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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 523 records · Page 29
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1979

Application of parametric weight and cost estimating relationships to future transport aircraft

A model comprised of system level weight and cost estimating relationships for transport aircraft is presented. In order to determine the production cost of future aircraft its weight is first estimated based on performance parameters, and then the cost is estimated as a function of weight. For initial evaluation CERs were applied to actual system weights of six aircraft (3 military and 3 commercial) with mean empty weights ranging from 30,000 to 300,000 lb. The resulting cost estimates were compared with actual costs. The average absolute error was only 4.3%. Then the model was applied to five aircraft still in the design phase (Boeing 757, 767 and 777, and BAC HS146-100 and HS146-200). While the estimates for the 757 and 767 are within 2 to 3 percent of their assumed break-even costs, it is recognized that these are very sensitive to the validity of the estimated weights, inflation factor, the amount assumed for nonrecurring costs, etc., and it is suggested that the model may be used in conjunction with other information such as RDT&E cost estimates and market forecasts. The model will help NASA evaluate new technologies and production costs of future aircraft.

Beltramo, M. N.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Statistical estimation of correlation for nonstationary aircraft noise

Based on the acoustic radiation theory for a moving source, the estimation of the correlation function of a nonstationary acoustic signal is considered. An estimator is obtained for the acoustic correlation, which is shown to be unbiased and consistent. The estimation procedure can be applied to an aircraft noise measurement, where the reflected wave can be eliminated.

Chow, P. L.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Synthesis of a large communications aperture using small antennas

In this report we compare the cost of an array of small antennas to that of a single large antenna assuming both the array and single large antenna have equal performance and availability. The single large antenna is taken to be one of the 70-m antennas of the Deep Space Network. The cost of the array is estimated as a function of the array element diameter for three different values of system noise temperature corresponding to three different packaging schemes for the first amplifier. Array elements are taken to be fully steerable paraboloids and their cost estimates were obtained from commercial vendors. Array loss mechanisms and calibration problems are discussed. For array elements in the range 3 - 35 m there is no minimum in the cost versus diameter curve for the three system temperatures that were studied.

Resch, George M.↗
NASA NTRS2002

On the Singularity in the Estimation of the Quaternion-of-Rotation

It has been claimed in the archival literature that the covariance matrix of a Kalman filter, which is designed to estimate the quaternion-of-rotation, is necessarily rank, deficient because the normality constraint of the quaternion produces dependence between the quaternion elements. In reality, though, this phenomenon does not occur. The covariance matrix is not singular, and the filter is well behaved. Several simple examples are presented th at demonstrate the regularity of the covariance matrix. First, a Kalman filter is designed to estimate variables subject to a functional relationship. Then the particular problem of quaternion estimation is analyzed. It is shown that the discrepancy stems from the fact that the functional relationship exists between the elements of the quaternion but not between its estimate elements.

Bar-Itzhack, Itzhack Y.↗
NASA NTRS2013

Global Premature Mortality Due to Anthropogenic Outdoor Air Pollution and the Contribution of Past Climate Change

Increased concentrations of ozone and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) since preindustrial times reflect increased emissions, but also contributions of past climate change. Here we use modeled concentrations from an ensemble of chemistry–climate models to estimate the global burden of anthropogenic outdoor air pollution on present-day premature human mortality, and the component of that burden attributable to past climate change. Using simulated concentrations for 2000 and 1850 and concentration–response functions (CRFs), we estimate that, at present, 470 000 (95% confidence interval, 140 000 to 900 000) premature respiratory deaths are associated globally and annually with anthropogenic ozone, and 2.1 (1.3 to 3.0) million deaths with anthropogenic PM2.5-related cardiopulmonary diseases (93%) and lung cancer (7%). These estimates are smaller than ones from previous studies because we use modeled 1850 air pollution rather than a counterfactual low concentration, and because of different emissions. Uncertainty in CRFs contributes more to overall uncertainty than the spread of model results. Mortality attributed to the effects of past climate change on air quality is considerably smaller than the global burden: 1500 (−20 000 to 27 000) deaths yr (exp -1) due to ozone and 2200 (−350 000 to 140 000) due to PM2.5. The small multi-model means are coincidental, as there are larger ranges of results for individual models, reflected in the large uncertainties, with some models suggesting that past climate change has reduced air pollution mortality.

