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At least 55 records · Page 3

FRAM Isotopic Analysis of High-Resolution CZT Data [Slides]

Abstract: H3D Inc. introduced a new type of CZT detectors with resolution several times better than that of a typical CZT; The current FRAM v.6.1 can analyze uranium spectra with minimal modification of the parameter sets and get acceptable results; The exceptionally large high-energy tail of the peaks makes it difficult to achieve good uranium results and impossible to successfully analyze plutonium spectra; The FRAM code needed to be modified to better fit the high-energy tail of the peaks to analyze plutonium data and to get better uranium analysis results.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Evaluation of coal conversion pathways in fluidized bed chemical looping combustion with oxygen uncoupling (CLOU)

Chemical looping with oxygen uncoupling (CLOU) is a variant of chemical looping combustion that uses oxygen carriers that release gaseous O 2 in the fuel reactor to efficiently combust solid char. There are many different pathways by which fuel carbon can be converted in a CLOU system, including reaction of volatiles, oxidation of char and gasification of char followed by conversion of the gaseous products. Therefore, there is competition between volatiles and solid char for both gaseous and metal bound oxygen. This study presents an experimental method of analysis to better understand the conversion pathway and fate of fuel carbon in a fluidized bed reactor system. The analysis is applied to a Cu-based CLOU carrier in a bench-scale reactor, feeding either coal or coal char in small batches. The effect of coal particle size and reactor temperature on the relative contributions of different carbon conversion pathways is evaluated. Under the conditions studied, higher temperatures and smaller char particles were more effectively converted by gaseous O 2 released by the CLOU carrier, resulting in less unconverted char. However, there was more unconverted volatiles exiting the reactor from small coal particles and the resulting char had a higher tendency to exit the fuel reactor unconverted. Larger char particles relied more on conversion by gasification and subsequent oxidation of combustible products. Results for other systems will depend on operating conditions and properties of the fuel, but conversion pathways can be systematically evaluated using the method described.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Use of Probabilistic Engineering Methods in the Detailed Design and Development Phases of the NASA Ares Launch Vehicle

The United States National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) is in the midst of a space exploration program called Constellation to send crew and cargo to the international Space Station, to the moon, and beyond. As part of the Constellation program, a new launch vehicle, Ares I, is being developed by NASA Marshall Space Flight Center. Designing a launch vehicle with high reliability and increased safety requires a significant effort in understanding design variability and design uncertainty at the various levels of the design (system, element, subsystem, component, etc.) and throughout the various design phases (conceptual, preliminary design, etc.). In a previous paper [1] we discussed a probabilistic functional failure analysis approach intended mainly to support system requirements definition, system design, and element design during the early design phases. This paper provides an overview of the application of probabilistic engineering methods to support the detailed subsystem/component design and development as part of the "Design for Reliability and Safety" approach for the new Ares I Launch Vehicle. Specifically, the paper discusses probabilistic engineering design analysis cases that had major impact on the design and manufacturing of the Space Shuttle hardware. The cases represent important lessons learned from the Space Shuttle Program and clearly demonstrate the significance of probabilistic engineering analysis in better understanding design deficiencies and identifying potential design improvement for Ares I. The paper also discusses the probabilistic functional failure analysis approach applied during the early design phases of Ares I and the forward plans for probabilistic design analysis in the detailed design and development phases.

Fayssal, Safie↗

What are the Progenitors of Compace, Massive, Quiescent Galaxies at z (equals) 2.3? The Population of Massive Galaxies at z (greater than) 3 From NMBS AND CANDELS

