emissions of carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, total non methane organic compounds, and PM1 from 11 western U.S. states. The estimated gas emissions are generally comparable with the 2011 National Emissions Inventory (NEI). However, our PM1 emission estimate (1530 +/- 570 Gg/yr) is over 3 times that of the NEI PM2.5 estimate and is also higher than the PM2.5 emitted from all other sources in these states in the NEI. This study indicates that the source of OA from biomass burning in the western states is significantly underestimated. In addition, our results indicate that prescribed burning may be an effective method to reduce fine particle emissions.

measured oxygenated volatile organic compounds↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Comparing the Regional Variability of Emission Factors of Greenhouse Gases Over Different Landscape During FIREX-AQ Campaign

Biomass burning (wildfires, prescribed and agricultural burning) is one of the major sources of trace gases and particulate emissions and annual variability in growth rates. Biomass burning can impact local, regional, and global air quality, as well as climate. Measurements of emissions from biomass burning are crucial to a better understanding of how it influences and interacts with biogeochemical cycles. High resolution in-situ measurements were recorded onboard the NASA DC-8 aircraft during the FIREX-AQ (Fire Influence on Regional to Global Environments and Air Quality) airborne field campaign July-September, 2019, which was conducted over the continental U.S. Fire emission factors (EF) are essential input for emissions models used to develop biomass burning emission inventories. Here we present the Emission Ratio (ER), MCE (Modified Combustion Efficiency), and EF (Emission Factor) of CO2, CO, and CH4, which constitute the majority of carbon emitted from the wildland, prescribed, and agricultural fires. EFCO2, EFCO, and EFCH4 from the Wildland fires at Williams Flats, WA (primarily Douglas Fir, Ponderosa pine, wheatgrass: 50-75%), ranged from 1527 – 1820 g/kg (Avg. 1641±42), 6.5 – 174.1 g/kg (110.5±24.1), and 0.7 – 11.3 g/kg (6.2±1.9), respectively. EFs from the Arizona CASTLE fire, with somewhat different fuel sources (primarily Ponderosa pine, Douglas fir: 40-70%) ranged from 1266 – 1667 g/kg (1596±59), 99.5 – 344.5 g/kg (136.7±36.8), and 0.4 – 9.2 g/kg (7.2±1.7), respectively. Another primary driver of EFs is likely fire weather. Detailed variability of greenhouse gas EFs will be examined and presented in accordance with different fuels and fire conditions at burned areas, specifically within unique wildland and croplands, using the FCCS (Fuel Characteristic Classification System) 30m land cover identification and the Cropland Data Layer (CDL).

Biomass burning↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Comparing the regional variability of emission factors of greenhouse gases over different landscape during FIREX-AQ campaign

Biomass burning↗

NASA NTRS2023

Emission Factors for Crop Residue and Prescribed Fires in the Eastern US during FIREX-AQ

Agricultural and prescribed burning activities emit large amounts of trace gases and aerosols on regional to global scales. We present a compilation of emission factors (EFs) and emission ratios (ERs) from the eastern portion of the Fire Influence on Regional to Global Environments and Air Quality (FIREX-AQ) campaign in 2019 in the United States, which sampled burning of crop residues and other prescribed fire fuels. FIREX-AQ provided comprehensive chemical characterization of 53 crop residue and 22 prescribed fires. Crop residues burned at different modified combustion efficiencies (MCE), with corn residue burning at higher MCE than other fuel types. Prescribed fires burned at lower MCE (<0.90) which is typical, while grasslands burned at lower MCE (0.90) than normally observed due to moist, green, growing season fuels. Most non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs) were significantly anticorrelated with MCE except for ethanol and NMVOCs that were measured with less certainty. We identified 23 species where crop residue fires differed by more than 50% from prescribed fires at the same MCE. Crop residue EFs were greater for species related to agricultural chemical use and fuel composition as well as oxygenated NMVOCs possibly due to the presence of metals such as potassium. Prescribed EFs were greater for monoterpenes (5×). FIREX-AQ crop residue average EFs generally agreed with the previous agricultural fire study in the US but had large disagreements with global compilations. FIREX-AQ observations show the importance of regionally-specific and fuel-specific EFs as first steps to reduce uncertainty in modeling the air quality impacts of fire emissions.

