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At least 523 records · Page 29

Analyzing Dynamics of Cooperating Spacecraft

A software library has been developed to enable high-fidelity computational simulation of the dynamics of multiple spacecraft distributed over a region of outer space and acting with a common purpose. All of the modeling capabilities afforded by this software are available independently in other, separate software systems, but have not previously been brought together in a single system. A user can choose among several dynamical models, many high-fidelity environment models, and several numerical-integration schemes. The user can select whether to use models that assume weak coupling between spacecraft, or strong coupling in the case of feedback control or tethering of spacecraft to each other. For weak coupling, spacecraft orbits are propagated independently, and are synchronized in time by controlling the step size of the integration. For strong coupling, the orbits are integrated simultaneously. Among the integration schemes that the user can choose are Runge-Kutta Verner, Prince-Dormand, Adams-Bashforth-Moulton, and Bulirsh- Stoer. Comparisons of performance are included for both the weak- and strongcoupling dynamical models for all of the numerical integrators.

Hughes, Stephen P.↗

Techno-Economic Wind Blade Manufacturing Model to Identify Opportunities for Cost Improvements Phase II IACMI Project 4.6/4.8

In IACMI Project 4.6 and IACMI Project 4.8, an Excel-based Techno-Economic Model (TEM) of the manufacturing process for composite wind turbine blades and a DELMIA Factory Flow Simulation of a generic wind blade manufacturing facility was developed. Together, these two tools provide a combined economic modeling capability that accounts for the material, labor, overhead and full-lifecycle operating costs associated with wind blade manufacturing as well as the impact of process flow and factory layout on overall manufacturing efficiency. The tools provide a novel means of detailed comparative analysis of the economic feasibility of proposed technologies and process changes for blade manufacturing. The modeling tools were developed with close support from members of industry and visits to multiple blade manufacturing facilities. With industry oversight, a detailed generalized manufacturing process plan and facility layout were developed with manufacturing parameters, material costs and economic factors based on historical data. Dassault Systèmes and the University of Texas at Dallas (UTD) contributed to the development of the Techno-Economic Model by providing macros to enable the generation of Bill of Material (BOM) data from a 3D blade design in either CATIA or NuMAD format, respectively. The TEM was built with the capability to directly import a Bill of Materials for economic analysis, and with the addition of the macros provided by Dassault and UTD, the TEM can directly import blade designs from both CATIA and NuMAD file formats. The modeling tools developed in Project 4.6 were used to investigate four wind blade manufacturing concepts in detail and select one to explore with laboratory-scale experimentation in Project 4.8. The four manufacturing concepts that were investigated were down-selected by the full project team from a larger list of concepts. The selections were made based on a number of criteria ranking viability and level of interest for each concept. The ‘One-Step Close’ manufacturing concept was ultimately selected for investigation in Project 4.8 and the demonstration was performed at the NREL CoMET facility. The TPI advanced manufacturing facility in Warren, RI contributed the production of several prototype components, the designs for which were developed by Janicki Industries. The demonstration project provided clear indication of the viability of the One-Step Close manufacturing concept for blade manufacturing and good validation of the Techno-Economic Model’s prediction of its economic impact.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

GoldSim E-Area Low-Level Waste Facility Aquifer Zone Model Calibration Methodology

This report documents the development and calibration of the E-Area Low-Level Waste Facility (ELLWF) Gold Sim aquifer model. It provides a methodology on how a Gold Sim aquifer model can be calibrated to specific PORFLOW-based aquifer predictions. The calibration activity presented within this report focuses on the Slit Trench #06 (ST06) location that resides within the center set of Slit Trenches. This Gold Sim-based aquifer model is a generic model capable of being calibrated to any of the other trench locations within E-Area. In addition, subsequent activities (beyond the scope of this effort) will couple this GoldSim-based aquifer model to various GoldSim-based trench models, with the intent of performing stochastic analyses that couple all pertinent fate and transport processes from the ground surface up to the 100-m point of assessment (POA).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Closing the Loop Between In Situ Stress Complexity and EGS Fracture Complexity (Quarterly Research Performance Progress Report: Q3Y3)

