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At least 55 records · Page 3
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Coupled Air Quality and Boundary-Layer Meteorology in Western U.S. Basins during Winter: Design and Rationale for a Comprehensive Study

The wintertime episodes of high aerosol concentrations occur frequently in urban and agricultural basins and valleys worldwide. These episodes often arise following development of persistent cold-air pools (PCAPs) that limit mixing and modify chemistry. While field campaigns targeting either basin meteorology or wintertime pollution chemistry have been conducted, coupling between interconnected chemical and meteorological processes remains an insufficiently studied research area. Gaps in understanding the coupled chemical–meteorological interactions that drive high-pollution events make identification of the most effective air-basin specific emission control strategies challenging. To address this, a September 2019 workshop occurred with the goal of planning a future research campaign to investigate air quality in western U.S. basins. Approximately 120 people participated, representing 50 institutions and five countries. Workshop participants outlined the rationale and design for a comprehensive wintertime study that would couple atmospheric chemistry and boundary layer and complex-terrain meteorology within western U.S. basins. Participants concluded the study should focus on two regions with contrasting aerosol chemistry: three populated valleys within Utah (Salt Lake, Utah, and Cache Valleys) and the San Joaquin Valley in California. This paper describes the scientific rationale for a campaign that will acquire chemical and meteorological datasets using airborne platforms with extensive range, coupled to surface-based measurements focusing on sampling within the near-surface boundary layer, and transport and mixing processes within this layer, with high vertical resolution at a number of representative sites. No prior wintertime basin-focused campaign has provided the breadth of observations necessary to characterize the meteorological–chemical linkages outlined here, nor to validate complex processes within coupled atmosphere–chemistry models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Latent space dynamics identification for interface tracking with application to shock-induced pore collapse

Capturing sharp, evolving interfaces remains a central challenge in reduced-order modeling, especially when data is limited and the system exhibits localized nonlinearities or discontinuities. Here, we propose LaSDI-IT (Latent Space Dynamics Identification for Interface Tracking), a data-driven framework that combines low-dimensional latent dynamics learning with explicit interface-aware encoding to enable accurate and efficient modeling of physical systems involving moving material boundaries. At the core of LaSDI-IT is a revised autoencoder architecture that jointly reconstructs the physical field and an indicator function representing material regions or phases, allowing the model to track complex interface evolution without requiring detailed physical models or mesh adaptation. The latent dynamics are learned through linear regression in the encoded space and generalized across parameter regimes using Gaussian process interpolation with greedy sampling. We demonstrate LaSDI-IT on the problem of shock-induced pore collapse in high explosives, a process characterized by sharp temperature gradients and dynamically deforming pore geometries. The method achieves relative prediction errors below 9% across the parameter space, accurately recovers key quantities of interest such as pore area and hot spot formation, and matches the performance of dense training with only half the data. This latent dynamics prediction was 10 6 times faster than the conventional high-fidelity simulation, proving its utility for multi-query applications. These results highlight LaSDI-IT as a general, data-efficient framework for modeling discontinuity-rich systems in computational physics, with potential applications in multiphase flows, fracture mechanics, and phase change problems.

Gaussian process↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Comparison of Solidification Structures and Submicroscale Cellular Segregation in Rapidly Solidified Stainless Steels Produced via Two-Piston Splat Quenching and Laser Powder Bed Fusion

Fusion-based additive manufacturing techniques leverage rapid solidification (RS) conditions to create parts with complex geometries, unique microscale/nanoscale morphological features, and elemental segregation. Three custom composition stainless steel alloys with varying chromium equivalence to nickel equivalence ratio (Cr eq /Ni eq ) between 1.53 and 1.95 were processed using laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) and/or two-piston splat quenching (SQ) to produce solidification rates estimated between 0.4 and 0.8 m/s. Both scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) were utilized to collect high-resolution images, electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) phase identification, and measure cellular segregation. Similar features were observed in both LPBF and SQ samples including phase and microstructure, nanoscale oxide particles, cell size, and segregation behavior. However, dislocation pileup was observed along the cell boundaries only in the LPBF austenite solidified microstructure. Targeted adjustment of the SQ feedstock Cr and Ni concentrations, within the ASTM A240 specification for 316L resulted in no observable impact on the cell size, oxide particle size, or magnitude of segregation. Also, the amount of Ni segregation in the ferrite solidified microstructures did not significantly differ, regardless of Cr/Ni eq or processing technique. Here, SQ is demonstrated as capable of simulating RS rates and microstructures similar to LPBF for use as an alternative screening tool for new RS alloy compositions.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