air quality↗

DOE OSTI2024

Error field predictability and consequences for ITER

Abstract ITER coil tolerances are re-evaluated using the modern understanding of coupling to least-stable plasma modes and an updated center-line-traced model of ITER’s coil windings. This reassessment finds the tolerances to be conservative through a statistical, linear study of n = 1 error fields (EFs) due to tilted, shifted misplacements and nominal windings of central solenoid and poloidal field coils within tolerance. We also show that a model-based correction scheme remains effective even when metrology quality is sub-optimal, and compare this to projected empirical correction schemes. We begin with an analysis of the necessity of error field correction (EFC) for daily operation in ITER using scalign laws for the EF penetration threshold. We then consider the predictability of EF dominant mode overlap across early planned ITER scenarios and, as measuring EFs in high power scenarios can pose risks to the device, the potential for extrapolation to the ITER Baseline Scenario (IBS). We find that carefully designing a scenario matching currents proportionally to those of the IBS is far more important than plasma shape or profiles in accurately measuring an optimal correction current set.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Process-based modeling of soil nitrous oxide emissions from United States corn fields under different management and climate scenarios coupled with evaluation using regional estimates

Direct emissions of soil nitrous oxide during a growing season (N 2 O gs ) can be quantified with process-based models considering interactions between management, climate, and soil moisture when key data are available. We used an adapted “parameterized CENTURY/DAYCENT-model” ( p CENTURY) calibrated with crop growth and soil organic matter decay coefficients at the county-level for the estimation of N 2 O gs in the United States Corn Belt. Model estimated N 2 O-emissions from corn-based biofuels scenarios considering crop rotation, fertilizer inputs, tillage, and weather were compared against meta-summary of field observations from 55 studies. Both model and meta-summary ranked N 2 O gs -emissions to be corn > wheat > soybean phase while model likely underestimated cover crop N 2 O gs -emissions. The N 2 O gs -emissions and the associated emission factors (EFs) were modeled and summarized to be greater after anhydrous ammonia than urea application and from conventional tilled than non-tilled fields. Modeled and observed N 2 O gs -emissions after organic and inorganic fertilizer amendment did not differ due to high variability associated with the treatments. However, the organic fertilizer associated EFs were greater according to meta-summary data because of N input rates. Regionalized weather scenarios indicate hotspots for N 2 O gs -emissions can occur where crop N uptake is limited during dry years and in eastern states also during normal or wet seasons. The p CENTURY-derived N 2 O gs EFs (0.91 ± 0.19%) for counties investigated were only slightly lower than literature (1.07 ± 0.57%) or Tier-1 (1%) values. Our preliminary evaluation of regional soil moisture estimates showed reasonable agreement between monthly soil moisture estimates and the North American Soil Moisture Dataset during the growing season, but overestimation of soil moisture in winter-spring can influence the estimates of annual N 2 O emissions so future work is needed to calibrate soil moisture-associated model parameters. Our work provided scenario-based estimates of climate and management impacts on soil N 2 O gs -emissions together with valuable spatial insights into EFs that will be improved by more accurate information of fertilizer inputs and more temporally refined model evaluation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1978

Comparison of synchronization of primate circadian rhythms by light and food

It is a well-documented fact that cycles of light and dark (LD) are the major entraining agent or 'zeitgeber' for circadian rhythms and that cycles of eating and fasting (EF) are capable of synchronizing a few circadian rhythms in the squirrel monkey. In this paper, by contrasting how these rhythms are timed by LD and EF cycles, the differential coupling to the oscillating system within adult male squirrel monkeys is examined. The variables measured are the rhythms of drinking, colonic temperature, and urinary potassium and water excretion. Attention is given to a comparison of the reproducibility of the averaged waveforms of the rhythms, the stability of the timing of a phase reference point, and the rate of resynchronization of these rhythms following an abrupt 8-hr phase delay in the zeitgeber. It is shown that the colonic temperature rhythm is more tightly controlled by LD than EF cycles, and that the drinking and urinary rhythms are more tightly coupled to EF than LD cycles.

