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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 523 records · Page 29

Cost Analysis and Projections for U.S.-Manufactured Automotive Lithium-ion Batteries

This document reports on a study conducted to estimate the cost of U.S-produced automotive battery packs for model years (MY) 2023 to 2035, using Argonne National Laboratory’s BatPaC tool. The costs were estimated by designing batteries for several classes of vehicles for four discrete model years (2023, 2026, 2030, and 2035), where a representative battery technology and material prices are selected based on information available today. Correlations were developed from the four discrete years to enable annual pack cost estimates as a function of pack size (kWh) and model year. A consolidated cost curve was then developed that includes battery size, technology by model year, and the anticipated sales volumes of each class of vehicles over the years. This cost curve estimates the volume-averaged, U.S.-manufactured battery pack cost of PHEVs and BEVs in the United States to be $\$140$/kWh for the model year 2023, which will reduce to $\$86$/kWh in MY2035. Applying tax credits from section 45X of the Inflation Reduction Act can further reduce the average pack cost to as low as $\$56$/kWh in MY2029. The report also includes several sensitivity studies that investigate the effect of pack production volume, material prices, fast charge requirements, and labor rates.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Automated array assembly

Manufacturing techniques are evaluated using expenses based on experience and studying basic cost factors for each step to evaluate expenses from a first-principles point of view. A formal cost accounting procedure is developed which is used throughout the study for cost comparisons. The first test of this procedure is a comparison of its predicted costs for array module manufacturing with costs from a study which is based on experience factors. A manufacturing cost estimate for array modules of $10/W is based on present-day manufacturing techniques, expenses, and materials costs.

Williams, B. F.↗

Challenging conventional assumptions in PV: a high-throughput open-air approach to low-cost perovskite module production

Perovskite solar modules (PSMs) offer a promising pathway to low-cost photovoltaics, yet their commercialization is challenged by manufacturing scalability, device uniformity, additive costs, interlayer complexity, and module stability. This study introduces a comprehensive technoeconomic analysis of single junction PSM's and projections for tandem perovskite-Si modules that integrate all materials and manufacturing steps, module performances, projected lifetimes, and manufacturing costs across scales. Here, we highlight an open-air manufacturing approach to fabricate all active layers of serially interconnected PSMs, including electrodes and charge transport layers, enabling high-throughput production without inert or vacuum environments. The analysis reveals two orders of magnitude throughput enhancement and cost reductions of 24% in all-open-air production, escalating to over 60% at 1 GW factory capacity compared to conventional methods. Levelized cost of energy (LCOE) projections for utility-scale installations over 30 years, accounting for module replacement and recycling, demonstrate the potential to achieve the 2030 US target of $0.03 per kWh with realistic 7–11-year PSM lifetimes, outperforming incumbent silicon-based modules. Neither four terminal (4T) nor two terminal (2T) tandem-Si PSMs improve over single junction perovskite or silicon LCOE regardless of higher efficiencies at any modeled lifetime. Addressing PSM technical challenges with a cost-modeling framework guides commercialization efforts and provides a convincing pathway for challenging incumbent Si-based PV.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Characterization of a selective, zero power sensor for distributed sensing of hydrogen in energy applications

The use of hydrogen as a clean and renewable energy source is increasing rapidly for both vehicle and stationary applications. There are safety concerns for the locations in which hydrogen is made, used, and transported (i.e., pipelines and tanker trucks). Sensors are needed to comply with safety regulations and to enable a smooth and safe rollout of hydrogen as an alternative energy. However, hydrogen sensors do not yet exist that have the combined features of small size and low power for easy deployment coupled with high-volume manufacturability and low cost. This is necessary to accommodate the emerging fixed and mobile markets while retaining critical metrological metrics, including measurement range, detection limits, selectivity, fast response, stability, and long lifetime. An amperometric gas sensor for hydrogen (AGS) has been developed using an innovative manufacturing method. The sensor was designed using scalable fabrication strategies based on “Printed Electronics” (PE) methodology which are compatible with large-scale production. Prototype sensors were batch fabricated with multiple individual elements on a substrate compatible in size with a standard 8-inch wafer to enable high-volume, low-cost manufacturing, thereby leveraging PE and semiconductor fabrication infrastructure. This novel AGS was instrumented with control circuitry and evaluated for hydrogen detection in the range of 0–5000 ppmv H2 in air. Specific performance evaluations included assessment of the sensor measurement range, repeatability, and selectivity.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Optimization of wall assembly for DOE Efficient New Homes Program in HUD’s Climate Zones 2 and 3

