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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

Nuclear Energy Cost Estimates for Net Zero World Initiative – 2024 Update

This report provides recommended parameters for incorporating nuclear energy systems into decarbonization modeling scenarios. The values are primarily intended for the Net Zero World (NZW) Initiative but are expected to prove useful to other related efforts. Both costs and operational metrics are provided in the study for large reactors and small modular reactors (SMR).

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Site Selection and Cost Estimation of Pilot-Scale CO2 Saline Storage Study in the Gulf of Mexico

Presentation at NETL Carbon Management Project Review Meeting held in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, August 15–19, 2022. The presentation provides a high-level overview of initial conceptual analysis evaluating site selection, geologic assessment, infrastructure, and project cost considerations associated with the development of pilot-scale CO2 storage projects in the offshore Gulf of Mexico.

Wijaya, Nur↗

Explainable AI for a No-Teardown Vehicle Component Cost Estimation: A Top-Down Approach

The broader ambition of this article is to popularize an approach for the fair distribution of the quantity of a system's output to its subsystems while allowing for underlying complex subsystem level interactions. Particularly, we present the use of this framework on a very specific (but generalizable) application, interesting for a more general AI audience. Here, we detail a data-driven approach to vehicle price modeling and its component price estimation by leveraging a combination of concepts from machine learning and game theory. We show an alternative to common teardown methodologies and surveying approaches for component and vehicle price estimation at the manufacturer's suggested retail price (MSRP) level that has the advantage of bypassing uncertainties involved in gathering teardown data, the need to perform expensive and biased surveying, and the need to perform retail price equivalent or indirect cost multiplier adjustments to mark up direct manufacturing costs to MSRP. This novel exercise not only provides accurate pricing of the technologies at the customer level, but also shows the, a priori known, large gaps in pricing strategies between manufacturers, vehicle classes, market segments, etc. There is also clear interaction between the price of technologies and other specifications present in vehicles. Those results are indication that old methods of manufacturer-level component costing, aggregation, and application of flat and rigid adjustment factors should be carefully examined. The findings are based on a database developed by Argonne, which includes over 64,000 vehicles covering MY1990 to MY2020 with hundreds of vehicle specs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Graphite waste classification and disposal cost estimation for high temperature gas and salt reactors

As high-temperature reactor designs progress to demonstration, managing the radioactive wastes from these systems presents unique challenges. This work explores the irradiated graphite source term produced by three reactor designs: The Modular High Temperature Gas reactor (MHTGR), a pebble-bed High Temperature Gas Reactor (pb-HTGR), and a Fluoride-cooled High-temperature Reactor (FHR). We predicted a C-14 concentration of 4.3 Ci/m 3 for the MHTGR, 1.2 Ci/m 3 for the pebble bed HTGR, and 2.5 Ci/m 3 for the gFHR after 20 years of operation. The final C-14 concentration highly depended on the graphite nitrogen impurity, a major precursor for C-14. The C-14 concentration in all reactor types exceeded the 0.8 Ci/m3 threshold, resulting in a Class C waste classification. The costs associated with accepting the graphite after 20 years in a low-level waste disposal facility were projected to be 255 dollars per kWe for the MHTGR, 248 dollars per kWe for the pb-HTGR, and 56.8 dollars per kWe for the FHR.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Process-based cost estimation framework for assessing economic viability of environmentally and socially sustainable rare earth element feedstocks

