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At least 523 records · Page 29

Real-time monitoring and prediction of water quality parameters and algae concentrations using microbial potentiometric sensor signals and machine learning tools

We report the overarching hypothesis of this study was that temporal microbial potentiometric sensor (MPS) signal patterns could be used to predict changes in commonly monitored water quality parameters by using artificial intelligence/machine learning tools. To test this hypothesis, the study first examines a proof of concept by correlating between MPS's signals and high algae concentrations in an algal cultivation pond. Then, the study expanded upon these findings and examined if multiple water quality parameters could be predicted in real surface waters, like irrigation canals. Signals generated between the MPS sensors and other water quality sensors maintained by an Arizona utility company, including algae and chlorophyll, were collected in real time at time intervals of 30 min over a period of 9 months. Data from the MPS system and data collected by the utility company were used to train the ML/AI algorithms and compare the predicted with actual water quality parameters and algae concentrations. Based on the composite signal obtained from the MPS, the ML/AI was used to predict the canal surface water's turbidity, conductivity, chlorophyll, and blue-green algae (BGA), dissolved oxygen (DO), and pH, and predicted values were compared to the measured values. Initial testing in the algal cultivation pond revealed a strong linear correlation (R 2 = 0.87) between mixed liquor suspended solids (MLSS) and the MPSs' composite signals. The Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE) between the predicted values and measured values were <6.5%, except for the DO, which was 10.45%. The results demonstrate the usefulness of MPSs to predict key surface water quality parameters through a single composite signal, when the ML/AI tools are used conjunctively to disaggregate these signal components. The maintenance-free MPS offers a novel and cost-effective approach to monitor numerous water quality parameters at once with relatively high accuracy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Identifying schools at high-risk for elevated lead in drinking water using only publicly available data

Estimating the risk of lead contamination of schools' drinking water at the State level is a complex, important, and unexplored challenge. Variable water quality among water systems and changes in water chemistry during distribution affect lead dissolution rates from pipes and fittings. In addition, the locations of lead-bearing plumbing materials are uncertain. We tested the capability of six machine learning models to predict the likelihood of lead contamination of drinking water at the schools' taps using only publicly available datasets. The predictive features used in the models correspond to those with a proven correlation to the dominant, but commonly unavailable, factors that govern lead leaching: the presence of lead-bearing plumbing materials and water quality conducive to lead corrosion. By combining water chemistry data from public reports, socioeconomic information from the US census, and spatial features using Geographic Information Systems, we trained and tested models to estimate the likelihood of lead contaminated tap water in over 8,000 schools across California and Massachusetts. Our best-performing model was a Random Forest, with a 10-fold cross validation score of 0.88 for Massachusetts and 0.78 for California using the average Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC AUC) metric. The model was then used to assign a lead leaching risk category to half of the schools across California (the other half was used for training). There was good agreement between the modeled risk categories and the actual lead leaching outcomes for every school; however, the model overestimated the lead leaching risk in up to 17% of the schools. This model is the first of its kind to offer a tool to predict the risk of lead leaching in schools at the State level. Further use of this model can help deploy limited resources more effectively to prevent childhood lead exposure from school drinking water.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Local structural ordering determines the mechanical damage tolerance of amorphous grain boundary complexions

Amorphous grain boundary complexions act as toughening features within a microstructure because they can absorb dislocations more efficiently than traditional grain boundaries. This toughening effect should be a strong function of the local internal structure of the complexion, which has recently been shown to be determined by grain boundary crystallography. To test this hypothesis, molecular dynamics are used here to simulate dislocation absorption and damage nucleation for complexions with different distributions of structural short-range order. Here, the complexion with a more disordered structure away from the dislocation absorption site is actually found to better resist crack nucleation, as damage tolerance requires delocalized deformation and the operation of shear-transformation zones through the complexion thickness. The more damage tolerant complexion accommodates plastic strain efficiently within the entire complexion, providing the key mechanistic insight that local patterning and asymmetry of structural short-range order controls the toughening effect of amorphous complexions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A comparative analysis of green building rating systems in China and the United States

Several studies have compared green building rating systems (GBRSs) in China and the United States, Nonetheless, few studies included in-depth analysis on specific rating tools with project specific data validating green building technologies and actual performance. This study conducted a comprehensive data-driven comparison of the GBRSs of China and the United States. The goal was to understand the current status and further improve China's GBRS and promote green building technologies. The study first conducted thorough comparisons of GBRSs in China and the U.S. by selecting a series of distinct rating tools. Then, it analyzed each tool's development objectives, contents, and rating score settings. Further, the comparison concludes the future development needs for China's GBRS. In addition to standard comparison, green building technologies applied in certified projects were also summarized. The results demonstrated that GBRSs in both China and the U.S. reflect well the technical paths to achieve green building sustainable development. By analyzing certified projects, it was also found that the incremental costs of green building technologies were controllable. Finally, based on the comparison and case analysis, the study provide a set of policy recommendations to further improve China's green building standards.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Mapping heat vulnerability in cities: A tale of two california cities

