Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “phase variation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 505 records · Page 28
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Model predictive combustion control of a Gasoline Compression Ignition engine

Gasoline Compression Ignition is a novel combustion concept that derives its superiority from the high compression ratio of a compression ignition engine as well as the properties of gasoline fuel, such as longer ignition delay and higher volatility compared to diesel. Here, this combustion concept was experimentally tested on a 12.4L Class 8 truck engine. Based on these experimental data, prior efforts by the authors focused on the development of an engine model for a heavy-duty engine operating on a low-reactivity fuel. This engine model was leveraged within this study to investigate a combustion control strategy at different engine conditions and injection methods and was augmented to incorporate cycle-to-cycle combustion variations. State estimation is performed by means of a Kalman filter which feeds into a model predictive controller. The model predictive controller chooses control actions based on a predefined cost function under consideration of bounds reflecting physical constraints. The engine model was utilized to establish a state-space model that serves the Kalman filter and model predictive controller for estimation and prediction. A comparative study investigating control actions and engine behavior was performed with and without limiting in-cylinder peak pressure as well as combustion noise, which is of particular interest for early pilot injection strategies. In addition, the proposed control architecture was investigated at two different levels of cycle-to-cycle variations and compared to the performance of a control structure with input disturbance rejection. For increased cycle-to-cycle variations, disturbance estimation reduces state fluctuations and control effort. In general, this investigation highlights control aspects specific to a compression-ignited combustion regime with low-reactivity fuel. The control algorithm is able to maintain the desired references for brake mean effective pressure and combustion phasing while controlling peak in-cylinder pressure and combustion noise.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

WholeTraveler Anonymized Data Phase 1

Phase 1 of the WholeTraveler Study data collection consisted of an online-only survey. This survey captured data on three categories of observable variation in the population relevant to transportation decisions. First, the survey collected traditional demographic data such as age, gender, income, and education level. Second, it collected data across personality, psychological, and preference categories. This included: 1. The "Big Five" inventory personality traits: openness to new experience, conscientiousness, extroversion, agreeableness, and neuroticism; 2. Risk and time preferences; and 3. Environmental preferences. Third, the survey collected data on historical behavior patterns including: 1. Adoption of (as well as interest in) new technologies or innovations (e.g., smartphones, PEVs, solar panels, adaptive cruise control [ACC]); 2. Car ownership history and current car ownership status; 3. Recent mode use across different time scales (e.g., previous week, previous month, previous year); and 4. Timing of major life events such as starting a family as well as overall lifecycle trajectory patterns. Data from Phase 1 and Phase 2 are linked by a unique respondent identifier. Anonymized versions of the Phase 1 and Phase 2 data are both available on Livewire.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2021

Variation of the nebular dust attenuation curve with the properties of local star-forming galaxies

ABSTRACT We use a sample of 78 340 star-forming galaxies at z ≃ 0.04–0.1 from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) data release (DR8) survey to calculate the average nebular dust attenuation curve and its variation with the physical properties of galaxies. Using the first four low-order Balmer emission lines (H α, H β, H γ, and H δ) detected in the composite spectrum of all galaxies in the sample, we derive a nebular attenuation curve in the range of 0.41 to $0.66\, \mu$m that has a similar shape and normalization to that of the Galactic extinction curve (Milky Way curve), the SMC curve and the nebular attenuation curve derived recently for typical star-forming galaxies at z ∼ 2. We divide the galaxies into bins of stellar mass, gas-phase metallicity, and specific star formation rate, and derive the nebular attenuation curve in each of these bins. This analysis indicates that there is very little variation in the shape of the nebular dust attenuation curve with the properties used to bin the galaxies, and suggests a near universal shape of the nebular dust attenuation curve at least among the galaxies and the range of properties considered in our sample.

