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At least 523 records · Page 29

Neighborhood Keeper Program Review

Dragos provided INL access to their Neighborhood Keeper platform, which contains simulated data, sample reports given to utilities, and access to anonymized program data that is sent from utilities to the cloud. Dragos has specifically asked INL to review the available data and respond to the following questions: 1) What detections or combinations of detections are most useful? 2) What additional analysis would benefit the electricity subsector? 3) How could Neighborhood Keeper reporting be modified to benefit the electricity subsector? 4) What lessons learned from the Cybersecurity for the Operational Technology Environment (CyOTE) program could be provided? 5) Based on INL’s experience with utilities, are there lessons learned about data sharing that could be provided? 6) Are there recommendations that could benefit the electricity subsector?

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Sampling Low-Dimensional Markovian Dynamics for Preasymptotically Recovering Reduced Models from Data with Operator Inference

This work introduces a method for learning low-dimensional models from data of high-dimensional black-box dynamical systems. The novelty is that the learned models are exactly the reduced models that are traditionally constructed with classical projection-based model reduction techniques. Thus, the proposed approach learns models that are guaranteed to have the well-studied properties of reduced models known from model reduction, without requiring full knowledge of the governing equations and without requiring the operators of the high-dimensional systems. The key ingredient is a new data sampling scheme to obtain re-projected trajectories of high-dimensional systems that correspond to Markovian dynamics in low-dimensional subspaces. The exact recovery of reduced models from these re-projected trajectories is guaranteed pre-asymptotically under certain conditions for finite amounts of data and for a large class of systems with polynomial nonlinear terms. Numerical results demonstrate that the low-dimensional models learned with the proposed approach match reduced models from traditional model reduction up to numerical errors in practice. In conclusion, the numerical results further indicate that low-dimensional models fitted to re-projected trajectories are predictive even in situations where models fitted to trajectories without re-projection are inaccurate and unstable.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dynamic data filtering system and method

A computer-implemented dynamic data filtering system and method for selectively choosing operating data of a monitored asset that modifies or expands a learned scope of an empirical model of normal operation of the monitored asset while simultaneously rejecting operating data of the monitored asset that is indicative of excessive degradation or impending failure of the monitored asset, and utilizing the selectively chosen data for adaptively recalibrating the empirical model to more accurately monitor asset aging changes or operating condition changes of the monitored asset.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Drilling and abandonment preparation of CO₂ storage wells – Experience from the Ketzin pilot site

At Ketzin, located west of Berlin, the GFZ German Centre for Geosciences is operating Europe's largest CO₂ research storage site. This pilot site has been developed since 2004 and is comprised of one combined injection/observation well and four monitoring wells. From June 2008 to August 2013, a total of 67 kilotons of CO₂ were safely injected into the sandstone units of the Upper Triassic Stuttgart Formation in a depth between 630 to 650 m. The paper discusses the well designs and lessons learned in drilling engineering and operations. The abandonment phase started in Ketzin with the first plug cementation of the observation well Ktzi 202 shortly after shut-in of CO₂ injection. The experience with the first CO₂ well killing operation will be reviewed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integration of scanning probe microscope with high-performance computing: Fixed-policy and reward-driven workflows implementation

The rapid development of computation power and machine learning algorithms has paved the way for automating scientific discovery with a scanning probe microscope (SPM). The key elements toward operationalization of the automated SPM are the interface to enable SPM control from Python codes, availability of high computing power, and development of workflows for scientific discovery. Here, we build a Python interface library that enables controlling an SPM from either a local computer or a remote high-performance computer, which satisfies the high computation power need of machine learning algorithms in autonomous workflows. We further introduce a general platform to abstract the operations of SPM in scientific discovery into fixed-policy or reward-driven workflows. Furthermore, our work provides a full infrastructure to build automated SPM workflows for both routine operations and autonomous scientific discovery with machine learning.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Continuous integration data-driven platform of industrial-scale subsurface storage for real-time analytics

This project helped address the growing need for efficient and scalable models to support geological carbon and energy storage, which are crucial for achieving net-zero emissions. Traditionally accurate high-fidelity numerical models have been used to simulate relevant storage processes under a handful of processes, however such models are computationally demanding, making uncertainty quantification impractical. Consequently, we first developed a machine learning framework, based on Graph Neural Operators (GNOs), to improving the accuracy of model predictions for a fixed computational budget. We then developed an Ensemble of Improved Neural Operators (ENO), which uses bagging and Monte Carlo dropout techniques, to further improve prediction accuracy. Lastly, we developed the way to explain progressive transfer learning methods to reduce the amount of training data and computational cost of training (i.e., reduce trainable parameters) when using our models for multiple storage sites. Our numerical investigation, which used real-world case studies, demonstrated that our framework can significantly improve the safety and efficiency of geological storage operations, with potential applications in other domains such as geothermal reservoirs and climate modeling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Accelerated CO2 Storage Optimization Using Multi-Resolution Fourier Neural Operator at the Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP)