Extreme heat is a major cause of weather-related deaths in the United States. To address this, a heat vulnerability index (HVI) is crucial for assessing heat risk and identifying vulnerable urban areas and populations, supporting city planning and emergency response. Current HVI studies often use Principal Component Analysis (PCA) on environmental, socioeconomic, and medical data to aggregate vulnerability indicators into a single index. However, these fixed aggregation weights struggle to adapt to different use cases, which may require varying focuses. Moreover, existing tools primarily consider outdoor heat exposure, providing an incomplete picture of actual exposure, as people spend most of their time indoors. Our research introduces an HVI web mapping tool that addresses these gaps in the literature by: (1) allowing flexible weights to adapt to different use cases, and (2) uniquely integrating both outdoor and indoor heat exposure by considering building characteristics for a more comprehensive risk assessment. We demonstrated this tool in two California cities with contrasting climates: Fresno (inland, arid, hot summers) and Oakland (temperate coastal). This HVI mapping tool provides essential decision support for policymakers and stakeholders in both short-term heat mitigation and long-term urban planning for building interventions and infrastructure development.

BES↗

Dynamic signal recovery in distribution grids using compressive lossy measurements

Distribution system state estimation requires reliable aggregation of the measured data. However, the large volume of the measured data imposes a significant stress on the underlying communication infrastructure. With the challenges associated with measurement availability, current distribution systems are typically unobservable. To cope with the unobservability issue, compressive sensing theory allows us to recover system state information from a small number of measurements provided the states of the distribution system exhibit sparsity. In this paper, we evaluate the robustness of an updated Kalman filtered modified compressive sensing (KF-ModCS) technique that dynamically estimates the grid states using a small fraction of measured data. In practice, measurements used for sparsity based state estimation may also be intermittent due to communication network induced losses. Further, to understand the effect of packet losses on KF-ModCS, we provide an upper bound for the expected variances of the state estimation error for a given rate of information loss. This upper bound is further improved if the support set of the sparse signal that characterizes the state dynamics does not change over time and/or the reduced model is observable. Simulations based on two practical data sets collected from actual customers in a distribution grid validate the theoretical results.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Using probabilistic solar power forecasts to inform flexible ramp product procurement for the California ISO

How can independent system operators (ISOs) take advantage of probabilistic solar forecasts to lower generation costs and improve reliability of power systems? We discuss one three-step approach for doing so, focusing on how such forecasts might help the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) prepare unexpected net load ramps, where net load equals gross demand minus wind and solar production. First, we enhance an existing solar forecasting system to provide well-calibrated hours-ahead probabilistic forecasts. We then relate the degree of uncertainty reflected in the forecasted prediction intervals (independent variables) to error distributions for net load ramp forecasts for the CAISO real-time market (dependent variable) using machine learning and quantile regression. Projected ramp forecast errors conditioned on solar uncertainty are translated into flexible ramp requirements that therefore reflect real-time meteorological and solar conditions, improving on typical ISO procedures. Detailed descriptions are provided on the quantile regression and kth-nearest neighbor categorization methods for accomplishing that translation. Finally, a multiple time-scale look-ahead market simulation model is applied to a 118-bus IEEE Reliability Test System, modified to represent the CAISO generation mix and demand distributions. The model runs quantify how solar-conditioned ramp requirements can, first, decrease operating costs by reducing requirements compared to often conservative unconditional methods and, second, decrease generation scarcity events and consequently improve reliability by increasing flexibility requirements at times when unconditional forecast-based requirements understate actual ramp uncertainty. Solar-conditioned ramp requirements are found to reduce generation operating costs by about 2% for the test system (which would be equivalent to over $\$100$ million per year for a CAISO-size system).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Modeling and mitigating fouling of microfiltration membranes for microalgae dewatering

