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RAPID Manufacturing Institute Final Report

The Rapid Advancement of Process Intensification Deployment (RAPID) Manufacturing Institute, founded in 2017, is a public/private partnership between the U.S. Department of Energy and the American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE). RAPID promotes the development, deployment and commercialization of Process Intensification (PI) and Modular Chemical Process Intensification (MCPI) technologies, enabling U.S. manufacturing to reduce energy consumption, improve process efficiencies and lower investment and operating costs. This mission was carried out through parallel work breakdown structure elements including the establishment of committees to guide the operations and technical direction of RAPID, the establishment of management practices and institute processes, education and workforce development (EWD), and six technical focus areas for the development of technologies to advance PI and MCPI. Throughout the initial six-year cooperative agreement, RAPID worked to meet performance metrics which focused on the operation and sustainment of the institute, education and workforce development and the development of PI and MCPI for the advancement of U.S. manufacturing. All these metrics were successfully met through a total of 43 projects which leveraged $\$$70M Federal with $\$$90M cost share. As a result of these efforts, 84 private and public organizations were brought together by RAPID as members to co-invest in R&D, commercialization and deployment of innovative technologies. In the research portfolio, 82% of the 38 projects achieved > 20% energy efficiency improvement. A RAPID Test Network was developed with 51 testbed facilities to enable access to resources, facilities, tools, and expertise. Eight EWD programs were also developed with over 13,000 impressions. RAPID’s efforts to research, develop, demonstrate, and deploy high-impact PI and modular process technology solutions have enabled reduced energy use, increased sustainability, and improved profitability for U.S. manufacturing.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Quantifying leaf symptoms of sorghum charcoal rot in images of field‐grown plants using deep neural networks

Abstract Charcoal rot of sorghum (CRS) is a significant disease affecting sorghum crops, with limited genetic resistance available. The causative agent, Macrophomina phaseolina (Tassi) Goid, is a highly destructive fungal pathogen that targets over 500 plant species globally, including essential staple crops. Utilizing field image data for precise detection and quantification of CRS could greatly assist in the prompt identification and management of affected fields and thereby reduce yield losses. The objective of this work was to implement various machine learning algorithms to evaluate their ability to accurately detect and quantify CRS in red‐green‐blue images of sorghum plants exhibiting symptoms of infection. EfficientNet‐B3 and a fully convolutional network emerged as the top‐performing models for image classification and segmentation tasks, respectively. Among the classification models evaluated, EfficientNet‐B3 demonstrated superior performance, achieving an accuracy of 86.97%, a recall rate of 0.71, and an F1 score of 0.73. Of the segmentation models tested, FCN proved to be the most effective, exhibiting a validation accuracy of 97.76%, a recall rate of 0.68, and an F1 score of 0.66. As the size of the image patches increased, both models’ validation scores increased linearly, and their inference time decreased exponentially. This trend could be attributed to larger patches containing more information, improving model performance, and fewer patches reducing the computational load, thus decreasing inference time. The models, in addition to being immediately useful for breeders and growers of sorghum, advance the domain of automated plant phenotyping and may serve as a foundation for drone‐based or other automated field phenotyping efforts. Additionally, the models presented herein can be accessed through a web‐based application where users can easily analyze their own images.

Gonzalez, Emmanuel M.↗

Predicting Low Toxicity and Scalable Solvent Systems for High–Speed Roll–to–Roll Perovskite Manufacturing

Printed lead-based perovskite photovoltaics (PV) have gained interest due to their potential to be manufactured with scalable roll-to-roll techniques. In industrial scale-up, toxicity of inks can constrain roll-to-roll manufacturing due to the added cost of managing toxic effluents. Due to solvent toxicity, few perovskite solution chemistries in published works are scalable to gigawatt production capacity at low cost. Herein, it is shown that for scalable PV production, the use of aprotic polar solvents should be avoided due to their overall toxicity. Compliance with worldwide worker safety regulations for solvent exposure limits could require additional air handling requirements for some solvents, which in turn would affect cost-effectiveness. It is shown that costs associated with handling of hazardous substances can be significant and estimate an added cost of ¢3.7/W for dimethylformamide (DMF)-based inks. To solve this problem, a new perovskite ink solvent system is developed that is composed entirely of ether and alcohol, which has an effective exposure limit 14× higher than DMF, making it suitable for industrial coating processes. Here, it is shown that the new ink solvent system is capable of fabricating high-efficiency perovskite solar cells processed in 1 min on a standard roll-to-roll system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dynamic risk assessment for geologic CO 2 sequestration