Rare Earth Elements (REEs) are critical raw material inputs that are required to enable the energy transition. Constraints on the U.S. supply of conventional REE feedstocks and the desire to diversify U.S. reliance on foreign supply chains have motivated the pursuit of REE recovery from unconventional feedstocks including waste products. Recovery of REEs from unconventional sources is also motivated by environmental and social considerations, including the potential to offset new mining activity and subsidize the remediation of REE-containing wastes from coal, natural gas, and other mineral extraction activities. Sourcing REEs from unconventional feedstocks would reduce supply chain constraints and minimize the environmental impacts of REE extraction, but current processes to exploit these feedstocks have uncertain technical and economic performance and the processes have not been demonstrated at scale. This work aims to reduce uncertainty in evaluating the performance of new REE production pathways. A database of operating and capital expenses for REE recovery and establish consistent process unit costs for common stages in the conventional supply chain are developed. Market prices are used to develop well-defined methods for determining product values for a diverse set of products that can be generated (e.g. oxalates, alloys, end-use products such as magnets) but are not typically considered in technoeconomic analyses. Finally, to provide insight on the effects of economies of scale and feedstock purity on capital and operating costs, process unit level cost functions relating total costs per kilogram of REE produced are reported. These tools can be applied to assess and facilitate scale-up of REE production from diverse sources of REEs.

Fritz, Alison↗

Energy Consumption, Performance, and Cost Estimates for Medium and Heavy-Duty Vehicles Based on 2022 Assumptions

Assumptions for this work was collected and the analysis was completed in FY22. This contains information for more than 20 types of medium and heavy duty vehicles. Vehicles with various levels of hybridization, electric and fuel cell powertrains are considered in this work. More details are available in the report published by Argonne accessible from https://vms.taps.anl.gov/research-highlights/u-s-doe-vto-hfto-r-d-benefits/. TechScape, a convenient data visualization tool is also provided by Argonne for this data, accessible from [TechScape Web](https://vms.taps.anl.gov/data/techscape-web-2023/).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

One Earth Energy CO 2 Capture Facility FEED Study and Class 4 Cost Estimate

The One Earth Energy (OEE) plant in Gibson City, Illinois produces ethanol through a corn fermentation process. For this project, the maximum possible ethanol production rate for this facility is 160 million gallons per year (MMgal/yr) based on discussions with plant personnel regarding recent annual production rates and any foreseeable plans or possibilities to increase ethanol production at this facility. Yeast ferments the corn mash to produce ethanol and produces carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) as a by-product at the same time. The CO 2 bubbles out of the mash and flows through a packed bed water scrubber to remove volatile organic compounds before the gas vents to atmosphere. CO 2 will be captured after it has passed through the existing scrubber.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Complete the Design, Cost Estimate, Assembly Plan, and Operating Instructions for a Bench-Scale Packed-Bed Tubular Methanol Catalyst Testing System

This report details the design of a test stand that converts carbon dioxide and hydrogen into methanol via a two-step process. The first step is a reverse water-gas shift reaction, carried out at 600°C and 25 bar to reduce carbon dioxide to carbon monoxide, and the second is a synthesis reaction that forms methanol at 260°C and 75 bar. The purpose of the system is to test catalysts for each of these steps. The test stand produces approximately 1.5 gallons of crude methanol (methanol mixed with water) per day, and recycles unreacted syngas for increased efficiency. At peak recycle, the stand is expected to consume 0.29 cylinders per day of carbon dioxide and 1.43 cylinders per day of hydrogen. It is planned to be built next to the Blue Star electrolysis unit in the Energy Systems Laboratory (ESL) and includes future plans of acquiring hydrogen from that stand rather than gas cylinders. At this phase of research, three key documents have been produced, as summarized in Table 1. These documents are primarily intended to describe the system and its operation, demonstrate that selected components are appropriate for the intended application, identify potential hazards, safeguards, and mitigation strategies, and ensure that the system is designed to appropriate standards. The body of the report and its appendices provide a narrative of the work completed in FY25. The parts required to build the test stand will be procured and assembled in FY26. Testing will be conducted in the final quarter.

