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At least 523 records · Page 29

Probabilistic constrained Bayesian inversion for transpiration cooling

Abstract To enable safe operations in applications such as rocket combustion chambers, the materials require cooling to avoid material damage. Here, transpiration cooling is a promising cooling technique. Numerous studies investigate possibilities to simulate and evaluate the complex cooling mechanism. One naturally arising question is the amount of coolant required to ensure a safe operation. To study this, we introduce an approach that determines the posterior probability distribution of the Reynolds number using an inverse problem and constraining the maximum temperature of the system under parameter uncertainties. Mathematically, this chance inequality constraint is dealt with by a generalized polynomial chaos expansion of the system. The posterior distribution will be evaluated by different Markov chain Monte Carlo based methods. A novel method for the constrained case is proposed and tested among others on two‐dimensional transpiration cooling models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Machine Learning for First Principles Calculations of Material Properties for Ferromagnetic Materials

The investigation of finite temperature properties using Monte-Carlo (MC) methods requires a large number of evaluations of the system’s Hamiltonian to sample the phase space needed to obtain physical observables as function of temperature. DFT calculations can provide accurate evaluations of the energies, but they are too computationally expensive for routine simulations. To circumvent this problem, machine-learning (ML) based surrogate models have been developed and implemented on high-performance computing (HPC) architectures. In this paper, we describe two ML methods (linear mixing model and HydraGNN) as surrogates for first principles density functional theory (DFT) calculations with classical MC simulations. These two surrogate models are used to learn the dependence of target physical properties from complex compositions and interactions of their constituents. We present the predictive performance of these two surrogate models with respect to their complexity while avoiding the danger of overfitting the model. An important aspect of our approach is the periodic retraining with newly generated first principles data based on the progressive exploration of the system’s phase space by the MC simulation. The numerical results show that HydraGNN model attains superior predictive performance compared to the linear mixing model for magnetic alloy materials.

Eisenbach, Markus↗

Unpolarized transverse momentum distributions from a global fit of Drell-Yan and semi-inclusive deep-inelastic scattering data

We present an extraction of unpolarized transverse-momentum-dependent parton distribution and fragmentation functions based on more than two thousand data points from several experiments for two different processes: semi-inclusive deep-inelastic scattering and Drell-Yan production. The baseline analysis is performed using the Monte Carlo replica method and resumming large logarithms at N 3 LL accuracy. The resulting description of the data is very good (χ 2 /N dat = 1.06). For semi-inclusive deep-inelastic scattering, predictions for multiplicities are normalized by factors that cure the discrepancy with data introduced by higher-order perturbative corrections.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Monte Carlo Simulations of 347H Stainless Steel Aging for the Synthetic Generation of Microstructures Under Creep Conditions

Here, a Monte Carlo simulation method capable of replicating the kinetics of M 23 C 6 precipitation in 347H stainless steels was developed for the purpose of producing synthetic microstructures that approximate its microstructural evolution under aging periods of up to 10,000 hours at temperatures between 600 °C and 750 °C. To accomplish this, experimental data from the literature was used to parameterize simulations and replicate the nucleation and growth kinetics of M 23 C 6 particles within 347H and similar austenitic stainless steel alloys. These simulations were found to have considerable fidelity to previous efforts to study the precipitation of M 23 C 6 in other 300 series stainless steel alloys. Synthetic 347H microstructures were then generated that accounted the effects of aging temperature, duration, dislocation density, and the presence of boron within the microstructure. These simulations predict several key trends, those being that (1) the size of M 23 C 6 precipitates decreased with aging temperature and (2) the growth rate of M 23 C 6 particles decreased with aging temperature. Further, while (3) the addition of dislocation density due to creep conditions resulted in increasing intragranular nucleation of M 23 C 6 precipitates with increasing dislocation density and (4) B additions within the microstructure led to modest increases in precipitate size above 700 °C, which indicates that more complex physics are necessary to account for the presence of B.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Inhomogeneous mean-field approach to collective excitations near the superfluid–Mott glass transition