Rezaee, Saeed (ORCID:0000000262899918)↗
DOE OSTI2020

The incommensurately modulated structures of low-temperature labradorite feldspars: a single-crystal X-ray and neutron diffraction study

Labradorite feldspars of the plagioclase solid solution series have been known for their complicated subsolidus phase relations and enigmatic incommensurately modulated structures. Characterized by the irrationally indexed e -reflections in the diffraction pattern, e -labradorite shows the largest variation in the incommensurate ordering states among the e -plagioclase structures. The strongly ordered low-temperature e -labradorite is one of the last missing pieces of the e -plagioclase puzzle. Nine plutonic and metamorphic labradorite feldspar samples from Canada, Ukraine, Minnesota (USA), Tanzania and Greenland with compositions ranging from An 52.5 to An 68 were studied with single-crystal X-ray diffraction. Two crystals from Labrador, Canada, and Duluth, MN, USA, with wide enough twin lamellae were analyzed with single-crystal neutron diffraction. The incommensurately modulated structures of e -plagioclase are refined for the first time with neutron diffraction data, which confirmed that the T—O distance modulation in the low-temperature e -plagioclase results from the Al–Si ordering in the framework. Detailed configurations of the M site are also observed in the structures refined from neutron diffraction data, which were not possible to see with X-ray diffraction data. The relation between the q -vectors and the mole% An composition is revealed for the entire compositional range of e -plagioclase, from An 25 to An 75 . The previously proposed two-trend relation depending on the cooling rate and phase transition path is confirmed. A new classification of e -plagioclase ( e α , e β and e γ ) is proposed based on the q -vector of the structure, which makes it an independent character from the presence/absence of density modulation. New parameters are proposed to quantify the ordering states of these complicated aperiodic structures of e -plagioclases, such as the difference between $\langle$T 1 o—O$\rangle$ and $\langle$T 1 m—O$\rangle$ at phase t = 0.2 or the normalized intensity of the (071\bar 1) reflection.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Processing and properties of hafnium-doped tin-modified lead zirconate titanate 95/5 ceramics

Niobium (Nb)-doped lead-tin-zirconate-titanate (PSZT) ceramics near the lead-zirconate-titanate 95/5 orthorhombic AFE-rhombohedral FE morphotropic phase boundary (PSZT 13.5/81/5.5 -1.6Nb) were prepared with up to 10 mol.% of hafnium (Hf) substituted for zirconium. The ceramics were prepared by a traditional solid-state synthesis route and sintered to near full density at 1150°C for 6 h in sealed alumina crucibles with self-same material as the lead vapor source. All compositions were ~98% dense with no detectable secondary phases by X-ray diffraction. The grain size was ~3 μm for all compositions, consisting of equiaxed grains with intergranular porosity. The compositions exhibited remnant polarization values of ~32 μC/cm 2 . Depolarization by the hydrostatic pressure-induced FE-AFE phase transition occurred at 310 MPa for all compositions, resulting in a total depolarization output of 32.4 μC/cm 2 for the PSZT ceramics. Evaluation of the R3c-R3m and R3m-Pm $\bar{3}$ m phase transition temperatures by impedance spectroscopy showed temperatures on heating ranging from 86 to 92°C and 186 to 182°C, respectively, for increasing nominal Hf content. Thermal hysteresis of the phase transitions was also observed in the ceramics, with the transition temperature on cooling being 1–4°C lower. The study demonstrated that the PSZT ceramics are relatively insensitive to variations in Hf content in the range of 0 to 10 mol.%.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Combustion, criteria pollutant and soot property assessment of mixing-controlled high-load engine operation with gasoline and diesel

Gasoline compression ignition (GCI) is an emerging technology that can achieve high fuel efficiency and low criteria emissions in diesel engine platforms using gasoline and gasoline-like fuels. While low- and mid-range loads are enabled with low temperature combustion (LTC) approaches, high-loads are more efficient with high temperature combustion (HTC) requiring mixing-controlled combustion (MCC). Lower soot emissions are achieved with gasoline even in high-load MCC than with diesel, but detailed soot properties from gasoline and diesel have been rarely discussed. In order to better understand how high-load operations affect soot properties, in this study gasoline and diesel were tested in a six-cylinder heavy duty engine at 14 bar brake mean effective pressure (BMEP) at similar combustion phasing. Effects of pilot mass ratio and EGR on heat release rates, cylinder temperatures, ignition delay (ID) and combustion duration (CD) were examined, relating with emissions variations with applications of the two fuels. Soot mass and particle number emissions were slightly lower with gasoline than with diesel, resulting in a more favorable NOx-soot trade-off with gasoline like other reports. Contrary to other findings in the literature, gasoline and diesel soot samples presented similar particle distribution shapes, carbon crystalline structures and primary particle sizes, regardless of fuel type and EGR rate. Consequently, the current result proposes that soot particles have undergone similar soot formation and oxidation processes despite reactivity difference and oxygen availability under the examined high-load MCC with similar combustion phases.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2021

