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At least 55 records · Page 3

Exploring the Effects of Geopolitical Shifts on Global Wildlife Trade

Abstract International wildlife trade is a major driver of species extinction and biological invasions. Anticipating environmental risks requires inferences about trade patterns, which are shaped by geopolitics. Although the future cannot be predicted, scenarios can help deal with the uncertainty of future geopolitical dynamics. We propose a framework for generating and analyzing scenarios based on four geopolitical storylines, distinguished by combinations of international trade barrier strength and domestic law enforcement degree across countries supplying and demanding wildlife. We then use historical data on bird trade to classify countries into geopolitical profiles and confirm that trade barriers and law enforcement allow predicting bird trade patterns, supporting our scenarios’ plausibility and enabling projections for future global bird trade. Our framework can be used to examine the consequences of geopolitical changes for wildlife trade and to advise policy and legislation. Reducing demand for wildlife and ameliorating global inequality are key for curbing trade related risks.

Ribeiro, Joana (ORCID:0000000237555785)↗

Structural and Interactional Analysis of the Flavonoid Pathway Proteins: Chalcone Synthase, Chalcone Isomerase and Chalcone Isomerase-like Protein

Chalcone synthase (CHS) and chalcone isomerase (CHI) catalyze the first two committed steps of the flavonoid pathway that plays a pivotal role in the growth and reproduction of land plants, including UV protection, pigmentation, symbiotic nitrogen fixation, and pathogen resistance. Based on the obtained X-ray crystal structures of CHS, CHI, and chalcone isomerase-like protein (CHIL) from the same monocotyledon, Panicum virgatum, along with the results of the steady-state kinetics, spectroscopic/thermodynamic analyses, intermolecular interactions, and their effect on each catalytic step are proposed. In addition, PvCHI’s unique activity for both naringenin chalcone and isoliquiritigenin was analyzed, and the observed hierarchical activity for those type-I and -II substrates was explained with the intrinsic characteristics of the enzyme and two substrates. The structure of PvCHS complexed with naringenin supports uncompetitive inhibition. PvCHS displays intrinsic catalytic promiscuity, evident from the formation of p-coumaroyltriacetic acid lactone (CTAL) in addition to naringenin chalcone. In the presence of PvCHIL, conversion of p-coumaroyl-CoA to naringenin through PvCHS and PvCHI displayed ~400-fold increased Vmax with reduced formation of CTAL by 70%. Supporting this model, molecular docking, ITC (Isothermal Titration Calorimetry), and FRET (Fluorescence Resonance Energy Transfer) indicated that both PvCHI and PvCHIL interact with PvCHS in a non-competitive manner, indicating the plausible allosteric effect of naringenin on CHS. Significantly, the presence of naringenin increased the affinity between PvCHS and PvCHIL, whereas naringenin chalcone decreased the affinity, indicating a plausible feedback mechanism to minimize spontaneous incorrect stereoisomers. These are the first findings from a three-body system from the same species, indicating the importance of the macromolecular assembly of CHS-CHI-CHIL in determining the amount and type of flavonoids produced in plant cells.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Novel perspective on a conventional technique: Impact of ultra-low temperature on bacterial viability and protein extraction