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for optimizing CO2 injection in carbon capture and storage (CCS) operations. We developed a multi-resolution machine learning model to significantly reduce data generation costs. Utilizing this proxy model, we implemented a multi-objective genetic algorithm to optimize well control during the CO2 injection process. The proposed approach was applied to the Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP), successfully optimizing the CO2 injection schedule based on three key objectives: maximizing the amount of CO2 stored, maximizing sweep efficiency, and minimizing pressure increase. The use of the proxy model accelerated the optimization workflow by two orders of magnitude, while the cost of data generation for the proxy model was reduced by 90% by utilizing a coarse-scale model.

accelerated CO2 storage optimization↗

Vehicle energy consumption estimation using large scale simulations and machine learning methods

Vehicle energy consumption and powertrain operations for future vehicle powertrain technologies are predicted through full-vehicle simulations using Autonomie, a simulation tool developed at Argonne National Laboratory. Over 1 million vehicles, with different powertrain types (conventional and numerous electrified powertrains) and component technologies (advanced engines, batteries, electrical machines, light weighting) are simulated for outputs including vehicle fuel economy and cost. Despite the ability of Autonomic to predict fuel economy given various combination of vehicle inputs, the full-vehicle simulation is very time-consuming. It takes approximately 84 h to simulate for 33,060 vehicles even using distributed computing on a cluster of 128 worker nodes. Moreover, Autonomic is unable to populate a continuous output space through simulation since it only yields outputs with discrete values instead of an input-output relation. This paper proposes a novel large-scale learning and prediction process (LSLPP) via machine learning approaches to answer the need for a continuous space of vehicle fuel economy and a more efficient simulation process. By learning in a supervised fashion to discover structures in data, the machine learning approaches seek to train a model that can explain the data with which we can perform prediction over unseen data. As such, we are able to accomplish analytic continuation on the current discrete space of simulation results. In addition, we present a random sampling -based numerosity reduction algorithm incorporated in LSLPP that reduces simulation runs and improves efficiency of data procurement. We analytically derive a theoretical bound in order to guarantee the effectiveness of our algorithm. We also compare random sampling to stratified sampling and suggest sampling strategies. A user-friendly tool is developed to support the process. Our experimental results confirm that the proposed LSLPP is able to greatly accelerate prediction and analysis of vehicle fuel economy. The output of this study is used by the US government to evaluate the impact of its R&D funding on energy security and CO 2 emission as well as for the setting of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Analysing lessons from experience as part of a project to prepare/train teams to manage potentially stressful crisis situations - 164

Following the presentation of the methodology for making use of Operating Experience (OE) data, implemented as part of a study on preparing teams to manage potentially stressful crisis situations, this paper discusses and enhances the 'Implementing a Learning Organisation (ILO)' model, the aim of which is to organise operating experience for learning purposes. By way of introduction, we first present this model, which is divided into four fields of investigation for organising an OE mechanism to support learning, to pose the question we aim to answer in this paper: how does the field relating to the use of OE in the ILO model help us to turn the experience acquired to good account? With this in mind, we then present the different stages of the methodology for making use of OE. The first stage involves defining the area under examination in line with current best practices. This definition is then used in the second stage, as a basis for developing a framework to guide the analysis of OE. Finally, the third stage of the methodology involves selecting the OE data to be analysed. The findings obtained in the chosen case are then presented and several points are discussed based on this experience. These relate to the following: the acquisition of knowledge on current working situations enabled by OE; the stored data analysis method; and the conditions facilitating the use of OE. (authors)

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Using discrete Bayesian networks for diagnosing and isolating cross-level faults in HVAC systems

Fault detection and diagnosis (FDD) technologies are critical to ensure satisfactory building performance, such as reducing energy wastes and negative impacts on occupant comfort and productivity. Existing FDD technologies mainly focus on component-level FDD solutions, which could lead to mis-diagnosis of cross-level faults in heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems. Cross-level faults are those faults that occur in one component or subsystem, but cause operational abnormalities in other components or subsystems, and result in a building level performance degradation. How to effectively diagnose the root cause of a cross-level fault is the focus of this study. Here, this paper presents a novel discrete Bayesian Network (DisBN)-based method for diagnosing cross-level faults in an HVAC system commonly used in commercial buildings. A two-level DisBN structure model is developed in this study. The parameters used in the DisBN model are obtained either from expert knowledge or through machine-learning strategies from normal system operation data. Meanwhile, the probability parameters are discretized to incorporate the uncertainties associated with typical expert knowledge. Thus, the developed DisBN method addresses the challenges many other BN based FDD methods face, i.e., the lack of fault data for BN parameter training. The developed DisBN represents causal relationships between a fault and its cross-level system impacts (i.e., fault symptoms or fault indicators) by considering how fault impacts propagate across different levels in an HVAC system. A weather and schedule information-based Pattern Matching (WPM) method is employed to automatically create WPM baseline data sets for each incoming real time snapshot data from the building systems. Consequently, BN inference and real-time diagnostics are achieved by comparing incoming snapshot data and the WPM baseline data set. The proposed method is evaluated using experimental fault data collected in a campus building. Fault diagnosis results demonstrate that the WPM-DisBN method is effective at locating the root causes of cross-level faults in an HVAC system.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Artificial Intelligence-Driven Management of Sustainable Energy Resources: Visibility, Operation, and Control

