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At least 523 records · Page 29

Videos, photos, and AI-derived grain size data associated with “High-throughput AI Video Surveys Enable Reproducible Multiscale Sediment Size Mapping, with Implications for Hydrobiogeochemical Parameterization”

NOTE: The manuscript associated with this data package is currently in review. The data may be revised based on reviewer feedback. Upon manuscript acceptance, this data package will be updated with the final dataset and additional metadata. This data package is associated with the manuscript “High-throughput AI Video Surveys Enable Reproducible Multiscale Sediment Size Mapping, with Implications for Hydrobiogeochemical Parameterization” under review. This data package includes five data types: 1) raw photos and videos from drone survey and walking smartphone surveys; 2) images derived from raw videos; 3) manual labeling of reference scales; 4) metadata for all images and photo resolution derived from artificial intelligence (AI) models or manual labels, 5) grain size data obtained from AI models for all photos, 6) metadata and grain size data after quality control, 7) summaries of sample efficiency for all data, and 8) computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data used to support hydro-biogeochemical (HBGC) parameter estimation. Such data is used to 1) demonstrate significant improvements in accuracy, efficiency, and quality control for grain size data collection with the help of AI models, 2) study the spatial heterogeneity of grain size and observation reproducibility based on tens of thousands of data points generated by the AI models, and 3) evaluate the impacts of grain size heterogeneity on key HBGC parameters across sediment-to-reach and hourly-to-yearly scales. In particular, the data package contains 116 folders and 179696 files. The files include 41 videos in .mov format, 64047 photos in .jpg format, 13541 video-derived photos in .png format, 12747 segmentation mask data in .tif format, 12747 segmentation data in .json format, 24771 .csv files that with metadata and grain size for each individual photo as well as water depth and velocity data from CFD and observation, 51791 .txt files of raw AI predicted labels, and 11 flight record data in .srt format. The summary for all metadata and grain size statistics information is included in “Scales_V3_NG.csv” and “Statistics_V3_NG.csv”. The summary for data that pass data quality control (QC) level 0-2 is included in “QCStatistics_V3_NG.csv”. The QC level 0 represents photos whose photo resolution is positive, excluding photos that miss reference scale. The QC level 1 means reference scale circularity uncertainty is less than 5% for smartphone images while representing photo resolution is larger than 0.44 mm/pixel for drone images. The QC level 2 means excluding photos whose grain number is less than 100, a minimum number of grains recommended by classic literature. The summary for each video’s name, length, frame rates, survey area, grain number, survey efficiency, etc. can be found in “QCSummary_V3_NG.csv”. The summary for site name, GPS coordinates, and number of images at each site can be found in “SitesSummary_V3_*.csv” files. Overall computational efficiency summary is reported in Table 4 of accompanying manuscript. Additionally, the nitrate concentration data used in this work was downloaded from an existing dataset published on ESS-DIVE (Boat-Dragged Sensor Hanford Reach.csv; Conner A. et al., 2020). We thank the United States Forest Service, Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, Washington Department of Natural Resources, Cowiche Canyon Conservatory, Port of Benton, and the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation for access to field locations where the data were collected. We also thank the Yakama Nation Tribal Council and Yakama Nation Fisheries for working with us to facilitate data collection and optimization of data usage according to their values and worldview.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

PORFLOW Implementation of Vadose Zone Conceptual Model for Naval Reactor Component Disposal Areas in the E-Area Low Level Waste Facility Performance Assessment

PORFLOW models have been developed to implement the proposed conceptual models for the two Naval Reactor Component Disposal Areas (NRCDAs), 643-7E and 643-26E, for the purpose of evaluating dose impacts and producing disposal limits for the E-Area Low-Level Facility (LLWF). New NRCDA conceptual models were proposed by Wohlwend and Butcher (2019) for two areas within/adjacent to the E-Area LLWF used as storage/disposal sites for reactor components from the U.S. Navy since 1987. Naval Reactor (NR) waste is comprised of highly radioactive components consisting of activated corrosion-resistant metal alloy contained within welded thick-walled steel casks, and auxiliary equipment primarily contaminated with lower levels of Activated Corrosion Products (ACPs) residing on the metal surfaces and contained within thinner-walled bolted containers.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Update to Transportation Analysis for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant

The goal of this transportation analysis (TA) is to update the 2008 TA in order to evaluate the impacts associated with the transportation of transuranic (TRU) waste from waste generator sites to the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) facility and from waste generator sites to the Idaho National Laboratory (INL).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Preliminary Evaluation of Driver Fuel Plates and Reduced Sodium Temperature to Increase Fast Test Reactor Experimental Neutron Irradiation Capabilities

All sodium-cooled fast test reactors operated so far have used essentially the same fuel geometrical ar-rangement, namely cylindrical fuel pins assembled into a triangular array in hexagonal fuel assemblies. Fuel compositions and dimensions may vary but the overall geometrical pattern remains identical. Fur-thermore, most sodium-cooled reactors have operated, and still operate, with core-average inlet and outlet sodium temperatures of, respectively, 350-400°C and 500-550°C. The present preliminary study revisits the standard fuel assembly geometry as well as operating tempera-tures to evaluate potential impact on fast test reactor neutron irradiation capabilities. The reference fuel is U-20Pu-10Zr. Pin (reference) and plate geometries are considered together with two sets of core-average sodium inlet/outlet temperatures: 350/500°C (reference) and 200/400°C. More prototypic environments could be obtained inside ad-hoc irradiation testing vehicles that are independent from the reactor primary coolant. Everything else being the same, fuel temperature is significantly lower in plates than in pins. Therefore, plates could in principle accommodate higher plutonium content, thus, reducing the need for uranium enrichment or allowing the use of lower quality plutonium (U-xPu-10Zr thermal conductivity and solidus temperature decrease as x increases, hence, necessitating additional thermal margins). For the reference pin configuration, lowering the inlet/outlet sodium temperatures from the reference 350/500°C down to 200/400°C provides additional thermal margins that can be used to increase the peak fast flux from about 4.5 × 10 15 n/cm 2 -s to 6 ×10 15 n/cm 2 -s for the same core power of 300 MW. Assuming 300 Equivalent Fuel Power Days (EFPD) of operation per calendar year, a (steel) test article could accu-mulate up to 75 dpa/year. The use of fuel plates provides even more thermal margins which may allow the peak fast flux to reach values as high as 8 × 10 15 n/cm 2 -s for both sets of inlet/outlet temperatures. In this environment, a test article could accumulate up to 95 dpa/year assuming 300 EFPD/year, hence greatly accelerating irradiation testing. Allowing a fast test reactor to operate over a wide range of inlet/outlet temperatures could add significant flexibility to its neutron irradiation capabilities. Steel present in the driver fuel assemblies is not expected to accumulate more than 90 displacements per atom (dpa) over its lifetime. Hence, steel alloys that are not suited for very high dpa but can operate over a wide range of temperatures (from low to high) would be appropriate for this application. Finally, because pin and plate assemblies fit on the same grid plate, a fast test reactor could in principle start-up with standard fuel pin assemblies and, later on, move to a plate-type Mark-II fuel to further in-crease its neutron irradiation capabilities while potentially reducing the level of uranium enrichment needed.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Effects of increasing the initial nitric acid concentration from a maximum of 7.5 to 8.5 M during the dissolution of aluminum spent nuclear fuel

H-Canyon is blending solutions from the dissolution of High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) and Material Test Reactor (MTR) fuels with Target Residue Material (TRM) to prepare feed solution for the 1st Cycle of solvent extraction. The initial acid concentration for HFIR fuel dissolution is limited to 7.5 M by the flowsheet; however, an increase in the initial concentration is desirable to more easily achieve the target acidity for solvent extraction using the current blending strategy. To provide flexibility in batching the highly enriched uranium (HEU) solutions, the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) was requested to evaluate the potential for increasing the maximum HNO3 concentration for HFIR fuel dissolution from 7.5 to 8.5 M. In response to this request, a literature review was performed to evaluate the impact of a higher starting HNO3 concentration on the dissolution of aluminum spent nuclear fuels (ASNF) including both HFIR and MTR fuels.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Los Alamos National Laboratory Floodplain Assessment for Fire Risk Mitigations at the Lower Slobbovia Testing Site in (TA-36)

