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At least 523 records · Page 29
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Changes in Four Decades of Near‐CONUS Tropical Cyclones in an Ensemble of 12 km Thermodynamic Global Warming Simulations

We evaluate tropical cyclones (TCs) in a set of thermodynamic global warming (TGW) simulations over the continental United States (CONUS). A 12 km simulation forced by ERA5 provides a 40‐year historical (1980–2019) control. Four complimentary future scenarios are generated using thermodynamic deltas applied to lateral boundary, interior, and surface forcing. We curate a data set of 4,498 6‐hourly TC snapshots in the control and find a corresponding “twin” in each counterfactual, permitting a paired comparison. Warming results in an increase in mean dynamical TC intensity and moisture‐related quantities, with the latter being more pronounced. TC inner cores contract slightly but outer storm size remains unchanged. The frequency with which TCs become more intense is only moderately consistent, with snapshots having increased hazards ranging from 50% to 80% depending on warming level. The fractions of TCs undergoing rapid intensification and weakening both increase across all warming simulations, suggesting elevated short‐term intensity variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Drivers of Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis: African Easterly Waves and the Environment

Abstract Tropical cyclone (TC) genesis requires favorable environmental conditions and an initial disturbance, which, in the North Atlantic, is often an African easterly wave (AEW). Although studies have examined how AEWs and the environment affect TC genesis, their relative importance is less understood. Here, we examine whether AEW strength or sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are the primary drivers of TC genesis. Regional model simulations were performed to address how increased AEW strength and SSTs affect the frequency of AEWs that develop into TCs in a year with below‐average TCs with AEW origins and SSTs. We found that environmental favorability plays a larger role than AEW strength in driving the frequency of TCs with AEW origins. Strengthening the AEWs did not affect the frequency of AEWs that develop into TCs due to low environmental favorability. Warmer SSTs led to increased environmental favorability and a statistically significant increase in TCs with AEW origins.

Bercos‐Hickey, Emily [Climate and Ecosystem Scienc↗
DOE OSTI2026

Recent Tropical Cyclone Outer Size Increases in the Western North Atlantic

The outer size of a tropical cyclone (TC) plays a pivotal role in its impact through a modulation of wind duration, rainfall extent and storm surge. While global and basin scale trends in TC size have been examined previously, whether there have been regional changes over time remains unclear. Here, using a suite of observations and reanalyses, we detect an increasing TC outer size over the western North Atlantic during 1979–2022. Over the western subtropical North Atlantic where the largest changes are found, the area-averaged increase in the radius of 17 ms -1 winds is about 7.5% over this period. Analysis of the large-scale environment reveals that the air-sea thermodynamic state has become more favorable for storm intensification, and thereby expansion, over that region. Further, numerical model simulations link changes in the environment with those in storm size, and suggest a combination of natural variability and external forcing in driving them.

Balaguru, Karthik [Pacific Northwest National Labo↗
DOE OSTI2021

Central American mountains inhibit eastern North Pacific seasonal tropical cyclone activity

Abstract The eastern North Pacific (ENP) has the highest density of tropical cyclones (TCs) on earth, and yet the controls on TCs, from individual events to seasonal totals, remain poorly understood. One effect that has not been fully considered is the unique geography of the Central American mountains. Although observational studies suggest these mountains can readily fuel individual TCs through dynamical processes, here we show that these mountains indeed play the opposite role on the seasonal timescale, hindering seasonal ENP TC activity by up to 35%. We found that these mountains significantly interrupt the abundant moisture transport from the Caribbean Sea to the ENP, limiting deep convection over the open ocean area where TCs preferentially occur. This study advances our fundamental understanding of ENP TC genesis mechanisms across the weather-to-climate timescales, and also highlights the importance of topography representation in improving the ENP regional climate simulations, as well as TC seasonal predictions and future projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Enhanced superconductivity and ferroelectric quantum criticality in plastically deformed strontium titanate

The properties of quantum materials are commonly tuned using experimental variables such as pressure, magnetic field and doping. Here we explore a different approach using irreversible, plastic deformation of single crystals. We show that compressive plastic deformation induces low-dimensional superconductivity well above the superconducting transition temperature (Tc) of undeformed SrTiO3, with evidence of possible superconducting correlations at temperatures two orders of magnitude above the bulk Tc. The enhanced superconductivity is correlated with the appearance of self-organized dislocation structures, as revealed by diffuse neutron and X-ray scattering. We also observe deformation-induced signatures of quantum-critical ferroelectric fluctuations and inhomogeneous ferroelectric order using Raman scattering. Our results suggest that strain surrounding the self-organized dislocation structures induces local ferroelectricity and quantum-critical dynamics that strongly influence Tc, consistent with a theory of superconductivity enhanced by soft polar fluctuations. Our results demonstrate the potential of plastic deformation and dislocation engineering for the manipulation of electronic properties of quantum materials.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