Using public data from the NEWFIRM Medium-Band Survey (NMBS) and the Cosmic Assembly Near-Infrared Deep Extragalactic Legacy Survey (CANDELS), we investigate the population of massive galaxies at z > 3. The main aim of this work is to identify the potential progenitors of z ∼ 2 compact, massive, quiescent galaxies (CMQGs), furthering our understanding of the onset and evolution of massive galaxies. Our work is enabled by high-resolution images from CANDELS data and accurate photometric redshifts, stellar masses, and star formation rates (SFRs) from 37-band NMBS photometry. The total number of massive galaxies at z > 3 is consistent with the number of massive, quiescent galaxies (MQGs) at z ∼ 2, implying that the SFRs for all of these galaxies must be much lower by z ∼ 2. We discover four CMQGs at z > 3, pushing back the time for which such galaxies have been observed. However, the volume density for these galaxies is significantly less than that of galaxies at z < 2 with similar masses, SFRs, and sizes, implying that additional CMQGs must be created in the intervening ∼1 Gyr between z = 3 and z = 2. We find five star-forming galaxies at z ∼ 3 that are compact (Re < 1.4 kpc) and have stellar mass M∗ > 1010.6M; these galaxies are likely to become members of the massive, quiescent, compact galaxy population at z ∼ 2. We evolve the stellar masses and SFRs of each individual z > 3 galaxy adopting five different star formation histories (SFHs) and studying the resulting population of massive galaxies at z = 2.3. We find that declining or truncated SFHs are necessary to match the observed number density of MQGs at z ∼ 2, whereas a constant delayed-exponential SFH would result in a number density significantly smaller than observed. All of our assumed SFHs imply number densities of CMQGs at z ∼ 2 that are consistent with the observed number density. Better agreement with the observed number density of CMQGs at z ∼ 2 is obtained if merging is included in the analysis and better still if star formation quenching is assumed to shortly follow the merging event, as implied by recent models of the formation of MQGs.

Massive↗

WHAT ARE THE PROGENITORS OF COMPACT, MASSIVE, QUIESCENT GALAXIES AT z = 2.3? THE POPULATION OF MASSIVE GALAXIES AT z > 3 FROM NMBS AND CANDELS

Using public data from the NEWFIRM Medium-Band Survey (NMBS) and the Cosmic Assembly Near-Infrared Deep Extragalactic Legacy Survey (CANDELS), we investigate the population of massive galaxies at z > 3. The main aim of this work is to identify the potential progenitors of z {approx} 2 compact, massive, quiescent galaxies (CMQGs), furthering our understanding of the onset and evolution of massive galaxies. Our work is enabled by high-resolution images from CANDELS data and accurate photometric redshifts, stellar masses, and star formation rates (SFRs) from 37-band NMBS photometry. The total number of massive galaxies at z > 3 is consistent with the number of massive, quiescent galaxies (MQGs) at z {approx} 2, implying that the SFRs for all of these galaxies must be much lower by z {approx} 2. We discover four CMQGs at z > 3, pushing back the time for which such galaxies have been observed. However, the volume density for these galaxies is significantly less than that of galaxies at z < 2 with similar masses, SFRs, and sizes, implying that additional CMQGs must be created in the intervening {approx}1 Gyr between z = 3 and z = 2. We find five star-forming galaxies at z {approx} 3 that are compact (R{sub e} < 1.4 kpc) and have stellar mass M{sub *} > 10{sup 10.6} M{sub Sun }; these galaxies are likely to become members of the massive, quiescent, compact galaxy population at z {approx} 2. We evolve the stellar masses and SFRs of each individual z > 3 galaxy adopting five different star formation histories (SFHs) and studying the resulting population of massive galaxies at z = 2.3. We find that declining or truncated SFHs are necessary to match the observed number density of MQGs at z {approx} 2, whereas a constant delayed-exponential SFH would result in a number density significantly smaller than observed. All of our assumed SFHs imply number densities of CMQGs at z {approx} 2 that are consistent with the observed number density. Better agreement with the observed number density of CMQGs at z {approx} 2 is obtained if merging is included in the analysis and better still if star formation quenching is assumed to shortly follow the merging event, as implied by recent models of the formation of MQGs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Sensitivity Studies of the Inter-subchannel Mixing in Subchannel Analysis