At a geologic CO 2 sequestration (GCS) site, geologic uncertainty usually leads to large uncertainty in the predictions of properties that influence metrics for leakage risk assessment, such as CO 2 saturations and pressures in potentially leaky wellbores, CO 2 /brine leakage rates, and leakage consequences such as changes in drinking water quality in groundwater aquifers. The large uncertainty in these risk-related system properties and risk metrics can lead to over-conservative risk management decisions to ensure safe operations of GCS sites. The objective of this work is to develop a novel approach based on dynamic risk assessment to effectively reduce the uncertainty in the predicted risk-related system properties and risk metrics. We demonstrate our framework for dynamic risk assessment on two case studies: a 3D synthetic example and a synthetic field example based on the Rock Springs Uplift (RSU) storage site in Wyoming, USA. Results show that the U.S. National Risk Assessment Partnership’s Open Source Integrated Assessment Model (NRAP-Open-IAM) coupled with a conformance evaluation can be used to effectively quantify and reduce the uncertainty in the predictions of risk-related system properties and risk metrics in GCS.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Ultrasonic nondestructive diagnosis of lithium-ion batteries with multiple frequencies

Accurately estimating the state of charge (SoC) in battery management systems (BMSs) requires the measurement of numerous parameters and advanced algorithms. This work studies multifrequency ultrasonic waves to estimate the SoC of Li-ion batteries by sensing the material changes during charge/discharge. A pouch-type LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC622) graphite battery cell is designed and fabricated with a capacity of 2.4 Ah. Different ultrasonic testing setups are explored to determine the optimal testing parameters for the battery. An ultrasonic monitoring system is developed to monitor the battery during charge/discharge at 750 kHz, 1 MHz, and 1.5 MHz. Signal processing algorithms are proposed for extracting three ultrasonic features—amplitude, wave velocity, and attenuation. In a three-cycle test, the amplitude histories do not show clear correlations with the SoC. The wave velocities of all three frequencies have an approximately linear relationship with the SoC, which can be used for SoC estimation. Hysteresis behavior is observed for the wave velocity in terms of a larger slope in the discharge process and velocity drop after a close charge/discharge cycle. The wave attenuation is able to capture the material phase transitions during charge/discharge.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Strategy for Ultranarrow Light Down-Conversion for Displays Based on Bicolor-Emitting 2D Colloidal Heterostructures

The demand for ultranarrow spectral emission below 10 nm is critical for next-generation displays. Although current colloidal nanocrystals are successful in light down-conversion applications, they fall short in matching the stringent color purity requirements set by standards like Rec. 2020. Achieving such narrow linewidths through material engineering alone remains elusive, necessitating innovative light management strategies that avoid optical losses and maintain device efficiency. Here, in this work, we present a novel 2D colloidal heterostructure design, combining a CdSe core nanoplatelet, a CdS crown, and a CdZnS shell, to achieve bright bicolor emission in the solid state (green/red) emission with tunable intensity ratios controlled by excitation power (either optical or electrical). Integration of these nanoplatelets into a dielectric cavity further narrows the emission linewidth to sub-2 nm while enhancing the photoluminescence intensity by up to 200 times, meeting the Rec. 2020 color purity targets. This approach paves the way for a strategy avoiding complex laser-based solutions.

2D nanocrystals↗

Cyclic Injection Leads to Larger and More Frequent Induced Earthquakes under Volume-Controlled Conditions

As carbon storage technologies advance globally, methods to understand and mitigate induced earthquakes become increasingly important. Although the physical processes that relate increased subsurface pore pressure changes to induced earthquakes have long been known, reliable methods to forecast and control induced seismic sequences remain elusive. Suggested reservoir engineering scenarios for mitigating induced earthquakes typically involve modulation of the injection rate. Some operators have implemented periodic shutdowns (i.e., effective cycling of injection rates) to allow reservoir pressures to equilibrate (e.g., Paradox Valley) or shut-in wells after the occurrence of an event of concern (e.g., Basel, Switzerland). Other proposed scenarios include altering injection rates, actively managing pressures through coproduction of fluids, and preinjection brine extraction. Here, in this work, we use 3D physics-based earthquake simulations to understand the effects of different injection scenarios on induced earthquake rates, maximum event magnitudes, and postinjection seismicity. For comparability, the modeled injection considers the same cumulative volume over the project’s operational life but varies the schedule and rates of fluid injected. Simulation results show that cyclic injection leads to more frequent and larger events than constant injection. Furthermore, with intermittent injection scenario, a significant number of events are shown to occur during pauses in injection, and the seismicity rate remains elevated for longer into the postinjection phase compared to the constant injection scenario.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Deep Learning–Assisted Multiobjective Optimization of Geological CO 2 Storage Performance under Geomechanical Risks