Ultra-low temperature (ULT) storage of microbial biomass is routinely practiced in biological laboratories. However, there is very little insight regarding the effects of biomass storage at ULT and the structure of the cell envelope, on cell viability. Eventually, these aspects influence bacterial cell lysis which is one of the critical steps for biomolecular extraction, especially protein extraction. Therefore, we studied the effects of ULT-storage (-80°C) on three different bacterial platforms: Escherichia coli , Bacillus subtilis and the cyanobacterium Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803. By using a propidium iodide assay and a modified MTT assay we determined the impact of ULT storage on cellular viability. Subsequently, the protein extraction efficiency was determined by analyzing the amount of protein released following the storage. The results successfully established that longer the ULT-storage time lower is the cell viability and larger is the protein extraction efficiency. Interestingly, E . coli and B . subtilis exhibited significant reduction in cell viability over Synechocystis 6803. This indicates that the cell membrane structure and composition may play a major role on cell viability in ULT storage. Interestingly, E . coli exhibited concomitant increase in cell lysis efficiency resulting in a 4.5-fold increase (from 109 μg/ml of protein on day 0 to 464 μg/ml of protein on day 2) in the extracted protein titer following ULT storage. Furthermore, our investigations confirmed that the protein function, tested through the extraction of fluorescent proteins from cells stored at ULT, remained unaltered. These results established the plausibility of using ULT storage to improve protein extraction efficiency. Towards this, the impact of shorter ULT storage time was investigated to make the strategy more time efficient to be adopted into protocols. Interestingly, E . coli transformants expressing mCherry yielded 2.7-fold increase (93 μg/mL to 254 μg/mL) after 10 mins, while 4-fold increase (380 μg/mL) after 120 mins of ULT storage in the extracted soluble protein. We thereby substantiate that: (1) the storage time of bacterial cells in -80°C affect cell viability and can alter protein extraction efficiency; and (2) exercising a simple ULT-storage prior to bacterial cell lysis can improve the desired protein yield without impacting its function.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Evidence of excited-state lifetime enhancement in dimyristoyl-phosphocholine nanodiscs by ultraviolet absorption spectroscopy

Ultraviolet absorption spectroscopy is an analytical tool that is commonly utilized to determine protein concentrations, primarily due to characteristic absorption of tryptophan and tyrosine at 280 nm. Accurate concentration determination is essential to the accuracy of many biophysical techniques, and ultraviolet absorption provides a convenient and rapid method to assess protein concentration. However, the widespread usage of this method assumes that ultraviolet absorption is the same for individual amino acids in aqueous solution (where the molar extinction coefficient was measured) as for the amino acid in the conformational environment of the protein of interest. We demonstrate that additional considerations may be necessary for the membrane scaffold protein in dimyristoyl-phosphocholine nanodiscs through ultraviolet absorption spectroscopy of nanodiscs, liposomes, the membrane scaffold protein, and a mixture of liposomes and the non-nanodisc-associated protein. The aromatic amino acids of the membrane scaffold protein absorb significantly less light at 280 nm when associated with lipids in a lipoprotein assembly, which we plausibly attribute to an enhancement of chromophore excited-state lifetimes due to reduced intramolecular motion in the nanodisc. We caution that using the molar absorptivity of the membrane scaffold protein alone to determine nanodisc concentrations may not yield accurate results. Instead, the molar absorptivity of each nanodisc formulation should be explored independently to account for the unique conformational environment of each nanodisc.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Brachiopod δ 34 S CAS microanalyses indicate a dynamic, climate-influenced Permo-Carboniferous sulfur cycle

Early isotopic studies of sulfate in carbonate minerals (carbonate associated sulfate; CAS) suggested that carbonates can provide a reliable, well-dated archive of the marine sulfur cycle through time. However, subsequent research has shown that diagenetic alteration can impose highly heterogeneous CAS sulfur isotopic compositions (δ 34 S CAS ) among different carbonate phases within sediments. Such alteration necessitates targeted sampling of well-preserved, primary carbonate phases. Here, we present a new record of Carboniferous and Early Permian brachiopod δ 34 S CAS generated from over 130 measurements of microsampled brachiopod shells. Our record refines existing brachiopod δ 34 S CAS records and confirms a large, ~6.5‰ δ 34 S CAS decrease in the Early Carboniferous. Importantly, the record also features a novel 3–5‰ increase in δ 34 S CAS near the Serpukhovian-Bashkirian boundary (323.4 Ma) that coincides with carbonate δ 13 C and δ 18 O increases. Variability in δ 34 S CAS is minor both within (≤0.3‰) and among (≤2‰) individual co-depositional brachiopod specimens. A taxon-specific δ 34 S CAS offset is present one species (Composita subtilita) that also exhibits a δ 13 C offset, supporting the existence of biological “vital effects” on δ 34 S CAS . Geologic evidence and mathematical modeling of the Permo-Carboniferous carbon and sulfur cycles suggest that changes in the burial ratio of organic carbon to pyrite sulfur (R C:S ) are insufficient to explain the observed mid-Carboniferous δ 34 S CAS record. We find that changes in the 34 S depletion of pyrite relative to seawater sulfate ( 34 ε) or in the δ 34 S of the input to the ocean (δ 34 S in ) are also needed. Large additions of O 2 from organic carbon burial during the Permo-Carboniferous cannot be entirely compensated for with sulfur cycle changes; lower than modern late Visean pO 2 and/or additional O 2 sinks are needed to keep pO 2 at plausible levels. Based on the geologic context surrounding our record's mid-Carboniferous δ 34 S CAS increase, we advocate for simultaneous changes in pyrite burial, 34 ε, and δ 34 S in , driven by sea level or tectonically induced changes in environments of sulfur burial, as a viable mechanism to produce rapid seawater δ 34 S changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dirigent isoflavene-forming PsPTS2: 3D structure, stereochemical, and kinetic characterization comparison with pterocarpan-forming PsPTS1 homolog in pea

