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At least 55 records · Page 3

NASA Global Tropospheric Experiment

The rationale and program design for the NASA Global Tropospheric Experiment (GTE) are described. The GTE is intended to characterize the global tropospheric chemistry and its interaction with the stratosphere, the land, and the ocean. The program emphasis is laid on the potential global impact of human activities, particularly those which release CH4, N2O, and chlorofluorocarbons into the atmosphere. Specific tasks defined thus far include characterizing the tropospheric gas-phase chemistry of OH, NO, and NO2, determining concentrations and distributions of CO, CH4, O3, and N2O, as well as halogens, trace metals, and reduced sulfur species. Techniques are needed for measuring the chemical fluxes between earth surface sources and sinks, the boundary layer, the free troposphere, and the stratosphere. The first phase of the GTE will be to test and develop techniques and assay the detection limits for OH, NO, and NO2 and assess the reliability of laboratory calibrations. Improvements in modelling global-scale tropospheric processes will also be pursued.

Mcneal, R. J.↗

Present state of knowledge of the upper atmosphere: An assessment report

A program of research, technology, and monitoring of the phenomena of the upper atmosphere, to provide for an understanding of and to maintain the chemical and physical integrity of the Earth's upper atmosphere was developed. NASA implemented a long-range upper atmospheric science program aimed at developing an organized, solid body of knowledge of upper atmospheric processes while providing, in the near term, assessments of potential effects of human activities on the atmosphere. The effects of chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) releases on stratospheric ozone were reported. Issues relating the current understanding of ozone predictions and trends and highlights recent and future anticipated developments that will improve our understanding of the system are summarized.

Source record↗

The detection of long-term changes in stratospheric ozone Scientific requirements and current results from satellite-based measurement systems

The ability to detect subtle trends in upper stratospheric ozone places strict requirements on satellite-based Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet (SBUV) sensors intended for this purpose. Simulation of the long-term change in backscattered radiance indicates trends in the range 1.0-1.6 percent per decade depending on wavelength for an ozone depletion scenario based on chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) chemistry. The maximum percentage change in the measured quantity, as would be sensed by the Nimbus-7 SBUV experiment and future similar instruments, is roughly a factor of two less than the maximum percentage change in ozone, the quantity of geophysical interest. Furthermore, interannual variations, whose magnitude can be estimated from the SBUV data set, could obscure a CFC-related trend in radiance when viewed over a period less than a decade. Even when such atmospheric noise and possible solar cycle variations are neglected, the detection of an ozone trend of the magnitude predicted for CFC-related chemistry requires a set of radiance measurements that are internally consistent to 1 percent or better over a time span of a decade.

Frederick, J. E.↗

Ozone perturbations by enhanced levels of CFCs, N2O, and CH4 A two-dimensional diabatic circulation study including uncertainty estimates

Observations made over the last few years suggest that the tropospheric concentrations of N2O, CH4, and O3 are increasing. Increases in the concentration of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) have been observed for some time. The present study is concerned with combined scenarios of future releases of N2O, CH4, and CFCs, which can affect the height profiles of ozone, while changes in latitudinal gradients of ozone may also be expected. Ozone perturbation calculations performed in the two-dimensional transport-chemistry model described by Stordal et al. (1985) are also presented, and the effects of increased levels of CFCs, N2O, and CH4 are examined. It is found that CH4 may be the most important ozone-perturbing trace species in connection with future tropospheric climatic impacts. A substantial increase in the tropospheric abundancy of CH4 could lead to large future ozone enhancements throughout the troposphere and lower stratosphere at middle and low latitudes.

Isaksen, I. S. A.↗

Lidar stratospheric ozone measurements at the observatoire de Haute Provence (France)

Strastospheric ozone monitoring is of particular importance to confirm present day theories predicting a maximal ozone depletion, due to chlorofluorocarbon emission, in the 35 to 45 km altitude range. Measurements presently rely on both ground based and satellite-borne passive experiments. Such systems have been recently shown to have intrinsic limitations mainly due to atmospheric aerosol presence and calibration problems. During the last few years, active lidar profiling of the ozone vertical distribution by the Differential Absorption Laser technique (DIAL) in the UV wavelength range has been developed using two different laser sources: a Nd-YAG pumped dye laser which enables a large tuning range of the UV emitted wavelengths; and exciplex laser sources using xenon chloride as an active medium and emitting at 308 nm, the off wavelength being usually generated by Raman shifting techniques. Advantages and limitations of using both of these systems are briefly discussed.

