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DOE OSTI2022

Dark energy survey year 3 results: High-precision measurement and modeling of galaxy-galaxy lensing

We present and characterize the galaxy-galaxy lensing signal measured using the first three years of data from the Dark Energy Survey (DES Y3) covering 4132 deg 2 . These galaxy-galaxy measurements are used in the DES Y3 3 × 2 pt cosmological analysis, which combines weak lensing and galaxy clustering information. We use two lens samples: a magnitude-limited sample and the redmagic sample, which span the redshift range ∼ 0.2 – 1 with 10.7 and 2.6 M galaxies, respectively. For the source catalog, we use the metacalibration shape sample, consisting of ≃ 100 M galaxies separated into four tomographic bins. Our galaxy-galaxy lensing estimator is the mean tangential shear, for which we obtain a total SNR of ∼ 148 for maglim ( ∼ 120 for redmagic), and ∼ 67 ( ∼ 55 ) after applying the scale cuts of 6 Mpc / h . Thus we reach percent-level statistical precision, which requires that our modeling and systematic-error control be of comparable accuracy. The tangential shear model used in the 3 × 2 pt cosmological analysis includes lens magnification, a five-parameter intrinsic alignment model, marginalization over a point mass to remove information from small scales and a linear galaxy bias model validated with higher-order terms. We explore the impact of these choices on the tangential shear observable and study the significance of effects not included in our model, such as reduced shear, source magnification, and source clustering. We also test the robustness of our measurements to various observational and systematics effects, such as the impact of observing conditions, lens-source clustering, random-point subtraction, scale-dependent metacalibration responses, point spread function residuals, and B modes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Resolved Gravity Waves in the Extratropical Stratosphere: Effect of Horizontal Resolution Increase from O (10) to O (1) km

Global ECMWF IFS simulations with horizontal grid spacings of 1, 4, and 9 km are used to assess gravity wave forcing (GWF) in the extratropical stratosphere. Results with important implications for GWF parameterizations at high and intermediate resolutions are presented. A doubling in the zonal-mean resolved GWF is observed when the horizontal resolution is increased from 9 to 1 km. Small-scale gravity waves with horizontal wavelengths < 100 km dominate this increase. Over most regions, excluding the polar night jet in the Antarctic spring, the total (resolved + parameterized) GWF at 9 km (4 km) is underestimated by up to 30% (15%). This implies that the parameterization of GWF is still required at 9 and 4 km horizontal resolutions. Despite the small land area in the Southern Hemisphere (SH), the resolved orographic and nonorographic GWF contribute equally to the total GWF in the SH at 1 km resolution. This is not reflected in the partitioning of the parameterized GWF, which has a significantly larger nonorographic contribution at 9 km. As a result, a zonal-mean momentum budget analysis reveals that the total GWF contributes one-third of SH springtime polar vortex deceleration at 1 km, whereas the contribution is as much as 50% at 9 km. In conclusion, this suggests that a rebalancing of the parameterized nonorographic and orographic GWF is required.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Mapping gas around massive galaxies: cross-correlation of DES Y3 galaxies and Compton- y maps from SPT and Planck

ABSTRACT We cross-correlate positions of galaxies measured in data from the first three years of the Dark Energy Survey with Compton-y maps generated using data from the South Pole Telescope (SPT) and the Planck mission. We model this cross-correlation measurement together with the galaxy autocorrelation to constrain the distribution of gas in the Universe. We measure the hydrostatic mass bias or, equivalently, the mean halo bias-weighted electron pressure 〈bhPe 〉, using large-scale information. We find 〈bhPe 〉 to be $[0.16^{+0.03}_{-0.04},0.28^{+0.04}_{-0.05},0.45^{+0.06}_{-0.10},0.54^{+0.08}_{-0.07},0.61^{+0.08}_{-0.06},0.63^{+0.07}_{-0.08}]$ meV cm−3 at redshifts z ∼ [0.30, 0.46, 0.62, 0.77, 0.89, 0.97]. These values are consistent with previous work where measurements exist in the redshift range. We also constrain the mean gas profile using small-scale information, enabled by the high-resolution of the SPT data. We compare our measurements to different parametrized profiles based on the cosmo-OWLS hydrodynamical simulations. We find that our data are consistent with the simulation that assumes an AGN heating temperature of 108.5 K but are incompatible with the model that assumes an AGN heating temperature of 108.0 K. These comparisons indicate that the data prefer a higher value of electron pressure than the simulations within r500c of the galaxies’ haloes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Neuromorphic Computing for Autonomous Racing