Pea (legume plant defense) phytoalexin pterocarpans (–)-maackiain and (+)-pisatin have opposite C6a and C11a configurations, but how this occurs biosynthetically is unknown. Herein, pea dirigent-protein (DP) PsPTS2, which generates 7,2'-dihydroxy-4',5'-methylenedioxyisoflav-3-ene (DMDIF), was investigated as regards stereoselectivity towards four possible 7,2'-dihydroxy-4',5'-methylenedioxyisoflavan-4-ol (DMDI) stereoisomers. Each DMDI stereoisomer configuration was determined using NMR spectroscopy, electronic circular dichroism, and molecular orbital analyses. PsPTS2 efficiently converted cis-(3R,4R)-DMDI into DMDIF, this being 20-fold faster than with the trans-(3R,4S)-isomer. The 4R-configured substrate’s near ß-axial OH orientation significantly enhanced its leaving group abilities in creating intermediate A-ring mono-quinone methide (QM), whereas the 4S-isomer’s 4-OH group α-equatorial orientation was a poorer leaving group. Substrate docking simulations also indicated that the 4R-configured ß-axial OH was closest to the Asp catalytic center, whereas the 4S-isomer’s α-equatorial OH was further away. Neither cis-(3S,4S)- nor trans-(3S, 4R)-DMDIs were substrates, even with the former having the same C3/C4 stereochemistry as (+)-pisatin. PsPTS2, assayed with cis-(3R,4R)-7,2'-dihydroxy-4'-methoxyisoflavan-4-ol [cis-(3R,4R)-DMI] and its C3/C4 stereoisomers, gave 2',7-dihydroxy-4'-methoxyisoflav-3-ene (DMIF), with the same substrate stereoselectivity. DP homologs may exist in licorice (Glycyrrhiza pallidiflora) and the tree legume Bolusanthus speciosus, as DMIF is found in both. PsPTS1 preferentially utilized cis-(3R,4R)-DMDI to give (–)-maackiain, this being 2200-fold more efficient than with cis-(3R,4R)-DMI. PsPTS1 also slowly converted trans-(3S,4R)-DMDI into (+)-maackiain, again reflecting the better 4R configured OH leaving group. Pea PsPTS2 and PsPTS1 provisionally provide a facile DP-engendered means to enable differing C6a and C11a configurations in (+)-pisatin and (–)-maackiain. Both DP transformations are considered to occur via DP-engendered generation of an identical mono-QM bound intermediate, which with PsPTS2 either re-aromatizes to give DMDIF or with PsPTS1 undergoes intramolecular cyclization to afford (–)-maackiain. Substrate docking simulations using PsPTS2 (2.5 Å resolution) and PsPTS1 (1.5 Å resolution) plausibly indicate that cis-(3R,4R)-DMDI binds in the anti-configuration in the PsPTS2 active site to afford DMDIF, and the syn-configuration in PsPTS1 to give maackiain.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Strengthening of enterococcal biofilms by Esp