In the PWR reactor core, the power profile is nonuniform and the inter-subchannel mixing is of great importance for flatting the temperature distribution of the coolant and for reactor core safety analysis. Subchannel codes are widely used in the reactor core safety analysis to assess the thermal hydraulic behavior of fuel assemblies. One of basic assumptions in subchannel analysis is that axial flow predominates in the channel flow. Under this assumption, the lateral momentum equation in subchannel codes can be simplified without bringing in significant errors. The inter-subchannel mixing leading to the exchange of mass, energy and momentum are modeled by adding source terms to the hydrodynamic equations or by separate models, and most of source terms and models are empirical correlations. With the advancement of mixing vane grid design, the lateral mixing has becoming a critical components in the evaluation of the inter-subchannel mixing in flow field. The accuracy of the subchannel analysis is strongly dependent on the modeling of inter-subchannel interactions between adjacent subchannels. So the inter-subchannel mixing models should be well considered and developed in subchannel analysis to better reflect their influence on flow field and temperature field in rod bundle. Generally speaking, the inter-subchannel mixing in subchannel analysis contains turbulent mixing and crossflow mixing in single phase flow. When it comes to two phase flow, the void drift will also contribute to inter-subchannel mixing [2]. Both the mechanisms and the generation conditions of each type of inter-subchannel mixing are different from each other. Turbulent mixing is a result of random turbulent flow and pressure fluctuations. Crossflow is caused by a net transverse pressure difference between adjacent subchannels. Lateral pressure differences can result from different subchannel hydraulic diameters, mass flux, heat flux distributions and changes in flow areas caused, for example, by wire wraps and spacer grids, respectively. Two-phase void drift is due to the tendency of the vapor phase to redistribute itself to a preferred equilibrium void distribution. This paper focuses on the sensitivity study of the inter-subchannel mixing with mixing vane grids for single phase flow in subchannel analysis. Both the turbulent mixing and crossflow mixing of the 5 x 5 rod bundle with mixing vane grids are predicted, and the results are compared and analyzed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

MCNP AND CFD MODELING OF A SODIUM FAST REACTOR SUB-ASSEMBLY CHANNEL TO CAPTURE LOCALIZED TEMPERATURE PEAKING

Typical evaluation tools for sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFR) use simplified neutronic/thermal models to efficiently compute the power and temperature distributions within the core. However, their modeling capability can be limited in extreme cases such as when sharp inter-assembly power gradients occur, or for non-standard SFR assembly geometries. Higher fidelity tools that rely on Monte Carlo methods for neutron transport, and Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) for thermal analysis, are better suited in these instances. The higher accuracy comes at the cost of higher computational expense. MCNP and STAR CCM+ were selected for this analysis. While MCNP is capable of generating pin-level power distributions for a whole-core SFR model, it is prohibitively expensive to then conduct CFD analysis for every single assembly. A semi-empirical model was therefore developed to rapidly estimate pin temperature distributions throughout the whole core. It relies on a geometric correction factor for turbulent flow-mixing. The correction factor is obtained from a CFD simulation of a single fuel assembly with a uniform power distribution and an adiabatic boundary condition. Without using CFD, each sub-channel outlet temperature is calculated separately using 1-D heat-balance and Nusselt number correlations and the MCNP calculated pin-powers. The rudimentary 1-D model is then corrected for the flow-mixing effect based on the CFD data. The temperature calculation is performed by a code written in the Python language called CFD Monte-Carlo Developed Reconstruction of Sub-channel at a Quasi-Representative Level (CMDR-SQRL). CMDR-SQRL was shown to adequately predict CFD evaluated temperature distribution for a wide range of SFR configurations, including an extreme case with fuel assemblies nearby containing moderating material. The agreement demonstrates how geometric and power-driven effects can be decoupled within an SFR assembly. CMDR-SQRL is intended to be mainly used for scoping studies to provide core-wide evaluations efficiently.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Cosmological parameter estimation with large scale structure observations