TRACER-Coastal Urban Boundary-Layer Interactions with Convection (TRACER-CUBIC) Field Campaign Report

To better understand the complicated web of processes governing convective cloud life cycle and aerosol-convection interactions, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility supported deployment of a variety of advanced atmospheric measurement systems to the greater Houston, Texas, area from 1 October 2021 to 30 September 2022 as part of the Tracking Aerosol Convection Interactions Experiment (TRACER). Houston was selected as a study area because isolated convection and a variety of aerosol conditions are common in this region. This one-year ARM Mobile Facility (AMF) deployment featured a four-month intensive operational period (IOP) during summer 2022 (1 June–30 September). The ARM instrumentation was deployed at three sites along an east-west transect from La Porte, Texas to an ancillary site in a less-polluted rural region southwest of downtown Houston (Figure 1). At the La Porte Site, which is located near the Houston ship channel in an area that experiences significant pollution, the first ARM Mobile Facility (AMF1) was deployed. During the IOP, the ARM tethered balloon system (TBS) operated at the ancillary site. The second-generation C-Band Scanning ARM Precipitation Radar (CSAPR) operated near Pearland, Texas, roughly halfway between the Laporte and ancillary sites. As part of the TRACER- Coastal Urban Boundary-Layer Interactions with Convection (CUBIC) project, three boundary-layer profiling systems) were deployed along a north-south transect spanning from the University of Houston Coastal Center to the Aldine site north of downtown Houston (also blue dot in Figure 1) during the TRACER IOP. These systems included the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Severe Storms Laboratory CLAMPS2 (C2), which was deployed at the UHCC, the University of Wisconsin SPARC, which was deployed at the ARM CSAPR site near Pearland (orange diamond in middle of map in Figure 1), and the University of Oklahoma CLAMPS1 (C1), which was deployed at Aldine. These three systems have been successfully operated in various field campaigns, providing data sets that collectively offer new insights into atmospheric-boundary-layer (ABL) processes, sea-breeze (SB) circulations, and convection initiation (CI). For the TRACER IOP window, these systems ran continuously between 1 June and 26 September, 2022. Due to commitments to NOAA projects, the Doppler lidar at the UHCC site was not available until 24 June 2022. The CLAMPS and SPARC profiling systems are self-contained platforms that have benefited from several years of development and deployment. Instruments and data processing were maintained remotely, which made the 4-month deployment for the TRACER-CUBIC IOP period possible. The same basic instrument configuration comprises each system: a scanning Doppler wind lidar for flow characterization and passive profiler(s) for characterizing planetary-boundary-layer (PBL) thermodynamic properties. Each platform includes a Halo Streamline Doppler wind lidar, an Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI), and a surface meteorology station. CLAMPS1 and CLAMPS2 each also include a microwave radiometer (MWR, Figure 1d). The TRACER-CUBIC hypotheses included (i) Interactions of SB and urban circulations and how they affect the PBL structure in the Houston environment, causing spatially (horizontally and vertically) and temporally highly variable flow patterns, (ii) heat, moisture, and aerosol transport and mixing depend on these flow dynamics, and (iii) an improved understanding of the flow patterns and PBL structure are critical for investigating the processes leading to CI. To test these hypotheses, the project aimed at (i) characterizing SB circulations and their impacts on the diurnal evolution of the structure of the ABL, (ii) studying the evolution of Houston’s complex urban boundary layer, and (iii) identifying effects of urban-induced circulations on pre-convective environments. TRACER-CUBIC observations generally provide good coverage during the summer IOP. Initial screening of the data indicates a good number of cases with bay-breeze (BB) and/or SB signatures, local CI, and interesting boundary-layer features such as strong nocturnal low-level jets (LLJs, Table 1). The numbers listed in rows 3-5 in this table will be further updated as part of ongoing in-depth analyses and systematic identification of local circulations and CI events. More detailed information about the data availability and quality for each instrument is provided in the “readme” files that were submitted to the ARM Data Center along with each archived data sets. These “readme” files also provide instrument descriptions, information about the data collection and processing procedures, data formats, and any additional information relevant for further data analysis.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Attribution of heterogeneous stress distributions in low-grain polycrystals under conditions leading to damage