Manufactured homes provide affordable housing for over 20 million Americans. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Efficient New Homes (ENH) program has introduced new energy certification requirements that manufacturers can optionally target to ensure outstanding levels of energy savings, comfort, health, and durability. In collaboration with Clayton Homes (under User Agreement (NN-23-1469)), Oak Ridge National Laboratory evaluated multiple wall assembly options to meet ENH requirements in HUD Climate Zones 2 and 3, with a target maximum cost premium of 5%. After analyzing thermal performance, cost, and manufacturability, insulated structural sheathing was identified as the most practical and effective solution. A full-scale manufactured home prototype demonstrated that this approach meets energy performance goals with minimal disruption to existing manufacturing processes and a cost premium of less than 10% with a path to further lower costs, offering a promising path forward for more efficient manufactured housing.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Cost-Benefit Assessment of Additive Manufacturing for Injection Molds

This report presents an additive-manufacturing (AM) technology, where AM Cyclic Olefin Resin (COR) molds would be used for injection molding. The National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) team has focused on the costs and economics of this developing technology. This report presents a cost-benefit analysis of using the polySpectra AM COR molds made of COR, at the start of the project (Present') and the potential lifetime, cost-effectiveness, and performance by the end of the project period (Period 3'). The analysis of the AM COR molds is compared to traditional Computer Numerical Control (CNC) machined aluminum molds across the time periods. A cost-benefit model framework has been developed to evaluate AM COR molds. This model accounts for mold delivery to customers, current and future levels of technology readiness, the type of material injected, and various business cases. AM COR molds offer a major advantage in lead time, reducing production setup from weeks or months (with CNC machining) to as little as two to five days. This enables faster prototyping, quicker design cycles, and accelerated time-to-market, critical in industries like electronics, aerospace, medical devices, and automotive. Even modest improvements in the durability of polySpectra AM COR molds show the potential for these molds to complement traditional tooling. With further development, AM COR mold technology could provide significant time and cost savings while supporting increased domestic manufacturing capacity.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Manufacture of Carbon Foam in Continuous Process at Atmospheric Pressure

The objective is to develop continuous processing of carbon foam products made from coal at atmospheric pressure. Both carbon foam panels and lightweight carbon foam aggregates have been developed. A successful outcome would: 1) significantly reduce the cost to manufacture carbon foam through reductions in capital and labor costs, 2) significantly reduce the manufacturing time from weeks to hours, and 3) enable the manufacture of much larger volumes of carbon foam. All of these features are expected to enable carbon foam to enter much larger markets and create meaningful demand for U.S. coal.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Progress in manufacturing large primary aircraft structures using the stitching/RTM process

The Douglas Aircraft/NASA Act contract has been focused over the past three years at developing a materials, manufacturing, and cost base for stitched/Resin Transfer Molded (RTM) composites. The goal of the program is to develop RTM and stitching technology to provide enabling technology for application of these materials in primary aircraft structure with a high degree of confidence. Presented in this paper will be the progress to date in the area of manufacturing and associated cost values of stitched/RTM composites.

Markus, Alan↗

SAMICS marketing and distribution model

A SAMICS (Solar Array Manufacturing Industry Costing Standards) was formulated as a computer simulation model. Given a proper description of the manufacturing technology as input, this model computes the manufacturing price of solar arrays for a broad range of production levels. This report presents a model for computing these marketing and distribution costs, the end point of the model being the loading dock of the final manufacturer.

Source record↗

Low-cost directionally-solidified turbine blades, volume 2

An endothermically heated technology was used to manufacture low cost, directionally solidified, uncooled nickel-alloy blades for the TFE731-3 turbofan engine. The MAR-M 247 and MER-M 100+Hf blades were finish processed through heat treatment, machining, and coating operations prior to 150 hour engine tests consisting of the following sequences: (1) 50 hours of simulated cruise cycling (high fatigue evaluation); (2) 50 hours at the maximum continuous power rating (stress rupture endurance (low cycle fatigue). None of the blades visually showed any detrimental effects from the test. This was verified by post test metallurgical evaluation. The specific fuel consumption was reduced by 2.4% with the uncooled blades.

