2021 Standard Scenarios Report: A U.S. Electric Sector Outlook
This presentation provides a summary of the 2021 Standard Scenarios report. It was presented in a public webinar on December 15, 2021.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “Advanced Energy Systems”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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ARIES 2021
This report highlights research projects and new capabilities in 2021 related to the Advanced Research on Integrated Energy Systems (ARIES) platform.
cybersecurity↗
EVI-Equity
EVI-Equity (Electric Vehicle Infrastructure for Equity) is a $200k project, started around in June of 2021, with a funding from the Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO). The motivation was to create a new analytical capability that can enable us to quantify and investigate equitable access to and distribution of existing and future deployment of PEVs and EVSEs in neighborhoods, cities, states, and the nation. EVI-Equity is a bottom-up equity-focused analysis model, built upon individual (synthetic) households, aggregated by census block groups. It consists of four core components - community engagement, environmental profiling, household expenditures, and network design. Although there are some commonalities, EVI-Equity is not a vehicle choice model, charging simulation model, or transportation demand model. EVI-Equity is rather a cross-cutting analysis tool, dedicated for evaluating equitable EV adoption and EVSE deployment, encompassing and bridging a wide variety of related tools, models, and frameworks. Some of the results indicate the importance of used vehicle market for low-income households. The presentation also highlights similarities and variations as to preferred public charging locations. For example, regardless of household income, retail spots are the most preferred location for public charging, followed by curbside/street. However, the results also imply that the importance of workplace charging may vary with income - the lower the income, the less important. Environmental profiling results, with an example of ground-level ozone in Atlanta area, show that the contrast between the haves and the have nots of plug-in electric vehicles depends on location. The assessment of household expenditures illustrates the economic impact of home charging access on an individual household level - the lower the income, the greater the impact is. Lastly, Denver metro area and the state of South Dakota are used to showcase the impact of different network design of charging infrastructure, as well as alternative (vs. baseline/existing) electric vehicle adoption pattern.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
Grid-Interactive Electric Vehicle and Building Coordination Using Coupled Distributed Control: Preprint
As an increasing number of controllable devices are introduced onto the grid, they can individually provide ancillary services in support of grid stability. However, the goals of each device differ due to their type and individual objectives, causing instances where they may conflict. To reduce the chances of these devices contributing to grid instability, these devices must effectively communicate in a cooperative manner to both meet their own needs while providing services to the grid. Previous work demonstrates that the NALD (Network Lasso-ADMM - Limited Communication - DMPC) algorithm allows coordination between two subsystems that use different control algorithms (building and charging stations) to provide services to the grid and individually optimize their performance in a specific scenario. The ideal NALD algorithm should be generalized to allow plug-and-play capabilities across devices of differing characteristics. This paper takes a step toward generalizability by updating the electric vehicle charging objective and re-defining the communication scheme compared to prior work to generalize the coordination and, as a result, improve the performance of the NALD algorithm.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY CONSERVATION, C↗
Data Resources to Empower Your Fleet
This presentation is on how data collection and analytics can shape fleet electrification plans and help to overcome behavioral barriers.
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Impact of Open Communication Networks on Load Frequency Control with Plug-in Electric Vehicles by Cyber-Physical Dynamic Co-Simulation: Preprint
With the increasing electrification of the transportation sector, vehicle to grid (V2G) control technologies are promising to improving system frequency stability. However, these control technologies might require non-traditional communication supports. This paper investigates the impacts of electric vehicles (EVs) V2G on power system frequency regulation considering communication variations through transmission-distribution-communication (TDC) dynamic simulation. The simulation model is built based on our previously developed open-source transmission-and-distribution (T&D) dynamic co-simulation framework. Here, we add the communication variation functions (i.e. delay and packet loss) to complete the TDC simulation framework. In the case studies, practical communication variation scenarios are considered when the system experiencing an N-1 generation trip contingency. The considered scenarios include communication delay and packet loss using both homogeneous and heterogeneous assumptions. The delay and packet loss rate are the same in all communication channels in the homogeneous case but varies in the heterogeneous case. The results show the communication delay has an obvious impact on the frequency recovery compared to the communication packet drop. The impacts of the standard deviations of communication delay time and packet drop rate are not significant. The outcomes of this work can help improve the EV frequency regulation services and provide robust and effect supports to the grid.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
Demographic Microsimulator for Integrated Urban Systems: Adapting Panel Survey of Income Dynamics to Capture the Continuum of Life
Agent-based models (ABMs) simulate activity and travel decisions at the disaggregate level of households, and individuals. To do this, ABMs require detailed information pertaining to socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of individuals. Various synthetic population generators (SPGs) have been proposed to address this need. However, most of the SPGs currently in practice are cross-sectional in nature, and do not account for the interrelationships among household's or individual's life progression. This is a major shortcoming of SPGs as literature has shown that transportation decisions are impacted by lifecycle events that unfold over a span of time. While some demographic evolution simulators have been proposed to address this shortcoming, they: i) are developed using cross-sectional data, ii) do not capture the full spectrum of lifecycle events and their interdependency. Overcoming these drawbacks, this paper proposes a Demographic Microsimulator (DEMOS) which captures the 'continuum of life' by accounting for a range of household-, and individual-level lifecycle events. DEMOS is developed using the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics, which is one of the world's longest running longitudinal surveys. DEMOS sub-models consider key lifecycle events which are influenced by a host of demographic variables. The whole framework is applied to evolve the population of San Francisco Bay Area over a 9-year horizon. Results indicate that the household and individual evolution are tightly connected, and that the structural framework (i.e., model sequencing) is a key element in capturing the population trend accurately.
