Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “CLOSURES”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 55 records · Page 3

Brassinosteroid reduces ABA accumulation leading to the inhibition of ABA-induced stomatal closure

Highlights: • ABA strengthened BL-induced stomatal closure. • Expression of OST1 was induced by BL, and BL-induced stomatal closure required OST1. • Inhibition of ABA-induced stomatal closure by BR was due to reduced ABA accumulation. Proper regulation of stomatal movement in response to various environmental stresses or developmental status is critical for the adaptation of many plant species to land. In plants, abscisic acid (ABA)-induced stomatal closure is a well-adapted method of regulating water status. In addition to ABA, we previously showed that plant-specific steroidal hormone, brassinosteroid (BR), also induces stomatal closure; however, BR modulates ABA-induced stomatal closure negatively at high concentrations. In this study, we further investigated the cross-talk between ABA and BR in relation to stomatal movement. In contrast to previous reports that ABA-induced stomatal closure was inhibited by brassinolide (BL), the most active BR, we showed that BL-induced stomatal closure was enhanced by ABA, indicating that the sequence of ABA or BL treatments led to different results. We found that this phenomenon occurred because the guard cells still had the capacity to be closed further by ABA, as the degree of stomatal closure by BL was always less than that by ABA. We also found that BL-induced stomatal closure required Open Stomata 1 (OST1) activity and the induced expression of OST1 was indifferent to the sequence of ABA and/or BL treatments. In addition, we examined the underlying mechanism by which inhibition of ABA-induced stomatal closure by BL occurred. We revealed that the downregulation of ABA-biosynthetic genes by BL resulted in a lower accumulation of ABA. These results suggested that the regulation of stomatal movement is finely controlled by the combined effects of plant hormones, ABA and BR.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

A learned closure method applied to phase mixing in a turbulent gradient-driven gyrokinetic system in simple geometry

We present a new method for formulating closures that learn from kinetic simulation data. We apply this method to phase mixing in a simple gyrokinetic turbulent system – temperature-gradient-driven turbulence in an unsheared slab. The closure, called the learned multi-mode (LMM) closure, is constructed by, first, extracting an optimal basis from a nonlinear kinetic simulation using singular value decomposition. Subsequent nonlinear fluid simulations are projected onto this basis and the results are used to formulate the closure. We compare the closure with other closures schemes over a broad range of the relevant two-dimensional parameter space (collisionality and gradient drive). We find that the turbulent kinetic system produces phase-mixing rates much lower than the linear expectations, which the LMM closure is capable of capturing. We also compare radial heat fluxes. A Hammett–Perkins closure, generalized to include collisional effects, is quite successful throughout the parameter space, producing ${\sim }14\,\%$ root-mean-square (r.m.s.) error. The LMM closure is also very effective: when trained at three (two) points (in a 35 point parameter grid), the LMM closure produces $8\,\%$ ( $12\,\%$ ) r.m.s. errors. The LMM procedure can be readily generalized to other closure problems.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Machine Learning Moment Closure Models for the Radiative Transfer Equation III: Enforcing Hyperbolicity and Physical Characteristic Speeds

This is the third paper in a series in which we develop machine learning (ML) moment closure models for the radiative transfer equation. In our previous work (Huang et al. in J Comput Phys 453:110941, 2022), we proposed an approach to learn the gradient of the unclosed high order moment, which performs much better than learning the moment itself and the conventional $P_N$ closure. However, while the ML moment closure has better accuracy, it is not able to guarantee hyperbolicity and has issues with long time stability. In our second paper (Huang et al., in: Machine learning moment closure models for the radiative transfer equation II: enforcing global hyperbolicity in gradient based closures, 2021. arXiv:2105.14410), we identified a symmetrizer which leads to conditions that enforce that the gradient based ML closure is symmetrizable hyperbolic and stable over long time. The limitation of this approach is that in practice the highest moment can only be related to four, or fewer, lower moments. In this paper, we propose a new method to enforce the hyperbolicity of the ML closure model. Motivated by the observation that the coefficient matrix of the closure system is a lower Hessenberg matrix, we relate its eigenvalues to the roots of an associated polynomial. Here, we design two new neural network architectures based on this relation. The ML closure model resulting from the first neural network is weakly hyperbolic and guarantees the physical characteristic speeds, i.e., the eigenvalues are bounded by the speed of light. The second model is strictly hyperbolic and does not guarantee the boundedness of the eigenvalues. Several benchmark tests including the Gaussian source problem and the two-material problem show the good accuracy, stability and generalizability of our hyperbolic ML closure model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A reinvestigation into Munson’s model for room closure in bedded rock salt