Neuromorphic computing has many opportunities in future autonomous systems, especially those that will operate at the edge. However, there are relatively few demonstrations of neuromorphic implementations on real-world applications, partly because of the lack of availability of neuromorphic hardware and software, but also because of the lack of availability of an accessible demonstration platform. In this work, we propose utilizing the F1Tenth platform as an evaluation task for neuromorphic computing. F1Tenth is a competition wherein one tenth scale cars compete in an autonomous racing task; there are significant open source resources in both software and hardware for realizing this task. We present a workflow with neuromorphic hardware, software, and training that can be used to develop a spiking neural network for neuromorphic hardware deployment to perform autonomous racing. We present initial results on utilizing this approach for this small-scale, real-world autonomous vehicle task.

Patton, Robert↗

DOE OSTI2022

Development of an operando characterization stage for multi-modal synchrotron x-ray experiments

It is widely accepted that micro- and nanoscale inhomogeneities govern the performance of many thin-film solar cell absorbers. These inhomogeneities yield material properties (e.g., composition, structure, and charge collection) that are challenging to correlate across length scales and measurement modalities. The challenge is compounded if a correlation is sought during device operation or in conditions that mimic aging under particular stressors (e.g., heat and electrical bias). Correlative approaches, particularly those based on synchrotron x-ray sources, are powerful since they can access several material properties in different modes (e.g., fluorescence, diffraction, and absorption) with minimal sample preparation. Small-scale laboratory x-ray instruments have begun to offer multi-modality but are typically limited by low x-ray photon flux, low spatial resolution, or specific sample sizes. To overcome these limitations, a characterization stage was developed to enable multi-scale, multi-modal operando measurements of industrially relevant photovoltaic devices. The stage offers compatibility across synchrotron x-ray facilities, enabling correlation between nanoscale x-ray fluorescence microscopy, microscale x-ray diffraction microscopy, and x-ray beam induced current microscopy, among others. Furthermore, the stage can accommodate device sizes up to 25 × 25 mm 2 , offering access to multiple regions of interest and increasing the statistical significance of correlated properties. The stage materials can sustain humid and non-oxidizing atmospheres, and temperature ranges encountered by photovoltaic devices in operational environments (e.g., from 25 to 100 °C). As a case study, we discuss the functionality of the stage by studying Se-alloyed CdTe photovoltaic devices aged in the stage between 25 and 100 °C.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Scaling Containment on a Large Centrifuge

Containment science concerns the trapping or leakage of radioactive cavity gases from underground nuclear explosions (UNEs). The most physically relevant data for validation of containment science comes from legacy UNE testing or large field-scale chemical explosions. Field-scale tests can inform on the degree of residual stress imparted to host geology and possible formation of an accompanying gas-containing “stress cage”, for example, as a function of chemical explosion yield. However, field testing can be expensive, difficult to conduct, and challenging to instrument with limitations on data coverage (i.e., the number of boreholes; difficult coring through damage zones). Small-scale laboratory tests are typically simpler to conduct and more thoroughly characterize, but may not include the right scale of containment processes for stress-cage or chimney formation. This report presents the theory and fundamentals of large centrifuge physical modeling, including a history of explosive or similar testing relevant to containment science investigations on centrifuges. Subscale models with embedded chemical explosives in the enhanced gravity of a large centrifuge can represent hundreds of meters of depth and large explosions not otherwise attainable in the laboratory as based on scaling of length, energy, and other processes by the g-factor of the centrifuge (i.e., the number of times larger the centrifugal force is than the gravitational force on the Earth’s surface). The centrifuge uniquely joins the simplicity and exhaustiveness of laboratory-scale characterization with the physics of field-scale processes. This report is part of Sandia National Laboratories’ (SNL’s) effort to prepare for physical modeling with approximately one-meter tall geologic models of stress cage and/or chimney formation on its 29-foot [8.84 m] radius centrifuge with a load capacity of 1.6 million 𝑔-pounds [726 𝑔-ton]. The scaling relationships herein will inform model design decisions and performance requirements for in-flight sensors.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Geothermal Deep Direct Use for Turbine Inlet Cooling in East Texas