human health↗
DOE OSTI2025

XRISM spectroscopy on orbital modulation of Fe Ly α lines in Cygnus X-3

To understand physical processes such as mass transfer and binary evolution in X-ray binaries, the orbital parameters of the system are fundamental and crucial information. Cygnus X-3 is a high-mass X-ray binary composed of a compact object of unknown nature and a Wolf–Rayet star, which is of great interest in the context of wind-fed mass accretion and binary evolution. Here we present XRISM/Resolve high-resolution spectroscopy, focusing on the Fe Ly$\alpha$ lines when the source was in its hypersoft state. We perform an orbital phase-resolved spectral analysis of the lines to study the orbital modulation of the emission and absorption lines. It is found that the emission lines reflect the orbital motion of the compact object whose estimated velocity amplitude is $430^{+150}_{-140}$ km s$^{-1}$, while the absorption lines show a variation that can be interpreted as originating from the stellar wind. We discuss possible mass ranges for the binary components using the mass function with the estimated value of the velocity amplitude in this work, combined with the relation between the mass-loss rate and the orbital period derivative and the empirical mass and mass-loss rate relation for Galactic Wolf–Rayet stars. They are constrained to be (1.3–5.1) and (9.3–12) M$_\odot$, respectively, for the assumed inclination angle of $i =25^\circ$, and become more relaxed, (1.3–24) and (9.3–16) M$_\odot$, for $i = 35^\circ$. Thus, it remains unclear whether the system harbors a black hole or a neutron star.

X-rays: binaries↗
DOE OSTI2024

Cost Analysis and Projections for U.S.-Manufactured Automotive Lithium-ion Batteries

This document reports on a study conducted to estimate the cost of U.S-produced automotive battery packs for model years (MY) 2023 to 2035, using Argonne National Laboratory’s BatPaC tool. The costs were estimated by designing batteries for several classes of vehicles for four discrete model years (2023, 2026, 2030, and 2035), where a representative battery technology and material prices are selected based on information available today. Correlations were developed from the four discrete years to enable annual pack cost estimates as a function of pack size (kWh) and model year. A consolidated cost curve was then developed that includes battery size, technology by model year, and the anticipated sales volumes of each class of vehicles over the years. This cost curve estimates the volume-averaged, U.S.-manufactured battery pack cost of PHEVs and BEVs in the United States to be $\$140$/kWh for the model year 2023, which will reduce to $\$86$/kWh in MY2035. Applying tax credits from section 45X of the Inflation Reduction Act can further reduce the average pack cost to as low as $\$56$/kWh in MY2029. The report also includes several sensitivity studies that investigate the effect of pack production volume, material prices, fast charge requirements, and labor rates.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Compressed Natural Gas Component Leak Frequency Estimation

The frequency of unintended releases in a compressed natural gas system is an important aspect of the system quantitative risk assessment. The frequencies for possible release scenarios, along with engineering models, are utilized to quantify the risks for compressed natural gas facilities. This report documents component leakage frequencies representative of compressed natural gas components that were estimated as a function of the normalized leak size. A Bayesian statistical method was used which results in leak frequency distributions for each component which represent variation and uncertainty in the leak frequency. The analysis shows that there is high uncertainty in the estimated leak frequencies due to sparsity in compressed natural gas data. These leak frequencies may still be useful in compressed natural gas system risk assessments, as long as this high uncertainty is acknowledged and considered appropriately.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2021