We estimate the sensitivity of future galaxy surveys to cosmological parameters, using the redshift dependent angular power spectra of galaxy number counts, C{sub ℓ}(z{sub 1},z{sub 2}), calculated with all relativistic corrections at first order in perturbation theory. We pay special attention to the redshift dependence of the non-linearity scale and present Fisher matrix forecasts for Euclid-like and DES-like galaxy surveys. We compare the standard P(k) analysis with the new C{sub ℓ}(z{sub 1},z{sub 2}) method. We show that for surveys with photometric redshifts the new analysis performs significantly better than the P(k) analysis. For spectroscopic redshifts, however, the large number of redshift bins which would be needed to fully profit from the redshift information, is severely limited by shot noise. We also identify surveys which can measure the lensing contribution and we study the monopole, C{sub 0}(z{sub 1},z{sub 2})

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

In Situ Mineralogical Analysis of Planetary Materials Using X-Ray Diffraction and X-Ray Fluorescence

Remote observations of Mars have led scientists to believe that its early climate was similar to that of the early Earth, having had abundant liquid water and a dense atmosphere. One of the most fascinating questions of recent times is whether simple bacterial life developed on Mars (as it did on the Earth) during this early element period. Analyses of SNC meteorites have broadened considerably our knowledge of the chemistry of certain types of Martian rocks, underscoring the tantalizing possibility of early hydrothermal systems and even of ancient bacterial life. Detailed analyses of SNC meteorites in Terrestrial laboratories utilize the most sophisticated organic, isotopic and microscopic techniques in existence. Indeed; it is unlikely that the key biogenic indicators used in McKay et al (ibid) could be identified by a remote instrument on the surface of Mars. As a result, it is probable that any robotic search for evidence of an ancient Martian biosphere will have as its focus the identification of key minerals in likely host rocks rather than the direct detection of organic or isotopic biomarkers. Even on a sample return mission, mineralogical screening will be utilized to choose the most likely candidate rocks. X-ray diffraction (XRD) is the only technique that can provide a direct determination of the crystal structures of the phases present within a sample. When many different crystalline phases are present, quantitative analysis is better constrained if used in conjunction with a determination of elemental composition, obtainable by X-ray fluorescence (XRF) using the same X-ray source as for XRD. For planetary surface analysis, a remote instrument combining XRD and XRF could be used for mineralogical characterization of both soils and rocks. We are designing a remote XRD/XRF instrument with this objective in mind. The instrument concept pays specific attention to constraints in sample preparation, weight, volume, power, etc. Based on the geometry of a pinhole camera (transmission geometry, flat two-dimensional detector perpendicular to the direct beam), the instrument (which we call CHEMIN, for Chemistry and Mineralogy) uses an X-ray sensitive CCD detector which will allow concurrent positional and energy-dispersive analysis of collected photons. Thus XRF (energy) and XRD (geometry) analysis of transmitted X-rays will be performed at the same time. Tests performed with single minerals and simple mixtures give promising results. Refinements of the prototype promise interpretable results on complex samples.

Sarrazin, P.↗

Enhancing the EVI-X National Framework to Address Emerging Questions on Charging Infrastructure Deployment

As national investments in EV charging infrastructure accelerate, this project advances the state-of-the-art in infrastructure analysis to better inform deployment strategies. It enhances NLR's EVI-X Suite, a set of tools supporting national network planning, local site design, and financial evaluation. These capabilities will position VTO to provide timely analysis to the DOT/DOE Joint Office, and to guide the strategic buildout of the national charging network. EVI-X development is closely coordinated with other VTO-funded efforts to ensure consistent, integrated use of key inputs and outputs, including EV adoption scenarios from TEMPO and infrastructure designs developed through EVs@Scale.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Enhancing the EVI-X National Framework to Address Emerging Energy Questions

