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At least 505 records · Page 28

Toward Hybrid Physics-Machine Learning to improve Land Surface Model predictions

A critical challenge for Land Surface Models (LSMs) is to simulate processes at the surface and the subsurface and their feedbacks to the atmosphere. Even using the same climate forcings, different LSMs predict different surface fluxes and soil moisture conditions due to differences in the formulations of individual processes, parameterizations, and representation of spatial heterogeneity. Ultimately, these differences contribute to the LSM prediction errors and uncertainty. This research seeks to address this challenge by coupling physics-based modeling with state-of-the-art machine learning (ML) techniques to describe complex physical and biogeochemical processes and narrow the gap between model predictions and observations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

LDRD 22A1059-068FP Tailoring the Properties of Multi-Phase Materials Through the Use of Correlative Microscopy and Machine Learning - Poster

High strength alloys with good ductility, hardness, and toughness are needed to meet stringent design requirements for extreme environments. One complication in this pursuit is the evidence that metals rarely exhibit both high strength and good fracture toughness as the underlying mechanisms work in opposition. An exception to this behavior is found in multiphase alloys that form complex microstructures of mixed phases with variable grain sizes and shapes that provide increased fracture toughness by the arrangement of their constituent elements. We propose to explore this phenomenon using state-of-the-art machine learning (ML) techniques in a new and novel manner to identify and correlate the critical microstructural features in a Titanium-10Vanadium-2Iron-3Aluminum (Ti-10V-2Fe-3Al) alloy that is reported to exhibit high strength and fracture toughness. Additionally, we will employ multiple, complementary characterization techniques such as optical microscopy, electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD), energy dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) and scanning electron microscopy to provide multi-layer, quantitative ground truth measures of the microstructures. This data will be used to train a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) in a semi-supervised environment to identify key microstructural features such as ? platelet dimensions and locations and ?/? phase boundaries and correlate those features with the strength and toughness. Here the ? and ? nomenclature refers to hexagonal close pack (hcp) and body center cubic (bcc) crystal structures, respectively. Previous work has focused on popular alloys and typically used one characterization technique. This research is focused on a promising titanium alloy, uses multiple complimentary characterization tools to provide precise microstructural information and correlates to improved fracture toughness. The resulting ML tool can be trained for additional microstructural features, different alloy(s), and or target mechanical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Scalable Computation of Topological Abstractions for Scalar Data

Topological data analysis has become an important tool for large scale scalar data analysis and visualization, efficiently extracting the inherent structure and features of interest of the data. However, with growing dataset sizes and complexity, it is increasingly becoming infeasible to compute topological abstractions of interest in serial and on single machines. This paper presents the state of the art in the scalable computation of topological abstractions on scalar data, in shared memory parallel on single machines, and in distributed memory parallel on multiple machines. We highlight results for set‐based, graph‐based and complex‐based abstractions and organize the state of the art based on this taxonomy. The paper identifies parallelization and distribution techniques common in topological algorithms and highlights further areas of interest with underdeveloped efforts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Experience with dynamic resource provisioning of the CMS online cluster using a cloud overlay

The primary goal of the online cluster of the Compact Muon Solenoid (CMS) experiment at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is to build event data from the detector and to select interesting collisions in the High Level Trigger (HLT) farm for offline storage. With more than 1500 nodes and a capacity of about 850 kHEPSpecInt06, the HLT machines represent similar computing capacity of all the CMS Tier1 Grid sites together. Moreover, it is currently connected to the CERN IT datacenter via a dedicated 160 Gbps network connection and hence can access the remote EOS based storage with a high bandwidth. In the last few years, a cloud overlay based on OpenStack has been commissioned to use these resources for the WLCG when they are not needed for data taking. This online cloud facility was designed for parasitic use of the HLT, which must never interfere with its primary function as part of the DAQ system. It also allows to abstract from the different types of machines and their underlying segmented networks. During the LHC technical stop periods, the HLT cloud is set to its static mode of operation where it acts like other grid facilities. The online cloud was also extended to make dynamic use of resources during periods between LHC fills. These periods are a-priori unscheduled and of undetermined length, typically of several hours, once or more a day. For that, it dynamically follows LHC beam states and hibernates Virtual Machines (VM) accordingly. Finally, this work presents the design and implementation of a mechanism to dynamically ramp up VMs when the DAQ load on the HLT reduces towards the end of the fill.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Ubiquitous Traffic Volume Estimation through Machine Learning Procedure