In geological CO 2 storage, designing the optimal well control strategy for CO 2 injection to maximize CO 2 storage while minimizing the associated geomechanical risks is not trivial. This challenge arises due to pressure buildup, CO 2 plume migration, the highly nonlinear nature of geomechanical responses to rock-fluid interaction, and the high computational cost associated with coupled flow and geomechanics simulations. In this paper, we introduce a novel optimization framework to address these challenges. The optimization problem is formulated as follows: maximize total CO 2 storage while minimizing geomechanical risks by adjusting the injection schedules within bounded constraints. The geomechanical risks are primarily driven by injection-induced pressure build-up, which is characterized by ground displacement and the induced microseismicity. We used the Fourier neural operator (FNO)-based deep learning model to construct surrogate models, replacing the time-consuming coupled flow and geomechanics simulations for evaluating the aforementioned objective functions. The developed surrogate models have been incorporated into a multiobjective optimization framework through a genetic algorithm to reduce the computational burden. The proposed optimization framework reduces the computational cost from approximately 2,400 hours, when using objective function evaluations based on physics-based simulations, to around 20 minutes. A set of Pareto-optimal solutions of the proposed workflow yields nontrivial optimal decisions, reducing the microseismicity potential and the vertical displacement. This Pareto front highlights the optimal trade-offs between CO 2 storage amount, safety, and ground displacement, emphasizing the need for careful optimization and management of injection strategies to achieve a balanced outcome. The novelty of this work is twofold. First, we demonstrate the importance of incorporating the minimization of the geomechanical risks as objective functions into the CO 2 storage optimization workflow to mitigate the potential risk of induced microseismicity and ground displacement. Second, we leverage the FNO-based surrogate models to optimize a real-field CO 2 storage operation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Programmatic Equipment Procurement: An Improved System for Coordinating the Procurement of New Programmatic Equipment

A better structured system that outlines the communication required between the Project Manager (PM) and all the Key Stakeholders. This system will help the PM work with the SMEs to define the scope of the equipment to be procured. It will also help the PM confirm that all associated key stakeholders (WCI IT, FPOC, etc.) have been contacted and have reviewed the new equipment being proposed to be procured. This step is crucial in order to confirm that the piece of equipment being procured not only meets the SME requirements but also the security, safety and building requirements on site. This is a step that is currently missed or overlooked and can cause delays in procurement after the piece of equipment has already been decided on. This new system should help mitigate any delays or miscommunication regarding the piece of equipment being procured.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

NH 4 OH Looping with Membrane CO 2 Absorber and Distributed Stripper for Enhanced Algae Growth

