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At least 523 records · Page 29

The ice age ecologist: testing methods for reserve prioritization during the last global warming: Reserve selection and the ice age ecologist

We play the role of an ice age ecologist (IAE) charged with conserving biodiversity during the climate changes accompanying the last deglaciation. We develop reserve-selection strategies for the IAE and check them against rankings based on modern data. Three reserve-selection strategies are developed. (1) Abiotic: the IAE uses no information about species–climate relationships, instead maximizing the climatic and geographic dispersion of reserves. (2) Species distribution models (SDMs): the IAE uses boosted-regression trees calibrated against pollen data and CCSM3 palaeoclimatic simulations from 21 to 15 ka bp to predict modern taxon distributions, then uses these as input to the Zonation reserve-ranking program. (3) Rank-and-regress: regression models are used to identify climatic predictors of zonation rankings. All strategies are assessed against a Zonation ranking based on modern pollen distributions. Analysis units are ecoregions and grid cells. The abiotic strategy has a negative or no correlation between predicted and actual rankings. The SDM-based strategy fares better, with a significantly positive area-corrected correlation (r= 0.474, P < 0.001) between predicted and actual rankings. Predictive ability drops when grid cells are the analysis unit (r= 0.217, P = 0.058). Predictive ability for the rank-and-regress strategy is similar to the SDM results. For the IAE, SDMs improve the predictive ability of reserve-selection strategies. However, predictive ability is limited overall, probably due to shifted realized niches during past no-analogue climates, new species interactions as species responded individually to climate change, and other environmental changes not included in the model. Twenty-first-century conservation planning also faces these challenges, and is further complicated by other anthropogenic impacts. The IAE's limited success does not preclude the use of climate scenarios and niche-based SDMs when developing adaptation strategies, but suggests that such tools offer at best only a rough guide to identifying possible areas of future conservation value.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

PV_ICE: PV in the Circular Economy, Dynamic Energy and Materials Tool (PV ICE)

This open-source tool implements Circular Economy metrics for photovoltaic (PV) materials. It can be used to quantify and assign a value framework to efforts on re-design, reduction, replacement, reuse, recycling, and lifetime and reliability increases in the PV value chain. The PV_ICE is leveraging published data from different sources on PV manufacturing and predicted technological changes. Input data is being compiled here This tool will help implement circularity metrics, quantify and assign a value framework to efforts on re-design, reduction, replacement, reusage, recycling, and lifetime and reliability increases on PV.

Ovaitt, nee Ayala Pelaez, Silvana↗

Determining sea-ice boundaries and ice roughness using GEOS-3 altimeter data

The GEOS-3 satellite and radar altimeter instrumentation are described, detailing the ice boundary discrimination technique utilized and presenting an analyses of the GEOS-3 data with respect to satellite visual and IR imagery. A brief description of the GEOS-3 real time data system is also given.

Dwyer, R. E.↗

Growth of ice discs from the vapor and the mechanism of habit change of ice crystals

Ice crystals nucleated on a liquid nitrogen cooled glass fiber grow first as thin disks which subsequently transform to plates and columns as they thicken and extend to regions of higher supersaturation. Crystals are often found to be dislocation-free, which suggests that growth results from surface nucleation, the habit depending on preferential nucleation in an adsorbed multilayer on basal or prism face.

Keller, V. W.↗

Overview of the Icing and Flow Quality Improvements Program for the NASA Glenn Icing Research Tunnel

Major upgrades were made in 1999 to the 6- by 9-Foot (1.8- by 2.7-m) Icing Research Tunnel (IRT) at the NASA Glenn Research Center. These included replacement of the electronic controls for the variable-speed drive motor, replacement of the heat exchanger, complete replacement and enlargement of the leg of the tunnel containing the new heat-exchanger, the addition of flow-expanding and flow-contracting turning vanes upstream and downstream of the heat exchanger, respectively, and the addition of fan outlet guide vanes (OGV's). This paper describes the rationale behind this latest program of IRT upgrades and the program's requirements and goals. An overview is given of the scope of work undertaken by the design and construction contractors, the scale-model IRT (SMIRT) design verification program, the comprehensive reactivation test program initiated upon completion of construction, and the overall management approach followed.

Irvine, Thomas B.↗

Ab initio Quantum Chemical Studies of Reactions in Astrophysical Ices. Reactions Involving CH3OH, CO2, CO, HNCO in H2CO/NH3/H2O Ices

While reactions between closed shell molecules generally involve prohibitive barriers in the gas phase, prior experimental and theoretical studies have demonstrated that some of these reactions are significantly enhanced when confined within an icy grain mantle and can occur efficiently at temperatures below 100 K with no additional energy processing. The archetypal case is the reaction of formaldehyde (H2CO) and ammonia (NH3) to yield hydroxymethylamine (NH2CH2OH). In the present work we have characterized reactions involving methanol (CH3OH), carbon dioxide (CO2), carbon monoxide (CO), and isocyanic acid (HNCO) in search of other favorable cases. Most of the emphasis is on CH3OH, which was investigated in the two-body reaction with one H2CO and the three-body reaction with two H2CO molecules. The addition of a second H2CO to the product of the reaction between CH3OH and H2CO was also considered as an alternative route to longer polyoxymethylene polymers of the -CH2O- form. The reaction between HNCO and NH3 was studied to determine if it can compete against the barrierless charge transfer process that yields OCN(-) and NH4(+). Finally, the H2CO + NH3 reaction was revisited with additional benchmark calculations that confirm that little or no barrier is present when it occurs in ice.

Woon, David E.↗

Icing Branch Current Research Activities in Icing Physics

Current development: A grid block transformation scheme which allows the input of grids in arbitrary reference frames, the use of mirror planes, and grids with relative velocities has been developed. A simple ice crystal and sand particle bouncing scheme has been included. Added an SLD splashing model based on that developed by William Wright for the LEWICE 3.2.2 software. A new area based collection efficiency algorithm will be incorporated which calculates trajectories from inflow block boundaries to outflow block boundaries. This method will be used for calculating and passing collection efficiency data between blade rows for turbo-machinery calculations.

Vargas, Mario↗