Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Data Extrapolation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 523 records · Page 29

The Role of Dislocations in the Anelasticity of the Upper Mantle

Dislocation‐based dissipation mechanisms potentially control the viscoelastic response of Earth's upper mantle across a variety of geodynamic contexts, including glacial isostatic adjustment, postseismic creep, and seismic‐wave attenuation. However, there is no consensus on which dislocation‐based, microphysical process controls the viscoelastic behavior of the upper mantle. Although both intergranular (plastic anisotropy) and intragranular (backstress) mechanisms have been proposed, there is currently insufficient laboratory data to discriminate between those mechanisms. Here, we present the results of forced‐oscillation experiments in a deformation‐DIA apparatus at confining pressures of 3–7 GPa and temperatures of 298–1370 K. Our experiments tested the viscoelastic response of polycrystalline olivine—the main constituent of the upper mantle—at stress amplitudes from 70 to 2,800 MPa. Mechanical data are complemented by microstructural analyses of grain size, crystallographic preferred orientation, and dislocation density. We observe amplitude‐ and frequency‐dependent attenuation and modulus relaxation and find that numerical solutions of the backstress model match our results well. Therefore, we argue that interactions among dislocations, rather than intergranular processes (e.g., plastic anisotropy or grain boundary sliding), control the viscoelastic behavior of polycrystalline olivine in our experiments. In addition, we present a linearized version of the constitutive equations of the backstress model and extrapolate it to conditions typical of seismic‐wave propagation in the upper mantle. Our extrapolation demonstrates that the backstress model can explain the magnitude of seismic‐wave attenuation in the upper mantle, although some modification is required to explain the weak frequency dependence of attenuation observed in nature and in previous experimental work.

Hein, Diede [Univ. of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN (↗

New proton emitter 188 At implies an interaction unprecedented in heavy nuclei

We report the discovery of a new atomic nucleus 188 At, which is the heaviest proton-emitting isotope known to date. The new activity was observed through the 107 Ag( 84 Sr, 3n) 188 At fusion-evaporation reaction using the focal-plane spectrometer of the gas-filled recoil separator in the Accelerator Laboratory of the University of Jyväskylä, Finland. To fully interpret the experimental data, we have expanded the non-adiabatic quasiparticle model to treat nuclei in the beyond-lead region. The description reproduced the measured decay rate and pointed towards emission from an extremely prolate-deformed state with a dominant s 1/2 proton component in the wave function. The Thomas-Ehrman shift can be enhanced in low angular momentum states, but such effects have not been observed in heavy nuclei. The single-proton separation energy of 188 At deviates from that extrapolated from the systematics, which can be interpreted as the first evidence of this effect in heavy nuclei.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Magnetic Breakdown and Topology in the Kagome Superconductor CsV 3 Sb 5 under High Magnetic Field

The recently discovered layered kagome metals of composition AV 3 Sb 5 (A = K, Rb, Cs) exhibit a complex interplay among superconductivity, charge density wave order, topologically nontrivial electronic band structure and geometrical frustration. Here, we probe the electronic band structure underlying these exotic correlated electronic states in CsV 3 Sb 5 with quantum oscillation measurements in pulsed fields up to 86 T. The high-field data reveal a sequence of magnetic breakdown orbits that allows the construction of a model for the folded Fermi surface of CsV 3 Sb 5 . The dominant features are large triangular Fermi surface sheets that cover almost half the folded Brillouin zone. These sheets have not yet been detected in angle resolved photoemission spectroscopy and display pronounced nesting. In conclusion, the Berry phases of the electron orbits have been deduced from Landau level fan diagrams near the quantum limit without the need for extrapolations, thereby unambiguously establishing the nontrivial topological character of several electron bands in this kagome lattice superconductor.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Evidence of an oxidation induced phase transformation for a delta phase plutonium-gallium alloy

The oxidation of an ~1.5 at% Ga plutonium metal alloy in dry air as a function of time was studied using a combination of FIB-SEM, AES, and XRD. Analysis of SEM images of FIB cross-sections of the oxide allowed for direct measurement of the oxide thickness as well as determination of heterogeneity in the extent of the oxide. AES analysis performed on cross-sections of the oxide allowed for quantitative analysis of the atomic composition and semi-quantitative analysis of the chemical composition. Initial preparation of the sample was found to induce a martensitic transformation to α' - Pu with an average thickness of 233 nm. Electropolishing was found to be sufficient to fully remove the α' layer with creation of only a minimum oxide layer. Growth of the oxide in dry air was found to initially follow parabolic kinetics, with a parabolic rate constant orders of magnitude higher than expected for δ-Pu but in-line with values extrapolated to room temperature for α-Pu. Following complete oxidation of the initial α` layer, further regions of plutonium metal depleted in gallium were observed to form at the oxide / metal interface. However, gallium, as Ga 2 O 3 , was found to be enriched at the surface and present in the oxide in an amount comparable to the relative Ga:Pu ratio of the bulk metal alloy. Finally, the results presented here serve to bridge a diverse array of previous experimental and theoretical data and provide the first comprehensive view of the fate of the δ-stabilizer during formation of an oxide.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Linking transportation agent-based model ($\mathrm{ABM}$) outputs with micro-urban social types ($\mathrm{MUSTs}$) via typology transfer for improved community relevance