Accurate predictions of room closure are important for hazardous waste repositories in rock salt formations, such as the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP). When Munson and co-workers simulated several room closure experiments conducted at the WIPP during the 1980’s and 1990’s, their simulated closure curves closely agreed with the closure measurements. A careful review of their work, however, raised concerns and prompted the reinvestigation in this paper. Here, to begin the reinvestigation, Munson’s legacy Room D closure simulation was reasonably recreated in a current-day finite element code. Next, special care was taken to obtain numerically converged results, re-introduce the anhydrite strata intermittently ignored by Munson, and calibrate the Munson–Dawson (M–D) constitutive model for salt as much as possible from laboratory test measurements. When this new model was used to simulate Room D’s closure, it under-predicted the horizontal and vertical closure rates by 2.34x and 3.10x, respectively, at 5.7 years after room excavation. As a result, the M–D model was extended to capture the newly established creep behavior at low equivalent stresses (<8 MPa) and replace the Tresca with the Hosford equivalent stress. Simulations using the new M–D model over-predicted the horizontal closure rate by 1.15x and under-predicted the vertical closure rate by 1.08x at 5.7 years, averaged over three room closure experiments. Although further improvements could be made, the new model has a stronger scientific foundation than Munson’s legacy model and appears ready for careful engineering use.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Study of Physics-Informed Deep Learning for System Fluid Dynamics Closures

The sub-grid-scale (SGS) physics models, or so-called closure relations (CR), are essential in thermal-fluid modeling and simulation codes, ranging from large-eddy simulation to system-level thermo-fluid dynamic problems. While details vary, all thermo-fluid codes solve coupled mass-momentum-energy conservation partial differential equations (PDE). Traditionally, the analytical form of closure models has to be known, and then we calibrate the model using data from a set of applicable experiments. Characteristically, it takes long effort to gain insights and mechanistic understanding needed for developing closure models. Such a model is a compact form of data. The long time required for new model development limits the pace of model application while dealing with new geometries, new coolants or system conditions, particularly in newly designed systems. Alternative to mechanistic and semi-analytical models, it is possible to discover the pattern of closure relations by applying the modern machine learning methods to the body of relevant experimental data. Deep learning (DL) is a relatively new branch in the machine learning family, and a major breakthrough has been achieved since Hinton introduces a fast algorithm to efficiently train a feed-forward neural network (NN) with multilayer perceptrons. Generally, any NN with more than two layers is considered as deep learning, and it contains a large number of hyper-parameters to achieve pattern recognition or regression for complex datasets. Hornik shows that multilayer NN is compatible with universal approximation theorem. There is no constraint for a multilayer NN to capture the properties of any measurable information. This capability makes DL attractive for closure models in a system thermal-hydraulic code. As system geometry and/or operating conditions change, new physical experiments (increasingly sophisticated) are conducted to support evaluation and revision of closure models. Such a so-called data-driven modeling relaxes the structural form of system codes to directly assimilate data instead of hard-wiring the model to pre-calibrated correlations. The objective of this research is to enable cost-effective development of a DL-based closure that reflects the data. The previous work on applying machine learning techniques to fluid dynamics focused on statistical learning with basic NN from direct numerical simulations (DNS) dataset. In the present work, we show that DL-based closure models can cause the fluid calculation to diverge if multilayer NN is used. To address the issue, we investigate conditions by which the DL-based closure models work compatibly, stably, and effectively with PDE-constrained forward prediction problems. Optimally meeting the compatibility conditions constitutes a physics-informed deep learning (PIDL) strategy. We refer to this process as PDE-constrained machine learning or PDE-ML. To develop the technical basis for PDE-ML using DL-based fluid dynamics closure, numerical experiments are performed for manufactured problems of increasing complexity. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Applying understanding of likelihood and consequences to demonstrate post-closure criticality safety of a geological disposal facility - 14377