Godin, S.↗

Causes and effects of a hole

Preliminary results from the U.S. National Ozone Expedition (NOZE) to Antarctica are reviewed. The NOZE ozonesonde measurements showed significant vertical structure in the hole, with 80 percent depletion in some of the 1 km layers but only 20 percent in adjacent layers. The depletion was confined to the 12-20 km region, beginning first at higher altitude and progressing downward. This is strong evidence against the theory that the ozone hole is due to solar activity producing odd nitrogen at high altitudes which is transported downwards, leading to enhanced odd-nitrogen catalytic cycles that destroy ozone. Nitrous oxide data show unusually low concentrations within the polar vortex, which is evidence against the theory that the hole is caused by a purely dynamical mechanism in which rising air motions within the polar vortex lead to reduced column densities of ozone. It is tentatively concluded that a chemical mechanism involving man-made chlorofluorocarbons is the likely cause of ozone depletion in the hole.

Margitan, J. J.↗

Chemistry of the global troposphere - Fluorocarbons as tracers of air motion

Winds and convective mixing from a general circulation model of the atmosphere have been applied in a chemical tracer model (CTM) to simulate the global distribution and temporal variability of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). The seasonal cycle in moist convection, with maximum activity over continents in summer, leads to an annual cycle in the surface concentration of CFCs. Emissions are retained in the lowest levels of the atmosphere during winter, and surface concentrations peak near sources. In this season, CFCs from European sources are carried by low-level winds into the Arctic. During summer, vertical exchange is more efficient, and pollutants are transported more rapidly to the middle atmosphere. Consequently, concentrations of CFCs during summer are relatively low near the surface and elevated in the middle troposphere. Time series analysis of data from Adrigole, Ireland, indicates that the model accurately simulates long-range transport of air pollution. The model reproduces global distributions and trends for CFC-11 and CFC-12 observed by the ALE experiment; however, subgrid diffusion must be introduced into the model in order to reproduce the observed interhemispheric gradient. Interhemispheric exchange occurs mainly in the upper tropical troposphere, producing a profile which increases with altitude in the Southern Hemisphere, in agreement with observations. The distribution of CFCs is such that it is necessary to apply important corrections to observations at surface stations in order to derive global distributions.

Prather, Michael↗

Current issues in atmospheric change

In response to questions about the effects of long-term, global-scale changes in the atmosphere raised in congressional hearings, a group of leading experts held a two-day workshop to survey the state of current knowledge about atmospheric changes and their implications. The review focuses on the sources, concentrations, and changes of those gases most directly linked to human activities, i.e., carbon dioxide, ozone, and the chlorofluorocarbons; the direct physical effects of rising concentrations of trace gases. The review discusses the uncertainties associated with the knowledge of current trends and possible future changes, including ozone trends and the Antarctic ozone hole, and the impacts of rising concentrations of trace gases.

Source record↗

The potential impact on atmospheric ozone and temperature of increasing trace gas concentrations

The response of the atmosphere to emissions of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and other chlorocarbons, and to increasing concentrations of other radiatively active trace gases such as CO2, CH4, and N2O is calculated by a coupled chemical-radiative transport one-dimensional model. It is shown that significant reductions in the ozone concentration and in the temperature are expected in the upper stratosphere as a result of increasing concentrations of active chlorine produced by photodecomposition of the CFCs. The ozone content is expected to increase in the troposphere, as a consequence of increasing concentrations of methane and nitrogen oxides. Due to enhanced greenhouse effects, the Earth's surface should warm up by several degrees. The amplitude and even the sign of future changes in the ozone column are difficult to predict as they are strongly scenario-dependent. An early detection system to prevent noticeable ozone changes as a result of increasing concentrations of source gases should thus be based on a continuous monitoring of the ozone amount in the upper stratosphere rather than on measurements of the ozone column only. Measurements of NOx, Clx, and HOx are also required for unambiguous trend detection and interpretation.

Brasseur, G.↗

The potential impact on atmospheric ozone and temperature of increasing trace gas concentrations

The response of the atmosphere to emission of chlorofluorocarbons and other chlorocarbons and to increasing concentrations of other radiatively active trace gases is calculated using a coupled, one-dimensional, time-dependent chemical-radiative-transport model. The model predicts future changes in the ozone content and in the temperature based on several possible time-dependent scenarios of future atmospheric emissions. The sensitivity of the atmospheric responses to the values adopted for parameters such as the eddy diffusion coefficient for vertical transport and the atmospheric budget of nitrogen oxides is estimated and discussed.

Brasseur, Guy↗

European sources of halocarbons and nitrous oxide - Update 1986

New information on seasonal and secular trends in the releases of CFCl3, CF2Cl2, CCl4, CH3CCl3, and N20 from Europe was obtained as part of the Atmospheric Lifetime Experiment. Semicontinuous measurements of these pollutants were made at Adrigole, Ireland, using lean air from the Atlantic Ocean as a baseline. The results obtained include unambiguous evidence for elevated levels of N2O occurring concurrent with halocarbon pollution events; the detection of trends in the relative emission of different halocarbons; the discovery of seasonal variations in emission of CF2Cl2, CCl4, and CH3Cl3; the characterization of typical summer and winter pollution episodes; and the identification of weather patterns over Europe that are associated with high concentrations of chlorofluorocarbons at Adrigole. It was estimated that the European source of N2O represents 25 percent of the global emissions associated with combustion and 10 percent of the integrated stratospheric losses.