The rapid global transition toward sustainable energy resources (SERs) is reshaping how modern power systems are observed, optimized, and controlled. While SERs have significantly advanced decarbonization, their weather dependence, variability, and inverter-dominated characteristics challenge traditional, centralized, and deterministic grid operation. At the same time, the proliferation of high-resolution data from inverters, smart meters, and sensors offers unprecedented visibility into system dynamics. Yet, it also exceeds the analytical capability of conventional model-based approaches. Artificial intelligence (AI) provides a new foundation for addressing these challenges by bridging physical laws with data-driven learning, enabling accurate state awareness, adaptive operation, and coordinated control across distributed assets. This article examines how AI transforms the management of SER-rich power systems along three critical dimensions: 1) enhancing visibility by inferring behind-the-meter (BTM) activities, assessing SER flexibility, and reconstructing system states from sparse or noisy measurements; 2) improving operation through AI-enhanced SER service provision, volt/var control (VVC), and dynamic operating envelopes (DOE) for efficiency and security; and 3) advancing control by embedding learning-based intelligence into inverter coordination, voltage and frequency regulation, and long-term dispatch. Together, these developments reveal how AI can convert the variability of SERs from an operational challenge into a source of flexibility, resilience, and intelligence, paving the way toward sustainable, adaptive, and self-optimizing power systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Development and assessment of a reactor system prognosis model with physics-guided machine learning

Autonomous control systems provide recommendations to help operators in decision-making during plant operations ranging from normal operation to accident management. An important step of autonomous control is prognosis. In nuclear engineering domain, prognosis is the process of predicting future conditions of a system or equipment based on present signs and symptoms of a fault. The prognosis model allows predicting future reactor states for possible candidate control strategies so that the outcomes can be evaluated to determine the best control strategy. The prognosis model requires representing direct relationships between the symptoms and the predictions. In nuclear engineering, computational simulations are approximate representations of the operation of the real system. However, prognosis with computational simulations requires high computation power and time due to possible large number of scenarios. Necessary computation resources can be reduced with machine learning (ML) approach for fast predictions by building a surrogate function using the simulation data. A critical issue is, ML models are ignorant of physical knowledge, and these models approximate statistical relationships between the system variables. This ignorance can produce results that are inconsistent with physical laws, even if an optimal result is achieved from a mathematical point of view. Physics-guided machine learning (PGML) is an approach to tackle this issue. Here, this work formulates and illustrates a framework to guide development and assessment of the ML-based prognosis model for autonomous control systems. The development of the prognosis model considers the training of a ML model which consists of optimizing many aspects of the ML approach. The assessment of the prognosis model considers training data limitations and uncertainties of the ML approach. Prognosis models with standalone ML and PGML are developed and assessed on the loss-of-flow scenario of Experimental Breeder Reactor II. The results indicate that PGML based prognosis model has the best performance compared to other prognosis models.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Machine-Learning Analysis of Moisture Carryover in Boiling Water Reactors

Moisture carryover (MCO) is modeled in the General Electric Type-4 boiling water reactor (BWR) using machine-learning methods and data from operating plants. Understanding MCO and the conditions that give rise to an elevated value is important since excessive MCO can damage critical turbine components, can result in elevated dose levels to on-site personnel, and can interfere with late-cycle power management. The analysis of MCO takes into account simplifying reactor symmetries and important geometric dependencies. The plant data are taken from several reactors and were collected over multiple years and multiple fuel cycles. A brief description of the origin of MCO in U.S. BWR plants is given. A machine-learning model is constructed from the data using applicable algorithms and data-reduction techniques. Matching model complexity with available data is one of the more challenging machine-learning tasks. Too many features and too little data will lead to overfitting. The data for each fuel cycle included over 6876 original features, 9 for each fuel bundle. Two approaches are used to reduce the data set into a manageable number of features. The first was an engineering analysis that resulted in the selection of steam quality Q and steam liquid phase velocity V L as the main features driving MCO. Using a Q and a V L for each fuel bundle gives 1528 Q and a V L feature describing the reactor behavior. An analysis of different functional forms of these two variables led to the actual inputs to the neural network model. The second approach involved the use of statistical techniques such as Pearson’s correlation and k-means analysis. The identified groupings of bundles behaved similarly. Treating each grouping as a single feature further reduced the input variable set to a manageable number. Here, a model selection criterion is proposed, and results are presented along with a discussion of related issues.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A Cooperative Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Real-Time Residential Load Scheduling