Interfacial thermal conductance between multi-layer graphene sheets and solid/liquid octadecane: A molecular dynamics study

Mixtures of paraffin and carbon nanofillers have promising potential for thermal storage, as paraffin (the matrix) possesses high latent heat and the nanofillers compensate for the low thermal conductivity (TC) of paraffin. Understanding thermal transport in these materials is essential for practical applications, as weak thermal transport hinders fast charge/discharge of thermal energy. Here, we use non-equilibrium molecular dynamics (NEMD) simulations to study the interfacial thermal conductance (ITC) between graphene sheets and octadecane (C18H38) matrix under the limiting conditions of the sheets being parallel or perpendicular to the direction of the imposed heat flux. The findings show that the systems containing thin graphene layers exhibit higher values of ITC. This study captures the asymptotic saturation of thermal conductance for the liquid phase of the perpendicular structure. Besides, given the greater number of structured layers of paraffin upon phase change, the ITC for the solid paraffin-graphene system is higher than the conductance of the liquid paraffin-graphene interface. We use the Pearson correlation coefficients of the vibrational power spectrum (VPS) of interfacing materials to explain the orders of magnitude variations of the observed ITC.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Radio-Frequency Rapid Thermal Processing Enabling Spatial Phase Transformation and Nanocrystallization of Soft Magnetic Amorphous Alloys

Thermal processing of soft magnetic amorphous and nanocrystalline alloys is explored under the influence of radio-frequency induction-heating techniques. Direct induction-heating concepts based on longitudinal and transverse flux heating are examined and the details of electromagnetic fields interaction with metallic strips are discussed by analytical calculations as well as finite element analysis. Initial experimental results confirming spatial control of phase transformations and nanocrystallization within a single strip of Finemet Fe-based amorphous ribbons are reported. Here, the degree to which primary and secondary crystallization temperature are achieved depends on the spacing between the ribbon relative to the induction coil as well as the coil design and configuration. For transverse coil configurations, the local temperature and therefore microstructural evolution is different across the lateral dimension of processed ribbons, with reduced gap sizes producing enhanced peak temperatures and larger temperature distributions with greater spatial variation in microstructure. In addition, indirect susceptor-based induction heating under tension is performed and the impact of microstructure is demonstrated. Herein, potential for exploiting spatially optimized phase transformations is illustrated through electromagnetic field–assisted processing in a scalable manufacturing process with amorphous and nanocrystalline soft magnetic alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

In Situ Observation of Domain Wall Lateral Creeping in a Ferroelectric Capacitor

As a promising candidate for next-generation nonvolatile memory devices, ferroelectric oxide films exhibit many emergent phenomena with functional applications, making understanding polarization switching and domain evolution behaviors of fundamental importance. However, tracking domain wall motion in ferroelectric oxide films with high spatial resolution remains challenging. Here, in this study, an in situ biasing approach for direct atomic-scale observations of domain nucleation and sideways motion is presented. By accurately controlling the applied electric field, the lateral translational speed of the domain wall can decrease to less than 2.2 Å s −1 , which is observable with atomic resolution STEM imaging. In situ observations on a capacitor structured PbZr 0.1 Ti 0.9 O 3 /La 0.7 Sr 0.3 MnO 3 heterojunction demonstrate the unique creeping behavior of a domain wall under a critical electric field, with the atomic structure of the creeping domain wall revealed. Moreover, the evolution of the metastable domain wall forms an elongated morphology, which contains a large proportion of charged segments. Phase-field simulations unveil the competition between gradient, elastic, and electrostatic energies that decide this unique domain wall creeping and morphology variation. This work paves the way toward a complete fundamental understanding of domain wall physics and potential modulations of domain wall properties in real devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Migration Kinetics of Surface Ions in Oxygen-Deficient Perovskite During Topotactic Transitions