Prather, Michael↗

Global climate changes as forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies three-dimensional model

The global climate effects of time-dependent atmospheric trace gas and aerosol variations are simulated by NASA-Goddard's three-dimensional climate model II, which possesses 8 x 10-deg horizontal resolution, for the cases of a 100-year control run and three different atmospheric composition scenarios in which trace gas growth is respectively a continuation of current exponential trends, a reduced linear growth, and a rapid curtailment of emissions due to which net climate forcing no longer increases after the year 2000. The experiments begin in 1958, run to the present, and encompass measured or estimated changes in CO2, CH4, N2O, chlorofluorocarbons, and stratospheric aerosols. It is shown that the greenhouse warming effect may be clearly identifiable in the 1990s.

Hansen, J.↗

In situ northern mid-latitude observations of ClO, O3, and BrO in the wintertime lower stratosphere

In order to test photochemical theories linking chlorofluorocarbon derivatives to O3 depletion at high latitudes in the springtime, several related atmospheric species, including O3, ClO, and BrO were measured in the lower stratosphere. The flight path extended to the center of the polar jet associated with but outside of the Arctic vortex, in which the abundance of O3 was twice its midlatitude value, whereas BrO levels were five parts per trillion (pptv) by volume between 18 and 21 km, and 2.4 pptv below that altitude. The ClO mixing ratio was as much as 65 pptv at 60 N latitude at an altitude of 20 km, and was enhanced over midlatitude values by a factor of three to five at altitudes above 18 km and by as much as a factor of 40 at altitudes below 17 km. Levels of ClO and O3 were highly correlated on all measured distance scales, and both showed an abrupt change in character at 54 N latitude. The ClO abundance north of 54 N was probably caused by low NO2 levels in the flight path.

Brune, W. H.↗

Ozone reduction in the 1980's - A model simulation of anthropogenic and solar perturbations

An interpretation of global ozone changes deduced from satellite data obtained since 1979 is presented, based on two-dimensional model simulations. The study shows that a depletion in total ozone of the order of 2 percent and a reduction in ozone density near 40 km of 7 to 12 percent over the 1979-1986 period are consistent with the observed increase in trace gas densities (chlorofluorocarbons, methane, nitrous oxide, carbon dioxide) and the simultaneous decrease in solar activity during this period. The model also suggests that ozone variations of solar and anthropogenic origins between 1979 and 1986 were of similar magnitude but that the ozone response to trace gas emissions increases substantially with latitude while the solar signal in ozone is present lower in the atmosphere and is nearly independent of latitude.

Brasseur, Guy↗

Evidence for a decline in the atmospheric accumulation rate of CHClF2 (CFC-22)

CHClF2 (CFC-22) is a promising substitute for atmospheric ozone damaging, fully halogenated hydrocarbons. Atmospheric CFC-22 measurements derived from ground-based solar spectra recorded between December 1980 and May 1988 are reported which show that the CFC-22 total column increased at an average annual exponential rate of 7.8 percent + or - 1.0 percent (2 sigma). Compared with other atmospheric data, these measurements indicate that CFC-22 is increasing at a more rapid rate than either CFC-11 or CFC-12, the two most abundant chlorofluorocarbons, but that the rate of CFC-22 increase is likely to have declined over the past few years.

Rinsland, Curtis P.↗

The Antarctic ozone hole

Observations of Antarctic ozone levels and the discovery of a hole in the Antarctic region are examined. The effects of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) on the level of stratospheric ozone are analyzed. Three cycles explaining the cause of ozone depletion in the poles are proposed. A comparison of field data and proposed depletion cycles reveals that the chemical origin of the ozone hole is due to CFCs. The potential global effects of the Antarctic ozone hole are discussed.

Molina, Mario J.↗

Model calculations of the relative effects of CFCs and their replacements on stratospheric ozone

Because chlorine has been linked to the destruction of stratospheric ozone, the use of many fully halogenated compounds, such as the chlorofluorocarbons CFC-11 and -12, is restricted by international agreement. Hydrohalocarbons are under intensive development as replacements for CFCs. Because they contain hydrogen, these gases are susceptible to tropospheric destruction which significantly shortens their atmospheric lifetimes,. Model calculations show that chlorine-containing hydrohalocarbons have less effect on ozone, by an order of magnitude, than their regulated counterparts.

Fisher, Donald A.↗