Highlights: • Unconventional collective excitations across the superfluid–Mott glass transition. • Higgs mode localized in superfluid and insulating phases. • Broad uncritical amplitude response function at quantum phase transition. • Goldstone mode delocalizes in the superfluid phase. We develop an inhomogeneous quantum mean-field approach to the behavior of collective excitations across the superfluid–Mott glass quantum phase transition in two dimensions, complementing recent quantum Monte Carlo simulations (Puschmann et al. 2020). In quadratic (Gaussian) approximation, the Goldstone (phase) and Higgs (amplitude) modes completely decouple. Each is described by a disordered Bogoliubov Hamiltonian which can be solved by an inhomogeneous multi-mode Bogoliubov transformation. We find that the Higgs mode is spatially localized in both phases. The corresponding scalar spectral function shows a broad peak that is noncritical in the sense that its peak frequency does not soften but remains nonzero across the quantum phase transition. In contrast, the lowest-energy Goldstone mode delocalizes in the superfluid phase, leading to a zero-frequency spectral peak. We compare these findings to the results of the quantum Monte Carlo simulations. We also relate them to general results on the localization of bosonic excitations, and we discuss the limits and generality of our approach.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Pathway for decarbonizing residential building operations in the US and China beyond the mid-century

With global carbon budget targets looming, residential buildings in top economies must become carbon neutral as soon as possible to reserve more emission space for emerging carbon-emitting economies. This study is the first to compare the operational decarbonization process of China’s and the United States (US) residential buildings from 2000 to 2060 by combining the end-use emission model with the decomposing structural decomposition (DSD) method and Monte Carlo simulation. The results show that from 2001 to 2020 China decarbonized 1544 mega-tons of carbon dioxide (MtCO 2 ) and the US decarbonized 1848 MtCO 2 . In the business-as-usual scenario, China will hit its emission peak in 2031 (±3) with 934 (±61) MtCO 2 , while the US will maintain a lock-in level of 736 (±133) MtCO 2 since the 2030s. In the decarbonization scenario, operational carbon neutrality for residential buildings in 2060 is promoted by an increase in clean power generation proportion, building-integrated power generation level, building electrification level, and a reduction in end-use energy intensity, which will contribute 34.4 %, 21.4 %, 14.3 %, and 29.9 % in China and 32.9 %, 33.1 %, 8.2 %, and 25.8 % in the US, respectively. Especially, building-integrated power generation in China only costs about 40 % of what it costs in the US. Besides, high-decarbonization strategies for residential building operations are proposed as references for governments to formulate targeted climate policies. Overall, this study offers data benchmarks for buildings’ carbon neutrality of top economies to further promote synergistic carbon neutrality with the buildings of emerging economies in the age of Post COP27.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Effect of substrate tilt on sputter-deposited AuTa films

Gold-tantalum alloy films are of interest for biomedical and magnetically-assisted inertial confinement fusion applications. However, growth mechanisms of such Au-Ta alloy films are not well understood. Here, we systematically study the effect of substrate tilt on properties of films deposited by direct current magnetron sputtering from a AuTa alloy target. Experimental data is correlated with distributions of landing energies and incident angles of sputtered and backscattered species calculated by Monte Carlo simulations of ballistic collisions and gas phase atomic transport. Results reveal that the deposition rate and film density monotonically decrease with increasing substrate tilt. Properties are similar for films with a tilt of 40° and below: films are amorphous, with an average compressive stress of 0.5 GPa, a density of 16 g/cm 3 , and electrical resistivity of 200 μΩ cm. The critical substrate tilt angle for the onset of porosity, a transition to a reduced stress state, and an increase in electrical resistivity lies between 40 and 60°. Based on Monte Carlo simulations, these changes in film properties are correlated with an increase in the average impact angle of the ballistic component of atomic flux. Implications of these results to deposition onto non-planar substrates are discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Thermodynamic modeling of the Nb-Ni system with uncertainty quantification using PyCalphad and ESPEI

Here, the Nb–Ni system is remodeled with uncertainty quantification (UQ) using software tools of PyCalphad and ESPEI (the Extensible, Self-optimizing Phase Equilibria Infrastructure) with the presently implemented capability of modeling site fraction based on Wyckoff positions. The five- and three-sublattice models are used to model the topologically close pack (TCP) μ-Nb 7 Ni 6 and δ-NbNi 3 phases according to their Wyckoff positions. The inputs for CALPHAD-based thermodynamic modeling include the thermochemical data as a function of temperature predicted by first-principles and phonon calculations based on density functional theory (DFT), ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations, together with phase equilibrium and site fraction data in the literature. In addition to phase diagram and thermodynamic properties, the CALPHAD-based predictions of site fractions of Nb in μ-Nb 7 Ni 6 agree well with experimental data. Furthermore, the UQ estimation using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method as implemented in ESPEI is applied to study the uncertainty of site fraction in μ-Nb 7 Ni 6 and enthalpy of mixing (ΔH mix ) in liquid.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Sorption and electrokinetic properties of ASR product and C-S-H: A comparative modelling study