10 - SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Options, Initial Design Requirements, Estimated Costs, Reactor Commitments, and Potential Uses of a Graphite Leadout Type Experiment Supporting Various Commercial HTR Vendors

Multiple commercial High Temperature Reactor (HTR) vendors and nuclear graphite suppliers would benefit by collaborating on a new irradiation capsule(s) that would include graphite grades not included within the AGC Experiment. This new irradiation capsule(s) would provide data to answer vendor graphite licensing issues. Rather than spending money (and especially) time in designing separate irradiation capsules for each designer, the capsule(s) would be used for multiple graphite and composite designs to maximize efficiency and promote multiple HTR designs. However, the primary motivation for assisting vendors with this new irradiation capsule(s) is lack of availability in the existing Material Test Reactors (MTRs). Cost reduction is a secondary goal. A common, collaborative, capsule design can be achieved for graphite and composites due to the similarity of different grades. Irradiation, disassembly, shipping, and PIE costs would be cost-shared by all users. It is anticipated that interest would extend across all DOE campaigns (micro-Rx, SMR, GCR, MSR, etc.) due to the similar requirements for all graphite grades.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Initial Engineering Design of a Post-Combustion CO 2 Capture (PCC) System for Duke Energy’s East Bend Station Using Membrane-Based Technology

The Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) led a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) funded study for a membrane-based post-combustion CO 2 capture (PCC) system retrofit to an existing U.S. coal power plant. EPRI teamed with technology suppliers, Membrane Technology and Research (MTR), engineering consultants Nexant, Trimeric Corporation and Bechtel Power Corporation, to develop a first-of-a-kind initial design and cost estimate for a PCC system at Duke Energy’s East Bend Station (EBS) in Kentucky. This project provides a comprehensive overview of the plant design proposed and develops estimated costs to within +/- 30% accuracy for retrofitting the existing EBS coal-fired power plant with the latest MTR’s second-generation Polaris™ membrane technology for CO 2 flue gas removal. The projects primary objective was to develop a design for Duke Energy that will require “minimally invasive surgery” on their existing 600-MWe coal-fired power plant, located on the Ohio River in Boone County, Kentucky. Unlike the current commercially available solvent-based capture systems that require a reliable source of steam to operate, the MTR membrane-based capture system is driven primarily by electric power. This direct, bolt-on approach to retrofitting carbon capture could potentially reduce the impact on the existing power plant, by minimal disruption of the existing facility’s infrastructure and operating procedures. This may also reduce the amount of retrofit downtime before the power plant can resume normal operations. A second objective was to reduce the cost of each ton of captured CO 2 while maintaining the existing 600 MW net output of the East Bend Station. With this aim in mind, various options to provide the necessary auxiliary power for the capture system were evaluated for the site. The full report describes in detail the overall design, layout and components of the entire EBS membrane capture system. The equipment and sizes, the capital cost estimate encompassing both engineering design and construction for the carbon capture process and balance of plant systems is presented. A detailed techno-economic analysis is also undertaken to examine the business case for capture.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment (EVSE) Site Assessment Report for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Chena Site Near Fairbanks, Alaska

This report presents an analysis of the requirements for charging station installation and electric vehicle operation at the US Army Corps of Engineers - Chena Site, located in a cold weather climate in the Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK. The report includes findings from a site visit, and a detailed electric vehicle (EV) charging site plan with cost estimates. Cost for three 50-ampere pedestal chargers located on the edge of the existing parking lot is estimated at $\$$53,100, and the cost of three 80-ampere chargers is estimated at $\$$89,400. The authors did not assess the cost of a heated garage. The USACE Chena site reaches extreme cold temperatures of -40 Degrees Celsius (-40 Degrees Fahrenheit) and below in a typical winter, often for days on end. Considerations of operating EVs as well as electrical vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) at this site can be applicable to other cold or extremely cold locations. Interviews with EV users in cold climates and a literature review indicated that EVs operate well but have significantly decreased range compared to 21 Degrees Celsius (70 Degrees Fahrenheit) operations. Some strategies such as prewarming the vehicle while it is plugged in and using heated seats and steering wheel instead of cabin heat, can improve cold weather performance. Storing the EV in a garage would mean the battery and cabin are automatically preheated, the battery would not age as rapidly as when the vehicle is stored outside, and problems with charging the vehicle are less likely. Lowest temperate-rated Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment (EVSE), as electric vehicle chargers are known as, are rated to -40 Degrees Celsius (-40 Degrees Fahrenheit), and sometimes malfunction. No EVSE is rated to the temperatures that USACE Chena site experienced for more than a week in winter 2023-4, of -50 Degrees Celsius (-45 Degrees Fahrenheit) and which are typical for the area. If reliability is a must, entities may want to consider a heated garage to minimize potential problems with charging equipment. There is a companion technical report to this titled "Electric Vehicle and Charging Infrastructure Assessment in Cold-Weather Climates: A Case Study of Fairbanks, Alaska" that examines the data on EV and EVSE cold-weather functionality in more detail. (Esparza, Truffer Moudra, and Hodge 2024).