High-quality traffic volume data is critical for transportation planning, operations, and travel-energy calculations. However, vehicle count data from roadside sensors is very sparse owing to high capital cost of installing, and on-going maintenance of electronic sensor equipment. This research effort aims to bring to market a first of its kind traffic volume data product that provides accurate estimates of traffic volumes across the entire road network for all times (24x7) and all locations (100% coverage). This product greatly improves the coverage and quality of traffic volume information by combining commercial probe traffic data with traditional traffic measurement using state-of-the-art machine learning. Commercial probe traffic data are derived from vehicles that self-report their position and speed as well as crowd sourced data from smartphone applications.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Forecasting influenza-like illness dynamics for military populations using neural networks and social media

This work is the first to take advantage of recurrent neural networks to predict influenza-like-illness (ILI) dynamics from various linguistic signals extracted from social media data. Unlike other approaches that rely on timeseries analysis of historical ILI data [1, 2] and the state-of-the-art machine learning models [3, 4], we build and evaluate the predictive power of Long Short Term Memory (LSTMs) architectures capable of nowcasting (predicting in \real-time") and forecasting (predicting the future) ILI dynamics in the 2011 { 2014 influenza seasons. To build our models we integrate information people post in social media e.g., topics, stylistic and syntactic patterns, emotions and opinions, and communication behavior. We then quantitatively evaluate the predictive power of different social media signals and contrast the performance of the-state-of-the-art regression models with neural networks. Finally, we combine ILI and social media signals to build joint neural network models for ILI dynamics prediction. Unlike the majority of the existing work, we specifically focus on developing models for local rather than national ILI surveillance [1], specifically for military rather than general populations [3] in 26 U.S. and six international locations. Our approach demonstrates several advantages: (a) Neural network models learned from social media data yield the best performance compared to previously used regression models. (b) Previously under-explored language and communication behavior features are more predictive of ILI dynamics than syntactic and stylistic signals expressed in social media. (c) Neural network models learned exclusively from social media signals yield comparable or better performance to the models learned from ILI historical data, thus, signals from social media can be potentially used to accurately forecast ILI dynamics for the regions where ILI historical data is not available. (d) Neural network models learned from combined ILI and social media signals significantly outperform models that rely solely on ILI historical data, which adds to a great potential of alternative public sources for ILI dynamics prediction. (e) Location-specific models outperform previously used location-independent models e.g., U.S. only. (f) Prediction results significantly vary across geolocations depending on the amount of social media data available and ILI activity patterns.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

The implementation of the graphics of program EAGLE: A numerical grid generation code on NASA Langley SNS computer system

Program EAGLE (Eglin Arbitrary Geometry Implicit Euler) Numerical Grid Generation System is a composite (multi-block) algebraic or elliptic grid generation system designed to discretize the domain in and/or around any arbitrarily shaped three dimensional regions. This system combines a boundary conforming surface generation scheme and includes plotting routines designed to take full advantage of the DISSPLA Graphics Package (Version 9.0). Program EAGLE is written to compile and execute efficiently on any Cray machine with or without solid state disk (SSD) devices. Also, the code uses namelist inputs which are supported by all Cray machines using the FORTRAN compiler CFT77. The namelist inputs makes it easier for the user to understand the inputs and operation of Program EAGLE. EAGLE's numerical grid generator is constructed in the following form: main program, EGG (executive routine); subroutine SURFAC (surface generation routine); subroutine GRID (grid generation routine); and subroutine GRDPLOT (grid plotting routines). The EAGLE code was modified to use on the NASA-LaRC SNS computer (Cray 2S) system. During the modification a conversion program was developed for the output data of EAGLE's subroutine GRID to permit the data to be graphically displayed by IRIS workstations, using Plot3D. The code of program EAGLE was modified to make operational subroutine GRDPLOT (using DI-3000 Graphics Software Packages) on the NASA-LaRC SNS Computer System. How to implement graphically, the output data of subroutine GRID was determined on any NASA-LaRC graphics terminal that has access to the SNS Computer System DI-300 Graphics Software Packages. A Quick Reference User Guide was developed for the use of program EAGLE on the NASA-LaRC SNS Computer System. One or more application program(s) was illustrated using program EAGLE on the NASA LaRC SNS Computer System, with emphasis on graphics illustrations.