The University of Kentucky Center for Applied Energy (UK CAER) has devised a unique, integrated CO2 capture and utilization technology. CO2 from coal-fired power generation flue gas is first captured at half the operating cost of a typical aqueous CO2 capture system (CCS), distributed in an aqueous stream and then fixed by algae in bioreactors where the algae production is increased by 50% over that with a typical intermittent nutrient feeding system. Lower CCS operating cost is achieved by eliminating the flue gas pretreatment step for cooling and SO2 removal, eliminating steam extraction from the power generation steam cycle for solvent regeneration, and eliminating CO2 compression. Higher algae production is achieved by continuous, just-in-time nutrient feed to the bioreactors directly from a distributed solvent regenerator, which maintains the bioreactor pH for optimum growth. The process starts with a uniquely configured membrane absorber, where the flue gas is indirectly contacted with an ammonium hydroxide (NH4OH) solvent. Dissolved NH3 is attractive for both CO2 capture and as an algae nutrient. For CO2 capture it is inexpensive, has a low regeneration energy, is thermally- and oxidatively-stable and has a viscosity near that of water, which makes is easy to transport. Numerous studies have shown that the scrubbing capacity of NH3 is approximately 0.9-1.2 kg of CO2/kg of NH3, with a CO2 removal efficiency of ~99% and half the solvent regeneration energy than that of 30 wt% MEA[1, 2, 3]. NH3 is attractive as an algae nutrient due to its low cost. The rich NH4OH solvent is pumped to a set of distributed regenerators which are co-located with the algae bioreactors. Solvent pumping, transport and distribution reduces the balance of plant (BOP) cost compared to a typical aqueous CCS related to the flue gas duct and boost fan required to transport the flue gas. The energy required for the distributed solvent regeneration is supplied by solar-thermal panels eliminating the need for steam extraction from the power generation steam cycle. After solvent regeneration, the product stream contains both the CO2 captured from the flue gas and volatized NH3 from the solvent. This product stream is fed directly to the bioreactors, eliminating the need for compression of the CO2 stream. The relative amounts of CO2 and NH3 in the product stream are adjusted and controlled by a controlling the regeneration conditions (pressure and temperature). The continuous feed of the right ratio of nutrients overcomes the typical inhibition of algae growth resulting from frequent pH swings in the bioreactor due to unbalanced (intermittent) feeding systems for CO2 and N. Also, because the regenerators will operate at pressure and be located in close proximity to the bioreactors, there is no worry about pressure drop when sparging the gas into the algae. Sparging produces small bubbles which is beneficial for mass transfer efficiency. One known challenge when using an NH4OH solvent is high NH3 emission. Hydrophobic membranes are used for CO2 capture using an aqueous NH3 solution[4, 5] without the direct contact between flue gas and aqueous solution. Additionally, UK CAER CO2 capture and utilization process manages NH3 slip in three extra measures. First, NH3 slip is minimized by working with minimal species partial pressure, which is proportional to the concentration in the liquid. Hence, lowering the capture solvent concentration will lower the NH3 partial pressure. Second, UK CAER’s previous work has demonstrated that the addition of Zn2+ into NH3 solutions to chelate the NH3 can reduce NH3 volatility. Third, the configuration of the membrane CO2 absorber utilizes condensed water from the flue gas to continually wash the gas-side of the membrane to reduce fouling and recapture NH3 slip. Additional details about the UK CAER unique, integrated CO2 capture and utilization technology will be presented along with technology development plans. Diao, N., Q. Li, and Z. Fang. 2004. Heat transfer in ground heat exchangers with groundwater advection. International Journal of Thermal Sciences. 43: 1203-1211, He, Q., M. Chen, L. Meng, K. Liu, and W. Pan. 2004. Study on Carbon Dioxide Removal from Flue Gas by Absorption of Aqueous Ammonia. Western Kentucky University. Yeh, A.C., and H. Bai. 1999. Comparison of ammonia and monoethanolamine solvents to reduce CO2 greenhouse gas emissions. The Science of the Total Environment. 228: 121-133, Villeneuve, K., D. Roizard, J.C. Remigy, M. Iacono, and S. Rode. 2018. CO2 capture by aqueous ammonia with hollow fiber membrane contactors: Gas phase reactions and performance stability. Separation and Purification Technology, 199: 189-197, Toro Molina, C., and C. Bouallou. 2016. Carbon dioxide absorption by ammonia intensified with membrane contactors. Clean Techn Environ Policy 18, 2133–2146 (2016)

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Sandia Academic Alliance Program Collaboration Report: 2020-2021 Accomplishments

University partnerships play an essential role in sustaining Sandia’s vitality as a national laboratory. The SAA is an element of Sandia’s broader University Partnerships program, which facilitates recruiting and research collaborations with dozens of universities annually. The SAA program has two three-year goals. SAA aims to realize a step increase in hiring results, by growing the total annual inexperienced hires from each out-of-state SAA university. SAA also strives to establish and sustain strategic research partnerships by establishing several federally sponsored collaborations and multi-institutional consortiums in science & technology (S&T) priorities such as autonomy, advanced computing, hypersonics, quantum information science, and data science. The SAA program facilitates access to talent, ideas, and Research & Development facilities through strong university partnerships. Earlier this year, the SAA program and campus executives hosted John Myers, Sandia’s former Senior Director of Human Resources (HR) and Communications, and senior-level staff at Georgia Tech, U of Illinois, Purdue, UNM, and UT Austin. These campus visits provided an opportunity to share the history of the partnerships from the university leadership, tours of research facilities, and discussions of ongoing technical work and potential recruiting opportunities. These visits also provided valuable feedback to HR management that will help Sandia realize a step increase in hiring from SAA schools. The 2020-2021 Collaboration Report is a compilation of accomplishments in 2020 and 2021 from SAA and Sandia’s valued SAA university partners.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