Alkali-silica reaction (ASR) is one of the most important concrete durability issues worldwide. ASR products formed at high temperature have a structure similar to the natural mineral shlykovite. Reactive Grand Canonical Simulations were used to investigate sorption of K{sup +}, Cl{sup −} and Ca{sup 2+} on C-S-H and ASR products at different pH (10.0 to 13.0) and pore water chemistry. Divalent ions can overcompensate for the negative surface charge, in particular for C-S-H, which leads to a co-adsorption of negative species such as Cl{sup −}. At high K/Ca in solution, monovalent K{sup +} can desorb calcium from C-S-H and shlykovite surface. The calculated Ca/K partition coefficient shows a higher affinity of ASR product for K{sup +}, while C-S-H favours Ca{sup 2+}. The uptake of K{sup +} by ASR products lowers the alkali concentration in the solution and could thus slow down the rate of ASR.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Monte-Carlo modeling of phonon thermal transport using DFT-based anisotropic dispersion relations over the full Brillouin zone

In this work, we present a Monte Carlo (MC) approach to solve the phonon Boltzmann transport equation (BTE) in which the anisotropic phonon dispersion relations over the full Brillouin zone (BZ) are used. In this approach, the discretization of the BZ used to compute the phonon relaxation time places constraints on the direction of scattered phonons in the real-space simulation domain. The phonon dispersion and phonon relaxation times are calculated using the density functional theory (DFT) approach. The modified MC approach is validated by a close examination of its ability to simulate phonon transport in both the ballistic and diffusive regimes for multiple materials including GaAs, InAs, ThO 2 , and α-U. In doing so, the phonon thermal conductivities from 100 K to 1000 K are calculated and compared with traditional non-transport solution of the phonon BTE. It is found that the phonon thermal conductivities of α-U and ThO 2 obtained from MC simulations using isotropic dispersion are larger than the values obtained using anisotropic phonon dispersion relations over the full BZ. The effect of phonon-defect scattering on the thermal conductivity of ThO 2 is also studied as an application of the current MC approach and found to agree with previously computed values in the literature. The MC solver developed here has been parallelized as a step to demonstrate its potential to solving computationally intensive phonon thermal transport problems at the mesoscale.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A tool for assessing demand side management and operating strategies for isolated microgrids

Globally, power system operators are exploring ways to leverage the capabilities of smart meters to implement fine-grained demand side management (DSM). Here this paper presents a new simulation tool to evaluate operating strategies for smart-meter-enabled (SME) islanded microgrids being advanced for sustainable rural electrification in emerging economies. Based on MATLAB/Simulink, the tool's component-level models of small microgrids can be easily configured. Alternative rule-based operating strategies are implemented with controllable supply and storage components as well as other components driven by external factors (e.g., weather and time of day). To account for the wide range of possible operating conditions in real-world applications, statistical metrics can be evaluated using Monte Carlo (MC) methods based on user-defined, time-dependent probability distributions for demands, supplies, and environmental variables. Features of the tool are demonstrated with case studies for a representative microgrid in rural Rwanda.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Bridging adsorption behavior of confined CH 4 -CO 2 binary mixtures across scales

An accurate understanding of the competitive adsorption of CH 4 -CO 2 binary mixtures in nano-confined systems is critical for engineering CO 2 storage in shale gas reservoirs. Due to difficulties in making reliable experimental observations in nano-scale, atomistic simulations (ASs), such as the Grand Canonical Monte Carlo (GCMC) method, provide a viable approach to studying the adsorption behavior of confined fluids. ASs are, however, limited in the size of the compositional domain due to the high computational cost. This work proposes a framework that combines AS and the lattice Boltzmann (LB) method to bridge the physics of confined fluids across scales. The Peng–Robinson equation of state (PR-EoS) produces fugacity coefficients, which serve as input for conducting multi-component GCMC simulations. These GCMC simulations explore the competitive adsorption behavior of CH 4 -CO 2 in nano-slits at various composition, pressure, and channel-width conditions. Both components generate adsorption layers with high densities near the walls with CO 2 preferentially adsorbing compared to CH 4 on the organic walls of carbon sheets. At the mesoscale, a pseudopotential model represents the intermolecular forces in multi-component, multiple-relaxation-time LB simulations. The LB simulations are in good agreement with the GCMC results, allowing us to obtain values for tunable LB parameters. We then extend the use of LB to simulate adsorption behavior in complex networks with nano-sized channels. The phase behavior and fluid properties in the complex geometries of nano-channels differ from nano-slits and bulk systems. Furthermore, the bridging of physics from GCMC (microscale) to LB (mesoscale) via the macroscale PR-EoS connects the adsorption behavior of binary systems across scales.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Learning functional priors and posteriors from data and physics