Dennis, R. E.↗

Imaging of Calibrated Defects in Additively Manufactured Materials: Pulsed Thermal Tomography Nondestructive Examination of Additively Manufactured Reactor Materials and Components

Additive manufacturing (AM, or 3D printing) for commercial nuclear energy applications is an emerging method for cost-efficient manufacturing aimed at replacing aging nuclear reactor parts and reducing costs for new construction. Known material flaws in AM include low-density regions consisting of non-sintered powder, which have to be detected to ensure the safety of long-term performance nuclear reactor components. Currently, limited options are available for nondestructive evaluation (NDE), either during or post manufacturing. As a solution to NDE of AM, we are developing pulsed thermal imaging which is non-contact, one-sided, and scalable to arbitrary size and shape of the AM parts. Pulsed thermography (PT) system utilizes a high intensity flash lamp to rapidly heat surface of sample, and a high sensitivity fast-frame megapixel infrared (IR) camera to capture data of surface temperature variations. The acquired data cube consists of a stack of surface temperature images taken at different times. Information about material internal defects is extracted by analyzing the data cube. This report provides results of preliminary performance evaluation of pulsed thermal imaging capability in detection of imprinted flaws in AM metallic structures. The flaws were introduced into AM parts as imprinted hemispherical low density regions, consisting of trapped un-sintered metallic powder. Specimens for developed for this study consisted of AM stainless steel 316 and Inconel 718 plates. The diameters of imprinted defects varied from 1mm to 8mm, and their depths below the plate flat surface varied between 1mm and 6mm. Pulsed thermal tomography (PTT) processes the measured data cube to obtain 3D reconstructions of material effusivity using a unique inversion algorithm developed at Argonne. PTT has been previously used in imaging of similar size flat bottom hole (FBH) simulated defects in stainless steel 316 and Inconel 718 specimens. In the study involving AM specimens, PTT imaging results have shown that 1mm-diameter defects located 1mm and 2mm below the surface of specimens were detectable. Larger size defects were detectable at greater depth. We also explored an alternative approach to detection of material flaws in PT data cube, which is using neural learning-based approach to blind source separation. Detection of small material defects requires finding features in the data cube which have signal contrast levels approaching sensitivity limit of IR camera. In this study, an optimized Neural Learning based Blind Source Separation (NLBSS) algorithm, including Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and Independent Component Analysis (ICA) is demonstrated to automatically extract principal temporal and spatial features of thermography frames to enhance flaw detection. By using the NLBSS algorithm, material internal defects can be automatically detected. Furthermore, this processing approach compensates for experimental thermal imaging artifacts, such as noise and uneven heating. By merging artificial intelligence with phtotothermics, the NDE system detects internal calibrated defects of various sizes and depths in AM nuclear-grade metallic alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Characteristic features of determining the labor input and estimated cost of the development and manufacture of equipment

The difficulties in obtaining exact calculation data for the labor input and estimated cost are noted. The method of calculating the labor cost of the design work using the provisional normative indexes with respect to individual forms of operations is proposed. Values of certain coefficients recommended for use in the practical calculations of the labor input for the development of new scientific equipment for space research are presented.

Kurmanaliyev, T. I.↗

Aerosol Manufacturing Technology to Produce Low-Cobalt Li-ion Battery Cathodes

Although considerable progress has been made with battery materials over the last 10 years, the cathode remains a major performance-limiting material in Li-ion battery (LIB) technology. New materials and battery chemistries will overcome some of the remaining challenges, but cathode materials must also be manufactured at a lower cost and with a smaller environmental footprint using new processes that can also enable improved control over stoichiometry, morphology, and compositional homogeneity. Cabot, Argonne National Laboratory and SAFT research teams are combining their extensive expertise in particle synthesis, battery materials and cell design to develop a low-cost, flexible aerosol manufacturing technology for production of high-performance cathode active materials (CAM). This project will develop low-Co CAMs via Reactive Spray Technology (RST) and Flame Spray Pyrolysis (FSP) to reach performance targets of < 50 mg Cobalt/Wh.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Proton Degradation of Light-Emitting Diodes

The severe degradation of optocouplers in space has been shown to be mainly due to proton displacement damage in the light-emitting diodes that are used within the optocouplers. However, a variety of LED technologies can be used in optocouplers and their sensitivity to proton displacement damage varies by about two orders of magnitude. Optocouplers are very simple hybrid devices, and the type of LED can be readily changed by the manufacturers with little cost impact. many optocoupler manufacturers purchase LEDs from outside sources with little knowledge or control of the manufacturing process used for the LED, leading to the possibility of very dramatic differences in radiation response (JPL has observed such differences for one type of optocoupler that is used in a hybrid power converter).