Multidrug-resistant (MDR) Enterococcus faecalis are major causes of hospital-acquired infections. Numerous clinical strains of E . faecalis harbor a large pathogenicity island that encodes enterococcal surface protein (Esp), which is suggested to promote biofilm production and virulence, but this remains controversial. To resolve this issue, we characterized the Esp N-terminal region, the portion implicated in biofilm production. Small angle X-ray scattering indicated that the N-terminal region had a globular head, which consisted of two DEv-Ig domains as visualized by X-ray crystallography, followed by an extended tail. The N-terminal region was not required for biofilm production but instead significantly strengthened biofilms against mechanical or degradative disruption, greatly increasing retention of Enterococcus within biofilms. Biofilm strengthening required low pH, which resulted in Esp unfolding, aggregating, and forming amyloid-like structures. The pH threshold for biofilm strengthening depended on protein stability. A truncated fragment of the first DEv-Ig domain, plausibly generated by a host protease, was the least stable and sufficient to strengthen biofilms at pH ≤ 5.0, while the entire N-terminal region and intact Esp on the enterococcal surface was more stable and required a pH ≤ 4.3. These results suggested a virulence role of Esp in strengthening enterococcal biofilms in acidic abiotic or host environments.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Genetic program activity delineates risk, relapse, and therapy responsiveness in multiple myeloma

Despite recent advancements in the treatment of multiple myeloma (MM), nearly all patients ultimately relapse and many become refractory to multiple lines of therapies. Therefore, we not only need the ability to predict which patients are at high risk for disease progression but also a means to understand the mechanisms underlying their risk. Here, we report a transcriptional regulatory network (TRN) for MM inferred from cross-sectional multi-omics data from 881 patients that predicts how 124 chromosomal abnormalities and somatic mutations causally perturb 392 transcription regulators of 8549 genes to manifest in distinct clinical phenotypes and outcomes. We identified 141 genetic programs whose activity profiles stratify patients into 25 distinct transcriptional states and proved to be more predictive of outcomes than did mutations. The coherence of these programs and accuracy of our network-based risk prediction was validated in two independent datasets. We observed subtype-specific vulnerabilities to interventions with existing drugs and revealed plausible mechanisms for relapse, including the establishment of an immunosuppressive microenvironment. Investigation of the t(4;14) clinical subtype using the TRN revealed that 16% of these patients exhibit an extreme-risk combination of genetic programs (median progression-free survival of 5 months) that create a distinct phenotype with targetable genes and pathways.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Likelihood-based docking of models into cryo-EM maps

Optimized docking of models into cryo-EM maps requires exploiting an understanding of the signal expected in the data to minimize the calculation time while maintaining sufficient signal. The likelihood-based rotation function used in crystallography can be employed to establish plausible orientations in a docking search. A phased likelihood translation function yields scores for the placement and rigid-body refinement of oriented models. Optimized strategies for choices of the resolution of data from the cryo-EM maps to use in the calculations and the size of search volumes are based on expected log-likelihood-gain scores computed in advance of the search calculation. Tests demonstrate that the new procedure is fast, robust and effective at placing models into even challenging cryo-EM maps.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Trajectories for the evolution of bacterial CO 2 -concentrating mechanisms