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), the Southern Methodist University Geothermal Laboratory (SMU), Eastman Chemical (Longview, TX), and TAS (Houston, TX) evaluated the feasibility of using geothermal heat to improve the performance of a natural-gas power plant in East Texas. The area of interest is the Eastman Chemical plant in Longview, Texas, which is on the northwestern margin of a geologic region known as the Sabine Uplift. The feasibility study focused on determining the potential for accessing a subsurface hot-water geothermal resource within a 10-km radius of the site to provide thermal energy for absorption chillers. Wells within a 20-km radius are included for broader geological comparison to determine the heat flow, temperature-at-depth, field porosity and permeability. The lithologies of most interest are the Lower Cretaceous Trinity Group and Upper Jurassic Cotton Valley Group. The deeper Cotton Valley formations are hotter (averaging 117 to 130°C), yet permeability and porosity are low. The shallower Trinity Group contains more variability in permeability and porosity and lower temperatures averaging about 98 to 117°C. The shallower formations are considered despite the lower temperature because of increased ability to produce larger volumes of water and extract enough heat before reinjection. The complete SMU analysis is available in the National Geothermal Data System (NGDS). Tapping such deep geothermal sources for direct heating (as opposed to power generation) is known as geothermal deep direct use (DDU). Geothermal DDU has potential across a wide swath of the United States but is underutilized due to challenging project economics associated with developing a deep geothermal resource for what are typically small-scale, variable-demand projects. This project examines the feasibility of geothermal energy integration in a natural-gas combined cycle power station in East Texas. The DDU resource is tapped to drive absorption chillers (24/7) for production of chilled water at 5-10°C (41-50°F). This chilled water is stored until needed, which allows for continuous operation with a relatively small-capacity geothermal/absorption chiller system. When conditions are favorable, the chilled water is dispatched to cool the air entering the compressor stage of a gas combustion turbine. This process, known as turbine inlet cooling (TIC), boosts power production during periods of high temperature and high-power demand. Such systems can enhance grid reliability and reduce the cost for peak-demand power. A simulation model of the power plant was developed in IPSEpro software and validated against operational data from the plant. This model allowed the team to estimate the additional power that could be produced by applying TIC under different operating and ambient conditions. Absorption chiller performance was estimated from vendor sources to determine the production rate of chilled water from the geothermal resource. Geothermal drilling and development costs were estimated using NREL's GEOPHIRES 2.0. The expected lower drilling costs in this region led to an estimated cost of geothermal heat of about $4/MMBtu (1.4 cents/kWh t ). The estimated cost for the absorption chillers and TIC hardware were obtained from literature sources and project partners. Hourly data were obtained for weather, natural gas and electricity prices, and plant operating state for 2017, which served as a representative year. NREL estimated the capital cost, operating cost, and additional electricity production and revenue for different combinations of geothermal capacity, chiller capacity, and water storage-tank size. The analysis drove toward smaller geothermal and chiller systems to reduce equipment cost. A relatively low-cost water storage tank accumulated the near-continuous chilled water output for later use when TIC was most valued.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

A simple method for modelling fatigue spectra of small wind turbine blades

Small-scale wind turbines have market opportunities in distributed energy generation applications but face future challenges in remaining cost competitive compared with solar photovoltaic systems. High unit costs can be attributed to design conservatism when calculating fatigue loads of key structural components such as the blades. In this study, we use the aeroelastic software FAST to highlight limitations of the International Electrotechnical Commission 61400-2:2013 small wind turbine design standard for calculating fatigue life using the simplified load model. We present a modified method for calculating the fatigue spectra of small wind turbine blades. An advantage of this method is that it does not require complex aeroelastic simulations or field measurements. This modified method is intended to be implemented early in the blade design stage, such as during rotor optimization simulations, allowing for multiple rotor configurations to be rapidly compared.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

BETO 2021 Peer Review - Bench Scale Integration WBS 2.4.1.100

Bench Scale Integration develops and optimizes fermentation processes to produce bio-based fuels and chemicals from biomass sugars. The project uses fermentation science to achieve high titers and production rates by, for example, manipulating how the microorganisms are fed biomass sugars and nutrients, modifying fermentation conditions (pH, temperature, aeration) or developing online control strategies that increase production rates. For this period of performance, we conducted small scale fermentation research using strategies mentioned to produce 2,3-butanediol (BDO) from biomass utilizing NREL's proprietary Zymomonas mobilis microorganism. BDO is a versatile chemical which can be catalytically upgraded to a variety of hydrocarbon fuels and chemicals. The 3-yr project goal was to increase BDO titers from 50 g/L (FY17 level) to 125 g/L on biomass sugars by 2020. This is a 150% increase in titer showing the commercial potential of Z. mobilis while reducing the cost to downstream processing. We successfully achieved this target. The project also showed yearly progress improvements to the process design case by using a whole biomass slurry. Future work will focus on procedures for scaling to produce large quantities of BDO broth for separations and upgrading R&D and improve the titer and rates from biomass whole slurry. Our goal is to produce 100 g/L BDO titer from whole slurry at >1000L by 2023 which will meet the technical targets set by our techno-economic analysis.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamo: Handling Scientific Data Across Sites and Storage Media