This project advances the state-of-the-art in infrastructure analysis to better inform deployment strategies. It enhances NLR's EVI-X Suite, a set of tools supporting national network planning, local site design, and financial evaluation. These capabilities will position DOE to provide timely analysis and inform the strategic buildout of the national charging network. EVI-X development is closely coordinated with other DOE-funded efforts to ensure consistent, integrated use of key inputs and outputs, including EV adoption scenarios from NLR's TEMPO model.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Strong Regional Influence of Climatic Forcing Datasets on Global Crop Model Ensembles

We present results from the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison (GGCMI) Phase I, which aligned 14 global gridded crop models (GGCMs) and 11 climatic forcing datasets (CFDs) in order to understand how the selection of climate data affects simulated historical crop productivity of maize, wheat, rice and soybean. Results show that CFDs demonstrate mean biases and differences in the probability of extreme events, with larger uncertainty around extreme precipitation and in regions where observational data for climate and crop systems are scarce. Countries where simulations correlate highly with reported FAO national production anomalies tend to have high correlations across most CFDs, whose influence we isolate using multi-GGCM ensembles for each CFD. Correlations compare favorably with the climate signal detected in other studies, although production in many countries is not primarily climate-limited (particularly for rice). Bias-adjusted CFDs most often were among the highest model-observation correlations, although all CFDs produced the highest correlation in at least one top-producing country. Analysis of larger multi-CFD-multi-GGCM ensembles (up to 91 members) shows benefits over the use of smaller subset of models in some regions and farming systems, although bigger is not always better. Our analysis suggests that global assessments should prioritize ensembles based on multiple crop models over multiple CFDs as long as a top-performing CFD is utilized for the focus region.

Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement↗

Mitigating Injection‐Induced Seismicity Along Basement Faults by Extraction: Application to 2016–2018 Pohang Earthquakes

Abstract The risk of induced earthquake is considered as the major obstacle for sustainable subsurface energy activities. As a mitigation approach, mechanistic risk assessment can be essential to minimize the potential of seismic hazard. Coupled hydro‐mechanical modeling approach is integrated with geomechanical analysis to better assess the occurrence of seismicity induced by injection and/or extraction, which will provide a basis to update operational conditions (e.g., number and location of mitigating wells, rate and duration of operations) for mitigating earthquake nucleation. The Coulomb stability analysis and seismicity rate estimates from this generic study indicate that simultaneous extraction can relieve injection‐induced pore‐pressure buildup, but also transfer and accumulate elastic energy along the faults. Field‐scale simulation with variation in well design for the Pohang EGS site, South Korea, show that multiple wells aligned across a preexisting fault form gradients of pressure and stress fields normal to the fault, which can enhance the direct impact of diffusion process and poroelastic stressing on the fault stability perturbation. Our mechanistic study suggests multiphysics‐oriented mitigation strategies that consider (1) possible mechanical deformation, caused by hydro‐mechanical coupling effects, and (2) proper configuration of well operations based on site‐specific geological characteristics.

Chang, K. W.↗

Energy savings and cost-benefit analysis of the new commercial building standard in China

In this study, a comprehensive comparison of the commercial building energy efficiency standard between the previous 2005 version and the new proposed version is conducted, including the energy efficiency analysis and cost-benefit analysis. To better understand the tech-economic performance of the new Chinese standard, energy models were set up based on a typical commercial office building in Chinese climate zones. The building energy standard in 2005 is used as the baseline for this analysis. Key building technologies measures are analyzed individually, including roof, wall, window, lighting and chiller and so on and finally whole building cost-benefit analysis was conducted. Results show that the new commercial building energy standard demonstrates good cost-effective performance, with whole building payback period around 4 years.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Sustainable Manufacturing and the Circular Economy