Radioactive Waste Management (RWM) is responsible for implementing geological disposal of the UK's higher activity wastes. These wastes include significant quantities of fissile nuclides and, therefore, demonstration of criticality safety under disposal conditions forms an important component of RWM's disposal system safety case. At the time of disposal, controls (e.g. fissile material limits and/or water barriers) will ensure that waste packages are sub-critical. These controls, plus the containment provided by the engineered barrier system of a geological disposal facility (GDF) will also ensure that criticality is prevented for a long time after disposal. However, over post-closure timescales conditions in the GDF will evolve, and therefore underpinning knowledge is required to demonstrate: under what conditions criticality could occur; what the likelihood of such conditions developing is; and what the consequences would be if a post-closure criticality did occur. These requirements are set out in the UK environment agencies' Guidance on Requirements for Authorisation of a GDF. This paper discusses the disposal of Pressurised Water Reactor fuel, as an example of a waste type that may require disposal. It briefly selects relevant research to combine and summarise results from three recent RWM research projects. The first 'Likelihood of Criticality' considered under what conditions post-closure criticality could occur, whilst a second 'Modelling of Consequences of Hypothetical Criticality' focused on understanding the local physical consequences (temperature rise, power and rock response) of hypothetical 'what-if' post-closure criticality. The paper then explains how this understanding is applied to make safety arguments as to why post-closure criticality is not a significant concern. This is achieved via a third, stream of work that has considered the effects of a potential criticality on pathways that might give rise to a post-closure risk in the future, such as transport of radionuclides in groundwater. Collectively RWMs post-closure criticality safety work allows us to conclude in our generic environmental safety case that a post closure criticality is a low likelihood event, and even if one of these low likelihood events was to occur its consequences would be insignificant to GDF performance. This paper also serves to give context to two companion UK post-closure criticality safety papers which communicate further information on our modelling development and more detailed results underpinning our demonstration of post-closure criticality safety. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Closure Report for Corrective Action Unit 547: Miscellaneous Contaminated Waste Sites, Nevada National Security Site, Nevada

This Closure Report (CR) presents information supporting closure of Corrective Action Unit (CAU) 547, Miscellaneous Contaminated Waste Sites, and provides documentation supporting the completed corrective actions and confirmation that closure objectives for CAU 547 were met. This CR complies with the requirements of the Federal Facility Agreement and Consent Order (FFACO) that was agreed to by the State of Nevada; the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Environmental Management; the U.S. Department of Defense; and DOE, Legacy Management (FFACO, 1996 as amended). CAU 547 consists of the following three Corrective Action Sites (CASs), located in Areas 2, 3, and 9 of the Nevada National Security Site: (1) CAS 02-37-02, Gas Sampling Assembly; (2) CAS 03-99-19, Gas Sampling Assembly; AND (3) CAS 09-99-06, Gas Sampling Assembly Closure activities began in August 2011 and were completed in June 2012. Activities were conducted according to the Corrective Action Decision Document/Corrective Action Plan (CADD/CAP) for CAU 547 (U.S. Department of Energy, National Nuclear Security Administration Nevada Site Office [NNSA/NSO], 2011). The recommended corrective action for the three CASs in CAU 547 was closure in place with administrative controls. The following closure activities were performed: (1) Open holes were filled with concrete; (2) Steel casings were placed over vertical expansion joints and filled with cement; (3) Engineered soil covers were constructed over piping and exposed sections of the gas sampling system components; (4) Fencing, monuments, Jersey barriers, radiological postings, and use restriction (UR) warning signs were installed around the perimeters of the sites; (5) Housekeeping debris was picked up from around the sites and disposed; and (6) Radiological surveys were performed to confirm final radiological postings. UR documentation is included in Appendix D. The post-closure plan was presented in detail in the CADD/CAP for CAU 547 and is included as Appendix F of this report. The requirements are summarized in Section 5.2 of this report. The proposed post-closure requirements consist of visual inspections to determine the condition of postings and radiological surveys to verify contamination has not migrated. NNSA/NSO requests the following: (1) A Notice of Completion from the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection to NNSA/NSO for closure of CAU 547; and (2) The transfer of CAU 547 from Appendix III to Appendix IV, Closed Corrective Action Units, of the FFACO.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Closure Report for Corrective Action Unit 573: Alpha Contaminated Sites Nevada National Security Site, Nevada with ROTC 1