As part of Task 1, we have started by testing our modeling capabilities by reproducing isothermal DFIT simulations presented in the literature. To start, we have been working towards adjusting numerical parameters to reproduce DFIT tests with different fracture geometries. Then, we have focused modeling the DFIT conducted at well 58-32 (cycle 4 in zone 2). Specifically, we have carefully analyzed the influence of the aperture-contact stress relationship and investigated how two different laws affect model results. We have also introduced thermal effects in the model and rerun the simulations to estimate the effect of cooling on the DFIT response. Due to the small amount of fluid injected during a DFIT, thermal effects seem to be moderate.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Closing the Loop Between In Situ Stress Complexity and EGS Fracture Complexity: Quarterly Research Performance Progress Report

As part of Task 1, we have started by testing our modeling capabilities by reproducing isothermal DFIT simulations presented in the literature. To start, we have been working towards adjusting numerical parameters to reproduce DFIT tests with different fracture geometries. Then, we have focused modeling the DFIT conducted at well 58-32 (cycle 4 in zone 2). Specifically, we have carefully analyzed the influence of the aperture-contact stress relationship and investigated how two different laws affect model results.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Cooling Technology for Large Space Telescopes

NASA's New Millennium Program funded an effort to develop a system cooling technology, which is applicable to all future infrared, sub-millimeter and millimeter cryogenic space telescopes. In particular, this technology is necessary for the proposed large space telescope Single Aperture Far-Infrared Telescope (SAFIR) mission. This technology will also enhance the performance and lower the risk and cost for other cryogenic missions. The new paradigm for cooling to low temperatures will involve passive cooling using lightweight deployable membranes that serve both as sunshields and V-groove radiators, in combination with active cooling using mechanical coolers operating down to 4 K. The Cooling Technology for Large Space Telescopes (LST) mission planned to develop and demonstrate a multi-layered sunshield, which is actively cooled by a multi-stage mechanical cryocooler, and further the models and analyses critical to scaling to future missions. The outer four layers of the sunshield cool passively by radiation, while the innermost layer is actively cooled to enable the sunshield to decrease the incident solar irradiance by a factor of more than one million. The cryocooler cools the inner layer of the sunshield to 20 K, and provides cooling to 6 K at a telescope mounting plate. The technology readiness level (TRL) of 7 will be achieved by the active cooling technology following the technology validation flight in Low Earth Orbit. In accordance with the New Millennium charter, tests and modeling are tightly integrated to advance the technology and the flight design for "ST-class" missions. Commercial off-the-shelf engineering analysis products are used to develop validated modeling capabilities to allow the techniques and results from LST to apply to a wide variety of future missions. The LST mission plans to "rewrite the book" on cryo-thermal testing and modeling techniques, and validate modeling techniques to scale to future space telescopes such as SAFIR.

DiPirro, Michael↗

Influence of alveolar mixing and multiple breaths of aerosol intake on particle deposition in the human lungs

Predictive dosimetry models play an important role in assessing health effect of inhaled particulate matter and in optimizing delivery of inhaled pharmaceutical aerosols. Here, in this study, the commonly used 1D Multiple-Path Particle Dosimetry model (MPPD) was improved by including a mechanistically based model component for alveolar mixing of particles and by extending the model capabilities to account for multiple breaths of aerosol intake. These modifications increased the retained fraction of particles and consequently particle deposition predictions in the deep lung during tidal breathing. Comparison with an existing dataset (J. Aerosol Sci., 99:27-39, 2016) obtained under two breathing conditions referred to as slow and fast breathing showed significant differences in 1 µm particle deposition between predictions (slow: 30±1%, fast: 21±1%) and measurements (slow: 43±9%, fast: 30±5%) when the prior version of MPPD (single breath and no mixing, J. Aerosol Sci., 151:105647, 2021) was used. Adding a mixing model and multiple breaths moved the predictions (slow: 34±2%, fast:25±2%) closer to the range of deposition measurements. For 2.9 µm particles, predictions from both the original (slow: 70±2%, fast: 57±2%) and the revised MPPD model (slow: 71±2%, fast: 59±3%) compared well with experiments (slow: 67±8%, fast: 58±10%). This was expected as suspended fraction of 2.9 µm particles was small and thus the addition of alveolar mixing and multi breath capability only slightly increased the retained fraction for particles of this size and greater. The revised 1D model improves dose predictions in the deep lung and support human risk assessment from exposure to airborne particles.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Validation study of sodium pool fire modeling efforts in $\mathrm{MELCOR}$ and $\mathrm{SPHINCS}$ codes