In high-purity polycrystalline metallic materials, voids tend to favor grain boundaries as nucleation sites due to the elevated stress states produced by granular interactions and the weakened grain boundary from the relative atomic disorder. To quantify the key factors of this elevated stress state, simple compression of a small multi-grain cylinder of body-centered cubic tantalum was simulated using a single crystal plasticity model that incorporates non-Schmid effects. Four increasingly complex synthetic microstructures were created to tractably incorporate grain boundary interactions, and a statistically significant number of combinations were performed by varying the initial crystallographic orientations of the microstructure. Most of these simulations produce the maximum von Mises stress on a grain boundary and less frequently at the multi-grain junctions. To build a statistical model for the maximum von Mises stress at the grain boundary, physically based features that could contribute to the elevated stress state were selected. Then, a learning algorithm based on information theory was used to identify which of these features contributed the most information to the data set. The identified features include a grain’s propensity to accommodate both elastic and plastic deformations and their directional components. The misalignment of the direction of each grain’s mechanical response was found to be strongly correlated to the magnitude of the stress near the grain boundary. For all of the synthetic microstructures, the statistical models produce a residual distribution that is nearly Gaussian with a variance of, at most, 10% of the prior distribution. The successful performance of the statistical model implies the correct identification of the physical features that cause severe stress localization in polycrystalline materials. The statistical models constructed here can be used to formulate a physically motivated void nucleation model which is sensitive to a microstructure’s propensity to produce elevated stress states. As a result, these statistical models also enable the design of material microstructures, in which the crystallographic orientation is chosen to resist void nucleation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Optimizing thermal stability and mechanical behavior in segregation-engineered nanocrystalline Al–Ni–Ce alloys: A combinatorial study

The deliberate use of solute enrichment at grain boundaries, otherwise known as segregation engineering, is a promising approach to tailor the properties of interface-dominated materials such as nanocrystalline alloys. Here, the ensuing chemical and structural evolution at grain boundaries can give rise to thermal stability and excellent mechanical properties, but the interplay between enrichment, phase decomposition, grain growth, and mechanical behavior exists in a vast composition and processing space. In this study, a combinatorial synthesis and rapid characterization approach was applied to segregation-engineered nanocrystalline Al–Ni–Ce alloys to assess the evolution of microstructure and resulting mechanical behavior as functions of alloying content and annealing conditions. In addition to the identification of alloys and processing conditions that give rise to exceptional thermal stability, strength retention, and homogeneous plastic flow, we construct combined thermal stability and deformation mechanism maps that demarcate several important regimes of behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

High fidelity simulations of contaminant dispersion in an urban environment with comparison to magnetic resonance imaging measurements

The dispersion of a contaminant in an urban environment has the potential to impact a large population of people. In this work, a complex urban canopy flow based on the Oklahoma City downtown business district circa 2003 is studied using Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) and high-fidelity Large Eddy Simulations (LES). MRI is a novel experimental technique that can provide high-resolution measurements in four dimensions (three spatial and temporal) for lab scale models. The experiments and simulations use the same geometry and boundary conditions providing a one-to-one comparison of the two methods. Results are presented on the time-averaged velocity and concentration fields, the temporal dynamics of the concentration plumes for a transient release, and a novel Cloud Identification Algorithm that can separate plumes produced by periodic contaminant releases used for ensemble averaging over many releases. The MRI and LES datasets both include millions of measurement voxels and the comparisons highlight the complex 3D nature of the flow including strong vertical velocities in spanwise street canyons and flow acceleration in streamwise street canyons. The concentration fields are qualitatively similar albeit the LES shows larger dispersion. A quantitative analysis with performance measures compares the datasets pointwise and demonstrates that the two 3D datasets are similar with respect to many measures including a fractional bias of 0.02 (ideal=0.0), correlation coefficient of 0.87 (ideal = 1.0), and the fraction points within a factor of 2 is 0.98 (ideal = 1.0). Plume analysis compares the arrival and residence time of contaminant and is found to vary significantly with location within the urban environment with arrival times between 0 and 1.25 and differences within the contaminant cloud less than 10% at most locations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Improved Data Interpretation through Identification of Time Series Periodicity Changes