The human relationship with transportation is shaped by social, economic, demographic, and urban form variables, or socio-spatial factors. The spatial dynamics of these are key to generating and interpreting outputs of transportation models that are most relevant for a community and the diverse mobility needs of its members. Here we present a typology transfer framework, grounded in socio-spatial dynamics shaping people's mobility, to take transportation-themed regional mobility model outcomes, in this case from two agent-based models (ABMs), and extrapolate them to other cities, with less time and resource intensity than new ABM development. The typology transfer process first identifies micro-urban social types (MUSTs) using socio-spatial factors, then defines city types based on spatial patterns of MUSTs to assess across which cities transfer results are likely to best hold. Lastly, a typology transfer multiplier matrix extrapolates a given variable, in our case the Mobility Energy Productivity (MEP) metric, to another city. The full process demonstration uses ABM results from Chicago (POLARIS model) and San Francisco (BEAM model), applying them to New York City. We discuss how MEP or other outputs can be appropriately estimated and used for integrated, human-centered mobility analysis. Key findings include that this MUST framework of user-defined dependent and independent variables allows tailoring ABM results and interpretations to specific community needs and data availability. Findings clarify that positive outcomes can be targeted towards user groups, based on sociospatial characteristics, using a typology approach, such as inclusive access to mobility choices, transportation affordability, and greater efficiency in resource use.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Reducing Uncertainty in Offshore Wind Energy Yield Estimates via a Metocean Reference Site

The offshore wind industry is burgeoning in the coastal waters of the United States, specifically along the Atlantic. For wind energy to be successful, reliable observations and model simulations are needed for resource assessment and forecasting. While many of these activities have already begun, there is currently an absence of observations at hub-height in these waters, with the closest available hub-height measurements usually taken onshore. Deployment of floating lidars has occurred through various federally funded projects, but only encapsulates time periods of a couple of years at best. Private industry is also beginning to leverage floating lidars, but this data is often proprietary, and not shared with the general public. In this work, we make the case for a metocean reference site for long-term offshore wind energy. Specifically, we quantify the impact of having a metocean reference site compared to other methods of determining hub-height winds and energy production. We use an offshore floating lidar to directly measure the wind resource, and compare these measurements to predictions derived from other widely-available surface meteorological variables. These prediction methods (vertical extrapolation, machine learning, and NWP output) produce a variety of vertical wind speed profiles, of which produce different energy yield estimates for a reference offshore turbine (Figure 1). While some methods perform reasonably well against the lidar, the uncertainty in these energy yield estimates has financial implications, further illustrating the need for long-term measurements in coastal waters.

machine learning↗

Parametric matrix models

We present a general class of machine learning algorithms called parametric matrix models. In contrast with most existing machine learning models that imitate the biology of neurons, parametric matrix models use matrix equations that emulate physical systems. Similar to how physics problems are usually solved, parametric matrix models learn the governing equations that lead to the desired outputs. Parametric matrix models can be efficiently trained from empirical data, and the equations may use algebraic, differential, or integral relations. While originally designed for scientific computing, we prove that parametric matrix models are universal function approximators that can be applied to general machine learning problems. After introducing the underlying theory, we apply parametric matrix models to a series of different challenges that show their performance for a wide range of problems. For all the challenges tested here, parametric matrix models produce accurate results within an efficient and interpretable computational framework that allows for input feature extrapolation.