Houston, Johnny L.↗

Plasma confinement state classification via FPP relevant microwave diagnostics

We present a parsimonious and robust machine learning approach for identifying plasma confinement states in fusion power plants (FPPs) where reliable identification of the low-confinement and high-confinement regimes is critical for safe and efficient operation. Unlike research-oriented devices, FPPs must operate with a severely constrained set of diagnostics. To address this challenge, we demonstrate that a minimalist model, using only electron cyclotron emission (ECE) signals, can achieve accurate and reliable state classification. ECE provides electron temperature profiles without the engineering or survivability issues of in-vessel probes, making it a primary candidate for FPP-relevant diagnostics. Our framework employs ECE as input, extracts features using radial basis functions, and applies a gradient boosting classifier, achieving a test accuracy of 96% (correct predictions). Robustness analysis and feature importance analyzes confirm the approach’s reliability. These results demonstrate that state-of-the-art performance is attainable from a restricted diagnostic set, paving the way for minimalist yet resilient plasma control architectures for FPPs.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Machine Learning Full NMR Chemical Shift Tensors of Silicon Oxides with Equivariant Graph Neural Networks

The nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) chemical shift tensor is a highly sensitive probe of the electronic structure of an atom and furthermore its local structure. Recently, machine learning has been applied to NMR in the prediction of isotropic chemical shifts from a structure. Current machine learning models, however, often ignore the full chemical shift tensor for the easier-to-predict isotropic chemical shift, effectively ignoring a multitude of structural information available in the NMR chemical shift tensor. Here we use an equivariant graph neural network (GNN) to predict full 29 Si chemical shift tensors in silicate materials. The equivariant GNN model predicts full tensors to a mean absolute error of 1.05 ppm and is able to accurately determine the magnitude, anisotropy, and tensor orientation in a diverse set of silicon oxide local structures. When compared with other models, the equivariant GNN model outperforms the state-of-the-art machine learning models by 53%. The equivariant GNN model also outperforms historic analytical models by 57% for isotropic chemical shift and 91% for anisotropy. The software is available as a simple-to-use open-source repository, allowing similar models to be created and trained with ease.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

GridDS: Data Science Toolkit for Energy Grid Data

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the demand for energy is expected to increase 50% by the year 20501. While energy standards, such as the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) Standard 1547, (Basso 2015) and monitoring with wide area management systems (WAMS) (Liu 2017, Zhou 2016) have enabled large scale data collection and storage, the application of this data in mitigating costs associated with increased consumer demand is an ongoing focus for energy research. This ubiquitous data collection presents a promising opportunity for machine learning and data science to improve efficiency of distributed energy resources (DERs). The GridDS software toolkit is designed to leverage advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), outage management systems data (OMS), Supervisory control Data Acquisition (SCADA), and geographic information systems (GIS) to forecast future energy demands and detect incipient grid failures. GridDS is a python software library designed to be modular and generalizable to data recorded by DERs. In adapting to disparate datasets recorded by various WAMS, GridDS provides a range of unique functionality not presently implemented in current WAMS which have highly specific software infrastructure by design. GridDS functionality ranges from data specification and preparation, to training and validation for state of the art machine learning, to interactive data visualization. For data intake, GridDS combines: Pandera: a library for creating data specifications. TimeScaleDB: a postgresSQL database infrastructure for efficient storage of timeseries data. Dataset class: A custom dataset class / interface that ensures modularity between a range of synthetic and live recorded datasets. Is

Ladd, Alexander↗

Lunabotics Mining Competition: Inspiration Through Accomplishment

NASA's Lunabotics Mining Competition is designed to promote the development of interest in space activities and STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) fields. The competition uses excavation, a necessary first step towards extracting resources from the regolith and building bases on the moon. The unique physical properties of lunar regolith and the reduced 1/6th gravity, vacuum environment make excavation a difficult technical challenge. Advances in lunar regolith mining have the potential to significantly contribute to our nation's space vision and NASA space exploration operations. The competition is conducted annually by NASA at the Kennedy Space Center Visitor Complex. The teams that can use telerobotic or autonomous operation to excavate a lunar regolith geotechnical simulant, herein after referred to as Black Point-1 (or BP-1) and score the most points (calculated as an average of two separate 10-minute timed competition attempts) will eam points towards the Joe Kosmo Award for Excellence and the scores will reflect ranking in the on-site mining category of the competition. The minimum excavation requirement is 10.0 kg during each competition attempt and the robotic excavator, referred to as the "Lunabot", must meet all specifications. This paper will review the achievements of the Lunabotics Mining Competition in 2010 and 2011, and present the new rules for 2012. By providing a framework for robotic design and fabrication, which culminates in a live competition event, university students have been able to produce sophisticated lunabots which are tele-operated. Multi-disciplinary teams are encouraged and the extreme sense of accomplishment provides a unique source of inspiration to the participating students, which has been shown to translate into increased interest in STEM careers. Our industrial sponsors (Caterpillar, Newmont Mining, Harris, Honeybee Robotics) have all stated that there is a strong need for skills in the workforce related to robotics and automated machines. In 2010, 22 United States (US) universities competed, and in May 2011 the competition was opened to international participation, with 46 Universities attending. There were 12 international teams and 34 US teams. This combined total directly inspired an estimated 544 university students. More students and the public were engaged via internet broadcasting and social networking media. This is expected to be of value for actual future space missions, as knowledge is gained from testing many innovative prototypes in simulated lunar regolith. More information is available at www.nasa.gov/lunabotics/.

