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At least 505 records · Page 28

Predicting industrial building energy consumption with statistical and machine-learning models informed by physical system parameters

The industrial sector consumes about one-third of global energy, making them a frequent target for energy use reduction. Variation in energy usage is observed with weather conditions, as space conditioning needs to change seasonally, and with production, energy-using equipment is directly tied to production rate. Previous models were based on engineering analyses of equipment and relied on site-specific details. Others consisted of single-variable regressors that did not capture all contributions to energy consumption. Further, new modeling techniques could be applied to rectify these weaknesses. Applying data from 45 different manufacturing plants obtained from industrial energy audits, a supervised machine-learning model is developed to create a general predictor for industrial building energy consumption. The model uses features of air enthalpy, solar radiation, and wind speed to predict weather-dependency; motor, steam, and compressed air system parameters to capture support equipment contributions; and operating schedule, production rate, number of employees, and floor area to determine production-dependency. Results showed that a model that used a linear regressor over a transformed feature space could outperform a support vector machine and utilize features more representative of physical systems. Using informed parameters to build a reliable predictor will more accurately characterize a manufacturing facility's energy savings opportunities.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A Co-design Framework for Online Data Analysis and Reduction

Science applications preparing for the exascale era are increasingly exploring in situ computations comprising of simulation-analysis-reduction pipelines coupled in-memory. Efficient composition and execution of such complex pipelines for a target platform is a codesign process that evaluates the impact and tradeoffs of various application- and system-specific parameters. In this article, we describe a toolset for automating performance studies of composed HPC applications that perform online data reduction and analysis. We describe Cheetah, a new framework for composing parametric studies on coupled applications, and Savanna, a runtime engine for orchestrating and executing campaigns of codesign experiments. Furthermore, this toolset facilitates understanding the impact of various factors such as process placement, synchronicity of algorithms, and storage versus compute requirements for online analysis of large data. Ultimately, we aim to create a catalog of performance results that can help scientists understand tradeoffs when designing next-generation simulations that make use of online processing techniques. We illustrate the design of Cheetah and Savanna, and present application examples that use this framework to conduct codesign studies on small clusters as well as leadership class supercomputers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Maximum likelihood algorithm using an efficient scheme for computing sensitivities and parameter confidence intervals

Improved techniques for estimating airplane stability and control derivatives and their standard errors are presented. A maximum likelihood estimation algorithm is developed which relies on an optimization scheme referred to as a modified Newton-Raphson scheme with estimated sensitivities (MNRES). MNRES determines sensitivities by using slope information from local surface approximations of each output variable in parameter space. The fitted surface allows sensitivity information to be updated at each iteration with a significant reduction in computational effort compared to integrating the analytically-determined sensitivity equations or using a finite difference scheme. An aircraft estimation problem is solved using real flight data to compare MNRES with the commonly used modified Newton-Raphson technique; MNRES is found to be faster and more generally applicable. Parameter standard errors are determined using a random search technique. The confidence intervals obtained are compared with Cramer-Rao lower bounds at the same confidence level. It is observed that the nonlinearity of the cost function is an important factor in the relationship between Cramer-Rao bounds and the error bounds determined by the search technique.

Murphy, P. C.↗

Optimization of the deep neural network parameters for generating homogenized fuel assembly data for nodal codes