The term "zero waste" can be somewhat misleading, as it implies an idealization of a concept that may never be achieved in real-world practice. According to Waste360 , "many in the solid waste industry think zero waste is an impossible goal. (Zero-waste advocates) believe just the opposite that a zero-waste approach makes the most economical and environmental sense...Most everyone agrees, however, that actually reaching the point where absolutely no waste is created is unlikely" (Leroux 2001). "Zero waste is a goal. It's completely unachievable...It's not about perfection; it's about making better choices" (Kellogg 2018). The immediate value of moving towards a zero-waste society is not immediately clear, but since the world we live in is finite in its resources, at what point does that value become evident? How do we broaden our value analysis to better incorporate the longer-term view? What are strategies that we can easily incorporate now that will significantly increase that longer term value and mitigate the impacts for future generations? This report considers these questions through a series of case studies from different parts of the U.S. manufacturing sector.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Analysis of Platooning Trucks to Better Understand Dynamic Air Flow

Track testing has shown significant fuel-savings promise for truck platooning strategies but also raised unexpected questions about close following and long-distance following scenarios that could significantly impact savings realized in real-world conditions. The 2017 track test collaboration among NREL, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, NRC Canada, Transport Canada, and others included onboard instrumentation to help the team gain a deeper understanding of the dynamic interaction between multiple vehicles. NREL's approach includes detailed data analysis for additional onboard sensors and J1939 CAN bus data from 2017 track test to investigate following truck air flow and turbulence changes to explain reduced savings at close following distances for the last vehicle in a platoon, define engine-cooling impacts of platooning position in different formations due to reduction of ram air through front grill and generate an understanding of a true in-use "baseline" with other vehicles on the highway. Initial data analysis indicates many of the data trends in wind angle, wind speed, and temperatures show a change in pattern for the closer following distances where fuel savings decrease for the following vehicles was also documented. This is encouraging in that the planned further analysis may yield the desired insights into the cause of the reduced savings. Once analyzed, light-duty vehicle and dynamic scenarios will help us refine the sensitivity of findings from the standard platooning scenarios.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Prognostic Impact of Radiation Therapy to the Primary Tumor in Patients With Non-small Cell Lung Cancer and Oligometastasis at Diagnosis

Purpose: We investigated prognostic factors associated with survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and oligometastatic disease at diagnosis, particularly the influence of local treatment to the primary site on prognosis. Methods and Materials: From January 2000 through June 2011, 78 consecutive patients with oligometastatic NSCLC (<5 metastases) at diagnosis underwent definitive chemoradiation therapy ({>=}45 Gy) to the primary site. Forty-four of these patients also received definitive local treatment for the oligometastases. Survival outcomes were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and risk factors were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses. Results: Univariate Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed better overall survival (OS) for those patients who received at least 63 Gy of radiation to the primary site (P=.002), received definitive local treatment for oligometastasis (P=.041), had a Karnofsky performance status (KPS) score >80 (P=.007), had a gross tumor volume {<=}124 cm{sup 3} (P=.002), had adenocarcinoma histology (P=.002), or had no history of respiratory disease (P=.016). On multivariate analysis, radiation dose, performance status, and tumor volume retained significance (P=.004, P=.006, and P<.001, respectively). The radiation dose also maintained significance when patients with and without brain metastases were analyzed separately. Conclusions: Tumor volume, KPS, and receipt of at least 63 Gy to the primary tumor are associated with improved OS in patients with oligometastatic NSCLC at diagnosis. Our results suggest that a subset of such patients may benefit from definitive local therapy.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

A Most Probable Point-Based Method for Reliability Analysis, Sensitivity Analysis and Design Optimization

A major step in a most probable point (MPP)-based method for reliability analysis is to determine the MPP. This is usually accomplished by using an optimization search algorithm. The minimum distance associated with the MPP provides a measurement of safety probability, which can be obtained by approximate probability integration methods such as FORM or SORM. The reliability sensitivity equations are derived first in this paper, based on the derivatives of the optimal solution. Examples are provided later to demonstrate the use of these derivatives for better reliability analysis and reliability-based design optimization (RBDO).

Hou, Gene J.-W↗