In this work, we develop a new Bayesian framework based on deep neural networks to be able to extrapolate in space-time using historical data and to quantify uncertainties arising from both noisy and gappy data in physical problems. Specifically, the proposed approach has two stages: (1) prior learning and (2) posterior estimation. At the first stage, we employ the physics-informed Generative Adversarial Networks (PI-GAN) to learn a functional prior either from a prescribed function distribution, e.g., Gaussian process, or from historical data and physics. At the second stage, we employ the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method to estimate the posterior in the latent space of PI-GANs. In addition, we use two different approaches to encode the physics: (1) automatic differentiation, used in the physicsinformed neural networks (PINNs) for scenarios with explicitly known partial differential equations (PDEs), and (2) operator regression using the deep operator network (DeepONet) for PDE-agnostic scenarios. We then test the proposed method for (1) meta-learning for one-dimensional regression, and forward/inverse PDE problems (combined with PINNs); (2) PDE-agnostic physical problems (combined with DeepONet), e.g., fractional diffusion as well as saturated stochastic (100-dimensional) flows in heterogeneous porous media; and (3) spatial-temporal regression problems, i.e., inference of a marine riser displacement field using experimental data from the Norwegian Deepwater Programme (NDP). The results demonstrate that the proposed approach can provide accurate predictions as well as uncertainty quantification given very limited scattered and noisy data, since historical data could be available to provide informative priors. In summary, the proposed method is capable of learning flexible functional priors, e.g., both Gaussian and non-Gaussian process, and can be readily extended to big data problems by enabling mini-batch training using stochastic HMC or normalizing flows since the latent space is generally characterized as low dimensional.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Capture efficiency and bias from the defect dynamics near grain boundaries in BCC Fe using mesoscale simulations

The capture efficiency describes the capability of a sink, such as a grain boundary (GB), dislocation, and void, to absorb point defects (PDs). The bias defines the difference in capture efficiency between the absorption of a vacancy and dumbbell at a sink. Complete kinetic information on PDs, including diffusion barriers and diffusion orientations, as well as accurate saddle points, are needed to determine the capture efficiency and bias at a sink accurately, which is computationally demanding. Here, in the present study, the Self-Evolving Atomistic Kinetic Monte Carlo (SEAKMC) method was used to investigate the defect dynamics of PDs near different types of grain boundaries (GBs) (with both $\langle$100$\rangle$ and $\langle$110$\rangle$ families) accurately in body-centered cubic (BCC) iron (Fe). The capture efficiency, sink strength, and bias factor of different types of GBs were determined in Fe, which, different from traditional rate theory estimation, showed a distinct capture efficiency, sink strength, and bias in different GBs. The results demonstrate a strong positive correlation between the capture efficiency and the GB strain width, instead of the GB misorientation, GB energy, or GB-PD binding energy, which have been investigated previously. This work provides valuable insight into the radiation-induced microstructural evolution of GBs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Uncertainty quantification for Joule heating processes in fibrous pore-resolved media

Joule heating (JH) is an energy-efficient and sustainable technique for heating materials. Its application for industrial heating, particularly, has been gaining attention due to its potential for increasing the yield of various chemical products. The process involves the use of heating elements (materials that are highly conductive electrically and thermally) to heat up other materials or substances. These conductors, however, can exhbit varying degrees of uncertainty due to non-linearities in their temperature-dependent properties, which could result in variable material behavior. In this work, we carry out uncertainty quantification (UQ) at the pore scale to describe the uncertainty of such materials. In so doing, we applied the non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) technique to quantify the uncertainty within the system. The steady state Joule heating equation was solved numerically at the pore scale mimicking conditions within a heating chamber for propane dehydrogenation, and various electro-thermal profiles were obtained. We also examined the effect of the number of sampling points (20 – 100) and order of the PCE coefficients (2 – 5) on the accuracy of the temperature evaluations. The results were then benchmarked with the standard Monte Carlo (MC) method. The average temperature of the 4th-order global PCE showed good agreement with the MC results (which were positively skewed). Orders greater than 4 gave an underestimation of the temperatures while predictions for the peak temperature improved as the number of sampling points increased.

Fagbemi, Samuel [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000236995025)↗