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Fort Erie Case Study - Transition from Fixed-Route to On-Demand Transit
Rural and smaller-sized communities in North America face unique mobility challenges due to their low population density, lower public transit spending per capita compared to major cities, and a high reliance on private vehicles. In recent years, communities such as Fort Erie, Ontario, have restructured or advanced their public transit systems using on-demand services. Fort Erie is a relatively sparsely populated region of 32,901 residents, spread across a land area of 166 square kilometers (64 square miles), for an average population density of 193 residents per square kilometer (500 per square mile). In October 2021, the town implemented a mobility-on-demand system integrated with smartphone software to replace its fixed-route community bus system, which consisted of four buses with three routes, each with a roughly 1-hour, one-way loop. The new service utilizes a fleet of six minivans, two of which are retrofitted with wheelchair-accessible ramps. The system may require that a passenger requesting a standard van walk up to 400 meters (a quarter mile) to their pickup location to optimize vehicle routing while providing origin-to-destination service. The on-demand system proved effective in providing service, eclipsing pre-pandemic ridership by 40%, decreasing greenhouse gas emissions per ride by 63%, and decreasing the cost to the town per ride by 29%. This report documents both the previous system and the new system in terms of routes, ridership, costs, fuel, and other notable system parameters. This work is part of an ongoing series of case studies on providing small communities with on-demand, right-sized vehicle service coupled with a smartphone application.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
I Know I'm Right, But Does My Phone?
Transportation is the largest source of green-house gas emissions in the United States. Reducing transportation emissions depends on human travel behavior, which relies on local land use and planning. Travel diaries, consisting of sequences of trips between places for a particular individual, are typically used to instrument human travel behavior. However, these diaries are only as accurate as the underlying methods used to construct them. Travel diary algorithms have been a popular research topic since the advent of GPS tracking surveys. Mode inference algorithms in particular have been well represented in literature. However, these algorithms have typically been validated using prompted recall of pre-segmented trips, which doesn't account for segmentation error, thus disregarding the continuity of mode inference. Furthermore, phone operating systems and applications have adopted battery-conserving techniques, but we are not aware of prior work that has characterized the resulting data collection errors or evaluated procedures to mitigate them. We introduce a framework to evaluate accuracy of trip length computations and mode inference. We develop a temporal alignment procedure in analyzing continuous mode-segmented trajectories for groups of trips. We then apply our framework to evaluate an example set of travel diary algorithms from the open-source OpenPATH travel diary platform against MobilityNet, a public dataset containing information from three artificial timelines that cover 15 different travel modes. Our results show that inference based on an integration with map features results in weighted F_1 scores of 0.60 (iOS) and 0.74 (android). We also show that OpenPATH tends to under count trip length, with mean of signed relative error of -0.0438 on android and -0.0704 on iOS. We hope that other travel diary algorithms will be evaluated using this standardized process, and that the results used to understand and improve the state-of-the-art in this field.