Abstract Dynamo is a full-stack software solution for scientific data management. Dynamo’s architecture is modular, extensible, and customizable, making the software suitable for managing data in a wide range of installation scales, from a few terabytes stored at a single location to hundreds of petabytes distributed across a worldwide computing grid. This article documents the core system design of Dynamo and describes the applications that implement various data management tasks. A brief report is also given on the operational experiences of the system at the CMS experiment at the CERN Large Hadron Collider and at a small-scale analysis facility.

Iiyama, Yutaro (ORCID:0000000282975930)↗

DOE OSTI2023

The endohyphal microbiome: current progress and challenges for scaling down integrative multi-omic microbiome research

Abstract As microbiome research has progressed, it has become clear that most, if not all, eukaryotic organisms are hosts to microbiomes composed of prokaryotes, other eukaryotes, and viruses. Fungi have only recently been considered holobionts with their own microbiomes, as filamentous fungi have been found to harbor bacteria (including cyanobacteria), mycoviruses, other fungi, and whole algal cells within their hyphae. Constituents of this complex endohyphal microbiome have been interrogated using multi-omic approaches. However, a lack of tools, techniques, and standardization for integrative multi-omics for small-scale microbiomes (e.g., intracellular microbiomes) has limited progress towards investigating and understanding the total diversity of the endohyphal microbiome and its functional impacts on fungal hosts. Understanding microbiome impacts on fungal hosts will advance explorations of how “microbiomes within microbiomes” affect broader microbial community dynamics and ecological functions. Progress to date as well as ongoing challenges of performing integrative multi-omics on the endohyphal microbiome is discussed herein. Addressing the challenges associated with the sample extraction, sample preparation, multi-omic data generation, and multi-omic data analysis and integration will help advance current knowledge of the endohyphal microbiome and provide a road map for shrinking microbiome investigations to smaller scales.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Scale-up of Next Generation Nano-Enhanced Composite Materials for Longer Lasting Consumer Goods

The objective for this project was to create an industrial-scale manufacturing operation for Vertically Aligned Carbon Nanotube Forests (VACNTs), which make up N12 Technologies’ (N12) NanoStitch® product, a prepreg additive that makes advanced composites tougher, lighter, and more durable. This was achieved using University of Dayton Research Institute’s (UDRI) 60-inch Nano Adaptive Hybrid Fabric (NAHF-X) reactor system. N12 had a unique and effective nanomaterial-based product that they were manufacturing on small-scale 1-inch wide substrate machines in Boston, MA. UDRI had a large-scale 60-inch wide nanomaterial growth reactor available for scaling up 2nd party products in Dayton, OH. Thanks to the successful cooperation between both parties, this project resulted in the world’s first industrial-scale continuous VACNT film pilot plant in Dayton, OH with an increase in VACNT supply production rate of >10X. This scale up enabled market validation via testing programs and pilot manufacturing operations with a number of customers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

MFIX DEM Enhancement for Industry-Relevant Flows (Final Report)