Sulzman, F. M.↗

NASA NTRS1992

Electric field and radio frequency measurements for rocket engine health monitoring applications

Electric-field (EF) and radio-frequency (RF) emissions generated in the exhaust plumes of the diagnostic testbed facility thruster (DTFT) and the SSME are examined briefly for potential applications to plume diagnostics and engine health monitoring. Hypothetically, anomalous engine conditions could produce measurable changes in any characteristic EF and RF spectral signatures identifiable with a 'healthly' plumes. Tests to determine the presence of EF and RF emissions in the DTFT and SSME exhaust plumes were conducted. EF and RF emissions were detected using state-of-the-art sensors. Analysis of limited data sets show some apparent consistencies in spectral signatures. Significant emissions increases were detected during controlled tests using dopants injected into the DTFT.

Valenti, Elizabeth L.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Solar cycle variation of interplanetary disturbances observed as Doppler scintillation transients

Interplanetary disturbances characterized by plasma that is more turbulence and/or moves faster than the background solar wind are readily defected as transients in Doppler scintillation measurements of the near-Sun solar wind. Systematic analysis of over 23,000 hours of Pioneer Venus Orbiter Doppler measurements obtained inside 0.5 AU during 1979-1987 have made it possible for the first time to investigate the frequency of occurrence of Doppler scintillation transients under solar minimum conditions and to determine its dependence on solar cycle. On the basis of a total of 142 transients, Doppler scintillation transient rates vary from a high of 0.22 in 1979 (one every 4.6 days) to a low of 0.077 transients/d in 1986 (one every 13 days), a decrease by almost a factor of 3 from solar maximum to solar minimum. This solar cycle variation, the strongest yet of any solar wind Doppler scintillation property, is highly correlated with both solar activity characterized by sunspot number and the coronal mass ejection rates deduced from Solswind and Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) coronagraph observations. These results indicate that coronal mass ejections and Doppler scintillation transients are closely related not just during solar maximum, as occasional individual comparisons have shown in the past, but throughout the entire solar cycle, and strengthen the notation that the Doppler scintillation and optical transients are different manifestations of the same physical phenomenon. The magnitudes of the transients, as described by the ratio of peak to pretransient scintillation levels (EF for enhancement factor), and their distribution iwth heliocentric distance also vary with solar cycle. While EF tends to diminish with increasing heliocentric distance during high solar activity, it is more evenly distributed during low solar activity. EF is also lower during solar minimum, as 13% of the transients during solar maximum have values exceeding 23, the highest EF observed during solar minimum. These results are consistent with the fact that occasional major fast-moving interplanetary shocks that are observed during solar maximum are very rate during solar minimum.

Woo, Richard↗

NASA NTRS2012

Dual-Polarimetric Radar-Based Tornado Debris Signatures and Paths Associated with Tornadoes Over Northern Alabama During the Historic Outbreak of 27 April 2011

A historic tornado and severe weather outbreak devastated much of the southeastern United States between 25 and 28 April 2011. On 27 April 2011, northern Alabama was particularly hard hit by 40 tornadoes, including 6 that reached EF-4 to EF-5 on the Enhanced Fujita damage scale. In northern Alabama alone, there were approximately 100 fatalities and hundreds of people who were injured or lost their homes during the havoc caused by these violent tornadic storms. Many of these tornadoes occurred within range of the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAHuntsville) Advanced Radar for Meteorological and Operational Research (ARMOR, C-band dual-polarimetric). A unique capability of dual-polarimetric radar is the near-real time identification of lofted debris associated with ongoing tornadoes. The focus of this paper is to analyze the dual-polarimetric radar-inferred tornado debris signatures in 6 tornadoes in North Alabama on April 27, 2011. Several of these debris signatures were disseminated in real-time to the NWS Huntsville and local media to confirm storm spotter reports, confidence to enhance wording within warnings, and accurately pinpoint the locations of tornadoes for residents downstream of the storm. Also, the debris signature locations were used in post-event storm surveys to help locate areas of damage in regions where damage went unreported, or to help separate tornado tracks that were in close proximity to each other. Furthermore, the relative locations of the debris and damage paths for long track EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes will be ascertained by careful comparison of the ARMOR analysis with NASA MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) and ASTER (Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer) satellite imagery of the tornado damage scenes and the National Weather Service tornado damage surveys.