Discharge of sodium coolant into containment from a sodium-cooled fast reactor vessel can occur in the event of a pipe leak or break. In this situation, some of the liquid sodium droplets discharged from the coolant system will react with oxygen in the air before reaching the containment. This phase of the event is normally termed the sodium spray fire phase. Unreacted sodium droplets pool on the containment floor where continued reaction with containment atmospheric oxygen occurs. This phase of the event is normally termed the sodium pool fire phase. Both phases of these sodium-oxygen reactions (or fires) are important to model because of the heat addition and aerosol generation that occur. Any fission products trapped in the sodium coolant may also be released during this progression of events, which if released from containment could pose a health risk to workers and the public. The paper describes progress of an international collaborative research in the area of the sodium fire modeling in the sodium-cooled fast reactors between the United States and Japan under the framework of the Civil Nuclear Energy Research and Development Working Group. In this collaboration between Sandia National Laboratories and Japan Atomic Energy Agency, the validation basis for and modeling capabilities of sodium spray and pool fires in MELCOR of Sandia National Laboratories and SPHINCS of Japan Atomic Energy Agency are being enhanced. Here this study documents MELCOR and SPHINCS sodium pool fire model validation exercises against the JAEA’s sodium pool fire experiments, F7-1 and F7-2. The proposed enhancement of the sodium pool fire models in MELCOR through addition of thermal hydraulic and sodium spreading models that enable a better representation of experimental results is also described.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Projecting Life-Cycle Environmental Impacts of Corn Production in the U.S. Midwest under Future Climate Scenarios using machine learning approach

Emission factors and process-based mechanism models are popular approaches used to estimate life-cycle environmental impacts. However, emission factors are often incapable of describing spatial and temporal heterogeneity of agricultural emissions, whereas process-based mechanism models, capable of capturing the heterogeneity, tend to be very complicated, and time-consuming. Efficient predictions of life-cycle environmental impacts from agricultural production are lacking. This study develops a rapid predictive model to quantify life-cycle global warming (GW), eutrophication (EU) and acidification (AD) impacts of corn production using a novel machine learning approach. We used the boosted regression tree (BRT) model to estimate current and future life-cycle environmental impacts of corn production in 12 U.S. Midwest at county scale under four Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)’s climate scenarios (RCP2.6. 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) for years 2009-2100. Results show that future life-cycle GW, EU and AD impacts of corn production will increase under all four scenarios, with the worst environmental impacts shown under the RCP 8.5 scenario. Significant spatial variation were estimated to be 3.6, 29.9 and 1.8-folds under the RCP4.5 scenario, and 6.6, 152.9 and 1.6-folds under the RCP8.5 scenario, respectively. Findings from this study demonstrate the importance of considering county-level life-cycle environmental impacts and the influences of climate change in future years to aid in developing potential adaptation and mitigation programs and policies.

Machine learning, climate change, projections, env↗

Non-linearities in the Lyman-α forest and in its cross-correlation with dark matter halos

Here three-dimensional correlations of the Lyman-α (Lyα) forest and cross correlations between the Lyα forest and quasars have been measured on large scales, allowing a precise measurement of the baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) feature at redshifts z > 2. These 3D correlations are often modelled using linear perturbation theory, but full-shape analyses to extract cosmological information beyond BAO will require more realistic models capable of describing non-linearities present at smaller scales. We present a measurement of the Lyα forest flux power spectrum from large hydrodynamic simulations — the Sherwood simulations — and compare it to different models describing the small-scale deviations from linear theory. We confirm that the model presented in Arinyo-i-Prats et al. (2015) fits the measured 3D power up to k = 10 h Mpc -1 with an accuracy better than 5%, and show that the same model can also describe the 1D correlations with similar precision. We also present, for the first time, an equivalent study for the cross-power spectrum of halos with the Lyα forest, and we discuss different challenges we face when modelling the cross-power spectrum beyond linear scales. We make all our measured power spectra public in https://github.com/andreufont/sherwoo_p3d. This study is a step towards joint analyses of 1D and 3D flux correlations, and towards using the quasar-Lyα cross-correlation beyond BAO analyses.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Micromechanics of Spray-On Foam Insulation