The National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), a semi-autonomous agency within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), is proposing to take fire pre-suppression actions at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Technical Area (TA) 36. Constructing a fire break and a fuel break surrounding the Lower Slobbovia explosives testing site in addition to the current vegetation mowing practices would establish a safety perimeter to help prevent fires from spreading away from the firing point. NNSA has prepared this floodplain assessment in accordance with 10 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) Part 1022 Compliance with Floodplain and Wetland Environmental Review Requirements (10 CFR 1022), which was promulgated to implement DOE requirements under Executive Order 11988 Floodplain Management (EO 1977). A floodplain is defined in 10 CFR 1022 as “the lowlands adjoining inland and coastal waters and relatively flat areas and flood prone areas of offshore islands,” and a base floodplain as “the 100-year floodplain, that is, a floodplain with a 1.0 percent chance of flooding in any given year (CFR 2003).” This floodplain assessment evaluates potential impacts to floodplain values and functions from implementation of the proposed action, identifies alternatives to the Proposed Action, and allows for meaningful public comment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sensitive Resources Assessment and Forest Analysis for The SSP-2A Parcel and Proposed Oak Ridge Enhanced Technology and Training Center (ORETTC), Oak Ridge, Tennessee

This report summarizes current knowledge of natural and cultural resources associated with potential land use changes within an 81-acre (32.8-hectare) parcel, termed SSP-2A, on the US Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Oak Ridge Reservation (ORR) in Oak Ridge, Tennessee (Figure 1). A primary goal for the work presented here was to evaluate potential impacts to sensitive resources within the SSP-2A parcel that might result from land disturbance and construction of the Oak Ridge Enhanced Technology and Training Center (ORETTC). In addition to on-the-ground surveys of the ORETTC footprint and SSP-2A parcel during summer 2020 (Figure 1), this report leverages historical (pre-1995) and contemporary (1995–present) data from additional sources such as the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation (TDEC). The individuals who obtained and compiled the data that are presented here are familiar with and routinely assess, manage, and research sensitive resources on the ORR. This report should facilitate more environmentally sound decisions during planning and development of the ORETTC, provide a foundation for further assessment of sensitive and cultural resources associated with the broader SSP-2A parcel (should additional actions take place), and help project managers address regulatory guidance and DOE policy on sustainable development. Those who reference this report must consider that the timing of surveys does not permit complete delineation of resources. Data deficiencies are indicated where possible. Additional surveys may be required to account for seasonal patterns of various threatened and endangered species (e.g., bats), and additional assessment will be required if activities extend beyond the ORETTC site (Figure 2).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

2021 U.S. Geothermal Power Production and District Heating Market Report

This report, the 2021 U.S. Geothermal Power Production and District Heating Market Report, provides policymakers, regulators, developers, researchers, engineers, financiers, and other stakeholders with up-to-date information and data reflecting the 2019 geothermal power production and district heating markets, technologies, and trends in the United States. Analysis of the current state of the U.S. geothermal market and industry for both the power production and district heating sectors is presented, with consideration of developing power projects. Geothermal heat pumps, although a key technology in the wider use of geothermal resources, were considered outside the scope of this report. In addition, the report evaluates the impact of state and federal policy, presents current research on geothermal development, and describes future opportunities for the U.S. geothermal market and industry.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Off-Road Vehicle Energy-Saving Potential

The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Vehicle Technology Office (VTO) has played a critical role in enabling electrification and reducing fuel consumption in the automotive sector. However, the off-road vehicle sector accounts for 8% of transportation fuel, and that share is likely to increase over time as onroad vehicles move towards electrification. DOE can again play a key role in the off-road vehicle market by providing tools that can be used by academia and the industry to evaluate the impact of advanced technologies. The need for a pre-competitive simulation tool was also identified during a 2019 DOE-led workshop at Argonne National Laboratory that included OEMs and suppliers to this market. Autonomie, a powerful and robust system simulation tool for vehicle energy consumption and performance analysis, was developed by Argonne National Laboratory in collaboration with General Motors. Its application covers energy consumption and performance analysis throughout the entire vehicle development process by leveraging its plug-and-play powertrain and vehicle model architecture and development environment