Dewatering is energy-intensive for microalgae production, and microfiltration (MF) membranes are attractive because of their high energy efficiency. However, the membranes suffer from fouling by organic matter in the algae solutions, and there needs fundamental understanding of membrane fouling with actual algae solutions. Herein we thoroughly evaluate the dewatering performance of commercial polyethersulfone (PES) MF membranes using an integrated experiment and modeling approach. The effect of algae concentration, testing time, feed flow rate, and chemical cleaning on the dewatering performance and fouling-layer morphology are investigated. The fouling behavior can be successfully described using the Hermia and gel layer models with a gel concentration of 48 g/L for algae solutions. Furthermore, the PES membrane surface was grafted with hydrophilic zwitterions, which mitigated the fouling. For example, when challenged with 10 g/L algae solution in dead-end cells, the pristine and modified membrane exhibit water permeance of 80 and 170 L m – 2 h –1 bar –1 , respectively. Finally, three cycles of dewatering and NaOH cleaning were performed to demonstrate the promise of the MF membranes for practical dewatering application.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Soil oxidoreductase zymography: Visualizing spatial distributions of peroxidase and phenol oxidase activities at the root-soil interface

Decomposition of organic material in the rhizosphere – the most dynamic microbial habitat in soil – involves arrays of oxidoreductase and hydrolytic enzymes. Spatial distributions of various hydrolytic activities in soil have already been explored by zymographic techniques. However, the distribution of oxidative activity in the rhizosphere remains to be studied. Thus, we extended a Time-Lapse Zymography technique, using Amplex Red® reagent, to visualize and quantify distributions of phenol oxidase and peroxidase activities in the rhizosphere of Zea mays L. growing in a Haplic Phaeozem and the non-rhizospheric soil. The gross oxidative activity was greatest at the root surfaces, and fell to background soil levels 1.26 and 0.73 mm from seminal (>1 mm diameter) and lateral (<0.5 mm diameter) roots, respectively. The rhizosphere extent relative to the root radius was 59% broader around lateral than around seminal roots. The greatest activities, up to 30 nmol cm –2 min –1 , were peroxidase-dominated and closely associated with roots. Here, the results confirm the utility of the approach for studying spatio-temporal distributions of oxidative activities in soil. However, actual activity of oxidoreductases in the field will be strongly controlled by fluctuating environmental conditions such as soil aeration and the gradient of reactive oxygen species, which need to be considered especially in anoxic soils.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparing plant litter molecular diversity assessed from proximate analysis and 13 C NMR spectroscopy

Accurate representation of the chemical diversity of litter in ecosystem-scale models is critical for improving predictions of decomposition rates and stabilization of plant material into soil organic matter. In this contribution, we conducted a systematic review to evaluate how conventional characterization of plant litter quality using proximate analysis compares with molecular-scale characterization using 13 C NMR spectroscopy. Using a molecular mixing model, we converted chemical shift regions from NMR into fractions of carbon (C) in five organic compound classes that are major constituents of plant material: carbohydrates, proteins, lignins, lipids, and carbonylic compounds. We found positive correlations between the acid soluble fraction and carbohydrates, and between the acid insoluble fraction and lignins. However, the acid-soluble fraction underestimated carbohydrates, and the acid insoluble fraction overestimated lignins by 243%. We identified two sources of uncertainties: i) disparities between litter chemical composition based on hydrolysability and actual chemical composition obtained from NMR and ii) conversion factors to translate proximate fractions into organic constituents. Both uncertainties are critical, potentially leading to misinterpretations of decay rates in litter decomposition models. Consequently, we recommend including explicit substrate chemistry data in the next generation of litter decomposition models.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A non-intrusive optical (NIO) approach to characterize heliostats in utility-scale power tower plants: Methodology and in-situ validation

No reliable in-situ optical characterization tool is available that can efficiently and accurately measure various optical errors of individual heliostats in a utility-scale power-tower plant. Here, an innovative non-intrusive optical (NIO) approach is proposed to measure mirror surface slope error, mirror facet canting error, and heliostat tracking error based on reflection images using the natural target—the tower—in a heliostat field. The NIO approach adopts various techniques in photogrammetry, reflectometry, and geometrical optics to first determine the camera position and the actual tower position with respect to the heliostat. Then, Snell’s law is applied to find the surface normal at the reflection point or line of a reflection image and derive the surface slope error, mirror facet canting error, and heliostat tracking error accordingly. In addition, an in-situ validation is performed to demonstrate the feasibility of the NIO approach. Analysis with multiple sets of reflection images on one single heliostat of interest demonstrates that the NIO method can achieve a measurement uncertainty of 0.22 mrad for mirror facet slope error (root-mean-square) at the given test conditions. The sensitivity of measurement uncertainty to various parameters will be presented in a separate work. In the future, state-of-the-art unmanned aerial systems (UAS) are planned to perform the efficient image collection with a goal to complete the survey across a utility-scale field of over 10,000 heliostats within one or a few days depending on the number of UASs. The development of the NIO approach is expected to fill the critical gap for successful solar-field operation and maintenance, which is necessary for the global growth of the solar power-tower technology. The NIO approach can also be applied to any relevant industry requiring high-precision mirror surface shape characterization.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Effects of Absorber Near-Interface Compensation on Cd(Se,Te) Solar Cell Performance