This Closure Report (CR) presents information supporting the closure of Corrective Action Unit (CAU) 573: Alpha Contaminated Sites, Nevada National Security Site, Nevada. CAU 573 comprises the two corrective action sites (CASs): 05-23-02-GMX Alpha Contaminated Are-Closure in Place and 05-45-01-Atmospheric Test Site - Hamilton- Clean Closure. The purpose of this CR is to provide justification and documentation supporting the recommendation that no further corrective action is needed for CAU 573 based on the implementation of the corrective actions. Corrective action activities were performed at Hamilton from May 25 through June 30, 2016; and at GMX from May 25 to October 27, 2016, as set forth in the Corrective Action Decision Document (CADD)/Corrective Action Plan (CAP) for Corrective Action Unit 573: Alpha Contaminated Sites; and in accordance with the Soils Activity Quality Assurance Plan, which establishes requirements, technical planning, and general quality practices. Verification sample results were evaluated against data quality objective criteria developed by stakeholders that included representatives from the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection and the DOE, National Nuclear Security Administration Nevada Field Office (NNSA/NFO) during the corrective action alternative (CAA) meeting held on November 24, 2015. Radiological doses exceeding the final action level were assumed to be present within the high contamination areas associated with CAS 05-23-02, thus requiring corrective action. It was also assumed that radionuclides were present at levels that require corrective action within the soil/debris pile associated with CAS 05-45-01. During the CAU 573 CAA meeting, the CAA of closure in place with a use restriction (UR) was selected by the stakeholders as the preferred corrective action of the high contamination areas at CAS 05-23-02 (GMX), which contain high levels of removable contamination; and the CAA of clean closure was selected by the stakeholders as preferred corrective action for the debris pile at CAS 05-45-01 (Hamilton). The closure in place was accomplished by posting signs containing a warning label on the existing contamination area fence line; and recording the FFACO UR and administrative UR in the FFACO database, the NNSA/NFO CAU/CAS files, and the management and operating contractor Geographic Information Systems. The clean closure was accomplished by excavating the soil/debris pile, disposing of the contents at the Area 5 Radioactive Waste Management Complex, and collecting verification samples. The corrective actions were implemented as stipulated in the CADD/CAP, and verification sample results confirm that the criteria for the completion of corrective actions have been met. Based on the implementation of these corrective actions, NNSA/NFO provides the following recommendations: No further corrective actions are necessary for CAU 573; The Nevada Division of Environmental Protection should issue a Notice of Completion to NNSA/NFO for closure of CAU 573; CAU 573 should be moved from Appendix III to Appendix IV of the FFACO.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Linearly exact parallel closures for slab geometry

Parallel closures are obtained by solving a linearized kinetic equation with a model collision operator using the Fourier transform method. The closures expressed in wave number space are exact for time-dependent linear problems to within the limits of the model collision operator. In the adiabatic, collisionless limit, an inverse Fourier transform is performed to obtain integral (nonlocal) parallel closures in real space; parallel heat flow and viscosity closures for density, temperature, and flow velocity equations replace Braginskii's parallel closure relations, and parallel flow velocity and heat flow closures for density and temperature equations replace Spitzer's parallel transport relations. It is verified that the closures reproduce the exact linear response function of Hammett and Perkins [Phys. Rev. Lett. 64, 3019 (1990)] for Landau damping given a temperature gradient. In contrast to their approximate closures where the vanishing viscosity coefficient numerically gives an exact response, our closures relate the heat flow and nonvanishing viscosity to temperature and flow velocity (gradients)