Homogenized fuel assembly (FA) data is a typical input data for nodal codes. Generating that data, however, could be time-consuming. One of promising ways to mitigate the computational burden of generating macroscopic cross-sections is to use trained artificial neural network (ANN) models for predicting nuclear data. However, there is a challenge to make the model support variable FA geometry. In this work, two most common types of FA were combined in one ANN model. Since there could be multiple ways of converting 2-dimensional FA data into 1-dimensional input vector for ANN, three different approaches of data flattening were evaluated. The input parameters included each fuel pin enrichment, fuel temperature, moderator temperature and boron concentration. The output parameters were 2-group macroscopic cross-sections (XS) and pin power distribution (HFF). A fully connected deep neural network (DNN) model was trained and tested using pre-generated data obtained with lattice physics code STREAM. The results of this study showed no statistically significant difference in the accuracy of XS and HFF generation for all 3 tested input vector orders. This means that fully connected DNN for XS generation demonstrated input sequence invariance. Results of comparing predicted XS data with reference solutions were found sufficiently close considering the reduction of computation time offered by ANN. Mean relative difference (MRD) for all output XS parameters was found below 0.7%, while HFF MRD was found higher compared to XS values, in some cases slightly exceeding 1%, mostly near guide tube locations. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A shuttle derived utility vehicle for delivery of small payloads to orbit

A small-payload utility-vehicle (UV) configuration for the Space Shuttle is proposed and illustrated with drawings, diagrams, and graphs, and tables. The primary modification to the Shuttle involves removal of the solid-rocket boosters and addition of three Shuttle main engines to the external tank, resulting in an overall weight reduction from about 4.53 to 2.07 Mlbs and a per-flight cost savings of 16 percent. For current Shuttle parameters, such a UV could carry up to 2 klbs of payload in the forebody mid-deck, the entire payload bay being occupied by fuel tanks with capacity 180 klbs; with advanced-technology weight reductions of 15 percent in Orbiter subsystem dry weights (including structures), the UV could carry up to 17 klbs of payload using only 125 klbs of internally loaded propellants, allowing a 15-ft cargo space.

Macconochie, I. O.↗

Toward a Unified Kinetic Model of Nitrogenase Catalysis

The microbial enzyme nitrogenase catalyzes the MgATP-dependent reduction of N 2 to 2NH 3 , a transformation central to the global nitrogen cycle. While the canonical Thorneley−Lowe (TL) kinetic model has long served as a mechanistic framework, it does not incorporate several recent insights. Here, we present an updated kinetic model for Monitrogenase that incorporates these new findings. A significant insight is that electron transfer (ET) from the reduced Fe protein to the FeMo-cofactor is gated by MgATP-dependent conformational transitions and can be described as a probabilistic event that is dependent on the ligand bound to the active-site metallocofactor. The updated kinetic model quantitatively reproduces steady-state product formation rates across a broad range of experimental conditions, yielding revised estimates for key rate constants. It is demonstrated that under N 2 turnover, the probability of productive ET to the active site decreases by ∼60%, resulting in a significant fraction of Fe protein cycles that are unproductive for electron delivery. This mechanistic feature explains the observed rate limitation in N 2 reduction and implies a revised minimum energetic cost of approximately 25 MgATP per N 2 reduced. Integrating these new features into the revised kinetic model provides a more complete and usable foundation for understanding nitrogenase catalysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Survey of inlet noise reduction concepts for gas turbine engines

An overview is given of advanced concepts for the suppression of noise in the inlets of gas turbine engines. Inlet geometric and operating parameters are presented and design criteria for suppression methods are discussed. Noise suppression concepts are described, the directions of current research are reviewed. Problem areas requiring further work are indicated. Well established approaches to inlet noise reduction - namely, acoustic liners and high subsonic Mach number inlets which are the focus of considerable current research activity are considered along with the acoustic absorption and watet vapor injection.

Lansing, D. L.↗

Comparison of left ventricular diastolic function in obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy in patients undergoing percutaneous septal alcohol ablation versus surgical myotomy/myectomy