Computational science↗

Machine Learning‐Guided Discovery of High‐Entropy Perovskite Oxide Electrocatalysts via Oxygen Vacancy Engineering

Abstract High‐entropy perovskite oxides (HEPOs) have recently emerged as multifunctional catalysts. However, the HEPOs’ structural and compositional complexity hinders the easy and accurate extrapolation of activity indicators, which are essential for establishing structure‐property correlations. Here, OxiGraphX, is introduced as a novel graph neural network (GNN) model designed to capture the complex relationships among structure, composition, and atomic chemical environments for accurate prediction of oxygen vacancy formation energies (OVFEs) in HEPOs. By integrating machine learning (ML), density functional theory (DFT), and experimental validation, this work demonstrates an efficient framework for rapidly and accurately screening HEPO electrocatalysts for oxygen evolution reaction (OER). The OxiGraphX predicts OVFEs with a precision exceeding existing data, enabling the identification of compositions of higher oxygen vacancy content (OVC) and, thus, higher catalytic activity. Furthermore, the model explores latent spaces that translate effectively into experimental domains, bridging computational predictions with real‐world applications. This approach accelerates the discovery of high‐performance HEPO catalysts while providing deeper insights into their catalytic mechanisms.

Chemistry↗

Model-Free Probabilistic Forecasting of Nodal Voltages in Distribution Systems

As the penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) into distribution systems increases, so does the interest in forecasting relevant system variables to help mitigate the associated challenges. One such challenge is the more frequent occurrence of excessive voltages in distribution systems with higher shares of DERs. Accurate and reliable estimates together with forecasts of system states (i.e., nodal voltages) will therefore play a key role in improving the utilization of these variable and uncertain sources while mitigating potential operational risks. Whilst recent literature has explored machine learning (ML) methods for voltage estimation and their extrapolation for a short-time period into the future, few have taken uncertainty quantification into account, and these methods have not yet been translated into operations. This paper discusses the advantages offered by probabilistic voltage forecasts and proposes a non-parametric Bayesian method suitable for forecasting nodal voltages at short-term time horizons while accounting for uncertainties in load and distributed photovoltaic (PV) generation. We demonstrate the value of the proposed Gaussian process (GP) model for a case study using historical forecasts and observation data.

distribution system↗

Validation of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 for Steady-State Single-Phase Natural Circulation

The development of numerical software for engineering applications requires the validation of the code against experimental benchmark datasets. To support the validation of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 in simulating the single-phase natural circulation within nuclear reactor systems, high-precision steady-state experiments are performed to capture single-phase natural circulation phenomena on an existing scaled facility with comprehensive instrumentation. Forced convection tests are designed precisely capturing the facility’s critical thermal-hydraulic parameters required for one-dimensional modeling, and a comprehensive single-phase natural circulation dataset is obtained with well-documented experimental uncertainty and facility description. Analysis and discussion based on the finalized dataset confirm the dataset’s ability in capturing dominant phenomena and address important physical interpretation of parameters. The dataset reported in this project provides a valuable benchmark resource for the validation of system analysis codes under single-phase natural circulation inside nuclear reactors. Validation of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 is then performed against the obtained benchmark dataset to confirm the capability of its physics model in simulating the steady-state single-phase natural circulation. The experimental facility is modeled in the candidate code. Solution verification is performed using Richardson-extrapolation-based estimators to quantify and restrict numerical errors from discretization. Numerical uncertainty originating from finite maximum pseudo-transient time is also quantified and restricted. Input uncertainty provided by the benchmark dataset is forward propagated through the candidate code, directly quantifying the simulation output in a Monte Carlo approach. The composition of the output uncertainty is further determined by the estimators of Sobol’ indices through a variance-based sensitivity analysis. With uncertainty quantified for each individual condition, detailed comparison between the simulation results and experimental data is performed covering the whole dataset, which shows consistent agreement for all important quantities. The validation activity reported in this project demonstrates that SAS4A/SASSYS-1 can predict the primary parameters with satisfactorily accuracy under steady-state single-phase natural circulation.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Sound Velocities in Vanadium Reveal Complex Elastic Behavior at High Pressures

Compressional (VP) and shear (VS) wave velocities of polycrystalline vanadium were measured simultaneously up to 11.5 GPa at room temperature using ultrasonic interferometry in a multi-anvil press. Complex softening behavior in VS and resulting shear moduli are discovered, possibly revealing a precursor to the reported phase transition within 30–60 GPa. The current data enables a comprehensive assessment of the elastic and mechanical properties of vanadium at high pressures, including bulk and shear moduli, Young’s modulus, Poisson’s ratio, and Pugh’s ratio. Through fitting to the 3rd-order finite strain equations, the elastic moduli and their pressure derivatives were determined to be K S0 = 151 (2) GPa, G 0 = 46.9 (8) GPa, K$^{’}_{S0}$ = 3.47 (5), and G$^{’}_{0}$ = 0.62 (1). These experimental results allow us to compare with and benchmark the existing Steinberg–Guinan models for extrapolations to extreme pressure and temperature conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Constraints on the Emission of Gamma-Rays from M31 with HAWC