Oxygen diffusivity and surface exchange kinetics underpin the ionic, electronic, and catalytic functionalities of complex multivalent oxides. Towards understanding and controlling the kinetics of oxygen transport in emerging technologies, it is highly desirable to reveal the underlying lattice dynamics and ionic activities related to oxygen variation. In this study, the evolution of oxygen content is identified in real-time during the progress of a topotactic phase transition in La 0.7 Sr 0.3 MnO 3-δ epitaxial thin films, both at the surface and throughout the bulk. Using polarized neutron reflectometry, a quantitative depth profile of the oxygen content gradient is achieved, which, alongside atomic-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy, uniquely reveals the formation of a novel structural phase near the surface. Surface-sensitive X-ray spectroscopies further confirm a significant change of the electronic structure accompanying the transition. The anisotropic features of this novel phase enable a distinct oxygen diffusion pathway in contrast to conventional observation of oxygen motion at moderate temperatures. The results provide insights furthering the design of solid oxygen ion conductors within the framework of topotactic phase transitions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Symmetry-specific orientational order parameters for complex structures

A comprehensive framework of characterizing complex self-assembled structures with a set of orientational order parameters is presented. It is especially relevant in the context of using anisotropic building blocks with various symmetries. Two classes of tensor order parameters are associated with polyhedral nematic and bond orientational order. For the latter, a variation of classical bond order parameters (BOPs) is introduced, which takes advantage of the symmetry of constituent particles and/or expected crystalline phases. These symmetrized BOPs can be averaged over an entire system or assigned locally to an individual bond. By combining that with the bond percolation procedure, one is able to identify coherent domains within a self-assembled structure. As a demonstration of the proposed framework, we apply it to a simulated hybrid system that combines isotropic and patchy particles with octahedral symmetry. In conclusion, not only does the methodology allow one to identify individual crystalline domains but also it detects coherent clusters of a peculiar compact amorphous structure that is not space-filling and lacks any long-range order.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Diagnosis of the imploding shell asymmetry in polar-direct-drive deuterium–tritium cryogenic target implosions on OMEGA

We discuss the analyses of gated, x-ray imaging data from polar-direct-drive experiments with cryogenically layered deuterium–tritium targets on the OMEGA laser. The in-flight shell asymmetries were diagnosed at various times during the implosion, which was caused by the beam pointing geometry and preimposed variations in the energy partition between the different groups of laser beams. The shape of the ablation surface during the acceleration phase of the implosion was measured along two different lines of sight, and a Legendre mode (ℓ-mode) decomposition was applied for modes of up to ten to investigate shell asymmetries. A clear causal relationship between the imposed beam imbalance and the shape of the in-flight shell asymmetries was observed. The imploded shell with a balanced energy ratio shows smaller values of the amplitudes of ℓ-mode 2 compared to that from implosions with an imbalanced ring energy ratio. The amplitudes of ℓ-modes 4 and 6 are the same within the measurement uncertainty with respect to the change in beam energy ratio.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Lie-algebraic classical simulations for quantum computing

The classical simulation of quantum dynamics plays an important role in our understanding of quantum complexity and in the development of quantum technologies. Efficient techniques such as those based on the Gottesman-Knill theorem for Clifford circuits, tensor networks for low entanglement-generating circuits, or Wick's theorem for fermionic Gaussian states have become central tools in quantum computing. In this work, we contribute to this body of knowledge by presenting a framework for classical simulations, dubbed “𝔤-sim”, which is based on the underlying Lie algebraic structure of the dynamical process. When the dimension of the algebra grows at most polynomially in the system size, there exist observables for which the simulation is efficient. Indeed, we show that 𝔤-sim enables new regimes for classical simulations, is able to deal with certain forms of noise in the evolution, as well as can be used to tackle several paradigmatic variational and nonvariational quantum computing tasks. For the former, we perform Lie-algebraic simulations to train and optimize parametrized quantum circuits (thus effectively showing that some variational models can be dequantized), design enhanced parameter initialization strategies, solve tasks of quantum circuit synthesis, and train a quantum-phase classifier. For the latter, we report large-scale noiseless and noisy simulations on benchmark problems. By comparing the limitations of 𝔤-sim and certain Wick's theorem-based simulations, we find that the two methods become inefficient for different types of states or observables, hinting at the existence of distinct, nonequivalent resources for classical simulation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Medium Voltage Testbed for the Performance and Function Tests of a 13.8 kV Power Conditioning System Converter

Medium voltage SiC devices facilitate the development of medium voltage grid-connected power electronics converters. However, it is difficult to test these converters directly on the real medium voltage grid, especially considering abnormal grid conditions, such as grid voltage and frequency variation, and different converter operation modes, such as grid-connected mode and islanded mode. This paper introduces the design and implementation of a medium voltage testbed, which supports tests of medium voltage converters in both grid-connected and islanded mode tests. In the grid-connected mode, the testbed can provide up to 13.8 kV grid voltage, can support the four-quadrant operation, and can emulate different grid conditions, such as voltage and frequency variation. In the islanded mode, the converter under test works as a voltage source and the testbed emulates a three-phase balanced or unbalanced load. Experiment test results are provided to validate the design and capability of the testbed.