Mueller, Robert P.↗

GOOML: Geothermal Operational Optimization with Machine Learning

Geothermal Operational Optimization with Machine Learning (GOOML) is a project focused on maximizing increased availability and capacity from existing industrial-scale geothermal generation assets. The GOOML project will develop a suite of machine learning-based algorithms that analyze historical production datasets and provide predictive setpoints for geothermal field operations. Historical datasets from New Zealand and the US will provide the input to develop digital geothermal system twins which allow prediction of market conditions, maintenance operations and steamfield optimization. The algorithms will identify key parameters within fields and suggest setpoints for components of the system to maintain optimal generation. Set-points can be instructed to follow mass flow restrictions, generation maximization and optimal field/reservoir balance and give field operators a guide by which generation can be optimized. The datasets that will be used to develop GOOML are sourced from operating geothermal fields in New Zealand and the United States with varying degrees of complexity. This will ensure that most geothermal systems can utilize the GOOML tool to assist in optimizing operations. GOOML aims to achieve a step-change in geothermal operations by developing state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms, comprehensive data analytics, and a first-of-its-kind automated, intelligent geothermal system model.

algorithms↗

Adaptive learning-driven high-throughput synthesis of oxygen reduction reaction Fe–N–C electrocatalysts

Reducing human reliance on inefficient energy systems and fossil fuels has become more urgent due to the consequences of global climate change. However, traditional trial-and-error approaches have hampered our ability to accelerate the discovery and implementation of functional materials for efficient energy conversion devices, such as polymer electrolyte fuel cells (PEFCs). To address this, we develop an adaptive learning framework that integrates machine learning and state-of-the-art capabilities in high-throughput synthesis to achieve expedited optimization of iron-nitrogen-carbon PEFC oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) electrocatalysts. We use statistical inference, uncertainty quantification, and global optimization to build a computational design-of-experiment tool that identifies the optimum compositions to be investigated next to reduce the demands placed on experimental materials discovery. We benchmark the ability of the proposed strategy to discover optimum catalyst synthesis conditions in a six-dimensional search space when starting with a thirty-six-sample database. By following the adaptive learning strategy, we synthesize fourteen new catalysts from approximately ten billion unique compositions and discover four catalysts that outperform all original samples. The best machine learning-optimized catalyst is 33% more active than the highest-performing one in the initial database, showing an ORR activity seven times larger than those typically reported for the same class of materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Gradient flow based phase-field modeling using separable neural networks

Allen–Cahn equation is a reaction–diffusion equation and is widely used for modeling phase separation. Machine learning methods for solving the Allen–Cahn equation in its strong form suffer from inaccuracies in collocation techniques, errors in computing higher-order spatial derivatives, and the large system size required by the space–time approach. To overcome these challenges, we propose solving the gradient flow of the Ginzburg–Landau free energy functional, which is equivalent to the Allen–Cahn equation, thereby avoiding the second-order spatial derivatives associated with the Allen–Cahn equation. A minimizing movement scheme is employed to solve the gradient flow problem, eliminating the complexities of a space–time approach. We utilize a separable neural network that efficiently represents the phase field through low-rank tensor decomposition. As we use the minimizing movement scheme to numerically solve the gradient flow problem, we thus, refer to the proposed method as the Separable Deep Minimizing Movement (SDMM) method. The evaluation of the functional in the minimizing movement scheme using the Gauss quadrature technique bypasses the inaccuracies associated with collocation techniques traditionally used to solve partial differential equations. A hyperbolic tangent transformation is introduced on the phase field prior to the evaluation of the functional to ensure that it remains strictly bounded within the values of the two phases. For this transformation, theoretical guarantee for energy stability of the minimizing movement scheme is established. Our results suggest that this transformation helps to improve the accuracy and efficiency significantly. The proposed method resolves the challenges faced by state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, outperforming them in both accuracy and efficiency. It is also the first machine learning method to achieve an order of magnitude speed improvement over the finite element method. In addition to its formulation and computational implementation, several case studies illustrate the applicability of the proposed method.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Comparison of Entry Descent and Landing Aerodynamic Databases with Uncertainty Quantification Developed Using Machine Learning Techniques