Cosmic rays, along with stellar radiation and magnetic fields, are known to make up a significant fraction of the energy density of galaxies such as the Milky Way. When cosmic rays interact in the interstellar medium, they produce gamma-ray emission which provides an important indication of how the cosmic rays propagate. Gamma rays from the Andromeda Galaxy (M31), located 785 kpc away, provide a unique opportunity to study cosmic-ray acceleration and diffusion in a galaxy with a structure and evolution very similar to the Milky Way. Using 33 months of data from the High Altitude Water Cherenkov Observatory, we search for TeV gamma rays from the galactic plane of M31. We also investigate past and present evidence of galactic activity in M31 by searching for Fermi Bubble-like structures above and below the galactic nucleus. No significant gamma-ray emission is observed, so we use the null result to compute upper limits on the energy density of cosmic rays $>10$ TeV in M31. In conclusion, the computed upper limits are approximately ten times higher than expected from the extrapolation of the Fermi LAT results.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Gaining Real-Time Water Leak Detection

Devens Reserve Forces Training Area is a United States Army Reserve (USAR) Installation that struggles with severe water leaks, often causing significant damage to the facility and requiring major renovation. Traditional water use is highly dependent on occupancy, so it can be difficult to benchmark a facility’s water use. It can be exceptionally difficult when occupancy is transient and/or varies. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) collaborated with Devens to implement real-time monitoring of their water consumption by utilizing the smart meter data from their existing 23 water meters. PNNL created a simple algorithm to calculate hourly water consumption and trigger an alert to be instantly emailed to Devens’ personnel when there appears to be a water leak in any building with a smart water meter. Here, this approach is expected to save hundreds of thousands of dollars in unnecessary water consumption costs and damages from leaks and was implemented with little-to-no costs or service disruptions. Next steps for this project include slow leak detection through nighttime monitoring and to extrapolate this water leak approach to the remainder 360 water meters on USAR’s Enterprise Building Control System so USAR sites across the country can be instantly notified of potential water leaks.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Local electric field measurement in GaN diodes by exciton Franz–Keldysh photocurrent spectroscopy

The eXciton Franz–Keldysh (XFK) effect is observed in GaN p–n junction diodes via the spectral variation of photocurrent responsivity data that redshift and broaden with increasing reverse bias. Photocurrent spectra are quantitatively fit over a broad photon energy range to an XFK model using only a single fit parameter that determines the line shape and the local bias (V l ), uniquely determining the local electric field maximum and depletion widths. As expected, the spectrally determined values of V l vary linearly with the applied bias (V) and reveal a large reduction in the local electric field due to electrostatic non-uniformity. The built-in bias (V bi ) is estimated by extrapolating V l at V=0, which, when compared with independent C-V measurements, indicates an overall ±0.31 V accuracy of V l . This demonstrates sub-bandgap photocurrent spectroscopy as a local probe of electric field in wide bandgap diodes that can be used to map out regions of device breakdown (hot spots) for improving electrostatic design of high-voltage devices.

42 ENGINEERING↗

GLUE Code: A framework handling communication and interfaces between scales

Many scientific applications are inherently multiscale in nature. Such complex physical phenomena often require simultaneous execution and coordination of simulations spanning multiple time and length scales. This is possible by combining expensive small-scale simulations (such as molecular dynamics simulations) with larger scale simulations (such continuum limit/hydro solvers) to allow for considerably larger systems using task and data parallelism. However, the granularity of the tasks can be very large and often leads to load imbalance. Traditionally, we use approximations to streamline the computation of the more costly interactions and this introduces trade-offs between simulation cost and accuracy. In recent years, the available computational power and the advances in machine learning have made computing these scale-bridging interactions and multiscale simulations more feasible. One driving application has been plasma modeling in inertial confinement fusion (ICF), which is fundamentally multiscale in nature. This requires deep understanding of how to extrapolate microscopic information into macroscopically relevant scales. For example, in ICF one needs an accurate understanding of the connection between experimental observables and the underlying microphysics. The properties of the larger scales are often affected by the microscale behavior incorporated usually into the equations of state and ionic and electronic transport coefficients (Liboff, 1959; Rinderknecht et al., 2014; Rosenberg et al., 2015; Ross et al., 2017). Instead of incorporating this information using reliable molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, one often needs to use theoretical models, due to the inability of MD to reach engineering scales (Glosli et al., 2007; Marinak et al., 1998). One approach to resolve this issue is by coupling two MD simulations of different scales via force interpolation, e.g., the AdResS method (Krekeler et al., 2018; Nagarajan et al., 2013). Another approach, which we will pursue in the scope of this work, is by enabling scale bridging between MD simulations and meso/macro-scale models through the development and support of application programming interfaces that these different applications can interact through.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Subcritical Californium Source Drive Noise Analysis Measurements With Unreflected Uranium (93.15) Hydride