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Evaluation of Interior Cellular Shades in a Residential Building

Windows are major contributors to energy demand in residential homes because of their inferior thermal resistance compared with the opaque envelope and sometimes from unwanted solar heat gain. Window attachments can help to mitigate this demand by controlling the solar heat gains and enhancing the thermal resistance of the windows. In this study, the energy savings potential of cellular shades in residential homes is studied using experimental testing and energy simulations. The energy performance of the shading devices was experimentally tested during the heating season from December 2019 to May 2020 with a focus on cellular shades. Five shading devices—three single and two double cellular/cell-in-cell shades—were used to compare the performance with generic horizontal (venetian) blinds using two nearly identical sideby-side rooms in a residential building with their exterior window facing east. Another objective of the experimental testing was to evaluate any impact of the side-channel of the shading device on energy savings. To observe the impact of the side-channels on energy savings, from shades in two of the test cases, cellular shades with side-channels were used. From the experimental testing, daily energy savings in the range of 9% to 23% were observed by considering data from 6 p.m. until 6 a.m. of the next day.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Ganged-PV System Evaluation

The following report contains data and data summaries collected for the SkySun LLC elevated Ganged PV arrays. These arrays were fabricated as a series of PV panels in various orientations, suspended by cables, at the National Solar Thermal Test Facility (NSTTF) at Sandia National Laboratories (SNL). Starting in February of 2021, Sandia personnel have collected power and accelerometer data for these arrays to assess design and operational efficacy of varying ganged- PV configurations. The purpose of this power data collection was to see how the various array orientations compare in power collection capability depending on the time of day, year, and the specific daily solar direct normal irradiance (DNI). The power data was collected as a measurement of the power output from the various series strings. The project team measured direct current (DC) voltage and current from the respective arrays. The accelerometer data was collected with the purpose of demonstrating potential destructive mode shapes that could take place with each of the arrays when exposed to high winds. This allowed the team to evaluate whether impacts with respect to specific array orientations using suspended cables is a safe design. All data collection was performed during calendar year 2021.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Technical and Economic Assessment of LWR Flexible Operation for Generation and Demand Balancing to Optimize Plant Revenue

With increased penetration of subsidized variable renewable energy (VRE) resources and competition from low natural gas prices, existing light water reactor (LWR) nuclear power plants (NPPs) are struggling to remain economically competitive. This work examines the potential economic competitiveness of various thermal energy storage (TES) technologies when coupled directly or indirectly with a NPP. To highlight their relative economic competitiveness, we contrast several energy storage solutions in stochastic dispatch optimization. We leverage data from recent work analyzing a range of TES technologies with varying capital costs, performance, and technology readiness level (TRL) to establish our case. We explore inserting these technologies into an electricity market with existing nuclear generation and large projected variable renewable energy (VRE) penetration. Although these technologies' projected capital costs may make them unlikely candidates in their current state, this analysis demonstrates a high-fidelity techno-economic analysis of energy storage. Furthermore, as the projected cost of energy storage technologies evolves, this analysis sets a precedent for similar future investigations. One region with projected trends that may be unfavorable for existing nuclear capacity is the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) market. New York state’s baseload generation has been historically provided by fossil-fired and nuclear assets. However, amid economic pressures from subsidized VREs and low natural gas prices, the state has recently deactivated Indian Point nuclear power plant units 2 and 3. Furthermore, the state plans to meet its zero-emission generation target by 2040 by replacing fossil-fired capacity with significant investments in VRE resources like wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) and battery storage. Increased intermittent resource penetration lowers the baseload power requirement, adding further economic pressure to the state’s three remaining NPPs still in operation. With three NPPs still in operation in New York, this work analyzes potential economic benefits to NPPs on the New York grid when directly or indirectly coupled with various TES technologies. This work requires two modeling steps to analyze the potential economic benefits of various system configurations of the TES directly or indirectly coupled with nuclear. First, this analysis leverages capacity expansion modeling by experts at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Using their deterministic capacity expansion model, U.S. Regional Economy, Greenhouse Gas, and Energy (US-REGEN), EPRI analysts evaluated the capacity and generation evolution of the New York state energy market under four projection scenarios. These four projection scenarios were developed to represent the potential evolution of the capacity and generation in NYISO from 2015 to 2050 under various economic, technology, and policy constraints. The results from these capacity expansion models are then used as boundary conditions in the second modeling step. The second modeling step uses the Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON) for a set of stochastic techno-economic analyses (STEAs) to investigate the potential increase in the economic viability of various configurations of the TES. With no current capacity expansion capabilities, HERON takes the data generated from US-REGEN for 2050 to generate synthetic load, solar, and wind data. Then HERON economically optimizes the capacity and dispatch of the various TES configurations. The potential economic benefit is the differential net present value (NPV) of the TES configurations from the no-TES baseline. As a stochastic techno-economic analysis package, HERON introduces uncertainty into the economic metrics, while US-REGEN trades resolution for reduced computational complexity. Using HERON also allows the modeling of direct thermal coupling, a feature not common in capacity and dispatch models. As expected, with high capital costs, the costs of introducing energy storage for all the technologies considered outweighed the potential economic benefit of this strategy for flexible plant operation. The benefit of this analysis is primarily in demonstrating a workflow that examines innovative solutions to increase NPP revenue via TES coupling. HERON’s stochastic capacity and dispatch optimization process used in this work has proven an effective tool in observing and evaluating the impact of introducing storage technologies in a grid energy system.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