LLNS Request for Permanent Variance from 10 CFR 851 for Construction

Lawrence Livermore National Security, LLC (LLNS) requests variance from 10 CFR 851 (the Rule) for construction work at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). The request is based upon successful application of similar variances granted to LLNS in continued support of the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) initiative to streamline the delivery of line-item construction projects under $50 million. This request is aligned with the approved NA 50 safety approach. Experience gained in the construction of the new LLNL Emergency Operations Center (EOC) under the variance granted in June 2020 and construction preparations to date on the Digital Infrastructure Capabilities Expansion (DICE) under the variance granted April 2022 is very encouraging. There are strong indicators that a benefit has been realized by both the subcontractors executing the work and the Laboratory. The variance has permitted local/regional construction businesses contracted to Management & Operation Contractor operated facilities and lower tier subcontractors to bid, operate, execute, and comply with safety and health standards they utilize in their business outside of the Department of Energy (DOE) Complex. While compliance to standards that are as safe and healthful as those in 10 CFR 851: confusion, additional cost, and inefficiencies associated with the burden of compliance to an unfamiliar regulatory spectrum has been avoided. Safety and health performance on the construction project including the number of inspection and surveillance issues is comparable to other subcontractors and projects at LLNL executed under 10 CFR 851. This variance application was prepared according to the requirements in 10 CFR 851, Subpart D – Variances, § 851.31 Variance Process. This request is limited to subcontractor executed construction at LLNL.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Gas Hydrate Film Growth in Microfluidic Channels for Carbon Dioxide Capture and Sequestration Applications

Gas or clathrate hydrates are a solid, crystalline compound composed of water and guest molecules that typically form at high pressure and low temperature conditions. Carbon dioxide (CO2) hydrates may be involved in several carbon dioxide capture and sequestration (CCS) applications, including CO2 pipeline transportation and CO2 offshore sequestration. Within these applications, the formation mechanism and kinetics must be well understood to manage the CCS processes, either by preventing or promoting hydrate formation. In this work, a high-pressure glass microfluidic reactor is used in tandem with visual microscopy and in-situ Raman spectroscopy to study both the morphological and kinetic behavior of gas hydrate crystals. Subcooling, pressure, and CO2 flow rate are investigated for their impact on the thickening behavior of pure CO2 hydrates, with flow rate being the only parameter to have a significant effect. Visual and Raman spectroscopy evidence show that both a dense hydrate layer and a porous hydrate layer form, and the latter may provide a path for mass transfer to continue hydrate crystallization. A first principles mass transfer model is developed to describe CO2 hydrate crystal thickening at the interface between gas and water. The impacts of gas impurities and channel wettability are also studied. This method is further applied to investigate the conversion of methane hydrate to CO2 hydrate for combined energy recovery and methane hydrate formation. The authors acknowledge the US Department of Energy Basic Energy Science award # DE-SC0022162.

Wadsworth, Lindsey [Colorado School of Mines, Gold↗

Analysis of NuCycle® Process Waste Streams and Identification of Candidate Waste Forms (CRADA 719) Abstract

The objective of this project is to support collaboration between PNNL and Curio to address technical gaps in the immobilization of waste streams generated by the NuCycle® process, thereby improving the overall viability of the technology. This work will be carried out in two phases, described below. Phase 1 – Waste Management Study The first phase consists of a comprehensive waste management study focused on the waste streams produced during the NuCycle® process, including those containing long lived fission products (LLFPs, e.g., I 129) and transuranic elements (TRUs). This phase involves compiling waste compositions and characteristics based on recently completed NuCycle® testing and modeling efforts. Established waste forms and processing methods will be identified for streams where they are applicable.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Locality-Aware Scheduling for Scalable Heterogeneous Environments

Heterogeneous computing promise boost performance of scientific applications by allowing massively parallel execution of computational tasks. However, manually managing extremely heterogeneous, multi-device systems is complicated and may result in sub-optimal performance. Specifically, data management is an extremely challenging problem on multi-device systems. In this work, we introduce two locality-aware schedulers for the Minos Computing Library (MCL), an asynchronous, task-based programming model and runtime for extremely heterogeneous systems. The first scheduler implements a pure locality-aware algorithm to maximize data reuse, though it might incur in ”hot-spots” that limit system utilization. The second scheduler mitigates this drawback by dynamically targeting between locality-awareness and system utilization based on the current workload and available computing devices. Our results show that locality-awareness greatly benefit applications that exhibit data reuse, providing up to 6.9x and 7.9x over the original MCL scheduler and equivalent OpenCL implementations, respectively. Moreover, our schedulers introduce negligible overhead compared with the original MCL scheduler and achieve similar performance for applications that don’t benefit from data locality.