The Initial Mass Function of Low-mass Stars and Brown Dwarfs in the W3 Complex

We have used archival infrared images obtained with the Wide Field Camera 3 on board the Hubble Space Telescope to constrain the initial mass function of low-mass stars and brown dwarfs in the W3 star-forming region. The images cover 438 arcmin{sup 2}, which encompasses the entire complex, and were taken in the filters F110W, F139M, and F160W. We have estimated extinctions for individual sources in these data from their colors and have dereddened their photometry accordingly. By comparing an area of the images that contains the richest concentration of previously identified W3 members to an area that has few members and is dominated by background stars, we have estimated the luminosity function for members of W3 with masses of 0.03–0.4 M {sub ⊙}. That luminosity function closely resembles data in typical nearby star-forming regions that have much smaller stellar populations than W3 ( ≲ 500 versus several thousand objects). Thus, we do not find evidence of significant variations in the initial mass function of low-mass stars and brown dwarfs with star-forming conditions, which is consistent with recent studies of other distant massive star-forming regions.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
NASA NTRS1999

Recent Improvements in Estimating Convective and Stratiform Rainfall in Amazonia

In this paper we present results from the application of a satellite infrared (IR) technique for estimating rainfall over northern South America. Our main objectives are to examine the diurnal variability of rainfall and to investigate the relative contributions from the convective and stratiform components. We apply the technique of Anagnostou et al (1999). In simple functional form, the estimated rain area A(sub rain) may be expressed as: A(sub rain) = f(A(sub mode),T(sub mode)), where T(sub mode) is the mode temperature of a cloud defined by 253 K, and A(sub mode) is the area encompassed by T(sub mode). The technique was trained by a regression between coincident microwave estimates from the Goddard Profiling (GPROF) algorithm (Kummerow et al, 1996) applied to SSM/I data and GOES IR (11 microns) observations. The apportionment of the rainfall into convective and stratiform components is based on the microwave technique described by Anagnostou and Kummerow (1997). The convective area from this technique was regressed against an IR structure parameter (the Convective Index) defined by Anagnostou et al (1999). Finally, rainrates are assigned to the Am.de proportional to (253-temperature), with different rates for the convective and stratiform

Negri, Andrew J.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Estimating the Acute Health Impacts of Fire-Originated PM 2.5 Exposure During the 2017 California Wildfires: Sensitivity to Choices of Inputs

Exposure to wildfire smoke increases the risk of respiratory and cardiovascular hospital admissions. Health impact assessments, used to inform decision-making processes, characterize the health impacts of environmental exposures by combining preexisting epidemiological concentration–response functions (CRFs) with estimates of exposure. These two key inputs influence the magnitude and uncertainty of the health impacts estimated, but for wildfire-related impact assessments the extent of their impact is largely unknown. We first estimated the number of respiratory, cardiovascular, and asthma hospital admissions attributable to fire-originated PM 2.5 exposure in central California during the October 2017 wildfires, using Monte Carlo simulations to quantify uncertainty with respect to the exposure and epidemiological inputs. We next conducted sensitivity analyses, comparing four estimates of fire-originated PM 2.5 and two CRFs, wildfire and nonwildfire specific, to understand their impact on the estimation of excess admissions and sources of uncertainty. We estimate the fires accounted for an excess 240 (95% CI: 114, 404) respiratory, 68 (95% CI: -10, 159) cardiovascular, and 45 (95% CI: 18, 81) asthma hospital admissions, with 56% of admissions occurring in the Bay Area. Although differences between impact assessment methods are not statistically significant, the admissions estimates' magnitude is particularly sensitive to the CRF specified while the uncertainty is most sensitive to estimates of fire-originated PM 2.5 . Not accounting for the exposure surface's uncertainty leads to an underestimation of the uncertainty of the health impacts estimated. Employing context-specific CRFs and using accurate exposure estimates that combine multiple data sets generates more certain estimates of the acute health impacts of wildfires.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Formation energy puzzle in intermetallic alloys: Random phase approximation fails to predict accurate formation energies