Room-temperature superconductivity in a carbonaceous sulfur hydride

One of the long-standing challenges in experimental physics is the observation of room-temperature superconductivity (RTSC). Recently, high temperature conventional superconductivity in hydrogen-rich materials has been reported in several systems under high pressure. The most significant discovery in reaching RTSC is the pressure-driven disproportionation of hydrogen sulfide (H 2 S) to H 3 S with a confirmed Tc of 203 kelvin at 155 gigapascals. As H 2 S readily mixes with hydrogen to form guest-host structures at lower pressures, the comparable size of methane to H 2 S should allow molecular exchange within a large assemblage of van der Waals solids that are (highly) hydrogen-rich with H 2 inclusions that are then the building blocks for novel superconducting compounds at extreme conditions. Here, we report superconductivity in a photochemically transformed carbonaceous sulfur hydride system with a maximum superconducting transition temperature of 287.7 ± 1.2 kelvin (~15° celsius) achieved at 267 ± 10 gigapascals. The superconducting state is observed over a broad pressure range from 140 to 275 gigapascals, with a dramatic upturn in Tc above 220 gigapascals. Superconductivity is established by the observation of zero resistance, magnetic susceptibility up to 190 gigapascals, and reduction of Tc under an external magnetic field up to 9 tesla, with an upper critical magnetic field of ~62 tesla based on Ginzburg–Landau (GL) model at zero temperature. The light, quantum nature of hydrogen limits structural and stoichiometric determination using x-ray scattering techniques. Raman spectroscopy is used to probe the chemical and structural transformations pre-metallization. In conclusion, the introduction of chemical tuning within our reported ternary system could be the path forward to lowering the pressure while preserving the RTSC properties.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

Author Correction: Thickness-dependent magnetic order in CrI3 single crystals

Two-dimensional (2D) materials with intrinsic ferromagnetism provide unique opportunity to engineer new functionalities in nano-spintronics. One such material is CrI3, showing long-range magnetic order in monolayer with the Curie temperature (Tc) of 45 K. Here we study detailed evolution of magnetic transition and magnetic critical properties in response to systematic reduction in crystal thickness down to 50 nm. Bulk Tc of 61 K is gradually suppressed to 57 K, however, the satellite transition at T * = 45 K is observed layer-independent at fixed magnetic field of 1 kOe. The origin of T * is proposed to be a crossover from pinning to depinning of magnetic domain walls. The reduction of thickness facilitates a field-driven metamagnetic transition around 20 kOe with out-of-plane field, in contrast to the continuous changes with in-plane field. The critical analysis around Tc elucidates the mean-field type interactions in microscale-thick CrI3.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Unveiling four decades of intensifying precipitation from tropical cyclones using satellite measurements

Increases in precipitation rates and volumes from tropical cyclones (TCs) caused by anthropogenic warming are predicted by climate modeling studies and have been identified in several high intensity storms occurring over the last half decade. However, it has been difficult to detect historical trends in TC precipitation at time scales long enough to overcome natural climate variability because of limitations in existing precipitation observations. We introduce an experimental global high-resolution climate data record of precipitation produced using infrared satellite imagery and corrected at the monthly scale by a gauge-derived product that shows generally good performance during two hurricane case studies but estimates higher mean precipitation rates in the tropics than the evaluation datasets. General increases in mean and extreme rainfall rates during the study period of 1980–2019 are identified, culminating in a 12–18%/40-year increase in global rainfall rates. Overall, all basins have experienced intensification in precipitation rates. Increases in rainfall rates have boosted the mean precipitation volume of global TCs by 7–15% over 40 years, with the starkest rises seen in the North Atlantic, South Indian, and South Pacific basins (maximum 59–64% over 40 years). In terms of inland rainfall totals, year-by-year trends are generally positive due to increasing TC frequency, slower decay over land, and more intense rainfall, with an alarming increase of 81–85% seen from the strongest global TCs. As the global trend in precipitation rates follows expectations from warming sea surface temperatures (11.1%/°C), we hypothesize that the observed trends could be a result of anthropogenic warming creating greater concentrations of water vapor in the atmosphere, though retrospective studies of TC dynamics over the period are needed to confirm.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Oxidation and recharge of reactive structural Fe( II ) in titanomagnetite (Fe 3− x Ti x O 4 ) nanoparticles