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Closures for Two-fluid Five-moment Equations for Magnetized Plasmas (Final Scientific Report)

In the proposed work, we will develop a complete set of closures for two-fluid five-moment equations for magnetized plasmas. Specifically, we propose to obtain explicit formulas for electrons and ions to express heat flow, viscosity, frictional force, and collisional heating in terms of density, and temperature, flow velocity. For this purpose, we solve a set of general moment equations for the relevant closure moments. An infinite hierarchy of general moment equations is completely equivalent to the original Landau-Fokker-Planck kinetic equation. In the small gyro-period expansion, the parallel components of the general moment equations agree with the moments of the drift-kinetic equation (DKE). The advantages of solving the moment equations include (i) an exact treatment of the collision operator, (ii) closure and transport relations with no flux-surface average, and (iii) a unified form of closures for general collisionality. Practically we solve a truncated set of moment equations and hence must verify the convergence of the solutions by increasing number of moments. The parallel integral (nonlocal) closures obtained by solving a set of linearized parallel moment equations are useful only when the nonlinear coupling of moments to the temperature and magnetic field gradient terms is negligible. When the nonlinear coupling terms are substantial, we propose a Fourier transform method to solve the parallel moment equations. By Fourier-expanding the magnetic field, we can convert the differential equations of parallel moments to linear algebraic equations for Fourier components of the moments. The convergence of the solutions can be confirmed by increasing the number of Fourier modes. Our preliminary study in axisymmetric circular magnetic geometry with a large aspect ratio shows that (i) the solutions for Fourier modes n=0 and n=1 converge when modes up to n=2 are included in the expansion, and (ii) lower collisionality requires more moments for convergent closures, as in the case of the integral closures. The proposed work will start from this simple magnetic geometry to find general parallel closures and then be generalized to explore a non-circular magnetic field with finite aspect-ratio. With parallel moments known, the perpendicular component of moment closures can be obtained by inverting the generalized cross product operator in the general moment equations. These efforts will be performed in conjunction with several multi-institutional projects, NIMROD, the Center for Extended MHD Modeling (CEMM), and the Plasma Science and Innovation (PSI) Center.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Recommendations for DOT 7A Type A Drum Closure and Drop Testing with Additional 49 CFR 173.465(c)(2) Testing and Analysis

The Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) is in the process of developing recommendation for the U S. Department of Energy contractors and vendors who want to qualify drums as U S. Department of Transportation (DOT) 7A Type A to meet 49 CFR 173.465 drop testing requirements for fissile and non-ftssile material to maintain containment. Based on the finite element analysis (FEA) models, the safety features suffering the maximum damage that result in loss of containment are identified as the closure ring mechanism (in entirety), the top (mouth area) of the drum, and the lid (including the gasket). The maximum damage is measured in terms of the collective ability of these combined three safety features to maintain containment. As such, both drop testing and FEA were performed to determine the sensitivities of these safety features to drop variations. As part of this effort, a series of physical drop tests and FEAs were conducted at SRNL. These tests used Skolnik drums, CQ5508L (see Attachment 1), which are open DOT 7A Type A open- head carbon steel 208-liter (55-gallon) drums with 12-gauge bolted closure rings. Variables studied were (1) stress relief methods during closure ring installation, (2) content configurations, and (3) drum orientations during a 4-foot free fall. It should be noted that the Skolnik CQ5508L drums have a closure ring with a "V shaped" cross section. (1) The closure testing with analysis confirmed that closure stress relief by rapping is necessary to distribute the closure ring tension around the perimeter and to maintain sufficient closure pre-load for lid retention during 4-foot drops of the heavier packages (500 to 1,000 lbs). It was concluded that no specific style of stress relief is preferred (e g., multi-step rapping/torqueing process, heavy hits vs. light hits, hitting near closure vs. away), as long as no additional change in bolt torque occurs with additional rapping. (2) (3) Modeling indicated that maximum damage is a result of both: (2) content configuration and (3) drop orientation. The worst-case content configuration is one with an eccentrically loaded concentrated content mass. FEA modeling showed that the center- of-gravity over top (CGoT) with the eccentric content on the high side was the orientation of maximum damage relative to drum lid retention. In this content configuration (i.e., CGoT), FEA modeling showed payloads over 500 lbs were required to contain a load distribution plate between content and lid. Both analysis and testing showed the drum with distribution plate can pass the 4-foot CGoT drop.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Post-Closure Inspection Report for the Tonopah Test Range and Nevada Test and Training Range, Nevada for Calendar Year 2020 (Rev. 0)