Carey, Lawrence D.↗

NASA NTRS2015

Evidence for the Sequestration of Hydrogen-Bearing Volatiles Towards the Moons Southern Pole-Facing Slopes

The Lunar Exploration Neutron Detector (LEND) onboard the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) detects a widespread suppression of the epithermal neutron leakage flux that is coincident with the pole-facing slopes (PFS) of the Moon's southern hemisphere. Suppression of the epithermal neutron flux is consistent with an interpretation of enhanced concentrations of hydrogen-bearing volatiles within the upper meter of the regolith. Localized flux suppression in PFS suggests that the reduced solar irradiation and lowered temperature on PFS constrains volatility to a greater extent than in surrounding regions. Epithermal neutron flux mapped with LEND's Collimated Sensor for Epithermal Neutrons (CSETN) was analyzed as a function of slope geomorphology derived from the Lunar Orbiting Laser Altimeter (LOLA) and the results compared to co-registered maps of diurnally averaged temperature from the Diviner Lunar Radiometer Experiment and an averaged illumination map derived from LOLA. The suppression in the average south polar epithermal neutron flux on equator-facing slopes (EFS) and PFS (85-90 deg S) is 3.3 +/- 0.04% and 4.3 +/- 0.05% respectively (one-sigma-uncertainties), relative to the average count-rate in the latitude band 45-90 deg S. The discrepancy of 1.0 +/- 0.06% between EFS and PFS neutron flux corresponds to an average of approximately 23 parts-per-million-by-weight (ppmw) more hydrogen on PFS than on EFS. Results show that the detection of hydrogen concentrations on PFS is dependent on their spatial scale. Epithermal flux suppression on large scale PFS was found to be enhanced to 5.2 +/- 0.13%, a discrepancy of approximately 45 ppmw hydrogen relative to equivalent EFS. Enhanced poleward hydration of PFS begins between 50 deg S and 60 deg S latitude. Polar regolith temperature contrasts do not explain the suppression of epithermal neutrons on pole-facing slopes. The Supplemental on-line materials include supporting results derived from the uncollimated Lunar Prospector Neutron Spectrometer and the LEND Sensor for Epithermal Neutrons.

Ices↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Post-Severe Thunderstorm Damage Assessment from March 2-3, 2020, Nashville, TN, Using Synthetic Aperture Radar Observations

Severe weather events (e.g., hurricanes, tornadoes) are responsible for most weather-related infrastructure and building damages. The destruction caused by these events can cross several states, making damage estimates difficult, especially in heavily vegetated or rural areas. Drone or optical imagery is often relied upon in these cases but is limited by solar and atmospheric conditions. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) is an active sensor allowing for day and night collections in all weather conditions. This research highlights the benefits and limitations of using SAR to detect tornado tracks and associated damages while also assessing the strengths and weaknesses of two SAR sensors with varying wavelengths and spatial resolutions from the March 2020 Tornado Outbreak. The outbreak occurred overnight on March 2-3, when several supercell thunderstorms tracked across multiple states producing numerous tornadoes (EF-0 through EF-4) and large hail. Most of the damage occurred in central Tennessee, resulting in 25 fatalities, hundreds of injuries, and over a billion dollars worth of damage. Publicly available C-band (~6 cm) imagery from the European Space Agency’s Sentinel-1 satellite and commercial X-band (~3 cm) imagery from Airbus’s TerraSAR-X satellite were used to generate amplitude and coherence products. The closest post-event collections were used for the amplitude products, and the closest pre- and post-collections were used to create the coherence pairs. If damage tracks were identified in any of the SAR products, the length (miles) and max width (yards) were recorded and compared to the National Weather Service Storm Data official records. SAR successfully detected five rated EF-1 or higher out of ten recorded tornadoes. However, none of the four EF-0 tornadoes were identified. X- and C-band SAR sensors are heavily impacted by dense vegetation, underestimating the extent of damage. Despite these limitations, SAR products can be beneficial when looking at severe weather impacts, especially during the winter and early spring when the coherence products are less influenced by vegetation. The upcoming L-band (~24 cm) NISAR mission will provide more accurate estimates of damage, with the longer wavelength, expanding the applications of SAR to assist in damage assessment caused by severe thunderstorms.