When developing the aerodynamic databases for use in trajectory simulations, it is important to develop a system of metrics to qualify which aerodynamic models are best to use. Since aerodynamics are just one input into trajectory simulations, the results of these simulations do not reflect on the quality of the aerodynamic database used. This means that aerodynamic database comparisons must be done offline. While traditional metrics that focus on mean/nominal predictions are a good first step, more robust estimates of the prediction interval become important as more focused uncertainty models are developed. We explore the limitations of evaluating aerodynamic models based purely on nominal-centered response surfaces. Before elaborating and evaluating metrics based on distributed models, the value of evaluating prediction interval and confidence interval are discussed to conclude that prediction intervals are more relevant to the use of trajectory analysis. Several metrics to evaluate the prediction interval are introduced with a focus on the standard calibration metric. Finally, we compare candidate models using both mean and distributed metrics. A finalized candidate model developed using state of the art machine learning methods is compared to a baseline model developed using traditional aerodynamic database modeling techniques.

Aerodynamic Database↗

Collective I/O Tuning Using Analytical and Machine-Learning Models

The ever larger demand of scientific applications for computation and data is currently driving a continuous increase in scale of parallel computers. The inherent complexity of scaling up a computing systems in terms of both hardware and software stack exposes an increasing number of factors impacting the performance and complicating the process of optimization. In particular, the optimization of parallel I/O has become increasingly challenging due to increasing storage hierarchy and well known performance variability of shared storage systems. This paper focuses on model-based autotuning of the two-phase collective I/O algorithm from a popular MPI distribution on the Blue Gene/Q architecture. We propose a novel hybrid model, constructed as a composition of analytical models for communication and storage operations and black-box models for the performance of the individual operations. We perform an in-depth study of the complexity involved in performance modeling including architecture, software stack and noise. In particular we address this challenges of modeling the performance of shared storage systems by building a benchmark that helps synthesizing factors such as topology, file caching, and noise. The experimental results show that the hybrid approach produces significantly better results than state-of-the-art machine learning approaches and shows a higher robustness to noise, at the cost of a higher modeling complexity

I/O performance modeling↗

SU-C-BRA-04: Automated Segmentation of Head-And-Neck CT Images for Radiotherapy Treatment Planning Via Multi-Atlas Machine Learning (MAML)

Purpose: Accurate image segmentation is a crucial step during image guided radiation therapy. This work proposes multi-atlas machine learning (MAML) algorithm for automated segmentation of head-and-neck CT images. Methods: As the first step, the algorithm utilizes normalized mutual information as similarity metric, affine registration combined with multiresolution B-Spline registration, and then fuses together using the label fusion strategy via Plastimatch. As the second step, the following feature selection strategy is proposed to extract five feature components from reference or atlas images: intensity (I), distance map (D), box (B), center of gravity (C) and stable point (S). The box feature B is novel. It describes a relative position from each point to minimum inscribed rectangle of ROI. The center-of-gravity feature C is the 3D Euclidean distance from a sample point to the ROI center of gravity, and then S is the distance of the sample point to the landmarks. Then, we adopt random forest (RF) in Scikit-learn, a Python module integrating a wide range of state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms as classifier. Different feature and atlas strategies are used for different ROIs for improved performance, such as multi-atlas strategy with reference box for brainstem, and single-atlas strategy with reference landmark for optic chiasm. Results: The algorithm was validated on a set of 33 CT images with manual contours using a leave-one-out cross-validation strategy. Dice similarity coefficients between manual contours and automated contours were calculated: the proposed MAML method had an improvement from 0.79 to 0.83 for brainstem and 0.11 to 0.52 for optic chiasm with respect to multi-atlas segmentation method (MA). Conclusion: A MAML method has been proposed for automated segmentation of head-and-neck CT images with improved performance. It provides the comparable result in brainstem and the improved result in optic chiasm compared with MA. Xuhua Ren and Hao Gao were partially supported by the NSFC (#11405105), the 973 Program (#2015CB856000), and the Shanghai Pujiang Talent Program (#14PJ1404500).

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