Understanding the thermo-mechanical response of the Space Shuttle External Tank spray-on foam insulation (SOFI) material is critical, to NASA's Return to Flight effort. This closed-cell rigid polymeric foam is used to insulate the metallic Space Shuttle External Tank, which is at cryogenic temperatures immediately prior to and during lift off. The shedding of the SOFI during ascent led to the loss of the Columbia, and eliminating/minimizing foam lass from the tank has become a priority for NASA as it seeks to resume scheduled space shuttle missions. Determining the nature of the SOFI material behavior in response to both thermal and mechanical loading plays an important role as any structural modeling of the shedding phenomenon k predicated on knowledge of the constitutive behavior of the foam. In this paper, the SOFI material has been analyzed using the High-Fidelity Generalized Method of Cells (HFGMC) micromechanics model, which has recently been extended to admit a triply-periodic 3-D repeating unit cell (RUC). Additional theoretical extensions that mere made in order to enable modeling of the closed-cell-foam material include the ability to represent internal boundaries within the RUC (to simulated internal pores) and the ability to impose an internal pressure within the simulated pores. This latter extension is crucial as two sources contribute to significant internal pressure changes within the SOFI pores. First, gas trapped in the pores during the spray process will expand or contract due to temperature changes. Second, the pore pressure will increase due to outgassing of water and other species present in the foam skeleton polymer material. With HFGMC's new pore pressure modeling capabilities, a nonlinear pressure change within the simulated pore can be imposed that accounts for both of these sources, in addition to stmdar&-thermal and mechanical loading; The triply-periodic HFGMC micromechanics model described above was implemented within NASA GRC's MAC/GMC software package, giving the model access to a range of nonlinear constitutive models for the polymeric foam skeleton material. A repeating unit cell architecture was constructed that, while relatively simple, still accounts for the geometric anisotropy of the porous foam microstructure and its thin walls and thicker edges. With the lack of reliable polymeric foam skeleton materia1 properties, many simulations were executed aimed at backing out these material properties. Then, using these properties, predictions of the thermo-mechanical behavior of the foam, including calculated internal applied pressure profiles, were performed and compared with appropriate experimental data.

Bednarcyk, Brett A.↗

Helium Pressurization Modeling of the EDU Submerged Diffuser Using Thermal Desktop

NASA is currently working on developing its predictive modeling capabilities to support future missions that require long term storage of cryogenic propellants. Through the Evolvable Cryogenics project, Development and Validation of Analysis Tools (DVAT) task, both CFD and multi-node fluid modeling tools are being validated against to increase the following cryogenic fluid management technologies: Self-Pressurization, Pressure Control, Helium Pressurization, de-stratification, jet mixing, Tank and transfer line chill-down, tank filling and transfer. NASA is using previous and future micro-gravity experiments to validate both types of models. Recent activities include: Validation of the Tank Pressure Control Experiment (TPCE), Hydrogen and Helium pressurization, and Completion of the Zero Boil Off Tank (ZBOT) experiment on ISS. Future activities include validation of the ZBOT experiment with both CFD and multi-node analysis tools, validation of the Cryogenic Demonstration System of the Robotic Refueling Mission (RRM3).

low-gravity fluid modeling↗

A Multiscale Modeling Approach to Cryocompressed Hydrogen Storage Pressure Vessels – Part II: Constitutive Modeling and Finite Element Analysis

Subjected to thermomechanical cycling, composite cryogenic hydrogen (H2) storage pressure vessels experience high stresses in the carbon fiber (CF)/epoxy overwrap which can lead to vessel failure due to a combination of degradation mechanisms such as matrix cracking, fiber/matrix debonding, delamination, and fiber rupture. The present paper is the second part of a set of two articles on this subject that addresses analysis and design of these pressure vessels. Predictive finite element (FE) modeling capabilities have been used to support a material acceptance process that aims at providing guidance to evaluate specialty resins, vessel liner options, and CF composites through thermomechanical testing. We have applied a multiscale modeling approach recently developed (B.N. Nguyen et al., International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2019, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2019.09.200) to perform three-dimensional (3D) FE analysis and design of a cryo-compressed H2 storage pressure vessel for its operation in a large temperature range from room to cryogenic temperatures. The developed approach termed the micro-meso-macro approach determines the laminar stresses in different layers of the vessel in addition to constituent (i.e., fiber and matrix) stresses that are important to the design of the composite overwrap for its layup and material combination to reduce the risk of vessel failure.