Johnston, A. H.↗

Multi-Agent Methods for the Configuration of Random Nanocomputers

As computational devices continue to shrink, the cost of manufacturing such devices is expected to grow exponentially. One alternative to the costly, detailed design and assembly of conventional computers is to place the nano-electronic components randomly on a chip. The price for such a trivial assembly process is that the resulting chip would not be programmable by conventional means. In this work, we show that such random nanocomputers can be adaptively programmed using multi-agent methods. This is accomplished through the optimization of an associated high dimensional error function. By representing each of the independent variables as a reinforcement learning agent, we are able to achieve convergence must faster than with other methods, including simulated annealing. Standard combinational logic circuits such as adders and multipliers are implemented in a straightforward manner. In addition, we show that the intrinsic flexibility of these adaptive methods allows the random computers to be reconfigured easily, making them reusable. Recovery from faults is also demonstrated.

Lawson, John W.↗

High-Power Polyphase PCB-Type Inductive Coupler for Wireless Electric Vehicle Charging

The cost and manufacturing difficulty of traditionally wound coils for wireless charging of electric vehicles has led to the exploration of alternative manufacturing for scalable deployment at a range of rated powers. A rotating-field polyphase wireless coupler is developed with balanced fully pitched coils which are not possible with conventional Litz wire. The usage of printed circuit board (PCB) technology is proposed for the innovative construction at large dimensions due to reduced cost, increased ease of manufacturability, and potential geometric customization compared to would coils. Design considerations specific to PCBs are detailed for wireless power transfer coils including advantages such as the potential for many turns and transposition with planar interconnections. A design procedure is developed which may be used to investigate the frequency to power to dimension correlation and limits associated with PCB coils. Designs are simulated in 3D electromagnetic finite element analysis (FEA) for the polyphase coil to evaluate the coupling between coils with varying geometric parameters at 100mm and 500mm outer diameters. A discussion is included on methods to increase PCB power ratings through a mixture of layer stacking, connections, and material selection.

Lewis, Donovin D.↗

Open-Air Manufacturing of Efficient Large-Area Perovskite Solar Cells to Meet Stability and Cost Targets

This SETO-funded project (DE-EE0009516) developed a fully open-air manufacturing pathway for perovskite solar cells and modules, eliminating vacuum-based processing steps while improving device stability. Open-air ultrasonic spray deposition, solution combustion synthesis, rapid thermal processing, and atmospheric plasma curing were developed and optimized for all functional device layers — perovskite absorber, hole transport layers (HTLs), electron transport layers (ETLs), transparent conducting oxides (TCOs), and rear electrodes — without reliance on vacuum. Sprayed organic ETLs preserved perovskite crystal structure and enabled power conversion efficiencies exceeding 20%, and open-air processed TCOs and rear electrodes achieved optoelectronic performance comparable to sputtered alternatives at substantially lower manufacturing cost. Device stability was assessed through accelerated aging protocols aligned with IEC and ISOS standards, combined with high-throughput optical diagnostics that identified key degradation mechanisms and antagonistic interactions among heat, humidity, and illumination stressors. A comprehensive technoeconomic analysis quantified the cost and throughput advantages of open-air manufacturing over conventional vacuum-based processes, identifying vacuum deposition as the dominant cost driver and demonstrating a clear pathway toward the $0.02/kWh target. The project produced five peer-reviewed journal publications, eleven conference presentations, two patents/applications, and five Ph.D. dissertations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

SAMIS - A simulation of the solar array manufacturing industry

SAMIS is a continuing activity of the Project Analysis and Integration Task of the Low-cost Silicon Solar Array Project (LSSA). It provides a standardized procedure for producing reliable estimates of the cost of manufacturing solar arrays or their components. These estimates are based on descriptions of the manufacturing processes which are being studied and developed by LSSA subcontractors and will be used to assess the commercial viability of those processes and to set research priorities.

Chamberlain, R. G.↗