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Economic solution for low carbon process heat: A horizontal, compact high temperature gas reactor

In 2018, nuclear energy generated 55% of United States’ and one third of the world’s carbon free electricity, making nuclear energy a key tool in efforts to mitigate climate change before 2050. However, the current nuclear technology, light water reactors (LWRs), is limited to 300°C, so it cannot be used to decarbonize industrial process heat which accounts for 12% of US greenhouse gas emissions. High temperature gas reactors (HTGRs) can meet the high temperature demand with carbon free nuclear heat. The estimated cost of HTGRs, such as the Next Generation Nuclear Plant (NGNP), are even higher than state-of-the-art LWRs. In this paper, we expanded our nuclear cost estimating tool to include HTGRs and find that the NGNP overnight capital costs were 32% higher than an advanced LWR per unit capacity. The higher cost will naturally result in larger risk to cost overrun as recently experienced by larger LWRs in western nations. With a design-to-build mindset to minimize cost and construction risk, we introduce the horizontal, compact HTGR (HC-HTGR). The reactor core and steam generator are mounted horizontally on rails and in-line with one another, decreasing the size of the reactor building relative to the power capacity four times when compared to traditional HTGRs. The HC-HTGR reduced overnight civil structure costs by 42%, indirect costs by 38%, and total capital costs by 20% from NGNP. We discussed the required engineering of new systems for the HC-HTGR including vessel supports, the reactor cavity cooling system, and steam generator design. Finally, we estimated the fuel and operations costs of the HC-HTGR, and a survey of low-carbon industrial process heat technology showed the HC-HTGR can deliver a highly competitive levelized cost of heat in the range of $6.13–12.48/GJ.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Manufacturing Cost Analysis of Advanced Parabolic Trough Collector

The research team performed a detailed bottom-up manufacturing cost estimate for an advanced parabolic trough design - the Solar Dynamics Sunbeam-MT (Sunbeam Mid-Term). This includes all components for manufacturing and assembly in a manufacturing facility (e.g. space frame and arms), and the purchased parts (e.g. mirrors and receiver tubes). Estimates of the construction and assembly activities have been made to then determine an estimated installed cost. Prior analysis has already undertaken detailed bottom-up manufacturing, assembly, and construction analysis for the Ultimate Trough from schlaich bergermann partner (sbp), and this work updates the solar field cost estimates based on a similar aperture area as the SunBeam-MT. For this analysis, the Ultimate Trough is considered the commercial parabolic trough and the Sunbeam-MT as the advanced parabolic trough. For similarity, both the Sunbeam-MT and the Ultimate Trough have been modelled with a solar field with approximately 800,000 square meters (m2) in aperture area - the equivalent of a large CSP plant. The analysis has found a potential installed cost estimate of the Sunbeam-MT could be $120/m2 but must be built at scale to confirm this estimate. Compared to prior analysis, the commercial Ultimate Trough using U.S. conditions, has reduced in installed cost from $178/m2 to $152/m2. Both designs could be even cheaper with Chinese steel.

cost analysis↗