Li, Haiguo↗
DOE OSTI2022

Microstructural Characterization of the Second High Fluence Baffle-Former Bolt Retrieved from a Westinghouse Two-loop Downflow Type PWR

As one of the pressurized water reactor (PWR) internal components, baffle-former bolts (BFBs) are subjected to significant mechanical stress and neutron irradiation from the reactor core during the plant operation. Over the long operation period, these conditions lead to potential degradation and reduced load-carrying capacity of the bolts. In support of evaluating long-term operational performance of materials used in core internal components, the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), through the Department of Energy (DOE), Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program, Materials Research Pathway (MRP) has harvested two high fluence BFBs from a commercial Westinghouse two-loop downflow type PWR. The two bolts of interest, i.e. bolts # 4412 and 4416, were withdrawn from service in 2011 as part of a preventative replacement plan. No identification of cracking or potential damage was found for these bolts during their removal in 2011. However, the bolts required a lower torque for removal from the baffle structure than the original torque specified during installation. Irradiation displacement damage levels in the bolts range from 15 to 41 displacements per atom. The goal of this project is to perform detailed microstructural and mechanical property characterization of BFBs following in-service exposures. The information from these bolts will be integral to the LWRS program initiatives in evaluating end of life microstructure and properties. Furthermore, valuable data will be obtained that can be incorporated into model predictions of long-term irradiation behavior and compared to results obtained in high flux experimental reactor conditions. In this report, we present our latest study in FY22 on microstructural characterizations of the second high fluence baffle-former bolt, i.e., bolt # 4412. Analytical electron microscopy and atom probe tomography characterization were performed. The radiation-induced defects in the material add to the large wealth of knowledge for neutron-induced defects in 304/316 grades of stainless steels, specifically for radiation-induced precipitation after high fluence commercial PWR irradiation. The main findings are summarized as follows: 1) The cavity size was considerably larger in the bolt thread section than in the bolt head, with the bolt thread section having a bimodal distribution of cavities greater than ~6 nm in diameter and less than ~3 nm in diameter. The bolt head only had the small-sized cavities. In addition, there was a denuded zone of large cavities near grain boundaries in the thread section of the bolt. 2) Radiation-induced precipitation in the BFB #4412 was highly complex, with the volume fraction, size, and number density of Ni/Si and Cu-rich precipitates depending strongly on the radiation temperature/dose. In many cases, co-precipitates of adjoined clusters were found with Ni/Si-rich precipitates sandwiched between Cu-rich clusters and Mo/Cr/P-rich clusters. 3) Solute segregation out of solution was highest for most solutes in the thread section of the bolt #4412 with the exception of Cu, which experienced more separation out of solution into Curich clusters in the bolt head section. This highlights the difference in the mechanisms for precipitation of Ni/Si clusters, which have the Ni 3 Si phase composition, and precipitation of Cu-rich clusters. 4) There appear to be multiple simultaneous influences that affect the microstructural variation along the length of the bolt that overcomes the ~2X difference in irradiation dose between the bolt head and the bolt thread. The irradiation temperature, thermal/fast neutron ratio variation, potential strain gradient, and exposure to PWR coolant water that each section of the bolt sees may have more influence on the microstructural evolution than the total irradiation dose. The bolt thread and shank, with higher temperature, higher relative fast neutron flux, higher strain, and exposure to coolant but lower dose, underwent more enhanced cavity formation, precipitation, and solute segregation than the bolt head section.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A phase-field fracture formulation for generalized standard materials: The interplay between thermomechanics and damage