Hannah G Pankratz↗

DOE OSTI2023

CRITICAL MINERAL RESOURCE ASSESSMENT OF COALS FROM THE POWDER RIVER BASIN, WYOMING, USA

Coal and associated sediments are potential sources of Rare Earth Elements (REE) and other critical minerals necessary for many consumer and defense-related products and development of energy technologies. For this study, 15 samples were sourced from Dry Fork Mine within the Powder River Basin near Gillette, Wyoming, to determine REE content along with select transition metals (t-metals) of interest in non-combusted coals and associated sediments. An excavator collected samples along a mine highwall, within benched intervals representing a foot to a few feet of coal strata. Homogenized sample subsets were crushed in an aluminum-ceramic vial, then passed through a 106-micron sieve. Sieved samples were pyrolyzed by a LECO TGA-108, which concurrently measured sample moisture, volatile, and ash content. Residual ash was then fused into a glass bead with lithium metaborate at a 6:1 Li-metaborate to sample ratio and then dissolved in 20% nitric acid. The nitric acid solutions containing digested beads were then diluted and passed through a 0.45 micron syringe filter. Filtered samples were analyzed by ICP-MS for REE and select t-metals. Reagent blanks were analyzed to assess for any potential contamination. Total REE plus Y (REE+Y) concentrations across the 15 samples range from 52 ppm to 1015 ppm with an average of 477 ppm on a dry ash basis. When normalized to upper continental crust (UCC; Taylor and McLennan, 1985) values, 13 of the 15 samples show average enrichment factors (EF) for REE+Y greater than 1. EF values indicate M-type enrichment (Sm through Er), as opposed to distinct preferential enrichment of light or heavy REE. T-metals with the highest average concentrations are V, Cu, Ni, and Zr at 215, 243, 123, and 118 ppm, respectively. Multiple t-metals had EF>1; however, Cu, Ge, and Sb have the highest average EF relative to UCC for t-metals, at 9.7, 8.0, and 17.0, respectively.

Copeland, Grant↗

DOE OSTI2024

Characterizing PM 2.5 Emissions and Temporal Evolution of Organic Composition from Incense Burning in a California Residence

The chemical composition of incense-generated organic aerosol in residential indoor air has received limited attention in Western literature. In this study, we conducted incense burning experiments in a single-family California residence during vacancy. Here, we report the chemical composition of organic fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ), associated emission factors (EFs), and gas-particle phase partitioning for indoor semivolatile organic compounds (SVOCs). Speciated organic PM 2.5 measurements were made using two-dimensional gas chromatography coupled with high-resolution time-of-flight mass spectrometry (GC×GC-HR-ToF-MS) and semivolatile thermal desorption aerosol gas chromatography (SV-TAG). Organic PM 2.5 EFs ranged from 7 to 31 mg g –1 for burned incense and were largely comprised of polar and oxygenated species, with high abundance of biomass-burning tracers such as levoglucosan. Differences in PM 2.5 EFs and chemical profiles were observed in relation to the type of incense burned. Nine indoor SVOCs considered to originate from sources other than incense combustion were enhanced during incense events. Time-resolved concentrations of these SVOCs correlated well with PM 2.5 mass (R 2 > 0.75), suggesting that low-volatility SVOCs such as bis(2-ethylhexyl)phthalate and butyl benzyl phthalate partitioned to incense-generated PM 2.5 . Both direct emissions and enhanced partitioning of low-volatility indoor SVOCs to incense-generated PM 2.5 can influence inhalation exposures during and after indoor incense use.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Group-Additivity–Embedded Multiscale Modeling for Electric Field-Enhanced Nanocatalysis