Mixed-valent iron oxide minerals, such as magnetite (Fe(II)(Fe(III)) 2 O 4 ), are an important source of solid-state ferrous iron (Fe(II)) that can impact the speciation and transport of electron accepting contaminants in the Earth’s subsurface, such as radioactive pertechnetate ( 99 Tc(VII)O 4 − ). However, when oxidizing conditions are encountered, structural Fe(II) at the mineral surface is consumed yielding a maghemite (γ-Fe(III) 2 O 3 )-like layer that limits further electron transfer. This oxidized surface layer can be recharged back to the original Fe(II)/(III) ratio by re-exposure to reducing conditions, i.e., aqueous solutions containing Fe 2+ . However, for substituted magnetite (Fe 3−x M x O 4 , M = transition metal cation), the extent of this redox recyclability is unclear. Here, we examine oxidation and recharge for titanomagnetite (Fe 3−x Ti x O 4 ) nanoparticles, where the Fe(II)/Fe(III) ratio varies by the amount of Fe(II) required to charge balance the titanium (Ti(IV)) substituted into the structure. The nanoparticles were synthesized by aqueous precipitation from a solution containing ferrous, ferric and titanium chloride at room temperature. Transmission electron microscopy combined with electron energy loss spectroscopy revealed that rapid precipitation formed core–shell-like nanoparticles consisting of a hyperstoichiometric magnetite core, with Ti(IV) and charge balancing Fe(II) enriched at the surface. This surface enrichment made Fe(II) more available for electron transfer reactions with redox active solution species. Examination of oxidation by H 2 O 2 followed by recharge with aqueous Fe 2+ indicates recyclability of reducing equivalents in the nanoparticles, yielding a core recrystallized to stoichiometric magnetite and a shell bearing excess Fe(II) to charge balance the substituted Ti(IV). The recharged particles are shown to have restored redox reactivity with 99 Tc(VII)O 4 − resulting in reduction to 99 Tc(IV)O 2 and oxidation of the structural Fe(II) to Fe(III).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Enhanced surface superconductivity in Ba(Fe 0.95 Co 0.05 ) 2 As 2

We present direct evidence for an enhanced superconducting Tc on the surface of cleaved single crystals of Ba(Fe 0.95 Co 0.05 ) 2 As 2 . Transport measurements performed on samples cleaved in ultra-high vacuum show a significantly enhanced superconducting transition when compared to equivalent measurements performed in air. Deviations from the bulk resistivity appear at 21 K, well above the 10 K bulk Tc of the underdoped compound. We demonstrate that the excess conductivity above the bulk Tc can be controllably suppressed by application of potassium ions on the cleaved surface, indicating that the enhanced superconductivity is strongly localized to the sample surface. Additionally, we find that the effects of the potassium surface dosing are strongly influenced by the presence of residual gas absorbates on the sample surface, which may prevent effective charge transfer from the potassium atoms to the FeAs plane. This further supports the conclusion that the effects of the dosing (and enhanced superconductivity) are localized within a few layers of the surface.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Structural, biophysical, and biochemical insights into C–S bond cleavage by dimethylsulfone monooxygenase

Sulfur is an essential element for life. Bacteria can obtain sulfur from inorganic sulfate; but in the sulfur starvation–induced response,Pseudomonadsemploy two-component flavin-dependent monooxygenases (TC-FMOs) from themsuandsfnoperons to assimilate sulfur from environmental compounds including alkanesulfonates and dialkylsulfones. Here, we report binding studies of oxidized FMN to enzymes involved within theP. fluorescensenzymatic pathway responsible for converting dimethylsulfone (DMSO 2 ) to sulfite. In this catabolic pathway, SfnG serves as the initial TC-FMO for sulfur assimilation, which is investigated in detail by solving the 2.6-Å resolution crystal structure of unliganded SfnG and the 1.75-Å resolution crystal structure of the SfnG ternary complex containing FMN and DMSO 2 . We find that SfnG adopts a (β/α) 8 barrel fold with a distinct quaternary configuration from other tetrameric class C TC-FMOs. To probe the unexpected tetramer arrangement, structural heterogeneity is assessed by chromatography and light scattering to confirm ligand binding correlates with a tetramer. Binding of FMN and DMSO 2 accompanies ordering of the active site, with DMSO 2 bound on thesi-face of the flavin. A previously unobserved protein backbone conformation is found within the oxygen-binding site on there-face of the flavin. Functional assays and the positioning of ligands with respect to the oxygen-binding site are consistent with use of an N5-(hydro)peroxyflavin pathway. Biochemical endpoint assays and docking studies reveal SfnG breaks the C–S bond of a range of dialkylsulfones.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗
DOE OSTI2023