Internet-of-Things (IoT) enabled monitoring and control capabilities are enabling increasing numbers of household users with controllable loads to actively participate in smart grid energy management. Realizing an efficient real-time energy management system that takes advantage of these developments requires novel techniques for managing the increased complexity of the control action space in resolving multiple challenges such as the uncertainty in energy prices and renewable energy output along with the need to satisy physical grid constraints such as transformer capacity. Addressing these challenges, we develop a multi-household energy management framework for residential units connected to the same transformer and containing DERs such as PV, ESS and controllable loads. The goal of our framework is to schedule controllable household appliances and ESS such that the cost of procuring electricity from the utility over a horizon is minimized while physical grid constraints are satisfied at each scheduling step. Traditional energy management frameworks either perform global optimization to satisfy grid constraints but suffer from high computational complexity (for example Integer Program, Mixed Integer Programming frameworks and centralized reinforcement learning) or perform decentralized real-time energy management without satisfying global grid constraints (for example multi-agent reinforcement learning with no cooperation). In contrast, we propose a cooperative multiagent reinforcement learning (MARL) framework that i) operates in real-time, and ii) performs explicit collaboration to satisfy global grid constraints. The novelty in our framework is two fold. Firstly, our framework trains multiple independent learners (IL) for each household in parallel using historical data and performs real-time inferencing of control actions using the most recent system state. Secondly, our framework contains a low complexity knapsack based cooperation agent which combines the outputs of ILs to minimize cost while satisfying grid constraints. Simulation results show that our cooperative MARL approach achieves significant cost improvement over centralized reinforcement learning and day-ahead planning baselines. Moreover, our approach strictly satisfies physical constraints with no apriori knowledge of system dynamics while the baseline approaches have occasional violations. We also measure the training and inference time by ranging the number of households from 1 to 25. Results show that our cooperative MARL approach scales best among various approaches.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Taking learning to another level

As a technical project manager at Los Alamos National Laboratory, Scott Boise works on programs and projects that make a big impact. Although he spends most of his days in a quiet office, he also makes a big impact on his team. He's well-known for his character and integrity because of the way he develops leadership skills on the team, promotes respect for others and lives a commitment to learning. Scott joined the Lab in June 2021, the period of the COVID-19 pandemic when most new employees began their careers without ever having stepped foot on-site. That experience has continued to serve as a reminder to him that new employees face numerous challenges no matter how and when they start. He's made it his aim to do what he can to lift some of that load. Coming to the Lab from a career in the biomedical industry, Scott arrived with years of project management experience but without a deep understanding of nuclear operations. His dedication to continuous learning has helped him pursue experiential opportunities and ask the proper questions to understand his role.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

CO 2 Leakage During EOR Operations – Analog Studies to Geologic Storage of CO 2

This study focuses on CO 2 EOR operations and CO 2 geologic storage in saline-bearing formations; both individually and in relation to each other. This study is the third of three that evaluate analog industries of CO 2 storage (first focuses on underground natural gas storage and second on deep well waste disposal using U.S. EPA UIC Class I wells). Several pieces of information can be found throughout the study including overview of CO 2 EOR history and side-by-side comparisons of major synergistic features between CO 2 EOR and CO 2 storage in saline-bearing formations. Best practices and lessons learned from CO 2 EOR operations can provide perspective from which future CO 2 storage R&D pursuits and field projects can benefit. A summary document providing a high-level overview and key takeaways of this study is available on NETL’s website under the Collection Name: NETL’s Analog Studies to Geologic Storage of CO 2 .

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Machine Learning-Based PV Reserve Determination Strategy for Frequency Control on the WECC System

Frequency control from photovoltaic (PV) power plants has great potential to address the frequency response challenge of the power system with high penetrations of renewable generation. Using model-based approaches to determine the optimal PV headroom reserve, however, requires significant online computation and is intractable for an interconnection level system. This paper proposes a machine learning based strategy, that is suitable for real-time operation, to determine the optimal PV reserve for frequency control. The proposed machine learning algorithm is trained and tested on 1,987 offline simulations of a 60% renewable penetration Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) system. Furthermore, the proposed reserve determination strategy is applied on a realistic 1-day operation profile of the WECC system and demonstrates a savings of more than 40% PV headroom compared to a conservative approach. It is evident that the proposed strategy can efficiently and effectively determine the optimal PV frequency control reserve for realistic interconnection systems.

frequency control↗