This report provides the results of the annual post-closure use restriction (UR) inspections at corrective action sites (CASs) located on the Tonopah Test Range (TTR) and Nevada Test and Training Range (NTTR). This report covers post-closure UR inspections for calendar year 2020, and includes visual inspections and repair activities completed at the following corrective action units (CAUs): • CAU 407, Roller Coaster RadSafe Area (TTR) • CAU 424, Area 3 Landfill Complexes (TTR) • CAU 453, Area 9 UXO Landfill (TTR) • CAU 487, Thunderwell Site (TTR). Note: CAU 400, Bomblet Pit and Five Points Landfill (TTR) (CASs TA-19-001-05PT, Ordnance Disposal Pit; and TA-55-00-TAB2, Ordnance Disposal Pit) no longer requires inspection and reporting, as described in the Post-Closure Inspection Report for the Tonopah Test Range and Nevada Test and Training Range, Nevada for Calendar Year 2019. Site figures are included in Appendix A. The Post-Closure Inspection Plans and Record of Technical Change modifying the requirements for each UR are included in Appendix B. The Post-Closure Inspection Checklists are included in Appendix C. Field Notes are included in Appendix D. Appendix E, Inspection Photographs, does not include photographs because none were taken during the 2020 post-closure inspections. Appendix F, Post-Closure Vegetation Monitoring Report, does not include any data because vegetation monitoring was not conducted or required at any CAU in 2020. Visual inspections were conducted according to the post-closure requirements outlined in specific CAU and CAS URs, and approved by NDEP. The annual post-closure inspections for CASs associated with CAUs 407, 424, 453, and 487 were conducted on May 20, 2020. No maintenance or repair issues were noted at CAUs 487, or at CASs associated with CAU 424 (except CASs 03-08-002-A304 and 03-08-002-A308). Maintenance items and subsequent repairs include the following: • CAU 407, CAS TA-23-001-TARC (Roller Coaster RadSafe Area): A UR sign was loose and was rehung during the inspection. • CAU 424, CAS 03-08-002-A304 (Landfill Cell A3-4): The northeast monument needed a UR sign. The UR sign was attached to the monument on August 11, 2020. • CAU 424, CAS 03-08-002-A308 (Landfill Cell A3-8): The southeast monument needed additional lava rock. The lava rock was added during the inspection. • CAU 453, CAS 09-55-001-0952 (Area 9 Landfill): Two animal burrows were noted in the western portion of the northern and southern trenches (one burrow per trench). The animal burrows were repaired on August 11, 2020.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Investigating the Effect of the Closure in Partially-Averaged Navier–Stokes Equations

For this study, the importance of the turbulence closure to the modeling accuracy of the partially-averaged Navier–Stokes equations (PANS) is investigated in prediction of the flow around a circular cylinder at Reynolds number of 3900. A series of PANS calculations at various degrees of physical resolution is conducted using three Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes equations (RANS)-based closures: the standard, shear-stress transport (SST), and turbulent/nonturbulent (TNT) k–ω models. The latter is proposed in this work. The results illustrate the dependence of PANS on the closure. At coarse physical resolutions, a narrower range of scales is resolved so that the influence of the closure on the simulations accuracy increases significantly. Among all closures, PANS–TNT achieves the lowest comparison errors. The reduced sensitivity of this closure to freestream turbulence quantities and the absence of auxiliary functions from its governing equations are certainly contributing to this result. It is demonstrated that the use of partial turbulence quantities in such auxiliary functions calibrated for total turbulent (RANS) quantities affects their behavior. On the other hand, the successive increase of physical resolution reduces the relevance of the closure, causing the convergence of the three models toward the same solution. Finally, this outcome is achieved once the physical resolution and closure guarantee the precise replication of the spatial development of the key coherent structures of the flow.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Cost effectiveness of preemptive school closures to mitigate pandemic influenza outbreaks of differing severity in the United States