Both percutaneous transcoronary alcohol septal reduction (ASR) and surgical myectomy are effective treatments to relieve left ventricular (LV) outflow tract obstruction in obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC). LV diastolic function was assessed by echocardiography in 57 patients with obstructive HC at baseline and 5 +/- 4 months after ASR (n = 37) or surgical myectomy (n = 20). LV outflow tract pressure gradient decreased from 65 +/- 40 to 23 +/- 21 mm Hg (p <0.01) after treatment. The ratio of the early-to-late peak diastolic LV inflow velocities, and the ratio of the early peak diastolic LV inflow velocity to the lateral mitral annulus early diastolic velocity determined by tissue Doppler imaging significantly decreased after the procedures (1.6 +/- 1.7 vs 1.0 +/- 0.7 and 15 +/- 8 vs 11 +/- 5, respectively), whereas LV inflow propagation velocity significantly increased (60 +/- 24 vs 71 +/- 36 cm/s). Left atrial size decreased from 29 +/- 7 to 25 +/- 6 cm(2) (p <0.05). Patients had a significant improvement in New York Heart Association functional class and in exercise performance. When comparing ASR with myectomy, no difference was found in the degree of change in any parameter of diastolic function. Thus, diastolic function indexes obtained by echocardiography changed after septal reduction interventions in patients with obstructive HC; this change was similar to that after surgical myectomy and ASR.

Non-NASA Center↗

$χ$-$MeRA$: Computationally efficient adaptive mesh refinement of Monte Carlo mesh based tallies

Here, the reactor physics community is always focused on reducing the computational time and memory required for simulations. $χ$-$MeRA$, which stands for flux-based-($χ$)-Mesh tally Refinement Adaptively, was built to reduce the computational time and memory required to solve the neutronics side of a multiphysics problem when compared to traditional methods for mesh based tallies in Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. $χ$-$MeRA$ couples a MC code with an adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) algorithm to take advantage of the accuracy of a MC code and the efficiency of an AMR algorithm. Also developed within $χ$-$MeRA$ was a set of metrics to assess the effects of the refinement on various parameters in the simulation space. For a plutonium sphere, $χ$-$MeRA$ shows a reduction in memory usage and computation time when compared to a fully refined mesh by a factor of 14.7 and 6.7, respectively. When compared to an unstructured mesh, improvement of 1.3 and 4.8 was achieved for memory usage and computation time. The development of $χ$-$MeRA$ helps solve the neutronics side of a multiphysics problem in a faster, more computationally efficient manner than traditional methods, and the final mesh created contains accurate results that can be passed onto the next physics code.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Synthesis, structure, and stability of a novel 2 H -azirine under pressure

We have synthesized 2,3-diphenyl-2H-azirine, a strained unsaturated heterocyclic compound, and examined its high-pressure behavior to above 10 GPa using diamond anvil cell techniques. Single crystal X-ray diffraction at ambient conditions reveals that the crystal structure is hexagonal and consists of interesting helices surrounding voids in the structure. A continuous shift of the Raman and infrared vibrational spectra with increasing pressure is observed, indicating that the molecular structure is preserved to at least 8 GPa at room temperature. High-pressure synchrotron powder X-ray diffraction shows that the hexagonal structure persists, with a smooth compression of the a and c parameters to 10 GPa. The structural stability under pressure is attributed to the reduction in void size within the helical framework despite the inherent strain and reactivity of the molecule. The channels in the structure could encapsulate small molecules for gas or energy storage applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Near-field models and simulations of pellet ablation in tokamaks

Here, detailed numerical studies of the ablation of a single neon pellet in the plasma disruption mitigation parameter space have been performed. Simulations were carried out using FronTier, a hydrodynamic/low magnetic Reynolds number MHD code with explicit tracking of material interfaces. FronTier's physics models resolve the pellet surface ablation and the formation of a dense, cold cloud of ablated material, the deposition of energy from hot plasma electrons, the expansion of the ablation cloud along magnetic field lines, and the radiation losses. A local thermodynamic equilibrium model based on Saha equations has been used to resolve atomic processes in the cloud and Redlich–Kwong corrections to the ideal gas equation of state for cold and dense gases, which have been used near the pellet surface. The FronTier pellet code is a next generation of the code described. It has been validated against the semi-analytic improved neutral gas shielding model in the 1D spherically symmetric approximation. Main results include quantification of the influence of atomic processes and Redlich–Kwong corrections on the pellet ablation in spherically symmetric approximation and verification of analytic scaling laws in a broad range of pellet and plasma parameters. Using axially symmetric MHD simulations, the properties of ablation channels and the reduction of pellet ablation rates in magnetic fields of increasing strength have been studied. While the main emphasis has been given to neon pellets for the plasma disruption mitigation, selected results on deuterium fueling pellets have also been presented.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Quantifying uncertainty in analysis of shockless dynamic compression experiments on platinum. I. Inverse Lagrangian analysis