Analysis and interpretation of time series data is easiest when the data values occur at uniform intervals in time, but actual data may have differing data sampling frequencies, such as monthly and daily readings. Applying data analysis techniques, such as smoothing, to such a data set may not give a representative result between time segments. The ability to automatically distinguish time segments of differing data frequency would provide a means for applying data analysis independently to each segment, though a suitable blending at segment boundaries would be required. A method for detecting frequency changes was developed and applied to Gaussian and median smoothing of hydraulic head data from groundwater wells at the U.S. Department of Energy Hanford Site in southeastern Washington state. The process identifies time segments of high-frequency (daily) or low-frequency (greater than daily) data using adjusted-bandwidth Gaussian kernel density estimation and a threshold value, which are further refined to address small blocks of low-frequency data within larger blocks of high-frequency data. User-selectable levels of smoothing are then applied independently to the time segments prior to combining the segment results for a single smoothed data set. This time segment identification approach provides effective low- and high-frequency data separation, which provides a method to apply data analysis independently to each time segment.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Spark plasma sintered, MoNbTi-based multi-principal element alloys with Cr, V, and Zr

MoNbTi, MoNbTiZr, CrMoNbTiZr, and MoNbTiVZr multi-principal element alloys (MPEAs) were fabricated via spark plasma sintering (SPS) and investigated for use in high-strength applications. The fabrication method by SPS and powder metallurgy differs from those presented in the prior literature, where most MPEAs are fabricated using arc melting (AM) methods. Here cryogenic milling was used to maximize potential defect sinks (grain boundaries) for radiation resistance and to increase ultimate tensile strength through the Hall-Petch effect. SPS was chosen for consolidation in order to maintain a fine-grained structure during densification. Each alloy was characterized using x-ray diffraction and scanning electron microscopy for phase identification and compositional homogeneity. The base ternary alloy MoNbTi presented a predominantly single BCC system with minor cubic phases. The introduction of additional alloying elements—Zr, V, and Cr—heightened the phase complexity and increased the fractions of a secondary BCC phase and an HCP phase from Zr. The addition of Cr induced a larger fraction of the Laves phase to form. The addition of V caused the precipitation of small Mo inclusions. Thermodynamic analysis was performed to understand the separation of phases in each alloy. Discrepancies among the phase predictions generated by thermodynamic models, phases previously presented in the literature, and the characterization results suggest that MPEA fabrication methods, especially solid-state methods, require significant investigation to ensure that alloys can remain stable throughout their anticipated service lifetimes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Identification of a window for quiescent H-mode operation in MHD stability diagram of DIII-D plasmas

A window for quiescent H-mode (QH-mode) operation in DIII-D plasmas in the diagram of pedestal magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) stability was identified through linear MHD stability analysis, accounting for the effects of plasma rotation and ion diamagnetic drift. The operation window lies between the stability boundaries of the kink/peeling mode (K/PM) identified with and without the inclusion of plasma rotation effects. In this region, the mode remains unstable unless rotation effects are considered alongside the ion diamagnetic drift, which is consistently included in the analysis. The stabilization of the MHD mode, facilitated by the coupled effects of plasma rotation and ion diamagnetic drift, plays a crucial role in widening the window, enabling the attainment of the QH-mode state. Furthermore, the suppression of edge localized modes (ELM) can be achieved by controlling the pedestal structure to ensure the plasma state remains within the operation window. The location of the operation window in the stability diagram depends on the K/PM stability properties. Therefore, optimizing conditions for QH-mode requires adjustments based on changes in stability characteristics. A pressure pedestal and its associated bootstrap current density near the last closed flux surface are advantageous for situating the plasma state within the window. However, excessive current density can trigger ELMs. This trend was confirmed through comparisons of MHD stability diagrams between QH-mode and ELMy H-mode plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Automated extraction of interfacial dislocations and disconnections from atomistic data

Here we introduce Interfacial Line Defect Analysis (ILDA), a method for identifying and extracting interfacial dislocations and disconnections with little-to-no input from the user on the nature of the interface. By simply providing the orientations and coherency strains for the crystals in a coherent reference state of the interface, ILDA provides exact Burgers vectors. Alternatively, these orientations and strains can be estimated using local atomic deformation gradients, making ILDA fully automated and providing estimated Burgers vectors. ILDA also determines the step height associated with each defect line segment, in case the associated defect is a disconnection. The heart of the method is the identification of atoms residing at co-incidence sites between the two crystals and the construction of a surface mesh connecting these sites that is used to compose Burgers circuits and insert defect line segments. We demonstrate the performance of ILDA in two test cases: a twist grain boundary and a phase boundary.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Water Mass Transformation Budgets in Finite‐Volume Generalized Vertical Coordinate Ocean Models