Accurately modeling fracture of ductile materials poses open challenges in the field of computational mechanics due to the multiphysics nature of their failure processes. Integrating the interplay between thermodynamics and damage into ductile fracture models is vital for predicting critical failure modes. Here, in this paper, we develop a versatile phase-field (PF) framework for modeling ductile fracture, taking into account finite-strain elasto-plasticity. The framework stems from a variational formulation of constitutive relations for generalized standard materials (GSMs), whose response is described by a Helmholtz free energy and a dissipation pseudo-potential. Its variational structure is based on a minimum principle for a functional that expresses the sum of power densities for reversible and irreversible processes. By minimizing this functional with a constraint on a von Mises yield function, we derive the evolution equation for the equivalent plastic strain and an associative flow rule. This constrained optimization problem is analytically solved for a wide class of thermo-viscoplasticity models. The key innovations of the current work include (i) a cubic plastic degradation function that accounts for a non-vanishing damage-dependent yield stress, (ii) closed-form expressions of the Helmholtz free energy and dissipation pseudo-potential for three thermo-viscoplasticity models, (iii) an extended Johnson–Cook plasticity model with a nonlinear hardening law, and (iv) a plastic work heat source that depends on the plastic degradation function and a variable Taylor–Quinney (TQ) coefficient. The capabilities of the proposed framework are tested with the aid of four ductile fracture problems, including the Sandia Fracture Challenge. In each of these problems, we examine the evolution of relevant field variables such as the PF order parameter, the equivalent plastic strain, the temperature, and the internal power dissipation density, in addition to the overall structural response quantified by the force–displacement curve. These numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed framework effectively represents ductile fracture, yielding computational results that exhibit good agreement with experimental data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Kinetics of Carbon Condensation in Detonation of High Explosives: First-Order Phase Transition Theory Perspective

We report the kinetics of carbon condensation, or carbon clustering, in detonation of carbon-rich high explosives is modeled by solving a system of rate equations for concentrations of carbon particles. Unlike previous efforts, the rate equations account not only for the aggregation of particles but also for their fragmentation in a thermodynamically consistent manner. Numerical simulations are performed, yielding the distribution of particle concentrations as a function of time. In addition to that, analytical expressions are obtained for all the distinct steps and regimes of the condensation kinetics, which facilitates the analysis of the numerical results and allows one to study the sensitivity of the kinetic behavior to the variation of system parameters. The latter is important because the numerical values of many parameters are not reliably known at present. The theory of the kinetics of first-order phase transitions is found adequate to describe the general kinetic trends of carbon condensation, as described by the rate equations. Such physical phenomena and processes as the coagulation, nucleation, growth, and Ostwald ripening are observed, and their dependence on various system parameters is studied and reported. It is believed that the present work will become useful when analyzing the present and future results for the kinetics of carbon condensation, obtained from experiments or atomistic simulations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Advanced Solar and Load Forecasting Incorporating HD Sky Imaging (Phase III)

Due to rapidly changing sky conditions, the available solar irradiance for energy generation is subject to wide swings in amplitude. As the market penetration of solar energy continues to increase rapidly, these variations in solar power generation are beginning to have an impact on grid stability and increased wear on power switches. Solar power forecasting plays a critical role in operations for Independent System Operators (ISOs) and utilities. Accurate forecasts help maintain grid reliability, optimize generation from renewables, and reduce operating costs. Of particular interest to the ISOs and utilities are sudden changes in solar irradiance, termed “ramp events,” due to the movement of clouds. One significant impact of ramp events on the grid is additional ancillary service requirements necessary to manage such variability. Ramp events can also cause voltage fluctuations in the distribution grids and trigger actions of automated line equipment (e.g., tap changers), leading to additional maintenance costs. In high penetration solar regions, forecasts must be made for both transmission-connected and distribution-connected resources – either behind the meter or in front of it. Particularly for distributed solar energy resources, forecasting can be a challenge due to the lack of visibility of the energy resource. Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) has been working towards nowcasting Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) using low-cost technologies for several years now. The Solar NowCasting technology being developed by BNL is a 0 – 30 min solar “nowcasting” technology applicable to a scale covering both large generating facilities and residential, distributed solar installations that relies on a network of ground-based high-definition (HD) cameras and surface pyranometers. GHI forecasts are being produced for both regions using 8 ground-based HD cameras and at least 2 surface pyranometers. When stitched together, the camera images can be used to forecast the impact of clouds on available solar irradiance over a domain of ~50 km 2 . Phase I of the project was the engineering scale up conceptual design stage. Phase II was the initial field test and demonstration, in which the technology was scaled up by a factor of 20 times and successfully demonstrated in eastern Long Island. In Phase III, an additional forecasting network was added in upstate NY and both networks are currently being operated until at least a full year of data is gathered by the Albany network to allow for the collection of sufficient data to evaluate performance against the persistence and smart persistence models using the Solar Arbiter.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