Cyanobacteria rely on CO 2 -concentrating mechanisms (CCMs) to grow in today’s atmosphere (0.04% CO 2 ). These complex physiological adaptations require ≈15 genes to produce two types of protein complexes: inorganic carbon (Ci) transporters and 100+ nm carboxysome compartments that encapsulate rubisco with a carbonic anhydrase (CA) enzyme. Mutations disrupting any of these genes prohibit growth in ambient air. If any plausible ancestral form—i.e., lacking a single gene—cannot grow, how did the CCM evolve? Here, we test the hypothesis that evolution of the bacterial CCM was “catalyzed” by historically high CO 2 levels that decreased over geologic time. Using an E. coli reconstitution of a bacterial CCM, we constructed strains lacking one or more CCM components and evaluated their growth across CO 2 concentrations. We expected these experiments to demonstrate the importance of the carboxysome. Instead, we found that partial CCMs expressing CA or Ci uptake genes grew better than controls in intermediate CO 2 levels (≈1%) and observed similar phenotypes in two autotrophic bacteria, Halothiobacillus neapolitanus and Cupriavidus necator . To understand how CA and Ci uptake improve growth, we model autotrophy as colimited by CO 2 and HCO 3 − , as both are required to produce biomass. Our experiments and model delineated a viable trajectory for CCM evolution where decreasing atmospheric CO 2 induces an HCO 3 − deficiency that is alleviated by acquisition of CA or Ci uptake, thereby enabling the emergence of a modern CCM. This work underscores the importance of considering physiology and environmental context when studying the evolution of biological complexity.

Flamholz, Avi I.↗

Effects of chronic low-dose radiation on cataract prevalence and characterization in wild boar (Sus scrofa) from Fukushima, Japan

This study evaluated cataracts in wild boar exposed to chronic low-dose radiation. We examined wild boar from within and outside the Fukushima Exclusion Zone for nuclear, cortical, and posterior subcapsular (PSC) cataracts in vivo and photographically. Plausible upper-bound, lifetime radiation dose for each boar was estimated from radioactivity levels in each animal’s home range combined with tissue concentrations of 134+137Cesium. Fifteen exposed and twenty control boar were evaluated. There were no significant differences in overall prevalence or score for cortical or PSC cataracts between exposed and control animals. Nuclear (centrally located) cataracts were significantly more prevalent in exposed boar (p<0.05) and had statistically higher median scores. Plausible upper-bound, lifetime radiation dose ranged from 1 to 1,600 mGy in exposed animals, with no correlation between dose and cortical or PSC score. While radiation dose and nuclear score were positively associated, the impact of age could not be completely separated from the relationship. Additionally, the clinical significance of even the highest scoring nuclear cataract was negligible. Based on the population sampled, wild boar in the Fukushima Exclusion Zone do not have a significantly higher prevalence or risk of cortical or PSC cataracts compared to control animals.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Combining Reactive Quantum-Mechanical Molecular-Dynamics Simulations with Mutagenesis, Crystallography, and Enzyme Kinetics to Reveal Plausible Steps of Isocyanide Hydratase Catalysis

A complete understanding of enzyme mechanisms requires atomistic details of chemical reactions. Quantum-based molecular dynamics simulations (QMD) are a potential source of this information, but trade-offs between accuracy and computational cost have limited their use. We previously developed extended Lagrangian Born–Oppenheimer molecular dynamics (XL-BOMD) methods that leverage a negligible compromise in accuracy to substantially decrease the cost of QMD simulations. Here, we develop a reactive QMD approach using the latest XL-BOMD formulation, which enables efficient simulations of highly reactive systems, and use it to investigate mechanisms of intermediate formation in isocyanide hydratase (ICH) catalysis. In QMD simulations, molecular analogs of ICH active site residues reacted with para-nitrophenyl isocyanide, forming a thioimidate. Analysis of simulated atomic configurational and charge dynamics revealed a pathway where protonation of the isocyanide carbon occurs prior to thioimidate formation and suggested a possible role of Asp17 as a proton donor in the early phase of ICH catalysis. To test whether the pathway seen using the reactive QMD approach might be relevant to ICH catalysis, we performed X-ray crystallography and pre-steady-state enzyme kinetics studies of wild-type and D17N mutant ICH. Both the structure and kinetics are sensitive to the D17N mutation in a manner that is consistent with the order of the reaction steps seen in the simulations. Mobile protons play essential roles in many enzymes, yet they are difficult to observe experimentally, making the ordering of proton-dependent steps ambiguous in many enzyme mechanisms. The ability to directly simulate model reactions for the design of experiments that provide information about enzyme mechanisms involving mobile protons demonstrates the significance of our reactive QMD approach and motivates further biological applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Role of Bedrock Circulation Depth and Porosity in Mountain Streamflow Response to Prolonged Drought