Water Mass Transformation (WMT) theory provides conceptual tools that in principle enable innovative analyses of numerical ocean models; in practice, however, these methods can be challenging to implement and interpret, and therefore remain under-utilized. Our aim is to demonstrate the feasibility of diagnosing all terms in the water mass budget and to exemplify their usefulness for scientific inquiry and model development by quantitatively relating water mass changes, overturning circulations, boundary fluxes, and interior mixing. We begin with a pedagogical derivation of key results of classical WMT theory. We then describe best practices for diagnosing each of the water mass budget terms from the output of Finite-Volume Generalized Vertical Coordinate (FV-GVC) ocean models, including the identification of a non-negligible remainder term as the spurious numerical mixing due to advection scheme discretization errors. We illustrate key aspects of the methodology through the analysis of a polygonal region of the Greater Baltic Sea in a regional demonstration simulation using the Modular Ocean Model v6 (MOM6). We verify the convergence of our WMT diagnostics by brute-force, comparing time-averaged (“offline”) diagnostics on various vertical grids to timestep-averaged (“online”) diagnostics on the native model grid. Finally, we briefly describe a stack of xarray-enabled Python packages for evaluating WMT budgets in FV-GVC models (culminating in the new xwmb package), which is intended to be model-agnostic and available for community use and development.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Alpha Shape Analysis (ASA) Framework for Post- Clustering Property Determination in Atom Probe Tomographic Data

While application of clustering algorithms to atom probe tomography data have enabled quantification of solute clusters in terms of number density, size, and subcomposition there exist other properties (e.g., volume, surface area, and composition) that are better determined by defining an interface between the cluster and the surrounding matrix. The limitation in composition results from an ion selection step where the expected matrix ion types are omitted from the cluster search algorithm to enhance the contrast between the matrix and cluster and to reduce the complexity of the search. Previously, composition determination within solute clusters has utilized a secondary envelopment and erosion step on top of conventional methods such as maximum separation. In this work, we present a novel stochastic method that combines the particle identification fidelity of a conventional clustering algorithm with the analytical flexibility of mesh-based approaches through the generation of alpha shapes for each identified cluster. Furthermore, the corresponding mesh accounts for concave components of the clusters and determines the volume and surface area of the clusters; additionally, the mesh boundary is utilized to update the total composition according to the internal ions.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fast meta-solvers for 3D complex-shape scatterers using neural operators trained on a non-scattering problem

Three-dimensional target identification using scattering techniques requires high accuracy solutions and very fast computations for real-time predictions in some critical applications. We first train a deep neural operator (DeepONet) to solve wave propagation problems described by the Helmholtz equation in a domain without scatterers but at different wavenumbers and with a complex absorbing boundary condition. We then design two classes of fast meta-solvers by combining DeepONet with either relaxation methods, such as Jacobi and Gauss-Seidel, or with Krylov methods, such as GMRES and BiCGStab, using the trunk basis of DeepONet as a coarse-scale preconditioner. We leverage the spectral bias of neural networks to account for the lower part of the spectrum in the error distribution while the upper part is handled inexpensively using relaxation methods or fine-scale preconditioners. The meta-solvers are then applied to solve scattering problems with different shape of scatterers, at no extra training cost. We first demonstrate that the resulting meta-solvers are shape-agnostic, fast, and robust, whereas the standard standalone solvers may even fail to converge without the DeepONet. We then apply both classes of meta-solvers to scattering from a submarine, a complex three-dimensional problem. We achieve very fast solutions, especially with the DeepONet-Krylov methods, which require orders of magnitude fewer iterations than any of the standalone solvers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Interplay between Mixed and Pure Exciton States Controls Singlet Fission in Rubrene Single Crystals