Absolute measurements of solid-material compressibility by magnetically driven shockless dynamic compression experiments to multi-megabar pressures have the potential to greatly improve the accuracy and precision of pressure calibration standards for use in diamond anvil cell experiments. Here, to this end, we apply characteristics-based inverse Lagrangian analysis (ILA) to 11 sets of ramp-compression data on pure platinum (Pt) metal and then reduce the resulting weighted-mean stress–strain curve to the principal isentrope and room-temperature isotherm using simple models for yield stress and Grüneisen parameter. We introduce several improvements to methods for ILA and quasi-isentrope reduction, the latter including calculation of corrections in wave speed instead of stress and pressure to render results largely independent of initial yield stress while enforcing thermodynamic consistency near zero pressure. More importantly, we quantify in detail the propagation of experimental uncertainty through ILA and model uncertainty through quasi-isentrope reduction, considering all potential sources of error except the electrode and window material models used in ILA. Compared to previous approaches, we find larger uncertainty in longitudinal stress. Monte Carlo analysis demonstrates that uncertainty in the yield-stress model constitutes by far the largest contribution to uncertainty in quasi-isentrope reduction corrections. We present a new room-temperature isotherm for Pt up to 444 GPa, with 1-sigma uncertainty at that pressure of just under ±1.2%; the latter is about a factor of three smaller than uncertainty previously reported for multi-megabar ramp-compression experiments on Pt. The result is well represented by a Vinet-form compression curve with (isothermal) bulk modulus K 0 = 270.3 ± 3.8 GPa, pressure derivative K$^{'}_{0}$= 5.66 ± 0.10, and correlation coefficient $R_{K_{0},K^{'}_{0}}$= –0.843.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Shallow-circuit variational quantum eigensolver based on symmetry-inspired Hilbert space partitioning for quantum chemical calculations

Development of resource-friendly quantum algorithms remains highly desirable for noisy intermediate-scale quantum computing. Based on the variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) with unitary coupled-cluster Ansatz, we demonstrate that partitioning of the Hilbert space made possible by the point-group symmetry of the molecular systems greatly reduces the number of variational operators by confining the variational search within a subspace. In addition, we found that instead of including all subterms for each excitation operator, a single-term representation suffices to reach required accuracy for various molecules tested, resulting in an additional shortening of the quantum circuit by a factor of 4–8. With these strategies, VQE calculations on a noise-free quantum simulator achieve energies within a few meVs of those obtained with the full unitary coupled-cluster Ansatz with single and double excitations for the H 4 -square, H 4 -chain, and H 6 -hexagon molecules, while the number of cnot gates, a measure of the quantum-circuit depth, is reduced by a factor of as large as 35. Furthermore, we introduced an efficient “score” parameter to rank the excitation operators, so that the operators causing larger energy reduction can be applied first. Using the H 4 square and H 4 chain as examples, We demonstrated on noisy quantum simulators that the first few variational operators can bring the energy within the chemical accuracy, while additional operators do not improve the energy since the accumulative noise outweighs the gain from the expansion of the variational Ansatz.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Control optimization for parametric Hamiltonians by pulse reconstruction