Nguyen, Ba Nghiep↗

Molten Salt Reactor Signatures and Modeling Study

Molten salt reactor (MSR) technologies, either liquid fueled and cooled or only liquid cooled, pose specific, unique challenges for safeguards of the special nuclear material during the operation, fueling, and maintenance of the reactor. MSRs are one type of Generation IV technologies being invested in and considered for U.S. domestic fabrication primarily for electricity and process heat production. These designs have generated growing commercial interest for several reasons, including high (≈40%) thermal efficiency, ease of fueling, improved use of uranium fuel, potential utilization of thorium fuel, and proposed inherent safety features. U.S. companies have several planned designs that differ in fuel, cooling, and neutron energy spectrum. Driven by commercial interest and the intent of licensing MSRs, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has developed a vision and strategy to accommodate non-light water reactors (LWR), which include MSRs (U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission 2019). In addition, the Department of Energy (DOE) through the Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) Office of Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART), …sponsors research, development and deployment (RD&D) activities through its Next Generation Nuclear Plant (NGNP), Advanced Reactor Concepts (ARC), and Advanced Small Modular Reactor (aSMR) programs to promote safety, technical, economical, and environmental advancements of innovative Generation IV nuclear energy technologies. Reactor types considering the use of salts, liquid metals, or gases for coolant fall under both ARC and aSMR. Therefore, Research Design & Development is being pursued by DOE-NE through national laboratories, universities, and international and industrial collaborations. Additionally, the U.S. is a member of the Gen IV International Forum (GIF). The GIF is a cooperative, multinational organization to guide and carry out research and development needed for the GEN IV reactor systems (Forum 2018). GIF evaluated numerous reactor concepts and down-selected to the six most feasible advanced reactor technologies: gas-cooled fast reactor (GFR), lead-cooled fast reactor (LFR), MSR, supercritical watercooled reactor (SCWR), sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR), and very high temperature reactor (VHTR). In support of the growing interest domestically and internationally, the Materials Protection, Accounting, and Control Technologies (MPACT) campaign, under the DOE-NE Fuel Cycle Technologies (FCT) program, engages in R&D activities by developing advanced instrumentation and analysis for safeguards and security of modern, advanced nuclear fuel cycle (non-LWR) facilities. Because of the historic experience in the operation of the Aircraft Reactor Experiment (ARE) and the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment (MSRE) (Robertson, MSRE Design and Operations Report Part I 1965), Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) is heavily engaged in the various R&D activities through the DOE complex related to MSRs including national technical leadership of the DOE-NE MSR campaign. This report discusses and presents the outcomes of the FY19 MPACT MSR Safeguards task. The challenges presented by MSRs for nuclear material accountancy and control (NMAC) and associated safeguards will be investigated. The objective of this research is to explore and compile the safeguards requirements and identify measurement signatures through an initial high-level MSR design and develop complementary advanced simulation and modeling capabilities. A high-level ORNL-developed MSR design called the Molten Salt Demonstration Reactor (MSDR) (Bettis, Alexander and Watts 1972) was used as the target reactor design for this research. The MSDR model incorporates technology from the MSRE and the Molten Salt Breeder Reactor (Robertson, Conceptual Design of a Single-Fluid Molten-Salt Breeder Reactor 1971). But the MSDR is a 750 MWth graphite moderated liquid fueled (low-enriched uranium) MSR compared to the MSRE’s of 7.5 MWth. The focus of this report is to discuss the evaluation of novel signatures, correlations, and indicators to understand the applicability of current safeguards instrumentation to MSRs using the modeling results from the MSDR.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