The overall goal of this two-phase project is to implement performance improvements of the Multiphase Flow with Interphase Exchanges (MFIX) Discrete Element Model (DEM) code that enable a transformative shift for industrial use. Prior to this effort, the largest simulations performed using MFIX are O(10 7 ) particles. This falls short of the O(10 9 ) particle simulations that must be completed on a timescale of days or weeks (vs. months or years) to enable simulations with physically-relevant domain sizes to be incorporated into industrial design cycles within five years. This was accomplished by tailoring best-in-class practices to bear on the unique challenges posed by the MFIX-DEM algorithm and code base. Scientific simulations (e.g., in cosmology, turbulent combustion) routinely use massively parallel computing to update far more particles in short wall clock times. Results from Phase 1 (1.5 years in duration) indicated significant gains in speed were possible for a wide range of benchmark cases. Moreover, a survey sent to >35 companies indicates that the timing is ideal for such an enhanced tool, with >80% of the respondents indicating that DEM is already value-added or will be within the next 5 years, and >70% of the respondents indicating that improved speed is the top computational priority. In Phase 2 (3.5 years in duration), the two major barriers that hinder industry from effectively using multiphase Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) to cut costs and improve performance, namely computational overhead and confidence in predictions, continued to be addressed. Regarding the former, the results from Phase 1 to guide the effort, with enhancements focused on an improved time-stepping algorithm and particle sorting. Four target problems of 1 billion particles each and increasing complexity were identified: homogeneous cooling, tumbler with continuous particle size distribution, discharge from a rectangular hopper and a cylindrical riser. Each of these were successfully simulated for relevant time scales (on order of seconds) using less than 24 hours of wall clock time. These represent the first 1-billion particle DEM simulations performed with MFIX, namely using the MFIX-Exa code. This code is currently under development at NETL in collaboration with Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Regarding the second barrier on predictive uncertainty, experiments from Phase 1 (interacting nozzles - hydrodynamics only) and Phase 2 (very small-scale segregation experiments) were used to demonstrate the ability of two simplified approaches to uncertainty quantification (UQ). By limiting the number of particles, UQ based on the simplified treatment was compared to standard UQ, which was shown to have much higher computational demands. Experiments were also performed on a pilot-scale stripper unit to provide validation data for future CFD-DEM simulations and UQ.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Ad-Mat: Adaptations of Mature Manufacturing Strategies for Accelerated Redox Flow Battery Deployment

The concept of the Ad-Mat approach is to leverage existing adjacent markets across a broad scope of technologies in order to reduce the manufacturing learning curve and ultimately accelerate redox flow battery (RFB) deployment at scale. Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) are currently the dominant energy storage technology, and they came to technological maturity under unique market conditions when there was no meaningful competition in the consumer electronic and electric vehicle (EV) space. Today, alternative chemistries that may be technologically better-suited for long-duration storage applications are experiencing a high barrier to entry. This is in large part due to the substantial bias towards the scaled-up production and supply chain that now exists for LIBs. In the case of RFBs in particular, numerous analyses have suggested that RFBs should theoretically have a much lower system cost than LIBs - however, this relies on a mature and competitive manufacturing landscape, which has been extremely challenging to achieve for both flow batteries and other LIB competitors. At the moment, LIB alternatives tend to have isolated small-scale manufacturing pathways, which preclude the economies of scale that would be required to compete with the mature LIB industry. In the present state of the industry, niche manufacturing tools and approaches have evolved to support each alternative technology, such that there is substantial replication and duplication in effort. Continuing to pursue a strategy of isolated manufacturing processes/approaches for each LIB-alternative may never allow for at-scale deployment. In order for RFBs to meaningfully compete with LIBs in the realm of LDES, a new disruptive approach based on cross-industry learning and coordination is needed - and this is exactly what our Ad-Mat concept aims to tackle. In this re-envisioned manufacturing landscape, tools and processes from mature industries can be adapted and deployed across the range of alternative energy storage technologies. Adapting tools, equipment, processes, and industrial learning from mature industries to meet the technological requirements of RFBs would open new markets for existing OEMs in adjacent industries, would prevent unnecessary duplication and re-development, would improve efficiency across the manufacturing chain, and would ultimately support reduced costs and accelerated deployment of RFBs at scale.

adaptive manufacturing↗

DOE OSTI2020

Exact and locally implicit source term solvers for multifluid-Maxwell systems

Recently, a family of models that couple multifluid systems to the full Maxwell equations have been used in laboratory, space, and astrophysical plasma modeling. These models are more complete descriptions of the plasma than reduced models like magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) since they are derived more closely from the full kinetic Vlasov-Maxwell system, without assumptions like quasi-neutrality, negligible electron mass, etc. Thus these models naturally retain non-ideal MHD effects like electron inertia, Hall term, pressure anisotropy/nongyrotropy, displacement current, among others. One obstacle to broader application of these model is that an explicit treatment of their source terms leads to the need to resolve rapid processes like plasma oscillation and electron cyclotron motion, even when these are not important. In this paper, we suggest two ways to address this issue. First, we derive the analytic solutions to the source update equations, which can be implemented as a practical, but less generic solver. We then develop a time-centered, locally implicit algorithm to update the source terms, allowing stepping over the fast kinetic time-scales. For a plasma with S species, the locally implicit algorithm involves inverting a local (3 S + 3) × (3 S + 3) matrix only, thus is very efficient. The performance can be further increased by using the direct update formulas to skip null calculations. In this paper, we present benchmarks illustrating the exact energy-conservation of the locally implicit solver, as well as its efficiency and robustness for both small-scale, idealized problems and largescale, complex systems. The locally implicit algorithm can be also easily extended to include other local sources, like collisions and ionization, which are difficult to solve analytically.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Exploring the Effects of Emplacement Conditions on Explosion P/S Ratios across Local to Regional Distances