Extraction of Neptunium, Plutonium, Americium, Zirconium, and Technetium by Di-(2-Ethylhexyl)- Iso -Butyramide (DEH i BA) at High Metal Loadings

Increased focus on carbon neutral energy has generated a resurgence of interest in nuclear power, and in particular advanced reactors which are likely to utilize high assay low enriched uranium (HALEU). This in turn could increase the economic attractiveness of recovering still partially enriched uranium from used nuclear fuel. Concomitant to development of advanced reactors, advanced reprocessing schemes should be developed which address the disadvantages to well established reprocessing schemes. The present study focuses on using di-(2-ethylhexyl)-iso-butyramide (DEHiBA) under high metal loading conditions for the reprocessing of used nuclear fuel. The elements examined in the study include the dominant transuranic actinides (Np, Pu, Am) as well as the often-problematic Tc and Zr. Further, by increasing the concentration of the extractant from the more commonly reported 1.0 M – 1.5 M, the extraction of hexavalent actinides is substantially increased, while maintaining effective rejection of tri, tetra, and pentavalent actinides, particularly in the presence of high loadings of uranium. In conclusion, the extraction of Zr by 1.5 M DEHiBA is noted to be negligible by comparison to tributyl phosphate (TBP), however the coextraction of Tc with U is observed to be nominally twice the quantity that is extracted by TBP indicating a need for effective Tc management.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2025

Improving tropical cyclone rapid intensification forecasts with satellite measurements of sea surface salinity and calibrated machine learning

Forecasting rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TC) is a mission known for large errors. One under-researched factor that affects TC intensification is salinity, which is important for density stratification in certain ocean regions and can affect the surface enthalpy flux under a strengthening hurricane. To investigate the impact and efficacy of using salinity information in state-of-the-art forecasting, we use a statistical model consisting of a variety of machine learning (ML) methods. For salinity data, we use satellite measurements of pre-storm sea surface salinity (SSS) as a proxy for the salinity stratification. We train and test the model on various ocean basins, including the Atlantic, eastern North Pacific and western North Pacific. A calibrator is trained on top of the ML models to correct and enhance probability forecasts. The calibrator significantly improves probability forecasts relative to recent works. The ML model performance is improved with the addition of SSS in the Eastern North Pacific, western North Pacific, and the Caribbean subregion of the North Atlantic, and the overall model performance is better than previous studies. SSS decreases model skill for a model trained on the full Atlantic basin. In the Indian Ocean, SSS is also notably correlated with RI occurrence, but the TC samples are not sufficient to train ML models.

hurricane↗
DOE OSTI2025

Projecting U.S. coastal storm surge risks and impacts with deep learning

Storm surge is one of the deadliest hazards posed by tropical cyclones (TCs), yet assessing its current and future risk is difficult due to the phenomenon’s rarity and physical complexity. Recent advances in artificial intelligence applications to natural hazard modeling suggest a new avenue for addressing this problem. We develop a deep learning storm surge model to efficiently estimate coastal surge risk in the United States from 900 000 synthetic TC events, accounting for projected changes in TC behavior and sea levels. The derived historical 100 year surge (the event with a 1% yearly exceedance probability) agrees well with historical observations and other modeling techniques. When coupled with an inundation model, we find that heightened TC intensities and sea levels by the end of the century result in a 50% increase in population at risk. Key findings include markedly heightened risk in Florida, and critical thresholds identified in Georgia and South Carolina.