We performed density functional calculations to estimate the formation energies of intermetallic alloys. We used two semilocal approximations, the generalized gradient approximation (GGA) by Perdew-Burke- Ernzerhof (PBE) and the strongly constrained and appropriately normed (SCAN) meta-GGA. In addition, we utilized two nonlocal DFT functionals, the hybrid HSE06, and the state-of-the-art random phase approximation (RPA). The nonlocal functionals such as HSE06 and RPA yield accurate formation energies of binary alloys with completely-filled d-band metals, where semilocal functionals underperform. The accuracy at the nonlocal functionals is greatly reduced when a partially-filled d-band metal is present in an alloy, while PBE-GGA outperforms in these cases. We show that the accurate prediction of formation energies by any DFT method depends on its ability to predict the accurate electronic properties, e.g., valence d-band contribution to the density of states (DOS). The SCAN meta-GGA often corrects the PBE-DOS, however, it does not provide accurate formation energies compared to PBE. This is assumed to be due to the lack of proper error cancellation that should be expected due to the similar bulk nature of both alloys and their constituents, which may improve with the modification of meta-GGA ingredients. RPA yields too negative formation energies of alloys with partially-filled d-band metals. RPA results can be corrected by restoring the exchange-correlation kernel, thereby improving the short-range electron-electron correlation in metallic densities.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
NASA NTRS1997

Studying Room Acoustics using a Monopole-Dipole Microphone Array

The use of a soundfield microphone for examining the directional nature of a room impulse response was reported recently. By cross-correlating monopole and co-located dipole microphone signals aligned with left-right, up-down, and front-back axes, a sense of signal direction of arrival is revealed. The current study is concerned with the array's ability to detect individual reflections and directions of arrival, as a function of the cross-correlation window duration. If is window is too long, weak reflections are overlooked; if too short, spurious detections result. Guidelines are presented for setting the window width according to perceptual criteria. Formulas are presented describing the accuracy with which direction of arrival can be estimated as a function of room specifics and measurement noise. The direction of arrival of early reflections is more accurately determined than that of later reflections which are quieter and more numerous. The transition from a fairly directional sound field at the beginning of the room impulse response to a uni-directional diffuse field is examined. Finally, it is shown that measurements from additional dipole orientations can significantly improve the ability to detect reflections and estimate their directions of arrival.

Begault, Durand R.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Simple and accurate estimation of metal, semiconductor, and insulator work functions

Work-function Φ measures the work needed for an electron to escape a solid. For simple metals, it is almost exclusively the result of the surface dipole created by spill-out of electrons from bulk into the vacuum as shown in the seminal work by Lang and Kohn [Phys. Rev. B 3, 1215 (1971)] using a jellium model. Despite a half century of intense efforts, however, such understanding has not been extended past metals. Here we present a universal model for Φ which contains a previously unrecognized bulk contribution Φ I [Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 196802 (2018)]. By incorporating Φ I into the jellium model, we find that it dictates the dipole due to charge spill out and provides a description which applies to a wide range of materials, ranging from metals, semiconductors, to insulators.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
NASA NTRS2010

Empirical Method to Estimate Hydrogen Embrittlement of Metals as a Function of Hydrogen Gas Pressure at Constant Temperature

High pressure Hydrogen (H) gas has been known to have a deleterious effect on the mechanical properties of certain metals, particularly, the notched tensile strength, fracture toughness and ductility. The ratio of these properties in Hydrogen as compared to Helium or Air is called the Hydrogen Environment Embrittlement (HEE) Index, which is a useful method to classify the severity of H embrittlement and to aid in the material screening and selection for safety usage H gas environment. A comprehensive world-wide database compilation, in the past 50 years, has shown that the HEE index is mostly collected at two conveniently high H pressure points of 5 ksi and 10 ksi near room temperature. Since H embrittlement is directly related to pressure, the lack of HEE index at other pressure points has posed a technical problem for the designers to select appropriate materials at a specific H pressure for various applications in aerospace, alternate and renewable energy sectors for an emerging hydrogen economy. Based on the Power-Law mathematical relationship, an empirical method to accurately predict the HEE index, as a function of H pressure at constant temperature, is presented with a brief review on Sievert's law for gas-metal absorption.

Lee, Jonathan A.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Estimation of Preferred Work Envelope from Simulated Functional Tasks in a Spacesuit

Spacesuits allow humans to function in an incredibly harsh environment. However, they introduce some restrictions to human capabilities. In general, crewmembers in a spacesuit have a restricted maximal reach envelope, reduced field of view, and reduced tactility. When tasks and interfaces are being designed, they need to take into account the restrictions associated with working in an Extravehicular Activity (EVA) suit.

Benson, Elizabeth↗