Background: Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) may be considered as part of national pandemic preparedness as a first line defense against influenza pandemics. Preemptive school closures (PSCs) are an NPI reserved for severe pandemics and are highly effective in slowing influenza spread but have unintended consequences. Methods: We used results of simulated PSC impacts for a 1957-like pandemic (i.e., an influenza pandemic with a high case fatality rate) to estimate population health impacts and quantify PSC costs at the national level using three geographical scales, four closure durations, and three dismissal decision criteria (i.e., the number of cases detected to trigger closures). At the Chicago regional level, we also used results from simulated 1957-like, 1968-like, and 2009-like pandemics. Our net estimated economic impacts resulted from educational productivity costs plus loss of income associated with providing childcare during closures after netting out productivity gains from averted influenza illness based on the number of cases and deaths for each mitigation strategy. Results: For the 1957-like, national-level model, estimated net PSC costs and averted cases ranged from $\$7.5$ billion (2016 USD) averting 14.5 million cases for two-week, community-level closures to $\$97$ billion averting 47 million cases for 12-week, county-level closures. We found that 2-week school-by-school PSCs had the lowest cost per discounted life-year gained compared to county-wide or school district–wide closures for both the national and Chicago regional-level analyses of all pandemics. The feasibility of spatiotemporally precise triggering is questionable for most locales. Theoretically, this would be an attractive early option to allow more time to assess transmissibility and severity of a novel influenza virus. However, we also found that county-wide PSCs of longer durations (8 to 12 weeks) could avert the most cases (31–47 million) and deaths (105,000–156,000); however, the net cost would be considerably greater ($\$88$-$\$103$ billion net of averted illness costs) for the national-level, 1957-like analysis. Conclusions: We found that the net costs per death averted ($\$180,000$-$\$4.2$ million) for the national-level, 1957-like scenarios were generally less than the range of values recommended for regulatory impact analyses ($\$4.6$ to 15.0 million). This suggests that the economic benefits of national-level PSC strategies could exceed the costs of these interventions during future pandemics with highly transmissible strains with high case fatality rates. In contrast, the PSC outcomes for regional models of the 1968-like and 2009-like pandemics were less likely to be cost effective; more targeted and shorter duration closures would be recommended for these pandemics.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

COVID-19-associated school closures and related efforts to sustain education and subsidized meal programs, United States, February 18-June 30, 2020

Pre-emptive school closures are frontline community mitigation measures recommended by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for implementation during severe pandemics. This study describes the spatiotemporal patterns of publicly announced school closures implemented in response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and assesses how public K-12 districts adjusted their methods of education delivery and provision of subsidized meals. During February 18–June 30, 2020, we used daily systematic media searches to identify publicly announced COVID-19–related school closures lasting ≥1 day in the United States (US). We also collected statewide school closure policies from state government websites. Data on distance learning and subsidized meal programs were collected from a stratified sample of 600 school districts. The first COVID-19–associated school closure occurred on February 27, 2020 in Washington state. By March 30, 2020, all but one US public school districts were closed, representing the first-ever nearly synchronous nationwide closure of public K-12 schools in the US. Approximately 100,000 public schools were closed for ≥8 weeks because of COVID-19, affecting >50 million K-12 students. Of 600 districts sampled, the vast majority offered distance learning (91.0%) and continued provision of subsidized meal programs (78.8%) during the closures. Despite the sudden and prolonged nature of COVID-19–associated school closures, schools demonstrated flexibility by implementing distance learning and alternate methods to continue subsidized meal programs.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Closure Report for Corrective Action Unit 413: Clean Slate II Plutonium Dispersion (TTR) Tonopah Test Range, Nevada, Revision 0