2021 Summer SPE Project

SPE is a project in order to develop new, more physics-based, seismic models of explosions (see Nelson et al. 2013). One key component of this effort is numerical modeling enabled by modern state-of-art code/software. Accurate modeling of the shape and amplitude of seismic waves from their generation to their propagation to remote monitoring seismic stations is important to our ability to determine the origin and strength of the source from remote recording. In this project, the modeling is performed by coupling two codes HOSS and SPECFEM3D. HOSS models the dynamic nonlinear processes happening near the explosion. SPECFEM3D computes the propagation of seismic waves as they travel through 3D complex Earth models. SPECFEM3D was modified in order to be driven by a set of time-series calculated by HOSS in lieu of a seismic source. The goal of this summer project is the investigation of several questions pertinent to the establishment of a full end-to-end modeling capability from the high-rate strain regime area to remote distances where seismic station record seismic waves generated by explosions. The investigated questions are: (1) How to perform proper filtering? Direct-solution modeling only sustains a limited range of frequency depending on the grid size. As we go from one modeling domain to the other via coupling, the mesh size is getting coarser to allow modeling at large scale but also to account for the fact that high-frequency waves do not physically travel to large distances. So filtering of the time-series generated by the near-field hydrodynamic modeling is a current practice often employed but its effects on the modeled waveforms has to be investigated. (2) Quantitative assessment of the efficiency of attenuation to remove high-frequency content of the wavefield. This assessment will allow to create meshes with a grid size appropriate to the actual physics of wave propagation for a given explosion. (3) Checking that the coupling process and the two codes respect the cylindrical symmetry that is expected in the case of a pure explosion in a half-space. (4) The effect of the state-of-stress in the near-source area on the modeled seismic waveforms. These questions will be investigated through the modeling of SPE-4P, the fourth explosion of this series because it was designed to have little interaction with the geologic surrounding and the free surface of the Earth so that it is the most explosion-like experiment, with the most symmetries to be verified.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Three dimensional global modeling of atmospheric CO2

The initial attempts to model the atmospheric CO2 distribution, including couplings to the ocean and biosphere as sources and sinks of atmospheric CO2, encourage the notion that this approach will lead to useful quantitative constraints on CO2 fluxes. Realization of this objective will require: (1) continued improvement in the realism of the global transport modeling; (2) extended timeline of atmospheric CO2 monitoring, which improved precision and improved definition of the uncertainties in the measured CO2 amounts; and (3) given an accurate knowledge of model capabilities and limitations and given a good understanding of CO2 observations and their limitations, there is a need for good ideas concerning what quantitative information on the carbon cycle can be inferred from global modeling.

Hanse, J.↗

Plume mechanics and stratocumulus convection

The First ISCCP Regional Experiment (FIRE) marine stratocumulus Intensive Field Observation (IFO) held in July, 1987 produced a data set that is far more comprehensive than data sets from previous stratocumulus experiments. One exciting new development was the use of the 10.6 micron lidar system for cloud-top mapping that was available on the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Electra. This system provided a unique look at the small scales of the turbulence in the clouds, images of the turbulent structures that are quantitatively revealed by conditional sampling (e.g., Khalsa and Greenhut, 1987). The behavior of these updrafts and downdrafts is central to the dynamics of the stratocumulus-topped marine boundary layer. FIRE's objectives of understanding cloud dynamics and how they affect the cloud optical depth - which, in turn, is the crucial factor in determining the clouds' albedo - therefore require the investigation of these drafts. Given here are initial results from a simple model capable of simulating moist, entraining plumes that are subject to water phase changes and radiative heating and cooling. These results correspond, therefore, to the 'dry cloud' case discussed by Lilly and Schubert (1980). The model's simplicity limits the realism of the results - the plumes are assumed not to interact, for example - but the role of radiative processes in influencing the plume dynamics is clear. Also revealed is the role the plumes play is maintaining the cloud-top inversion. The model equations and methodology used, and qualitative results are given.

Hanson, Howard P.↗

The Badhwar-O'Neill 2020 Model

The Badhwar-O'Neill (BON) model has been used for some time to describe the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) environment encountered in deep space by astronauts and sensitive electronics. The most recent version of the model, BON2014, was calibrated to available measurements to reduce model errors for particles and energies of significance to astronaut exposure. Although subsequent studies showed the model to be reasonably accurate for such applications, modifications to the sunspot number (SSN) classification system and a large number of new high precision measurements suggested the need to develop an improved and more capable model. In this work, the BON2020 model is described. The new model relies on daily integral flux from the Advanced Composition Explorer Cosmic Ray Isotope Spectrometer (ACE/CRIS) to describe solar activity. For time periods not covered by ACE/CRIS, the updated international SSN database is used. Parameters in the new model are calibrated to available data, which includes the new Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS-02) and Payload for Antimatter Matter Exploration and Light-nuclei Astrophysics (PAMELA) high-precision measurements. It is found that the BON2020 model is a significant improvement over BON2014. Systematic errors associated with BON2014 have been removed. The average relative error of the BON2020 model compared to all available measurements is found to be <1%, and BON2020 is found to be within ±15% of a large fraction of the available measurements (26,269 of 27,646 → 95%).

Slaba, Tony C.↗