PORFLOW Implementation of Vadose Zone Conceptual Model for Naval Reactor Component Disposal Area in the E-Area Low Level Waste Facility Performance Assessment

PORFLOW models have been developed to implement the proposed conceptual models for the two Naval Reactor Component Disposal Areas (NRCDAs), 643-7E and 643-26E, for the purpose of evaluating dose impacts and producing disposal limits for the E-Area Low-Level Facility (LLWF). New NRCDA conceptual models were proposed by Wohlwend and Butcher (2019) for two areas within/adjacent to the E-Area LLWF used as storage/disposal sites for reactor components from the U.S. Navy since 1987. Naval Reactor (NR) waste is comprised of highly radioactive components consisting of activated corrosion-resistant metal alloy contained within welded thick-walled steel casks, and auxiliary equipment primarily contaminated with lower levels of Activated Corrosion Products (ACPs) residing on the metal surfaces and contained within thinner-walled bolted containers.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Evaluation of Sludge Solids Returns Impacts on Sludge Batch 10 Flammability, Glass Quality, and Glass Processability

The Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) is currently preparing to return ≤ 20 kgs of sludge solids collected over time from Tank Farm characterization activities and demonstrations of the Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF) flowsheets (nitric-formic and nitric-glycolic). These sludge solids will be transported and added to Tank 51 which is currently preparing Sludge Batch (SB) 10. DWPF plans to operate the under the nitric-glycolic flowsheet for the processing of SB10. The hydrogen generation rate for the nitric-glycolic flowsheet is 0.024 lb h -1 . The addition of ≤20 kg of sludge solids returns to SB 10 does not have an impact on flammability in the DWPF Chemical Process Cell (CPC) or glass quality and processability. The relatively low mass of the addition (≤20 kg) is insufficient to detect a significant analytical change to the expected SB 10 compositions.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Hydrothermal Liquefaction and Upgrading of Wastewater-Grown Microalgae: 2021 State of Technology

The fiscal year (FY) 2021 State of Technology (SOT) Assessment for the hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) of wastewater (WW)-grown microalgae and biocrude upgrading system was completed and reported here. An industrial partner, Gross-Wen Technologies (GWT), provided algae feedstock cultivated on a revolving algal biofilm (RAB) system by using the primary effluent from a water resource recovery facility (WRRF). This provided algae was tested at PNNL for HTL processing. The experimental results provided the major design basis of the HTL process of the SOT baseline case. The primary effluent of the Metropolitan Water Reclamation District (MWRD) of Greater Chicago was assumed to be the nutrients source for algae growth and the algae yield data per gallon wastewater provided by GWT were used to estimate the total algae production rate and thus the HTL conversion plant scale. Considering different cultivation technologies and wastewater streams with different flow rates and nutrients contents can be used to produce algae, this SOT assessment just provided an example case study for WW-grown algae based HTL conversion to fuels systems. A preliminary economic analysis was developed based on process simulation results. Sensitivity analysis was implemented to evaluate cost impacts of plant scales, potential cost improvements and other key factors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Wet Waste Hydrothermal Liquefaction and Biocrude Upgrading to Hydrocarbon Fuels: 2021 State of Technology