Elucidating structure-performance relationships remains a central challenge in field-enhanced catalysis, where nanoparticles exhibit nonuniform surface sites with site-dependent responses to electric fields. Low-coordination sites (edges, corners, and tips) are particularly electric field-sensitive (EF), leading to nonuniform charge distribution, adsorption energies, and catalytic activity. Here, using ammonia decomposition on a ruthenium cluster as a model system, we develop a transferable multiscale framework integrating density functional theory, group additivity (GA), Brønsted-Evans-Polanyi scaling, and microkinetic modeling to predict EF-dependent activity across nonuniform cluster sites. Across sites and fields, the nitrogen adsorption energy (E N ) emerges as the governing descriptor, yielding robust volcano relationships whose optimum shifts systematically with field: negative fields strengthen N binding via electron accumulation, while positive fields weaken N binding via charge depletion, moving the optimal E N toward weaker binding. Microkinetic analysis shows that N≡N bond formation remains the key kinetic bottleneck over most conditions; positive fields lower the effective barrier and, critically, increase the fraction of near-optimal active sites, leading to a net enhancement in overall activity relative to zero-field and negative-field cases. By capturing EF- and site-dependent energetics with high accuracy and low computational cost, this GA-embedded multi-scale simulation workflow provides a physically interpretable route to predict and design field-enhanced nanocatalysis.

ammonia decomposition↗

DOE OSTI2022

Disentangling the Relative Drivers of Seasonal Evapotranspiration Across a Continental-Scale Aridity Gradient

Evapotranspiration (ET) is a significant ecosystem flux, governing the partitioning of energy at the land surface. Understanding the seasonal pattern and magnitude of ET is critical for anticipating a range of ecosystem impacts, including drought, heat-wave events, and plant mortality. Here, in this study, we identified the relative controls of seasonal variability in ET, and how these controls vary among ecosystems. We used overlapping AmeriFlux and PhenoCam time series at a daily timestep from 20 sites to explore these linkages (# site-years >100), and our study area covered a broad climatological aridity gradient in the U.S. and Canada. We focused on disentangling the most important controls of bulk surface conductance (G s ) and evaporative fraction (EF = LE/[H + LE]), where LE and H represent latent and sensible heat fluxes, respectively. Specifically, we investigated how vegetation phenology varied in importance relative to meteorological variables (vapor pressure deficit and antecedent precipitation) as a driver of G s and EF using path analysis, a framework for quantifying and comparing the causal linkages among multiple response and explanatory variables. Our results revealed that the drivers of G s and EF seasonality varied significantly between energy- and water-limited ecosystems. Specifically, precipitation had a much higher effect in water-limited ecosystems, while seasonal patterns in canopy greenness emerged as a stronger control in energy-limited ecosystems. Given that phenology is expected to shift under future climate, our findings provide key information for understanding and predicting how phenology may impact 21st-century hydroclimate regimes and the surface-energy balance.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Summertime Near-Surface Temperature Biases Over the Central United States in Convection-Permitting Simulations

Convection-Permitting Model (CPM) simulations of the Central United States climate for the summer of 2011 are studied to understand the causes of warm biases in 2-m air temperature (T 2m ) and related underestimates of precipitation including that from mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). Based on 10 CPM simulations and 9 coarser-resolution model simulations, we quantify contributions from evaporative fraction (EF) and radiation to the T 2m bias with both types of models overestimating T 2m largely because they underestimate EF. The performance of CPMs in capturing MCS characteristics (frequency, rainfall, propagation) varies. The pre-summer precipitation bias has large correlation with mean summertime T 2m bias but the relationship between summertime MCS mean rainfall bias and T 2m bias is non-monotonic. Analysis of lifting condensation level deficit and convective available potential energy suggests that models with T 2m warm biases and low EF have too dry and stable boundary layers, inhibiting the formation of clouds, precipitation and MCSs. Among the CPMs with differing model formulations (e.g., transpiration, infiltration, cloud macrophysics and microphysics), evidence suggests that altering the land-surface model is more effective than altering the atmospheric model in reducing T 2m biases. In conclusion, these results demonstrate that land-atmosphere interactions play a very important role in determining the summertime climate of the Central United States.

2-m air temperature↗