Optimal control techniques provide a means to tailor the control pulses required to generate customized quantum gates, which helps to improve the resilience of quantum simulations to gate errors and device noise. However, the significant amount of (classical) computation required to generate customized gates can quickly undermine the effectiveness of this approach, especially when pulse optimization needs to be iterated. We propose a method to reduce the computational time required to generate the control pulse for a Hamiltonian that is parametrically dependent on a time-varying quantity. We use simple interpolation schemes to accurately reconstruct the control pulses from a set of pulses obtained in advance for a discrete set of predetermined parameter values. We obtain a reconstruction with very high fidelity and a significant reduction in computational effort. We report the results of the application of the proposed method to device-level quantum simulations of the unitary (real) time evolution of two interacting neutrons based on superconducting qubits.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Augmented reduced order models for turbulence

The authors introduce an augmented-basis method (ABM) to stabilize reduced-order models (ROMs) of turbulent incompressible flows. The method begins with standard basis functions derived from proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) of snapshot sets taken from a full-order model. These are then augmented with divergence-free projections of a subset of the nonlinear interaction terms that constitute a significant fraction of the time-derivative of the solution. The augmenting bases, which are rich in localized high wavenumber content, are better able to dissipate turbulent kinetic energy than the standard POD bases. Several examples illustrate that the ABM significantly out-performs L 2 -, H 1 - and Leray-stabilized POD ROM approaches. The ABM yields accuracy that is comparable to constraint-based stabilization approaches yet is suitable for parametric model-order reduction in which one uses the ROM to evaluate quantities of interests at parameter values that differ from those used to generate the full-order model snapshots. Several numerical experiments point to the importance of localized high wavenumber content in the generation of stable, accurate, and efficient ROMs for turbulent flows.

Kaneko, Kento↗

P-model v1.0: an optimality-based light use efficiency model for simulating ecosystem gross primary production

Terrestrial photosynthesis is the basis for vegetation growth and drives the land carbon cycle. Accurately simulating gross primary production (GPP, ecosystem-level apparent photosynthesis) is key for satellite monitoring and Earth system model predictions under climate change. While robust models exist for describing leaf-level photosynthesis, predictions diverge due to uncertain photosynthetic traits and parameters which vary on multiple spatial and temporal scales. Here, we describe and evaluate a GPP (photosynthesis per unit ground area) model, the P-model, that combines the Farquhar–von Caemmerer–Berry model for C 3 photosynthesis with an optimality principle for the carbon assimilation–transpiration trade-off, and predicts a multi-day average light use efficiency (LUE) for any climate and C 3 vegetation type. The model builds on the theory developed in Prentice et al. (2014) and Wang et al. (2017a) and is extended to include low temperature effects on the intrinsic quantum yield and an empirical soil moisture stress factor. The model is forced with site-level data of the fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (fAPAR) and meteorological data and is evaluated against GPP estimates from a globally distributed network of ecosystem flux measurements. Although the P-model requires relatively few inputs, the R 2 for predicted versus observed GPP based on the full model setup is 0.75 (8 d mean, 126 sites) – similar to comparable satellite-data-driven GPP models but without predefined vegetation-type-specific parameters. The R 2 is reduced to 0.70 when not accounting for the reduction in quantum yield at low temperatures and effects of low soil moisture on LUE. The R 2 for the P-model-predicted LUE is 0.32 (means by site) and 0.48 (means by vegetation type). Applying this model for global-scale simulations yields a total global GPP of 106–122 Pg C yr –1 (mean of 2001–2011), depending on the fAPAR forcing data. The P-model provides a simple but powerful method for predicting – rather than prescribing – light use efficiency and simulating terrestrial photosynthesis across a wide range of conditions. The model is available as an R package (rpmodel).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Advanced study of video signal processing in low signal to noise environments

The frame to frame correlation properties of the video process are utilized to reduce the mean squared error of the demodulated video where zero mean noise is a factor. An interpolative estimator is used for continuous estimation with the output process delayed in time by one frame. Theoretical development shows that for the model herein developed reduction of the mean squared error by 1.0 to 4.0 db possible for parameter ranges of interest. Interpolative estimation using inter-frame correlation properties of a video process is then applied to the Apollo 17 parameters to yield a model for application on that mission.

Carden, F.↗