RAFT↗
DOE OSTI2021

Radioactive nuclei in the early Solar system: analysis of the 15 isotopes produced by core-collapse supernovae

Short-lived radioactive isotopes (SLRs) with half-lives between 0.1 and 100 Myr can be used to probe the origin of the Solar system. In this work, we examine the core-collapse supernovae production of the 15 SLRs produced: 26 Al, 36 Cl, 41 Ca, 53 Mn, 60 Fe, 92 Nb, 97 Tc, 98 Tc, 107 Pd, 126 Sn, 129 I, 135 Cs, 146 Sm, 182 Hf, and 205 Pb. Here, we probe the impact of the uncertainties of the core-collapse explosion mechanism by examining a collection of 62 core-collapse models with initial masses of 15, 20, and 25 M ⊙ , explosion energies between 3.4 × 10 50 and 1.8 × 10 52 erg and compact remnant masses between 1.5 and 4.89 M ⊙ . We identify the impact of both explosion energy and remnant mass on the final yields of the SLRs. Isotopes produced within the innermost regions of the star, such as 92 Nb and 97 Tc, are the most affected by the remnant mass, 92 Nb varying by five orders of magnitude. Isotopes synthesized primarily in explosive C-burning and explosive He-burning, such as 60 Fe, are most affected by explosion energies. 60 Fe increases by two orders of magnitude from the lowest to the highest explosion energy in the 15 M ⊙ model. The final yield of each examined SLR is used to compare to literature models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

From Design to Device: Challenges and Opportunities in Computational Discovery of p -Type Transparent Conductors

A high-performance p -type transparent conductor (TC) does not yet exist but could lead to advances in a wide range of optoelectronic applications and enable new architectures for, e.g., next-generation photovoltaic (PV) devices. High-throughput computational material screenings have been a promising approach to filter databases and identify new p -type TC candidates and some of these predictions have been experimentally validated. However, most of these predicted candidates do not have experimentally achieved properties on par with n -type TCs used in solar cells and therefore have not yet been used in commercial devices. Thus, there is still a significant divide between transforming predictions into results that are actually achievable in the laboratory and an even greater lag in scaling predicted materials into functional devices. In this perspective, we outline some of the major disconnects in this materials discovery process—from scaling computational predictions into synthesizable crystals and thin films in the laboratory to scaling laboratory-grown films into real-world solar devices—and share insights to inform future strategies for TC discovery and design. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Diurnal MCSs Precede the Genesis of Tropical Cyclone Mora (2017): The Role of Convectively Forced Gravity Waves

In this work, a novel high-resolution regional reanalysis is used to investigate the mesoscale processes that preceded the formation of Tropical Cyclone (TC) Mora (2017). Both satellite observations and the regional reanalysis show early morning mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) persistently initiated and organized in the downshear quadrant of the preexisting tropical disturbance a few days prior to the genesis of TC Mora. The diurnal MCSs gradually enhanced the meso-α-scale vortex near the center of the preexisting tropical disturbance through vortex stretching, providing a vorticity-rich and moist environment for the following burst of deep convection and enhancement of the meso-β-scale vortex. The regional reanalysis shows that the gravity waves that radiated from afternoon convection over the northern coast of the Bay of Bengal might play an important role in modulating the diurnal cycle of pregenesis MCSs. The diurnal convectively forced gravity waves increased the tropospheric stability, reduced the column saturation fraction, and suppressed deep convection within the preexisting tropical disturbance from noon to evening. A similar quasi-diurnal cycle of organized deep convection prior to TC genesis has also been observed over other basins. However, modeling studies are needed to conclusively demonstrate the relationships between the gravity waves and pregenesis diurnal MCSs. Also, whether diurnal gravity waves play a similar role in modulating the pregenesis deep convection in other TCs is worth future investigations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Vertically Resolved Analysis of Radiative Feedbacks on Moist Static Energy Variance in Tropical Cyclones

Abstract A vertically resolved moist static energy (MSE) variance budget framework is used to diagnose processes associated with the development of tropical cyclones (TCs) in a general circulation model (GCM) under realistic boundary conditions. Previous studies have shown that interactions between radiation and MSE promote TC development. Here, we examine the vertical contributions of radiation and its interactions with MSE by performing several mechanism-denial experiments in which synoptic-scale radiative interactions are suppressed either in the boundary layer or in the free troposphere. Partly suppressing radiative interactions results in a reduction in global TC frequency. However, the magnitude of reduction and structure of the feedback depend on the intensity and structure of the TCs in these mechanism-denial experiments, indicating that both the magnitude and the vertical location of radiative interactions can impact global TC frequency. Using instantaneous 6-hourly outputs, an explicit computation reveals distinct spatial patterns of the advection term: the vertical component is positive in the mid- to upper troposphere, which reflects an upward transport of MSE by deep convection, whereas the horizontal component is positive in the boundary layer. These results illustrate the impact of the vertical distribution of radiative interactions and vertically varied contribution of the advection term in the development of TCs.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