Quantitative understanding is lacking on how the depth of active groundwater circulation in bedrock affects mountain streamflow response to a multi-year drought. We use an integrated hydrological model to explore the sensitivity of a variety of streamflow metrics to bedrock circulation depth and porosity under a plausible extreme drought scenario lasting up to 5 years. Endmember depth versus hydraulic conductivity relationships and porosity values for fractured crystalline rock are simulated. With drought, a deeper circulation system with higher drainable porosity more effectively buffers minimum flow and significantly limits perennial stream loss in comparison to a shallow circulation system. Streamflow buffering is accomplished through extensive groundwater storage loss. However, deeper circulation systems experience prolonged recovery from drought in comparison to storage-limited shallow systems. Research highlights the importance of characterizing the deeper bedrock hydrogeology in mountainous watersheds to better understand and predict drought impacts on stream ecosystem health and water resource sustainability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Structural insights into the unexpected agonism of tetracyclic antidepressants at serotonin receptors 5-HT 1e R and 5-HT 1F R

Serotonin [5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT)] acts via 13 different receptors in humans. Of these receptor subtypes, all but 5-HT 1e R have confirmed roles in native tissue and are validated drug targets. Despite 5-HT 1e R’s therapeutic potential and plausible druggability, the mechanisms of its activation remain elusive. To illuminate 5-HT 1e R’s pharmacology in relation to the highly homologous 5-HT 1F R, we screened a library of aminergic receptor ligands at both receptors and observe 5-HT 1e R/5-HT 1F R agonism by multicyclic drugs described as pan-antagonists at 5-HT receptors. Potent agonism by tetracyclic antidepressants mianserin, setiptiline, and mirtazapine suggests a mechanism for their clinically observed antimigraine properties. Using cryo-EM and mutagenesis studies, we uncover and characterize unique agonist-like binding poses of mianserin and setiptiline at 5-HT 1e R distinct from similar drug scaffolds in inactive-state 5-HTR structures. Together with computational studies, our data suggest that these binding poses alongside receptor-specific allosteric coupling in 5-HT 1e R and 5-HT 1F R contribute to the agonist activity of these antidepressants.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Dara: Automated Multiple-Hypothesis Phase Identification and Refinement from Powder X-ray Diffraction

Powder X-ray diffraction (XRD) is a foundational technique for characterizing crystalline materials. However, the reliable interpretation of XRD patterns, particularly in multiphase systems, remains a manual and expertise-demanding task. As a characterization method that only provides structural information, multiple reference phases can often be fit to a single pattern, leading to potential misinterpretation when alternative solutions are overlooked. To ease humans’ efforts and address the challenge, we introduce Dara (data-driven automated Rietveld analysis), a framework designed to automate the robust identification and refinement of multiple phases from powder XRD data. Dara performs an exhaustive tree search over all plausible phase combinations within a given chemical space and validates each hypothesis using the BGMN Rietveld refinement routine. Key features include structural database filtering, automatic clustering of isostructural phases during tree expansion, and peak-matching-based scoring to identify promising phases for refinement. When ambiguity exists, Dara generates multiple hypothesis which can then be decided between by human experts or with further characterization tools. By enhancing the reliability and accuracy of phase identification, Dara enables scalable analysis of realistic complex XRD patterns and provides a foundation for integration into multimodal characterization workflows, moving toward fully self-driving materials discovery.