Arsenic (As) has been shown to be an effective p-type dopant for CdTe, although high performance in As-doped devices remains difficult to achieve. Arsenic is prone to self-compensation in CdTe, as evidenced by the accumulation of dopant atoms in CdTe/Cd(Se,Te) near the interface with MgxZn1-xO (MZO). In this study, we use SCAPS 1D modeling software to investigate the effect of near-interface compensation, helping elucidate loss pathways in present-day As-doped devices and informing future growth directions. We consider three possible results of As accumulation: shallow donors, deep recombination centers, and a thin layer of excess acceptor accumulation. The reduction in near-interface carrier concentration caused by shallow donors is shown to improve open-circuit voltages (VOC), whereas deep levels are detrimental to all performance parameters. The thin charge layer affects capacitance-voltage (CV) measurements by reducing the depletion width while maintaining the same carrier concentration, replicating CV behavior that has been observed in actual devices. These results illustrate the importance of monitoring dopant accumulation within 100 nm of the interface, and suggest that reducing or eliminating the As concentration in this region would be beneficial. An undoped Cd(Se,Te) layer at the interface is suggested as a possible device structure to boost performance.

absorber↗

The effect of remnant CdSe layers on the performance of CdSeTe/CdTe photovoltaic devices

Thin film CdTe-based photovoltaic devices have achieved high efficiency above 22 %. The recent improvement in efficiency is due to Se alloying in the CdTe absorbers to form a CdSeTe/CdTe structure. The subsequent band gap grading increases the short circuit current density. The Se can be introduced by depositing a precursor thin film of either CdSe or a CdSeTe alloy and then diffusing the Se into the CdTe during the high temperature cadmium chloride activation process. Using CdSe is preferred because it is easier to control the Se concentration. However, during fabrication of the CdSeTe/CdTe devices, the CdSe thickness needs to be precisely controlled to prevent the retention of a CdSe remnant layer after the activation treatment. Retention of a remnant CdSe layer causes a dramatic reduction in device efficiency. In this work, we show that the reduction in efficiency is caused by a number of factors. The remnant CdSe layer is n-type which moves the position of the p-n junction. Also, it is widely thought that the CdSe remnants are photo-inactive. In this work, we clarify that the individual CdSe grains are actually highly photo-active. However, the grain sizes in the CdSe remnant and the adjacent CdSeTe layer are very small resulting in a high grain boundary area. Although the grain boundaries are passivated with chlorine, cathodoluminescence imaging and electrical measurements show that this is only partially effective. Also, EQE measurements show that the remnant CdSe causes parasitic absorption. Overall, the remnant CdSe layer causes a reduction in short circuit current density and device efficiency. The thickness of the CdSe precursor layer and the cadmium chloride activation process conditions must be precisely optimised to ensure that all the CdSe is consumed and inter-diffused to form the CdSeTe alloy for highest efficiency devices.

CdSe remnant↗

How do perceptions of safety and car ownership importance affect autonomous vehicle adoption?

In this study, we explicitly modeled how individuals' perceptions of automated vehicle (AV) safety and the importance they place on car ownership affect mode choices involving conventional and automated vehicles in the context of privately owned cars and ridehailing services. We adopted psychometric questions to capture these two latent variables and designed a stated preference survey based on the participants' actual travel patterns. Then, we quantified the impact of these latent variables on mode choices using an integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) model. We found that both latent variables have a statistically significant effect on mode choices. The results show that car ownership importance has the most potent effect on privately owned cars (conventional car and self-driving car), followed by driverless ridehailing and conventional ridehailing. We also found that changes in safety perception are equivalent to sizable changes in price. In addition, we further investigated the impact of improvements in safety perception through four scenarios. The scenario testing results show that as the distribution of perceived safety is compressed toward positive safety perception, the market share of AVs spikes and dominates regular cars. Our results demonstrate that based on our respondents' current understanding of AVs, even if AV prices were comparable to regular cars, we cannot expect widespread use of AVs. However, improvements in AVs' safety and, consequently, consumer safety perception can considerably expand AVs' market share, and may offset the high cost of using the technology.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Optimal charging scheduling and management for a fast-charging battery electric bus system