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Label Assist: Personalized Travel Models for Longitudinal Data Collection
Understanding travel behavior is crucial to transportation decarbonization. OpenPATH is an open-source mobility platform which collects and analyzes human travel behavior at the individual level. The mobile application passively senses trips and prompts users to label them. However, users find the labeling process burdensome; less than half the trips are typically labeled, making much of the data unusable in aggregate analyses of mobility patterns. Prior work has addressed the response fatigue challenge through automated mode inference using sensor data, but sensors cannot capture all aspects of travel behavior. We explore an alternative approach in which we leverage prior user input to predict travel choices in novel trips. We first explore trip clustering methods and develop a novel two-step pipeline using DBSCAN and SVMs to extract realistic geospatial clusters. We then propose two strategies to predict trip labels: (i) clustering trips and extrapolating labels for similar trips, and (ii) random forest classification. The random forest approach is able to achieve - $70-80% accuracy (purpose: 72%, mode: 79%, replaced mode: 81%). These novel approaches to trip classification allow us to increase the rate of user labeling by suggesting predicted labels to be verified by the user. Unlabeled trips can also contribute to aggregate analyses, using label predictions and their associated confidences as a substitute. While there exist other travel survey apps with the ability to infer travel choices, to our knowledge, this is the first paper to describe such a supervised system and rigorously evaluate it.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
Connecting Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure to Commercial Buildings
Electric vehicles (EVs) are growing in popularity and gaining meaningful market share with record sales year over year in the last decade. EV charging equipment, also known as EV chargers (EVC) or EV supply equipment (EVSE), must proportionally match the growing number of new EVs on the road for a comparable experience to gas-powered vehicles. The majority of EV charging currently happens at residential buildings. However, demand for EV charging at commercial buildings will significantly increase with wider mainstream EV adoption and as businesses return to more normal operation following COVID-19 pandemic disruptions. Charging equipment can include various sub-systems like power conditioning module, control software, safety devices, metering, communication, cooling, connectors, and its wiring. EV charging at commercial buildings could be used for public, workplace, and commercial fleet charging. This document aims to describe how EVC can be connected to commercial buildings, including considerations for facility managers, and the effects that charging will have on the buildings electrical distribution system. More specifically, this resource provides an overview of: understanding EV charging basics: how charging equipment connects to the building and to EVs; required infrastructure updates needed at the building site to connect EVC to existing distribution systems; network strategies for cost-effective operation; metering and utility considerations for billing and incentives; charging equipment ownership options; future trends in EVC connection to buildings.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY CONSERVATION, C↗
Electric Transportation and Distribution Infrastructure: A Heavy-Duty Vehicle Deep Dive
This presentation is a deep dive into charging behavior and grid impacts of short-haul electric Class 8 semi trucks.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
Understanding and Modeling Complex Travel Behaviors (Focus on Impacts of the Pandemic)
This presentation outlines the impacts of the pandemic on passenger as well as freight movement, and poses key research questions and data gaps for studying the short-, and long-term impacts of the pandemic on aspects such as telework, long-distance travel, and re-envisioned urban spaces.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
Progress Update from the EV Charging Working Group (#982)
The EV charging working group (#982) was formed in summer 2022 to define the equip, points, relationships, and operational data related to Level 1-2 (AC) and Level 3 (DC) Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment (EVSE). Last year, the working group developed formal EVSE-related equipment definitions, where were merged into the Project Haystack documentation in November 2022. More recently the group has also been working to expand and improve Haystack definitions related to electrical equipment and circuits. This initiative is important both for EV charging related applications and to improve Project Haystack's appeal to other industry verticals such as data centers, commercial building electrification, and more. In this presentation we will share the working group's motivation, progress, and near-term objectives.
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A Summary of EVs@Scale Consortium
This presentation is an overview of the EVs @ Scale Consortium, planned R&D activities, and stakeholder engagement efforts.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
MC Formula Protocol for H35HF Fueling
A publicly available and verified high-flow fueling protocol for H35 medium-duty (MD) and heavy-duty (HD) hydrogen-powered buses and trucks does not exist. This could lead to transit agencies needing to select suppliers for purchase of new fleet vehicles, and to multiple providers responding with incompatible vehicle designs in the future. With the expansion of MD/HD vehicles using 35 MPa storage, there will be a need for publicly accessible H35HF stations, and these will require the use of a standardized prescriptive fueling protocol. The development of a fully tested and validated H35 high-flow (H35HF) MC Formula fueling protocol for MD and HD buses and trucks can provide guidelines to design H35 stations and vehicles, enable other manufacturers and vehicle original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to enter this space, and ultimately accelerate to popularize the hydrogen market.
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Transit and Underserved Communities
The objective of this breakout session at NREL's Envisioning Tomorrow's Sustainable Mobility Systems Workshop was to examine emerging transit solutions to better benefit underserved communities and increase mobility resilience.
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Electric Vehicle Managed Charging: Estimating the Potential Bulk Power System Value
With more and more electric vehicles (EVs) on the road, the grid of the future can greatly benefit from EV managed charging, which coordinates charging based on people's travel needs, electricity supply, and grid conditions. The added flexibility could be especially valuable for the bulk power system as it transitions to high shares of variable renewable generation, like wind and solar. Numerous studies have estimated the potential value of EV managed charging. In this study, NREL leveraged more detailed modeling of EV adoption, use, charging, and bulk power system operations to understand the potential value. Unique to this study, NREL modeled different charging flexibility types and dispatch mechanisms - as well as participation rates among drivers in having their EV charging managed - starting from vehicle-specific descriptions of charging flexibility. The study is based on a passenger light-duty vehicle adoption scenario with 100% EV sales by 2035 and a New England power system in 2038 with 84% clean generation and 26% of the electric load met by net imports. The 2038 New England light-duty vehicle feet is modeled as 45% electric.
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