Each year the U.S. Department of Energy Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO) assesses progress in their research and development efforts toward sustainable production of renewable fuels (DOE 2016) through the annual state of technology (SOT) assessment. The SOT assessment evaluates the impact of the year’s research progress on the modeled minimum fuel selling price (MFSP) for selected biofuel conversion pathways and measures the current state of the technology relative to defined goal case projections. Supply chain sustainability analysis to track and guide research toward improved greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, energy usage, water usage and other environmental metrics for the pathway is performed by Argonne National Laboratory (Cai et al. 2018, 2020). Technical and cost targets for a projected goal case set for the year 2022 were previously established for the wet waste hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) and biocrude upgrading pathway and summarized in a design report (Snowden-Swan et al. 2017). Process performance advancements made for HTL and biocrude hydrotreating have resulted yearly reductions in the modeled MFSP relative to the initial SOT (2018) (Snowden-Swan et al. 2020, 2021). This report summarizes the research and associated techno-economic analysis (TEA) for the pathway 2021 SOT. Methods and economic assumptions for the nth plant analysis used for the TEA are consistent with the design report (Snowden-Swan et al. 2017), with the exception of updates in the modeled cost year (2016) and income tax rate (21%).

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Los Alamos National Laboratory Wetland Assessment for the Replacement Water Lines from Technical Area 48 to Technical Area 55 Project

The National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), a semi-autonomous agency within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), is proposing to take action at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) near a wetland at Technical Area (TA) 48 and under a wetland at TA-55. The project proposes to install two 12-inch water lines along an alignment from TA-48 to Pecos Road on the east side of TA-55 (Figure 1). The proposed water lines will replace aging cast iron pipes that provide water for fire suppression to buildings within TA-55, and potable water to other areas in the Pajarito Corridor. NNSA has prepared this wetland assessment in accordance with 10 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) Part 1022 Compliance with Wetland and Wetland Environmental Review Requirements (10 CFR Part 1022) (CFR 2003) which was promulgated to implement DOE requirements under Executive Order 11988 Wetland Management (EO 1977). A wetland is defined in 10 CFR 1022 as “the lowlands adjoining inland and coastal waters and relatively flat areas and flood prone areas of offshore islands,” and a base wetland as “the 100-year wetland, that is, a wetland with a 1.0 percent chance of flooding in any given year (CFR 2003).” This wetland assessment evaluates potential impacts to wetland values and functions from implementation of the proposed action, identifies alternatives to the Proposed Action, and allows for meaningful public comment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Review of Water and Climate Change Analysis in Electric Utility Integrated Resource Planning

The purpose of this paper is to examine the extent to which electric utility integrated resource plans (IRPs) evaluate the impact of water constraints on electric generation resource portfolios and the extent to which IRPs consider the impacts of climate change to generation and loads. This white paper reviewed 30 IRPs to determine best practices with respect to analyzing and reporting on potential water-based and climate change risks within the integrated resource planning process. Best practices from electric utility IRPs are identified and additional recommendations and considerations are put forth. In recent years, thermal generating facilities have experienced challenges with water availability: a shortage of cooling water, conditions in which incoming cooling water is too warm for optimal operation, and/or water discharge temperatures exceeding permit limits. S&P Global Market Intelligence recently reported on a study that identified for the year 2030, 98.2 gigawatts (GW) of coal capacity at risk due to water stress. Climate change effects on hydrological cycles may adjust the timing, temperature, and volume of water availability for thermal electric cooling and for hydropower generation, which could further exacerbate the frequency and duration of operational constraints. Climate change can also impact the timing and intensity of electric loads that utilities must serve, most notably for heating and cooling.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