On July 6, 1989, subcritical californium source-driven noise analysis (CSDNA) measurements were performed with bare uranium hydride cylindrical assemblies at the Los Alamos National Laboratory Critical Experiments Facility in KIVA 1. Three configurations of ~7.5 cm radius-enriched (93.15 wt. % 235 U) uranium hydride with a density of ~10 g/cm 3 cylinders were assembled with uranium hydride heights of ~11, ~14, and ~16 cm. The uranium hydride (~2 and ~3 cm high) was in thin-welded stainless steel cans. The neutron multiplication factors obtained on-line from the measured ratios of spectral densities were 0.942 ± 0.002, 0.917 ± 0.003, and 0.867 ± 0.004 for uranium hydride heights of ~16, ~14, and ~11 cm., respectively. Neutron multiplication factors for these three configurations calculated by Los Alamos National Laboratory Monte Carlo methods were 0.952 ± 0.005, 0.922 ± 0.005, and 0.860 ± 0.005, all of which are in good agreement with the measurements. The break frequency noise analysis data could be fitted to obtain the prompt neutron decay constant at all subcritical states. Some data presented in this report are from notes that are not in the logbooks. A discussion of the two different point kinetics theories of the measurements that illustrated the deficiencies of the rigorous theory at low neutron multiplication factors (k eff < 0.80) is given in an Appendix. These measurements may be the only configuration of unreflected, highly enriched uranium hydride configuration assembled. The presence of hydrogen diluted the uranium density, decreasing the reactivity, but this is offset by slowing down the neutron energy to the energy ranges of higher-fission cross sections. Extrapolations to delayed critical indicate that adding one more 3 cm can and one more 2 cm can would result in the unreflected cylindrical system being slightly above critical with a critical mass of ~37 kg, which is considerably less than the critical mass of an unreflected and unmoderated highly enriched uranium metal sphere. An unreflected, highly enriched uranium hydride sphere would have a critical mass less than 37 kg.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Sound velocities and thermal equation of state of fcc -iron-nickel alloys at high pressure and high temperature: Implications for the cores of Moon and several planets

Fcc-Fe-Ni alloy is believed to be the most dominant solid constitute of moderate-sized terrestrial planetary cores. Investigating the physical properties, especially the density and sound velocity of Fe-Ni alloys and comparing them with seismic observations is an indispensable approach to constructing compositional models for planetary interiors. In this study, we conducted sound velocity measurements on Fe-Ni alloys with 10 wt.% and 20 wt.% Ni up to ∼13.5 GPa and 1073 K, using the ultrasonic interferometry technique in a multi-anvil apparatus in conjunction with synchrotron radiation. By fitting the experimental data to finite strain equations, the bulk and shear moduli and their pressure and temperature derivatives are derived, yielding K S0 =145.8(14) GPa, G 0 = 73.2(7) GPa, K S0 ’ = 5.89(24), G 0 ’ = 2.89(8), (∂K S /∂T) P = -0.0181(12) GPa/K and (∂G/∂T) P = -0.0393(10) GPa/K for fcc-Fe 80 Ni 20 . An examination of the density-velocity relationship shows that compressional wave velocity is insensitive to temperature within the current pressure and temperature range, while shear wave velocity exhibits a large reduction with increasing temperature. Here, extrapolation of the sound velocities following the finite strain theories suggests that much slower Vs should be expected at pressure and temperature conditions corresponding to those of the lunar core. Possible core density and velocity profiles for other moderate planets and satellites, such as Mars, Mercury, and Ganymede are also calculated.

Equation of state↗

Nuclear-matter saturation and symmetry energy within Δ -full chiral effective field theory

Nuclear saturation and the symmetry energy are key properties of low-energy nuclear physics that depend on fine details of the nuclear interaction. The equation of state around saturation is also an important anchor for extrapolations to higher densities and studies of neutron stars. Here we develop a unified statistical framework that uses realistic nuclear forces to link the theoretical modeling of finite nuclei and infinite nuclear matter. We construct fast and accurate emulators for nuclear-matter observables and employ an iterative history-matching approach to explore and reduce the enormous parameter domain of Δ -full chiral interactions. We perform rigorous uncertainty quantification and find that model calibration including O 16 observables gives saturation predictions that are more precise than those that only use few-body data. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