Biological databases↗

Mycobacterium tuberculosis Phe-tRNA synthetase: structural insights into tRNA recognition and aminoacylation

Abstract Tuberculosis, caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, responsible for ∼1.5 million fatalities in 2018, is the deadliest infectious disease. Global spread of multidrug resistant strains is a public health threat, requiring new treatments. Aminoacyl-tRNA synthetases are plausible candidates as potential drug targets, because they play an essential role in translating the DNA code into protein sequence by attaching a specific amino acid to their cognate tRNAs. We report structures of M. tuberculosis Phe-tRNA synthetase complexed with an unmodified tRNAPhe transcript and either L-Phe or a nonhydrolyzable phenylalanine adenylate analog. High-resolution models reveal details of two modes of tRNA interaction with the enzyme: an initial recognition via indirect readout of anticodon stem-loop and aminoacylation ready state involving interactions of the 3′ end of tRNAPhe with the adenylate site. For the first time, we observe the protein gate controlling access to the active site and detailed geometry of the acyl donor and tRNA acceptor consistent with accepted mechanism. We biochemically validated the inhibitory potency of the adenylate analog and provide the most complete view of the Phe-tRNA synthetase/tRNAPhe system to date. The presented topography of amino adenylate-binding and editing sites at different stages of tRNA binding to the enzyme provide insights for the rational design of anti-tuberculosis drugs.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Techniques for Informing Select Agent Designation and Decision Making

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Select Agent Program establishes a list of biological agents and toxins that potentially threaten public health and safety, the procedures governing the possession, utilization, and transfer of those agents, and training requirements for entities working with them. Every 2 years the Program reviews the select agent list, utilizing subject matter expert (SME) assessments to rank the agents. In this study, we explore the applicability of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques and logic tree analysis to support the CDC Select Agent Program biennial review process, applying the approach broadly to include non-select agents to evaluate its generality. We conducted a literature search for over 70 pathogens against 15 criteria for assessing public health and bioterrorism risk and documented the findings for archiving. The most prominent data gaps were found for aerosol stability and human infectious dose by inhalation and ingestion routes. Technical review of published data and associated scoring recommendations by pathogen-specific SMEs was found to be critical for accuracy, particularly for pathogens with very few known cases, or where proxy data (e.g., from animal models or similar organisms) were used to address data gaps. Analysis of results obtained from a two-dimensional plot of weighted scores for difficulty of attack (i.e., exposure and production criteria) vs. consequences of an attack (i.e., consequence and mitigation criteria) provided greater fidelity for understanding agent placement compared to a 1-to-n ranking and was used to define a region in the upper right-hand quadrant for identifying pathogens for consideration as select agents. A sensitivity analysis varied the numerical weights attributed to various properties of the pathogens to identify potential quantitative (x and y) thresholds for classifying select agents. The results indicate while there is some clustering of agent scores to suggest thresholds, there are still pathogens that score close to any threshold, suggesting that thresholding “by eye” may not be sufficient. The sensitivity analysis indicates quantitative thresholds are plausible, and there is good agreement of the analytical results with select agent designations. A second analytical approach that applied the data using a logic tree format to rule out pathogens for consideration as select agents arrived at similar conclusions.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Life history strategies among soil bacteria—dichotomy for few, continuum for many

Abstract Study of life history strategies may help predict the performance of microorganisms in nature by organizing the complexity of microbial communities into groups of organisms with similar strategies. Here, we tested the extent that one common application of life history theory, the copiotroph-oligotroph framework, could predict the relative population growth rate of bacterial taxa in soils from four different ecosystems. We measured the change of in situ relative growth rate to added glucose and ammonium using both 18O–H2O and 13C quantitative stable isotope probing to test whether bacterial taxa sorted into copiotrophic and oligotrophic groups. We saw considerable overlap in nutrient responses across most bacteria regardless of phyla, with many taxa growing slowly and few taxa that grew quickly. To define plausible life history boundaries based on in situ relative growth rates, we applied Gaussian mixture models to organisms’ joint 18O–13C signatures and found that across experimental replicates, few taxa could consistently be assigned as copiotrophs, despite their potential for fast growth. When life history classifications were assigned based on average relative growth rate at varying taxonomic levels, finer resolutions (e.g., genus level) were significantly more effective in capturing changes in nutrient response than broad taxonomic resolution (e.g., phylum level). Our results demonstrate the difficulty in generalizing bacterial life history strategies to broad lineages, and even to single organisms across a range of soils and experimental conditions. We conclude that there is a continued need for the direct measurement of microbial communities in soil to advance ecologically realistic frameworks.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