This Closure Report (CR) presents information supporting the closure of Corrective Action Unit (CAU) 413: Clean Slate II Plutonium Dispersion (TTR), located on the Tonopah Test Range, Nevada. CAU 413 consists of the release of radionuclides to the surface and shallow subsurface from the conduct of the Clean Slate II storage-transportation test conducted on May 31, 1963. The purpose of this CR is to provide documentation and justification for the clean closure of CAU 413 under the FFACO without further corrective action. This justification is based on historical knowledge of the site, previous site investigations, closure activities conducted at the site, and the results of verification samples. Clean closure activities included excavating and disposing of radiologically contaminated soil and debris in the vicinity of ground zero, and collecting verification samples to support the corrective action of clean closure. Results confirmed that further corrective action is not required at CAU 413. Based on the corrective action activities conducted, clean closure of the site is complete; the closure objectives established in the CADD/CAP have been achieved; and no further corrective action at the site is required.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Simulated Precipitation Diurnal Variation With a Deep Convective Closure Subject to Shallow Convection in Community Atmosphere Model Version 5 Coupled With CLUBB

In order to improve the physical consistency between shallow and deep convection, we modify the deep convective closure in the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) coupled with a third-order turbulence closure parameterization (i.e., Cloud Layers Unified by Binormals; CLUBB). The revised closure reserves a portion of the total convective available potential energy for shallow convection via utilizing the heating and moistening profiles from CLUBB to distribute moisture and energy between shallow and deep convection. Simulations at two resolutions (i.e. 2° and 0.5°, respectively) are conducted to investigate the impacts of convective closure on the simulated precipitation diurnal variations. Results from low-resolution simulations show that the revised closure suppresses deep convection until the lower troposphere is sufficiently moistened by shallow convection, which improves the precipitation diurnal variation simulations compared to the default closure, with the precipitation diurnal peak over tropical lands delayed from 12LST to 19LST. The revised closure better simulates the diurnal variations for precipitation over the Asian monsoon region, such as the delayed precipitation onset, but still fails to well capture the nighttime peak for precipitation there. This deficiency is alleviated to some extent when applying the revised closure in highresolution simulations, but nighttime precipitation is still underestimated probably because key processes responsible for nighttime convection are missing. Altogether, our results indicate that establishing the consistency between shallow and deep convection is critical for the precipitation diurnal cycle simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Variational multiscale reinforcement learning for discovering reduced order closure models of nonlinear spatiotemporal transport systems

Abstract A central challenge in the computational modeling and simulation of a multitude of science applications is to achieve robust and accurate closures for their coarse-grained representations due to underlying highly nonlinear multiscale interactions. These closure models are common in many nonlinear spatiotemporal systems to account for losses due to reduced order representations, including many transport phenomena in fluids. Previous data-driven closure modeling efforts have mostly focused on supervised learning approaches using high fidelity simulation data. On the other hand, reinforcement learning (RL) is a powerful yet relatively uncharted method in spatiotemporally extended systems. In this study, we put forth a modular dynamic closure modeling and discovery framework to stabilize the Galerkin projection based reduced order models that may arise in many nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamical systems with quadratic nonlinearity. However, a key element in creating a robust RL agent is to introduce a feasible reward function, which can be constituted of any difference metrics between the RL model and high fidelity simulation data. First, we introduce a multi-modal RL to discover mode-dependant closure policies that utilize the high fidelity data in rewarding our RL agent. We then formulate a variational multiscale RL (VMRL) approach to discover closure models without requiring access to the high fidelity data in designing the reward function. Specifically, our chief innovation is to leverage variational multiscale formalism to quantify the difference between modal interactions in Galerkin systems. Our results in simulating the viscous Burgers equation indicate that the proposed VMRL method leads to robust and accurate closure parameterizations, and it may potentially be used to discover scale-aware closure models for complex dynamical systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