Herein we discuss how battery electric buses (BEBs) are rapidly being embraced by public transit agencies because of their environmental and economic benefits. To address the problems of limited driving range and time-consuming charging for BEBs, manufacturers have developed rapid on-route charging technology that utilizes typical layovers at terminals to charge buses in operation using high power. With on-route fast-charging, BEBs are as capable as their diesel counterparts in terms of range and operating time. However, on-route fast-charging makes it more challenging to schedule and manage charging events for a BEB system. First, on-route fast-charging may lead to high electricity power demand charges. Second, it may increase electricity energy charges because of charging that occurs during on-peak hours. Without careful charging scheduling and management, on-route fast-charging may significantly increase fuel costs and reduce the economic attractiveness of BEBs. The present study proposes a network modeling framework to optimize the charging scheduling and management for a fast-charging BEB system, effectively minimizing total charging costs. The charging schedule determines when to charge a BEB, while the charging management strategically controls the actual charging power. Charging costs include both electricity demand charges and energy charges. The charging scheduling and management problem is first formulated as a nonlinear nonconvex program with time-continuous variables. A discretizing method and a linear reformulation technique are then adopted to reformulate the model as a linear program, which can be easily solved using off-the-shelf solvers, even for large-scale problems. Finally, the model is demonstrated with extensive numerical studies based on two real-world bus networks. The results demonstrate that the proposed model can effectively determine the optimal charging scheduling and management for a fast-charging BEB system, which carries the potential for use in large-scale real-world bus networks.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Lattice modeling of excavation damage in argillaceous clay formations: Influence of deformation and strength anisotropy

This paper presents modeling of mechanical anisotropy in argillaceous rocks using an irregular lattice modeling approach, namely the rigid-body-spring network. To represent the mechanical anisotropy, new schemes are implemented in the modeling framework. The directionality of elastic deformation is resolved by modifying the element formulation with anisotropic elastic properties. The anisotropy of strength and failure characteristics is facilitated by adopting orientation-dependent failure criteria into the failure model. The verification of the improved modeling procedures is performed against theoretical model predictions for unconfined compression tests with various bedding orientations. Furthermore, excavation damage and fracturing processes in rock formations are simulated for different geomechanical configurations, such as rock anisotropy and tectonic heterogeneity. The simulated excavation damage characteristics are realistic and comparable with the actual field observation at a tunnel located in an argillaceous clay formation. The simulation results provide insights into the excavation damage zone phenomena with an explicit representation of fracturing processes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Quantitative Method for In Situ Pump-Beam Metrology in 4D Ultrafast Electron Microscopy

In this work, we report a method for measuring spot size and focusing conditions of the femtosecond (fs) excitation laser in situ at the specimen location in 4D ultrafast electron microscopy (UEM). The method makes use of threshold laser ablation behaviors of thin amorphous carbon membranes. For Gaussian beam profiles and for ablation threshold fluence values, we analytically derive expressions describing the relationship between ablated hole size and the actual laser spot size. Using these expressions, we developed experimental procedures for characterizing the shape and spot size of the pump beam at the specimen. We demonstrate the viability of the approach for incident excitation wavelengths of 343 nm and 515 nm, thus illustrating the applicability of the method to a range of optical wavelengths without modification. Further, we show that by measuring ablated hole size as a function of focusing condition, a full metrological characterization of the Gaussian beam propagation properties can be performed. Finally, we find good agreement for spot sizes determined with this method and with those determined by extrapolation from measurements taken outside the microscope column. Overall, this method is a simple, cost-effective means for accurate and precise determination of key pump-beam parameters in situ at the specimen location in UEM experiments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Calibrating cryogenic temperature of TEM specimens using EELS

Cryogenic Scanning/Transmission Electron Microscopy has been established as a leading method to image sensitive biological samples and is now becoming a powerful tool to understand materials' behavior at low temperatures. However, achieving precise local temperature calibration at low temperatures remains a challenge, which is especially crucial for studying phase transitions and emergent physical properties in quantum materials. In this study, we employ electron energy loss spectroscopy (EELS) to measure local cryogenic specimen temperatures. Here we use the temperature-dependent characteristics of aluminum's bulk plasmon peak in EEL spectra, which shifts due to changes in electron density caused by thermal expansion and contraction. We successfully demonstrate the versatility of this method by calibrating different liquid nitrogen cooling holders in various microscopes, regardless of whether a monochromated or non-monochromated electron beam is used. Temperature discrepancies between the actual temperature and the setpoint temperatures are identified across a range from room temperature to 100 K. This work demonstrates the importance of temperature calibrations at intermediate temperatures and presents a straightforward, robust method for calibrating local temperatures of cryogenically-cooled specimens in electron microscopes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