High-frequency (~> 2 Hz) seismic P/S amplitude ratios are well-established as a discriminant to distinguish between natural earthquakes and underground explosions at regional distances (~200–1500 km). As research shifts toward identifying lower-yield events, work has begun to investigate the potential of this discriminant for use at local distances (<200 km), in which initial results raise questions about its effectiveness. Here, we utilize data from several chemical explosion experiment series at the Nevada National Security Site in southern Nevada in the United States to study explosion Pg/Lg ratios across the range of local to regional distances. Additionall, the experiments are conducted over differing emplacement conditions, with contrasting geologies and a variety of yields and depths of burial, including surface explosions. We first establish the similarities of Pg/Lg ratios from chemical explosions to those from historic nuclear tests and conclude that, as previous data have suggested, chemical explosion ratios are good proxies for nuclear tests. We then examine Pg/Lg ratios from the new experiment series as functions of distance, yield, depth of burial, and scaled depth of burial (SDOB). At far-local and regional distances, we observe consistently higher ratios from hard-rock explosions compared to ones in a weaker dry alluvium medium, consistent with prior regional distance results. No other trends with yield, depth of burial, or SDOB are strongly evident. Scatter in the observed ratios is very high, particularly at the shortest event-to-station distances, suggesting that small-scale path effects play a significant role. On average, the local distance explosion Pg/Lg ratios show remarkable consistency across all the variations in emplacement. Explosion source models will need to reproduce these results.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

A new process-based and scale-aware desert dust emission scheme for global climate models – Part I: Description and evaluation against inverse modeling emissions

Desert dust accounts for most of the atmosphere's aerosol burden by mass and produces numerous important impacts on the Earth system. However, current global climate models (GCMs) and land-surface models (LSMs) struggle to accurately represent key dust emission processes, in part because of inadequate representations of soil particle sizes that affect the dust emission threshold, surface roughness elements that absorb wind momentum, and boundary-layer characteristics that control wind fluctuations. Furthermore, because dust emission is driven by small-scale (~ 1 km or smaller) processes, simulating the global cycle of desert dust in GCMs with coarse horizontal resolutions (~ 100 km) presents a fundamental challenge. This representation problem is exacerbated by dust emission fluxes scaling nonlinearly with wind speed above a threshold wind speed that is sensitive to land-surface characteristics. Here, we address these fundamental problems underlying the simulation of dust emissions in GCMs and LSMs by developing improved descriptions of (1) the effect of soil texture on the dust emission threshold, (2) the effects of nonerodible roughness elements (both rocks and green vegetation) on the surface wind stress, and (3) the effects of boundary-layer turbulence on driving intermittent dust emissions. We then use the resulting revised dust emission parameterization to simulate global dust emissions in a standalone model forced by reanalysis meteorology and land-surface fields. We further propose (4) a simple methodology to rescale lower-resolution dust emission simulations to match the spatial variability of higher-resolution emission simulations in GCMs. The resulting dust emission simulation shows substantially improved agreement against regional dust emissions observationally constrained by inverse modeling. We thus find that our revised dust emission parameterization can substantially improve dust emission simulations in GCMs and LSMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

The Importance of an Ensemble Approach for Modeling Aerosol‐Convection Interactions

Aerosol-convection interactions modulate cloud microphysics, thermodynamics, and updraft intensity, contributing to climate-scale aerosol-radiative forcing. However, quantifying aerosol indirect effects in mixed-phase deep convection remains challenging due to uncertainties in parameterized physics and initial conditions driving nonlinear evolution of convective processes. This study investigates the convective updraft sensitivity to random initial temperature perturbations using an idealized ensemble modeling framework informed by in situ thermodynamic and aerosol observations from the DOE TRACER field campaign. We analyze the impact of small-scale initial perturbations on updraft velocity and supersaturation, and determine the ensemble size required to minimize stochastic internal variability. Results show that minor thermodynamic perturbations can produce updraft variability comparable to aerosol-induced changes reported in prior work. An ensemble of 10 members sufficiently reduces variability, enabling robust investigation of aerosol-related updraft invigoration and informing the design of future ensemble-based aerosol-convection interaction studies in environments with significant spatiotemporal mesoscale thermodynamic and aerosol heterogeneity.

aerosol-convection interactions↗