Architecture, co-design, Task-based programming mo↗

DuraMAT (Durable Module Materials Consortium) Annual Report FY 2020

The Durable Module Materials Consortium (DuraMAT) launched in November 2016 with five years of funding as part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Energy Materials Network. DuraMAT is a multilab consortium, led by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia), with SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory (SLAC) and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) as core research labs. DuraMAT’s overarching goal is to discover, develop, de-risk, and enable the rapid commercialization of improved materials, designs, predictive tests, and models for PV modules that increase performance, extend lifetime, and enable new applications. We work in partnership with our 15-member Industry Advisory Board and the technical management team in DOE’s Solar Energy Technologies Office. This document describes DuraMAT activities in FY20.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

DuraMAT FY 2022 Annual Report: Towards Predicting Lifetime

The Durable Module Materials Consortium (DuraMAT) launched in November 2016 with five years of funding from the U.S. Department of Energy s (DOE's) Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO). The program renewed in 2022 for an additional 6 years. DuraMAT is a multi-lab consortium led by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, with Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) as core research labs. DuraMAT's overarching goal is to accelerate a sustainable, just, and equitable transition to zero-carbon electricity generation by 2035. We work in partnership with our 22-member industry advisory board and the technical management team at SETO. DuraMAT transitioned from our first five-year program into a new six-year program in 2022. It was a very busy year; DuraMAT wrapped up projects from DuraMAT 1 and kicked off new laboratory-led projects for DuraMAT 2. This transition brings new goals and a renewed focus on accelerating the energy transition by improving photovoltaic (PV) module reliability.

accelerated stress testing↗

Circular Economy for Photovoltaics in Service of Energy Transition

The challenge of energy transition is immediate and immense; current projections target 75 TW of photovoltaics (PV) capacity by 2050. While any transition to renewable energy technology is preferable to the current fossil-based system, it is ideal to improve the sustainability of PV to minimize negative environmental and social impacts. Circular economy (CE) has been proposed as a method to improve the sustainability of PV, especially for emerging materials like perovskites. CE is a set of actions, principles, and systems which aim to design out waste and keep products and materials in use, to reduce environmental impacts and enable sustainable development. At the most basic level, CE is "reduce, reuse, recycle", the R-actions, in ranked order. CE of a PV technology can be metricized in a variety of ways, such as the Material Circularity Indicator (Smith and Jones, Ellen MacArthur Foundation, 2019) or recycling rates. Unfortunately, standard CE metrics have several shortcomings for measuring renewable energy technologies in the context of deployment for energy transition (Figge 2018, Saidani 2019): 1) Only measure mass flows; 2) De-prioritization of the use phase in favor of mass circularity when scoring; and 3) Tight focus on a single product scale The use phase and energy flows of PV are key to energy transition, and therefore need to be quantified. Additionally, correlating product-scale to system-scale is necessary for quantifying the environmental impacts of energy transition. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) can address some of these concerns, but also focuses on a single product scale and has trouble capturing the dynamics of system-scale energy transition, such as the interaction of module lifetime with manufacturing demands for energy transition deployment schedules. Therefore, we developed an open-source Python-based system dynamics model to quantify the mass, energy and carbon impacts of CE R-actions for PV technologies in the energy transition; PV in the CE (PV ICE) (Ovaitt & Mirletz 2021). The tool captures supply chains from material extraction through end of life, incorporating 5 circular end of life pathways. PV ICE takes in any evolving bill of materials, module properties and deployment schedule to support researchers and decision makers with data-backed insights. In this work, we quantify and compare proposed CE sustainable PV module designs and lifecycle management strategies, spanning currently commercialized technologies, government and industry technology targets, and several low Technology Readiness Level (TRL) emerging PV technologies, including perovskites. Our analyses capture the projected evolutions of lifetime, efficiency and material circularity of these PV technologies, as well as their material supply chains. Our analyses emphasize the importance of examining a suite of metrics to identify priorities and tradeoffs, and inform design or lifecycle management decisions holistically. Previous analyses have demonstrated the central importance of PV module lifetime to support energy transition while minimizing impacts. High levels of material circularity (>90%) enable minimizing lifecycle wastes, can reduce virgin material demands if paired with improving efficiency, but demonstrate tradeoffs in energy return on investment. In the fervor of new material and technology development, it is important to remember that CE is not the end goal; decarbonization and energy transition are the end goal. CE should be used in service to improve the sustainability of PV, and R-actions evaluated for their usefulness and efficacy to this end.

carbon↗