Singlet fission (SF) is a multielectron process in which one singlet exciton S converts into a pair of separated triplet excitons T. SF is widely studied as it may help overcome the Shockley−Queisser efficiency limit for semiconductor photovoltaic cells. To elucidate and control the SF mechanism, great attention has been given to the identification of intermediate states in SF materials, which often appear elusive due to the complexity and fast time scales of the SF process. Here, we apply 14 fs-1 ms transient absorption techniques to high-purity rubrene single crystals to disentangle the intrinsic fission dynamics from the effects of defects and grain boundaries and to identify reliably the fission intermediates. Our data demonstrates that above-gap excitation directly generates a hybrid vibronically assisted mixture of singlet state and triplet-pair multiexciton [S/TT], which rapidly (<100 fs) and coherently branches into pure singlet or triplet excitations. The relaxation of [S/TT] to S is followed by a relatively slow and temperature-activated (48 meV activation energy) incoherent fission process. The SF competing pathways and intermediates revealed here unify the observations and models presented in previous studies of SF in rubrene and offer alternative strategies for the development of SF-enhanced photovoltaic materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Employing Machine Learning for New Particle Formation Identification and Mechanistic Analysis: Insights From a Six‐Year Observational Study in the Southern Great Plains

We present a supervised machine learning (ML) framework to automatically identify new particle formation (NPF) events and analyze key atmospheric factors associated with their occurrence and growth. We applied ML to detect NPF events using start time and particle concentrations across size ranges, while identifying atmospheric variables including ambient temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation intensity (SRI), wind speed, wind direction, boundary layer height, total organics, sulfate, nitrate, total surface area concentration, sulfur dioxide, and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). We analyzed a 6-year data set from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement at the Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, USA. Using long-term ground-based measurements, we identified NPF events and applied Random Forest Classifiers, which achieved 90%–95% prediction accuracy. Feature importance analysis highlighted SRI, relative humidity, and ambient temperature as the most influential variables, contributing normalized importances of 28%, 17%, and 10%. Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs) indicated that higher SRI and lower relative humidity were critical in promoting NPF formation at SGP. Seasonally, NPF events were more frequent in winter (42.1%) and spring (35.5%), and least in summer (4.0%). Particle growth rates also exhibited a seasonal variation, with the lowest in winter (below 2 nm hr −1 ) and highest in late spring and early summer (exceeding 5 nm hr −1 ). Temperature, turbulent kinetic energy, and aerosol properties were the primary factors of growth rate variability. This study advances predictive modeling of NPF, offers insights for future campaign deployments, and demonstrates the effectiveness of ML in understanding the formation and growth of atmospheric aerosols.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Wormholes, branes and finite matrices in sine dilaton gravity

We compute the double trumpet in sine dilaton gravity via WdW quantization. The wormhole size is discretized. The wormhole amplitude matches the spectral correlation of a finite-cut matrix integral, where matrices have large but finite dimensions. This strongly suggests an identification of the sine dilaton gravity theory with the q-deformed JT gravity matrix integral. At the very least, it captures all universal content of that matrix model. The disk decomposes into the physical (gauge invariant) solutions of the WdW equation, which are trumpets with discrete sizes. This decomposition modifies the usual no-boundary wavefunction to a normalizable one in sine dilaton gravity.

2D Gravity↗
DOE OSTI2021

Machine-learning predictions of the shale wells’ performance

The ultra-low permeability nature of shale reservoirs leads to an extended linear flow and necessitates horizontal wells with multi-stage engineered fractures to efficiently extract hydrocarbons resources. These artificially-generated and naturally-occurring fractures form complex networks that create complex flow regimes which control oil production. These fractures are neither identical nor equally-spaced, which leads to a production profile with a masked onset of the boundary-dominated flow. The combination of the extended linear flow with the indeterminate onset of the boundary-dominated flow challenges the current deterministic analytic approaches to forecast the estimated ultimate recovery (EUR). In this work, we propose a novel machine-learning approach which overcomes these challenges and provides reliable EUR estimates based on field-wide analyses. We implement a novel unsupervised machine learning (ML) methodology, which allows for automatic identification of the optimal number of features (signals) present in the data based on non-negative matrix/tensor factorization coupled with k-means clustering incorporating regularization and physics constraints. In the presented analyses, the input data to the ML algorithm is the available (public) production history from the field collected at existing unconventional reservoirs. We validate our approach through hindcasting of the production data, where we achieved an excellent agreement. In addition, our approach is able to identify the poorly-performing wells, which could benefit from early refracing. Our approach provides fast and accurate estimations of the well performance without presumptions about the state of the well or the flow regime.

03 NATURAL GAS↗